European Society of Cardiology quality indicators for the prevention and management of cancer therapy-related cardiovascular toxicity in cancer treatment

AIMS

To develop quality indicators (QIs) for the evaluation of the prevention and management of cancer therapy-related cardiovascular toxicity.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We followed the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) methodology for QI development which comprises (i) identifying the key domains of care for the prevention and management of cancer therapy-related cardiovascular toxicity in patients on cancer treatment, (ii) performing a systematic review of the literature to develop candidate QIs, and (iii) selecting of the final set of QIs using a modified Delphi process. Work was undertaken in parallel with the writing of the 2022 ESC Guidelines on Cardio-Oncology and in collaboration with the European Haematology Association, the European Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology and the International Cardio-Oncology Society. In total, 5 main and 9 secondary QIs were selected across five domains of care: (i) Structural framework, (ii) Baseline cardiovascular risk assessment, (iii) Cancer therapy related cardiovascular toxicity, (iv) Predictors of outcomes, and (v) Monitoring of cardiovascular complications during cancer therapy.

CONCLUSION

We present the ESC Cardio-Oncology QIs with their development process and provide an overview of the scientific rationale for their selection. These indicators are aimed at quantifying and improving the adherence to guideline-recommended clinical practice and improving patient outcomes.

Cohort profile: the ESC EURObservational Research Programme Non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infraction (NSTEMI) Registry

AIMS

The European Society of Cardiology (ESC) EURObservational Research Programme (EORP) Non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) Registry aims to identify international patterns in NSTEMI management in clinical practice and outcomes against the 2015 ESC Guidelines for the management of acute coronary syndromes in patients presenting without ST-segment-elevation.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Consecutively hospitalised adult NSTEMI patients (n = 3620) were enrolled between 11 March 2019 and 6 March 2021, and individual patient data prospectively collected at 287 centres in 59 participating countries during a two-week enrolment period per centre. The registry collected data relating to baseline characteristics, major outcomes (in-hospital death, acute heart failure, cardiogenic shock, bleeding, stroke/transient ischaemic attack, and 30-day mortality) and guideline-recommended NSTEMI care interventions: electrocardiogram pre- or in-hospital, pre-hospitalization receipt of aspirin, echocardiography, coronary angiography, referral to cardiac rehabilitation, smoking cessation advice, dietary advice, and prescription on discharge of aspirin, P2Y12 inhibition, angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEi)/angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB), beta-blocker, and statin.

CONCLUSION

The EORP NSTEMI Registry is an international, prospective registry of care and outcomes of patients treated for NSTEMI, which will provide unique insights into the contemporary management of hospitalised NSTEMI patients, compliance with ESC 2015 NSTEMI Guidelines, and identify potential barriers to optimal management of this common clinical presentation associated with significant morbidity and mortality.

Association of beta-blockers beyond 1 year after myocardial infarction for patients without heart failure or left ventricular systolic dysfunction and cardiovascular outcomes: nationwide cohort study

Background

Beta-blockers (BB) is an established treatment following presentation with myocardial infarction (MI). However, there is uncertainty as to whether BB use beyond the first year of MI has a secondary preventive role in patients without heart failure and/or left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD).

Purpose

To investigate the association between BB treatment beyond one year after MI for patients without heart failure or LVSD and cardiovascular (CV) outcomes.

Methods

We used data from SWEDEHEART, the national Swedish register for coronary heart disease, to identify patients with MI who were hospitalised between 2005 and 2016. Deterministic linkage of individual patient data was performed with the National Patient Register, the Swedish Prescribed Drug Register, and the National Cause of Death Register. Patients with heart failure or LVSD with left ventricular ejection fraction <50% were excluded. Follow-up started at 1 year after hospitalisation with first MI (index date), when patients were allocated into two groups according to BB treatment. Information about BB treatment at index date and during follow-up was obtained from the Swedish National Prescribed Drug Register. The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause mortality, recurrent MI, unscheduled revascularisation or hospitalisation for heart failure. Secondary outcomes comprised the individual components of the composite outcome, CV death and stroke. Comparison of outcomes between the study groups was performed using Cox and Fine-Gray regression models adjusting for relevant clinical factors after propensity-score weighting. In the main intention-to-treat analysis, patients were censored at end of follow-up (31st December 2017), death or at pre-specified outcome, whichever came first. In supplementary per-protocol analysis, patients were, in addition, censored at the time of first BB discontinuation or switch between treatment arms.

