Clinico-pathological predictors of clinical complete response in rectal cancer

PURPOSE

Prediction of clinical complete response in rectal cancer before neoadjuvant chemo-radiotherapy treatment enables treatment selection. Patients predicted to have complete response could have chemo-radiotherapy, and others could have additional doublet chemotherapy at this stage of their treatment to improve their overall outcome. This work investigates the role of clinical variables in predicting clinical complete response.

METHOD

Using the UK-based OnCoRe database (2008 to 2019), we performed a propensity-score matched study of 322 patients who received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. We collected pre-treatment clinic-pathological, inflammatory and radiotherapy-related characteristics. We determined the odds for the occurrence of cCR using conditional logistic regression models. We derived the post-model Area under the Curve (AUC) as an indicator of discrimination performance and stated a priori that an AUC of 0.75 or greater was required for potential clinical utility.

RESULTS

Pre-treatment tumour diameter, mrT-stage, haemoglobin, alkaline phosphate and total radiotherapy depths were associated with cCR on univariable and multivariable analysis. Additionally, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), neutrophil-monocyte to lymphocyte ratio (NMLR), lymphocyte count and albumin were all significantly associated with cCR on multivariable analysis. A nomogram using the above parameters was developed with a resulting ROC AUC of 0.75.

CONCLUSION

We identified routine clinic-pathological, inflammatory and radiotherapy-related variables which are independently associated with cCR. A nomogram was developed to predict cCR. The performance characteristics from this model were on the prior clinical utility threshold. Additional research is required to develop more associated variables to better select patients with rectal cancer undergoing chemoradiotherapy who may benefit from pursuing a W&W strategy.

O5: THE CLIFF AND CONOR STUDIES NOVEL ASSESSMENT TOOLS IN COLORECTAL LIVER METASTASES (CLIFF STUDY - CHANGE IN LIVER FUNCTION AND FAT IN PRE-OPERATIVE CHEMOTHERAPY FOR COLORECTAL LIVER METASTASES, CONOR STUDY

Introduction

Hepatic resection is the only potentially curative treatment for patients with colorectal liver metastases (CLM). Patient selection is key, but there is wide variation in practice. Pre-operative chemotherapy can improve oncological outcomes, however chemotherapy-associated liver injury (CALI) may hinder liver regenerative capacity. Standard pre-operative assessments fail to accurately capture factors such as CALI and future liver remnant (FLR) function. The CLiFF and CoNoR studies utilise two novel assessment techniques, aiming to improve patient outcomes.

Method

The CLiFF study prospectively assesses two primary outcomes in 35 patients undergoing pre-operative chemotherapy for CLM: 1) change in liver function (via LiMAx test: direct assessment of hepatic functional capacity), and 2) change in liver fat (via advanced MR imaging (in-house spectroscopy and modified Dixon technique, scaled up via Perspectum LiverMultiScan)). The CoNoR study assesses potential added benefit of these novel tools in CLM resectability decision-making via sequential workstreams: a systematic review and international hepatobiliary expert interviews inform the online survey, assessing added benefit via online MDT scenarios.

Result

Preliminary CLiFF analysis suggests that CALI changes in liver fat and function are unrelated. Liver fat analysis techniques are compared and correlated with digital histological analysis. The CoNoR systematic review identifies key factors influencing CLM resectability decision-making and informs the international expert interviews, scheduled to occur during a February 2020 international hepatobiliary conference.

Conclusion

These studies are the first to assess where these novel tools might be utilised to maximal patient benefit within the Hepatobiliary MDT, and the first systematic review in CLM resectability decision-making.

Take-home message

These two linked studies evaluate the use of two novel assessment tools in the treatment of colorectal liver metastases, with the potential to improve patient selection for curative resection and patient outcomes.

PATEY PRIZE SESSION

Indications and outcomes for repeat cytoreductive surgery and heated intra-peritoneal chemotherapy in peritoneal surface malignancy

INTRODUCTION

Cytoreductive surgery (CRS) and heated intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) is offered in specialist centres as a treatment for peritoneal surface tumours. Despite its demonstrated efficacy, intra-abdominal recurrence occurs in 31-57% of patients. The aim of this study is to review the early and long-term outcomes in patients who undergo repeat CRS/HIPEC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective review of a prospectively maintained database of patients who had undergone repeat CRS/HIPEC for appendiceal neoplasms and colorectal peritoneal metastases (CRPM) from 2003 to 2019 was performed at a single specialist centre. Data pertaining to both short term outcomes and survival were evaluated.

RESULTS

Of 1259 patients who had undergone CRS/HIPEC, 84(6.7%) underwent repeat surgery: 45(53.6%) had pseudomyxoma peritonei (PMP) secondary to low grade appendiceal mucinous neoplasms (LAMN), 21(25.0%) had appendix carcinoma and 18(21.4%) had CRPM. Demographics, intra-operative findings and short-term outcomes were comparable across tumour types and between procedures. Median (95% CI) interval between procedures was 22.7(18.9-26.6) months and was comparable between tumour types. Median (95%CI) overall survival was not reached for the cohort overall or for those with PMP, but was 61.0(32.6-89.4) months for those with appendix cancer and 76.9(47.4-106.4) months for CRPM (p=<0.001). Survival was favourable in the PMP group (HR [95%CI] 0.044 [0.008-0.262]; p = 0.000) and unfavourable in the CC2-3 at index CRS procedure group (HR [95%CI] 25.612 [2.703-242.703]; p = 0.005).

CONCLUSION

Our findings demonstrate that repeat cytoredutive surgery with HIPEC can result in favourable survival, especially for patients with PMP when complete cytoreduction is achieved at index operation. We recommend that detailed patient assessment is performed through an expert multidisciplinary team meeting (MDT).

