Small for gestational age at preterm birth identifies adverse neonatal outcomes more reliably than antenatal suspicion of fetal growth restriction

BACKGROUND

Fetal growth restriction (FGR) is an important reason for premature delivery and a leading cause of perinatal morbidity and mortality. We aimed to evaluate whether classification as small for gestational age (SGA; <10th centile) at birth or antenatal suspicion of FGR was more strongly associated with neonatal morbidity and mortality in preterm infants.

METHODS

A retrospective audit of infants born between 24 + 0 and 32 + 6 weeks of gestation from 2012-2019 and admitted to the Neonatal Unit at Mercy Hospital for Women (MHW). Infants were categorized according to whether FGR was listed as an antenatal complication in the medical records and whether they were SGA (<10th centile on Fenton chart) or appropriate for gestational age (AGA) at birth, and comparisons for neonatal outcomes were made.

RESULTS

371/2126 preterm infants (17.5%) had antenatal suspicion of FGR, and 166 (7.8%) were SGA at birth. No differences in any neonatal outcomes were found between infants with or without suspected FGR, except decreased intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) in the FGR group. SGA classification was associated with increased rates of all morbidities other than IVH, including bronchopulmonary dysplasia, retinopathy of prematurity, and necrotizing enterocolitis, compared with the AGA group. Death was significantly higher in the SGA group (7.2%) compared with the AGA group (3.5%).

CONCLUSION

SGA by Fenton chart more reliably identified neonates at risk of adverse neonatal outcomes than antenatal suspicion of FGR, suggesting it is a reasonable clinical proxy. This most likely reflects the much lower tenth centile weight cutoffs on the Fenton charts compared to in-utero charts used antenatally to diagnose FGR based on ultrasound estimated fetal weight. SGA classification by Fenton approximately equates to <3rd centile on in-utero charts at our institution, therefore identifying the most severe FGR cases.

Plasma lipids are dysregulated preceding diagnosis of preeclampsia or delivery of a growth restricted infant

BACKGROUND

Lipids serve as multifunctional metabolites that have important implications for the pregnant mother and developing fetus. Abnormalities in lipids have emerged as potential risk factors for pregnancy diseases, such as preeclampsia and fetal growth restriction. The aim of this study was to assess the potential of lipid metabolites for detection of late-onset preeclampsia and fetal growth restriction.

METHODS

We used a case-cohort of 144 maternal plasma samples at 36 weeks' gestation from patients before the diagnosis of late-onset preeclampsia (n = 22), delivery of a fetal growth restricted infant (n = 55, defined as <5th birthweight centile), gestation-matched controls (n = 72). We performed liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-QQQ) -based targeted lipidomics to identify 421 lipids, and fitted logistic regression models for each lipid, correcting for maternal age, BMI, smoking, and gestational diabetes.

FINDINGS

Phosphatidylinositol 32:1 (AUC = 0.81) and cholesterol ester 17:1 (AUC = 0.71) best predicted the risk of developing preeclampsia or delivering a fetal growth restricted infant, respectively. Five times repeated five-fold cross validation demonstrated the lipids alone did not out-perform existing protein biomarkers, soluble tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) and placental growth factor (PlGF) for the prediction of preeclampsia or fetal growth restriction. However, lipids combined with sFlt-1 and PlGF measurements improved disease prediction.

INTERPRETATION

This study successfully identified 421 lipids in maternal plasma collected at 36 weeks' gestation from participants who later developed preeclampsia or delivered a fetal growth restricted infant. Our results suggest the predictive capacity of lipid measurements for gestational disorders holds the potential to improve non-invasive assessment of maternal and fetal health.

FUNDING

This study was funded by a grant from National Health and Medical Research Council.

Circulating Chemerin Is Elevated in Women With Preeclampsia

BACKGROUND

Preeclampsia is a severe complication of pregnancy. Chemerin is an adipokine secreted from adipose tissue and highly expressed in placenta. This study evaluated the biomarker potential of circulating chemerin to predict preeclampsia.

METHODS

Maternal plasma and placenta were collected from women with early-onset preeclampsia (<34 weeks), with preeclampsia and eclampsia, or before preeclampsia diagnosis (36 weeks). Human trophoblast stem cells were differentiated into syncytiotrophoblast or extravillous trophoblasts across 96 hours. Cells were cultured in 1% O2 (hypoxia) or 5% O2 (normoxia). Chemerin was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) and RARRES2 (gene coding chemerin) by reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction.

RESULTS

Circulating chemerin was increased in 46 women with early-onset preeclampsia (<34 weeks) compared to 17 controls (P < .0006). Chemerin was increased in placenta from 43 women with early-onset preeclampsia compared to 24 controls (P < .0001). RARRES2 was reduced in placenta from 43 women with early-onset preeclampsia vs 24 controls (P < .0001). Chemerin was increased in plasma from 26 women with established preeclampsia (P = .006), vs 15 controls. Circulating chemerin was increased in 23 women who later developed preeclampsia vs 182 who did not (P = 3.23 × 10-6). RARRES2 was reduced in syncytiotrophoblast (P = .005) or extravillous trophoblasts (P < .0001). Hypoxia increased RARRES2 expression in syncytiotrophoblast (P = .01) but not cytotrophoblast cells.

CONCLUSIONS

Circulating chemerin was elevated in women with early-onset preeclampsia, established preeclampsia, and preceding preeclampsia diagnosis of preeclampsia. RARRES2 was dysregulated in placenta complicated by preeclampsia and may be regulated through hypoxia. Chemerin may have potential as a biomarker for preeclampsia but would need to be combined with other biomarkers.

Endothelial protein C receptor is increased in preterm preeclampsia and fetal growth restriction

Placental dysfunction is the leading cause of both preeclampsia and fetal growth restriction. This study aimed to characterize endothelial protein C receptor (EPCR) in preterm preeclampsia, term preeclampsia, and fetal growth restriction (defined by delivery of a small for gestational age [SGA] infant [<10% birthweight centile]) and examine its regulation in primary syncytiotrophoblast. Placental EPCR mRNA and protein were significantly increased in patients with preterm preeclampsia (<34 weeks gestation) compared to gestation-matched controls (p < .0001). In the plasma, EPCR was also significantly elevated (p = .01) in established preterm preeclampsia while its substrate, protein C (PC) was significantly reduced (p = .0083). Placentas from preterm small for gestational age (SGA) cases, had elevated EPCR mRNA expression (p < .0001) relative to controls. At 36 weeks, no significant changes in plasma EPCR were detected in samples from patients destined to develop preeclampsia or deliver an SGA infant at term. In terms of syncytiotrophoblast, hypoxia significantly increased EPCR mRNA expression (p = .008), but Tumor Necrosis Factor Alpha (TNF-α) decreased EPCR mRNA. Interleukin-6 (IL-6) had no significant effect on EPCR mRNA expression. When isolated syncytiotrophoblast was treated with metformin under hypoxia (1% O₂ ) or normoxia (8% O₂ ), EPCR mRNA expression was significantly reduced (p = .008) relative to control. In conclusion, EPCR is markedly elevated in the placenta and the circulation of patients with established preterm preeclampsia and placental increases may be associated with hypoxia. Additionally, fetal growth-restricted pregnancies (as defined by the delivery of an SGA infant) also demonstrated elevated placental EPCR.

Placental galectin-3 is reduced in early-onset preeclampsia

Preeclampsia is a disease of pregnancy responsible for significant maternal and neonatal mortality. Galectin-3 is a β-Galactoside binding protein. This study aimed to characterise galectin-3 in women with preeclampsia and human trophoblast stem cells (hTSCs). Galectin-3 was measured in placental lysates and plasma collected from patients with early-onset preeclampsia (delivered <34 weeks' gestation) and gestation matched controls. Placental galectin-3 protein was significantly reduced in 43 women with early-onset preeclampsia compared to 21 controls. mRNA expression of LGALS3 (galectin-3 encoding gene) was reduced in 29 women with early-onset preeclampsia, compared to 18 controls (p = 0.009). There was no significant difference in plasma galectin-3 protein in 46 women with early-onset preeclampsia compared to 20 controls. In a separate cohort of samples collected at 36 weeks' gestation, circulating galectin-3 was not altered in 23 women who later developed preeclampsia, versus 182 who did not. In syncytialised hTSCs, hypoxia increased mRNA expression of LGALS3 (p = 0.01). Treatment with inflammatory cytokines (TNF-α and IL-6) had no effect on LGALS3 mRNA expression. However, TNF-α treatment caused an increase in mRNA expression of LGALS3BP (galectin-3 binding protein encoding gene) in hTSCs (p = 0.03). This study showed a reduction of galectin-3 in placenta from pregnancies complicated by early-onset preeclampsia. LGALS3 mRNA expression was dysregulated by hypoxia exposure in placental stem cells.

