Process mining to discover patterns in patient outcomes in a Psychological Therapies Service

In the mental health sector, Psychological Therapies face numerous challenges including ambiguities over the client and service factors that are linked to unfavourable outcomes. Better understanding of these factors can contribute to effective and efficient use of resources within the Service. In this study, process mining was applied to data from the Northern Health and Social Care Trust Psychological Therapies Service (NHSCT PTS). The aim was to explore how psychological distress severity pre-therapy and attendance factors relate to outcomes and how clinicians can use that information to improve the service. Data included therapy episodes (N = 2,933) from the NHSCT PTS for adults with a range of mental health difficulties. Data were analysed using Define-Measure-Analyse model with process mining. Results found that around 11% of clients had pre-therapy psychological distress scores below the clinical cut-off and thus these individuals were unlikely to significantly improve. Clients with fewer cancelled or missed appointments were more likely to significantly improve post-therapy. Pre-therapy psychological distress scores could be a useful factor to consider at assessment for estimating therapy duration, as those with higher scores typically require more sessions. This study concludes that process mining is useful in health services such as NHSCT PTS to provide information to inform caseload planning, service management and resource allocation, with the potential to improve client's health outcomes.

Adeno-associated virus type 2 in US children with acute severe hepatitis

As of August 2022, clusters of acute severe hepatitis of unknown aetiology in children have been reported from 35 countries, including the USA1,2. Previous studies have found human adenoviruses (HAdVs) in the blood from patients in Europe and the USA3-7, although it is unclear whether this virus is causative. Here we used PCR testing, viral enrichment-based sequencing and agnostic metagenomic sequencing to analyse samples from 16 HAdV-positive cases from 1 October 2021 to 22 May 2022, in parallel with 113 controls. In blood from 14 cases, adeno-associated virus type 2 (AAV2) sequences were detected in 93% (13 of 14), compared to 4 (3.5%) of 113 controls (P < 0.001) and to 0 of 30 patients with hepatitis of defined aetiology (P < 0.001). In controls, HAdV type 41 was detected in blood from 9 (39.1%) of the 23 patients with acute gastroenteritis (without hepatitis), including 8 of 9 patients with positive stool HAdV testing, but co-infection with AAV2 was observed in only 3 (13.0%) of these 23 patients versus 93% of cases (P < 0.001). Co-infections by Epstein-Barr virus, human herpesvirus 6 and/or enterovirus A71 were also detected in 12 (85.7%) of 14 cases, with higher herpesvirus detection in cases versus controls (P < 0.001). Our findings suggest that the severity of the disease is related to co-infections involving AAV2 and one or more helper viruses.

Invasive Meningococcal Disease Among People Experiencing Homelessness-United States, 2016-2019

BACKGROUND

Recently, several invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) outbreaks caused by Neisseria meningitidis have occurred among people experiencing homelessness (PEH). However, overall IMD risk among PEH is not well described. We compared incidence and characteristics of IMD among PEH and persons not known to be experiencing homelessness (non-PEH) in the United States.

METHODS

We analyzed 2016-2019 IMD data from the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) and enhanced meningococcal disease surveillance. Incidence was calculated using U.S. census data and Point-in-Time counts from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.

RESULTS

Of cases from states participating in enhanced surveillance during 2016-2019 (n = 1409), 45 (3.2%) cases occurred among PEH. Annual incidence was higher among PEH (2.12 cases/100,000) than non-PEH (0.11 cases/100,000; relative risk: 19.8, 95% CI: 14.8-26.7). Excluding outbreak-associated cases (PEH n = 18, 40%; non-PEH n = 98, 7.2%), incidence among PEH remained elevated compared to incidence in non-PEH (relative risk: 12.8, 95% CI: 8.8-18.8). Serogroup C was identified in 68.2% of PEH cases compared to 26.4% in non-PEH (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

PEH are at increased risk for IMD. Further assessment is needed to determine the feasibility and potential impact of meningococcal vaccination for PEH in the United States.

