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Gerszi D, Orosz G, Török M, Szalay B, Karvaly G, Orosz L, Hetthéssy J, Vásárhelyi B, Török O, Horváth EM, Várbíró S. Risk Estimation of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus in the First Trimester. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2023; 108:e1214-e1223. [PMID: 37247379 PMCID: PMC10584002 DOI: 10.1210/clinem/dgad301] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2022] [Revised: 05/05/2023] [Accepted: 05/24/2023] [Indexed: 05/31/2023]
Abstract
CONTEXT There is no early, first-trimester risk estimation available to predict later (gestational week 24-28) gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM); however, it would be beneficial to start an early treatment to prevent the development of complications. OBJECTIVE We aimed to identify early, first-trimester prediction markers for GDM. METHODS The present case-control study is based on the study cohort of a Hungarian biobank containing biological samples and follow-up data from 2545 pregnant women. Oxidative-nitrative stress-related parameters, steroid hormone, and metabolite levels were measured in the serum/plasma samples collected at the end of the first trimester from 55 randomly selected control and 55 women who developed GDM later. RESULTS Pregnant women who developed GDM later during the pregnancy were older and had higher body mass index. The following parameters showed higher concentration in their serum/plasma samples: fructosamine, total antioxidant capacity, testosterone, cortisone, 21-deoxycortisol; soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor, dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate, dihydrotestosterone, cortisol, and 11-deoxycorticosterone levels were lower. Analyzing these variables using a forward stepwise multivariate logistic regression model, we established a GDM prediction model with a specificity of 96.6% and sensitivity of 97.5% (included variables: fructosamine, cortisol, cortisone, 11-deoxycorticosterone, SuPAR). CONCLUSION Based on these measurements, we accurately predict the development of later-onset GDM (24th-28th weeks of pregnancy). Early risk estimation provides the opportunity for targeted prevention and the timely treatment of GDM. Prevention and slowing the progression of GDM result in a lower lifelong metabolic risk for both mother and offspring.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dóra Gerszi
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Faculty of Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest H-1082, Hungary
- Department of Physiology, Faculty of Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest H-1094, Hungary
| | - Gergő Orosz
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen Medical and Health Science Centre, Debrecen H-4032, Hungary
| | - Marianna Török
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Faculty of Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest H-1082, Hungary
- Workgroup for Science Management, Doctoral School, Semmelweis University, Budapest H-1085, Hungary
| | - Balázs Szalay
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest H-1083, Hungary
| | - Gellért Karvaly
- Laboratory of Mass Spectrometry and Separation Technology, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest H-1089, Hungary
| | - László Orosz
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen Medical and Health Science Centre, Debrecen H-4032, Hungary
| | - Judit Hetthéssy
- Workgroup for Science Management, Doctoral School, Semmelweis University, Budapest H-1085, Hungary
| | - Barna Vásárhelyi
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest H-1083, Hungary
| | - Olga Török
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen Medical and Health Science Centre, Debrecen H-4032, Hungary
| | - Eszter M Horváth
- Department of Physiology, Faculty of Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest H-1094, Hungary
| | - Szabolcs Várbíró
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Faculty of Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest H-1082, Hungary
- Workgroup for Science Management, Doctoral School, Semmelweis University, Budapest H-1085, Hungary
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