Obesity and Cancer Treatment Outcomes: Interpreting the Complex Evidence

A wealth of epidemiological evidence, combined with plausible biological mechanisms, present a convincing argument for a causal relationship between excess adiposity, commonly approximated as body mass index (BMI, kg/m²), and incident cancer risk. Beyond this relationship, there are a number of challenges posed in the context of interpreting whether being overweight (BMI 25.0-29.9 kg/m²) or obese (BMI ≥ 30.0 kg/m²) adversely influences disease progression, cancer mortality and survival. Elevated BMI (≥ 25.0 kg/m²) may influence treatment selection of, for example, the approach to surgery; the choice of chemotherapy dosing; the inclusion of patients into randomised clinical trials. Furthermore, the technical challenges posed by an elevated BMI may adversely affect surgical outcomes, for example, morbidity (increasing the risk of surgical site infections), reduced lymph node harvest (and subsequent risk of under-staging and under-treatment) and increased risk of margin positivity. Suboptimal chemotherapy dosing, associated with capping chemotherapy in obese patients as an attempt to avoid excess toxicity, might be a driver of poor prognostic outcomes. By contrast, the efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibition may be enhanced in patients who are obese, although in turn, this observation might be due to reverse causality. So, a central research question is whether being overweight or obese adversely affects outcomes either directly through effects of cancer biology or whether adverse outcomes are mediated through indirect pathways. A further dimension to this complex relationship is the obesity paradox, a phenomenon where being overweight or obese is associated with improved survival where the reverse is expected. In this overview, we describe a framework for evaluating methodological problems such as selection bias, confounding and reverse causality, which may contribute to spurious interpretations. Future studies will need to focus on prospective studies with well-considered methodology in order to improve the interpretation of causality.

Novel phase I trial design to evaluate the addition of cediranib or selumetinib to preoperative chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer: the DREAMtherapy trial

BACKGROUND

The DREAMtherapy (Dual REctal Angiogenesis MEK inhibition radiotherapy) trial is a novel intertwined design whereby two tyrosine kinase inhibitors (cediranib and selumetinib) were independently evaluated with rectal chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in an efficient manner to limit the extended follow-up period often required for radiotherapy studies.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Cediranib or selumetinib was commenced 10 days before and then continued with RT (45 Gy/25#/5 wks) and capecitabine (825 mg/m2 twice a day (BID)). When three patients in the cediranib 15-mg once daily (OD) cohort were in the surveillance period, recruitment to the selumetinib cohort commenced. This alternating schedule was followed throughout. Three cediranib (15, 20 and 30 mg OD) and two selumetinib cohorts (50 and 75 mg BID) were planned. Circulating and imaging biomarkers of inflammation/angiogenesis were evaluated.

RESULTS

In case of cediranib, dose-limiting diarrhoea, fatigue and skin reactions were seen in the 30-mg OD cohort, and therefore, 20 mg OD was defined as the maximum tolerated dose. Forty-one percent patients achieved a clinical or pathological complete response (7/17), and 53% (9/17) had an excellent clinical or pathological response (ECPR). Significantly lower level of pre-treatment plasma tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNFα) was found in patients who had an ECPR. In case of selumetinib, the 50-mg BID cohort was poorly tolerated (fatigue and diarrhoea); a reduced dose cohort of 75-mg OD was opened which was also poorly tolerated, and further recruitment was abandoned. Of the 12 patients treated, two attained an ECPR (17%).

CONCLUSIONS

This novel intertwined trial design is an effective way to independently investigate multiple agents with radiotherapy. The combination of cediranib with CRT was well tolerated with encouraging efficacy. TNFα emerged as a potential predictive biomarker of response and warrants further evaluation.

Referral and treatment pathways for pseudomyxoma peritonei of appendiceal origin within a national treatment programme

AIM

Pseudomyxoma peritonei (PMP) is a rare neoplasm of the appendix, which if untreated disseminates throughout the abdominal cavity and generates considerable morbidity. Since 2002 in the UK, patients with PMP have been managed via two nationally commissioned centres. We evaluated referrals and treatment pathways over time at the Manchester centre.

METHOD

Data from all patients referred with suspected PMP were prospectively collected (2002-2015). Definitive treatment was cytoreductive surgery (CRS) and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy. Disease burden was quantified using the Peritoneal Cancer Index (PCI) (score 0-39) and complete cytoreduction (CC) defined by scores of 0/1. Novel treatment algorithms were developed for patients with low grade appendiceal mucinous neoplasm (LAMN) localized to the peri-appendiceal tissue.

RESULTS

In all, 817 patients with confirmed PMP were referred increasing from 11 in 2002 to 103 in 2015. Disease burden was high with a mean PCI of 31 in the first quartile (Q1), levelling off to 15, 15, 17 thereafter (P = 0.002). The proportion of CC0/1 increased from 67% in Q1 to 77% Q2 and 74% Q3/4. Where complete cytoreduction was achieved, 5- and 10-year overall survival was 77% and 66%. The proportion of patients referred with localized LAMN increased over time reaching 25% each year since 2010 (P_trend  < 0.0001). Two-thirds of localized LAMN now undergo laparoscopically assisted risk-reducing CRS.

CONCLUSION

The establishment of a national treatment centre was associated with an initial presentation of patients with advanced disease. The programme has demonstrated a clear trend over time towards earlier referral and adoption of minimally invasive techniques for localized disease.

Systematic review of outcome measures following chemoradiotherapy for the treatment of anal cancer (CORMAC)

AIM

Six Phase III randomized trials have determined the effectiveness of chemoradiotherapy as primary treatment for anal squamous cell carcinoma (ASCC), but outcomes reported in these trials varied widely, hindering evidence synthesis. To improve reporting in all future trials, we aim to develop a core outcomes set (COS). As the first stage of COS development, we undertook a systematic review to summarize the outcomes reported in studies evaluating chemoradiotherapy for ASCC.

