An Overview of Current Statistical Methods for Implementing Quality Tolerance Limits

BACKGROUND

In 2016, the International Council for Harmonisation of Technical Requirements for Pharmaceuticals for Human Use updated its efficacy guideline for good clinical practice and introduced predefined quality tolerance limits (QTLs) as a quality control in clinical trials. QTLs are complementary to Quality by Design (QbD) principles (ICH-E8) and are one of the components of the risk-based clinical trial quality management system.

METHODS

Currently the framework for QTLs process is well established, extensively describing the operational aspects of Defining, Monitoring and Reporting, but a single source of commonly used methods to establish QTLs and secondary limits is lacking. This paper will primarily focus on closing this gap and include applications of statistical process control and Bayesian methods on commonly used study level quality parameters such as premature treatment discontinuation, study discontinuation and significant protocol deviations as examples.

CONCLUSIONS

Application of quality tolerance limits to parameters that correspond to critical to quality factors help identify systematic errors. Some situations pose special challenges to implementing QTLs and not all methods are optimal in every scenario. Early warning signals, in addition to QTL, are necessary to trigger actions to further minimize the possibility of an end-of-study excursion.

Apixaban with antiplatelet therapy after acute coronary syndrome

BACKGROUND

Apixaban, an oral, direct factor Xa inhibitor, may reduce the risk of recurrent ischemic events when added to antiplatelet therapy after an acute coronary syndrome.

METHODS

We conducted a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial comparing apixaban, at a dose of 5 mg twice daily, with placebo, in addition to standard antiplatelet therapy, in patients with a recent acute coronary syndrome and at least two additional risk factors for recurrent ischemic events.

RESULTS

The trial was terminated prematurely after recruitment of 7392 patients because of an increase in major bleeding events with apixaban in the absence of a counterbalancing reduction in recurrent ischemic events. With a median follow-up of 241 days, the primary outcome of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or ischemic stroke occurred in 279 of the 3705 patients (7.5%) assigned to apixaban (13.2 events per 100 patient-years) and in 293 of the 3687 patients (7.9%) assigned to placebo (14.0 events per 100 patient-years) (hazard ratio with apixaban, 0.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.80 to 1.11; P=0.51). The primary safety outcome of major bleeding according to the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) definition occurred in 46 of the 3673 patients (1.3%) who received at least one dose of apixaban (2.4 events per 100 patient-years) and in 18 of the 3642 patients (0.5%) who received at least one dose of placebo (0.9 events per 100 patient-years) (hazard ratio with apixaban, 2.59; 95% CI, 1.50 to 4.46; P=0.001). A greater number of intracranial and fatal bleeding events occurred with apixaban than with placebo.

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of apixaban, at a dose of 5 mg twice daily, to antiplatelet therapy in high-risk patients after an acute coronary syndrome increased the number of major bleeding events without a significant reduction in recurrent ischemic events. (Funded by Bristol-Myers Squibb and Pfizer; APPRAISE-2 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00831441.).

Intravenous erythropoietin in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction: REVEAL: a randomized controlled trial

CONTEXT

Acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality. In experimental models of MI, erythropoietin reduces infarct size and improves left ventricular (LV) function.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the safety and efficacy of a single intravenous bolus of epoetin alfa in patients with STEMI.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PATIENTS

A prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial with a dose-escalation safety phase and a single dose (60,000 U of epoetin alfa) efficacy phase; the Reduction of Infarct Expansion and Ventricular Remodeling With Erythropoietin After Large Myocardial Infarction (REVEAL) trial was conducted at 28 US sites between October 2006 and February 2010, and included 222 patients with STEMI who underwent successful percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) as a primary or rescue reperfusion strategy.

INTERVENTION

Participants were randomly assigned to treatment with intravenous epoetin alfa or matching saline placebo administered within 4 hours of reperfusion.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Infarct size, expressed as percentage of LV mass, assessed by cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging performed 2 to 6 days after study medication administration (first CMR) and again 12 ± 2 weeks later (second CMR).

