Seasonal influenza vaccine performance and the potential benefits of mRNA vaccines

Influenza remains a public health threat, partly due to suboptimal effectiveness of vaccines. One factor impacting vaccine effectiveness is strain mismatch, occurring when vaccines no longer match circulating strains due to antigenic drift or the incorporation of inadvertent (eg, egg-adaptive) mutations during vaccine manufacturing. In this review, we summarize the evidence for antigenic drift of circulating viruses and/or egg-adaptive mutations occurring in vaccine strains during the 2011-2020 influenza seasons. Evidence suggests that antigenic drift led to vaccine mismatch during four seasons and that egg-adaptive mutations caused vaccine mismatch during six seasons. These findings highlight the need for alternative vaccine development platforms. Recently, vaccines based on mRNA technology have demonstrated efficacy against SARS-CoV-2 and respiratory syncytial virus and are under clinical evaluation for seasonal influenza. We discuss the potential for mRNA vaccines to address strain mismatch, as well as new multi-component strategies using the mRNA platform to improve vaccine effectiveness.

Comparison of A(H3N2) neutralizing antibody responses elicited by 2018-2019 season quadrivalent influenza vaccines derived from eggs, cells, and recombinant hemagglutinin

BACKGROUND

Low vaccine effectiveness against A(H3N2) influenza in seasons with little antigenic drift has been attributed to substitutions in hemagglutinin (HA) acquired during vaccine virus propagation in eggs. Clinical trials comparing recombinant HA vaccine (rHA) and cell-derived inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV) to egg-derived IIVs provide opportunities to assess how egg-adaptive substitutions influence HA immunogenicity.

METHODS

Neutralization titers in pre- and post-immunization sera from 133 adults immunized with one of three types of influenza vaccines in a randomized, open-label trial during the 2018-2019 influenza season were measured against egg- and cell-derived A/Singapore/INFIMH-16-0019/2016-like and circulating A(H3N2) influenza viruses using HA-pseudoviruses.

RESULTS

All vaccines elicited neutralizing antibodies to all H3 vaccine antigens, but the rHA vaccine elicited the highest titers and seroconversion rates against all strains tested. Egg- and cell-derived IIVs elicited responses similar to each other. Pre-immunization titers against H3 HA-pseudoviruses containing egg-adaptive substitutions T160K and L194P were high, but lower against H3 HA-pseudoviruses without those substitutions. All vaccines boosted neutralization titers against HA-pseudoviruses with egg-adaptive substitutions, but poorly neutralized wildtype 2019-2020 A/Kansas/14/2017 (H3N2) HA-pseudoviruses.

CONCLUSION

Egg- and cell-derived 2018-2019 season influenza vaccines elicited similar neutralization titers and response rates, indicating that the cell-derived vaccine did not improve immunogenicity against the A(H3N2) viruses. The higher responses after rHA vaccination may be due to its higher HA content. All vaccines boosted titers to HA with egg-adaptive substitutions, suggesting boosting from past antigens or better exposure of HA epitopes. Studies comparing immunogenicity and effectiveness of different influenza vaccines across many seasons are needed.

In-depth phylogenetic analysis of the hemagglutinin gene of influenza A(H3N2) viruses circulating during the 2016-2017 season revealed egg-adaptive mutations of vaccine strains

Objectives: The authors conducted an in-depth phylogenetic analysis of the hemagglutinin (HA) gene of A(H3N2) identified during the 2016-2017 season to compare the circulating strains with both the egg-derived and cell-derived 2016-2017 candidate vaccine virus (CVV).Methods: 162 HA1 sequences of H3N2 viruses identified during the 2016-2017 season were phylogenetically analyzed and compared with egg-/cell-derived CVV. The predicted vaccine efficacy (pVE) of egg-/cell-derived CVV against field strains was quantified by P_epitope model.Results: All H3N2 belonged to 3C.2a genetic clade, most (80.2%) to 3C.2a1 sub-clade. Several H3N2 variants circulated in the 2016-2017 season. HA sequences of field H3N2 strains displayed greater identity with cell-derived CVV than with egg-derived CVV. The amino acid substitutions in positions 160 and 194 identified in egg-derived CVV affected the pVE, which was lower for egg-derived CVV than for cell-derived CVV.Conclusions: The results suggested that reduced vaccine effectiveness observed in 2016-2017 season was probably due to changes in the HA of vaccine strains acquired upon adaptation in eggs, which are the basis of most manufacturing systems currently used globally. Egg-free vaccine manufacturing systems would be advisable to improve the effectiveness of influenza vaccines.