METHOD

Systematic literature searches identified studies evaluating radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy for ASCC. Outcomes and accompanying definitions were extracted verbatim and categorized into domains.

RESULTS

From 5170 abstracts, we identified 95 eligible studies, reporting 1192 outcomes and 533 unique terms. We collapsed these terms into 86 standardized outcomes and five domains: survival; disease activity; life impact [including quality of life (QoL)]; delivery of care; and toxicity. The most commonly reported domains were survival and disease activity, reported in 74 (86%) and 54 (62%) studies, respectively. No outcome was reported in every publication. Over half (43/86) of the standardized outcome terms were reported in fewer than five studies, and 21 (25%) were reported in a single study only. There was wide variation in definitions of disease-free survival, colostomy-free survival and progression-free survival (PFS). Anal continence was reported in only 35 (41%) studies.

CONCLUSION

Outcomes reported in studies evaluating chemoradiotherapy for ASCC were heterogenous and definitions varied widely. Outcomes likely to be important to patients, such as ano-rectal function, toxicity and QoL, have been neglected. A COS for future trials will address these issues.

Measuring the biological effect of presurgical metformin treatment in endometrial cancer

Background:

Preclinical studies in endometrial cancer (EC) show that metformin reduces cellular proliferation by PI3K-AKT-mTOR inhibition. We tested the hypothesis that short-term presurgical metformin reduces cellular proliferation in atypical endometrial hyperplasia (AEH) and endometrioid EC, and assessed the feasibility of using phosphorylated PI3K-AKT-mTOR proteins as tissue end points.

Methods:

Women with AEH or EC received metformin 850 mg twice a day or no drug in the presurgical window between diagnosis and hysterectomy. Before and after the window, tissue samples were obtained; serum markers of insulin resistance (e.g. homeostasis model of assessment of insulin resistance index) were determined; and anthropometrics measured (e.g. BMI). Cell proliferation (Ki-67) and PI3K-AKT-mTOR phosphostatus were assessed by immunohistochemistry and scored blinded to treatment.

Results:

Twenty-eight metformin-treated and 12 untreated patients, well matched for age and BMI, completed the study. Metformin treatment (median 20 days, range 7–34) was associated with a 17.2% reduction in tumour Ki-67 (95% CI −27.4, −7.0, P=0.002), in a dose-dependent manner. Tumour PI3K-AKT-mTOR protein phosphostatus varied but the effects were not significant after adjusting for changes in controls.

Conclusions:

Short-term metformin was associated with reduced Ki-67 expression in EC. Changes in tumour PI3K-AKT-mTOR protein phosphostatus were seen in both groups. Future studies should address the variability attributed to different sampling techniques including devascularisation of the uterus at hysterectomy.

Excess adiposity and gastrointestinal cancer

BACKGROUND

Excess adiposity is a risk factor for incidence of several gastrointestinal cancers, but it is unclear how these epidemiological observations translate into clinical practice.

METHODS

Critical appraisals and updated analyses of published systematic reviews were undertaken to quantify cancer risk associations better and to assess the impact of weight-reducing strategies (surgical and non-surgical) on cancer prevention.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSION

A large volume of evidence demonstrates that body mass index (BMI), as an approximation for general adiposity, is a risk factor for the development of oesophageal adenocarcinoma, and colorectal, hepatocellular, gallbladder and pancreatic cancers. A smaller volume of evidence demonstrates that indices of increased central adiposity (such as waist circumference) are associated with increased risk of oesophageal adenocarcinoma and colorectal cancer, but these indices are not necessarily better predictors of risk compared with BMI. Several biological mechanisms may explain these associations but each hypothesis has several caveats and weaknesses. There are few data that convincingly demonstrate significant reductions in risk of gastrointestinal cancers following weight-reducing strategies. In turn, there are many methodological pitfalls in this literature, which prevent conclusive interpretation. The lack of robust intermediary obesity-related biomarkers is an additional unresolved challenge for prevention trials. Novel underpinning mechanisms (for example, local ectopic fat) and more accurate methods to measure these intermediaries are sought and explored as the most optimistic research strategies for the future.

Chronic insulin exposure does not cause insulin resistance but is associated with chemo-resistance in colon cancer cells

Insulin resistance is an adaptive process in insulin-sensitive tissues characterised by reduced insulin receptor (IR) and insulin-receptor substrate (IRS)-1 expression, increased IRS-1 serine phosphorylation and attenuated downstream signalling. We tested whether this molecular phenotype prevails in cancer cells after long-term exposure to insulin. We characterised expression of IR-related molecules, IRS-1 phosphorylation and downstream signalling in a panel of 5 colon cancer cell lines at different insulin exposures: 15 min (100 nM), approximating to acute stimulation; 48 h (100 nM), used to demonstrate adaptive changes; and 12 weeks (20 nM; chronic insulin exposure, CIE), approximating to chronic hyperinsulinaemia. To assess clinical relevance, we determined IC50 values (increased indicating chemo-resistance) in the CIE-treated cells using oxaliplatin, SN38 (irinotecan) and 5-fluorouracil (5-FU). All colon cancer cell lines (HCT 116, HT-29, C32, CaCo2, LoVo) were sensitive to 15 min insulin exposure with increased phosphorylation of Akt, PRAS40 and p70-S6K. At 48 h, there was incomplete or absent features of insulin resistance. In CIE-treated cells, there was reduced IR expression, incomplete IRS-1 adaptation, lack of signalling pathway attenuation and contra-adaptive increases in IRS-1 tyrosine phosphorylation in several cell types. In CIE cells, there were multiple examples of increased IC50 values (2- to 100-fold) following 24-h treatment with oxaliplatin and SN38, but not with 5-FU. We concluded that CIE in colon cancer cells does not completely induce an insulin resistance molecular phenotype but is associated with chemo-resistance. Adaptive changes seen in insulin-sensitive non-neoplastic cells in response to long-term insulin may not extrapolate to neoplastic cells.

