Differences in excess mortality by recipient sex after heart transplant: An individual patient data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Identification of differences in mortality risk between female and male heart transplant recipients may prompt sex-specific management strategies. Because worldwide, males of all ages have higher absolute mortality rates than females, we aimed to compare the excess risk of mortality (risk above the general population) in female vs male heart transplant recipients.

METHODS

We used relative survival models conducted separately in SRTR and CTS cohorts from 1988-2019, and subsequently combined using 2-stage individual patient data meta-analysis, to compare the excess risk of mortality in female vs male first heart transplant recipients, accounting for the modifying effects of donor sex and recipient current age.

RESULTS

We analyzed 108,918 patients. When the donor was male, female recipients 0-12 years (Relative excess risk (RER) 1.13, 95% CI 1.00-1.26), 13-44 years (RER 1.17, 95% CI 1.10-1.25), and ≥45 years (RER 1.14, 95% CI 1.02-1.27) showed higher excess mortality risks than male recipients of the same age. When the donor was female, only female recipients 13-44 years showed higher excess risks of mortality than males (RER 1.09, 95% CI 1.00-1.20), though not significantly (p = 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

In the setting of a male donor, female recipients of all ages had significantly higher excess mortality than males. When the donor was female, female recipients of reproductive age had higher excess risks of mortality than male recipients of the same age, though this was not statistically significant. Further investigation is required to determine the reasons underlying these differences.

A multinational cohort study uncovered sex differences in excess mortality after kidney transplant

Worldwide and at all ages, males have a higher mortality risk than females. This mortality bias should be preserved in kidney transplant recipients unless there are sex differences in the effects of transplantation. Here we compared the excess risk of mortality (risk above the general population) in female versus male recipients of all ages recorded in three large transplant databases. This included first deceased donor kidney transplant recipients and accounted for the modifying effects of donor sex and recipient age. After harmonization of variables across cohorts, relative survival models were fitted in each cohort separately and results were combined using individual patient data meta-analysis among 466,892 individuals (1988-2019). When the donor was male, female recipients 0-12 years (Relative Excess Risk 1.54, 95% Confidence Interval 1.20-1.99), 13-24 years (1.17, 1.01-1.34), 25-44 years (1.11, 1.05-1.18) and 60 years and older (1.05, 1.02-1.08) showed higher excess mortality risks than male recipients of the same age. When the donor was female, the Relative Excess Risk for those over 12 years were similar to those when the donor was male. There is a higher excess mortality risk in female than male recipients with differences larger at younger than older ages and only statistically significant when the donor was male. While these findings may be partly explained by the known sex differences in graft loss risks, sex differences in the risks of death with graft function may also contribute. Thus, higher risks in females than males suggest that management needs to be modified to optimize transplant outcomes among females.