Obesity and inflammation markers in relation to leukocyte telomere length in a cross-sectional study of persons with Barrett's esophagus

BACKGROUND

Telomere shortening is associated with increasing age, male gender and lifestyle factors such as obesity and smoking. Inflammation has also been implicated in cellular senescence and may promote telomere shortening in chronic conditions such as obesity and diabetes. However, little is known about the relationship between markers of obesity and inflammation, and leukocyte telomere length (LTL).

METHODS

LTL was measured using quantitative polymerase chain reaction in peripheral leukocytes from 295 individuals diagnosed with Barrett's esophagus (BE) between 1995 and 2009. Data on lifestyle variables including obesity and smoking were collected at in-person interviews. Biomarkers of obesity (leptin, adiponectin), diabetes (glucose, insulin), inflammation (C-reactive protein, Interleukin-6, surface tumor necrosis factor receptor (sTNFR) I & II) and oxidative stress (F2-isoprostanes) were measured in stored blood samples. We examined associations between these covariates and LTL in a cross-sectional analysis using linear and logistic regression models, adjusting for possible confounders.

RESULTS

LTL was significantly associated with age (r = -0.30, p < 0.001), gender (r = 0.14 for females, p = 0.01) and inversely associated with cigarette pack-years (r = -0.11, p = 0.04). Odds of having short LTL were significantly higher for participants in the highest tertile for sTNF-RI (Odds ratio adjusted for age, gender, smoking, and obesity = 2.19; 95 % CI 1.00-4.85, p-trend = 0.02). LTL was not significantly associated with any other lifestyle factors, including smoking or obesity, or other inflammation-, obesity-/diabetes-related biomarkers measured.

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing age, male gender, smoking history, and sTNF-RI levels were associated with short LTL among persons with BE but no correlations were observed between LTL and other inflammatory markers or measures of obesity. Larger longitudinal studies are necessary in order to further establish the potential relationships between obesity, inflammation markers and LTL.

High Goblet Cell Count Is Inversely Associated with Ploidy Abnormalities and Risk of Adenocarcinoma in Barrett's Esophagus

Purpose

Goblet cells may represent a potentially successful adaptive response to acid and bile by producing a thick mucous barrier that protects against cancer development in Barrett's esophagus (BE). The aim of this study was to determine the relationship between goblet cells (GC) and risk of progression to adenocarcinoma, and DNA content flow cytometric abnormalities, in BE patients.

Experimental Design

Baseline mucosal biopsies (N=2988) from 213 patients, 32 of whom developed cancer during the follow up period, enrolled in a prospective dynamic cohort of BE patients were scored in a blinded fashion, for the total number (#) of GC, mean # of GC/crypt (GC density), # of crypts with ≥ 1 GC, and the proportion of crypts with ≥1 GC, in both dysplastic and non-dysplastic epithelium separately. The relationship between these four GC parameters and DNA content flow cytometric abnormalities and adenocarcinoma outcome was compared, after adjustment for age, gender, and BE segment length.

Results

High GC parameters were inversely associated with DNA content flow cytometric abnormalities, such as aneuploidy, ploidy >2.7N, and an elevated 4N fraction > 6%, and with risk of adenocarcinoma. However, a Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the total # of GC and the total # crypts with ≥1 GC were the only significant GC parameters (p<0.001 and 0.003, respectively).

Conclusions

The results of this study show, for the first time, an inverse relationship between high GC counts and flow cytometric abnormalities and risk of adenocarcinoma in BE. Further studies are needed to determine if GC depleted foci within esophageal columnar mucosa are more prone to neoplastic progression or whether loss of GC occurs secondary to underlying genetic abnormalities.

Assessment of Esophageal Adenocarcinoma Risk Using Somatic Chromosome Alterations in Longitudinal Samples in Barrett's Esophagus

Cancers detected at a late stage are often refractory to treatments and ultimately lethal. Early detection can significantly increase survival probability, but attempts to reduce mortality by early detection have frequently increased overdiagnosis of indolent conditions that do not progress over a lifetime. Study designs that incorporate biomarker trajectories in time and space are needed to distinguish patients who progress to an early cancer from those who follow an indolent course. Esophageal adenocarcinoma is characterized by evolution of punctuated and catastrophic somatic chromosomal alterations and high levels of overall mutations but few recurrently mutated genes aside from TP53. Endoscopic surveillance of Barrett's esophagus for early cancer detection provides an opportunity for assessment of alterations for cancer risk in patients who progress to esophageal adenocarcinoma compared with nonprogressors. We investigated 1,272 longitudinally collected esophageal biopsies in a 248 Barrett's patient case-cohort study with 20,425 person-months of follow-up, including 79 who progressed to early-stage esophageal adenocarcinoma. Cancer progression risk was assessed for total chromosomal alterations, diversity, and chromosomal region-specific alterations measured with single-nucleotide polymorphism arrays in biopsies obtained over esophageal space and time. A model using 29 chromosomal features was developed for cancer risk prediction (area under receiver operator curve, 0.94). The model prediction performance was robust in two independent esophageal adenocarcinoma sets and outperformed TP53 mutation, flow cytometric DNA content, and histopathologic diagnosis of dysplasia. This study offers a strategy to reduce overdiagnosis in Barrett's esophagus and improve early detection of esophageal adenocarcinoma and potentially other cancers characterized by punctuated and catastrophic chromosomal evolution.

Bacterial Composition of the Human Upper Gastrointestinal Tract Microbiome Is Dynamic and Associated with Genomic Instability in a Barrett's Esophagus Cohort

Background

The incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) has increased nearly five-fold over the last four decades in the United States. Barrett’s esophagus, the replacement of the normal squamous epithelial lining with a mucus-secreting columnar epithelium, is the only known precursor to EAC. Like other parts of the gastrointestinal (GI) tract, the esophagus hosts a variety of bacteria and comparisons among published studies suggest bacterial communities in the stomach and esophagus differ. Chronic infection with Helicobacter pylori in the stomach has been inversely associated with development of EAC, but the mechanisms underlying this association remain unclear.

Methodology

The bacterial composition in the upper GI tract was characterized in a subset of participants (n=12) of the Seattle Barrett’s Esophagus Research cohort using broad-range 16S PCR and pyrosequencing of biopsy and brush samples collected from squamous esophagus, Barrett’s esophagus, stomach corpus and stomach antrum. Three of the individuals were sampled at two separate time points. Prevalence of H. pylori infection and subsequent development of aneuploidy (n=339) and EAC (n=433) was examined in a larger subset of this cohort.

Results/Significance

Within individuals, bacterial communities of the stomach and esophagus showed overlapping community membership. Despite closer proximity, the stomach antrum and corpus communities were less similar than the antrum and esophageal samples. Re-sampling of study participants revealed similar upper GI community membership in two of three cases. In this Barrett’s esophagus cohort, Streptococcus and Prevotella species dominate the upper GI and the ratio of these two species is associated with waist-to-hip ratio and hiatal hernia length, two known EAC risk factors in Barrett’s esophagus. H. pylori-positive individuals had a significantly decreased incidence of aneuploidy and a non-significant trend toward lower incidence of EAC.

Integrative post-genome-wide association analysis of CDKN2A and TP53 SNPs and risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma

Incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA) in Western countries has increased markedly in recent decades. Although several risk factors have been identified for EA and its precursor, Barrett's esophagus (BE), including reflux, Caucasian race, male gender, obesity, and smoking, less is known about the role of inherited genetic variation. Frequent somatic mutations in the tumor suppressor genes CDKN2A and TP53 were recently reported in EA tumors, while somatic alterations at 9p (CDKN2A) and 17p (TP53) have been implicated as predictors of progression from BE to EA. Motivated by these findings, we used data from a genome-wide association study of 2515 EA cases and 3207 controls to analyze 37 germline single nucleotide polymorphisms at the CDKN2A and TP53 loci. Three CDKN2A polymorphisms were nominally associated (P < 0.05) with reduced risk of EA: rs2518720 C>T [intronic, odds ratio 0.90, P = 0.0121, q = 0.3059], rs3088440 G>A (3'UTR, odds ratio 0.84, P = 0.0186, q = 0.3059), and rs4074785 C>T (intronic, odds ratio 0.85, P = 0.0248, q = 0.3059). None of the TP53 single nucleotide polymorphisms reached nominal significance. Two of the CDKN2A variants identified were also associated with reduced risk of progression from BE to EA, when assessed in a prospective cohort of 408 BE patients: rs2518720 (hazard ratio 0.57, P = 0.0095, q = 0.0285) and rs3088440 (hazard ratio 0.34, P = 0.0368, q = 0.0552). In vitro functional studies of rs3088440, a single nucleotide polymorphism located in the seed sequence of a predicted miR-663b binding site, suggested a mechanism whereby the G>A substitution may attenuate miR-663b-mediated repression of the CDKN2A transcript. This study provides the first evidence that germline variation at the CDKN2A locus may influence EA susceptibility.

Inflammation and oxidative stress markers and esophageal adenocarcinoma incidence in a Barrett's esophagus cohort

BACKGROUND

Persons with Barrett's esophagus experience increased risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma. Prediagnostic inflammation markers predict several cancers, but their role in predicting esophageal adenocarcinoma is unknown.

METHODS

We investigated whether biomarkers of inflammation [C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL6), soluble tumor necrosis factor (sTNF) receptors I and II], and of oxidative stress (F2-isoprostanes) predicted progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma in a prospective cohort of 397 patients with Barrett's esophagus, 45 of whom developed esophageal adenocarcinoma. Biomarkers were measured in stored plasma samples from two time points during follow-up, the mean of which served as the primary predictor. Adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated using Cox regression.

RESULTS

CRP level above the median was associated with an 80% increased risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma. The HR and 95% CI adjusted for age, gender, and further adjusted for waist-hip ratio and smoking were 1.98 (1.05-3.73) and 1.77 (0.93-3.37), respectively, with Ptrend for continuous CRP = 0.04. Persons with IL6 levels above the median also had almost 2-fold increased risk [HR and 95% CI adjusted for age and gender, and further adjusted for waist-hip ratio and smoking were 1.95 (1.03-3.72) and 1.79 (0.93-3.43), respectively, but no evidence of a trend was observed]. Concentrations of TNF receptors and F2-isoprostanes were not associated with esophageal adenocarcinoma risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Further research is needed to evaluate the role of inflammation and associated markers in esophageal adenocarcinoma development in persons with Barrett's esophagus.