The interaction between prognostic and pharmacodynamic biomarkers

Background:

Interactions between prognostic and pharmacodynamic (PD) biomarkers have received little attention.

Methods:

Prognostic and PD utilities were assessed with linear mixed-effects models using published data on repeated measurements of circulating caspase-cleaved (ctCK18) and total (tCK18) cytokeratin 18, in 57 patients with metastatic colorectal cancer undergoing chemotherapy.

Results:

The model for tCK18 (but not cCK18) separated the prognostic/PD interaction from the pure prognostic effect, illustrating the principle of dual prognostic and PD characteristics for a given biomarker.

Conclusion:

These models provide the framework for the analysis and interpretation of longitudinal data to detect prognostic/PD biomarker interactions.

Slowing down of adult body mass index trend increases in England: a latent class analysis of cross-sectional surveys (1992-2010)

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of excess body weight, commonly measured as body mass index (BMI)≥25 kg m(-2), has increased substantially in many populations worldwide over the past three decades, but the rate of increase has slowed down in some western populations.

OBJECTIVE

We address the hypothesis that the slowing down of BMI trend increases in England reflects a majority sub-population resistant to further BMI elevation.

DESIGN

Pseudo-panel data derived from annual cross-sectional surveys, the Health Surveys for England (1992-2010). Trends in median BMI values were explored using regression models with splines, and gender-specific mixture model (latent class analysis) were fit to take an account of increasing BMI distribution variance with time and identify hidden subgroups within the population.

SUBJECTS

BMI was available for 164 155 adults (men: 76 382; women: 87 773).

RESULTS

Until 2001, the age-adjusted yearly increases in median BMI were 0.140 and 0.139 kg m(-2) for men and women, respectively, decreasing thereafter to 0.073 and 0.055 kg m(-2) (differences between time periods, both P-values<0.0001). The mixture model identified two components--a normal BMI and a high BMI sub-population--the proportions for the latter were 23.5% in men and 33.7% in women. The remaining normal BMI populations were 'resistant' with minimal increases in mean BMI values over time. By age, mean BMI values in the normal BMI sub-population increased greatest between 20 and 34 years for men; for women, the increases were similar throughout age groups (slope differences, P<0.0001).

CONCLUSION

In England, recent slowing down of adult BMI trend increases can be explained by two sub-populations--a high BMI sub-population getting 'fatter' and a majority 'resistant' normal BMI sub-population. These findings support a targeted, rather than a population-wide, policy to tackle the determinants of obesity.

Diabetes and cancer (2): evaluating the impact of diabetes on mortality in patients with cancer

In this paper we address methodological aspects of aetiological importance in the link between diabetes and mortality in patients with cancer. We identified nine key points on the cancer pathway at which confounding may arise-cancer screening use, stage at diagnosis, cancer treatment selection, cancer treatment complications and failures, peri-treatment mortality, competing risks for long-term mortality, effects of type 2 diabetes on anti-cancer therapies, effects of glucose-lowering treatments on cancer outcome and differences in tumour biology. Two types of mortality studies were identified: (1) inception cohort studies that evaluate the effect of baseline diabetes on cancer-related mortality in general populations, and (2) cohorts of patients with a cancer diagnosis and pre-existing type 2 diabetes. We demonstrate, with multiple examples from the literature, that pre-existing diabetes affects presentation, cancer treatment, and outcome of several common cancer types, often to varying extents. Diabetes is associated with increased all-cause mortality in cancer patients, but the evidence that it influences cancer-specific mortality is inconsistent. In the absence of data that address the potential biases and confounders outlined in the above framework, we caution against the reporting of cancer-related mortality as a main endpoint in analyses determining the impact of diabetes and glucose-lowering medications on risk of cancer.

Diabetes and cancer (1): evaluating the temporal relationship between type 2 diabetes and cancer incidence

Substantial evidence suggests that people with type 2 diabetes have an increased risk of developing several types of cancers. These associations may be due to a number of direct and indirect mechanisms. Observational studies of these associations, including the potential role for glucose-lowering therapy, are being increasingly reported, but face a number of methodological challenges. This paper is the first of two review papers addressing methodological aspects underpinning the interpretations of links between diabetes and cancer, and suggests potential approaches to study designs to be considered in observational studies. This paper reviews factors related to cancer incidence in the diabetic population; the second paper relates to studies of cancer mortality.

Classification of and cytoreductive surgery for low-grade appendiceal mucinous neoplasms

BACKGROUND

Low-grade appendiceal mucinous neoplasm (LAMN) is a precursor lesion for pseudomyxoma peritonei (PMP), which, if treated suboptimally, may later disseminate throughout the abdominal cavity. The role of cytoreductive surgery for these relatively early lesions is unclear.

METHODS

Clinicopathological details and treatment outcomes of patients with a LAMN and disease limited to the appendix or immediate periappendiceal tissues, referred to a national treatment centre between 2002 and 2009, were evaluated prospectively.

RESULTS

Of 379 patients with a diagnosis of PMP, 43 (median age 49 years) had LAMNs localized to the appendix and periappendiceal tissue. Thirty-two patients initially presented with symptoms of acute appendicitis or right iliac fossa pain. Two distinct lesions were identified: type I (disease confined to the appendiceal lumen) and type II (mucin and/or neoplastic epithelium in the appendiceal submucosa, wall and/or periappendiceal tissue, with or without perforation). Type I lesions were managed by a watch-and-wait surveillance policy with serial measurement of tumour markers and computed tomography in 14 of 16 patients. Seventeen of 27 patients with type II lesions underwent risk-reducing cytoreductive surgery and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy with low morbidity. After a median follow-up of 40 months, there was no disease progression in either treatment pathway.

