Repeat measurements of uterine artery pulsatility index, mean arterial pressure and serum placental growth factor at 12, 22 and 32 weeks in prediction of pre-eclampsia

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the potential value of repeat measurements of uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), mean arterial pressure (MAP) and serum placental growth factor (PlGF) at 12, 22 and 32 weeks' gestation in the prediction of pre-eclampsia (PE) developing after 32 weeks.

METHODS

Data were derived from prospective screening for adverse obstetric outcomes in women attending their routine hospital visit at 11-13, 19-24 and/or 30-34 weeks' gestation in two maternity hospitals in England. UtA-PI, MAP and PlGF were measured. Bayes' theorem was used to combine the a-priori risk from maternal factors with UtA-PI, MAP and PlGF multiples of the median values. The performance of screening for PE developing after the 30-34-week visit by UtA-PI, MAP and PlGF measured at 11-13, 19-24 and 30-34 weeks and their combinations was examined.

RESULTS

Screening at 30-34 weeks by UtA-PI, MAP and PlGF detected, at a 10% false-positive rate, 79%, 86% and 92% of preterm PE and 42%, 50% and 56% of term PE. The addition of biomarker values at 11-13 and/or 19-24 weeks was not associated with any improvement in the detection rate of preterm PE; in the case of term PE, there was a marginal (< 2%) improvement in detection for UtA-PI and MAP and a modest improvement of about 5% for PlGF.

CONCLUSION

Measurements of UtA-PI, MAP and PlGF in the first and/or second trimester have a small or no effect on improving the prediction of PE provided by screening in the early third trimester. Copyright © 2017 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Competing-risks model in screening for pre-eclampsia by maternal factors and biomarkers at 35-37 weeks' gestation

OBJECTIVE

To develop a model for prediction of term pre-eclampsia (PE) based on a combination of maternal factors and late third-trimester biomarkers.

METHODS

Data were derived from prospective screening for adverse obstetric outcomes in women attending their routine hospital visit at 35-37 weeks' gestation in two maternity hospitals in the UK. Uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) was measured in 5362 pregnancies, mean arterial pressure (MAP) in 5386 and serum placental growth factor (PlGF) and serum soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) in 3920. Bayes' theorem was used to combine the a-priori risk of PE from maternal factors with various combinations of biomarkers, expressed as multiples of the median (MoM). Five-fold cross-validation was used to estimate the performance of screening for PE, requiring delivery at some stage after assessment. The empirical performance of screening was compared to model predictions.

RESULTS

In pregnancies that developed PE, the values of MAP, UtA-PI and sFlt-1 were increased and PlGF was decreased compared to unaffected pregnancies. For all biomarkers evaluated, the deviation from normal was inversely related to the gestational age at which delivery became necessary for maternal or fetal indications. Screening by maternal factors and by a combination of maternal factors with all biomarkers predicted 35% and 84% of PE, respectively, at a 10% false-positive rate.

CONCLUSION

A combination of maternal factors and biomarkers at 35-37 weeks' gestation can provide effective screening for term PE. Copyright © 2015 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.