IMPACT

This prospective study suggests that inflammation markers, particularly CRP and IL6, may help identify persons at higher risk of progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma.

Intraindividual variability over time in plasma biomarkers of inflammation and effects of long-term storage

PURPOSE

Systemic measures of chronic inflammation, often based on a single blood draw, are frequently used to study the associations between inflammation and chronic diseases such as cancer. However, more information is needed on the measurement error in these markers due to laboratory error, within-person variation over time, and long-term storage.

METHODS

We investigated the intraindividual variability of inflammation markers C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and soluble tumor necrosis factor receptors I and II (sTNFRI and II) in a subsample of the Seattle Barrett's esophagus study cohort. Two fasting blood samples were collected between 1995 and 2009 from 360 participants on average 1.8 years apart. CRP, IL-6, and sTNF receptor levels were measured by immunonephelometry, ELISA, and multiplex assays, respectively. Intra- and inter-batch coefficients of variation (CV) were estimated using blinded pooled samples within each batch. Intraclass correlations (ICCs) were computed using random effects ANOVA.

RESULTS

Intra- and inter-batch CVs for the pooled plasma aliquots were low (2.4-8.9 %), suggesting little laboratory variability. Reliability over time was excellent for sTNF receptors (ICCsTNF-RI = 0.89, ICCsTNF-RII = 0.85) and fair-to-good for CRP and IL-6 (ICCCRP = 0.55, ICCIL-6 = 0.57). For samples stored for over 13 years, the ICCs for CRP and IL-6 were decreased but those for sTNF receptors were unaffected.

CONCLUSION

sTNF receptor levels are more stable within person over time than CRP or IL-6. Long-term storage of samples appears to increase the variability of CRP and IL-6 measures, while the reliability of soluble TNF receptor measures was not affected by storage time.

Quantification of population benefit in evaluation of biomarkers: practical implications for disease detection and prevention

BACKGROUND

With the rapid development of "-omic" technologies, an increasing number of purported biomarkers have been identified for cancer and other diseases. The process of identifying those that are most promising and validating them for use at the population level for prevention and early detection is a critical next step in achieving significant health benefits.

METHODS

In this paper, we propose that in order to effectively translate biomarkers for practical clinical use, it is important to distinguish and quantify the differences between the use of biomarkers and other risk factors to identify preventive interventions versus their use in disease risk prediction and early detection. We developed mathematical models for quantitatively evaluating risk and benefit in use of biomarkers for disease prevention or early detection. Simple numerical examples were used to demonstrate the potential applications of the models for various types of data.

RESULTS

We propose an index which takes into account potential adverse consequences of biomarker-driven interventions - the 'naïve' ratio of population benefit (RPB) - to facilitate evaluating the potential impact of biomarkers on cancer prevention and personalized medicine. The index RPB is developed for both binary and continuous biomarkers/risk factors. Examples with computational analyses are presented in the paper to contrast the differences in using biomarkers/risk factors for prevention and early detection.

CONCLUSIONS

Integrating epidemiologic knowledge into clinical decision making is a key step to translate new biomarkers/risk factors into practical use to achieve health benefits. The RPB proposed in this paper considers the absolute risk of a disease in intervention, and takes into account the risk-benefit effects simultaneously for a marker/exposure at the population level. The RPB illustrates a unique approach to quantitatively assess the risk and potential benefits of using a biomarker/risk factor for intervention in both early detection and prevention.

Temporal and spatial evolution of somatic chromosomal alterations: a case-cohort study of Barrett's esophagus

All cancers are believed to arise by dynamic, stochastic somatic genomic evolution with genome instability, generation of diversity, and selection of genomic alterations that underlie multistage progression to cancer. Advanced esophageal adenocarcinomas have high levels of somatic copy number alterations. Barrett's esophagus is a risk factor for developing esophageal adenocarcinoma, and somatic chromosomal alterations (SCA) are known to occur in Barrett's esophagus. The vast majority (∼95%) of individuals with Barrett's esophagus do not progress to esophageal adenocarcinoma during their lifetimes, but a small subset develop esophageal adenocarcinoma, many of which arise rapidly even in carefully monitored patients without visible endoscopic abnormalities at the index endoscopy. Using a well-designed, longitudinal case-cohort study, we characterized SCA as assessed by single-nucleotide polymorphism arrays over space and time in 79 "progressors" with Barrett's esophagus as they approach the diagnosis of cancer and 169 "nonprogressors" with Barrett's esophagus who did not progress to esophageal adenocarcinoma over more than 20,425 person-months of follow-up. The genomes of nonprogressors typically had small localized deletions involving fragile sites and 9p loss/copy neutral LOH that generate little genetic diversity and remained relatively stable over prolonged follow-up. As progressors approach the diagnosis of cancer, their genomes developed chromosome instability with initial gains and losses, genomic diversity, and selection of SCAs followed by catastrophic genome doublings. Our results support a model of differential disease dynamics in which nonprogressor genomes largely remain stable over prolonged periods, whereas progressor genomes evolve significantly increased SCA and diversity within four years of esophageal adenocarcinoma diagnosis, suggesting a window of opportunity for early detection.

Association between markers of obesity and progression from Barrett's esophagus to esophageal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Individuals with Barrett's esophagus (BE) have an increased risk of developing esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA). Obesity contributes to the development of BE and its progression to cancer. We investigated the roles of obesity-induced hyperinsulinemia and dysregulation of adipokines in these processes.

METHODS

We measured fasting levels of glucose, insulin, leptin, and adiponectin in 392 patients enrolled in the Seattle Barrett's Esophagus Study. We calculated homeostatic model assessment scores (a measure of insulin sensitivity) and identified subjects with metabolic syndrome. We evaluated the association between these measures and the risk of EA using Cox regression models adjusted for known risk factors.

RESULTS

Increasing homeostatic model assessment scores were associated with an increasing risk for EA; the strongest association was observed within the first 3 years after participants entered the study (hazard ratio [HR], 2.45; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.43-4.1; P trend = .001). Leptin level also was associated significantly with an increased risk of EA within 3 years (HR, 2.51; 95% CI, 1.09-5.81; P trend = .03) and 6 years (HR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.01-4.26; P trend = .048) of baseline. The level of high-molecular-weight adiponectin had a nonlinear inverse association with risk of EA; the strongest associations were observed in the second tertile (HR, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.14-0.82). Metabolic syndrome was not associated with risk of EA.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with BE, increased levels of leptin and insulin resistance are associated with increased risk for EA, whereas increased levels of high-molecular-weight adiponectin is associated inversely with EA. These biomarkers might be used to determine cancer risk among patients with BE.

NSAIDs modulate clonal evolution in Barrett's esophagus

Cancer is considered an outcome of decades-long clonal evolution fueled by acquisition of somatic genomic abnormalities (SGAs). Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) have been shown to reduce cancer risk, including risk of progression from Barrett's esophagus (BE) to esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA). However, the cancer chemopreventive mechanisms of NSAIDs are not fully understood. We hypothesized that NSAIDs modulate clonal evolution by reducing SGA acquisition rate. We evaluated thirteen individuals with BE. Eleven had not used NSAIDs for 6.2±3.5 (mean±standard deviation) years and then began using NSAIDs for 5.6±2.7 years, whereas two had used NSAIDs for 3.3±1.4 years and then discontinued use for 7.9±0.7 years. 161 BE biopsies, collected at 5–8 time points over 6.4–19 years, were analyzed using 1Million-SNP arrays to detect SGAs. Even in the earliest biopsies there were many SGAs (284±246 in 10/13 and 1442±560 in 3/13 individuals) and in most individuals the number of SGAs changed little over time, with both increases and decreases in SGAs detected. The estimated SGA rate was 7.8 per genome per year (95% support interval [SI], 7.1–8.6) off-NSAIDs and 0.6 (95% SI 0.3–1.5) on-NSAIDs. Twelve individuals did not progress to EA. In ten we detected 279±86 SGAs affecting 53±30 Mb of the genome per biopsy per time point and in two we detected 1,463±375 SGAs affecting 180±100 Mb. In one individual who progressed to EA we detected a clone having 2,291±78 SGAs affecting 588±18 Mb of the genome at three time points in the last three of 11.4 years of follow-up. NSAIDs were associated with reduced rate of acquisition of SGAs in eleven of thirteen individuals. Barrett's cells maintained relative equilibrium level of SGAs over time with occasional punctuations by expansion of clones having massive amount of SGAs.

Cancer is a disease that develops over decades as result of accumulation of abnormalities in the genomes of otherwise normal cells. Cells in tumors compete for space and resources. Those cells able to survive the Darwinian struggle for existence within tissues progressively evolve uncontrolled growth and in some cases this results in cancer. Aspirin and other non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) reduce death rate from multiple types of cancer by about 20%. However, the mechanisms by which NSAIDs act to prevent cancer are not fully understood. By examining thirteen individuals with Barrett's esophagus over time, we showed that the rate of accumulation of genomic abnormalities decreased when most individuals started taking NSAIDs. We also observed that, surprisingly, the number of abnormalities in the Barrett's tissues did not increase much over decades. However, in one individual who progressed to esophageal cancer, we observed massive genomic abnormalities affecting 19% of the genome. These findings suggest that NSAIDs may prevent cancer by reducing the accumulation of genomic abnormalities over time and that detection of stable versus unstable genomes may be used in the clinic to help manage treatment options in Barrett's esophagus.

The role of tobacco, alcohol, and obesity in neoplastic progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma: a prospective study of Barrett's esophagus

BACKGROUND

Esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA) incidence in many developed countries has increased dramatically over four decades, while survival remains poor. Persons with Barrett's esophagus (BE), who experience substantially elevated EA risk, are typically followed in surveillance involving periodic endoscopy with biopsies, although few progress to EA. No medical, surgical or lifestyle interventions have been proven to safely lower EA risk.

DESIGN

We investigated whether smoking, obesity or alcohol could predict progression to EA in a prospective cohort of 411 BE patients. Data were collected during personal interview. Adjusted hazard ratios (HR) were estimated using Cox regression.