CONCLUSION

This study identified two LAMN subtypes. Type II lesions have pathological features of increased risk for dissemination and should be considered for risk-reducing cytoreductive surgery.

Insulin analogues and cancer risk: the emergence of second-generation studies

A number of observational studies have linked insulin glargine (A21Gly,B31Arg,B32Arg human insulin) with a putative increased cancer risk, particularly breast cancer, but many of these 'first generation' studies had study design and analysis flaws, and were inconclusive. A small number of 'second generation' studies are now emerging in which the applied pharmaco-epidemiological principles are more robust. For example, when Ruitar and colleagues (Diabetologia DOI: 10.1007/s00125-011-2312-4 ) focused specifically on breast cancer rather than all incident cancer risk, they were able to show a positive association with insulin glargine for breast cancer although there was no association with all incident cancer risk. A list of preferred qualities for pharmaco-epidemiological studies is presented.

Treatments and outcomes of peritoneal surface tumors through a centralized national service (United kingdom)

PURPOSE

Treatment of peritoneal surface malignancies with combined cytoreductive surgery and heated intraperitoneal chemotherapy may improve oncologic outcome. To better define treatment pathways, five-year results in patients referred to one of two centralized national treatment centers in the United Kingdom were analyzed.

METHODS

A prospective database of patients referred to the Manchester Peritoneal Tumor Service, established in 2002, was analyzed. Outcomes were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier life tables and Cox models.

RESULTS

Two hundred seventy-eight patients (median age, 56.9 (range, 16-86) years) were considered by a dedicated multidisciplinary team and tracked on seven clinical pathways. Among the 118 surgically treated, the most common diagnosis was pseudomyxoma peritonei (101 patients, 86%). Major complications occurred in 11 patients (9%); there was no 30-day mortality. Where complete cytoreduction was achieved, three-year and five-year tumor-related survival rates were 94% and 86%, respectively. In the Cox model, incompleteness of cytoreduction (P = 0.001) and high-grade tumor (P < 0.0001) were independent prognosticators of poor outcome.

CONCLUSION

The establishment of a national treatment center has allowed refinement of techniques to achieve internationally recognized results. Having achieved low levels of morbidity and mortality in the treatment of mainly pseudomyxoma peritonei of appendiceal origin, the technique of cytoreductive surgery and heated intraperitoneal chemotherapy may be considered for peritoneal carcinomatosis of colorectal origin.

Lifestyle factors and colorectal cancer risk (2): a systematic review and meta-analysis of associations with leisure-time physical activity

OBJECTIVE

Increased physical activity may decrease the risk of colorectal cancer. As a prerequisite to the determination of lifestyle attributable risks, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective observational studies to quantify gender-specific risk associated with increased leisure-time physical activity (LT-PA).

METHOD

We searched MEDLINE and EMBASE (to December 2007), and other sources, selecting reports based on strict inclusion criteria. We used random-effects meta-analyses to estimate summary risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for uppermost vs lowermost categories of physical activity. To investigate dose-response, we explored risks ratios as a function of cumulative percentiles of physical activity distribution.

RESULTS

Fifteen datasets from 14 articles, including 7873 incident cases, were identified. For colon cancer, there were inverse associations with LT-PA for men (RR: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.67-0.96) and women (0.86; 0.76-0.98). LT-PA did not influence risk of rectal cancer. The dose-response analysis was consistent with linear pattern reductions in risk of colon cancer in both genders. There was evidence of moderate between-study heterogeneity but summary estimates were broadly consistent across potential confounding factors.

CONCLUSION

Increased LT-PA is associated with a modest reduction in colon but not rectal cancer risk; a risk reduction, which previously may have been overstated. LT-PA only interventions in public health cancer prevention strategies are unlikely to impact substantially on colorectal cancer incidences.

Lifestyle factors and colorectal cancer risk (1): systematic review and meta-analysis of associations with body mass index

OBJECTIVE

Excess body weight, defined by body mass index (BMI), may increase the risk of colorectal cancer. As a prerequisite to the determination of lifestyle attributable risks, we undertook a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective observational studies to quantify colorectal cancer risk associated with increased BMI and explore for differences by gender, sub-site and study characteristics.

METHOD

We searched MEDLINE and EMBASE (to December 2007), and other sources, selecting reports based on strict inclusion criteria. Random-effects meta-analyses and meta-regressions of study-specific incremental estimates were performed to determine the risk ratio (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) associated with a 5 kg/m(2) increase in BMI.

RESULTS

We analysed 29 datasets from 28 articles, including 67,361 incident cases. Higher BMI was associated with colon (RR 1.24, 95% CIs: 1.20-1.28) and rectal (1.09, 1.05-1.14) cancers in men, and with colon cancer (1.09, 1.04-1.12) in women. Associations were stronger in men than in women for colon (P < 0.001) and rectal (P = 0.005) cancers. Associations were generally consistent across geographic populations. Study characteristics and adjustments accounted for only moderate variations of associations.

CONCLUSION

Increasing BMI is associated with a modest increased risk of developing colon and rectal cancers, but this modest risk may translate to large attributable proportions in high-prevalence obese populations. Inter-gender differences point to potentially important mechanistic differences, which merit further research.