PSG7 and 9 (Pregnancy-Specific β-1 Glycoproteins 7 and 9): Novel Biomarkers for Preeclampsia

Background

Preeclampsia is pregnancy specific, involving significant maternal endothelial dysfunction. Predictive biomarkers are lacking. We evaluated the biomarker potential, expression, and function of PSG7 (pregnancy‐specific β‐1 glycoprotein 7) and PSG9 (pregnancy‐specific β‐1 glycoprotein 9) in preeclampsia.

Methods and Results

At 36 weeks gestation preceding term preeclampsia diagnosis, PSG7 and PSG9 (in Australian cohorts of n=918 and n=979, respectively) were significantly increased before the onset of term preeclampsia (PSG7, P=0.013; PSG9, P=0.0011). In samples collected at 28 to 32 weeks from those with preexisting cardiovascular disease and at high risk of preeclampsia (Manchester Antenatal Vascular Service, UK cohort, n=235), both PSG7 and PSG9 were also significantly increased preceding preeclampsia onset (PSG7, P<0.0001; PSG9, P=0.0003) relative to controls. These changes were validated in the plasma and placentas of patients with established preeclampsia who delivered at <34 weeks gestation (PSG7, P=0.0008; PSG9, P<0.0001). To examine whether PSG7 and PSG9 are associated with increasing disease severity, we measured them in a cohort from South Africa stratified for this outcome, the PROVE (Preeclampsia Obstetric Adverse Events) cohort (n=72). PSG7 (P=0.0027) and PSG9 (P=0.0028) were elevated among patients who were preeclamptic with severe features (PROVE cohort), but not significantly changed in those without severe features or with eclampsia. In syncytialized first trimester cytotrophoblast stem cells, exposure to TNFα (tumor necrosis factor α) or IL‐6 (interleukin 6) significantly increased the expression and secretion of PSG7 and PSG9. In contrast, when we treated primary endothelial cells with recombinant PSG7 and PSG9, we only observed modest changes in Flt‐1 (FMS‐like tyrosine kinase‐1) expression and Plgf (placental growth factor) expression, and no other effects on proangiogenic/antiangiogenic or endothelial dysfunction markers were observed.

Conclusions

Circulating PSG7 and PSG9 are increased before preeclampsia onset and among those with established disease with their production and release potentially driven by placental inflammation.

Estimation of neonatal body fat percentage predicts neonatal hypothermia better than birthweight centile

INTRODUCTION

PEA POD™ air displacement plethysmography quickly and noninvasively estimates neonatal body fat percentage (BF%). Low PEA POD™ BF% predicts morbidity better than classification as small-for-gestational-age (SGA; <10th centile), but PEA PODs are not widely available. We examined whether skinfold measurements could effectively identify neonates at risk; comparing skinfold BF%, PEA POD™ BF% and birthweight centiles' prediction of hypothermia - a marker of reduced in utero nutrition.

METHODS

Neonates had customized birthweight centiles calculated, and BF% prospectively estimated by: (i) triceps and subscapular skinfolds using sex-specific equations; and (ii) PEA POD™. Medical record review identified hypothermic (<36.5 °C) episodes.

RESULTS

42/149 (28%) neonates had hypothermia. Skinfold BF%, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.66, predicted hypothermia as well as PEA POD™ BF% (AUC = 0.62) and birthweight centile (AUC = 0.61). Birthweight <10^th centile demonstrated 11.9% sensitivity, 38.5% positive predictive value (PPV) and 92.5% specificity for hypothermia. At equal specificity, skinfold and PEA POD™ BF% more than doubled sensitivity (26.2%) and PPV increased to 57.9%.

CONCLUSION

Neonatal BF% performs better to predict neonatal hypothermia than birthweight centile, and may be a better measure of true fetal growth restriction. Estimation of neonatal BF% by skinfold measurements is an inexpensive alternative to PEA POD™.

Clinical tools and biomarkers to predict preeclampsia

Preeclampsia is pregnancy-specific, and significantly contributes to maternal, and perinatal morbidity and mortality worldwide. An effective predictive test for preeclampsia would facilitate early diagnosis, targeted surveillance and timely delivery; however limited options currently exist. A first-trimester screening algorithm has been developed and validated to predict preterm preeclampsia, with poor utility for term disease, where the greatest burden lies. Biomarkers such as sFlt-1 and placental growth factor are also now being used clinically in cases of suspected preterm preeclampsia; their high negative predictive value enables confident exclusion of disease in women with normal results, but sensitivity is modest. There has been a concerted effort to identify potential novel biomarkers that might improve prediction. These largely originate from organs involved in preeclampsia's pathogenesis, including placental, cardiovascular and urinary biomarkers. This review outlines the clinical imperative for an effective test and those already in use and summarises current preeclampsia biomarker research.

Circulating Activin A is elevated at 36 weeks' gestation preceding a diagnosis of preeclampsia

Activin A is aberrantly expressed by the preeclamptic placenta and circulating levels have been investigated as a potential biomarker for the disease. In a nested case-control study we measured Activin A levels in maternal plasma at 28- and 36-weeks' gestation preceding term preeclampsia diagnosis. At 28 weeks Activin A was not significantly altered (n = 73 destined to develop preeclampsia vs n = 191 controls). At 36 weeks' gestation Activin A was significantly increased in 40 women destined to develop preeclampsia relative to 201 controls (p < 0.0001). These findings provide further validation of Activin A as a potential biomarker for subsequent term preeclampsia.

A disintegrin and metalloproteinase 12 (ADAM12) is reduced at 36 weeks' gestation in pregnancies destined to deliver small for gestational age infants

First trimester circulating ADAM12 is reduced in fetal growth restriction (FGR) and preeclampsia. We measured plasma ADAM12 at 36 weeks' gestation preceding diagnosis of term preeclampsia or delivery of a small for gestational age (SGA; birthweight <10th centile) infant in two independent cohorts (Cohort 1 90 SGA, 41 preeclampsia, 862 controls; Cohort 2121 SGA 23 preeclampsia; 190 controls). ADAM12 was reduced with SGA in both cohorts (p = 0.0015 and 0.011 respectively), and further reduced with birthweight <5th centile (p = 0.0013 and 0.0058 respectively). This validates ADAM12 as an SGA biomarker near term. Circulating ADAM12 preceding preeclampsia was not consistently altered.

Accelerated fetal growth velocity across the third trimester is associated with increased shoulder dystocia risk among fetuses who are not large-for-gestational-age: A prospective observational cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether fetuses with accelerated third trimester growth velocity are at increased risk of shoulder dystocia, even when they are not large-for-gestational-age (LGA; estimated fetal weight (EFW) >95th centile).

METHODS

Fetal growth velocity and birth outcome data were prospectively collected from 347 nulliparous women. Each had blinded ultrasound biometry performed at 28 and 36 weeks' gestation. Change in EFW and abdominal circumference (AC) centiles between 28-36 weeks were calculated, standardised over exactly eight weeks. We examined the odds of shoulder dystocia with increasing EFW and AC growth velocities among women with 36-week EFW ≤95th centile (non-LGA), who went on to have a vaginal birth. We then examined the relative risk (RR) of shoulder dystocia in cases of accelerated EFW and AC growth velocities (>30 centiles gained). Finally, we compared the predictive performances of accelerated fetal growth velocities to 36-week EFW >95th centile for shoulder dystocia among the cohort planned for vaginal birth.

RESULTS

Of the 226 participants who had EFW ≤95th centile at 36-week ultrasound and birthed vaginally, six (2.7%) had shoulder dystocia. For each one centile increase in EFW between 28-36 weeks, the odds of shoulder dystocia increased by 8% (odds ratio (OR [95% Confidence Interval (CI)]) = 1.08 [1.04-1.12], p<0.001). For each one centile increase in AC between 28-36 weeks, the odds of shoulder dystocia increased by 9% (OR[95%CI] = 1.09 [1.05-1.12], p<0.001). When compared to the rest of the cohort with normal growth velocity, accelerated EFW and AC velocities were associated with increased relative risks of shoulder dystocia (RR[95%CI] = 7.3 [1.9-20.6], p = 0.03 and 4.8 [1.7-9.4], p = 0.02 respectively). Accelerated EFW or AC velocities predicted shoulder dystocia with higher sensitivity and positive predictive value than 36-week EFW >95th centile.

CONCLUSIONS

Accelerated fetal growth velocities between 28-36 weeks' gestation are associated with increased risk of shoulder dystocia, and may predict shoulder dystocia risk better than the commonly used threshold of 36-week EFW >95th centile.

Circulating Growth Differentiation Factor 15 Is Increased Preceding Preeclampsia Diagnosis: Implications as a Disease Biomarker

Background

We investigated the biomarker potential of growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF‐15), a stress response protein highly expressed in placenta, to predict preeclampsia.