RESULTS

39% had body mass index (BMI) over 30 and 64% had smoked cigarettes. Main analyses focused on those with at least 5 months of follow-up (33,635 person-months), in whom 45 developed EA. Risk increased by 3% per year of age (trend p-value 0.02), with approximate doubling of risk among males. EA risk increased with smoking pack-years (trend p-value 0.04) and duration (p-value 0.05). Compared to never-smokers, the HR for those in the highest pack-year tertile was 2.29 (95%CI 1.04-5.07). No association was found with alcohol or BMI, whereas a suggestion of increased risk was observed in those with higher waist-hip ratio, especially among males.

CONCLUSION

EA risk significantly increased with increasing age and cigarette exposure. Abdominal obesity, but not BMI, was associated with a modest increased risk. Continued follow-up of this and other cohorts is needed to precisely define these relationships so as to inform risk stratification and preventive interventions.

Selenium, selenoenzymes, oxidative stress and risk of neoplastic progression from Barrett's esophagus: results from biomarkers and genetic variants

Clinical trials have suggested a protective effect of selenium supplementation on the risk of esophageal cancer, which may be mediated through the antioxidant activity of selenoenzymes. We investigated whether serum selenium concentrations, selenoenzyme activity, oxidative stress and genetic variation in selenoenzymes were associated with the risk of neoplastic progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA) and two intermediate endpoints, aneuploidy and tetraploidy. In this prospective cohort study, during an average follow-up of 7.3 years, 47 EA cases, 41 aneuploidy cases and 51 tetraploidy cases accrued among 361 participants from the Seattle Barrett's Esophagus Research Study who were free of EA at the time of blood draw and had at least one follow-up visit. Development to EA was assessed histologically and aneuploidy and tetraploidy by DNA content flow cytometry. Serum selenium concentrations were measured using atomic absorption spectrometry, activity of glutathione peroxidase (GPX) 1 and GPX3 by substrate-specific coupled test procedures, selenoprotein P (SEPP1) concentrations and protein carbonyl content by ELISA method and malondialdehyde concentrations by HPLC. Genetic variants in GPX1-4 and SEPP1 were genotyped. Serum selenium was not associated with the risk of neoplastic progression to EA, aneuploidy or tetraploidy (P for trend = 0.25 to 0.85). SEPP1 concentrations were positively associated with the risk of EA [hazard ratio (HR) = 3.95, 95% confidence intervals (CI) = 1.42-10.97 comparing the third tertile with the first] and with aneuploidy (HR = 6.53, 95% CI = 1.31-32.58), but not selenoenzyme activity or oxidative stress markers. No genetic variants, overall, were associated with the risk of neoplastic progression to EA (global p = 0.12-0.69). Our results do not support a protective effect of selenium on risk of neoplastic progression to EA. Our study is the first to report positive associations of plasma SEPP1 concentrations with the risk of EA and aneuploidy, which warrants further investigation.

Use of statin medications and risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma in persons with Barrett's esophagus

BACKGROUND

Persons with Barrett's esophagus experience increased incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma and may benefit from use of preventives. Studies suggest that statin medications may have chemopreventive properties; we therefore assessed the association between statin use and progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

In a prospective cohort of 411 persons with Barrett's, Cox regression was used to calculate HRs for nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) and statin use accounting for variation in use during follow-up and adjusting for age, sex, and smoking.

RESULTS

The HRs for statin use among all participants were 0.59 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.26-1.33] and 0.68 (95% CI, 0.30-1.54) before and after further adjustment for NSAID use, respectively. Among persons with high-grade dysplasia, the HRs for statin use were 0.31 (95% CI, 0.11-0.86) and 0.41 (95% CI, 0.13-1.26) before and after adding NSAIDs to the model, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

While the reduced risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma observed among statin users may be explained by chance, the point estimates are similar in magnitude to those previously reported for NSAID use in this cohort and are unlikely to be confounded by known risk factors.

IMPACT

Further study in larger cohorts and meta-analyses of the potential for statins to reduce risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma is warranted.

Application of biomarkers in cancer risk management: evaluation from stochastic clonal evolutionary and dynamic system optimization points of view

Aside from primary prevention, early detection remains the most effective way to decrease mortality associated with the majority of solid cancers. Previous cancer screening models are largely based on classification of at-risk populations into three conceptually defined groups (normal, cancer without symptoms, and cancer with symptoms). Unfortunately, this approach has achieved limited successes in reducing cancer mortality. With advances in molecular biology and genomic technologies, many candidate somatic genetic and epigenetic “biomarkers” have been identified as potential predictors of cancer risk. However, none have yet been validated as robust predictors of progression to cancer or shown to reduce cancer mortality. In this Perspective, we first define the necessary and sufficient conditions for precise prediction of future cancer development and early cancer detection within a simple physical model framework. We then evaluate cancer risk prediction and early detection from a dynamic clonal evolution point of view, examining the implications of dynamic clonal evolution of biomarkers and the application of clonal evolution for cancer risk management in clinical practice. Finally, we propose a framework to guide future collaborative research between mathematical modelers and biomarker researchers to design studies to investigate and model dynamic clonal evolution. This approach will allow optimization of available resources for cancer control and intervention timing based on molecular biomarkers in predicting cancer among various risk subsets that dynamically evolve over time.

Abstract A60: Use of statin medications and reduced risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma in persons with Barrett's esophagus

Background: The incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA) has increased dramatically in many developed countries over the past 30 years, with little improvement in its rapid mortality. Persons with the metaplastic condition, Barrett's esophagus (BE), experience increased risk of EA; they are typically followed in surveillance programs to facilitate early diagnosis of cancer, and may therefore benefit from safe and effective chemopreventive agents. Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAID) have received much attention due to the fact that NSAID use seems to be negatively associated with the development of various cancers, including EA. However, concern over the potential toxicities associated with NSAID use highlights the importance of identifying alternative agents. The general class of statin medications (3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl coenzyme A reductase inhibitors) have received recent attention for their potential chemopreventive properties in human and animal studies, but little is known on the possible effects of statin use on the development of EA.

Methods: We assessed the association between statin use and risk of progression to EA in a prospective cohort study of 411 persons with BE followed for a total of 33,656 person-months between 1995 and 2009. Data on use of medications, cigarette smoking, anthropometry and other potential risk factors were collected at baseline through personal interviews and updated over the course of follow-up. Proportional hazards regression was used to calculate the hazard ratios (HR) for NSAID and statin use, while adjusting as necessary for the effects of age, sex, cigarette use, and waist-to-hip ratio.

Results: Overall, 14% of participants reported statin use at baseline, with 40% reporting use on at least one follow-up visit. NSAID use was more common, with 41% of the cohort reporting regular NSAID use at baseline and 70% reporting regular use on at least one follow-up visit. The main analyses focused on the 396 persons with at least 5 months of follow up (median 79.5 months; range 5.7 −170.7 months). The HR for statin use, entered into models as a time-varying covariate, was 0.59 (95% CI=0.26-1.33) when adjusted for age, sex, and smoking history; when NSAID use was added to the model, the HR weakened slightly to 0.68 (95% CI=0.30-1.55). Among persons with high-grade dysplasia, the HR for association between statin use and EA was 0.45 (95%CI=0.15, 1.29). Among persons with high-grade dysplasia, analyses of the joint associations between statins and NSAID was consistent with a multiplicative relationship, with an estimated HR of 0.19 (95%CI=0.06-0.65) comparing persons using both medications to those using neither.

Conclusions: While reduced risks of EA that we observed among statin users may be explained by chance, the point estimates are similar in magnitude to those previously reported for NSAID use in this cohort, and are unlikely to be confounded by known risk factors. Among those with highgrade dysplasia at baseline, there is a suggestion that concurrent use of NSAID and statins is more protective than taking NSAID or statins individually. Continued study of this issue in this and other cohorts is warranted.

Citation Information: Cancer Prev Res 2010;3(12 Suppl):A60.

A comprehensive survey of clonal diversity measures in Barrett's esophagus as biomarkers of progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma

Neoplastic progression is an evolutionary process driven by the generation of clonal diversity and natural selection on that diversity within a neoplasm. We hypothesized that clonal diversity is associated with risk of progression to cancer. We obtained molecular data from a cohort of 239 participants with Barrett's esophagus, including microsatellite shifts and loss of heterozygosity, DNA content tetraploidy and aneuploidy, methylation, and sequence mutations. Using these data, we tested all major diversity measurement methods, including genetic divergence and entropy-based measures, to determine which measures are correlated with risk of progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma. We also tested whether the use of different sets of loci and alterations to define clones (e.g., selectively advantageous versus evolutionarily neutral) improved the predictive value of the diversity indices. All diversity measures were strong and highly significant predictors of progression (Cox proportional hazards model, P < 0.001). The type of alterations evaluated had little effect on the predictive value of most of the diversity measures. In summary, diversity measures are robust predictors of progression to cancer in this cohort.

Chromosomal instability and copy number alterations in Barrett's esophagus and esophageal adenocarcinoma

PURPOSE

Chromosomal instability, as assessed by many techniques, including DNA content aneuploidy, loss of heterozygosity, and comparative genomic hybridization, has consistently been reported to be common in cancer and rare in normal tissues. Recently, a panel of chromosome instability biomarkers, including loss of heterozygosity and DNA content, has been reported to identify patients at high and low risk of progression from Barrett's esophagus (BE) to esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA), but required multiple platforms for implementation. Although chromosomal instability involving amplifications and deletions of chromosome regions have been observed in nearly all cancers, copy number alterations (CNA) in premalignant tissues have not been well characterized or evaluated in cohort studies as biomarkers of cancer risk.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

We examined CNAs in 98 patients having either BE or EA using Bacterial Artificial Chromosome (BAC) array comparative genomic hybridization to characterize CNAs at different stages of progression ranging from early BE to advanced EA.

RESULTS

CNAs were rare in early stages (less than high-grade dysplasia) but were progressively more frequent and larger in later stages (high-grade dysplasia and EA), including high-level amplifications. The number of CNAs correlated highly with DNA content aneuploidy. Patients whose biopsies contained CNAs involving >70 Mbp were at increased risk of progression to DNA content abnormalities or EA (hazards ratio, 4.9; 95% confidence interval, 1.6-14.8; P = 0.0047), and the risk increased as more of the genome was affected.

CONCLUSIONS

Genome-wide analysis of CNAs provides a common platform for the evaluation of chromosome instability for cancer risk assessment as well as for the identification of common regions of alteration that can be further studied for biomarker discovery.