RESULTS

In the efficacy cohort, the infarct size did not differ between groups on either the first CMR scan (n = 136; 15.8% LV mass [95% confidence interval {CI}, 13.3-18.2% LV mass] for the epoetin alfa group vs 15.0% LV mass [95% CI, 12.6-17.3% LV mass] for the placebo group; P = .67) or on the second CMR scan (n = 124; 10.6% LV mass [95% CI, 8.4-12.8% LV mass] vs 10.4% LV mass [95% CI, 8.5-12.3% LV mass], respectively; P = .89). In a prespecified analysis of patients aged 70 years or older (n = 21), the mean infarct size within the first week (first CMR) was larger in the epoetin alfa group (19.9% LV mass; 95% CI, 14.0-25.7% LV mass) than in the placebo group (11.7% LV mass; 95% CI, 7.2-16.1% LV mass) (P = .03). In the safety cohort, of the 125 patients who received epoetin alfa, the composite outcome of death, MI, stroke, or stent thrombosis occurred in 5 (4.0%; 95% CI, 1.31%-9.09%) but in none of the 97 who received placebo (P = .04).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with STEMI who had successful reperfusion with primary or rescue PCI, a single intravenous bolus of epoetin alfa within 4 hours of PCI did not reduce infarct size and was associated with higher rates of adverse cardiovascular events. Subgroup analyses raised concerns about an increase in infarct size among older patients.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00378352.

Open-label, ascending dose, prospective cohort study evaluating the antiviral efficacy of Rosuvastatin therapy in serum and lipid fractions in patients with chronic hepatitis C

HMG CoA reductase inhibition suppresses in vitro HCV replication through depletion of cellular sterol proteins such as geranylgeraniol. Our aims were to prospectively evaluate the changes in serum and lipid fraction HCV RNA with Rosuvastatin in non-responder (NR) patients with CHC. A total of 11 patients with CHC genotype-1 received Rosuvastatin at 20 mg qd (weeks 0-4), 40 mg qd (weeks 5-12), with 4 week follow up. Lipid fractions were separated by a sucrose density gradient ultracentrifugation, HCV RNA determined at wks 0, 2, 4, 8, 12, 16 in serum, and in selected very low- (VLDF) to high-density (HDF) lipid fractions. A reduction in LDL and total cholesterol (TC) was not accompanied by significant decline in HCV RNA. At baseline, there was an inverse correlation between HDL and HCV RNA (ρ = -0.45, P = 0.036). At 20 mg, there was correlation between change (Δ) in TG and Δ HCV RNA (ρ = 0.75, P = 0.007), Δ ALT and Δ TC (ρ = -0.64, P = 0.03) and Δ LDL (ρ = -0.67, P = 0.02). At 40 mg, Δ TG maintained a positive correlation with Δ HCV RNA (ρ = 0.65, P = 0.03). There was a group difference for HCV RNA in relation to lipid fractions (P = 0.04) but not study time intervals (P = 0.17); mean log HCV RNA was greater in VLDF compared to HDF (5.81 ± 0.59 vs 5.06 ± 0.67, P = 0.0002) with no other differences to study time intervals (P = 0.099). Short-term Rosuvastatin monotherapy is not associated with significant changes in serum or lipid fraction HCV RNA in NR patients. HCV co-localizes with the lowest density lipid fractions in serum.

Design and rationale of the Reduction of Infarct Expansion and Ventricular Remodeling with Erythropoietin after Large Myocardial Infarction (REVEAL) trial

BACKGROUND

Acute myocardial infarction (MI) remains a leading cause of death despite advances in pharmacologic and percutaneous therapies. Animal models of ischemia/reperfusion have demonstrated that single-dose erythropoietin may reduce infarct size, decrease apoptosis, and increase neovascularization, possibly through mobilization of endothelial progenitor cells.

