Risk Prediction Score for Cancer Development in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome

BACKGROUND

Cancer is a known prognostic factor in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS), but few risk assessments of cancer development after ACS have been established.Methods and Results:Of the 573 consecutive ACS admissions between January 2015 and March 2018 in Nobeoka City, Japan, 552 were analyzed. Prevalent cancer was defined as a treatment history of cancer, and incident cancer as post-discharge cancer incidence. The primary endpoint was post-discharge cancer incidence, and the secondary endpoint was all-cause death during follow-up. All-cause death occurred in 9 (23.1%) patients with prevalent cancer, and in 17 (3.5%) without cancer. In the multivariable analysis, prevalent cancer was associated with all-cause death. To develop the prediction model for cancer incidence, 21 patients with incident cancer and 492 without cancer were analyzed. We compared the performance of D-dimer with that of the prediction model, which added age (≥65 years), smoking history, and high red blood cell distribution width to albumin ratio (RAR) to D-dimer. The areas under the receiver-operating characteristics curves of D-dimer and the prediction model were 0.619 (95% confidence interval: 0.512-0.725) and 0.774 (0.676-0.873), respectively. Decision curve analysis showed superior net benefits of the prediction model.

CONCLUSIONS

By adding elderly, smoking, and high RAR to D-dimer to the prediction model it became clinically useful for predicting cancer incidence after ACS.

Relationship between coronary artery calcium score and bleeding events after percutaneous coronary intervention in chronic coronary syndrome

The relationship between coronary artery calcium (CAC) and bleeding events after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with chronic coronary syndrome (CCS) is not well established. This study aimed to examine the association between CAC scores and clinical outcomes after PCI in patients with CCS. This retrospective observational study included 295 consecutive patients who underwent multidetector computer tomography and were scheduled for their first elective PCI. Patients were categorized into two groups based on the CAC scores (low: ≤ 400 or high: > 400). The bleeding risk was evaluated using the Academic Research Consortium for High Bleeding Risk (ARC-HBR) criteria. The primary clinical outcome was a major bleeding event within 1 year after PCI, defined as Bleeding Academic Research Consortium (BARC) 3 or 5. The high CAC score group had a higher proportion of patients meeting the ARC-HBR criteria than the low CAC score group (52.7% vs. 31.3%, p < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the incidence of major bleeding events was higher in the high CAC score group as compared to the low CAC score group (p < 0.001). Furthermore, multivariate Cox regression anal ysis revealed that a high CAC score was an independent determinant of major bleeding events during the first year after PCI. A high CAC score is significantly associated with the incidence of major bleeding events after PCI in CCS patients.

Prediction of intracerebral hemorrhage in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest using post-resuscitation electrocardiogram: An observational cohort study

Aim

We evaluated the characteristics of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage in nontraumatic out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCA) after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) to identify patients who required brain computed tomography as the next diagnostic workup.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study on 1303 consecutive patients with nontraumatic OHCA who were admitted to Miyazaki Prefectural Nobeoka Hospital between 2008 and 2020. Among these, 454 patients achieved sustained ROSC. We excluded 126 patients with obvious extracardiac causes. Clinical and demographic characteristics of patients and post-resuscitation 12-lead electrocardiogram were compared. Patients were categorized into the intracerebral hemorrhage (n = 32, 10%) and no intracerebral hemorrhage group (n = 296). All causes of intracerebral hemorrhage were diagnosed based on brain computed tomography images by board-certified radiologists.

Results

We included 328 patients (mean age, 74 years; women, 36%) who achieved ROSC. Logistic regression analyses showed that female sex, younger age (<75 years), no shockable rhythm changes, tachycardia (≥100 bpm), lateral ST-segment elevation, and inferior ST-segment depression on post-resuscitation electrocardiogram were independently associated with intracerebral hemorrhage. We developed a new predictive model for intracerebral hemorrhage by considering 1 point for each of the six factors. The odds ratio for intracerebral hemorrhage increased 2.36 for each 1-point increase (P < 0.001). A score ≥ 4 had 43.7% sensitivity, 90.8% specificity, 34.1% positive predictive value, and 93.7% negative predictive value.

Conclusion

Our new predictive model might be useful for risk stratification of intracerebral hemorrhage in patients with OHCA who achieved ROSC.