Cell proliferation, cell cycle abnormalities, and cancer outcome in patients with Barrett's esophagus: a long-term prospective study

PURPOSE

Elevated cellular proliferation and cell cycle abnormalities, which have been associated with premalignant lesions, may be caused by inactivation of tumor suppressor genes. We measured proliferative and cell cycle fractions of biopsies from a cohort of patients with Barrett's esophagus to better understand the role of proliferation in early neoplastic progression and the association between cell cycle dysregulation and tumor suppressor gene inactivation.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Cell proliferative fractions (determined by Ki67/DNA multiparameter flow cytometry) and cell cycle fractions (DNA content flow cytometry) were measured in 853 diploid biopsies from 362 patients with Barrett's esophagus. The inactivation status of CDKN2A and TP53 was assessed in a subset of these biopsies in a cross-sectional study. A prospective study followed 276 of the patients without detectable aneuploidy for an average of 6.3 years with esophageal adenocarcinoma as an end point.

RESULTS

Diploid S and 4N (G(2)/tetraploid) fractions were significantly higher in biopsies with TP53 mutation and loss of heterozygosity. CDKN2A inactivation was not associated with higher Ki67-positive, diploid S, G(1), or 4N fractions. High Ki67-positive and G(1)-phase fractions were not associated with the future development of esophageal adenocarcinoma (P=0.13 and P=0.15, respectively), whereas high diploid S-phase and 4N fractions were (P=0.03 and P<0.0001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

High Ki67-positive proliferative fractions were not associated with inactivation of CDKN2A and TP53 or future development of cancer in our cohort of patients with Barrett's esophagus. Biallelic inactivation of TP53 was associated with elevated 4N fractions, which have been associated with the future development of esophageal adenocarcinoma.

p16 mutation spectrum in the premalignant condition Barrett's esophagus

Background

Mutation, promoter hypermethylation and loss of heterozygosity involving the tumor suppressor gene p16 (CDKN2a/INK4a) have been detected in a wide variety of human cancers, but much less is known concerning the frequency and spectrum of p16 mutations in premalignant conditions.

Methods and Findings

We have determined the p16 mutation spectrum for a cohort of 304 patients with Barrett's esophagus, a premalignant condition that predisposes to the development of esophageal adenocarcinoma. Forty seven mutations were detected by sequencing of p16 exon 2 in 44 BE patients (14.5%) with a mutation spectrum consistent with that caused by oxidative damage and chronic inflammation. The percentage of patients with p16 mutations increased with increasing histologic grade. In addition, samples from 3 out of 19 patients (15.8%) who underwent esophagectomy were found to have mutations.

Conclusions

The results of this study suggest the environment of the esophagus in BE patients can both generate and select for clones with p16 mutations.

Single nucleotide polymorphism-based genome-wide chromosome copy change, loss of heterozygosity, and aneuploidy in Barrett's esophagus neoplastic progression

Chromosome copy gain, loss, and loss of heterozygosity (LOH) involving most chromosomes have been reported in many cancers; however, less is known about chromosome instability in premalignant conditions. 17p LOH and DNA content abnormalities have been previously reported to predict progression from Barrett's esophagus (BE) to esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA). Here, we evaluated genome-wide chromosomal instability in multiple stages of BE and EA in whole biopsies. Forty-two patients were selected to represent different stages of progression from BE to EA. Whole BE or EA biopsies were minced, and aliquots were processed for flow cytometry and genotyped with a paired constitutive control for each patient using 33,423 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP). Copy gains, losses, and LOH increased in frequency and size between early- and late-stage BE (P < 0.001), with SNP abnormalities increasing from <2% to >30% in early and late stages, respectively. A set of statistically significant events was unique to either early or late, or both, stages, including previously reported and novel abnormalities. The total number of SNP alterations was highly correlated with DNA content aneuploidy and was sensitive and specific to identify patients with concurrent EA (empirical receiver operating characteristic area under the curve = 0.91). With the exception of 9p LOH, most copy gains, losses, and LOH detected in early stages of BE were smaller than those detected in later stages, and few chromosomal events were common in all stages of progression. Measures of chromosomal instability can be quantified in whole biopsies using SNP-based genotyping and have potential to be an integrated platform for cancer risk stratification in BE.

Dietary supplement use and risk of neoplastic progression in esophageal adenocarcinoma: a prospective study

The incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA) and its precursor condition, Barrett's esophagus, has risen rapidly in the United States for reasons that are not fully understood. Therefore, we evaluated the association between use of supplemental vitamins and minerals and risk of neoplastic progression of Barrett's esophagus and EA. The Seattle Barrett's Esophagus Program is a prospective study based on 339 men and women with histologically confirmed Barrett's esophagus. Participants underwent baseline and periodic follow-up exams, which included endoscopy and self-administered questionnaires on diet, supplement use, and lifestyle characteristics. Use of multivitamins and 4 individual supplements was calculated using time-weighted averages of reported use over the observational period. Cox proportional-hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) for each endpoint: EA, tetraploidy, and aneuploidy. During a mean follow-up of 5 yr, there were 37 cases of EA, 42 cases of tetraploidy, and 34 cases of aneuploidy. After controlling for multiple covariates including diet, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use, obesity, and smoking, participants who took 1 or more multivitamin pills/day had a significantly decreased risk of tetraploidy [HR = 0.19; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.08-0.47) and EA (HR = 0.38; 95% CI = 0.15-0.99] compared to those not taking multivitamins. Significant inverse associations were also observed between risk of EA and supplemental vitamin C (> or = 250 mg vs. none: HR = 0.25; 95% CI = 0.11-0.58) and vitamin E (> or = 180 mg vs. none: HR = 0.25; 95% CI = 0.10-0.60). In this cohort study, use of multivitamins and single antioxidant supplements was associated with a significantly reduced risk of EA and markers of neoplastic progression among individuals with Barrett's esophagus.

Longitudinal study of insulin-like growth factor, insulin-like growth factor binding protein-3, and their polymorphisms: risk of neoplastic progression in Barrett's esophagus

BACKGROUND

Insulin-like growth factor-I (IGF-I) is a potent mitogen. IGF-I and its main binding protein, IGF binding protein-3 (IGFBP-3), and their polymorphisms have been investigated in relation to risk of many cancers, but not esophageal adenocarcinoma.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We used data and specimens from a longitudinal study of persons with Barrett's esophagus (n=344; median, 5.4 years follow up) to determine whether baseline serum concentrations of IGF-I and IGFBP-3 and associated polymorphisms were related to the risk of developing esophageal adenocarcinoma or flow cytometric abnormalities.

RESULTS

Overall, circulating concentrations of IGF-I and IGBP-3 were not associated with risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma or flow cytometric abnormalities, with the exception of an approximate tripling of risk of aneuploidy among participants with higher IGFBP-3 levels [above median; adjusted hazard ratio (HR) comparing subjects with levels lower than median versus higher of equal to median, 2.7; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 1.2-6.0; P=0.01]. Genotypic analyses revealed that persons with the IGF-I [cytosine-adenine (CA)](19) or the IGFBP-3 A-202C C allele were associated with lower circulating concentrations of IGF-I (P(trend)=0.01) and IGFBP-3 (P(trend)=0.002), respectively. Persons with two copies of the IGF-I receptors 2-bp deletion allele had a nonsignificant 2-fold increased risk of tetraploidy (HR, 2.3; 95% CI, 0.9-5.9; P(trend)=0.11). After adjustment for IGFBP-3 levels, participants carrying two IGFBP-3 C alleles had a significantly higher risk of developing aneuploidy (HR, 3.8; 95% CI, 1.0-14.0; P(trend)=0.04) than carriers of A alleles; whereas no associations were observed between the outcomes studied and the IGF-I receptors AGG trinucleotide repeat polymorphism at position 97.

CONCLUSION

Our findings, although based on a relatively small number of outcomes and subject to several limitations, indicate a potential role of the complex IGF system in neoplastic progression among persons with Barrett's esophagus.

Leukocyte telomere length predicts cancer risk in Barrett's esophagus

PURPOSE

Leukocyte telomere length has gained attention as a marker of oxidative damage and age-related diseases, including cancer. We hypothesize that leukocyte telomere length might be able to predict future risk of cancer and examined this in a cohort of patients with Barrett's esophagus, who are at increased risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma and thus were enrolled in a long-term cancer surveillance program.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In this prospective study, telomere length was measured by quantitative PCR in baseline blood samples in a cohort of 300 patients with Barrett's esophagus followed for a mean of 5.8 years. Leukocyte telomere length hazard ratios (HR) for risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma were calculated using multivariate Cox models.

RESULTS

Shorter telomeres were associated with increased esophageal adenocarcinoma risk (age-adjusted HR between top and bottom quartiles of telomere length, 3.45; 95% confidence interval, 1.35-8.78; P = 0.009). This association was still significant when individually or simultaneously adjusted for age, gender, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) use, cigarette smoking, and waist-to-hip ratio (HR, 4.18; 95% confidence interval, 1.60-10.94; P = 0.004). The relationship between telomere length and cancer risk was particularly strong among NSAID nonusers, ever smokers, and patients with low waist-to-hip ratio.

CONCLUSION

Leukocyte telomere length predicts risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma in patients with Barrett's esophagus independently of smoking, obesity, and NSAID use. These results show the ability of leukocyte telomere length to predict the risk of future cancer and suggest that it might also have predictive value in other cancers arising in a setting of chronic inflammation.

Extent of low-grade dysplasia is a risk factor for the development of esophageal adenocarcinoma in Barrett's esophagus

OBJECTIVES

Previous studies that evaluated extent of high-grade dysplasia (HGD) as a risk factor for esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA) in Barrett's esophagus (BE) were conflicting, and no prior study has evaluated extent of low-grade dysplasia (LGD) as a risk factor. The aim of this discovery study was to evaluate the hypothesis that extent of LGD and HGD are risk factors for progression to EA.

METHODS

We evaluated baseline biopsies from 77 BE patients with dysplasia including 44 who progressed to EA and 33 who did not progress during follow-up. The total numbers of LGD and HGD crypts were determined separately by counting all crypts and the extent of LGD, HGD, and total dysplasia were correlated with EA outcome.