STUDY DESIGN

REVEAL is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter trial evaluating the effects of epoetin α on infarct size and left ventricular remodeling in patients with large MIs. The trial comprises a dose-escalation safety phase and a single-dose efficacy phase using the highest acceptable epoetin α dose up to 60,000 IU. Up to 250 ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction patients undergoing primary or rescue percutaneous coronary intervention will be randomized to intravenous epoetin α or placebo within 4 hours of successful reperfusion. The primary study end point is infarct size expressed as a percentage of left ventricular mass, as measured by cardiac magnetic resonance imaging 2 to 6 days post study medication administration. Secondary end points will assess changes in endothelial progenitor cell numbers and changes in indices of ventricular remodeling.

CONCLUSION

The REVEAL trial will evaluate the safety and efficacy of the highest tolerated single dose of epoetin α in patients who have undergone successful rescue or primary percutaneous coronary intervention for acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction.

Safety and feasibility of adjunctive antiplatelet therapy with intravenous elinogrel, a direct-acting and reversible P2Y12 ADP-receptor antagonist, before primary percutaneous intervention in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction: the Early Rapid ReversAl of platelet thromboSis with intravenous Elinogrel before PCI to optimize reperfusion in acute Myocardial Infarction (ERASE MI) pilot trial

BACKGROUND

Inhibition of the P2Y12 ADP-receptor with oral antiplatelet agents given to patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is associated with improved outcomes, but this strategy is limited by the time required for maximal antiplatelet effect after administration. We examined the safety and tolerability of a novel, direct-acting, reversible, intravenous P2Y12 ADP-receptor antagonist, elinogrel, versus placebo when administered to STEMI patients before primary PCI.

METHODS

The ERASE MI trial was a pilot, phase IIA, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, dose-escalation study designed to evaluate the safety and tolerability of escalating doses (10, 20, 40, and 60 mg) of elinogrel administered as a single intravenous bolus before the start of the diagnostic angiogram preceding primary PCI. Patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 manner to either elinogrel or placebo within each dosing group; and all patients received a 600-mg clopidogrel loading dose, followed by a second 300-mg clopidogrel loading dose 4 hours after PCI. The major outcome, in-hospital bleeding, was assessed with the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction and Global Strategies to Open Occluded Coronary Arteries bleeding scales. Pre-PCI corrected Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction frame count and ST-segment resolution were also evaluated.

RESULTS

Seventy patients were randomized in the dose-escalation study, but the dose-confirmation phase was not started because the trial was prematurely terminated for administrative reasons. The incidence of bleeding events was infrequent and appeared to be similar in patients treated with all doses of elinogrel versus placebo. No differences in serious adverse events, laboratory values, corrected Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction frame count, or ST resolution were demonstrated between elinogrel and placebo.

CONCLUSIONS

With the limitations of a small study sample size, this pilot study provided preliminary data on the feasibility and tolerability of escalating doses of a direct-acting, reversible, intravenous P2Y12 ADP-receptor antagonist, elinogrel, as an adjunctive therapy for primary PCI for STEMI.

Creatine kinase-MB elevation after coronary artery bypass grafting surgery in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes predict worse outcomes: results from four large clinical trials

AIMS

To assess the significance of creatine kinase (CK)-MB elevations in outcomes of patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTE ACS) who have undergone coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This analysis includes data from 26 465 patients with NSTE ACS enrolled in four major trials. In total, 4626 (17.5%) of patients had CABG within 30 days. Patients were excluded if CK-MB was elevated within 24 h before surgery and there was no CK-MB measured after surgery. Overall, 4401 patients were included in these analyses. The incidence of mortality increased with peak CK-MB ratios of 0-1, >1-3, >3-5, >5-10, and>10x the upper limit of normal measured at the local lab (P<0.001 across categories): 1.1, 2.8, 2.4, 3.1, and 10.8% in hospital; 1.1, 3.0, 2.9, 3.5, and 10.2% at 30 days; and 1.6, 4.4, 4.7, 6.0, and 10.9% at 180 days. Multivariable predictors of 6-month mortality included age, heart rate and randomization, peak CK-MB ratio, time to CABG, prior angina, signs of congestive heart failure and randomization, three- and two-vessel coronary disease, enrolment infarction, ST-segment depression at enrolment, female sex, experimental treatment, and systolic blood pressure.