Results

A total of 43,618 patients with MI were hospitalised between 2005 and 2016. Of these, 34,253 (78.5%) were prescribed BB and 9,365 (21.5%) were not on BB treatment at index date 1 year following MI. The median age of the population was 64 years, 25.5% were female, and 36.2% had a STEMI. Median follow-up was 4.5 years. In the intention-to-treat analysis, and after multivariable adjustments and propensity score weighting, BB treatment was associated with a similar rate of the composite CV outcome (hazard ratio [HR] 0.99; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.93–1.04) compared with no BB treatment. A similar finding was observed when censoring for BB discontinuation or treatment switch during follow-up in a per-protocol analysis (HR 0.98; 95% CI 0.98–1.06). Similar associations were observed for all secondary outcomes (Figure 1).

Conclusions

BB treatment beyond one year after MI for patients without heart failure or LVSD is not associated with a different risk of cardiovascular outcomes compared with patients who do not receive BB.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): The study was financed by grants from the Swedish state under the agreement between the Swedish government and the county councils, the ALF-agreement.

Activation of mitochondrial telomerase reverses relative lymphopenia post myocardial infarction: results from the randomised, double-blinded TACTIC phase IIa pilot trial

Background

Immune ageing is a phenomenon which includes lymphopenia, expansion of pro-inflammatory T-lymphocyte subsets and telomere shortening. While lymphopenia predicts mortality after myocardial infarction (MI), MI itself leads to both an increase in terminally differentiated memory CD8+ T-lymphocytes (CD8+ TEMRAs) and a decrease in telomere length. Activation of telomerase has been shown to ameliorate lymphopenia, and improve heart function after MI in mouse models. TA-65 is an oral telomerase activator, which may ameliorate immune ageing and improve outcome after MI.

Methods

This double-blinded, randomized placebo-controlled pilot study evaluated the use of TA-65 in 90 MI patients over 65 years, the average onset age for immune ageing. Patients were randomised to either TA-65 (16 mg daily, n=45) or placebo (n=45) for 12 months. The majority of patients underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (87%) or coronary artery bypass surgery (2%) as treatment for their index MI. The pre-defined primary endpoint was the proportion of CD8+ TEMRA T-lymphocytes at 12 months, a marker of immune ageing. A linear mixed effects model was used for the analysis.

Results

The proportion of CD8+ TEMRAs after 12 months did not differ between the 2 treatment groups, although only increased significantly in the placebo group (+2.2%, 95% CI: 0.14–4.24). TA-65 was well tolerated, with total adverse events lower in the treatment group (TA-65 vs. placebo group: n=130 vs. n=185). We observed at 12 months a 62% reduction in mean high-sensitivity CRP (hsCRP: TA-65 vs. placebo group: 1.1±0.9 vs. 2.9±6.4 mg/L) and a 15%-increase in mean peripheral blood lymphocytes in TA-65 after 12 months. In the whole sample, among those who were treated with TA-65 compared to Placebo, after 12 months peripheral blood lymphocytes increased (+285 cells /μl, 95% CI: 117–452). The latter was due to significant increases in the TA-65 group from baseline to 12 months across all major lymphocyte populations: CD3+ (+15%), CD4+ (+14%),CD8+ T-lymphocytes (+19%), B-lymphocytes (+17%) and natural killer cells (+12%), while no changes occurred in major lymphocyte populations in the placebo group over the course of the study.

Conclusion

In this randomised clinical trial, we found that while CD8+ TEMRAs were not significantly altered after 12 months, the telomerase activator TA-65 significantly increased all major lymphocyte subsets and substantially reduced hsCRP at 12 months in patients with MI. These findings suggest TA-65 holds great promise in potentially reducing inflammation while improving an age-related decline in major lymphocyte populations, thereby enhancing immunity. A larger, multicentre, powered phase IIb efficacy trial to examine the potential effect of TA-65 in prognosis and heart function after MI is therefore warranted.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): TA-Science, New York, USA

Temporal trends and patterns in atrial fibrillation incidence: a population-based study of 3.4 million individuals

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia worldwide; confers an increased risk of adverse outcomes and once diagnosed most patients will require lifelong-treatment. Population-based studies of AF incidence are needed to inform health-service planning. However, few reports refer to a standard population and estimates of incidence in high income countries vary by over 12-fold.

Purpose

We aimed to assess trends in the crude and standardised atrial fibrillation incidence by sex, age, socioeconomic status and region in a large general population cohort from England. We also investigated the comorbidity profile of patients over almost two decades.