RESULTS

Thirty-one and 46 patients had a maximum diagnosis of LGD and HGD, respectively. When the crypts were stratified by dysplasia grade, the mean number of LGD crypts per patient was borderline higher in progressors (93.9) compared with nonprogressors (41.2, P= 0.07), and the mean proportion of LGD crypts per patient was significantly higher in progressors (46.4%vs 26.0%, P= 0.037). Neither the mean number of HGD crypts per patient (P= 0.14) nor the mean proportion of HGD crypts per patient (P= 0.20) was significantly associated with EA outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

The extent of LGD is a significant risk factor for the development of EA in BE in this study. Although the presence of HGD is significantly associated with a greater relative risk for development of EA, the extent of HGD was not an independent risk factor for progression.

NSAIDs modulate CDKN2A, TP53, and DNA content risk for progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Somatic genetic CDKN2A, TP53, and DNA content abnormalities are common in many human cancers and their precursors, including esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA) and Barrett's esophagus (BE), conditions for which aspirin and other nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) have been proposed as possible chemopreventive agents; however, little is known about the ability of a biomarker panel to predict progression to cancer nor how NSAID use may modulate progression. We aimed to evaluate somatic genetic abnormalities with NSAIDs as predictors of EA in a prospective cohort study of patients with BE.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

Esophageal biopsies from 243 patients with BE were evaluated at baseline for TP53 and CDKN2A (p16) alterations, tetraploidy, and aneuploidy using sequencing; loss of heterozygosity (LOH); methylation-specific PCR; and flow cytometry. At 10 y, all abnormalities, except CDKN2A mutation and methylation, contributed to EA risk significantly by univariate analysis, ranging from 17p LOH (relative risk [RR] = 10.6; 95% confidence interval [CI] 5.2-21.3, p < 0.001) to 9p LOH (RR = 2.6; 95% CI 1.1-6.0, p = 0.03). A panel of abnormalities including 17p LOH, DNA content tetraploidy and aneuploidy, and 9p LOH was the best predictor of EA (RR = 38.7; 95% CI 10.8-138.5, p < 0.001). Patients with no baseline abnormality had a 12% 10-y cumulative EA incidence, whereas patients with 17p LOH, DNA content abnormalities, and 9p LOH had at least a 79.1% 10-y EA incidence. In patients with zero, one, two, or three baseline panel abnormalities, there was a significant trend toward EA risk reduction among NSAID users compared to nonusers (p = 0.01). The strongest protective effect was seen in participants with multiple genetic abnormalities, with NSAID nonusers having an observed 10-y EA risk of 79%, compared to 30% for NSAID users (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

A combination of 17p LOH, 9p LOH, and DNA content abnormalities provided better EA risk prediction than any single TP53, CDKN2A, or DNA content lesion alone. NSAIDs are associated with reduced EA risk, especially in patients with multiple high-risk molecular abnormalities.

Chromosomal instability in Barrett's esophagus is related to telomere shortening

Barrett's esophagus is a useful model for the study of carcinogenesis, as the metaplastic columnar epithelium that replaces squamous esophageal epithelium is at elevated risk for development of adenocarcinoma. We examined telomere length and chromosomal instability (CIN) in Barrett's esophagus biopsies using fluorescence in situ hybridization. To study CIN, we selected centromere and locus-specific arm probes to chromosomes 17/17p (p53), 11/11q (cyclin D1), and 9/9p (p16 INK4A), loci reported to be involved in early stages of Barrett's esophagus neoplasia. Telomere shortening was observed in Barrett's esophagus epithelium at all histologic grades, whereas CIN was highest in biopsies with dysplastic changes; there was, however, considerable heterogeneity between patients in each variable. Alterations on chromosome 17 were strongly correlated with telomere length (r = 0.55; P < 0.0001) and loss of the 17p arm signal was the most common event. CIN on chromosome 11 was also associated with telomere shortening (r =0.3; P = 0.05), although 11q arm gains were most common. On chromosome 9p, arm losses were the most common finding, but chromosome 9 CIN was not strongly correlated with telomere length. We conclude that CIN is related to telomere shortening in Barrett's esophagus but varies by chromosome. Whether instability is manifested as loss or gain seems to be influenced by the chromosomal loci involved. Because telomere shortening and CIN are early events in Barrett's esophagus neoplastic progression and are highly variable among patients, it will be important to determine whether they identify a subset of patients that is at risk for more rapid neoplastic evolution.

Neosquamous epithelium does not typically arise from Barrett's epithelium

PURPOSE

Neosquamous epithelium (NSE) can arise within Barrett's esophagus as a consequence of medical or surgical acid reduction therapy, as well as after endoscopic ablation. Morphologic studies have suggested that NSE can develop from adjacent squamous epithelium, submucosal gland ducts, or multipotent progenitor cell(s) that can give rise to either squamous or Barrett's epithelium, depending on the luminal environment. The cells responsible for Barrett's epithelium self-renewal are frequently mutated during neoplastic progression. If NSE arises from the same cells that self-renew the Barrett's epithelium, the two tissues should be clonally related and share genetic alterations; if NSE does not originate in the self-renewing Barrett's, NSE and Barrett's esophagus should be genetically independent.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

We isolated islands of NSE and the surrounding Barrett's epithelium from 20 patients by microdissection and evaluated each tissue for genetic alterations in exon 2 of CDKN2A or exons 5 to 9 of the TP53 gene. Nine patients had p16 mutations and 11 had TP53 mutations within the Barrett's epithelium.

RESULTS

In 1 of 20 patients, a focus of NSE had a 146 bp deletion in p16 identical to that found in surrounding Barrett's epithelium. The NSE in the remaining 19 patients was wild-type for p16 or TP53.

CONCLUSION

Our mutational data support the hypothesis that, in most circumstances, NSE originates in cells different from those responsible for self-renewal of Barrett's epithelium. However, in one case, NSE and Barrett's epithelium seem to have arisen from a progenitor cell that was capable of differentiating into either intestinal metaplasia or NSE.

Progress in chemoprevention drug development: the promise of molecular biomarkers for prevention of intraepithelial neoplasia and cancer--a plan to move forward

This article reviews progress in chemopreventive drug development, especially data and concepts that are new since the 2002 AACR report on treatment and prevention of intraepithelial neoplasia. Molecular biomarker expressions involved in mechanisms of carcinogenesis and genetic progression models of intraepithelial neoplasia are discussed and analyzed for how they can inform mechanism-based, molecularly targeted drug development as well as risk stratification, cohort selection, and end-point selection for clinical trials. We outline the concept of augmenting the risk, mechanistic, and disease data from histopathologic intraepithelial neoplasia assessments with molecular biomarker data. Updates of work in 10 clinical target organ sites include new data on molecular progression, significant completed trials, new agents of interest, and promising directions for future clinical studies. This overview concludes with strategies for accelerating chemopreventive drug development, such as integrating the best science into chemopreventive strategies and regulatory policy, providing incentives for industry to accelerate preventive drugs, fostering multisector cooperation in sharing clinical samples and data, and creating public-private partnerships to foster new regulatory policies and public education.

Mucin core polypeptide expression in the progression of neoplasia in Barrett's esophagus

We have previously demonstrated a specific pattern of mucin (MUC) core polypeptide expression in Barrett's esophagus (BE) characterized by MUC1 and MUC6 positivity in goblet cells in a proportion of cases. The aim of this study was to determine the pattern of MUC expression associated with the development and progression of dysplasia in BE. Endoscopic mucosal biopsies from 35 patients with BE (10 with no dysplasia, 6 with indefinite for dysplasia, 12 with low-grade dysplasia [LGD], and 7 biopsies with high-grade dysplasia [HGD]) were immunostained (ABC method) with antibodies against MUC1, MUC2, MUC3, MUC5AC, and MUC6. The extent and pattern of staining for each marker was evaluated in intestinalized Barrett's epithelium and in the various grades of dysplasia. For cases with dysplasia, staining was evaluated separately in nondysplastic epithelium adjacent to (<1 cm) and distant from (>2 cm) areas of dysplasia. In nondysplastic BE, MUC1, MUC2, MUC3, MUC5AC, and MUC6 stained 40%, 100%, 100%, 100%, and 90% of cases, respectively, in goblet or nongoblet columnar epithelium. With the progression of dysplasia (from metaplasia to indefinite, LGD and HGD), there was a significant decrease in expression of MUC1, MUC2, and MUC3, and alterations in the staining patterns of MUC5 and MUC6. In fact, MUC1 and MUC3 were entirely absent from all cases of HGD. Interestingly, BE-associated adenocarcinomas showed an MUC phenotype distinct from that of HGD, with expression of MUC1 and MUC3 in 47% and 67% of cases, and expression of MUC1 in a membranous pattern. There was no significant difference in MUC staining in nondysplastic BE between patients with and without dysplasia. Alterations in MUC expression occur in the progression of dysplasia in BE. However, none of these markers helps identify a subgroup of patients at increased risk for neoplasia.

Genetic mechanisms of TP53 loss of heterozygosity in Barrett's esophagus: implications for biomarker validation

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

17p (TP53) loss of heterozygosity (LOH) has been reported to be predictive of progression from Barrett's esophagus to esophageal adenocarcinoma, but the mechanism by which TP53 LOH develops is unknown. It could be (a) DNA deletion, (b) LOH without copy number change, or (c) tetraploidy followed by genetic loss. If an alternative biomarker assay, such as fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH), provided equivalent results, then translation to the clinic might be accelerated, because LOH genotyping is presently limited to research centers.

METHODS

We evaluated mechanisms of TP53 LOH to determine if FISH and TP53 LOH provided equivalent results on the same flow-sorted samples (n = 43) representing established stages of clonal progression (diploid, diploid with TP53 LOH, aneuploid) in 19 esophagectomy specimens.

RESULTS

LOH developed by all three mechanisms: 32% had DNA deletions, 32% had no copy number change, and 37% had FISH patterns consistent with a tetraploid intermediate followed by genetic loss. Thus, FISH and LOH are not equivalent (P < 0.000001).

CONCLUSIONS

LOH develops by multiple chromosome mechanisms in Barrett's esophagus, all of which can be detected by genotyping. FISH cannot detect LOH without copy number change, and dual-probe FISH is required to detect the complex genetic changes associated with a tetraploid intermediate. Alternative biomarker assay development should be guided by appreciation and evaluation of the biological mechanisms generating the biomarker abnormality to detect potential sources of discordance. FISH will require validation in adequately powered longitudinal studies before implementation as a clinical diagnostic for esophageal adenocarcinoma risk prediction.

