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Mirian C, Jensen LR, Juratli TA, Maier AD, Torp SH, Shih HA, Morshed RA, Young JS, Magill ST, Bertero L, Stummer W, Spille DC, Brokinkel B, Oya S, Miyawaki S, Saito N, Proescholdt M, Kuroi Y, Gousias K, Simon M, Moliterno J, Prat-Acin R, Goutagny S, Prabhu VC, Tsiang JT, Wach J, Güresir E, Yamamoto J, Kim YZ, Lee JH, Koshy M, Perumal K, Baskaya MK, Cannon DM, Shrieve DC, Suh CO, Chang JH, Kamenova M, Straumann S, Soleman J, Eyüpoglu IY, Catalan T, Lui A, Theodosopoulos PV, McDermott MW, Wang F, Guo F, Góes P, de Paiva Neto MA, Jamshidi A, Komotar R, Ivan M, Luther E, Souhami L, Guiot MC, Csonka T, Endo T, Barrett OC, Jensen R, Gupta T, Patel AJ, Klisch TJ, Kim JW, Maiuri F, Barresi V, Tabernero MD, Skyrman S, Broechner A, Bach MJ, Law I, Scheie D, Kristensen BW, Munch TN, Meling T, Fugleholm K, Blanche P, Mathiesen T. The importance of considering competing risks in recurrence analysis of intracranial meningioma. J Neurooncol 2024; 166:503-511. [PMID: 38336917 PMCID: PMC10876814 DOI: 10.1007/s11060-024-04572-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/25/2023] [Accepted: 01/11/2024] [Indexed: 02/12/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The risk of recurrence is overestimated by the Kaplan-Meier method when competing events, such as death without recurrence, are present. Such overestimation can be avoided by using the Aalen-Johansen method, which is a direct extension of Kaplan-Meier that accounts for competing events. Meningiomas commonly occur in older individuals and have slow-growing properties, thereby warranting competing risk analysis. The extent to which competing events are considered in meningioma literature is unknown, and the consequences of using incorrect methodologies in meningioma recurrence risk analysis have not been investigated. METHODS We surveyed articles indexed on PubMed since 2020 to assess the usage of competing risk analysis in recent meningioma literature. To compare recurrence risk estimates obtained through Kaplan-Meier and Aalen-Johansen methods, we applied our international database comprising ~ 8,000 patients with a primary meningioma collected from 42 institutions. RESULTS Of 513 articles, 169 were eligible for full-text screening. There were 6,537 eligible cases from our PERNS database. The discrepancy between the results obtained by Kaplan-Meier and Aalen-Johansen was negligible among low-grade lesions and younger individuals. The discrepancy increased substantially in the patient groups associated with higher rates of competing events (older patients with high-grade lesions). CONCLUSION The importance of considering competing events in recurrence risk analysis is poorly recognized as only 6% of the studies we surveyed employed Aalen-Johansen analyses. Consequently, most of the previous literature has overestimated the risk of recurrence. The overestimation was negligible for studies involving low-grade lesions in younger individuals; however, overestimation might have been substantial for studies on high-grade lesions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Christian Mirian
- Department of Neurosurgery, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark.
| | - Lasse Rehné Jensen
- Department of Neurosurgery, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Tareq A Juratli
- Department of Neurosurgery, Division of Neuro-Oncology, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, Technische Universität Dresden, 01307, Dresden, Germany
- Department of Neurosurgery, Laboratory of Translational Neuro-Oncology, Massachusetts General Hospital Cancer Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, USA
| | - Andrea Daniela Maier
- Department of Neurosurgery, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Department of Pathology, Bartholin Institute, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital , Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Sverre H Torp
- Department of Clinical and Molecular Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Norwegian, University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Laboratory Centre, St. Olavs Hospital, NO-7491, Trondheim, Norway
- Department of Pathology, Laboratory Centre, St. Olavs Hospital, NO-7030, Trondheim, Norway
| | - Helen A Shih
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Ramin A Morshed
- Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Jacob S Young
- Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Stephen T Magill
- Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Department of Neurological Surgery, Northwestern University, Feinberg School of Medicine, Illinois, USA
| | - Luca Bertero
- Pathology Unit, Department of Medical Sciences, University and Città Della Salute E Della Scienza University Hospital of Turin, Turin, Italy
| | - Walter Stummer
- Department of Neurosurgery, University of Münster, Münster, Germany
| | | | - Benjamin Brokinkel
- Department of Neurosurgery, University of Münster, Münster, Germany
- Institute for Neuropathology, University of Münster, Münster, Germany
| | - Soichi Oya
- Department of Neurosurgery, Saitama Medical Center/University, Saitama, Japan
| | - Satoru Miyawaki
- Department of Neurosurgery, The University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Nobuhito Saito
- Department of Neurosurgery, The University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Martin Proescholdt
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Regensburg Medical Center, Regensburg, Germany
| | - Yasuhiro Kuroi
- Department of Neurosurgery, Adachi Medical Center, Tokyo Women's Medical University, Tokyo, Japan
| | | | - Matthias Simon
- Department of Neurosurgery, Bethel Clinic University of Bielefeld Medical Center, Bielefeld, Germany
| | - Jennifer Moliterno
- Department of Neurosurgery, Yale School of Medicine Yale New Haven Hospital, Smilow Cancer Hospital, New Haven, USA
| | | | - Stéphane Goutagny
- Department of Neurosurgery, Université Paris Cité, Beaujon Hospital, Assistance Publique Hôpitaux de Paris, Paris, France
| | - Vikram C Prabhu
