Decomposition of variation of mixed variables by a latent mixed Gaussian copula model

Many biomedical studies collect data of mixed types of variables from multiple groups of subjects. Some of these studies aim to find the group-specific and the common variation among all these variables. Even though similar problems have been studied by some previous works, their methods mainly rely on the Pearson correlation, which cannot handle mixed data. To address this issue, we propose a latent mixed Gaussian copula (LMGC) model that can quantify the correlations among binary, ordinal, continuous, and truncated variables in a unified framework. We also provide a tool to decompose the variation into the group-specific and the common variation over multiple groups via solving a regularized M-estimation problem. We conduct extensive simulation studies to show the advantage of our proposed method over the Pearson correlation-based methods. We also demonstrate that by jointly solving the M-estimation problem over multiple groups, our method is better than decomposing the variation group by group. We also apply our method to a Chlamydia trachomatis genital tract infection study to demonstrate how it can be used to discover informative biomarkers that differentiate patients.

Quantifying the association between progression-free survival and overall survival in oncology trials using Kendall's τ

This paper considers methods for estimating the association between progression-free and overall survival in oncology trials. Copula-based, nonparametric, and illness-death model-based methods are reviewed. In addition, the approach based on an underlying illness-death model is generalized to allow general parametric models. The performance of these methods, in terms of bias and efficiency, is investigated through simulation and also illustrated using data from a clinical trial of treatments for colon cancer. The simulations suggest that the illness-death model-based method provides good estimates of Kendall's τ across several scenarios. In some situations, copula-based methods perform well but their performance is sensitive to the choice of copula. The Clayton copula is most appropriate in scenarios, which might realistically reflect an oncology trial, but the use of copula models in practice is questionable.

Assessing temporal agreement between central and local progression-free survival times

In oncology clinical trials, progression-free survival (PFS), generally defined as the time from randomization until disease progression or death, has been a key endpoint to support licensing approval. In the U.S. Food and Drug Administration guidance for industry, May 2007, concerning the PFS as the primary or co-primary clinical trial endpoint, it is recommended to have tumor assessments verified by an independent review committee blinded to study treatments, especially in open-label studies. It is considered reassuring about the lack of reader-evaluation bias if treatment effect estimates from the investigators' and independent review committees' evaluations agree. The agreement between these evaluations may vary for subjects with short or long PFS, while there exist no such statistical quantities that can completely account for this temporal pattern of agreements. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a new method to assess temporal agreement between two time-to-event endpoints, while the two event times are assumed to have a positive probability of being identical. This method measures agreement in terms of the two event times being identical at a given time or both being greater than a given time. Overall scores of agreement over a period of time are also proposed. We propose a maximum likelihood estimation to infer the proposed agreement measures using empirical data, accounting for different censoring mechanisms, including reader's censoring (event from one reader dependently censored by event from the other reader). The proposed method is demonstrated to perform well in small samples via extensive simulation studies and is illustrated through a head and neck cancer trial.