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Newgard CD, Babcock SR, Song X, Remick KE, Gausche-Hill M, Lin A, Malveau S, Mann NC, Nathens AB, Cook JNB, Jenkins PC, Burd RS, Hewes HA, Glass NE, Jensen AR, Fallat ME, Ames SG, Salvi A, McConnell KJ, Ford R, Auerbach M, Bailey J, Riddick TA, Xin H, Kuppermann N. Emergency Department Pediatric Readiness Among US Trauma Centers: A Machine Learning Analysis of Components Associated With Survival. Ann Surg 2023; 278:e580-e588. [PMID: 36538639 PMCID: PMC10149578 DOI: 10.1097/sla.0000000000005741] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE We used machine learning to identify the highest impact components of emergency department (ED) pediatric readiness for predicting in-hospital survival among children cared for in US trauma centers. BACKGROUND ED pediatric readiness is associated with improved short-term and long-term survival among injured children and part of the national verification criteria for US trauma centers. However, the components of ED pediatric readiness most predictive of survival are unknown. METHODS This was a retrospective cohort study of injured children below 18 years treated in 458 trauma centers from January 1, 2012, through December 31, 2017, matched to the 2013 National ED Pediatric Readiness Assessment and the American Hospital Association survey. We used machine learning to analyze 265 potential predictors of survival, including 152 ED readiness variables, 29 patient variables, and 84 ED-level and hospital-level variables. The primary outcome was in-hospital survival. RESULTS There were 274,756 injured children, including 4585 (1.7%) who died. Nine ED pediatric readiness components were associated with the greatest increase in survival: policy for mental health care (+8.8% change in survival), policy for patient assessment (+7.5%), specific respiratory equipment (+7.2%), policy for reduced-dose radiation imaging (+7.0%), physician competency evaluations (+4.9%), recording weight in kilograms (+3.2%), life support courses for nursing (+1.0%-2.5%), and policy on pediatric triage (+2.5%). There was a 268% improvement in survival when the 5 highest impact components were present. CONCLUSIONS ED pediatric readiness components related to specific policies, personnel, and equipment were the strongest predictors of pediatric survival and worked synergistically when combined.
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Affiliation(s)
- Craig D. Newgard
- Center for Policy and Research in Emergency Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon
| | - Sean R. Babcock
- Center for Policy and Research in Emergency Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon
| | - Xubo Song
- Department of Medical Informatics and Clinical Epidemiology, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon
| | - Katherine E. Remick
- Departments of Pediatrics and Surgery, Dell Medical School, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas
| | - Marianne Gausche-Hill
- Los Angeles County Emergency Medical Services, Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, California
| | - Amber Lin
- Center for Policy and Research in Emergency Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon
| | - Susan Malveau
- Center for Policy and Research in Emergency Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon
| | - N. Clay Mann
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Avery B. Nathens
- Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
| | - Jennifer N. B. Cook
- Center for Policy and Research in Emergency Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon
| | - Peter C. Jenkins
- Department of Surgery, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, Indiana
| | - Randall S. Burd
- Division of Trauma and Burn Surgery, Center for Surgical Care, Children’s National Hospital, Washington, District of Columbia
| | - Hilary A. Hewes
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Nina E. Glass
- Department of Surgery, Rutgers New Jersey Medical School, Newark, New Jersey
| | - Aaron R. Jensen
- Department of Surgery, University of California, San Francisco, Benioff Children’s Hospitals, San Francisco, California
| | - Mary E. Fallat
- Department of Surgery, University of Louisville School of Medicine, Norton Children’s Hospital, Louisville, Kentucky
| | - Stefanie G. Ames
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
| | - Apoorva Salvi
- Center for Policy and Research in Emergency Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon
| | - K. John McConnell
- Center for Policy and Research in Emergency Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon
- Center for Health Systems Effectiveness, Department of Emergency Medicine, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon
| | - Rachel Ford
- Oregon Emergency Medical Services for Children Program, Oregon Health Authority, Portland, Oregon
| | - Marc Auerbach
- Departments of Pediatrics and Emergency Medicine, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - Jessica Bailey
- Center for Policy and Research in Emergency Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon
| | - Tyne A. Riddick
- Oregon Health & Science University-Portland State University, School of Public Health, Portland, Oregon
| | - Haichang Xin
- Center for Policy and Research in Emergency Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon
| | - Nathan Kuppermann
- Departments of Emergency Medicine and Pediatrics, University of California, Davis School of Medicine, Sacramento, California
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