- Department of Neurological Surgery, Loyola University Medical Center, Stritch School of Medicine, Illinois, USA
| | - John T Tsiang
- Department of Neurological Surgery, Loyola University Medical Center, Stritch School of Medicine, Illinois, USA
| | - Johannes Wach
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany
| | - Erdem Güresir
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany
| | - Junkoh Yamamoto
- Department of Neurosurgery, University of Occupational and Environmental Health, Kitakyushu, Japan
| | - Young Zoon Kim
- Department of Neurosurgery, Samsung Changwon Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Changwon, Republic of Korea
| | - Joo Ho Lee
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Matthew Koshy
- Department of Radiation Oncology, University of Illinois Hospital and Health Sciences System, Illinois, USA
| | - Karthikeyan Perumal
- Department of Neurosurgery, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, USA
| | - Mustafa K Baskaya
- Department of Neurosurgery, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, USA
| | - Donald M Cannon
- Department of Radiation Oncology Spencer Fox Eccles School of Medicine, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA
| | - Dennis C Shrieve
- Department of Radiation Oncology Spencer Fox Eccles School of Medicine, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA
| | - Chang-Ok Suh
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jong Hee Chang
- Department of Neurosurgery, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Maria Kamenova
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Sven Straumann
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Jehuda Soleman
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Ilker Y Eyüpoglu
- Department of Neurosurgery, Division of Neuro-Oncology, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, Technische Universität Dresden, 01307, Dresden, Germany
| | - Tony Catalan
- Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Austin Lui
- Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Philip V Theodosopoulos
- Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Michael W McDermott
- Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Division of Neurosurgery, Miami Neuroscience Institute, Miami, FL, USA
| | - Fang Wang
- Department of Neurosurgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China
| | - Fuyou Guo
- Department of Neurosurgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China
| | - Pedro Góes
- Department of Neurosurgery, Federal University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
| | | | - Aria Jamshidi
- Department of Neurological Surgery, Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA
| | - Ricardo Komotar
- Department of Neurological Surgery, Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA
| | - Michael Ivan
- Department of Neurological Surgery, Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA
| | - Evan Luther
- Department of Neurological Surgery, Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA
| | - Luis Souhami
- Division of Radiation Oncology, McGill University Health Centre, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada
| | | | - Tamás Csonka
- Department of Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Toshiki Endo
- Division of Neurosurgery, Tohoku Medical and Pharmaceutical University, Tohoku, Japan
| | | | - Randy Jensen
- Department of Neurosurgery, Huntsman Cancer Institute, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA
| | - Tejpal Gupta
- Department of Radiation Oncology ACTREC, Tata Memorial Centre, HBNI Kharghar, Navi Mumbai, 410210, India
| | - Akash J Patel
- Department of Neurosurgery, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
- Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX , USA
- Jan and Dan Duncan Neurological Research Institute, Texas Children's Hospital, Houston, TX , USA
| | - Tiemo J Klisch
- Jan and Dan Duncan Neurological Research Institute, Texas Children's Hospital, Houston, TX , USA
- Department of Molecular and Human Genetics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Jun Won Kim
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Gangnam Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Francesco Maiuri
- Department of Neurosurgery, University of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy
| | - Valeria Barresi
- Department of Diagnostics and Public Health, University of Verona, Verona, Italy
| | - María Dolores Tabernero
- Instituto de Investigación Biomédica de Salamanca (IBSAL), University Hospital of Salamanca, Salamanca, Spain
| | - Simon Skyrman
- Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Anders Broechner
- Department of Neurosurgery, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | | | - Ian Law
- Department of Clinical Physiology and Nuclear Medicine, Copenhagen University Hospital-Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - David Scheie
- Department of Pathology, Bartholin Institute, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital , Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Bjarne Winther Kristensen
- Department of Pathology, Bartholin Institute, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital , Copenhagen, Denmark
- Department of Clinical Medicine and Biotech Research and Innovation Center (BRIC), University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Tina Nørgaard Munch
- Department of Neurosurgery, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Department of Epidemiology Research, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Torstein Meling
- Department of Neurosurgery, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Department of Neurological Surgery, Istituto Nazionale Neurologico "C.Besta", Milan, Italy
| | - Kåre Fugleholm
- Department of Neurosurgery, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Paul Blanche
- Section of Biostatistics, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Tiit Mathiesen
- Department of Neurosurgery, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
- Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
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