Takotsubo cardiomyopathy after vaccination for coronavirus disease 2019 in a patient on maintenance hemodialysis

Coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) has affected more than 220 million individuals since the global pandemic began. There is an urgent need for safe and effective vaccines, and vaccinations, such as mRNA vaccines, have been initiated worldwide. However, the adverse effects of these vaccines remain unclear. We herein present a case of an 80-year-old female on maintenance hemodialysis who developed takotsubo cardiomyopathy 4 days after receiving the first dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine. There was no obvious trigger for the onset of takotsubo cardiomyopathy other than the COVID-19 vaccination, which was the most significant event preceding her presentation. Echocardiograms obtained during her admission allowed us to monitor and show the recovery of left ventricular wall motion. We confirmed the diagnosis of takotsubo cardiomyopathy based on the findings, including transient left ventricular dysfunction, electrocardiographic abnormalities, an elevated troponin level, and the absence of occlusive coronary artery disease. In the present case, the vaccination may have triggered emotional or physical stress. Although difficulties are associated with proving the causal relationship in the present case, the temporal relationship between the vaccination and the onset of takotsubo cardiomyopathy is highly suggestive. The adverse effects associated with the vaccine are typical of COVID-19 vaccines administered to date, most of which are acceptable. Therefore, despite our experience of the present case, we still recommend the vaccination for COVID-19 because takotsubo cardiomyopathy induced by the COVID-19 vaccine is extremely rare and the prognosis of the patient was good. We herein present the first case of a patient on hemodialysis who developed takotsubo cardiomyopathy after receiving COVID-19 vaccination.

Incidence Rate of Hospitalization for Heart Failure in a Japanese City ― An Updated Reference for Japan’s Aging Society ―

Background: The prevalence of heart failure (HF) is increasing in aging societies, such as Japan. The current incidence rate (IR) of HF hospitalization in Japan is unknown.

Methods and Results: We conducted a regional population-based study assessing the IR of HF hospitalization in Nobeoka City. Data were collected over a period of 3 years from all patients with HF admitted for the first time to hospitals and clinics. 406 HF hospitalizations were registered (54% female; mean age 82 years). The IR of HF hospitalization was 129/100,000 person-years. The difference in the IR between women and men was not significant (131 vs. 127/100,000 person-years, respectively; P=0.767). The age-adjusted IR in the 2015 Japanese population was 105/100,000 person-years. According to 5-year age bands, the IR of HF hospitalization gradually increased up to 60–70 years of age, then increased rapidly in those aged ≥95 years for both sexes. The IR ratio compared with age <65 years was higher in women than men in each older age group.

Conclusions: In this population-based study, the current IR of HF hospitalization in a region of Japan was higher than the IR from another study conducted in a different region in early 2000. By presenting detailed age-related data, the research findings will contribute to estimating the number of HF hospitalizations in other areas of Japan.

Relationship Between Heart Failure Hospitalization Costs and Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction in an Advanced Aging Society

Background: Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is a basic clinical index that determines the heart failure (HF) treatment strategy. We aimed to evaluate the association between hospitalization costs for HF patient and LVEF in an advanced aging society in a region in Japan.

Methods and Results: Consecutive HF patients admitted to Miyazaki Prefectural Nobeoka Hospital between January 2015 and March 2018 were included in the study. The 346 HF patients (mean age 78 years) were divided into 2 groups: HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF; LVEF <40%; n=129) and HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF; LVEF ≥40%; n=217). Median hospitalization costs (in 2017 US dollars) were higher in the HFrEF than HFpEF group, but the difference was not statistically significant ($7,128 vs. $6,580; P=0.189). However, in older adults (age ≥75 years; n=252), median hospitalization costs were significantly higher in the HFrEF than HFpEF group ($7,240 vs. $6,471; P=0.014), and LVEF was an independent factor of hospitalization costs (β=−0.0301, P=0.006). Median hospitalization costs were significantly lower in the older than younger HFpEF group ($6,471 vs. $7,250; P=0.011), but there was no significant difference in costs between the older and younger HFrEF groups ($7,240 vs. $6,760; P=0.351).

Conclusions: The relationship between LVEF and hospitalization costs became more pronounced with age, and LVEF was a negative independent factor for hospitalization costs in the older population.

Impact of polypharmacy on all-cause mortality and hospitalization in incident hemodialysis patients: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Polypharmacy (PP) is common in end-stage chronic renal disease patients largely due to the presence of multiple comorbid conditions. Although PP is potentially harmful, its relationship with mortality and morbidity in hemodialysis patients currently remains unclear.

METHODS

Study design: cohort study.