CONCLUSION

CK-MB elevations after CABG are independently associated with increased risk of mortality in patients with NSTE ACS.

Racial differences are seen in blood pressure response to fosinopril in hypertensive children

BACKGROUND

Few antihypertensive therapies have been systematically studied in children and dosages for many agents are either extrapolated from adult studies or obtained from small homogenous pediatric populations. It is well established that adult patients of different races show disparate response to angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors, however no such studies have been performed in children.

METHODS

Two hundred fifty three children ages 6-16 with hypertension or with high normal blood pressure with an associated medical condition requiring antihypertensive therapy were enrolled at 78 clinical sites in the US, Russia, and Israel in a double blind study to evaluate the efficacy of fosinopril compared to placebo.

RESULTS

The racial composition of the cohort included 60.1% white (152/253), 20.6% black (52/253), 13.8% Hispanic (35/253), 2.0% Asian (5/253), 0.4% Native American (1/253), and 3.2% (8/253) children classified as other or of mixed race. After adjusting for baseline blood pressure and body surface area (BSA) there was no significant dose response seen in non-black patients. Non-blacks randomized to the low, medium, and high dosages of fosinopril all had a mean decrease of 12 mm Hg in their sequential systolic BP (SBP). Blacks, however, demonstrated a significant dose response to fosinopril; those who received the low dosage had a 5 mm Hg decrease in SBP, and those who received the high dosage had a mean 13 mm Hg decrease in SBP.

CONCLUSIONS

Fosinopril was effective in treating hypertension, but black children required a higher dose per body weight in order to achieve adequate control. This suggests that black children treated with fosinopril for hypertension on average require higher doses to achieve adequate systolic blood pressure control that non-black children.

Left ventricular assessment in myocardial infarction: the VALIANT registry

BACKGROUND

How often echocardiography and cardiac catheterization are used to evaluate left ventricular (LV) function in patients with myocardial infarction (MI) and how they are associated with quality of care is unknown.

METHODS

Patients with MI in the Valsartan in Acute Myocardial Infarction (VALIANT) registry were divided into those with (n = 1423) and without (n = 3968) heart failure (HF), and the use of either echocardiography or cardiac catheterization for LV assessment in each group was compared along with associated baseline characteristics. We evaluated the association between LV assessment and discharge medications. Using a multivariable model with a propensity analysis, we evaluated the association of LV assessment with in-hospital outcomes.

RESULTS

Of the patients with HF, 322 (22.6%) had no LV assessment. Patients with HF with LV assessment were discharged more frequently under treatment with aspirin (81.3% vs 70.0%; P<.001), beta-blockers (65.6% vs 56.4%; P = .008), clopidogrel (30.4% vs 14.0%; P<.001), and statins (45.9% vs 34.2%; P<.001). Patients without HF who underwent LV assessment were discharged more frequently under treatment with an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (53.8% vs 41.5%; P<.001). After adjustment for regional use, other covariates, and revascularization, LV assessment was associated with lower in-hospital mortality in patients with HF (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 0.45; P<.001) and in patients without HF (adjusted OR, 0.30; P<.001). After excluding deaths during the first 2 days, LV assessment remained associated with lower mortality in patients with HF (adjusted OR, 0.59; P = .03) and in patients without HF (adjusted OR, 0.41; P<.001).

CONCLUSION

Left ventricular assessment was frequently not performed during the in-hospital stay of patients with acute MI, including those with clinical HF, and its use was associated with better quality of care.

Heart failure on admission and the risk of stroke following acute myocardial infarction: the VALIANT registry

AIMS

We sought to assess the relative contribution of heart failure (HF) on admission for an acute myocardial infarction (MI) to the subsequent in-hospital stroke risk.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The VALsartan In Acute myocardial iNfarcTion (VALIANT) registry enrolled 5573 consecutive MI patients at 84 international sites from 1999 to 2001. We calculated odds ratios (ORs) for stroke and adjusted for baseline characteristics, Killip Class, and risk factors for stroke, such as diabetes and prior HF. In-hospital stroke occurred in 81 (1.5%) patients. HF was present on admission in 38% of patients who developed a stroke and in 24% who did not (P=0.001). Older age (OR 1.03 increase/year, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.04), Killip Class III (OR 1.66, CI 0.86-3.19) or IV (OR 4.85, CI 1.69-13.93), history of hypertension (OR 1.73, CI 1.06-2.82), and history of stroke (OR 1.89, CI 1.06-3.37) were more common in patients who had in-hospital stroke. In-hospital mortality in patients with and without stroke was 27.2 and 6.5%, respectively (P<0.001).

