Development and External Validation of a Novel Nomogram to Predict the Probability of Pelvic Lymph-node Metastases in Prostate Cancer Patients Using Magnetic Resonance Imaging and Molecular Imaging with Prostate-specific Membrane Antigen Positron Emission Tomography

BACKGROUND

Preoperative assessment of the probability of pelvic lymph-node metastatic disease (pN1) is required to identify patients with prostate cancer (PCa) who are candidates for extended pelvic lymph-node dissection (ePLND).

OBJECTIVE

To develop a novel intuitive prognostic nomogram for predicting pathological lymph-node (pN) status in contemporary patients with primary diagnosed localized PCa, using preoperative clinical and histopathological parameters, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) positron emission tomography (PET).

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

In total, 700 eligible patients who underwent robot-assisted radical prostatectomy and ePLND were included in the model-building cohort. The external validation cohort consisted of 305 surgically treated patients. Logistic regression with backward elimination was used to select variables for the Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Performance of the final model was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration plots, and decision-curve analyses. Models were subsequently validated in an external population.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

The Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram included initial prostate-specific antigen value, MRI T stage, highest biopsy grade group (GG), biopsy technique, percentage of systematic cores with clinically significant PCa (GG ≥2), and lymph-node status on PSMA-PET. The AUC for predicting pN status was 0.81 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.78-0.85) for the final model. On external validation, the Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram showed superior discriminative ability to the Briganti-2017 and Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) nomograms (AUC 0.75 [95% CI 0.69-0.81] vs 0.67 [95% CI 0.61-0.74] and 0.65 [95% CI 0.58-0.72], respectively; p < 0.05), and similar discriminative ability to the Briganti-2019 nomogram (AUC 0.78 [95% CI 0.71-0.86] vs 0.80 [95% CI 0.73-0.86]; p = 0.76). The Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram showed excellent calibration on external validation, with an increased net benefit at a threshold probability of ≥4%.

CONCLUSIONS

The validated Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram performs superior to the Briganti-2017 and MSKCC nomograms, and similar to the Briganti-2019 nomogram. Furthermore, it is applicable in all patients with newly diagnosed unfavorable intermediate- and high-risk PCa.

PATIENT SUMMARY

We developed and validated the Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram for the prediction of prostate cancer spread to lymph nodes before surgery. This nomogram performs similar or superior to all presently available nomograms.

External Validation and Addition of Prostate-specific Membrane Antigen Positron Emission Tomography to the Most Frequently Used Nomograms for the Prediction of Pelvic Lymph-node Metastases: an International Multicenter Study

BACKGROUND

Different nomograms exist for the preoperative prediction of pelvic lymph-node metastatic disease in individual patients with prostate cancer (PCa). These nomograms do not incorporate modern imaging techniques such as prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) positron emission tomography (PET).

OBJECTIVE

To determine the predictive performance of the Briganti 2017, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC), and Briganti 2019 nomograms with the addition of PSMA-PET in an international, multicenter, present-day cohort of patients undergoing robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP) and extended pelvic lymph-node dissection (ePLND) for localized PCa.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

All 757 eligible patients who underwent a PSMA-PET prior to RARP and ePLND in three reference centers for PCa surgery between January 2016 and November 2020 were included.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Performance of the three nomograms was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve-derived area under the curve (AUC), calibration plots, and decision curve analyses. Subsequently, recalibration and addition of PSMA-PET to the nomograms were performed.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

Overall, 186/757 patients (25%) had pelvic lymph-node metastatic (pN1) disease on histopathological examination. AUCs of the Briganti 2017, MSKCC, and Briganti 2019 nomograms were 0.70 (95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 0.64-0.77), 0.71 (95% CI: 0.65-0.77), and 0.76 (95% CI: 0.71-0.82), respectively. PSMA-PET findings showed a significant association with pN1 disease when added to the nomograms (p < 0.001). Addition of PSMA-PET substantially improved the discriminative ability of the models yielding cross-validated AUCs of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.70-0.82), 0.77 (95% CI: 0.72-0.83), and 0.82 (95% CI: 0.76-0.87), respectively. In decision curve analyses, the addition of PSMA-PET to the three nomograms resulted in increased net benefits.

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of PSMA-PET to the previously developed nomograms showed substantially improved predictive performance, which suggests that PSMA-PET is a likely future candidate for a modern predictive nomogram.

PATIENT SUMMARY

Different tools have been developed to individualize the prediction of prostate cancer spread to lymph nodes before surgery. We found that the inclusion of modern imaging (prostate-specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography) improved substantially the overall performance of these prediction tools.

Preliminary Diagnostic Accuracy of Multiparametric Magnetic Resonance Imaging to Detect Residual Prostate Cancer Following Focal Therapy with Irreversible Electroporation

BACKGROUND

It is recommended to perform multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) in the follow-up following focal therapy of prostate cancer (PCa).