A phase II study evaluating the use of concurrent mitomycin C and capecitabine in patients with advanced unresectable pseudomyxoma peritonei

Pseudomyxoma peritonei (PMP) is a rare neoplastic process characterised by progressive intra-abdominal dissemination of mucinous tumour, and generally considered resistant to systemic chemotherapy. A phase II study in patients with advanced unresectable PMP was undertaken to evaluate the combination of systemic concurrent mitomycin C (7 mg m(-2) i.v. on day 1) and capecitabine (1250 mg m(-2) b.d. on days 1-14) in a 3-weekly cycle (MCap). Response was determined by semiquantitative assessment of disease volume on serial computed tomographic (CT) scans and serum tumour marker (CEA, CA125, CA19-9) changes at 12 weeks. Between 2003 and 2006, 40 patients were recruited through a national centre for the treatment of peritoneal surface tumours. At baseline, 23 patients had progressive disease and 17 had stable disease. Of 39 assessable patients, 15 (38%, 95% confidence intervals (CIs): 25, 54%) benefited from chemotherapy in the form of either reductions in mucinous deposition or stabilisation of progressive pretreatment disease determined on CT scan. Notably, two patients, originally considered unresectable, following MCap and re-staging underwent potentially curative cytoreductive surgery. Grade 3/4 toxicity rates were low (6%, 95% CIs: 4, 9%). Twenty out of 29 assessed patients (69%, 95% CIs: 51, 83%) felt that their Global Health Status improved during chemotherapy. This is the first trial to demonstrate an apparent benefit of systemic chemotherapy in patients with advanced unresectable PMP.

Systematic reviews and meta-analyses in coloproctology: interpretation and potential pitfalls

A systematic review (SR) is the unbiased appraisal of systematically identified relevant studies. Implicit in its definition is a robust and scientifically valid process, and when performed as such, SR is an important clinical research tool and influence in health policy decision-making. This educational paper outlines that, from the original prototype based on randomized trials, there are now many other types of SRs including those based on: nonrandomized comparative studies, observational studies, prognostic studies, and studies of diagnostic and screening tools. While each of these has a similar 'anatomy' or format, at an individual class level, there are principles specific to each SR type. Several examples from the coloproctology literature are used as case-studies to illustrate potential pitfalls, and upon re-analysis, often reverse or attenuate the conclusions stated in the original publication. These examples serve to emphasize the need for health professionals to understand the process of SR and meta-analysis so that we all arrive at appropriate interpretations to the benefit of our patients.

Colorectal cancer prevention: choosing the most effective population strategy using bio-mathematical approaches

Colorectal cancer is a leading cause of cancer-related death globally, though in theory at least, it is eminently preventable in many cases. Preventive strategies are either primary or secondary, but for population strategists, choosing the 'best' approach is not straightforward. Here, we summarize the potential role of bio-mathematical modelling, specifically focusing on a model that combines known details of crypt cell kinetics with stochastic models of cell birth and death processes. Examples are discussed of the potential population effects of an agent that modulates cell kinetics, such as aspirin, vs one that merely reduces mutational rates.

A specific cadherin phenotype may characterise the disseminating yet non-metastatic behaviour of pseudomyxoma peritonei

Pseudomyxoma peritonei (PMP) is a rare neoplasm of mainly appendiceal origin, characterised by excess intra-abdominal mucin production leading to high morbidity and mortality. While histological features are frequently indolent, this tumour disseminates aggressively throughout the abdominal cavity, yet seldom metastasises. This study determined the expression of several markers of colorectal differentiation (carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), cytokeratins (CK20 and CK7), epithelial membrane antigen), mucin production (MUC-2, interleukin-9 (IL-9), IL-9 receptor (IL-9Rα)), and cell adhesion (N- and E-cadherin, vimentin) in PMP tissue (n=26) compared with expressions in normal colonic mucosa (n=19) and colorectal adenocarcinoma (n=26). Expressions of CEA and cytokeratins were similar for PMP as those in colorectal adenocarcinomas with the exception that the CK20−/CK7− pattern was rare in PMP (Fisher's exact test: P=0.001). Similarly, expressions of mucin-related proteins were comparable for adenocarcinoma and PMP, with the exception that IL-9 expression was uncommon in adenocarcinoma (P=0.009). Pseudomyxoma peritonei demonstrated a specific pattern of adhesion-related protein expressions of increased N-cadherin, reduced E-cadherin, and increased vimentin (P=0.004), a phenotype suggesting a possible epithelial–mesenchymal transition state. Primary PMP cell cultures were successfully maintained and demonstrated marker expressions similar to those seen in in vivo tissues. These early characterisation studies demonstrate similarities between PMP and colorectal adenocarcinoma, but also reveal a specific cadherin phenotype that may characterise the distinct non-metastasising behaviour of PMP, and form the basis for future mechanistic and therapy-targeting research.

Mechanisms of improved survival from intensive followup in colorectal cancer: a hypothesis

A meta-analysis of six randomised trials demonstrated that intensive followup in colorectal cancer was associated with an absolute reduction in all-cause 5-year mortality of 10% (95% confidence interval (CI): 4–16) – however, only two percent (95% CI: 0–5) was attributable to cure from salvage re-operations. We postulate that other factors, such as increased psychological well-being and/or altered lifestyle, and/or improved treatment of coincidental disease may contribute to the remaining lives saved, and form important future research questions.

Patterns of local disease failure and outcome after salvage surgery in patients with anal cancer

Background

Salvage surgery for anal cancer is usually reserved for local disease failure, but issues relating to the prediction of local failure and surgical outcome are ill defined.

Methods

Between 1988 and 2000, 254 patients with non-metastatic anal epidermoid carcinoma were treated at a regional cancer centre with radiotherapy (n = 127) or chemoradiotherapy (n = 127).

Results

There were 99 local disease failures (39·0 per cent), all but five occurring within 3 years of initial treatment. Increasing age (P &lt; 0·001, Cox model), total radiation dose (P = 0·004) and tumour stage (P = 0·010) were independent predictors of local failure. The overall 3- and 5-year survival rates after local disease failure were 46 and 29 per cent; the corresponding rates after salvage surgery (73 patients) were 55 and 40 per cent. A positive resection margin was the strongest negative predictor of survival after salvage surgery (P = 0·008, log rank test). Of 52 patients treated before the routine consideration of primary plastic reconstruction, delayed perineal wound healing occurred in 22 (42 per cent).