CONCLUSION

Patients with stroke after MI have a dismal prognosis. The presence of HF on admission for an acute MI increases in-hospital stroke risk. HF treatments may modify the risk of stroke.

Characterization of myocardial infarction as an end point in two large trials of acute coronary syndromes

Myocardial infarction (MI) is a key component of composite end points in trials that evaluate new therapies in non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes. Types of MI events in these trials have not been well characterized. A similar clinical-events classification process adjudicated all suspected MI end points in the PURSUIT and PARAGON B trials. All MI end points were classified as nonprocedural, related to percutaneous coronary intervention, or related to coronary artery bypass grafting. A total of 16,173 patients was enrolled in the 2 trials, and 1,802 MI end points occurred during a 30-day follow-up. Nearly 66% of MI end points were not related to percutaneous coronary intervention or coronary artery bypass grafting. Patients who had MI compared with those who did not had higher 30-day mortality rates (13.6% vs 2.3%, p <0.001) and 6-month mortality rates (18.4% vs 4.4%, p <0.001). Patients who had been randomized to glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibition showed trends toward fewer MI events regardless of type. Two-thirds of MI end points in 2 large trials of acute coronary syndrome were not related to procedure. All MI types were associated with worse short- and long-term outcomes. Characterization of the type of MI provides an opportunity for more informed interpretation of clinical trial results and improved planning for future trials.

Incidence, predictors, and outcomes of high-degree atrioventricular block complicating acute myocardial infarction treated with thrombolytic therapy

BACKGROUND

In the fibrinolytic era, several studies have suggested that the rate of atrioventricular block (AVB) in the setting of acute myocardial infarction (MI) is high and is associated with increased short-term mortality. We sought to delineate predictors of AVB and determine long-term mortality of patients developing AVB in the setting of ST-segment elevation MI (STEMI) treated with thrombolytic therapy.

METHODS

We combined data on patients from 4 similar studies of STEMI. We identified independent predictors of AVB and compared the 6-month and 1-year mortality rates of patients with AVB (5251) to the rates of patients without AVB (70 742).

RESULTS

The incidence of AVB was 6.9%. Significant independent predictors of AVB included inferior MI, older age, worse Killip class at presentation, female sex, enrollment in the United States, current smoking, hypertension, and diabetes. Adjusted mortality was significantly higher in patients with AVB than in patients without AVB within 30 days (OR 3.2, 95% CI 2.7-3.7), 6 months (OR 1.6, 95% CI 1.5-1.8), and 1 year (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.3-1.6). For patients with AVB and inferior MI, mortality odds ratios (ORs) were 2.2 (95% CI 1.7-2.7), 2.6 (95% CI 2.4-2.9), and 2.4 (95% CI 2.2-2.6) within 30 days, 6 months, and 1 year, respectively. For patients with AVB and anterior MI, mortality ORs were 3.0 (95% CI 2.2-4.1), 3.5 (95% CI 3.1-3.8), and 3.3 (95% CI 3.0-3.7) within 30 days, 6 months, and 1 year, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In the thrombolytic era, AVB in the setting of STEMI is common and associated with higher mortality. Future studies should focus on determining therapies that are effective at reducing mortality rates in such patients.