SETTING

participants: one hundred and fifty-two initial hemodialysis patients (male, 88 patients; mean age, 70.3 years) were enrolled between February 2015 and March 2018 at Nobeoka Prefectural Hospital and Chiyoda Hospital.

PREDICTOR

patients were divided into 2 groups according to PP (6 or more drug prescriptions or less) during admission and discharge for the initiation of hemodialysis.

OUTCOMES

all-cause mortality and hospitalization during the mean 2.8-year follow-up.

MEASUREMENTS

hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated using Cox's model for the relationships between PP and clinical outcomes and adjusted for potential confounders. The group with 5 or less drug prescriptions was set as a reference.

RESULTS

The number of prescribed drugs per patient averaged 7.4 at admission and 7.0 at discharge for initial hemodialysis. One hundred (65.8%) and 94 patients (61.8%) had PP at admission and discharge, respectively. During the follow-up, 20 patients died and 71 were hospitalized. PP at admission did not correlate with outcomes, whereas that at discharge correlated with all-cause hospitalization.

CONCLUSIONS

PP at discharge may be associated with clinical outcomes. However, it remains unclear whether PP is the direct cause of outcomes or is simply a marker for an increased risk of outcomes.

Association of early administration of furosemide with improved oxygenation in patients with acute heart failure

Aims

Optimal pharmacological treatment for chronic heart failure has been established. However, treatments that can improve the prognosis of acute heart failure (AHF) are controversial. Although intravenous diuretics may be one optimal treatment option, little evidence has shown the effect of early administration of diuretics on clinical outcomes in patients with AHF. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between door‐to‐furosemide (D2F) time, improved oxygenation, and in‐hospital mortality in patients hospitalized for AHF.

Methods and results

We screened 494 patients hospitalized for AHF in Miyazaki Prefectural Nobeoka Hospital. AHF patients who were treated with intravenous furosemide within 24 h of arrival at the hospital were included in this study. D2F time was defined as the time from patient arrival at the hospital to the first intravenous dose of furosemide. The early administration group was defined as those with D2F time ≤60 min, whereas the non‐early group was defined as those with D2F time >60 min. The primary outcome was the rate of improved oxygenation at Day 1. The secondary outcomes were in‐hospital mortality and cardiac death.

There were 219 patients treated with the first intravenous dose of furosemide within 24 h analysed after the exclusion of 275 patients. The median D2F time was 55 min (interquartile range: 30–120 min) in the final cohort. The early administration group included 121 patients (55.3%). The rate of improved oxygenation was higher in the early group than the non‐early group [median 16.7% (interquartile range: 0.0–40.0) vs. 0.0% (0.0–20.6), respectively, P < 0.001]. During the study period, there were six patients (5.0%) with in‐hospital mortality in the early group and nine patients (9.2%) in the non‐early group (P = 0.218). Cardiac death was observed less frequently in the early group than in the non‐early group, but without statistical significance (3.3% and 9.2%, respectively) (P = 0.067). The univariable logistic regression analyses showed that early administration of furosemide was associated with improved oxygenation [odds ratio (OR): 2.26; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.31–3.91; P = 0.004], but not with in‐hospital mortality (OR: 0.52; 95% CI: 0.18–1.50; P = 0.225) or cardiac death (OR: 0.34; 95% CI: 0.10–1.13; P = 0.079). In multivariable analyses adjusted for risk score or relevant variables, early administration of furosemide was consistently associated with improvement of oxygenation.

Conclusions

The present study showed that in AHF patients, the early administration of furosemide was associated with improved oxygenation.

Incidence Rate of Acute Coronary Syndrome Including Acute Myocardial Infarction, Unstable Angina, and Sudden Cardiac Death in Nobeoka City for the Super-Aged Society of Japan

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to calculate incidence rates (IR) of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) including acute myocardial infarction (AMI), unstable angina (UAP), and sudden cardiac death (SCD) in Nobeoka city, Japan.Methods and Results:This was an observational study based on a city-wide comprehensive registration between 2015 and 2017 in Nobeoka city, Japan, using 2 databases: all patients with cardiogenic out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Nobeoka city and hospitalized ACS patients from Miyazaki Prefectural Nobeoka Hospital in which all ACS patients in Nobeoka city were hospitalized except for possible rare cases of patients highly unlikely to be hospitalized elsewhere. The IRs of ACS based on the population size of Nobeoka city (125,000 persons), and their age-adjusted IRs by using the direct method and the 2015 model population of Japan were calculated. There were 260 eligible patients hospitalized with first-onset ACS (age [SD]=71.1 [12.4], 34.2% women) and 107 eligible SCD patients. Crude IRs of hospitalized ACS and SCD patients, and hospitalized AMI and SCD patients, respectively, were 130.2 (183.3 for men, 85.6 for women) and 107.5 (148.4 for men, 73.2 for women) per 100,000. Crude IRs of hospitalized ACS, AMI, and UAP patients, respectively, were 92.3 (132.8 for men, 58.1 for women), 69.6 (97.9 for men, 45.7 for women), and 22.7 (35.0 for men, 12.4 for women) per 100,000.