Conclusion

In the management of anal cancer, local disease failure is a major clinical problem requiring early detection followed by radical surgery, often accompanied by plastic reconstruction. By implication, these factors favour the centralization of treatment for this uncommon cancer to a multidisciplinary oncology team.

The effect of cigarette smoking use and cessation on serum insulin-like growth factors

The patterns of risk association between circulating levels of insulin-like growth factor (IGF)-I, and its main binding protein, IGFBP-3, differ between smoking and nonsmoking-related cancers. To investigate this observation further, we measured serum IGF-I, IGF-II and IGF-binding protein-3 concentrations in 232 men and 210 women (aged 55-64 years), and related peptide levels to smoking characteristics. Current smoking was associated with significant reductions in mean IGFBP-3 levels in men assessed by the number of cigarettes smoked daily (P(trend)=0.007) and pack-years smoked (P(trend)=0.03). Mean IGF-I levels decreased with increasing cigarette use in men (P(trend)=0.11). There were no patterns of association between smoking and IGF peptides in women. For male former vs never smokers, there were no differences in mean IGF-I and IGFBP-3 concentrations, suggesting that smoking cessation is associated with normalisation of peptide concentrations.

Extracapsular dissection for clinically benign parotid lumps: reduced morbidity without oncological compromise

Previous studies have shown that extracapsular dissection (ECD) is an alternative approach to superficial parotidectomy (SP) for pleomorphic adenoma parotid tumours, associated with low recurrence rates equal to those following SP, but with significantly reduced morbidity. However, if a malignant tumour masquerades as a clinically benign lump, this approach may be inappropriate. This study addressed this question by analysing the outcome of 821 consecutive patients with parotid tumours treated at one centre over 40 years and with a median 12 (range 5–30) years follow-up. Tumours were classified as ‘simple’ (discrete, mobile, < 4 cm: n=662) and ‘complex’ (deep, fixed, facial nerve palsy, ⩾4 cm: n=159). Among the ‘simple’ or clinically benign tumours, 503 patients underwent ECD; 159 patients underwent SP. In all, 32 (5%) clinically benign cases were subsequently revealed as malignant histologies (ECD, 12; SP, 20). For each group, 5- and 10-year cancer-specific survival rates were 100 and 98%, respectively. There were no differences in recurrence rates when subanalysed by surgical groups, but ECD was associated with significantly reduced morbidity (P < 0.001). This study demonstrates that ECD is a viable alternative to superficial parotidectomy for the majority of parotid tumours, associated with reduced morbidity without oncological compromise.

Acromegaly and colorectal cancer: a comprehensive review of epidemiology, biological mechanisms, and clinical implications

Acromegaly is an endocrine disorder characterised by sustained hypersecretion of growth hormone (GH) with concomitant elevation of insulin-like growth factor (IGF)-I, and is associated with malignancy and premature mortality from cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. In particular, there may be an increased risk of colorectal neoplasia, but the exact extent of this is contentious. Colonoscopy-based studies of adenoma prevalence rates in acromegalic patients are misleading, but population-based studies on colorectal cancer risk are more consistent - a meta-analysis estimated a pooled risk ratio of 2.04 (95 % CI: 1.32, 3.14). Possible mechanisms underlying this increased risk include direct actions as a consequence of elevated levels of circulating GH and IGF-I and/or other perturbations within the IGF system. Other possible mechanisms include altered bile acid secretion, altered cellular immunity, hyperinsulinaemia, shared genetic susceptibility and increased bowel length. However, most explanations only offer indirect evidence, and the expectation of acromegaly as a natural model of colorectal carcinogenesis has not materialised. From a clinical perspective, it seems reasonable to consider a once-only colonoscopic screening at approximately age 55 years, but potential risks and benefits should be balanced.

Gender and age influence the relationship between serum GH and IGF-I in patients with acromegaly

BACKGROUND

In patients with acromegaly serum IGF-I is increasingly used as a marker of disease activity. As a result, the relationship between serum GH and IGF-I is of profound interest. Healthy females secrete three times more GH than males but have broadly similar serum IGF-I levels, and women with GH deficiency require 30-50% more exogenous GH to maintain the same serum IGF-I as GH-deficient men. In a selected cohort of patients with active acromegaly, studied off medical therapy using a single fasting serum GH and IGF-I measurement, we have reported previously that, for a given GH level, women have significantly lower circulating IGF-I.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the influence of age and gender on the relationship between serum GH and IGF-I in an unselected cohort of patients with acromegaly independent of disease control and medical therapy.

METHODS

Sixty (34 male) unselected patients with acromegaly (median age 51 years (range 24-81 years) attending a colonoscopy screening programme were studied. Forty-five had previously received pituitary radiotherapy. Patients had varying degrees of disease control and received medical therapy where appropriate. Mean serum GH was calculated from an eight-point day profile (n = 45) and values obtained during a 75-g oral glucose tolerance test (n = 15). Serum IGF-I, IGFBP-3 and acid-labile subunit were measured and the dependency of these factors on covariates such as log10 mean serum GH, sex, age and prior radiotherapy was assessed using regression techniques.

RESULTS

The median calculated GH value was 4.7 mU/l (range 1-104). A significant linear association was observed between serum IGF-I and log10 mean serum GH for the cohort (R = 0.5, P < 0.0001). After simultaneous adjustment of the above covariates a significant difference in the relationship between mean serum GH and IGF-I was observed for males and females. On average, women had serum IGF-I levels 11.44 nmol/l lower than men with the same mean serum GH (P = 0.03, 95% CI 1.33-21.4 nmol/l). Age significantly influenced the relationship and for a given serum GH, IGF-I was estimated to fall by 0.37 nmol/l per year (P = 0.04, 95% CI 0.015-0.72).

