Risk factors of early spontaneous preterm birth despite carrying a cervical pessary in singleton pregnancies with a short cervix: Development of a risk prediction model

Introduction

We aimed to identify the incidence and risk factors of spontaneous preterm birth in pessary carriers with singleton pregnancies and a short cervix in the mid-trimester of pregnancy.

Material and Methods

Patient data were obtained from the PECEP Trial. We analyzed singleton pregnancies in pessary carriers with a short cervix (≤25 mm) between 18 and 22 gestational weeks. Demographics and obstetric history were compared to identify risk factors for spontaneous preterm birth < 34 gestational weeks. Each demographic and obstetric variable was compared between spontaneous preterm birth < 34 and ≥ 34 weeks of gestation.Regression analysis was used to identify risk factors. A risk score model was generated using the odds ratio for significant factors. The risk score model and spontaneous preterm birth risk were assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve. Perinatal outcomes were compared by risk score.

Results

Among 190 pregnant individuals, 12 (6.3%) had spontaneous preterm birth < 34 gestational weeks. In the bivariate analysis, statistically significant differences between those with and without spontaneous preterm birth were only observed for mean cervical length at diagnosis and mean cervical length after pessary placement. By multiple logistic regression analysis, maternal age (OR 0.818; 95% CI 0.69-0.97; P 0.020), cervical length at diagnosis (OR 0.560; 95% CI 0.43-0.73; P < 0.001) and smoking status (OR 7.276; 95% CI 1.02-51.80; P 0.048) remained significantly associated with spontaneous preterm birth.The ROC curve from the multiple logistic regression analysis, including cervical length, maternal age and smoking status, had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.952 (P < 0.001). The ROC curve for the risk score model incorporating all three variables had an AUC of 0.864 (95% CI 0.77-0.96; P < 0.001). A high-risk score was predictive of spontaneous preterm birth with a sensitivity of 75%, specificity of 84%, positive predictive value of 24%, and negative predictive value of 98%.Women with a high-risk score had a significantly reduced latency to delivery and poorer neonatal outcomes than those with a low-risk score.

Conclusions

Patients at a high risk for spontaneous preterm birth despite pessary therapy may be identified using cervical length at diagnosis added to maternal age and smoking status.

Screening and treatment for short cervical length in pregnancy: a physician survey in the United States

PURPOSE

To evaluate how physicians in the United States (US) screen for, define, and treat a short cervix to prevent preterm birth.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional, web-based survey of 500 physicians treating pregnant patients with a short cervix in the US. Respondents' geographic region was monitored to ensure balance across the nine US Census divisions.

RESULTS

Respondents were predominantly obstetrician/gynecologists (86%, 429/500; mean age 49 years). Physicians reported that a median of 90% of their pregnant patients undergo cervical length screening; 81% (407/500) use transvaginal ultrasound. Physicians consult multiple evidence sources to inform their patient care, most commonly clinical guidelines (83%; 413/500) and published research (70%; 349/500). Most physicians (98%; 490/500) reported treating pregnant patients with a short cervix; 95% (474/500) use synthetic and/or natural progestogen, alone or in combination with other treatment modalities. If reimbursement was not a concern, 47% of physicians (230/500) would choose vaginal progesterone as their preferred treatment to prevent preterm birth in all patients with a short cervix, and 45% (218/500) would choose a synthetic progestogen.

CONCLUSION

US guidelines recommend transvaginal ultrasound for cervical length screening; 81% of physicians in this study reported using this method. Most physicians surveyed use progestogens to treat a short cervix, with approximately half choosing a synthetic progestin (45%) and half choosing natural progesterone (47%) as their preferred treatment, despite national guidelines recommending only vaginal natural progesterone for this indication. Additional physician education is required to implement current and best practices.