Crypt Dysplasia With Surface Maturation

Little is known regarding the significance of esophageal biopsies that show dysplasia-like atypia limited to the bases of the crypts, without involvement of the surface epithelium in Barrett's esophagus (BE). The aim of this study was to evaluate the clinical, pathologic, immunohistochemical, and molecular characteristics of basal crypt dysplasia-like atypia (BCDA) with surface maturation in surveillance endoscopic mucosal biopsies to gain insight into its biologic significance. The Seattle Barrett's Esophagus Project is a prospective cohort study in which patients and their biopsies have been evaluated prospectively for clinical, pathologic, and molecular markers. As part of continued surveillance of the cohort, 206 consecutive BE patients were evaluated prospectively for BCDA between July 1, 2001 and August 13, 2003; 15 patients had BCDA (prevalence rate = 7.3%). These 15 patients were evaluated for clinical, pathologic, and immunohistochemical (p53 and MIB-1) features during the study period (2001-2003) as well as associations with clinical, pathologic, and molecular markers [17p(TP53) loss of heterozygosity (LOH), 9p(p16) LOH, tetraploidy, and aneuploidy] that were detected previously in the same patients in the cohort study (1983-2001). All BE patients with BCDA (male-to female ratio, 12:3; mean age, 72 years; mean length of BE, 7.0 cm; mean duration of BE, 95.1 months), except 2 (87%), had dysplasia or adenocarcinoma detected in biopsies either prior to or concurrent to the one that contained BCDA. In contrast, only 112 of 191 (59%) controls had neoplasia during the same time period (59%, P = 0.05). The difference between BCDA and controls was particularly significant with regard to the association with high-grade dysplasia (P = 0.004). Compared with adjacent nonatypical and nondysplastic (metaplastic) BE, areas of BCDA showed a significantly elevated prevalence rate of p53 positivity (60% vs. 13%, P<0.02) and a significantly elevated total crypt and basal crypt MIB-1 proliferation rate (P<0.001). Indeed, the MIB-1 proliferation rate in the basal portion of the crypts in BCDA was similar to that detected in conventional low- or high-grade dysplasia. Patients with BCDA showed a significantly increased rate of 17p(TP53) LOH (P = 0.016), aneuploidy (P = 0.004), and a trend in increased 9p(p16) LOH (P = 0.08), compared with control patients without BCDA. The clinical, pathologic, immunohistochemical, and molecular abnormalities were similar in BCDA cases that were considered low-grade versus those considered high-grade by histologic evaluation, except that high-grade cases tended to be older (79 years vs. 68 years, P = 0.06). BCDA with surface maturation, in mucosal biopsies from patients with BE, is an uncommon but significant pathologic change that shows a variety of proliferative and molecular abnormalities and has a high association with conventional dysplasia and/or adenocarcinoma. Based on these findings, BCDA warrants further investigation as a possible subtype of true dysplasia despite the morphologic appearance of surface maturation.

Genetic clonal diversity predicts progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma

Neoplasms are thought to progress to cancer through genetic instability generating cellular diversity and clonal expansions driven by selection for mutations in cancer genes. Despite advances in the study of molecular biology of cancer genes, relatively little is known about evolutionary mechanisms that drive neoplastic progression. It is unknown, for example, which may be more predictive of future progression of a neoplasm: genetic homogenization of the neoplasm, possibly caused by a clonal expansion, or the accumulation of clonal diversity. Here, in a prospective study, we show that clonal diversity measures adapted from ecology and evolution can predict progression to adenocarcinoma in the premalignant condition known as Barrett's esophagus, even when controlling for established genetic risk factors, including lesions in TP53 (p53; ref. 6) and ploidy abnormalities. Progression to cancer through accumulation of clonal diversity, on which natural selection acts, may be a fundamental principle of neoplasia with important clinical implications.

Low-fat, high fruit and vegetable diets and weight loss do not affect biomarkers of cellular proliferation in Barrett esophagus

Risk factors for esophageal adenocarcinoma include obesity, high fat intake, and low consumption of fruits and vegetables. This trial tested whether an intervention to reduce these risk factors in patients with Barrett esophagus, a preneoplastic condition for esophageal adenocarcinoma, could reduce biomarkers of cellular proliferation and, by inference, the risk of neoplastic progression. Eighty-seven men and women with Barrett esophagus were randomized to an intensive dietary intervention or control group. At baseline, 18 and 36 months after intervention, biopsies were obtained at 2-cm intervals throughout the length of the Barrett segment. Ki67/DNA content flow cytometry was used to assess (a) % Ki67-positive proliferating diploid G(1) cells, (b) % total Ki67-positive proliferating cells, (c) presence of aneuploidy, and (d) presence of >6% of cells in the 4N (G(2)/tetraploid) fraction of the cell cycle. We also assessed re-epithelialization and length of the Barrett segment, reflux symptoms, and medication use. The intervention effects for energy, fat, fruits and vegetables, and weight were, respectively, -314 kcal, -12.2% energy, 1.8 servings/d, and -4.0 kg at 18 months (all P < 0.005) and were smaller but remained significant at 36 months. There were no significant effects of the intervention on any biomarker of cellular proliferation. The intervention effects +/- SE for mean %G(1) Ki67+ cells were 0.98 +/- 1.58 at 18 months and 1.79 +/- 1.31 at 36 months; the relative risks (95% confidence interval) for developing >6% of cells in 4N were 0.5 (0.1-2.6) at 18 months and 0.75 (0.2-3.1) at 36 months. A single control participant developed aneuploidy. There were no significant effects on re-epithelialization, segment length, or reflux medication use. We conclude that substantial dietary change has no short-term effects on biomarkers of cellular proliferation in Barrett esophagus or on clinical observations of the Barrrett segment.

Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and risk of neoplastic progression in Barrett's oesophagus: a prospective study

BACKGROUND

Aspirin and other non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAID) probably decrease the risk of colorectal neoplasia; however their effect on development of oesophageal adenocarcinoma is less clear. We aimed to assess the role of NSAID in the development of oesophageal adenocarcinoma and precursor lesions in people with Barrett's oesophagus--a metaplastic disorder that confers a high risk of oesophageal adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

We did a prospective study of the relation between duration, frequency, and recency of NSAID use and the risk of oesophageal adenocarcinoma, aneuploidy, and tetraploidy in a cohort of 350 people with Barrett's oesophagus followed for 20,770 person-months. We used proportional-hazards regression to calculate hazard ratios (HR) adjusted for age, sex, cigarette use, and anthropometric measurements.

FINDINGS

Median follow-up was 65.5 months (range 3.1-106.9). Compared with never users, HR for oesophageal adenocarcinoma (n=37 cases) in current NSAID users was 0.32 (95% CI 0.14-0.76), and in former users was 0.70 (0.31-1.58). 5-year cumulative incidence of oesophageal adenocarcinoma was 14.3% (95% CI 9.3-21.6) for never users, 9.7% (4.5-20.5) for former users, and 6.6% (3.1-13.6) for current NSAID users. When changes in NSAID use during follow up were taken into account, the associations were strengthened: HR for oesophageal adenocarcinoma for current users at baseline or afterwards was 0.20 (95% CI 0.10-0.41) compared with never users. Compared with never users, current NSAID users (at baseline and follow-up) had less aneuploidy (n=35 cases; 0.25 [0.12-0.54]) and tetraploidy (n=45 cases; 0.44 [0.22-0.87]).

INTERPRETATION

NSAID use might be an effective chemopreventive strategy, reducing the risk of neoplastic progression in Barrett's oesophagus.

Biologic properties of columnar epithelium underneath reepithelialized squamous mucosa in Barrett's esophagus

Chronic proton pump inhibitor (PPI) therapy may lead to partial regression of Barrett's esophagus (BE), resulting in the development of reepithelialized islands of squamous mucosa that may cover the underlying BE. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the clinical, histologic, and biologic characteristics of BE that is situated underneath squamous islands (BUSI). A total of 97 mucosal biopsies from 44 BE patients with BUSI were evaluated for a variety of histologic features (eg, type of epithelium, anatomic relationship of the underlying glands to the luminal surface, presence of adjacent mucosal glands or ducts, and the presence and degree of dysplasia), and immunostained for Ki-67, cyclin D1, and p53. BUSI was compared with adjacent areas of BE for all parameters. A clinical control group consisting of 50 BE patients without microscopic evidence of BUSI was selected for comparison of clinical and endoscopic features. The study group (34 males, 10 females; mean age, 67 years; mean length of BE, 5.5 cm) consisted of 27 (61%) and 12 (27%) patients on low- and high-dose PPI, respectively. On endoscopy, visible islands of squamous mucosa were noted in only 43% of study group patients (despite the presence of BUSI microscopically in all cases); one island was noted in 2%, multiple islands in 27%, and extensive islands in 14% of patients. The extent of squamous islands was unrelated to PPI dose. The study group was significantly more likely to have endoscopic evidence of extensive squamous islands compared with the control group (P = 0.009). Histologically, 89% of biopsies with BUSI showed intestinal-type, and 11% showed cardia-type, epithelium. Low- and high-grade dysplasia was noted in 4 (4%) and 5 (5%) biopsies, respectively. All patients with dysplasia in BUSI also showed dysplasia in other areas of the esophagus as well. Interestingly, BUSI reached the mucosal surface either by penetrating directly through, or by wrapping around, islands of squamous epithelium, in 68% of biopsies. Twenty-one percent of biopsies showed BUSI adjacent to submucosal glands or ducts. BUSI showed a significantly lower Ki-67 proliferation rate (29% vs. 49%, P < 0.001), and a lower, albeit nonsignificant, degree of cyclin D1 (16% vs. 29%) and p53 (4% vs. 17%) positivity in comparison to adjacent areas of BE. Furthermore, significantly lower proliferation rates were observed in BUSI that did not reveal an opening to the mucosal surface in comparison to foci that did. BUSI is phenotypically similar to typical surface BE but shows less severe proliferative abnormalities, particularly in buried glands that have no detectable connection to the esophageal lumen. Reduced proliferation may be due either to decreased exposure to luminal contents or to disruption of sloughing of surface epithelial cells into the crypt lumen. Prospective studies of large numbers of patients with BUSI will be required to determine the magnitude of its risk of progression to cancer.