Development process of artificial intelligence based chatbot to support and promote mental wellbeing in sparsely populated areas of five European countries

Introduction

In many countries, people face problems regarding access to care, 24/7 support and evidence-based support. Digital interventions and services, such as chatbots, can be one option to tackle these challenges. There is a lack knowledge regarding how mental health chatbots are developed and how to ensure that there is collaboration between mental health and digital technology experts and users.

Objectives

This presentation describes the phases of the development for the ChatPal mental health and wellbeing chatbot.

Methods

Development process was conducted in five and with four different languages. First, using an electronic survey for mental health professionals (n =190) we screened how familiar they are with chatbots and how they evaluated their potential. Second, university students and staff, mental health professionals and service users (n=78) participated in workshops to design the chatbot content. Finally, the content and scripts of chatbot were written in multi-professional and multi-national collaboration.

Results

ChatPal is based on the PERMAH model of positive psychology and on the idea that we all have mental health which needs boosting and support from time to time. ChatPal includes relevant mental health information, exercises, mood diaries and simple monitoring and self-care tools. Based on preliminary evaluations, the ChatPal chatbot offers an option to offer support in areas where other mental health services are lacking or are insufficient.

Conclusions

ChatPal is already freely available in application stores and first scientific trials are have started. Preliminary results of 4-week and subsequent 12-week in-the-wild trials will be in place at the time of EPA 2022 conference.

Disclosure

No significant relationships.

Coproducing multilingual conversational scripts for a mental wellbeing chatbot - where healthcare domain experts become chatbot designers

Introduction

Digital mental health interventions, such as chatbots that promote mental health and wellbeing are a promising way to deliver low-threshold support 24/7 for those in need. According to current knowledge about the topic, health care professionals should participate in the design and development processes for digital interventions.

Objectives

The aim of this presentation is to describe the interdisciplinary content development process of the ChatPal chatbot.

Methods

The content development process started in co-operation with mental health professionals and potential users to identify requirements. Content was created, evaluated and tested in international, multi-disciplinary group workshops, and online tools were used to allow the collaboration. Initial conversational scripts were drafted in English, and translated into Finnish, Swedish and Scottish Gaelic.

Results

A multilingual chatbot was developed and the conversation scripts were structured and stored using a spreadsheet. The conversation scripts will be made freely available online in due course using this structured approach to formatting chatbot dialogue content. It will allow repurposing the content as well as facilitating studies that wish to assess the design of conversation scripts for mental health chatbots. Conversation design process also highlighted some challenges in turning empathetic and supportive conversations to short utterances suitable for a chatbot.

Conclusions

The ChatPal chatbot is now available in four languages. As literature about the topic is still scarce, it is important to describe and document the content development processes of mental health chatbots. Future work will develop a conversational UX toolkit that would allow health professionals to design chatbot scripts using design guidelines.

Disclosure

No significant relationships.

Reliability of Addenbrooke's Cognitive Examination III in differentiating between dementia, mild cognitive impairment and older adults who have not reported cognitive problems

Diagnosing dementia can be challenging for clinicians, given the array of factors that contribute to changes in cognitive function. The Addenbrooke’s Cognitive Examination III (ACE-III) is commonly used in dementia assessments, covering the domains of attention, memory, fluency, visuospatial and language. This study aims to (1) assess the reliability of ACE-III to differentiate between dementia, mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and controls and (2) establish whether the ACE-III is useful for diagnosing dementia subtypes. Client records from the Northern Health and Social Care Trust (NHSCT) Memory Service (n = 2,331, 2013–2019) were used in the analysis including people diagnosed with Alzheimer’s disease (n = 637), vascular dementia (n = 252), mixed dementia (n = 490), MCI (n = 920) and controls (n = 32). There were significant differences in total ACE-III and subdomain scores between people with dementia, MCI and controls (p < 0.05 for all), with little overlap between distribution of total ACE-III scores (< 39%) between groups. The distribution of total ACE-III and subdomain scores across all dementias were similar. There were significant differences in scores for attention, memory and fluency between Alzheimer’s disease and mixed dementia, and for visuospatial and language between Alzheimer’s disease–vascular dementia (p < 0.05 for all). However, despite the significant differences across these subdomains, there was a high degree of overlap between these scores (> 73%) and thus the differences are not clinically relevant. The results suggest that ACE-III is a useful tool for discriminating between dementia, MCI and controls, but it is not reliable for discriminating between dementia subtypes. Nonetheless, the ACE-III is still a reliable tool for clinicians that can assist in making a dementia diagnosis in combination with other factors at assessment.