An international perspective on heart failure and left ventricular systolic dysfunction complicating myocardial infarction: the VALIANT registry

AIMS

We analysed the contemporary incidence, outcomes, and predictors of heart failure (HF) and/or left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) before discharge in patients with acute myocardial infarction (MI). The baseline presence of HF or LVSD, or its development during hospitalisation, increases short- and long-term risk after MI, yet its incidence, predictors, and outcomes have not been well described in a large, international, general MI population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The VALIANT registry included 5573 consecutive MI patients at 84 hospitals in nine countries from 1999 to 2001. A multivariable logistic survival model was constructed using baseline variables to determine the adjusted mortality risk for those with in-hospital HF and/or LVSD. Baseline variables were also tested for associations with in-hospital HF and/or LVSD. Of the 5566 patients analysed, 42% had HF and/or LVSD during hospitalisation. Their in-hospital mortality rate was 13.0% compared with 2.3% for those without HF and/or without LVSD. After adjustment for other baseline risk factors, in-hospital HF and/or LVSD carried a hazard ratio for in-hospital mortality of 4.12 (95% confidence interval: 3.08-5.56). Patients with HF and/or LVSD also had disproportionately higher rates of other cardiovascular events.

CONCLUSIONS

HF and/or LVSD is common in the general contemporary MI population and precedes 80.3% of all in-hospital deaths after MI. Survivors of early MI-associated HF and/or LVSD have more complications, longer hospitalisations, and are more likely to die during hospitalisation. Although baseline variables can identify MI patients at highest risk for HF and/or LVSD, such patients are less likely to receive indicated procedures and medical therapies.

Is the extrapolated adult dose of fosinopril safe and effective in treating hypertensive children?

We evaluated the efficacy, safety, and dose-response relationship of fosinopril in children aged 6 to 16 years with hypertension or high-normal blood pressure with an associated medical condition requiring treatment. The study was a prospective, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial conducted in 78 clinical sites in the United States, Russia, and Israel. There were 4 phases: a screening phase of 10 days maximum, a 4-week dose-response phase, a placebo withdrawal phase of 2 weeks maximum, and a 52-week open-label safety phase. The primary objective of the dose-response phase was to determine whether low (0.1 mg/kg), medium (0.3 mg/kg), or high (0.6 mg/kg) doses of fosinopril based on established adult dosing affect trough seated systolic blood pressure. During the dose-response phase, all 3 doses were equally effective in lowering systolic blood pressure. During the placebo withdrawal phase, there was an adjusted mean systolic blood pressure increase of 5.2 mm Hg for the placebo group and 1.5 mm Hg for the fosinopril group, a net withdrawal effect of 3.7 mm Hg (P=0.013). Fosinopril was well tolerated; serious adverse events occurred infrequently and were generally not attributed to fosinopril. Because children appear to be more sensitive to lower doses of fosinopril than adults, starting doses for children should be < or =0.1 mg/kg.

Creatine kinase-MB elevation after percutaneous coronary intervention predicts adverse outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndromes

AIM

To study the relationship between outcomes and peak creatine kinase (CK)-MB levels after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTE ACS).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Peak CK-MB ratios (peak CK-MB level/upper limit of normal [ULN]) after PCI were analysed in 6164 patients with NSTE ACS from four randomized trials who underwent in-hospital PCI. We excluded 696 patients with elevated CK or CK-MB levels <24h before PCI; the primary analysis included 2384 of the remaining 5468 patients (43.6%) with CK-MB levels measured <==24h after PCI. The incidence of in-hospital heart failure (0.1%, 0.8%, 3.4%, 4.1%, and 6.1%; P<0.001), arrhythmias (0.8%, 1.9%, 6.9%, 4.1%, and 7.9%; P<0.001), cardiogenic shock (0.1%, 1.3%, 2.0%, 2.3%, and 2.6%; P=0.004), and mortality through 6 months (2.1%, 2.4%, 4.9%, 4.1%, and 5.7%, P=0.005) was increased with peak CK-MB ratios of 0-1, 1-3, 3-5, 5-10, and >10xULN, respectively. The continuous peak CK-MB ratio after PCI significantly predicted adjusted 6-month mortality (risk ratio, 1.06 per unit increase above ULN; 95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.11; P=0.017).