The combination of genetic instability and clonal expansion predicts progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma

There is debate in the literature over the relative importance of genetic instability and clonal expansion during progression to cancer. Barrett's esophagus is a uniquely suited model to investigate neoplastic progression prospectively because periodic endoscopic biopsy surveillance is recommended for early detection of esophageal adenocarcinoma. We hypothesized that expansion of clones with genetic instability would predict progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma. We measured p16 (CDKN2A/INK4A) lesions (loss of heterozygosity, mutations, and CpG island methylation), p53 (TP53) lesions (loss of heterozygosity, mutation) and ploidy abnormalities (aneuploidy, tetraploidy) within each Barrett's esophagus segment of a cohort of 267 research participants, who were followed prospectively with cancer as an outcome. We defined the size of a lesion as the fraction of cells with the lesion multiplied by the length of the Barrett's esophagus segment. A Cox proportional hazards regression indicates that the sizes of clones with p53 loss of heterozygosity (relative risk = 1.27(x) for an x cm clone; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.50) or ploidy abnormalities (relative risk = 1.31(x) for an x cm clone; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.60) predict progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma better than the mere presence of such clones (likelihood ratio test, P < 0.01). Controlling for length of the Barrett's esophagus segment had little effect. The size of a clone with a p16 lesion is not a significant predictor of esophageal adenocarcinoma when we controlled for p53 loss of heterozygosity status. The combination of clonal expansion and genetic instability is a better predictor of cancer outcome than either alone. This implies that interventions that limit expansion of genetically unstable clones may reduce risk of progression to cancer.

Serum selenium levels in relation to markers of neoplastic progression among persons with Barrett's esophagus

BACKGROUND

Persons with Barrett's esophagus have a substantially greater risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma than the general population. Higher serum selenium levels have been associated with a reduced risk of several cancers; however, their association with the risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma is unknown. We used a cross-sectional study to investigate the relationship between serum selenium levels and markers of neoplastic progression among persons with Barrett's esophagus.

METHODS

Medical history, blood, and esophageal tissue specimens were collected from 399 members of a cohort study of Barrett's esophagus patients undergoing endoscopic surveillance. Serum selenium levels were measured by flameless atomic absorption spectrophotometry. DNA content of tissue samples was measured by flow cytometry. Loss of heterozygosity (LOH) at 9p and 17p, chromosomal regions which include the p16 and p53 tumor suppressors, respectively, was detected by automated fluorescent genotyping. Logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). All statistical tests were two-sided.

RESULTS

Persons with serum selenium levels in the upper three quartiles (i.e., >1.5 micro M) were less likely to have high-grade dysplasia (OR = 0.5, 95% CI = 0.3 to 0.9) or aneuploidy (OR = 0.4, 95% CI = 0.2 to 0.8) than those with levels in the lowest quartile. Serum selenium levels in the upper three quartiles were associated with similar reductions in risk of 17p (p53) LOH (OR = 0.5, 95% CI = 0.2 to 0.9) and increased 4N fraction (OR = 0.6, 95% CI = 0.3 to 1.2). By contrast, serum selenium levels were not associated with 9p (p16) LOH (OR = 1.0, 95% CI = 0.5 to 1.7), a marker that appears early in neoplastic progression.

CONCLUSION

Our preliminary results, from a cross-sectional analysis with biologic markers, suggest that higher serum selenium levels may be associated with a reduced risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma among persons with Barrett's esophagus. Because serum selenium was not associated with 9p (p16) LOH, we speculate that selenium may act primarily at later stages of progression toward adenocarcinoma.

Biomarkers in Barrett's esophagus

This article provides a framework for clinicians who are attempting the difficult task of interpreting the Barrett's biomarker literature with the goal of improving care for their patients. Although many articles. including more that 60 proposed biomarkers, have been published on this subject, only a few describe phase 3 and 4 studies that are of interest to the clinical gastroenterologist (Table 1). For year, dysplasia grade has been the sole means of risk stratification for patients with BE, and it likely will continue to be used in the foreseeable future. The current authors believe that dysplasia classification can be valuable using the team management approach and quality controls described previously. Significant problems, however, have emerged in phase 2 through 4 studies of dysplasia that make it imperative for the Barrett's field to incorporate additional biomarkers as they are validated. These problems include poor reproducibility of dysplasia interpretations, poor predictive value for negative, indefinite, and low-grade dysplasia, and inconsistent results for HGD in different centers, all of which makes it virtually impossible to develop national guidelines for surveillance. Some studies have even suggested that endoscopic biopsy surveillance using dysplasia may not be worthwhile. Currently, flow cytometric tetraploidy and aneuploidy have progressed furthest in biomarker validation (see Table 1). With proper handling, endoscopic biopsy specimens can be shipped to reference laboratories that have the instruments, computer analytic methods, and expertise to reproducibly detect tetraploidy and aneuploidy. The results of phase 4 studies indicate that flow cytometry appears to be useful in detecting a subset of patients who do not have HGD and yet have an increased risk of progression to cancer that cannot be identified by dysplasia grade. For many reasons, the authors anticipate that the number of validated biomarkers will increase substantially in the future. Biopsy repositories are now readily available for phase 3 studies that can evaluate and compare biomarkers. There are initiatives for multi-institutional Barrett's Centers of Excellence that could provide rapid progress in biomarker evaluation. In addition to new candidate biomarkers, the human genome project has provided high-throughput methodologies and methods for computer analysis of data, which can provide the volume and quality control required for clinically useful biomarkers. Currently, 17p (p53) LOH has progressed the furthest among molecular biomarkers. The authors do not recommend its routine clinical use at the present time, however. Finally, it is likely that clinicians will want to follow the results of clinical treatment-response studies and epidemiologic studies that evaluate relationship between clinical interventions or environmental risk and protective factors and surrogate endpoints, especially if the endpoints are progessing well along the phases of biomarker validation. These studies are likely to be of clinical interest because they may becoming the basis for randomized clinical trials to prevent cancer in BE.

Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use, body mass index, and anthropometry in relation to genetic and flow cytometric abnormalities in Barrett's esophagus

A dramatic increase in the incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma has occurred among men in the United States over the last two decades. The underlying reasons remain largely unknown, although the increasing prevalence of obesity likely plays a role. Most adenocarcinomas arise in a metaplastic epithelium termed Barrett's esophagus (BE) that develops in approximately 10% of persons who have chronic gastroesophageal reflux. Persons with BE are at high risk (0.5-1.0%/year) of progressing to cancer. In a cross-sectional study of 429 persons with BE, we evaluated the associations between increased body mass index, anthropometric measures, cigarette smoking, use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) and markers of increased risk, including aneuploidy, increased 4N fraction, loss of heterozygosity (LOH) of 17p and 9p alleles, and high-grade dysplasia (HGD). In logistic regression models adjusting for age, gender, NSAID use, and cigarette smoking, increasing waist:hip ratio was related to increasing risk of aneuploidy (trend P = 0.01), 17p LOH (trend P = 0.005), and 9p LOH (trend P = 0.007). The odds ratios comparing highest to lowest quartiles were 4.3 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.2-15.6] for aneuploidy, 3.9 (95% CI, 1.3-11.4) for 17p LOH, and 2.7 (95% CI, 1.2-6.3) for 9p LOH. A nonsignificant trend was also observed for increased 4N fraction, whereas little association was found for HGD. Similar patterns of risk were noted for other anthropometric measures such as waist:thigh and abdomen:thigh ratios. There was no evidence that elevated body mass index increased risk of any of the biomarkers. Suggestive evidence also was found for a protective effect of NSAID use. The odds ratios for current users, compared with those who never used NSAIDs regularly, were 0.6 (95% CI, 0.3-1.4) for increased 4N, 0.6 (95% CI, 0.3-1.3) for aneuploidy, 0.3 (95% CI, 0.1-0.7) for 17p LOH, and 0.7 (95% CI, 0.4-1.2) for HGD. There was no association between NSAID use and risk of 9p LOH. We conclude that an abdominal distribution of body fat, which is more common in men and is termed male-pattern obesity, may be a strong predictor of risk of neoplastic progression among persons with BE and may account in part for the male predominance of BE and esophageal adenocarcinoma. We also conclude that NSAID use may reduce the risk of progression to cancer in this population. Prospective studies are needed to confirm these results.

Transcriptional analyses of Barrett's metaplasia and normal upper GI mucosae

Over the last two decades, the incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA) has increased dramatically in the US and Western Europe. It has been shown that EAs evolve from premalignant Barrett's esophagus (BE) tissue by a process of clonal expansion and evolution. However, the molecular phenotype of the premalignant metaplasia, and its relationship to those of the normal upper gastrointestinal (GI) mucosae, including gastric, duodenal, and squamous epithelium of the esophagus, has not been systematically characterized. Therefore, we used oligonucleotide-based microarrays to characterize gene expression profiles in each of these tissues. The similarity of BE to each of the normal tissues was compared using a series of computational approaches. Our analyses included esophageal squamous epithelium, which is present at the same anatomic site and exposed to similar conditions as Barrett's epithelium, duodenum that shares morphologic similarity to Barrett's epithelium, and adjacent gastric epithelium. There was a clear distinction among the expression profiles of gastric, duodenal, and squamous epithelium whereas the BE profiles showed considerable overlap with normal tissues. Furthermore, we identified clusters of genes that are specific to each of the tissues, to the Barrett's metaplastic epithelia, and a cluster of genes that was distinct between squamous and non-squamous epithelia.

p16(INK4a) lesions are common, early abnormalities that undergo clonal expansion in Barrett's metaplastic epithelium

Barrett's esophagus (BE) is the only known precursor to esophageal adenocarcinoma, a cancer of which the incidence has been increasing at an alarming rate in Western countries. p16(INK4a) lesions occur frequently in esophageal adenocarcinomas but their role in neoplastic progression is not well understood. We detected 9p21 loss of heterozygosity, p16 CpG island methylation, and p16 mutations in biopsies from 57%, 61%, and 15%, respectively, of 107 patients with BE. In contrast, no mutations were found in p14(ARF) or p15, and methylation was found in only 4% and 13%, respectively. >85% of Barrett's segments had clones with one (p16+/-) or two (p16-/-) p16 lesions. Both p16+/- and p16-/- clones underwent extensive expansion involving up to 17 cm of esophageal mucosa. The prevalence of established biomarkers in BE, such as 17p (p53) loss of heterozygosity, aneuploidy, and/or increased 4N (tetraploid) populations, increased from 0% to 20% to 44% in patients whose biopsies were p16+/+, p16+/-, and p16-/-, respectively (P < 0.001). Barrett's segment lengths also increased with change in p16 status with a median of 1.5, 6.0, and 8.0 cm for patients with p16+/+, p16+/-, and p16-/- biopsies, respectively (P < 0.001). We conclude that most Barrett's metaplasia contains genetic and/or epigenetic p16 lesions and has the ability to undergo clonal expansion, creating a field in which other abnormalities can arise that can lead to esophageal adenocarcinoma.