Chatbots to Support Mental Wellbeing of People Living in Rural Areas: Can User Groups Contribute to Co-design?

Digital technologies such as chatbots can be used in the field of mental health. In particular, chatbots can be used to support citizens living in sparsely populated areas who face problems such as poor access to mental health services, lack of 24/7 support, barriers to engagement, lack of age appropriate support and reductions in health budgets. The aim of this study was to establish if user groups can design content for a chatbot to support the mental wellbeing of individuals in rural areas. University students and staff, mental health professionals and mental health service users (N = 78 total) were recruited to workshops across Northern Ireland, Ireland, Scotland, Finland and Sweden. The findings revealed that participants wanted a positive chatbot that was able to listen, support, inform and build a rapport with users. Gamification could be used within the chatbot to increase user engagement and retention. Content within the chatbot could include validated mental health scales and appropriate response triggers, such as signposting to external resources should the user disclose potentially harmful information or suicidal intent. Overall, the workshop participants identified user needs which can be transformed into chatbot requirements. Responsible design of mental healthcare chatbots should consider what users want or need, but also what chatbot features artificial intelligence can competently facilitate and which features mental health professionals would endorse.

Incidence of Meningococcal Disease Before and After Implementation of Quadrivalent Meningococcal Conjugate Vaccine in the United States

IMPORTANCE

In 2005, the US Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommended routine quadrivalent meningococcal conjugate (MenACWY) vaccine for all adolescents aged 11 to 12 years, and in 2010, a booster dose for adolescents aged 16 years. Measuring the association between MenACWY vaccination and the incidence of meningococcal disease in adolescents is critical for evaluating the adolescent vaccination program and informing future vaccine policy.

OBJECTIVE

To describe the association between MenACWY vaccination and the incidence of meningococcal disease in US adolescents.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

In this cohort study, analysis of surveillance data included all confirmed and probable cases of Neisseria meningitidis reported to the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2017. Statistical analysis was conducted from October 1, 2018, to August 31, 2019.

EXPOSURES

Routine MenACWY vaccination among US adolescents.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Poisson segmented regression analysis was used to model the annual incidence of meningococcal disease among adolescents aged 11 to 15 years and 16 to 22 years before the introduction of the MenACWY vaccine (2000-2005), after the primary dose recommendation (2006-2010), and after the booster dose recommendation (2011-2017); 95% CIs were used to determine significant differences between time periods.

RESULTS

The national incidence of meningococcal disease declined from 0.61 cases per 100 000 population during the prevaccine period (2000-2005) to 0.15 cases per 100 000 population during the post-booster dose period (2011-2017). The greatest percentage decline was observed for serogroup C, W, and Y combined (CWY) among adolescents aged 11 to 15 years and 16 to 22 years in the periods after vaccine introduction. Incidence of serogroup CWY meningococcal disease among adolescents aged 11 to 15 years decreased by 16.3% (95% CI, 12.1%-20.3%) annually during the prevaccine period and 27.8% (95% CI, 20.6%-34.4%) during the post-primary dose period (P = .02); among adolescents aged 16 to 22 years, the incidence decreased by 10.6% (95% CI, 6.8%-14.3%) annually in the post-primary dose period and 35.6% (95% CI, 29.3%-41.0%) annually in the post-booster dose period (P < .001). An estimated 222 cases of meningococcal disease due to serogroup CWY among adolescents were averted through vaccination during the evaluation period.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

After introduction of a primary and booster MenACWY dose, the rates of decline in incidence of meningococcal disease due to serogroup C, W, or Y accelerated nearly 2-fold to 3-fold in vaccinated adolescent age groups. Although the MenACWY vaccine alone cannot explain the decline of meningococcal disease in the United States, these data suggest that MenACWY vaccination is associated with reduced disease rates in adolescents.

