Incidence and Predictors of Liver-Related Events in Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Background

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the commonest type of liver disease worldwide. We aimed to assess the incidence and predictors of liver-related events (LREs) and mortality in NAFLD patients.

Methods

NAFLD patients (n = 957) evaluated between January 2000 and November 2021 were included. Patients were categorised as noncirrhosis (NC), compensated cirrhosis (CC) and decompensated cirrhosis (DC), and the incidence of LRE and mortality were estimated and compared.

Results

The proportions of NC, CC and DC were 87.8% (n = 840), 8.8% (n = 84) and 3.4% (n = 33), respectively. The median follow-up duration was 3.9 (3.0-5.7) years, and the total cumulative duration was 4633 person-years. The incidence of LRE per 100 person-years was 0.14, 2.72 and 10.24 in patients with NC, CC and DC, respectively. The incidence of mortality was 0.12, 1.05 and 4.24 per 100 person-years, respectively, in the 3 groups. The causes of mortality in the 3 groups were liver related in 1/5 (20%), 3/4 (75%) and 6/9 (66.7%), respectively. Overall, the mortality rate was higher in those with diabetes than those without diabetes (log-rank P value = 0.005). On further analysis, diabetes was associated with poor outcomes only in NC group (log-rank P value = 0.036), and not in CC (log-rank P value = 0.353) or DC groups (log-rank P value = 0.771). On multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, age (hazard ratio [HR] 1.070), hypertension (HR 4.361) and DC (HR 15.036) were independent predictors of poor outcomes. Liver stiffness measurement, bilirubin, CC and DC were independent predictors of LRE.

Conclusion

In our study of NAFLD from India, the incidence of LRE was found to be similar to that seen in Western studies. In NC NAFLD, diabetes was associated with poor outcomes.

Granulocyte Colony-Stimulating Factor Use in Decompensated Cirrhosis: Lack of Survival Benefit

BACKGROUND

Granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (GCSF) has been utilized in decompensated cirrhosis (DC) for improving transplant-free survival (TFS). Data from multiple centers are conflicting with regard to patient outcomes. In this retrospective study, we present our 'real-world experience' of GCSF use in a large group of DC.

METHODS

From September 2016 to September 2018, 1231 patients with cirrhosis were screened, of which 754 were found to have decompensation(s). Seventy-three patients with active ascites, jaundice, or both completed GCSF treatment (10 mcg/kg per day for 5 days, followed by 5 mcg/kg/day once every third day for total 12 doses). Per-protocol analysis (n = 56) was performed to study clinical events, liver disease severity, and outcomes at 3, 6, and 12 months after treatment. Modified intention-to-treat (mITT, n = 100) analysis was performed to study overall survival at 180 days. Outcomes were compared with a matched historical control (HC) group (n = 24).

RESULTS

Nine (16%, n = 56), 24 (43%, n = 56), and 36 (75%, n = 48) patients died at 3, 6, and 12-month follow-up after GCSF. The commonest cause of death was sepsis (53%) followed by progressive liver failure (33%). Nine percent of patients developed hepatocellular carcinoma on follow-up at the end of 1 year. Acute variceal bleeds, overt hepatic encephalopathy, intensive unit admissions, and liver disease severity scores were higher after treatment at the end of 1 year. The Child-Pugh score >11 and model for end-stage liver disease-sodium score >25 and > 20 predicted worse outcomes at all time points and at 6 and 12 months after GCSF, respectively. Compared to a matched HC group, patients receiving GCSF had higher mortality (75% vs 46%, P = 0.04) at one year. mITT analysis revealed poor overall survival at 6 months compared to HCs (48% vs 75%, P = 0.04).

CONCLUSION

Survival in DC was shorter than what was expected in the natural history of the disease after GCSF use.