CONCLUSIONS

Greater CK-MB elevation after PCI is independently associated with adverse outcomes in NSTE ACS. These results underscore the adverse implications of elevated CK-MB levels after PCI in this high-risk population.

Frequency, patient characteristics, and outcomes of mild-to-moderate heart failure complicating ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction: lessons from 4 international fibrinolytic therapy trials

BACKGROUND

There is a paucity of data on the incidence of mild-to-moderate heart failure (HF) complicating ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction (MI) and its impact on short-term outcomes. Our objective was to determine the incidence, timing, and consequences of mild-to-moderate HF complicating acute MI.

METHODS

We examined the occurrence of death or death/recurrent MI (re-MI) in patients enrolled in the Global Utilization of Streptokinase and Tissue-Plasminogen Activator for Occluded Coronary Arteries (GUSTO-I), the Global Use of Strategies to Open Occluded Coronary Arteries (GUSTO IIb), the Global Use of Strategies to Open Occluded Coronary Arteries (GUSTO-III), and Assessment of the Safety and Efficacy of a New Thrombolytic (ASSENT-II) trials, which examined different fibrinolytic therapies for MI. We excluded patients who had cardiogenic shock (n = 2994) or unknown HF status at all time points (n = 13,716). Of the remaining 61,041 patients, 17,949 patients (29.4%) had HF, 1566 (8.7%) only at baseline, 10,339 (57.6%) only after admission, and 6044 (33.7%) at baseline and after.

RESULTS

The incidence of HF was 32.5% in the United States and 26.9% elsewhere. At 30 days, death and death/re-MI occurred in 2% and 4% of patients without HF and 8% and 12% of patients with HF, respectively (2% and 4% of patients with HF only at baseline, 7% and 13% of patients with HF only after baseline, and 10% and 13% of patients with HF at baseline and later). By use of multivariable analyses, the presence of HF was associated with 1.55 times greater risk of dying at 30 days (95% CI 1.38-1.74) and 2.15 times greater risk of death/re-MI (95% CI 1.96-2.36).

CONCLUSION

Mild-to-moderate HF is a frequent and ominous complication of MI, especially when it does not resolve or develops after admission.

Is glycoprotein IIb/IIIa antagonism as effective in women as in men following percutaneous coronary intervention? Lessons from the ESPRIT study

OBJECTIVE

The study was done to determine whether eptifibatide, a platelet glycoprotein (GP) IIb/IIIa antagonist, prevents ischemic complications following percutaneous coronary interventions (PCIs) in women as well as in men.

BACKGROUND

Eptifibatide reduces ischemic complications after nonurgent coronary stent interventions.

METHODS

We compared outcomes in women (n = 562) and men (n = 1,502) enrolled in the Enhanced Suppression of the Platelet GP IIb/IIIa Receptor with Integrilin Therapy (ESPRIT) trial of double-bolus eptifibatide during PCI.

RESULTS

Women in the ESPRIT trial were older, and more frequently had hypertension, diabetes mellitus, or acute coronary syndromes, but were less likely to have prior PCI or coronary artery bypass graft surgery. The primary end point, a composite at 48 h of death, myocardial infarction (MI), urgent target vessel revascularization (TVR), and unplanned GP IIb/IIIa use, occurred in 10.5% of women and 7.9% of men (p = 0.082). The composite of death, MI, or TVR after one year occurred in 24.5% of women compared with 18% of men (p = 0.0008). At 48 h, eptifibatide reduced the composite of death, MI, and TVR from 14.5% to 6.0% in women versus 9.0% to 6.8% in men. At one year, these differences persisted: 28.9% versus 20.0% for women and 19.5% versus 16.6% for men. No statistical interaction existed between treatment and gender at either 48 h (p = 0.063) or one year (p = 0.2). Bleeding occurred more commonly in women (5.5% vs. 2.6%, p = 0.002), and was more common in eptifibatide-treated women. After adjustment for age, weight, and hypertension, no interaction between treatment and gender was present.

CONCLUSION

Eptifibatide is effective to prevent ischemic complications of PCI in women and may eliminate gender-related differences in PCI outcomes.