Methods

We used linked primary and secondary electronic health records of 3.4 million individuals from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). The CPRD database contains anonymised patient data from approximately 7% of the UK population and is broadly representative in terms of age, sex, and ethnicity. Eligible patients aged 16 years and older contributed data between Jan 1 1998 and Dec 31 2017. We defined incident AF diagnosis as the first record of AF in primary care or hospital admission records from any diagnostic position. For incidence calculations, we excluded all individuals who had a diagnosis of AF before the study start date, or within the first 12 months of registration with their general practice. For patients with incident AF, we extracted baseline characteristics, comorbidities, socioeconomic status and geographic region. We calculated standardised rates by applying direct age and sex standardisation to the 2013 European Standard Population. We inferred crude rates by applying year-specific, age-specific and sex-specific incidence to UK census mid-year population estimates.

Results

From 1998 to 2017 AF incidence (standardised by age and sex) increased by 30% (from 247 to 322 per 100,000 person-years; adjusted incidence ratio [IRR] 1.30, 95% CI 1.27–1.33) (Figure 1). Absolute number of incident AF increased by 72% (from 117,880 in 1998 to 202,333 in 2017), due to an increasing number of older people. Comorbidity burden at diagnosis of AF increased (2.58 [SD 1.83] vs 3.74 [2.29] conditions; adjusted difference 1.26, 95% CI 1.14–1.39). Age-standardised incidence was higher in men than women (IRR 1.49; 95% CI 1.46–1.52), and men were younger at diagnosis (adjusted difference 5.53 years; 95% CI 5.36–5.69). Socioeconomically deprived individuals had more comorbidities and were more likely to develop AF than the most affluent individuals (IRR 1.20; 95% CI 1.15–1.24). Over time, the age of AF diagnosis declined disproportionately in the most deprived individuals (Figure 2).

Conclusion

In England AF incidence has increased, and the socioeconomic gradient in age at diagnosis and comorbidity burden widened. This changing burden of AF requires policy-based interventions to prevent associated morbidity and mortality.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): British Heart Foundation, National Institute of Health Research

FIND-AF: a widely applicable artificial intelligence algorithm to target systematic screening for atrial fibrillation in older individuals through primary care electronic health records

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): British Heart Foundation

Background

Systematic screening for atrial fibrillation (AF) in people ≥75 years of age can improve detection rates, anticoagulant prescription and clinical outcomes but is inefficient.(1) A large proportion of European populations are registered in primary care with a routinely-collected electronic health record (EHR).(2) An algorithm embedded in this system to identify people at higher risk of incident AF could facilitate targeted AF screening.

Purpose

To develop and internally validate a widely-applicable artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm for predicting incident AF in people ≥75 years of age using primary care EHRs.

Methods

We identified people who were ≥75 years of age (1998 – 2018), in the nationwide Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD)-GOLD primary care EHR dataset and followed them until a diagnosis of AF, or withdrawal from CPRD, or 6 months. Each subject had 81 features including age, sex, ethnicity and comorbidities. Algorithms developed with random forest (RF) and multivariable logistic regression (MLR), were compared by area under receiver operating curve (AUROC) and the proportion of patient EHRs to which the algorithms could be applied

Results

440,000 patients were studied, with 3922 occurrences of AF. The RF algorithm achieved an AUROC of 0.77 after 10 fold cross-validation, 12% better than the MLR algorithm (0.68). Notably the RF algorithm could be applied to all EHRs. At 75% sensitivity, the RF algorithm would reduce the potential number needed to screen for one new case of AF to 11, an improvement of over 6-fold compared to using age alone.

Conclusions

This study showed a novel AI algorithm that can be widely applied in nationwide European primary care EHRs to target screening for AF in a population that derives clinical benefit.

Impact of chronic coronary syndromes on cardiovascular hospitalization and mortality: the ESC-EORP CICD-LT registry

Background

In Europe, global data on guideline adherence, potential geographic variations and determinants of major clinical events in chronic coronary syndromes (CCS) remain suboptimal. The European Society of Cardiology (ESC) EURObservational Research Programme (EORP) Chronic Ischemic Cardiovascular Disease Long-Term (CICD-LT) registry, a prospective European registry, was designed and conducted to describe the profile, care and outcomes of patients with CCS across the ESC countries

Purpose

We aimed to investigate clinical events at one-year follow-up from the ESC EORP CICD-LT Registry and identify the variables associated with an increased risk of clinical events.