Methods and Results

In 2 prospective cohorts (cohort 1: 960 controls, 39 women who developed preeclampsia; cohort 2: 950 controls, 41 developed preeclampsia), plasma concentrations of GDF‐15 at 36 weeks' gestation were significantly increased among those who developed preeclampsia (P<0.001), area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) of 0.66 and 0.71, respectively. In cohort 2 a ratio of sFlt‐1/PlGF (a clinical biomarker for preeclampsia) had a sensitivity of 61.0% at 83.2% specificity to predict those who will develop preeclampsia (AUC of 0.79). A ratio of GDF‐15×sFlt‐1/PlGF yielded a sensitivity of 68.3% at 83.2% specificity (AUC of 0.82). GDF‐15 was consistently elevated across a number of international cohorts: levels were higher in placenta and blood from women delivering <34 weeks' gestation due to preterm preeclampsia in Melbourne, Australia; and in the blood at 26 to 32 weeks' gestation among 57 women attending the Manchester Antenatal Vascular Service (MAViS, UK) who developed preeclampsia (P=0.0002), compared with 176 controls. In the Preeclampsia Obstetric adVerse Events biobank (PROVE, South Africa), plasma GDF‐15 was significantly increased in women with preeclampsia with severe features (P=0.02; n=14) compared to controls (n=14).

Conclusions

We conclude circulating GDF‐15 is elevated among women more likely to develop preeclampsia or diagnosed with the condition. It may have value as a clinical biomarker, including the potential to improve the sensitivity of sFlt‐1/PlGF ratio.

Pre-Clinical Investigation of Cardioprotective Beta-Blockers as a Therapeutic Strategy for Preeclampsia

Despite significant maternal and fetal morbidity, a treatment for preeclampsia currently remains an unmet need in clinical care. As too does the lifelong cardiovascular risks imparted on preeclampsia sufferers. Endothelial dysfunction and end-organ injury are synonymous with both preeclampsia and cardiovascular disease, including heart failure. We propose that beta-blockers, known to improve endothelial dysfunction in the treatment of cardiovascular disease, and specifically known to reduce mortality in the treatment of heart failure, may be beneficial in the treatment of preeclampsia. Here, we assessed whether the beta-blockers carvedilol, bisoprolol, and metoprolol could quench the release of anti-angiogenic factors, promote production of pro-angiogenic factors, reduce markers of inflammation, and reduce endothelial dysfunction using our in vitro pre-clinical preeclampsia models encompassing primary placental tissue and endothelial cells. Here, we show beta-blockers effected a modest reduction in secretion of anti-angiogenic soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 and soluble endoglin and increased expression of pro-angiogenic placental growth factor, vascular endothelial growth factor and adrenomedullin in endothelial cells. Beta-blocker treatment mitigated inflammatory changes occurring after endothelial dysfunction and promoted cytoprotective antioxidant heme oxygenase-1. The positive effects of the beta-blockers were predominantly seen in endothelial cells, with a less consistent response seen in placental cells/tissue. In conclusion, beta-blockers show potential as a novel therapeutic approach in the treatment of preeclampsia and warrant further investigation.

Elevated Circulating and Placental SPINT2 Is Associated with Placental Dysfunction

Biomarkers for placental dysfunction are currently lacking. We recently identified SPINT1 as a novel biomarker; SPINT2 is a functionally related placental protease inhibitor. This study aimed to characterise SPINT2 expression in placental insufficiency. Circulating SPINT2 was assessed in three prospective cohorts, collected at the following: (1) term delivery (n = 227), (2) 36 weeks (n = 364), and (3) 24-34 weeks' (n = 294) gestation. SPINT2 was also measured in the plasma and placentas of women with established placental disease at preterm (<34 weeks) delivery. Using first-trimester human trophoblast stem cells, SPINT2 expression was assessed in hypoxia/normoxia (1% vs. 8% O2), and following inflammatory cytokine treatment (TNFα, IL-6). Placental SPINT2 mRNA was measured in a rat model of late-gestational foetal growth restriction. At 36 weeks, circulating SPINT2 was elevated in patients who later developed preeclampsia (p = 0.028; median = 2233 pg/mL vs. controls, median = 1644 pg/mL), or delivered a small-for-gestational-age infant (p = 0.002; median = 2109 pg/mL vs. controls, median = 1614 pg/mL). SPINT2 was elevated in the placentas of patients who required delivery for preterm preeclampsia (p = 0.025). Though inflammatory cytokines had no effect, hypoxia increased SPINT2 in cytotrophoblast stem cells, and its expression was elevated in the placental labyrinth of growth-restricted rats. These findings suggest elevated SPINT2 is associated with placental insufficiency.

Maternal circulating SPINT1 is reduced in small-for-gestational age pregnancies at 26 weeks: Growing up in Singapore towards health outcomes (GUSTO) cohort study

Fetal growth restriction arising from placental insufficiency is a leading cause of stillbirth. We recently identified low maternal circulating SPINT1 concentrations as a novel biomarker of poor fetal growth. Here we measured SPINT1 in a prospective cohort in Singapore. Circulating SPINT1 concentrations were significantly lower among 141 pregnant women destined to deliver small-for-gestational age infants (birthweight <10th centile), compared to 772 controls (p < 0.01) at as early as 26 weeks' gestation. There were no correlations between infant body composition and circulating SPINT1 concentrations at 26 weeks. This provides validation that low maternal SPINT1 concentration is associated with poor fetal growth.

Reduced growth velocity from the mid-trimester is associated with placental insufficiency in fetuses born at a normal birthweight

BACKGROUND

Fetal growth restriction (FGR) due to placental insufficiency is a major risk factor for stillbirth. While small-for-gestational-age (SGA; weight < 10th centile) is a commonly used proxy for FGR, detection of FGR among appropriate-for-gestational-age (AGA; weight ≥ 10th centile) fetuses remains an unmet need in clinical care. We aimed to determine whether reduced antenatal growth velocity from the time of routine mid-trimester ultrasound is associated with antenatal, intrapartum and postnatal indicators of placental insufficiency among term AGA infants.

METHODS

Three hundred and five women had biometry measurements recorded from their routine mid-trimester (20-week) ultrasound, at 28 and 36 weeks' gestation, and delivered an AGA infant. Mid-trimester, 28- and 36-week estimated fetal weight (EFW) and abdominal circumference (AC) centiles were calculated. The EFW and AC growth velocities between 20 and 28 weeks, and 20-36 weeks, were examined as predictors of four clinical indicators of placental insufficiency: (i) low 36-week cerebroplacental ratio (CPR; CPR < 5th centile reflects cerebral redistribution-a fetal adaptation to hypoxia), (ii) neonatal acidosis (umbilical artery pH < 7.15) after the hypoxic challenge of labour, (iii) low neonatal body fat percentage (BF%) reflecting reduced nutritional reserve and (iv) placental weight < 10th centile.

RESULTS

Declining 20-36-week fetal growth velocity was associated with all indicators of placental insufficiency. Each one centile reduction in EFW between 20 and 36 weeks increased the odds of cerebral redistribution by 2.5% (odds ratio (OR) = 1.025, P = 0.001), the odds of neonatal acidosis by 2.7% (OR = 1.027, P = 0.002) and the odds of a < 10th centile placenta by 3.0% (OR = 1.030, P < 0.0001). Each one centile reduction in AC between 20 and 36 weeks increased the odds of neonatal acidosis by 3.1% (OR = 1.031, P = 0.0005), the odds of low neonatal BF% by 2.8% (OR = 1.028, P = 0.04) and the odds of placenta < 10th centile by 2.1% (OR = 1.021, P = 0.0004). Falls in EFW or AC of > 30 centiles between 20 and 36 weeks were associated with two-threefold increased relative risks of these indicators of placental insufficiency, while low 20-28-week growth velocities were not.

CONCLUSIONS

Reduced growth velocity between 20 and 36 weeks among AGA fetuses is associated with antenatal, intrapartum and postnatal indicators of placental insufficiency. These fetuses potentially represent an important, under-recognised cohort at increased risk of stillbirth. Encouragingly, this novel fetal assessment would require only one additional ultrasound to current routine care, and adds to the potential benefits of routine 36-week ultrasound.