Comparison of one-year outcomes following coronary artery stenting in diabetic versus nondiabetic patients (from the Enhanced Suppression of the Platelet IIb/IIIa Receptor With Integrilin Therapy [ESPRIT] Trial)

For patients undergoing nonurgent coronary stent implantation, blockade of the glycoprotein IIb/IIIa receptor with eptifibatide reduces the incidence of ischemic complications. We evaluated the interaction of eptifibatide with diabetes in patients who underwent this procedure by analyzing the 1-year outcomes of those enrolled in the Enhanced Suppression of the Platelet IIb/IIIa Receptor with Integrilin Therapy (ESPRIT) trial (466 diabetic and 1,595 nondiabetic patients). At 1 year, the composite end point of death, myocardial infarction (MI), or target vessel revascuarlization (TVR) was higher in diabetic patients (24.5% vs 18.4%; p = 0.008). At 1 year, eptifibatide had a similar effect on the composite end point of death, MI, or TVR in diabetic (hazards ratio [HR] 0.71, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.49 to 1.04) and nondiabetic patients (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.63 to 0.99). A similar treatment effect was also seen on death or MI in both groups. The 1-year mortality rate for diabetic patients assigned to placebo was 3.5% versus 1.3% for patients receiving eptifibatide (HR 0.37, 95% CI 0.10 to 1.41); the latter rate was similar to the mortality rate of 1.4% for nondiabetic patients in the eptifibatide group. However, eptifibatide did not have a significant effect on TVR in diabetic patients (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.57 to 1.41). Our data suggest that treatment with eptifibatide is associated with a similar relative reduction in adverse ischemic complications in diabetic and nondiabetic patients undergoing coronary stent implantation. There is no evidence of a statistical interaction in the treatment effect of eptifibatide between patients with and without diabetes.

Outcomes of patients with acute coronary syndromes and prior coronary artery bypass grafting: results from the platelet glycoprotein IIb/IIIa in unstable angina: receptor suppression using integrilin therapy (PURSUIT) trial

BACKGROUND

Patients with prior CABG with a subsequent non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (ACS) pose an increasingly important clinical problem. Although GP IIb/IIIa inhibitors have improved the outcome of patients with ACS, their efficacy in patients with prior CABG has not been previously evaluated. Methods and Results- We analyzed the 30- and 180-day outcomes of patients with prior CABG enrolled in the Platelet Glycoprotein IIb/IIIa in Unstable Angina: Receptor Suppression Using Integrilin Therapy (PURSUIT) trial. In this trial, which evaluated the efficacy of eptifibatide in patients with ACS, 1134 patients (12%) with prior CABG and 8321 without prior CABG were enrolled. After adjusting for differences in baseline characteristics and treatment, patients with prior CABG had a significantly higher mortality rates at 30 days (hazard ratio [HR], 1.45 [95% CI, 1.06 to 1.98]; P=0.019) and at 180 days (HR, 1.32 [95% CI, 1.04 to 1.67]; P=0.021). At 30 days, there was a similar effect on the primary end point of death or myocardial infarction in the eptifibatide group versus the placebo group in prior CABG patients (unadjusted HR, 0.90 [95% CI, 0.67 to 1.20]) and in patients without a history of CABG (unadjusted HR, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.80 to 0.99]).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with prior CABG with non-ST-segment elevation ACS have a significantly worse prognosis than do patients without a history of CABG. The treatment effect of eptifibatide in the prior CABG group was similar to the effect seen in patients without prior CABG.

Plasma HIV burden in Malawian children co-infected with rotavirus

Fifty-eight HIV-infected children with acute rotavirus diarrhea were tested for plasma HIV RNA. There was no difference between acute and convalescent mean viral loads, and little change in CD4 cell counts. Compared with the 16 children who died within 4 weeks, 31 survivors had slightly lower viral loads at presentation and significantly higher CD4 cell counts. Low CD4 cell counts, but not HIV-1-RNA concentrations, were predictive of Death. Local, enteric rotavirus infection did not appear to affect blood HIV viral load or CD4 cell counts in this small group of children.