CONCLUSIONS

The calculated IRs can be useful in building a health strategy for treating ACS.

The Cytokine Expression in Patients with Cardiac Complication after Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Therapy

We herein report the cytokine expression at different stages for three patients who developed cardiac complications after immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy. Case 1 with biopsy-proven myocarditis showed increased levels of interleukin (IL)-8, monocyte chemotactic and activating factor, and granulocyte macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF) when he developed Takotsubo cardiomyopathy. Case 2 with subclinical myocarditis showed predominant activation of IL-8 during the progressive clinical course. Case 3 with cytokine-releasing syndrome showed substantial activations of IL-6, IL-8, GM-CSF, and interferon-γ. Our data suggest the development of unique cytokine activation in individual patients with cardiac complications after ICI therapy.

Association between Serum Zinc Levels and Clinical Index or the Body Composition in Incident Hemodialysis Patients

Background: The relationships between serum zinc levels and body composition or clinical outcomes of incident hemodialysis (HD) patients remain unclear. Methods: This prospective observational study examined the relationships between serum zinc levels and clinical indexes, including body composition, in 142 incident HD patients using a bioelectrical impedance analysis. Patients were divided into three groups according to baseline serum zinc levels: tertile, <45, 45–59, and ≥60 µg/dL. The reference group was set as ≥60 µg/dL. Cox’s regression analysis was performed to investigate the relationships between serum zinc categories and cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality after adjustments for potential confounders. Results: Serum zinc levels positively correlated with the nutritional index and negatively correlated with fluid volume markers. In a mean follow-up of 2.5 years, there were 20 cases of cardiovascular events and 15 of all-cause mortality. In the Cox’s regression analysis for cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality, the hazard ratio increased with a decrease in serum zinc levels, but was not significant. Conclusion: Serum zinc levels were associated with nutritional and fluid volume markers in incident HD patients. To clarify the relationship between serum zinc levels and cardiovascular events or mortality, further studies with a larger number of cases will be necessary.

P1515IMPACT OF POLYPHARMACY ON ALL-CAUSE MORTALITY, ALL-CAUSE HOSPITALIZATION AND CARDIOVASCULAR EVENTS IN INITIAL JAPANESE HEMODIALYSIS PATIENTS

Background and Aims

Polypharmacy (PP) is common in end-stage chronic renal disease patients, largely because of the existence of multiple comorbid conditions. PP has the potential for harm and benefits, and the association between PP and mortality and morbidity in hemodialysis patients currently remains unclear. We examined the association of PP and the risk of clinical outcomes, such as all-cause mortality, all-cause hospitalization and cardiovascular events, in initial hemodialysis patients at admission and discharge.

Method

Study design: Cohort study.

Setting: Participants: One hundred and fifty-two initial hemodialysis patients (female vs. male, 88 vs. 64; mean age, 70.3 years) were enrolled between February 2015 and March 2018 at the Nobeoka Prefectural Hospital and Chiyoda Hospital.

Predictor: Patients were divided into 2 groups according to PP (6 or more drug prescriptions, or less) during admission and discharge for the initiation of hemodialysis.

Outcomes: All-cause mortality, all-cause hospitalization and cardiovascular events (hospitalization due to stroke, ischemic heart disease or peripheral artery disease) during the mean 2.8-year follow-up.

Measurements: Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated using Cox’s model for the relationships between PP and the clinical outcomes, and adjusted for potential confounders, including age, sex, body mass index, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, Charlson comorbidity risk index, hemoglobin, serum levels of albumin, albumin-corrected Ca, phosphate, parathyroid hormone, C-reactive protein and NT-proBNP; and use of erythropoietin stimulating agents. The group with 5 or less drug prescriptions was set as reference.

