Six-month follow-up after recovery of COVID-19 Delta variant survivors via CT-based deep learning

Purpose

Using computer-aided diagnosis (CAD) methods to analyze the discharge and 6-month follow-up data of COVID-19 Delta variant survivors, evaluate and summarize the recovery and prognosis, and improve people's awareness of this disease.

Methods

This study collected clinical data, SGRQ questionnaire results, and lung CT scans (at both discharge and 6-month follow-up) from 41 COVID-19 Delta variant survivors. Two senior radiologists evaluated the CT scans before in-depth analysis. Deep lung parenchyma enhancing (DLPE) method was used to accurately segment conventional lesions and sub-visual lesions in CT images, and then quantitatively analyze lung injury and recovery. Patient recovery was also measured using the SGRQ questionnaire. The follow-up examination results from this study were combined with those of the original COVID-19 for further comparison.

Results

The participants include 13 males (31.7%) and 28 females (68.3%), with an average age of 42.2 ± 17.7 years and an average BMI of 25.2 ± 4.4 kg/m². Compared discharged CT and follow-up CT, 48.8% of survivors had pulmonary fibrosis, mainly including irregular lines (34.1%), punctuate calcification (12.2%) and nodules (12.2%). Compared with discharged CT, the ground-glass opacity basically dissipates at follow-up. The mean SGRQ score was 0.041 (0-0.104). The sequelae of survivors mainly included impaired sleep quality (17.1%), memory decline (26.8%), and anxiety (21.9%). After DLPE process, the lesion volume ratio decreased from 0.0018 (0.0003, 0.0353) at discharge to 0.0004 (0, 0.0032) at follow-up, p < 0.05, and the absorption ratio of lesion was 0.7147 (-1.0303, 0.9945).

Conclusion

The ground-glass opacity of survivors had dissipated when they were discharged from hospital, and a little fibrosis was seen in CT after 6-month, mainly manifested as irregular lines, punctuate calcification and nodules. After DLPE and quantitative calculations, we found that the degree of fibrosis in the lungs of most survivors was mild, which basically did not affect lung function. However, there are a small number of patients with unabsorbed or increased fibrosis. Survivors mainly had non-pulmonary sequelae such as impaired sleep quality and memory decline. Pulmonary prognosis of Delta variant patients was better than original COVID-19, with fewer and milder sequelae.