MicroRNAs 363 and 149 are differentially expressed in the maternal circulation preceding a diagnosis of preeclampsia

Preeclampsia is a pregnancy complication associated with angiogenic dysbalance, maternal endothelial dysfunction and end-organ injury. A predictive test to identify those who will develop preeclampsia could substantially decrease morbidity and mortality. MicroRNAs (miRs) are small RNA molecules involved in post-transcriptional gene regulation. We screened for circulating miRs differentially expressed at 36 weeks’ gestation in pregnancies before the development of preeclampsia. We used a case–control group (198 controls, 34 pre-preeclampsia diagnosis) selected from a prospective cohort (n = 2015) and performed a PCR-based microarray to measure the expression of 41 miRs. We found six circulating miRs (miRs 363, 149, 18a, 1283, 16, 424) at 36 weeks' had significantly reduced expression (p < 0.0001–0.04). miR363 was significantly downregulated at 28 weeks’ gestation, 10–12 weeks before the onset of clinical disease. In the circulation of another cohort of 34 participants with established preterm preeclampsia (vs 23 controls), we found miRs363, 18a, 149 and 16 were significantly down regulated (p < 0.0001–0.04). Combined expression of miRs149 and 363 in the circulation at 36 weeks’ gestation provides a test with 45% sensitivity (at a specificity of 90%) which suggests measuring both miRs may have promise as part of a multi-marker test to predict preeclampsia.

Appropriate-for-gestational-age infants who exhibit reduced antenatal growth velocity display postnatal catch-up growth

Background

Postnatally, small-for-gestational-age (SGA; birthweight <10th centile) infants who are growth restricted due to uteroplacental insufficiency (UPI) demonstrate ‘catch-up growth’ to meet their genetically-predetermined size. Infants who demonstrate slowing growth during pregnancy are those that cross estimated fetal weight centiles at serial ultrasound examinations. These infants that slow in growth but are born appropriate-for-gestational-age (AGA; ≥10th centile), exhibit antenatal, intrapartum and postnatal indicators of UPI. Here, we examine if and when these infants (labelled as AGA-FGR) also demonstrate catch-up growth like SGA infants, when compared with AGA infants with normal antenatal growth velocity (AGA-NG).

Methods

We followed-up the infants of women who had previously undergone ultrasound assessment of fetal size at 28- and 36-weeks’ gestation, enabling calculation of antenatal growth velocity. To assess postnatal growth, we asked parents to send their infant’s growth measurements, up to two years post-birth, which are routinely collected through the state-wide Maternal-Child Health service. Infants with medical conditions affecting postnatal growth were excluded from the analysis. From the measurements obtained we calculated age-adjusted z-scores for postnatal weight, length and body mass index (BMI; weight(kg)/height(m²)) at birth and 4, 8, 12, 18 and 24 months. We used linear spline regression modelling to predict mean weight, length and BMI z-scores at intervals post birth. Predicted mean age-adjusted z-scores were then compared between three groups; SGA, AGA with low antenatal growth (AGA-FGR; loss of >20 customised estimated fetal weight centiles), and AGA-NG to determine if catch-up growth occurred. In addition, we compared the rates of catch-up growth (defined as an increase in weight age-adjusted z-score of ≥0.67 over 1 year) between the groups with Fisher’s exact tests.

Results

Of 158 (46%) infant growth records received, 146 were AGA, with low antenatal growth velocity occurring in 34/146 (23.2%). Rates of gestational diabetes and SGA birthweight were higher in those lost to follow-up. Compared to AGA-NG infants, AGA-FGR infants had significantly lower predicted mean weight (p<0.001), length (p = 0.04) and BMI (p = 0.001) z-scores at birth. These significant differences were no longer evident at 4 months, suggesting that catch-up growth had occurred. As expected, the catch-up growth that occurred among the AGA-FGR was not as great in magnitude as that demonstrated by the SGA. When assessed categorically, there was no significant difference between the rate of catch-up growth among the AGA-FGR and the SGA. Catch-up growth was significantly more frequent among both the AGA-FGR and the SGA groups compared to the AGA-NG.

Conclusions

AGA infants that have exhibited reduced antenatal fetal growth velocity also exhibit significant catch-up growth in the first 12 months of life. This finding represents further evidence that AGA fetuses that slow in growth during pregnancy do so due to UPI.

Circulating SPINT1 is a biomarker of pregnancies with poor placental function and fetal growth restriction

Placental insufficiency can cause fetal growth restriction and stillbirth. There are no reliable screening tests for placental insufficiency, especially near-term gestation when the risk of stillbirth rises. Here we show a strong association between low circulating plasma serine peptidase inhibitor Kunitz type-1 (SPINT1) concentrations at 36 weeks' gestation and low birthweight, an indicator of placental insufficiency. We generate a 4-tier risk model based on SPINT1 concentrations, where the highest risk tier has approximately a 2-5 fold risk of birthing neonates with birthweights under the 3^rd, 5^th, 10^th and 20^th centiles, whereas the lowest risk tier has a 0-0.3 fold risk. Low SPINT1 is associated with antenatal ultrasound and neonatal anthropomorphic indicators of placental insufficiency. We validate the association between low circulating SPINT1 and placental insufficiency in two other cohorts. Low circulating SPINT1 is a marker of placental insufficiency and may identify pregnancies with an elevated risk of stillbirth.

Death associated protein kinase 1 (DAPK-1) is increased in preeclampsia

INTRODUCTION

Death associated protein kinase-1 (DAPK-1) is highly expressed in the placenta relative to all other human tissues. We examine whether it is differentially expressed with preeclampsia.

METHODS

We examined samples from a large prospective collection of plasma from 2002 women. We split the samples into two cohorts: Cohort 1 (n = 1000) and Cohort 2 (n = 1002). We first measured circulating DAPK-1 at 36 weeks' gestation in a nested case-control group (from Cohort 1) of 39 women who developed preeclampsia and 98 controls. We then validated our findings by measuring circulating levels in all samples from both cohorts. We also measured DAPK-1 in the circulation and placentas of women who were diagnosed with preterm preeclampsia or delivered a growth restricted infant at <34 weeks' gestation.

RESULTS

In the case-control study, circulating DAPK-1 was significantly increased in women destined to develop preeclampsia (p < 0.01). We validated this by measuring circulating levels in Cohorts 1 and 2. Again, circulating DAPK-1 was significantly higher (p < 0.001) among women destined to develop preeclampsia (Cohort 1, Area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) = 0.66; Cohort 2 AUC = 0.67). Circulating DAPK-1 was also significantly elevated in women with established preterm preeclampsia. Placental DAPK-1 mRNA and protein expression were elevated in women with established preeclampsia.

DISCUSSION

DAPK-1 is a novel placenta-enriched molecule that is elevated in the circulation of women preceding the diagnosis of preeclampsia and is likely to be secreted from the placenta.

Cerebral-placental-uterine ratio as novel predictor of late fetal growth restriction: prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Fetal growth restriction (FGR) is a major risk factor for stillbirth and most commonly arises from uteroplacental insufficiency. Despite clinical examination and third-trimester fetal biometry, cases of FGR often remain undetected antenatally. Placental insufficiency is known to be associated with altered blood flow resistance in maternal, placental and fetal vessels. The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of individual and combined Doppler blood flow resistance measurements in the prediction of term small-for-gestational age and FGR.

METHODS

This was a prospective study of 347 nulliparous women with a singleton pregnancy at 36 weeks' gestation in which fetal growth and Doppler measurements were obtained. Pulsatility indices (PI) of the uterine arteries (UtA), umbilical artery (UA) and fetal vessels were analyzed, individually and in combination, for prediction of birth weight < 10^th , < 5^th and < 3^rd centiles. Doppler values were converted into centiles or multiples of the median (MoM) for gestational age. The sensitivities, positive and negative predictive values and odds ratios (OR) of the Doppler parameters for these birth weights at ∼ 90% specificity were assessed. Additionally, the correlations between Doppler measurements and other measures of placental insufficiency, namely fetal growth velocity and neonatal body fat measures, were analyzed.

RESULTS

The Doppler combination most strongly associated with placental insufficiency was a newly generated parameter, which we have named the cerebral-placental-uterine ratio (CPUR). CPUR is the cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) (middle cerebral artery PI/UA-PI) divided by mean UtA-PI. CPUR MoM detected FGR better than did mean UtA-PI MoM or CPR MoM alone. At ∼ 90% specificity, low CPUR MoM had sensitivities of 50% for birth weight < 10^th centile, 68% for < 5^th centile and 89% for < 3^rd centile. The respective sensitivities of low CPR MoM were 26%, 37% and 44% and those of high UtA-PI MoM were 34%, 47% and 67%. Low CPUR MoM was associated with birth weight < 10^th centile with an OR of 9.1, < 5^th centile with an OR of 17.3 and < 3^rd centile with an OR of 57.0 (P < 0.0001 for all). CPUR MoM was also correlated most strongly with fetal growth velocity and neonatal body fat measures, as compared with CPR MoM or UtA-PI MoM alone.