Methods

Consecutive adults presenting with a diagnosis of CCS during a routine ambulatory visit or an elective coronary revascularisation procedure at participating centres were recruited across 154 centers from 20 countries between 1 May 2015 and 31 July 2018. Information on clinical and survival status was collected after 1 year from study inclusion. Composite events were cardio-vascular (CV) mortality and/or CV rehospitalisations, all-cause mortality and/or all cause rehospitalisation. A multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to identify the independent predictors of each composite. Cox models were also performed with age, sex and region forced in the model. Significance levels of 0.05 were required to allow a variable to stay within the model. Co-linearity between all candidate variables (variables with p<0.05 in univariable) within the model and variables considered of relevant clinical interest were tested before proceeding to the multivariable model. Missing data were not imputed.

Results

One-year outcomes of 6655 patients from the 9174 recruited in this European registry were analyzed. Overall, 168 patients (2.5%) died, mostly from CV causes (n=97, 1.5%). Northern Europe had the lowest CV mortality rate, while southern Europe had the highest (0.5% vs 2.0%, p=0.04). Women had a higher rate of CV mortality compared with men (2.0% vs 1.3%, p=0.02). During follow-up, 1606 patients (27.1%) were hospitalised at least once, predominantly for CV indications (n=1220, 20.6%). Among the population with measured LDL-cholesterol level at one year, 1434 patients (66.5%) were above the currently recommended target. Age, history of atrial fibrillation, previous stroke, liver disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or asthma, increased serum creatinine and impaired left ventricular function were each independently associated with an increased risk of CV death or hospitalization.

Conclusion

In the CICD registry, the majority of patients with CCS have uncontrolled CV risk factors. The mortality rate at one year was low, but these patients are frequently hospitalised for CV causes. Early identification of comorbidities may represent an opportunity for enhanced care and better outcomes.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Other. Main funding source(s): The study was funded by the EORP program.

Outcomes of novel pacing technologies with right ventricular pacing as a primary strategy for patient undergoing transvenous permanent pacing regardless of pacing indication

Background

Right ventricular pacing (RVP) may cause electrical and mechanical desynchrony leading to impaired left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). We investigated the outcomes of RVP with His bundle pacing (HBP) and left bundle branch pacing (LBBP) for patients requiring a de novo permeant pacemaker (PPM) irrespective of baseline pacing indication.

Methods and results

Systematic review of randomized clinical trials and observational studies comparing HBP or LBP with RVP for de novo PPM implantation between 01 January 2013 and 17 November 2020 using MEDLINE and Embase. Two independent reviewers extracted the data and assessed the risk of bias of included studies. Random and fixed effects meta-analyses of the effect of pacing technology on study outcomes (all-cause mortality, heart failure hospitalization (HFH), left ventricular ejection fraction, QRS duration, lead revision, atrial fibrillation and procedure and pacing metrics) were performed. Overall, 7 studies were included. HBP compared with RVP was associated with decreased mortality (risk ratio [RR] 0.76, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.98), preservation of LVEF (mean difference [MD] 1.2, 95% CI −1.37 to 3.8 vs. −5.22, 95% CI: −6.94 to −3.51), increased procedure duration (MD 15.17 min, 95% CI: 11.27 to 19.07) and more lead revisions (RR 6.30, 95% CI: 2.31 to 17.19). LBBP compared with RVP was associated with shorter paced QRS durations (MD 5.6 ms, 95% CI −6.4 to 17.6) vs. (51.0 ms, 95% CI 39.2 to 62.9) and increased procedure durations (MD 37.78 min, 95% CI: 20.04 to 55.51).

Conclusion

Of the limited studies published, this meta-analysis found that HBP and LBBP were superior to RVP in maintaining physiological ventricular activation as an initial pacing strategy. Well conducted comparative studies are required to understand the impact of such novel pacing strategies on clinical outcomes.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Association of quality indicators for acute myocardial infarction and mortality: feasibility and validation study using linked nationwide registry data

Background

Quality indicators (QIs) have been increasingly used as tools to assess and improve the quality of care for acute myocardial infarction (AMI). However, it is not known if it is feasible to use the 2020 iteration of international AMI QIs using routinely collected data and, if so, whether higher performance is associated with improved outcomes.

