Existence of HLA-Mismatched Unrelated Donors Closes the Gap in Donor Availability Regardless of Recipient Ancestry

In patients without a matched sibling donor (MSD) or well-matched unrelated donor (MUD), hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) can still be successful when using an HLA-mismatched unrelated donor (MMUD) in combination with post-transplantation cyclophosphamide (PTCy), abatacept, or other novel approaches. This may allow clinicians to choose a suitable donor from a wide range of donor options while optimizing other donor selection characteristics, including donor age. We hypothesized that allowing for a 5/8 HLA match level considering high-resolution matching at HLA-A, -B, -C and -DRB1, there is a potential to close the donor availability gap for all patients regardless of their race/ethnicity. In this work, we estimate the likelihood of matching for all racial/ethnic groups at different HLA match thresholds. Our study aimed to assess the potential for identifying an available MUD or MMUD in the National Marrow Donor Program (NMDP)/Be The Match (BTM) donor registry for 21 detailed and 5 broad racial/ethnic groups, using high-resolution HLA matching for HLA-A, -B, -C, and -DRB1 at various levels (8/8, 7/8, 6/8, and 5/8). We used donor registry population data from the NMDP/BTM in 2020 and redistributed the donor registry data according to existing population ratios, accounting for demonstrated donor availability. Finally, we used a genetic model at the population level to estimate the match likelihood for detailed and broad racial/ethnic groups. Likelihood of 8/8 HLA match ranging from 16% to 74% were obtained for various detailed racial/ethnic groups with available donors age ≤35 years. When considering more mismatches in the HLA loci, registry coverage became >99% with a 5/8 HLA match level for donors of all ages or those age ≤35 years, with HLA-DPB1 T cell epitope permissive matching, or when searching for donors outside of their racial/ethnic group. Our registry models demonstrate the potential for using MMUDs at various HLA match levels to study whether this will expand access to HCT across racial/ethnic groups. Expanded donor options may erase the donor availability gap for all patients while allowing for selection of MMUDs with favorable characteristics, such as younger age.

East Meets West-Impact of Ethnicity on Donor Match Rates in the Ezer Mizion Bone Marrow Donor Registry

HLA haplotype frequencies in a volunteer bone marrow donor registry should reflect the frequencies of potential transplant recipients served by that registry, a challenge in a country with diverse subethnicities of immigrants from Eastern and Western cultures, such as Israel. We evaluated the likelihood of finding suitable donors for hypothetical patients drawn from defined subethnicities in the Ezer Mizion Bone Marrow Donor Registry (EM BMDR) from donors both within and outside the registry now and during the coming decade. On average, bioinformatics modeling predicts that, given current donor recruitment trends, 6/6 high-resolution HLA match rates for Israelis, which currently stand at 40% to 55% for most subethnicities, will rise by up to 1% per year over the next decade. Subethnicities with historically lower rates of interethnic admixture are less likely to find matches outside of their designated group but will benefit from expansion of the registry, whereas ethnically directed drives will enhance matching rates for currently underrepresented subethnicities. Donor searches for the same cohort using a large extramural registry was of only slight benefit for most of the 19 EM BMDR subethnicities evaluated, confirming that local donor registries that reflect the ethnic diversity of the community being served are best equipped to serve the needs of their respective communities. Contemporary trends of an increasingly multiethnic admixture in Israel may impact the effect of ethnic profiling in assessing future match rates for EM BMDR.