OBJECTIVE

To determine the diagnostic accuracy of mpMRI to detect residual PCa following focal therapy with irreversible electroporation.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Seventy-six patients with biopsy-proven localized PCa consented for primary irreversible electroporation between February 2013 and March 2016. Final analysis was performed on 50 patients that received follow-up mpMRI at 6 mo, serial prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing, and transperineal template-mapping biopsies at 12 mo.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Outfield regions of interest (ROI) were reported using PI-RADS version 2. A binary outcome (suspicious vs nonsuspicious) was given for the infield ablation zone. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive values, and negative predictive values were calculated for different definitions of significant PCa: (1) Gleason ≥4+3 or Gleason ≥3+3 with a maximum cancer core length ≥6mm, (2) Gleason ≥3+4 or Gleason ≥3+3 with a maximum cancer core length ≥4mm, for outfield and infield ROI. Multivariate linear regression analyses evaluated the additional value of nadir PSA.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive values, and negative predictive values of infield ROI was 43%, 86%, 33%, and 90% for definition 1 and 38%, 86%, 33%, and 88% for definition 2, respectively. For outfield ROI this was 33%, 82%, 20%, and 90% for definition 1 and 38%, 86%, 50%, and 80% for definition 2. PSA had no additional value in predicting residual significant PCa. Limitations include retrospective design, single reader, and low incidence of residual PCa.

CONCLUSIONS

Our preliminary data suggest that mpMRI can rule out high-volume residual PCa. However, follow-up biopsies should still be performed to determine oncological control.

PATIENT SUMMARY

Multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging is able to detect high-volume significant prostate cancer following focal therapy. Prostate biopsies are still required in the follow-up of focal therapy as (low-volume) significant prostate cancer is being missed by multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging.

Impact on genitourinary function and quality of life following focal irreversible electroporation of different prostate segments

PURPOSE

We aimed to evaluate the genitourinary function and quality of life (QoL) following the ablation of different prostate segments with irreversible electroporation (IRE) for localized prostate cancer (PCa).

METHODS

Sixty patients who received primary focal IRE for organ-confined PCa were recruited for this study. Patients were evaluated for genitourinary function and QoL per prostate segment treated (anterior vs. posterior, apex vs. base vs. apex-to-base, unilateral vs. bilateral). IRE system settings and patient characteristics were compared between patients with preserved vs. those with impaired erectile function and urinary continence. Data were prospectively collected at baseline, 3, 6, and 12 months using the expanded prostate cancer index composite, American Urological Association symptom score, SF-12 physical and mental component summary surveys. Difference over time within segments per questionnaire was evaluated using the Wilcoxon's signed rank test. Outcome differences between segments were assessed using covariance models. Baseline measurements included questionnaire scores, age, and prostate volume.

RESULTS

There were no statistically significant changes over time for overall urinary (P = 0.07-0.89), bowel (P = 0.06-0.79), physical (P = 0.18-0.71) and mental (P = 0.45-0.94) QoL scores within each segment. Deterioration of sexual function scores was observed at 6 months within each segment (P = 0.001-0.16). There were no statistically significant differences in QoL scores between prostate segments (P = 0.08-0.97). Older patients or those with poor baseline sexual function at time of treatment were associated with a greater risk of developing erectile dysfunction.

CONCLUSION

IRE is a feasible modality for all prostate segments without any significantly different effect on the QoL outcomes. Older patients and those with poor sexual function need to be counseled regarding the risk of erectile dysfunction.

Pair-matched patient-reported quality of life and early oncological control following focal irreversible electroporation versus robot-assisted radical prostatectomy

Purpose

The design, conduct and completion of randomized trials for curative prostate cancer (PCa) treatments are challenging. To evaluate the effect of robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP) versus focal irreversible electroporation (IRE) on patient-reported quality of life (QoL) and early oncological control using propensity-scored matching.

Methods

Patients with T1c–cT2b significant PCa (high-volume ISUP 1 or any 2/3) who received unifocal IRE were pair-matched to patients who received nerve-sparing RARP. Patient-reported outcomes were prospectively assessed using the Expanded Prostate Cancer Index Composite (EPIC), AUA symptom score and Short Form of Health Survey (SF-12) physical and mental components. Oncological failure was defined as biochemical recurrence (RARP) or positive follow-up biopsies (IRE). Generalized mixed-effect models were used to compare IRE and RARP.

Results

50 IRE patients were matched to 50 RARP patients by propensity score. IRE was significantly superior to RARP in preserving pad-free continence (UC) and erections sufficient for intercourse (ESI). The absolute differences were 44, 21, 13, 14% for UC and 32, 46, 27, 22% for ESI at 1.5, 3, 6, and 12 months, respectively. The EPIC summary scores showed no statistically significant differences. Urinary symptoms were reduced for IRE and RARP patients at 12 months, although IRE patient initially had more complaints. IRE patients experienced more early oncological failure than RARP patients.

