Estimating maize evapotranspiration based on hybrid back-propagation neural network models and meteorological, soil, and crop data

Crop evapotranspiration is a key parameter influencing water-saving irrigation and water resources management of agriculture. However, current models for estimating maize evapotranspiration primarily rely on meteorological data and empirical coefficients, and the estimated evapotranspiration contains uncertainties. In this study, the evapotranspiration data of summer maize were collected from typical stations in Northern China (Yucheng Station), and a back-propagation neural network (BP) model for predicting maize evapotranspiration was constructed based on meteorological data, soil data, and crop data. To further improve its accuracy, the maize evapotranspiration model was optimized using three bionic optimization algorithms, namely the sand cat swarm optimization (SCSO) algorithms, hunter-prey optimizer (HPO) algorithm, and golden jackal optimization (GJO) algorithm. The results showed that the fusion of meteorological, soil moisture, and crop data can effectively improve the accuracy of the maize evapotranspiration model. The model showed higher accuracy with the hybrid optimization model SCSO-BP compared to the stand-alone BP neural network model, with improvements of 2.7-4.8%, 17.2-25.5%, 13.9-26.8%, and 3.3-5.6% in terms of R2, RMSE, MAE, and NSE, respectively. Comprehensively compared with existing maize evapotranspiration models, the SCSO-BP model presented the highest accuracy, with R2 = 0.842, RMSE = 0.433 mm/day, MAE = 0.316 mm/day, NSE = 0.840, and overall global evaluation index (GPI) ranking the first. The results have reference value for the calculation of daily evapotranspiration of maize in similar areas of northern China.

A novel hybrid prediction model for PM2.5 concentration based on decomposition ensemble and error correction

PM_2.5 concentration is an important index to measure the degree of air pollution. It is necessary to establish an accurate PM_2.5 concentration prediction system for urban air monitoring and control. Due to the nonlinear characteristics of PM_2.5 concentration, it is difficult to predict it directly. Therefore, a novel hybrid model for PM_2.5 concentration based on improved variational mode decomposition (IVMD), outlier-robust extreme learning machine (ORELM) optimized by hybrid cuckoo search (CS), and chimp optimization algorithm (ChOA), error correction (EC) is proposed named IVMD-ChOACS-ORELM-EC. First of all, an improved VMD based on energy loss coefficient, named IVMD, is proposed. IVMD decomposes the original data to obtain K IMF components. Then, a hybrid optimization algorithm based on ChOA improved by CS is proposed, named ChOACS. The hybrid optimization algorithm is used to optimize ORELM. On this basis, the prediction model ChOACS-ORELM is proposed, and the K IMF components are predicted by ChOACS-ORELM. Finally, the EC model based on decomposition ensemble is established to further improve the prediction accuracy. The PM_2.5 concentration data collected at hourly intervals in Beijing, Shanghai, Shenyang, and Qingdao in China are used as experimental data. The experimental results show that the correlation coefficients between the prediction results and the actual values of the four cities are 0.9999, and the prediction performance of the proposed model is better than that of all comparison models.

Amended GWO approach based multi-machine power system stability enhancement

The conception of electromechanical oscillations initiates in the power network when there is an installation of the generator in parallel with the existent one. Further, the interconnection of multiple areas, extension in transmission, capricious load characteristics, etc. causes low-frequency oscillations in the consolidated power network. This paper proposes variants of a booming population-based grey wolf optimization (GWO) algorithm in the tuning of power system stabilizer parameters of a multi-machine system in damping low-frequency oscillations. The parameters have been tuned by framing an objective function considering the improving damping ratios for the system states with lesser damping ratios and shifting the system eigenvalues towards the left-hand side of s-plane for the improved settling characteristics for the oscillations in the system. The requisites of stabilizer strategy are mapped with the hallmarks of prevalent algorithms and designed hybrid versions of GWO for the enhancement of the multi-machine power system stability. Four variants of GWO technique are nominated based on the competent stabilizer performance namely, modified grey wolf optimization (MGWO), hybrid MGWO particle swarm optimization (MGWOPSO), hybrid MGWO sine cosine algorithm (MGWOSCA) and hybrid MGWO crow search algorithm (MGWOCSA) for the designed multi-machine power network. The proposed methods have been realized with the statistical analysis on the 23 benchmark functions. Nonparametric statistical tests, namely, Feidman test, Anova test and Quade tests, have been performed on the test system, further analysed in detail. A detailed comparative analysis under the self-clearing fault is presented to illustrate the suitability of the proposed techniques. For the analysis purpose, the location of system eigenvalues has been observed along with their oscillating frequencies and corresponding damping ratios. Further, the damping nature offered with considered system uncertainty for the system states also presented with the PSS parameters obtained by the proposed algorithms.