Predictors of progression in Barrett's esophagus III: baseline flow cytometric variables

OBJECTIVES

Barrett's esophagus develops in 5-10% of patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease and predisposes to esophageal adenocarcinoma. We have previously shown that a systematic baseline endoscopic biopsy protocol using flow cytometry with histology identifies subsets of patients with Barrett's esophagus at low and high risk for progression to cancer. In this report, we further examined cytometric variables to better define the characteristics that best enable DNA cytometry to help predict cancer outcome.

METHODS

Patients were prospectively evaluated using a systematic endoscopic biopsy protocol, with baseline histological and flow cytometric measurements as predictors and with cancer as the outcome.

RESULTS

A receiver operating curve analysis demonstrated that a 4N fraction cut point of 6% was optimal to discriminate cancer risk (relative risk [RR] = 11.7, 95% CI = 6.2-22). The 4N fractions of 6-15% were just as predictive of cancer as were fractions of >15%. We found that only aneuploid DNA contents of >2.7N were predictive of cancer (RR = 9.5, CI = 4.9-18), whereas those patients whose sole abnormality was an aneuploid population with DNA content of < or =2.7 had a low risk for progression. The presence of both 4N fraction of >6% and aneuploid DNA content of >2.7N was highly predictive of cancer (RR = 23, CI = 10-50). S phase was a predictor of cancer risk (RR = 2.3, CI = 1.2-4.4) but was not significant when high-grade dysplasia was accounted for.

CONCLUSIONS

Flow cytometry is a useful adjunct to histology in assessing cancer risk in patients with Barrett's esophagus. Careful examination of cytometric variables revealed a better definition of those parameters that are most closely associated with increased cancer risk.

Predictors of progression in Barrett's esophagus II: baseline 17p (p53) loss of heterozygosity identifies a patient subset at increased risk for neoplastic progression

OBJECTIVES

Most patients with Barrett's esophagus do not progress to cancer, but those who do seem to have markedly increased survival when cancers are detected at an early stage. Most surveillance programs are based on histological assessment of dysplasia, but dysplasia is subject to observer variation and transient diagnoses of dysplasia increase the cost of medical care. We have previously validated flow cytometric increased 4N fractions and aneuploidy as predictors of progression to cancer in Barrett's esophagus. However, multiple somatic genetic lesions develop during neoplastic progression in Barrett's esophagus, and it is likely that a panel of objective biomarkers will be required to manage the cancer risk optimally.

METHODS

We prospectively evaluated endoscopic biopsies from 325 patients with Barrett's esophagus, 269 of whom had one or more follow-up endoscopies, by a robust platform for loss of heterozygosity (LOH) analysis, using baseline 17p (p53) LOH as a predictor and increased 4N, aneuploidy, high-grade dysplasia, and esophageal adenocarcinoma as outcomes.

RESULTS

The prevalence of 17p (p53) LOH at baseline increased from 6% in negative for dysplasia to 57% in high-grade dysplasia (p < 0.001). Patients with 17p (p53) LOH had increased rates of progression to cancer (relative risk [RR] = 16, p < 0.001), high-grade dysplasia (RR = 3.6, p = 0.02), increased 4N (RR = 6.1, p < 0.001), and aneuploidy (RR = 7.5, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with 17p (p53) LOH are at increased risk for progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma as well as high-grade dysplasia, increased 4N, and aneuploidy. 17p (p53) LOH is a predictor of progression in Barrett's esophagus that can be combined with a panel of other validated biomarkers for risk assessment as well as intermediate endpoints in prevention trials.

A low-cost fiber-optic instrument to colorimetrically detect patients with Barrett's esophagus for early detection of esophageal adenocarcinoma

In Barrett's esophagus, the precursor to esophageal adenocarcinoma, the squamocolumnar junction (SCJ) between the normal esophagus and the stomach like mucosa is proximally displaced. Currently it can be detected only by an expensive upper GI endoscopic procedure. We have developed a minimally invasive and easy to operate colorimetric instrument for the low-cost detection of Barrett's esophagus. The instrument is based on a flexible, narrow diameter, fiber-optic probe that performs a colorimetric scan of the esophageal lumen. The instrument was clinically evaluated in 50 subjects. The instrument could identify both symmetric and asymmetric SCJ's. The SCJ locations determined by the colorimetric instrument correlated strongly (R2 = 0.89) with those determined by endoscopy. The instrument identified the SCJ locations accurately (Mean of difference +/- SEM: 0.97 +/- 1.72 cm) and reproducibly (Mean of absolute difference +/- SEM: 1.33 +/- 1.40 cm). The instrument has a 90% sensitivity of identifying patients with Barrett's esophagus, based on the clinical algorithm that if the SCJ is located at a distance less than 37 cm from the teeth, then the subject has Barrett's esophagus, otherwise the subject does not have Barrett's esophagus. In conclusion, the colorimetric instrument has the potential of being a cost-effective way of determining patients likely to have Barrett's esophagus in the population.

Optimizing endoscopic biopsy detection of early cancers in Barrett's high-grade dysplasia

OBJECTIVE

The of high-grade dysplasia management (HGD) in Barrett's esophagus remains controversial, in part, because of uncertainty about the ability of endoscopic biopsies to consistently detect early, curable cancers.

METHODS

Here we report cancers we have diagnosed in 45 patients with Barrett's HGD using a protocol involving serial endoscopies with four-quadrant biopsies taken at 1-cm intervals. We compare these results to a modeled endoscopic biopsy protocol in which four-quadrant biopsies are taken every 2 cm in the Barrett's segment.

RESULTS

Thirteen cancers were detected at the baseline endoscopy and 32 in surveillance. In 82% of patients, cancer was detected at a single 1-cm level of the esophagus, and in 69% the cancer was detected in a single endoscopic biopsy specimen. A 2-cm protocol missed 50% of cancers that were detected by a 1-cm protocol in Barrett's segments 2 cm or more without visible lesions. The maximum depth of cancer invasion was intramucosal in 96% of patients. Only 39% of patients who had endoscopic biopsy cancer diagnoses had cancer detected in the esophagectomy specimen. Adverse outcomes included the development of regional metastatic disease during surveillance (1 of 32), operative mortality (3 of 36), including two patients who had their primary surgeries at other institutions, and death from metastatic disease after endoscopic ablation performed at another institution (1 of 3).

CONCLUSIONS

A four-quadrant, 1-cm endoscopic biopsy protocol performed at closely timed intervals consistently detects early cancers arising in HGD in Barrett's esophagus and should be used in patients with HGD who do not undergo surgical resection.

Optimizing endoscopic biopsy detection of early cancers in Barrett's high-grade dysplasia

OBJECTIVE

The of high-grade dysplasia management (HGD) in Barrett's esophagus remains controversial, in part, because of uncertainty about the ability of endoscopic biopsies to consistently detect early, curable cancers.

METHODS

Here we report cancers we have diagnosed in 45 patients with Barrett's HGD using a protocol involving serial endoscopies with four-quadrant biopsies taken at 1-cm intervals. We compare these results to a modeled endoscopic biopsy protocol in which four-quadrant biopsies are taken every 2 cm in the Barrett's segment.

RESULTS

Thirteen cancers were detected at the baseline endoscopy and 32 in surveillance. In 82% of patients, cancer was detected at a single 1-cm level of the esophagus, and in 69% the cancer was detected in a single endoscopic biopsy specimen. A 2-cm protocol missed 50% of cancers that were detected by a 1-cm protocol in Barrett's segments 2 cm or more without visible lesions. The maximum depth of cancer invasion was intramucosal in 96% of patients. Only 39% of patients who had endoscopic biopsy cancer diagnoses had cancer detected in the esophagectomy specimen. Adverse outcomes included the development of regional metastatic disease during surveillance (1 of 32), operative mortality (3 of 36), including two patients who had their primary surgeries at other institutions, and death from metastatic disease after endoscopic ablation performed at another institution (1 of 3).

CONCLUSIONS

A four-quadrant, 1-cm endoscopic biopsy protocol performed at closely timed intervals consistently detects early cancers arising in HGD in Barrett's esophagus and should be used in patients with HGD who do not undergo surgical resection.

Predictors of progression to cancer in Barrett's esophagus: baseline histology and flow cytometry identify low- and high-risk patient subsets

OBJECTIVE

Barrett's esophagus develops in 5-20% of patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease and predisposes to esophageal adenocarcinoma. The value of endoscopic biopsy surveillance is questioned because most patients do not develop cancer. Furthermore, observer variation in histological diagnosis makes validation of surveillance guidelines difficult because varying histological interpretations may lead to different estimated rates of progression. Thus, objective biomarkers need to be validated for use with histology to stratify patients according to their risk for progression to cancer.

METHODS

We prospectively evaluated patients using a systematic endoscopic biopsy protocol with baseline histological and flow cytometric abnormalities as predictors and cancer as the outcome.

RESULTS

Among patients with negative, indefinite, or low-grade dysplasia, those with neither aneuploidy nor increased 4N fractions had a 0% 5-yr cumulative cancer incidence compared with 28% for those with either aneuploidy or increased 4N. Patients with baseline increased 4N, aneuploidy, and high-grade dysplasia had 5-yr cancer incidences of 56%, 43%, and 59%, respectively. Aneuploidy, increased 4N, or HGD were detected at baseline in all 35 patients who developed cancer within 5 yr.

CONCLUSIONS

A systematic baseline endoscopic biopsy protocol using histology and flow cytometry identifies subsets of patients with Barrett's esophagus at low and high risk for progression to cancer. Patients whose baseline biopsies are negative, indefinite, or low-grade displasia without increased 4N or aneuploidy may have surveillance deferred for up to 5 yr. Patients with cytometric abnormalities merit more frequent surveillance, and management of high-grade dysplasia can be individualized.