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort, a novel Doppler variable combination, the CPUR (CPR/UtA-PI), had the strongest association with indicators of placental insufficiency. CPUR detected more cases of FGR than did any other Doppler parameter measured. If these results are replicated independently, this new parameter may lead to better identification of fetuses at increased risk of stillbirth that may benefit from obstetric intervention. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Circulating GATA2 mRNA is decreased among women destined to develop preeclampsia and may be of endothelial origin

Preeclampsia is a pregnancy complication associated with elevated placental secretion of anti-angiogenic factors, maternal endothelial dysfunction and organ injury. GATA2 is a transcription factor expressed in the endothelium which regulates vascular homeostasis by controlling transcription of genes and microRNAs, including endothelial miR126. We assessed GATA2 and miR126 in preeclampsia. Whole blood circulating GATA2 mRNA and miR126 expression were significantly decreased in women with established early-onset preeclampsia compared to gestation-matched controls (p = 0.002, p < 0.0001, respectively). Using case-control groups selected from a large prospective cohort, whole blood circulating GATA2 mRNA at both 28 and 36 weeks' gestation was significantly reduced prior to the clinical diagnosis of preeclampsia (p = 0.012, p = 0.015 respectively). There were no differences in GATA2 mRNA or protein expression in preeclamptic placentas compared to controls, suggesting the placenta is an unlikely source. Inducing endothelial dysfunction in vitro by administering either tumour necrosis factor-α or placenta-conditioned media to endothelial cells, significantly reduced GATA2 mRNA expression (p < 0.0001), suggesting the reduced levels of circulating GATA2 mRNA may be of endothelial origin. Circulating GATA2 mRNA is decreased in women with established preeclampsia and decreased up to 12 weeks preceding onset of disease. Circulating mRNAs of endothelial origin may be a novel source of biomarker discovery for preeclampsia.

Assessing the sensitivity of placental growth factor and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 at 36 weeks' gestation to predict small-for-gestational-age infants or late-onset preeclampsia: a prospective nested case-control study

Background

Fetal growth restriction is a disorder of placental dysfunction with three to four-fold increased risk of stillbirth. Fetal growth restriction has pathophysiological features in common with preeclampsia. We hypothesised that angiogenesis-related factors in maternal plasma, known to predict preeclampsia, may also detect fetal growth restriction at 36 weeks’ gestation. We therefore set out to determine the diagnostic performance of soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 (sFlt-1), placental growth factor (PlGF), and the sFlt-1:PlGF ratio, measured at 36 weeks’ gestation, in identifying women who subsequently give birth to small-for-gestational-age (SGA; birthweight <10th centile) infants. We also aimed to validate the predictive performance of the analytes for late-onset preeclampsia in a large independent, prospective cohort.

Methods

A nested 1:2 case-control study was performed including 102 cases of SGA infants and a matched group of 207 controls; and 39 cases of preeclampsia. We determined the diagnostic performance of each angiogenesis-related factor, and of their ratio, to detect SGA infants or preeclampsia, for a predetermined 10% false positive rate.

Results

Median plasma levels of PlGF at 36 weeks’ gestation were significantly lower in women who subsequently had SGA newborns (178.5 pg/ml) compared to normal birthweight controls (326.7 pg/ml, p < 0.0001). sFlt-1 was also higher among SGA cases, but this was not significant after women with concurrent preeclampsia were excluded. The sensitivity of PlGF to predict SGA infants was 28.8% for a 10% false positive rate. The sFlt-1:PlGF ratio demonstrated better sensitivity for preeclampsia than either analyte alone, detecting 69.2% of cases for a 10% false positive rate.

Conclusions

Plasma PlGF at 36 weeks’ gestation is significantly lower in women who subsequently deliver a SGA infant. While the sensitivity and specificity of PlGF currently limit clinical translation, our findings support a blood-based biomarker approach to detect late-onset fetal growth restriction. Thirty-six week sFlt-1:PlGF ratio predicts 69.2% of preeclampsia cases, and could be a useful screening test to triage antenatal surveillance.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12884-018-1992-x) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Prospective longitudinal assessment of the fetal left modified Myocardial Performance Index

INTRODUCTION

The fetal left modified Myocardial Performance Index (Mod-myocardial performance index (MPI)) is a measure of systolic versus diastolic time intervals obtained from a single cardiac cycle with ultrasound. It is a measure of global ventricular function and has been investigated for potential utility in fetal conditions associated with cardiac dysfunction.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study is to compare values from a precisely replicated fetal left Mod-MPI technique to published reference ranges.

METHODS

Three hundred and sixty-five nulliparae prospectively underwent fetal left Mod-MPI measurement at 27⁺⁰-29⁺⁰ and 35⁺⁰-37⁺⁰ weeks' gestation. Measurements from pregnancies complicated by gestational diabetes mellitus, preeclampsia, or a small-for-gestational-age (<10th centile) infant were excluded. Mod-MPI values were compared with three published references created using similar measurement techniques.

RESULTS

Compared with one selected reference, at 29⁺⁰ and 35⁺⁰-37⁺⁰ weeks' gestation, 90-100% of our values fell within the 5th-95th percentile range as expected. Thus, this reference range was validated for our population in late pregnancy. However, the expected level of concordance was not seen at 27⁺⁰-28⁺⁶ weeks'. The other two references to which we compared our Mod-MPI values demonstrated poor concordance, especially at 27⁺⁰-29⁺⁰ weeks'. Pearson interobserver correlation was also improved at 35⁺⁰-37⁺⁰ weeks' at 0.434, compared with 0.083 at 27⁺⁰-29⁺⁰ weeks' gestation.

CONCLUSIONS

Concordance and interobserver variability between our cohort and similar populations were both improved at 35⁺⁰-37⁺⁰ weeks' compared with 27⁺⁰-29⁺⁰ weeks' gestation. Overall, variable Mod-MPI reproducibility across gestations limits clinical application, especially earlier in pregnancy. Manual Mod-MPI measurement should be considered most reliable in late pregnancy until automated MPI measurement is possible.

Reduced growth velocity across the third trimester is associated with placental insufficiency in fetuses born at a normal birthweight: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

While being small-for-gestational-age due to placental insufficiency is a major risk factor for stillbirth, 50% of stillbirths occur in appropriate-for-gestational-age (AGA, > 10th centile) fetuses. AGA fetuses are plausibly also at risk of stillbirth if placental insufficiency is present. Such fetuses may be expected to demonstrate declining growth trajectory across pregnancy, although they do not fall below the 10th centile before birth. We investigated whether reduced growth velocity in AGA fetuses is associated with antenatal, intrapartum and neonatal indicators of placental insufficiency.

METHODS

We performed a prospective cohort study of 308 nulliparous women who subsequently gave birth to AGA infants. Ultrasound was utilised at 28 and 36 weeks' gestation to determine estimated fetal weight (EFW) and abdominal circumference (AC). We correlated relative EFW and AC growth velocities with three clinical indicators of placental insufficiency, namely (1) fetal cerebroplacental ratio (CPR; CPR < 5th centile reflects placental resistance, and blood flow redistribution to the brain - a fetal response to hypoxia); (2) neonatal acidosis after the hypoxic challenge of labour (umbilical artery (UA) pH < 7.15 at birth); and (3) low neonatal body fat percentage (BF%, measured by air displacement plethysmography) reflecting reduced nutritional reserve in utero.

RESULTS

For each one centile reduction in EFW growth velocity between 28 and 36 weeks' gestation, there was a 2.4% increase in the odds of cerebral redistribution (CPR < 5th centile, odds ratio (OR) (95% confidence interval) = 1.024 (1.005-1.042), P = 0.012) and neonatal acidosis (UA pH < 7.15, OR = 1.024 (1.003-1.046), P = 0.023), and a 3.3% increase in the odds of low BF% (OR = 1.033 (1.001-1.067), P = 0.047). A decline in EFW of > 30 centiles between 28 and 36 weeks (compared to greater relative growth) was associated with cerebral redistribution (CPR < 5th centile relative risk (RR) = 2.80 (1.25-6.25), P = 0.026), and a decline of > 35 centiles was associated with neonatal acidosis (UA pH < 7.15 RR = 3.51 (1.40-8.77), P = 0.030). Similar associations were identified between low AC growth velocity and clinical indicators of placental insufficiency.

CONCLUSIONS

Reduced growth velocity between 28 and 36 weeks' gestation among fetuses born AGA is associated with antenatal, intrapartum and neonatal indicators of placental insufficiency. These fetuses potentially represent an important unrecognised cohort at increased risk of stillbirth and may warrant more intensive antenatal surveillance.