Conclusions

These data demonstrated the superior preservation of UC and ESI with IRE compared to RARP up to 12 months after treatment. Long-term oncological data are warranted to provide ultimate proof for or against focal therapy.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00345-018-2281-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Superior Biochemical Recurrence and Long-term Quality-of-life Outcomes Are Achievable with Robotic Radical Prostatectomy After a Long Learning Curve-Updated Analysis of a Prospective Single-surgeon Cohort of 2206 Consecutive Cases

BACKGROUND

Our earlier analysis suggested that robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP) achieved superiority over open radical prostatectomy (ORP) in terms of positive surgical margin (PSM) rates and functional outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

With larger sample size and longer follow-up, the objective of this study update is to assess whether our previous findings are upheld and whether the improved PSM rates for RARP after an initial learning curve compared with ORP-as observed in our earlier analysis-ultimately resulted in improved biochemical control.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Prospective observational study comparing two surgical techniques; 2271 consecutive men underwent RARP (1520) or ORP (751) at a single centre from 2006 to 2016.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Demographic and clinicopathological data were prospectively collected. The EPIC-QOL questionnaire was administered at baseline and 1.5, 3, 6, 12, and 24 mo. Multivariate linear regression modelled the difference in quality of life (QOL) domains against case number; logistic and Cox regression modelled the differences in PSM and biochemical recurrence (BCR) hazard ratios (HR), respectively.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

A total of 2206 men were included in BCR/PSM analysis and 1045 consented for QOL analysis. Superior pT2 surgical margins, early and late sexual outcomes, and early urinary outcomes were upheld and became more robust (narrowing of 95% confidence intervals [CIs]). The risk of BCR was initially higher for RARP, improved after 191 RARPs, and was 35% lower (hazard ratio [HR] 0.65, 95% CI 0.47-0.90) at final RARP, plateauing after 226 RARPs. Improved late (12-24 mo) urinary bother scores (adjusted mean difference [AMD]=4.7, 95% CI 1.3-8.0) and irritative-obstructive scores (AMD=3.8, 95% CI 0.9-5.6) at final RARP were demonstrated. Limitations include observational single surgeon data, possible residual confounding, and short follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

The results from this updated analysis demonstrate that RARP can be beneficial for patients of high-volume surgeons, although more randomised studies and studies with survival outcomes are needed.

PATIENT SUMMARY

Robot-assisted radical prostatectomy was able to improve functional and oncological outcomes in this single surgeon's learning curve.

Focal irreversible electroporation as primary treatment for localized prostate cancer

OBJECTIVES

To determine the safety, quality of life (QoL) and short-term oncological outcomes of primary focal irreversible electroporation (IRE) for the treatment of localized prostate cancer (PCa), and to identify potential risk factors for oncological failure.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients who met the consensus guidelines on patient criteria and selection methods for primary focal therapy were eligible for analysis. Focal IRE was performed for organ-confined clinically significant PCa, defined as high-volume disease with Gleason sum score 6 (International Society of Urological Pathology [ISUP] grade 1) or any Gleason sum score of 7 (ISUP grades 2-3). Oncological, adverse event (AE) and QoL outcome data, with a minimum of 6 months' follow-up, were analysed. Patient characteristics and peri-operative treatment variables were compared between patients with and without oncological failure on follow-up biopsy. Wilcoxon's signed rank test, Wilcoxon's rank sum test and the chi-squared test were used to assess statistically significant differences in paired continuous, unpaired continuous and categorical variables respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 63 patients met all eligibility criteria and were included in the final analysis. No high-grade AEs occurred. QoL questionnaire analysis demonstrated no significant change from baseline in physical (P = 0.81), mental (P = 0.48), bowel (P = 0.25) or urinary QoL domains (P = 0.41 and P = 0.25), but there was a mild decrease in the sexual QoL domain (median score 66 at baseline vs 54 at 6 months; P < 0.001). Compared with baseline, a decline of 70% in prostate-specific antigen level (1.8 ng/mL, interquartile range 0.96-4.8 ng/mL) was seen at 6-12 months. A narrow safety margin (P = 0.047) and system errors (P = 0.010) were identified as potential early risk factors for in-field oncological failure. In-field and whole-gland oncological control on follow-up biopsies was 84% (38/45 patients) and 76% (34/45 patients); this increased to 97% (38/39 patients) and 87% (34/39 patients) when patients treated with a narrow safety margin and system errors were excluded.

CONCLUSION

Our data support the safety and feasibility of focal IRE as a primary treatment for localized PCa with effective short-term oncological control in carefully selected men.