CONCLUSIONS

In keeping with previous observations of relative GH resistance in normal and GH-deficient females we have observed lower serum IGF-I levels for equivalent mean serum GH levels in females patients with acromegaly. This gender-dependent difference is independent of disease activity and the use of concomitant medical therapy. Additionally, we have demonstrated that for a given serum GH level, age significantly influences IGF-I concentrations in patients with acromegaly. These data have important implications for the use of serum IGF-I and GH as markers of disease activity in acromegaly.

Paradoxical elevations in serum IGF-II and IGF binding protein-2 in acromegaly: insights into the regulation of these peptides

OBJECTIVE

Circulating insulin-like growth factor (IGF)-II and IGF binding protein-2 (IGFBP-2) are frequently altered, often in parallel, in numerous pathologies including neoplastic disease but little is known about their normal regulation. This study compared serum IGF-II and IGFBP-2 distributions between acromegalics and a large normal adult population to explore possible determinants.

PATIENTS

Sixty acromegalic patients undergoing screening colonoscopy (age range 25-81 years); normative data from 306 healthy adults (age range 20-89 years).

MEASUREMENTS

Serum IGF-I, IGF-II, IGFBP-2 and IGFBP-3 were measured in healthy adults and acromegalics. Mean growth hormone (GH) levels were obtained for acromegalic patients. Differences were compared using t-tests (unadjusted) and multiple regression models (adjusted for age and gender). Correlations were expressed as Pearson's coefficient (r).

RESULTS

For acromegalic patients, GH was significantly correlated with IGF-I (r = 0.50; P < 0.001) and IGFBP-3 (r = 0.29; P = 0.03) but not IGF-II or IGFBP-2. Contrary to expectations, mean IGF-II and IGFBP-2 levels were significantly raised in the acromegalics compared with normals [adjusted mean difference (95% CI) = 226 (181, 271) microg/l and 305 (200, 410) microg/l, respectively]. Ten acromegalic patients had colorectal neoplasia but their presence did not contribute to the elevations in serum IGF-II and IGFBP-2. The (IGF-I + IGF-II)/IGFBP-3 molar ratios were remarkably constant in both healthy adults and acromegalics, but the relationships of the ligands individually with IGFBP-3 were not linear: as IGFBP-3 increased, IGF-I also increased whereas IGF-II initially increased but then decreased. IGFBP-2 did not correlate with IGF-II, but molar concentration significantly correlated with the IGF-II/IGFBP-3 molar ratio (r = 0.40; P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum IGF-II and IGFBP-2 levels were paradoxically elevated in acromegalics, independent of the presence of colorectal neoplasia. The (IGF-I + IGF-II)/IGFBP-3 molar ratio appears to be pivotal in determining IGF-II values, which, in turn, expressed as a ratio of IGFBP-3, is related to IGFBP-2. These observations offer new insights into the regulation of these peptides.

The relevance of apoptosis for cellular homeostasis and tumorigenesis in the intestine

Intestinal epithelium is a rapidly renewing tissue in which cell homeostasis is regulated by a balance among proliferation, growth arrest, differentiation and apoptosis (programmed cell death). Until recently, studies on oncogenesis have focused on the regulation of cell proliferation. The recognition that apoptosis must be understood to comprehend how appropriate cell numbers are maintained and how alterations in any part of the equation can contribute to malignancy has led to an explosion of research in this field. The first half of this review gives an overview of morphology and mechanisms of apoptosis, emphasizing key areas of genetic control such as the bcl-2 family and p53. The second half of the review focuses on the role of apoptosis in normal cellular homeostasis and tumorigenesis in the gastrointestinal epithelium. The importance of understanding the molecular biology of apoptotic pathways in cancer therapy and future directions are also addressed.

High-risk colorectal adenomas and serum insulin-like growth factors

BACKGROUND

This study investigated the hypothesis that circulating levels of insulin-like growth factor (IGF) I and its main binding protein (IGFBP-3) predict for the presence of colorectal adenomas, surrogate markers of colorectal cancer risk.

METHODS

Within the Flexi-Scope Trial (healthy volunteers aged 55-64 years), at one study centre, IGF-I and IGFBP-3 levels in serum samples collected prospectively from 442 attendants were measured. Of these, 100 individuals underwent a complete screening colonoscopy. There were 47 normal examinations, while in 11 examinations low-risk adenomas and in 42 examinations high-risk adenomas were identified. Estimates of relative risk (RR) for the adenomatous stages were calculated by means of unconditional logistic regression, adjusting for known risk factors.

RESULTS

Mean serum IGF-I and IGFBP-3 levels were similar in individuals with a normal colonoscopy finding and in those with low-risk adenomas. By contrast, the mean(s.d.) serum IGF-I level was increased (190(53) versus 169(54) microg/l; P = 0.06) and the serum IGFBP-3 concentration was significantly decreased (3.22(0.60) versus 3.47(0.62) mg/l; P = 0.05) in individuals with high-risk adenomas compared with levels in those with normal colonoscopy and low-risk adenomas combined. Levels were unaffected by removal of the adenomas. With high-risk adenoma as the dependent factor, regression models demonstrated a significant positive association with IGF-I after controlling for IGFBP-3 (RR per one standard deviation (1s.d.) change 4.39 (95 per cent confidence interval (c.i.) 1.31-14.7); P = 0.02) and, independently, an inverse association with IGFBP-3 after adjustment for IGF-I (RR per 1s.d. change 0.41 (95 per cent c.i. 0. 20-0.82); P = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that circulating IGF-I and IGFBP-3 levels are related to future colorectal cancer risk and, specifically, may predict adenoma progression.