Results

Among the patients in this cohort study, the number of prescribed drugs per patient averaged 7.4 at admission and 6.9 at discharge for initial hemodialysis. One hundred (65.8%) and 94 patients (61.8%) had PP at admission and discharge, respectively. During follow-up, 20 patients died, 71 patients were hospitalized and 25 patients had cardiovascular events. PP at admission is significantly associated with cardiovascular events (HR 8.50, 95%CI 1.45-49.68). Furthermore, PP at discharge is significantly associated with all-cause hospitalization and cardiovascular events (HR 1.95, 95%CI 1.01-3.70; HR 53.16, 95%CI 2.70-104.62, respectively). However, PP is not significantly associated with all-cause mortality at admission or discharge.

Conclusion

Among Japanese patients starting hemodialysis, PP may be associated with clinical outcomes. However, it remains unclear whether PP is the direct cause of the outcomes or is simply a marker for increased risk of outcomes.

Grading of Left Ventricular Diastolic Dysfunction with Preserved Systolic Function by the 2016 American Society of Echocardiography/European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging Recommendations Contributes to Predicting Cardiovascular Events in Hemodialysis Patients

BACKGROUND

Left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) causes heart failure with a preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in the general population.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the relationships between the LVDD grades of the 2016 American Society of Echocardiography/European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging (ASE/EACVI) recommendations and several arteriosclerotic parameters and major cardiovascular events (MACE) in hemodialysis patients with preserved LVEF.

METHOD

Sixty-three prevalent hemodialysis patients (median age [interquartile range], 69 [64-75] years, 31.7% female) with normal systolic function (LVEF > 50%) were enrolled. LVDD evaluated by echocardiography at baseline was divided into three groups according to ASE/EACVI recommendations (normal diastolic function [ND], n = 24; intermediate, n = 19; diastolic dysfunction [DD], n = 20). All patients underwent analyses of several arteriosclerotic parameters (carotid intima-media thickness [CIMT], plaque score [PS], ankle brachial index [ABI], and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity [baPWV]). The presence or absence of postdialysis orthostatic hypotension was assessed in each dialysis session. MACE during the 1-year follow-up period was obtained from medical records. Kaplan-Meier and Cox's regression analyses were used to investigate the relationship between LVDD grades and MACE.

RESULTS

Postdialysis orthostatic hypotension and PS, but not CIMT, ABI, or baPWV, increased proportionally with LVDD grades. Eleven patients developed MACE, including 2 cardiovascular deaths. The Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that MACE frequently occurred in the DD grade (p = 0.002 by the log-rank test). Cox's regression analysis adjusted for potential confounders (age, sex, diabetes, systolic blood pressure, and body mass index) revealed that the DD grade was associated with MACE when the ND grade was set as a reference.

CONCLUSIONS

In maintenance hemodialysis patients with normal ventricular systolic function, a classification of LVDD by the 2016 ASE/EACVI recommendations may be a useful tool for predicting cardiovascular events.

Prognostic Implication of Three-Dimensional Mitral Valve Tenting Geometry in Dilated Cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND AND AIM OF THE STUDY

Functional mitral regurgitation (FMR) is a clinically important complication of left ventricular (LV) dysfunction, occurring as a result of geometric deformity in the mitral valve (MV) complex. The study aim was to determine whether tenting parameters derived from real-time three-dimensional echocardiography (RT3DE) can predict the long-term prognosis for patients with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM).

METHODS

Mitral valve tenting morphology, LV volume and function, and papillary muscle positions were monitored using transthoracic RT3DE in 75 subjects (66 with DCM, nine controls). The maximum tenting sites of the leaflet (maxTS) were also mapped from the reconstructed 3D images, to determine if the 3D tenting parameters correlated to long-term outcome.

RESULTS

Follow up information was collected from 62 patients with DCM over a mean period of 42 +/- 31 months. Cardiovascular events occurred in 30 patients (48%), including 13 cardiac deaths (21%). The patients were allocated to an Event group (n = 30) or a Non-event group (n = 32). The LV volumes were significantly larger and LV ejection fraction was lower in the Event group compared to the Non-event group. The 3D tenting volumes were significantly larger in the Event group than the Non- event group (p = 0.05). The maxTS were positioned mostly in the middle portion of the anterior mitral leaflet in the Non-event group (maxTS-mid AML), but in the Event group they were mostly found in the MV coaptation region of the leaflet (maxTS-coapt) (p <0.001). Patients with maxTS-coapt had a worse prognosis compared to those with maxTS-mid AML. On multivariate Cox regression analysis, maxTS was the strongest predictor of event-free survival.

CONCLUSION

The 3D tenting pattern, assessed with RT3DE, would be an important clinical parameter in predicting long-term prognosis in patients with DCM.