Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease is a risk factor for occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after sustained virologic response in chronic hepatitis C patients: A prospective four-years follow-up study

Background and aim

The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) decreases significantly in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients with sustained virologic response (SVR) after pegylated-interferon plus ribavirin (PR) or direct-acting antiviral (DAAs) therapy. We follow-up a single cohort of CHC patients to identify risk factors associated with HCC development post-SVR.

Method

CHC patients with SVR in Beijing/Hong Kong were followed up at 12–24 weekly intervals with surveillance for HCC by ultrasonography and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to explore factors associated with HCC occurrence.

Results

Between October 2015 and May 2017, SVR was observed in 519 and 817 CHC patients after DAAs and PR therapy respectively. After a median post -SVR follow-up of 48 months, HCC developed in 54 (4.4%) SVR subjects. By adjusted Cox analysis, older age (≥55 years) [HR 2.4, 95% CI (1.3–4.3)], non-alcoholic fatty liver diseases [HR 2.4, 95%CI (1.3–4.2), higher AFP level (≥20 ng/ml) [HR 3.4, 95%CI (2.0–5.8)], higher liver stiffness measurement (≥14.6 kPa) [HR 4.2, 95%CI (2.3–7.6)], diabetes mellitus [HR 4.2, 95%CI (2.4–7.4)] at pre-treatment were associated with HCC occurrence. HCC patients in the DAAs induced SVR group had a higher prevalence of NAFLD as compared with those in the PR induced SVR group, 62% (18/29) vs 28% (7/25), p = 0.026. A nomogram formulated with the above six independent variables had a Concordance-Index of 0.835 (95% CI 0.783–0.866).

Conclusion

Underlying NAFLD is associated with increased incidence of HCC in chronic HCV patients post-SVR, particularly in those treated with DAA.

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Patients with chronic hepatitis C infection are still at risk of HCC after achieving sustained virus clearance (SVR).

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Non-alcoholic liver disease (NAFLD) is emerging as an important risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma.

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Underlying NAFLD is associated with increased incidence of HCC in patients with chronic HCV infection after sustained virologic response SVR.