Survival Outcomes in a Pediatric Antiretroviral Treatment Cohort in Southern Malawi

BACKGROUND

Pediatric uptake and outcomes in antiretroviral treatment (ART) programmes have lagged behind adult programmes. We describe outcomes from a population-based pediatric ART cohort in rural southern Malawi.

METHODS

Data were analyzed on children who initiated ART from October/2003 -September/2011. Demographics and diagnoses were described and survival analyses conducted to assess the impact of age, presenting features at enrolment, and drug selection.

RESULTS

The cohort consisted of 2203 children <15 years of age. Age at entry was <1 year for 219 (10%), 1-1.9 years for 343 (16%), 2-4.9 years for 584 (27%), and 5-15 years for 1057 (48%) patients. Initial clinical diagnoses of tuberculosis and wasting were documented for 409 (19%) and 523 (24%) patients, respectively. Median follow-up time was 1.5 years (range 0-8 years), with 3900 patient-years of follow-up. Over the period of observation, 134 patients (6%) died, 1324 (60%) remained in the cohort, 345 (16%) transferred out, and 387 (18%) defaulted. Infants <1 year of age accounted for 19% of deaths, with a 2.7-fold adjusted mortality hazard ratio relative to 5-15 year olds; median time to death was also shorter for infants (60 days) than older children (108 days). Survival analysis demonstrated younger age at ART initiation, more advanced HIV stage, and presence of tuberculosis to each be associated with shorter survival time. Among children <5 years, severe wasting (weight-for-height z-score </ = -3.0) was also associated with reduced survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Cumulative incidence of mortality was 5.2%, 7.1% and 7.7% after 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively, with disproportionate mortality in infants <1 year of age and those presenting with tuberculosis. These findings reinforce the urgent need for early diagnosis and treatment in this population, but also demonstrate that provision of pediatric care in a rural setting can yield outcomes comparable to more resourced urban settings of poor countries.

Microbicides for multidrug-resistant and multitropic HIV-1

The most common mode of acquiring HIV-1 is via sexual transmission across the genital mucosa. Topical microbicides are a promising prevention strategy for the protection against HIV infection and may ultimately have an impact on the global AIDS pandemic. The effectiveness of a microbicide to prevent HIV-1 transmission will depend on the evolutionary and genital transmission dynamics of the viral subtypes, and sexual behavioral characteristics. Contemporary antiretroviral therapy has led to virological failure as a result of HIV-1 reverse transcriptase gene mutations. The transmission of these multidrug-resistant HIV-1 variants, and the superinfection with the same or distinct HIV-1 subtypes and recombination is a formidable hindrance inherent to global microbicide development. Consequently, mechanism-based microbicides targeting both the cell-free and cell-associated HIV-1 variants and subtypes can be expected to have superior clinical efficacy and safety profiles compared with polymeric anionic microbicides. This review describes the discovery of potent anti-HIV-1 agents against multidrug-resistant and multitropic HIV-1 variants with implications for global microbicide development. Stampidine and thiourea non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTIs) have demonstrated highly potent activity against clinically relevant multidrug-resistant and recombinant HIV-1 isolates spanning different subtypes across several continents. Extensive preclinical studies have shown that stampidine and a candidate thiourea NNRTI (HI-443) have clinical potential as a safe combination microbicide to inhibit, prevent or treat mucosal HIV-1 infections.