Predicting recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation using a novel model that incorporates tumor and donor-related factors

Evidence suggests that liver graft quality impacts on posttransplant recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). As of today, selection criteria only use variables related to tumor characteristics. Within the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients, we identified patients with HCC who underwent liver transplantation between 2004 and 2016 (development cohort, n = 10 887). Based on tumor recurrence rates, we fitted a competing-risk regression incorporating tumor- and donor-related factors, and we developed a prognostic score. Results were validated both internally and externally in the Australia and New Zealand Liver Transplant Registry. Total tumor diameter (subhazard ratio [sub-HR] 1.52 [1.28-1.81]), alpha-feto protein (sub-HR 1.27 [1.23-1.32], recipient male gender (sub-HR 1.43 [1.18-1.74]), elevated donor body mass index (sub-HR 1.26 [1.01-1.58]), and shared graft allocation policy (sub-HR 1.20 [1.01-1.43]) were independently associated with tumor recurrence. We next developed the Darlica score (sub-HR 2.72 [2.41-3.08] P < 0.001) that allows identifying risky combinations between a given donor and a given recipient. Results were validated internally (n = 3 629) and externally in the Australia and New Zealand Liver Transplant Registry (n = 370). The current score is based on variables that are readily available at the time of graft offer. It allows identifying hazardous donor-recipient combinations in terms of risk of tumor recurrence and overall survival.

An analysis of the outcomes in living donor liver transplantation for pediatric malignant hepatic tumors using nationwide survey data in Japan

Malignant hepatic tumors (MHTs) in children are rare and account for approximately 5% of candidates for pediatric liver transplantation (LT) in Japan. We conducted a national survey of pediatric patients undergoing living donor LT for MHTs between October 1990 and April 2018. In total, 116 children underwent LT for MHTs during this study period: 100 hepatoblastomas (HBLs), 10 hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs), and six other MHTs. The overall patient survival rate at 5 years was 81.3% for HBL, 60.0% for HCC, and 80.0% for other MHTs (P = 0.047). In patients with HBL, there was no significant difference in the 1- and 5-year patient survival rates between patients undergoing primary LT and those who received salvage LT for tumor recurrence (89.7%, 81.6% vs. 88.0%, 76%; P = 0.526). The 5-year overall survival rate after LT for HBL significantly improved from 63.2% in 1996-2008 to 89.8% in 2009-2018 (P = 0.018). The presence of lung metastasis before LT had no significant influence on the long-term survival (P = 0.742). Five patients with HCC died, including two who fell outside the Milan criteria. In conclusion, LT for pediatric MHTs, especially HBL, is a valuable treatment option for select patients.