Shining light in dark corners: diagnosis and management of late-onset fetal growth restriction

Fetal growth restriction (FGR) is the single biggest risk factor for stillbirth. In the absence of any effective treatment for fetal growth restriction, the mainstay of management is close surveillance and timely delivery. While such statements are almost self-evident, the daily clinical challenge of late-onset fetal growth restriction remains; the competing priorities of minimising stillbirth risk, while avoiding excessive obstetric intervention and the neonatal sequelae of iatrogenic preterm birth. This dilemma is made harder because the tools for late-onset FGR diagnosis and surveillance compare poorly to those used in early-onset FGR; screening tests in early pregnancy have limited predictive value; most cases escape clinical detection, a phenomenon set to worsen given the obesity epidemic; there is a failure of consensus on the definition of small for gestational age, and ancillary tools, such as umbilical artery Doppler--of value in identification of preterm FGR--are less useful in the late-preterm period and at term. Most importantly, the problem is common; 96% of all births occur after 32 weeks. This means a poor noise/signal ratio of any test or management algorithm will inevitably have large clinical consequences. Into such a dark corner, we cast some light; a summary on diagnostic criteria, new developments to improve the diagnosis of late-onset FGR and a suggested approach to management.

Incidence and prevalence of multiple sclerosis in the UK 1990-2010: a descriptive study in the General Practice Research Database

OBJECTIVES

To estimate the incidence and prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS) by age and describe secular trends and geographic variations within the UK over the 20-year period between 1990 and 2010 and hence to provide updated information on the impact of MS throughout the UK.

DESIGN

A descriptive study.

SETTING

The study was carried out in the General Practice Research Database (GPRD), a primary care database representative of the UK population.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Incidence and prevalence of MS per 100 000 population. Secular and geographical trends in incidence and prevalence of MS.

RESULTS

The prevalence of MS recorded in GPRD increased by about 2.4% per year (95% CI 2.3% to 2.6%) reaching 285.8 per 100 000 in women (95% CI 278.7 to 293.1) and 113.1 per 100 000 in men (95% CI 108.6 to 117.7) by 2010. There was a consistent downward trend in incidence of MS reaching 11.52 per 100 000/year (95% CI 10.96 to 12.11) in women and 4.84 per 100 000/year (95% CI 4.54 to 5.16) in men by 2010. Peak incidence occurred between ages 40 and 50 years and maximum prevalence between ages 55 and 60 years. Women accounted for 72% of prevalent and 71% of incident cases. Scotland had the highest incidence and prevalence rates in the UK.

CONCLUSIONS

We estimate that 126 669 people were living with MS in the UK in 2010 (203.4 per 100 000 population) and that 6003 new cases were diagnosed that year (9.64 per 100 000/year). There is an increasing population living longer with MS, which has important implications for resource allocation for MS in the UK.

Hay fever symptoms and over-the-counter remedies: a community pharmacy study

There is poor understanding of patients' perceptions of hay fever symptoms, the factors which motivate them to purchase particular products and what properties they deem desirable in a remedy. This study aimed to increase understanding of patients' perceptions of hay fever symptoms and to investigate their perceptions of five non-sedating oral antihistamine products and a corticosteroid nasal spray. A sample of 249 patients was recruited from community pharmacies from June to August, 1995. Of these, 139 (56 per cent) returned questionnaires, of which 124 were valid for analysis. The most common symptoms experienced were nasal and ocular. The most common early warning sign of hay fever was sneezing (75; 21 per cent). Forty-three subjects (35 per cent) indicated there was less than half an hour between the first sign of an attack and developing all symptoms, and 87 (70 per cent) reported developing all symptoms in under two hours. For 45 subjects (36 per cent) the worst period for the attack was the morning. The most common way of treating a hay fever attack was by taking a remedy at the first sign of hay fever (70; 56 per cent). Seventy-six (61 per cent) used the remedy once daily and 120 (96 per cent) once or twice daily. Eighty-five (69 per cent) used the remedy every day of the week during an attack. A reduction in sneezing was the most common indicator that the remedy was working (50; 21 per cent). The most common reason for purchasing a remedy was the pharmacist's recommendation (45; 33 per cent). The most common reason for acquiring the remedy by over-the-counter (OTC) purchase was that it was more convenient than consulting a general medical practitioner (GP) (77; 42 per cent). The most common reason for liking a particular remedy was that it gave fast relief (35; 21 per cent). The most common reason for disliking a remedy was that it was expensive (21; 28 per cent). Most patients (108; 87 per cent) were either “very” or “fairly” satisfied with their remedy. The top three most important desired properties of an “ideal” hay fever remedy were that it was fast acting, gave long lasting relief and did not cause drowsiness.

Antiplatelet drug interactions

Both laboratory studies in healthy volunteers and clinical studies have suggested adverse interactions between antiplatelet drugs and other commonly used medications. Interactions described include those between aspirin and ibuprofen, aspirin and other nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), and the thienopyridine, clopidogrel, and drugs inhibiting CYP2C19, notably the proton pump inhibitors (PPI) omeprazole and esomeprazole. Other interactions between thienopyridines and CYP3A4/5 have also been reported for statins and calcium channel blockers. The ibuprofen/aspirin interaction is thought to be caused by ibuprofen blocking the access of aspirin to platelet cyclo-oxygenase. The thienopyridine interactions are caused by inhibition of microsomal enzymes that metabolize these pro-drugs to their active metabolites. We review the evidence for these interactions, assess their clinical importance and suggest strategies of how to deal with them in clinical practice. We conclude that ibuprofen is likely to interact with aspirin and reduce its anti-platelet action particularly in those patients who take ibuprofen chronically. This interaction is of greater relevance to those patients at high cardiovascular risk. A sensible strategy is to advise users of aspirin to avoid chronic ibuprofen or to ingest aspirin at least 2 h prior to ibuprofen. Clearly the use of NSAIDs that do not interact in this way is preferred. For the clopidogrel CYP2C19 and CYP3A4/5 interactions, there is good evidence that these interactions occur. However, there is less good evidence to support the clinical importance of these interactions. Again, a reasonable strategy is to avoid the chronic use of drugs that inhibit CYP2C19, notably PPIs, in subjects taking clopidogrel and use high dose H2 antagonists instead. Finally, anti-platelet agents probably interact with other drugs that affect platelet function such as selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, and clinicians should probably judge patients taking such combination therapies as at high risk for bleeding.

The effects of lumiracoxib 100 mg once daily vs. ibuprofen 600 mg three times daily on the blood pressure profiles of hypertensive osteoarthritis patients taking different classes of antihypertensive agents

AIMS

To examine whether the blood pressure (BP) profiles of lumiracoxib and high-dose ibuprofen differed in patients treated with different classes of antihypertensive medications.

METHODS

A 4-week, multicentre, randomised, double-blind study has compared the effects of lumiracoxib 100 mg once daily (od) (n = 394) and ibuprofen 600 mg three times daily (tid) (n = 393) on ambulatory BP in osteoarthritis (OA) patients with controlled hypertension. Here, we present subgroup analyses for patients receiving different antihypertensive classes. The primary outcome was a comparison of the change in 24-h mean systolic ambulatory BP (MSABP) from baseline to week 4. Patients receiving angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) or angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) represented the largest subgroups receiving antihypertensive monotherapy.

RESULTS

For patients receiving an ARB monotherapy, the least squares mean (LSM) 24-h MSABP at week 4 fell with lumiracoxib 100 mg od and increased with ibuprofen 600 mg tid, creating an estimated treatment difference of 8.1 mmHg in favour of lumiracoxib (p < 0.001). For patients receiving an ACEI and a beta-blocker monotherapy, the estimated treatment difference was 8.2 mmHg (p < 0.001) and 5.8 mmHg (p = 0.002) in favour of lumiracoxib respectively. These treatment differences were greater than observed in the overall population (5.0 mmHg in favour of lumiracoxib). In patients receiving diuretics or calcium channel blockers, treatment differences in MSABP were smaller and not statistically significant, although they remained in favour of lumiracoxib.

CONCLUSION

Lumiracoxib 100 mg od resulted in less destabilisation of BP than high-dose ibuprofen 600 mg tid, and this effect was the greatest in subgroups treated with drugs blocking the renin-angiotensin system.

Association between allopurinol and mortality in heart failure patients: a long-term follow-up study

AIMS

The aim of the study was to explore the long-term effect of allopurinol on mortality and cardiovascular hospitalisations in heart failure (HF) patients.

METHODS

This is a population-based cohort study using a record-linkage database in Tayside, Scotland. A total of 4785 HF patients (4260 non-users, 267 incident users and 258 prevalent users) were studied between 1993 and 2002.

