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Gambacorta MA, Chiloiro G, Masciocchi C, Mariani S, Romano A, Gonnelli A, Gerard JP, Ngan S, Rödel C, Bujko K, Glynne-Jones R, van Soest J, Dekker A, Damiani A, Valentini V. pCR and 2-Year Disease-Free Survival: A Combination of the Two Endpoints as a New Classification for Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Patients-An Updated Pooled Analysis of Eleven International Randomized Trials. Cancers (Basel) 2023; 15:3209. [PMID: 37370819 DOI: 10.3390/cancers15123209] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/29/2023] [Revised: 06/13/2023] [Accepted: 06/13/2023] [Indexed: 06/29/2023] Open
Abstract
LARC is managed by multimodal treatments whose intensity can be highly modulated. In this context, we need surrogate endpoints to help predict long-term outcomes and better personalize treatments. A previous study identified 2yDFS as a stronger predictor of OS than pCR in LARC patients undergoing neoadjuvant RT. The aim of this pooled analysis was to assess the role of pCR and 2yDFS as surrogate endpoints for OS in a larger cohort. The pooled and subgroup analyses were performed on large rectal cancer randomized trial cohorts who received long-course RT. Our analysis focused on the evaluation of OS in relation to the pCR and 2-year disease status. A total of 4600 patients were analyzed. Four groups were identified according to intermediate outcomes: 12% had both pCR and 2yDFS (the better); 67% achieved 2yDFS but not pCR (the good); 1% had pCR but not 2yDFS; and 20% had neither pCR nor 2yDFS (the bad). The pCR and 2yDFS were favorably associated with OS in the univariate analysis, and 2yDFS maintained a statistically significant association in the multivariate analysis independently of the pCR status. The combination of the pCR and 2yDFS results in a strong predictor of OS, whereas failure to achieve 2yDFS carries a poor prognosis regardless of the pCR status. This new stratification of LARC patients could help design predictive models where the combination of 2yDFS and pCR should be employed as the primary outcome.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Giuditta Chiloiro
- Radiation Oncology Department, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli-IRCCS, 00168 Rome, Italy
| | - Carlotta Masciocchi
- Radiation Oncology Department, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli-IRCCS, 00168 Rome, Italy
| | - Silvia Mariani
- Radiation Oncology Department, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli-IRCCS, 00168 Rome, Italy
| | - Angela Romano
- Radiation Oncology Department, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli-IRCCS, 00168 Rome, Italy
| | - Alessandra Gonnelli
- Radiation Oncology Unit, Azienda Ospedaliero Universitaria Pisana, 56124 Pisa, Italy
| | | | - Samuel Ngan
- Division of Radiation Oncology, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Melbourne, VIC 3000, Australia
| | - Claus Rödel
- Department of Radiotherapy of Oncology, University of Frankfurt, 60590 Frankfurt, Germany
- German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), 69120 Heidelberg, Germany
- German Cancer Consortium (DKTK), Partner Site, 60528 Frankfurt, Germany
- Frankfurt Cancer Institute (FCI), 60596 Frankfurt, Germany
| | - Krzysztof Bujko
- Department of Radiotherapy I, Maria Skłodowska-Curie National Research Institute of Oncology, 02-781 Warsaw, Poland
| | - Robert Glynne-Jones
- Department of Radiotherapy, Mount Vernon Centre for Cancer Treatment, Northwood, London HA6 2RN, UK
| | - Johan van Soest
- Department of Radiation Oncology (Maastro), GROW School for Oncology and Reproduction, Maastricht University Medical Centre+, 6229 ET Maastricht, The Netherlands
| | - Andre Dekker
- Department of Radiation Oncology (Maastro), GROW School for Oncology and Reproduction, Maastricht University Medical Centre+, 6229 ET Maastricht, The Netherlands
| | - Andrea Damiani
- Radiation Oncology Department, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli-IRCCS, 00168 Rome, Italy
| | - Vincenzo Valentini
- Radiation Oncology Department, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli-IRCCS, 00168 Rome, Italy
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