Bistability in buckled dome microcavities

We describe optical bistability in monolithically integrated, curved-mirror Fabry-Perot microcavities. The cavities were fabricated by controlled formation of circular delamination buckles within sputtered Si/SiO(2) multilayers. The dominant source of the bistability is heating due to residual absorption in the mirror layers, which leads to out-of-plane deflection of the buckled mirror. Hysteresis occurs for submilliwatt input powers.

Wavelength interrogation of fiber Bragg grating sensors using tapered hollow Bragg waveguides

We describe an integrated system for wavelength interrogation, which uses tapered hollow Bragg waveguides coupled to an image sensor. Spectral shifts are extracted from the wavelength dependence of the light radiated at mode cutoff. Wavelength shifts as small as ~10  pm were resolved by employing a simple peak detection algorithm. Si/SiO₂-based cladding mirrors enable a potential operational range of several hundred nanometers in the 1550 nm wavelength region for a taper length of ~1  mm. Interrogation of a strain-tuned grating was accomplished using a broadband amplified spontaneous emission (ASE) source, and potential for single-chip interrogation of multiplexed sensor arrays is demonstrated.

Circulating PTH and PTHrP levels before and after treatment of tumor induced hypercalcemia with Pamidronate Disodium (APD)

The effect of lowering ionized calcium on circulating parathyroid hormone (PTH) and parathyroid hormone-related protein (PTHrP) was assessed in twenty patients with hypercalcemia of malignancy following treatment with Pamidronate Disodium. Ionized calcium levels fell rapidly in all treated patients. PTH concentrations were initially suppressed below normal in 18 patients, but rose from 0.48 +/- 0.42 pmol/L to 3.63 +/- 3.13 pmol/L (p less than 0.01) after treatment, reaching higher than normal values in some patients even in the presence of persistent hypercalcemia. PTHrP concentrations did not change significantly after treatment. These findings are consistent with an increased sensitivity of parathyroid tissue to changes in ionized calcium following prolonged exposure to hypercalcemia. Regulation of tumor secretion of PTHrP by calcium was not apparent within the range of calcium concentrations in this study.

Hypothyroidism affects reproductive refractoriness and the seasonal oestrous period in Welsh Mountain ewes

Welsh Mountain ewes (n = 6) were rendered hypothyroid by daily treatment with methylthiouracil (35 mg/kg), beginning in early August and ending in late February. Plasma thyroxine levels were reduced by mid-September to about 33% of those in untreated ewes (n = 6). The two groups of ewes were held under natural daylengths until 5 October, then on 12 h light: 12 h darkness (12L:12D) until 28 February when the photoperiod was reduced to 8L:16D. The onset of reproductive cyclicity in October was similar in both groups of ewes but the end of the reproductive period occurred later (P less than 0.05) in the hypothyroid ewes (29 January +/- 7 days (S.E.M.] than in the untreated controls (6 January +/- 7 days). As a result, the duration of the seasonal reproductive period was significantly (P less than 0.05) longer in the hypothyroid (122 +/- 9 days) than in the untreated ewes (91 +/- 10 days). The number of oestrous cycles (duration 15.4 and 15.7 days in the hypothyroid and untreated ewes respectively) was 7.0 +/- 0.6 in the hypothyroid ewes and 5.0 +/- 0.5 (P less than 0.05) in the normal ewes. Reducing the photo-period overcame the reproductive refractoriness and anoestrus in both groups, the hypothyroid ewes beginning to cycle on 13 April (+/- 0.5 days) after an anoestrous period of 72.8 +/- 7.1 days. The untreated ewes began to cycle 2 weeks later on 26 April (+/- 1.7 days) after an anoestrous period of 112.0 +/- 8.5 days (P less than 0.001).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)