RESULTS

Compared with non-users, low-dose users in the incident group had a significant increased risk of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and cardiovascular recurrence (adjusted HR, 1.60, 95%CI 1.26-2.03; 1.70, 1.29-2.23 and 1.44, 1.01-2.07). For the prevalent users, the adjusted HR were 1.27, 0.98-1.64; 1.43, 1.07-1.90 and 1.27, 0.91-1.76 respectively. There was no increased risk of outcome for high-dose users when compared with non-users (adjusted HR, 1.18, 0.84-1.66; 1.14, 0.76-1.71 and 1.36, 0.88-2.10 for the incident users, and 0.86, 0.64-1.15; 0.90, 0.64-1.26; and 1.27, 0.93-1.74 for the prevalent users respectively). High-dose allopurinol was associated with reduced risk of all-course mortality for prevalent users when compared with low-dose (adjusted HR 0.65, 95%CI 0.42-0.99).

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalent high-dose allopurinol use had a lower risk of mortality than the prevalent low-dose use suggesting that allopurinol may be of benefit in HF patients.

Exercise blood pressure and endothelial dysfunction in hypertension

BACKGROUND

Hypertensive patients with persistent endothelial dysfunction have adverse cardiovascular prognosis. However, current methods aimed to assess endothelial dysfunction in those patients who possess clinical applicability. We hypothesised that such individuals could potentially be identified by an exaggerated systolic blood pressure (BP) response to a submaximal exercise.

METHODS

We studied 22 male patients with essential hypertension who were categorised into two age-matched groups depending on their exercise systolic BP (ExSBP) rise during the 3-min exercise step test; the exaggerated ExSBP group [hyper-responders (> or = 40 mmHg)] and the low ExSBP responder group [hypo-responders (< or = 20 mmHg)]. Eleven healthy volunteers matched for age were used as control. Clinic and daytime ambulatory BP were assessed after 14 days of anti-hypertensive treatment withdrawal, which were not significantly different between groups. Vascular reactivity in response to intra-arterial infusions of acetylcholine, N(G)-monomethyl-l-arginine (l-NMMA) and sodium nitroprusside was assessed using forearm venous occlusion plethysmography.

RESULTS

The hyper-responder group had significantly less forearm vasodilatation to acetylcholine compared with the hypo-responder group [percentage change in the forearm blood flow 125 (17) vs. 260 (28), mean (SEM); p < 0.001]. Similarly, the vasoconstrictive response to l-NMMA was significantly impaired in the hyper-responder group in comparison to the hypo-responder group [-30 (2) vs. -45 (4); p < 0.05]. In contrast, the vascular response to sodium nitroprusside was not different between groups suggesting preserved endothelial-independent vasodilatation.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite similar ambulatory and office BP, the exaggerated ExSBP group had significantly worse endothelial function compared with the low ExSBP responder group. This simple and non-invasive test may be useful in routine clinical practice to aid risk stratification in hypertensive patients.

The association between coeliac disease and cardiovascular disease

BACKGROUND

Coeliac disease is more prevalent than was previously thought. The association between coeliac disease and cardiovascular outcome is not clear.

AIM

To investigate whether coeliac disease patients have an increased risk of cardiovascular events.

METHODS

A community-based cohort study using a record-linkage database. Three hundred and sixty-seven coeliac patients identified by a positive antiendomysial antibody test or a diagnosis with small bowel biopsy, and 5537 subjects who were tested and had a negative coeliac immunology, were included in the study.

RESULTS

The crude rates of cardiovascular events were 9.5 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 4.4-14.6) in the coeliac cohort and 8.9 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 7.6-10.3) in the antiendomysial antibody-negative cohort. Compared with the antiendomysial antibody-negative cohort, the adjusted relative risk of cardiovascular events for coeliac cohort was 1.9 (95% CI: 1.00-3.60). When we excluded patients who had previous hospitalization for cardiovascular disease, the adjusted relative risk was 2.5 (95% CI: 1.22-5.01). The use of any cardiovascular drugs prior to and after entry to the study were 36% and 29% for the coeliac cohort (P = 0.05), and 34% and 26% for the antiendomysial antibody-negative cohort (P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that coeliac disease seems to be associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular outcome.

Impact on mortality following first acute myocardial infarction of distance between home and hospital: cohort study

Objective:

To investigate the effect of distance between home and acute hospital on mortality outcome of patients experiencing an incident myocardial infarction (MI).

Design:

Cohort study using a record linkage database.

Setting:

Tayside, Scotland, UK.

Patients:

10 541 patients with incident acute MI between 1994 and 2003 were identified from Tayside hospital discharge data and from death certification data.

Main outcome measures:

MI mortality in the community, all-cause mortality in hospital and all-cause mortality during follow-up.

Results:

4133 subjects died following incident MI in the community (that is, were not hospitalised), 6408 patients survived to be hospitalised and 1010 of these (15.8%) died in hospital. Of 5398 discharged from hospital, 1907 (35.3%) died during a median of 3.2 years of follow-up. After adjustment for rurality and other known risk factors, distance between home and admitting hospital was significantly associated with increased mortality both before hospital admission (adjusted odds ratio (OR), 2.05, 95% CI 1.00 to 4.21 for >9 miles and 1.46, 1.09 to 1.95 for 3–9 miles when compared to <3 miles) and after hospitalisation (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.90, 1.19 to 3.02 and 1.27, 0.96 to 1.68). However, there was no effect of distance on in-hospital mortality (adjusted OR 0.95, 0.45 to 2.03 and 1.02, 0.66 to 1.58).

Conclusion:

The distance between home and hospital of admission may predict mortality in subjects experiencing a first acute MI. This association was found both before and after hospitalisation. Further studies are needed to explore the reasons for this association. However these data provide support for policies that locate services for acute MI closer to where patients live.

Treatment patterns of hypertension and dyslipidaemia in hypertensive patients at higher and lower risk of cardiovascular disease in primary care in the United Kingdom

Few studies have investigated the presence of dyslipidaemia in hypertensive individuals. In addition, few data exist on the concurrent treatment of both conditions for the prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD). This retrospective cohort study examined treatment patterns for hypertension and dyslipidaemia among hypertensive patients in UK primary care. We defined a population of patients aged > or =40 years from the UK General Practice Research Database. Hypertensive individuals with > or =3 additional cardiovascular risk factors (ARFs) were compared with a cohort comprising hypertensive patients with < or =2 ARFs. We analysed the prevalence of risk factors and the prevalence and incidence of treatment for hypertension, dyslipidaemia and for both conditions between January 1997 and December 2001. A total of 117 840 hypertensive patients were identified (23 655 with > or =3 ARFs, 94 185 with < or =2 ARFs) in 1997; in 2001, the number diagnosed as hypertensive was 133 683 (40 248 > or =3 ARFs, 93 435 < or =2 ARFs). The prevalence of antihypertensive treatment in the hypertensive patients with > or =3 ARFs increased during the study. In 2001, approximately one-third of hypertensive patients with > or =3 ARFs were not receiving antihypertensives. Among those patients who received such treatment, the majority received > or =2 separate agents in accordance with current guidelines. Treatment for concurrent hypertension and dyslipidaemia was initiated in <8% of patients with hypertension and > or =3 ARFs in each year. These findings demonstrate the under-recognition/undertreatment of cardiovascular risk factors in UK primary care among patients at risk of CVD.

Effectiveness of two statin prescribing strategies with respect to adherence and cardiovascular outcomes: observational study

BACKGROUND

There is considerable evidence that statins can reduce cardiovascular events. Currently high-risk patients are treated to a target cholesterol concentration. An alternative prescribing strategy (the 'fire-and-forget' approach) would instead deploy low-dose statins more widely. It has been suggested that for the same cost this approach might prevent more cardiovascular events. We have compared the treat-to-target and fire-and-forget statin prescribing strategies with respect to adherence and cardiovascular outcomes.

METHODS

We used a population-based record-linkage database containing several data sets linked by a unique patient identifier. We identified two cohorts of patients. Patients in the treat-to-target cohort were prescribed a statin, and subsequent measurement of their cholesterol was followed by upward titration of their statin dose if necessary. Patients in the fire-and-forget cohort were prescribed a statin, but no further cholesterol measurement was observed during the follow-up period.

FINDINGS

Adherence to statin treatment in patients treated to target was significantly better than in patients treated on a fire-and-forget basis (adjusted odds ratio 2.51, 95%CI 2.26-2.78). We found a lower cardiovascular disease (CVD) event rate in patients treated to target than in fire-and-forget patients (hazard ratio of CVD or cardiovascular death 0.41 (0.35-0.48) even after adjustment was made for adherence and baseline CVD risk).

INTERPRETATION

Our findings suggest that adherence to statins is worse in patients treated on a fire-and-forget basis than in patients treated to a target cholesterol concentration, and that this prescribing strategy is associated with worse cardiovascular outcomes.

Impact on cardiovascular events of increasing high density lipoprotein cholesterol with and without lipid lowering drugs

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the impact on cardiovascular events of changes in high density lipoprotein (HDL) adjusted for changes in total cholesterol.

DESIGN

Cohort study based on a record linkage database.

