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Rapposelli IG, Shimose S, Kumada T, Okamura S, Hiraoka A, Di Costanzo GG, Marra F, Tamburini E, Forgione A, Foschi FG, Silletta M, Lonardi S, Masi G, Scartozzi M, Nakano M, Shibata H, Kawata K, Pellino A, Vivaldi C, Lai E, Takata A, Tajiri K, Toyoda H, Tortora R, Campani C, Viola MG, Piscaglia F, Conti F, Fulgenzi CAM, Frassineti GL, Rizzato MD, Salani F, Astara G, Torimura T, Atsukawa M, Tada T, Burgio V, Rimini M, Cascinu S, Casadei-Gardini A. Identification of lenvatinib prognostic index via recursive partitioning analysis in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma. ESMO Open 2021; 6:100190. [PMID: 34144271 PMCID: PMC8219999 DOI: 10.1016/j.esmoop.2021.100190] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2021] [Revised: 05/25/2021] [Accepted: 05/26/2021] [Indexed: 02/08/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND After the advent of new treatment options for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the identification of prognostic factors is crucial for the selection of the most appropriate therapy for each patient. PATIENTS AND METHODS With the aim to fill this gap, we applied recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) to a cohort of 404 patients treated with lenvatinib. RESULTS The application of RPA resulted in a classification based on five variables that originated a new prognostic score, the lenvatinib prognostic index (LEP) index, identifying three groups: low risk [patients with prognostic nutritional index (PNI) >43.3 and previous trans-arterial chemoembolization (TACE)]; medium risk [patients with PNI >43.3 but without previous TACE and patients with PNI <43.3, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 1 and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage B (BCLC-B)]; high risk [patients with PNI <43.3 and ALBI grade 2 and patients with PNI <43.3, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 1 and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C (BCLC-C)]. Median overall survival was 29.8 months [95% confidence interval (CI) 22.8-29.8 months] in low risk patients (n = 128), 17.0 months (95% CI 15.0-24.0 months) in medium risk (n = 162) and 8.9 months (95% CI 8.0-10.7 months) in high risk (n = 114); low risk hazard ratio (HR) 1 (reference group), medium risk HR 1.95 (95% CI 1.38-2.74), high risk HR 4.84 (95% CI 3.16-7.43); P < 0.0001. The LEP index was validated in a cohort of 127 Italian patients treated with lenvatinib. While the same classification did not show a prognostic value in a cohort of 311 patients treated with sorafenib, we also show a possible predictive role in favor of lenvatinib in the low risk group. CONCLUSIONS LEP index is a promising, easy-to-use tool that may be used to stratify patients undergoing systemic treatment of advanced HCC.
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Affiliation(s)
- I G Rapposelli
- Department of Medical Oncology, IRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori 'Dino Amadori'-IRST, Meldola, Italy
| | - S Shimose
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Kurume University School of Medicine, Kurume, Japan
| | - T Kumada
- Faculty of Nursing, Gifu Kyoritsu University, Ogaki, Japan
| | - S Okamura
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Kurume University School of Medicine, Kurume, Japan
| | - A Hiraoka
- Gastroenterology Center, Ehime Prefectural Central Hospital, Matsuyama, Japan
| | - G G Di Costanzo
- Liver Unit, Department of Transplantation, Cardarelli Hospital, Naples, Italy
| | - F Marra
- Dipartimento di Medicina Sperimentale e Clinica, University of Florence, Florence, Italy
| | - E Tamburini
- Department of Medical Oncology, Card. G. Panico Hospital of Tricase, Tricase, Italy
| | - A Forgione
- Division of Internal Medicine, Hepatobiliary and Immunoallergic Diseases, IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Bologna, Italy
| | - F G Foschi
- Department of Internal Medicine, Faenza Hospital, AUSL Romagna, Faenza, Italy
| | - M Silletta
- Medical Oncology Unit, University Campus Bio-Medico, Rome, Italy
| | - S Lonardi
- Early Phase Clinical Trial Unit, Department of Oncology, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV-IRCCS, Padua, Italy; Medical Oncology Unit 1, Department of Oncology, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV - IRCCS, Padua, Italy
| | - G Masi
- Department of Translational Research and New Technologies in Medicine and Surgery, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy; Unit of Medical Oncology 2, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Pisana, Pisa, Italy
| | - M Scartozzi
- Medical Oncology, University and University Hospital of Cagliari, Italy
| | - M Nakano
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Kurume University School of Medicine, Kurume, Japan
| | - H Shibata
- Department of Gastroenterology, Tokushima Prefectural Central Hospital, Tokushima, Japan
| | - K Kawata
- Hepatology Division, Department of Internal Medicine, Hamamatsu University School of Medicine, Hamamatsu, Japan
| | - A Pellino
- Medical Oncology Unit 1, Department of Oncology, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV - IRCCS, Padua, Italy; Department of Surgery, Oncology and Gastroenterology, University of Padua, Padua, Italy
| | - C Vivaldi
- Department of Translational Research and New Technologies in Medicine and Surgery, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy; Unit of Medical Oncology 2, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Pisana, Pisa, Italy
| | - E Lai
- Medical Oncology, University and University Hospital of Cagliari, Italy
| | - A Takata
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Kurume University School of Medicine, Kurume, Japan
| | - K Tajiri
- Department of Gastroenterology, Toyama University Hospital, Toyama, Japan
| | - H Toyoda
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan
| | - R Tortora
- Liver Unit, Department of Transplantation, Cardarelli Hospital, Naples, Italy
| | - C Campani
- Dipartimento di Medicina Sperimentale e Clinica, University of Florence, Florence, Italy
| | - M G Viola
- Department of Surgery, Card. G. Panico Hospital of Tricase, Tricase, Italy
| | - F Piscaglia
- Division of Internal Medicine, Hepatobiliary and Immunoallergic Diseases, IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Bologna, Italy
| | - F Conti
- Department of Internal Medicine, Faenza Hospital, AUSL Romagna, Faenza, Italy
| | - C A M Fulgenzi
- Medical Oncology Unit, University Campus Bio-Medico, Rome, Italy
| | - G L Frassineti
- Department of Medical Oncology, IRCCS Istituto Romagnolo per lo Studio dei Tumori 'Dino Amadori'-IRST, Meldola, Italy
| | - M D Rizzato
- Medical Oncology Unit 1, Department of Oncology, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV - IRCCS, Padua, Italy
| | - F Salani
- Unit of Medical Oncology 2, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Pisana, Pisa, Italy
| | - G Astara
- Medical Oncology, University and University Hospital of Cagliari, Italy
| | - T Torimura
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Kurume University School of Medicine, Kurume, Japan
| | - M Atsukawa
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan
| | - T Tada
- Department of Internal Medicine, Japanese Red Cross Himeji Hospital, Himeji, Japan
| | - V Burgio
- Unit of Oncology, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy
| | - M Rimini
- Department of Oncology and Hematology, Division of Oncology, University Hospital of Modena, Modena, Italy
| | - S Cascinu
- Unit of Oncology, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy; School of Medicine, Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy
| | - A Casadei-Gardini
- Unit of Oncology, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy; School of Medicine, Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy.
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