SETTING

Community study in Tayside, Scotland, UK.

PATIENTS

18,815 patients were identified for the study between 1989 and 2001.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Cardiovascular events.

RESULTS

5510 patients taking lipid lowering treatment who had not been hospitalised previously for cardiovascular disease had 314 cardiovascular events recorded (9407 person years of follow up). Patients whose HDL rose by > 20% were less likely to have an event (23.5/1000 person years, 95% confidence interval (CI) 17.3 to 29.6) compared with patients whose HDL did not rise (42.6/1000 person years, 95% CI 35.5 to 49.7, adjusted relative risk 0.60, 95% CI 0.44 to 0.83). HDL change and cardiovascular outcome were not significantly associated among patients who had been hospitalised previously for cardiovascular disease or among patients who were not taking lipid lowering drugs.

CONCLUSION

In this study a rise in HDL independently predicted reduced cardiovascular risk in patients taking lipid lowering treatment who had not been hospitalised previously for cardiovascular disease.

Application of a propensity score to adjust for channelling bias with NSAIDs

PURPOSE

To compare the relative risks of upper GI haemorrhage (UGIH) in users of Newer versus Older, non-specific NSAIDs when adjusted for channelling bias by regression on individual covariates, a propensity score and both.

METHODS

Cohort study of patients prescribed NSAIDs between June 1987 and January 2000. Exposure to Newer and Older non-specific NSAIDs was identified, and risk factors evaluated for each patient. Results of multiple covariate analyses and the propensity scoring technique to assess potential channelling bias in comparisons between Newer and Older non-specific NSAIDs were compared.

RESULTS

This study included 7.1 thousand patient years (tpy) exposure to meloxicam, 1.6 tpy exposure to coxibs, and 628 tpy exposure to Older non-specific NSAIDs. Patients receiving Newer NSAIDs were older, more likely to have a history of GI symptoms, and at higher risk for GI complications. Adjusting for these risk factors reduced the relative risks of UGIH on meloxicam and coxibs versus Older non-specific NSAIDs to 0.84 (95%CI 0.60, 1.17) and 0.36 (0.14, 0.97) respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Channelling towards high GI risk patients occurred in the prescribing of Newer NSAIDs. Propensity scores highlighted the markedly different risk profiles of users of Newer and Older non-specific NSAID. Correcting for channelling bias, coxib exposure, but not meloxicam exposure, was associated with less UGIH than Older non-specific NSAID exposure. In the present study, corrections made by regression on a propensity score and on individual covariates were similar.

The thyroid epidemiology, audit, and research study: thyroid dysfunction in the general population

The objective of this study was to define the level of treated thyroid dysfunction in a complete and representative population base in an area of sufficient dietary iodine intake. We used record-linkage technology to retrospectively identify subjects treated for hyperthyroidism or hypothyroidism in the general population of Tayside, Scotland from 1 January 1993 to 30 April 1997. Thyroid status was ascertained by record linkage of patient-level datasets containing details of treatments for hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism. We identified 620 incident cases of hyperthyroidism, an incidence rate of 0.77/1000 x yr [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.70-0.84] in females and 0.14/1000 x yr (95% CI, 0.12-0.18) in males. There were 3,486 incident cases of diagnosed primary hypothyroidism, an incidence rate of 4.98/1000 x yr (95% CI, 4.81-5.17) in females and 0.88/1000 x yr (95% CI, 0.80-0.96) in males. For both hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism, the incidence increased with age, and females were affected two to eight times more than males across the age range. The midyear point prevalence of all-cause hypothyroidism rose from 2.2% in 1993 to 3.0% in 1996. The level of thyroid dysfunction in Tayside, Scotland is higher than previously reported, and it increased from 1993 to 1996.

Do H2-receptor antagonists cause acute pancreatitis?

The aim of this study was to investigate the association between H(2)-receptor antagonists and acute pancreatitis. The automated database of the Medicines Monitoring Unit (MEMO) was used to carry out a case-control study, supplemented with information on possible confounding factors from hospital and GP medical records. Cases were patients hospitalized with a computerized diagnosis of acute pancreatitis, and two sets of controls were drawn from (1) the study population and from (2) the same GP practice as the case. Current or 60-day exposure to cimetidine and ranitidine was analysed. In adjusted analyses, cimetidine exposure and ranitidine exposure were associated with an increased risk of hospitalization for acute pancreatitis, as were alcohol abuse and cholelithiasis. The risks were lower in unadjusted analyses, suggesting that the association is confounded, although they did not disappear completely. A possible explanation is that data on confounding were incomplete. This study cannot discount the existence of an association between H(2)-antagonists and acute pancreatitis, and highlights the difficulties involved in obtaining complete and accurate data on confounding factors that are not collected routinely.

Do H2-receptor antagonists cause acute pancreatitis?

The aim of this study was to investigate the association between H(2)-receptor antagonists and acute pancreatitis. The automated database of the Medicines Monitoring Unit (MEMO) was used to carry out a case-control study, supplemented with information on possible confounding factors from hospital and GP medical records. Cases were patients hospitalized with a computerized diagnosis of acute pancreatitis, and two sets of controls were drawn from (1) the study population and from (2) the same GP practice as the case. Current or 60-day exposure to cimetidine and ranitidine was analysed. In adjusted analyses, cimetidine exposure and ranitidine exposure were associated with an increased risk of hospitalization for acute pancreatitis, as were alcohol abuse and cholelithiasis. The risks were lower in unadjusted analyses, suggesting that the association is confounded, although they did not disappear completely. A possible explanation is that data on confounding were incomplete. This study cannot discount the existence of an association between H(2)-antagonists and acute pancreatitis, and highlights the difficulties involved in obtaining complete and accurate data on confounding factors that are not collected routinely.

A study to determine the sensitivity and specificity of hospital discharge diagnosis data used in the MICA study

AIMS

To determine the sensitivity and specificity of each ICD9 code for a diagnosis of definite or possible myocardial infarction (MI) from the perspective of the Myocardial Infarction Causality Study (MICA) and to use these data to estimate the likely number of MICA cases in Scotland that would be undetected were these codes omitted from the study.

SETTING

Women resident and registered with general practitioners in the Tayside region of Scotland between October 1993 and October 1995.

METHOD

All SMR1 records of Tayside hospitalizations containing ICD9 (International Classification of Diseases, ninth revision) codes for myocardial infarction (410) or possible myocardial infarction (411, 412, 413, 414, 427.4, 427.5, 786.5) were identified for women aged between 16 and 44 years between 1 October 1993 and 15 October 1995. Original case records were sought and each episode abstracted using a predefined form. Records were independently scrutinized by two consultant cardiologists blinded to the SMR1 code. Cases were categorized as definite MI, possible MI or unlikely MI. Where there was disagreement between the two cardiologists, the profiles for such events were examined by a third cardiologist who acted as the final adjudicator. The adjudicator's verdict was, in this study, considered dominant. The sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value of each ICD9 code was determined.

RESULTS

Two hundred and fifty-three women fulfilled the SMR1 search criteria. Case records of 204 (81%) were retrieved but four case records contained no data on the admission of interest and were classified as invalid. Forty-six of the 200 remaining patients were ineligible for the MICA study leaving 154 records for evaluation. There were 12 patients who had a discharge code for MI (ICD9 410). Of these, 11 were judged as a definite MI by both cardiologists. One event (discharge code ICD9 410) was judged as 'possible' by one cardiologist and 'unlikely' by the other. The adjudicator subsequently judged this event as 'definite'. Another six events were subsequently judged as 'possible'. Thus, after adjudication, 12 cases of definite MI and six cases of 'possible' MI were identified. The sensitivity and specificity of ICD9 code 410 was 67% and 100% respectively. The positive predictive value was 100%. The sensitivity of code 411 was 5.6%. The specificity was 99% and the positive predictive value was 50%. Code 413 had a sensitivity of 5.6% with a specificity of 94% and a positive predictive value of 9.1%. Code 414 also had a sensitivity of 5.6%. The specificity was 86% and the positive predictive value was 4.5%. Code 786.5 had a sensitivity of 17%, a specificity of 23% and a positive predictive value of 2.5%. Code 427.5 failed to identify any definite or possible cases.

CONCLUSIONS

In the MICA Study, ICD9 code 410 was found to be the most robust. All 12 patients judged to have had a definite MI had the appropriate discharge code (ICD9 410). The six patients judged to have had a possible MI all had discharge codes other than that for MI (410). However, identifying these six patients required the validation of a further 160 events-giving a combined sensitivity of 33%, a specificity of 0% and a positive predictive value of only 3.8%. The use of ICD9 codes 411, 413, 414, 427.5 and 786.5 must, therefore, only be employed when circumstances fully justify the additional workload.