Objective

To investigate if routine data are available to measure care quality against the 2020 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) Association for Acute Cardiovascular Care (ACVC) QIs for AMI, investigate whether higher performance is associated with reduced mortality, and to report quality of care during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Methods

Cohort study of linked data from the AMI and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) registries in England and Wales with outcome data from the Civil Registration of Deaths Register between 2017 and 2020 (representing 236 743 patients from 186 hospitals). Baseline ischaemic risk was estimated using the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score. The likelihood of attainment for each QI based on GRACE risk was quantified using logistic regression and the association with mortality at 30 days, 6 months, 1 year and long-term (maximum 1243 days) was obtained from Cox proportional hazard models.

Results

Of 26 QIs, 17 (65.3%) could be directly measured using nationwide registry data and were each inversely associated with risk-adjusted 1-year and long-term mortality. At 30 days, the measured QIs with exception of early invasive coronary angiography for non-ST elevation myocardial infarction, were associated with improved survival, and the QIs that had the greatest magnitude for a reduction in mortality were the prescription of secondary prevention medications at discharge; hazard ratio 0.13 (95% CI 0.12–0.14) for statins, 0.16 (95% CI 0.15–0.18) for adequate P2Y12 inhibition, and 0.18 (95% CI 0.17–0.20) for dual antiplatelet therapy (Figure 1). The magnitude of association between the composite QI (CQI) and survival attenuated over time, with greater long-term survival gains observed for the high GRACE risk compared with low- and intermediate-risk (Figure 2). During the first UK lockdown there was an improvement in the attainment for 62.5% of the measured QIs compared with before the COVID-19 pandemic, with a higher attainment for the CQI (43.8% to 45.2%, odds ratio 1.06, 95% CI 1.02–1.10).

Conclusion

Care quality for AMI may be evaluated using routinely collected clinical data from the national registries, whereby higher performance is associated with reduced mortality. Such QIs will have a role in monitoring hospital care as demonstrated for COVID-19.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Statins for primary prevention among elderly men and women

Background

The debate about statins in primary prevention of cardiovascular (CV) disease is still alive, especially in old and very old adults.

Purpose

We undertook a propensity match-weighted cohort study to investigate whether statin treatment recommendations translate into improved cardiovascular (CV) outcomes in the current routine clinical care of the elderly.

Methods

We included in our analysis 5,619 people aged 65 years or older from the ISACS (International Survey of Acute Coronary Syndrome) Archives (NCT04008173) who presented to hospital with a first manifestation of CV disease. Participants were stratified as statin users versus nonusers and as old (65 to 75 years) versus very old (76 years or over) adults. We estimated the effects of statins on the most severe clinical manifestation of CV disease, namely ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), using inverse probability of treatment weighting models. Estimates were compared by test of interaction on the log scale.

Results

The risk of STEMI was much lower in statin users than in nonusers in both patients aged 65 to 75 years (14.7% absolute risk reduction; relative risk [RR] ratio: 0.55, 95% CI 0.45 to 0.66) and those aged 76 years and older (13.3% absolute risk reduction; RR ratio: 0.58, 95% CI 0.46 to 0.72). Estimates were similar in patients with and without history of hypercholesterolemia (interaction test; p value= 0.2408). Proportional reductions in STEMI diminished with female sex in the old (p for interaction=0.002), but not in the very old age (p for interaction=0.26). We also observed a remarkable reduction in the risk of 30- day mortality from STEMI with statin therapy in both age groups (10.2% absolute risk reduction; RR ratio: 0.39; 95% CI 0.23 – 0.68 for patients aged 76 or over and 3.8% absolute risk reduction; RR ratio 0.37; 95% CI 0.17 – 0.82 for patients aged 65 to 75 years old; interaction test, p value=0.4570).

Conclusion

Preventive statin therapy in the elderly reduces the risk of STEMI with benefits in mortality from STEMI, irrespective of the presence of a history of hypercholesterolemia. This effect persists after the age of 76 years. Benefits are less pronounced in women.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Association of multimorbidity and changes in health-related quality of life following myocardial infarction: a UK multicentre longitudinal patient-reported outcomes study

BACKGROUND

Multimorbidity is prevalent for people with myocardial infarction (MI), yet previous studies investigated single-health conditions in isolation. We identified patterns of multimorbidity in MI survivors and their associations with changes in HRQoL.

METHODS

In this national longitudinal cohort study, we analysed data from 9566 admissions with MI from 77 National Health Service hospitals in England between 2011 and 2015. HRQoL was measured using EuroQol 5 dimension (EQ5D) instrument and visual analogue scale (EQVAS) at hospitalisation, 6, and 12 months following MI. Latent class analysis (LCA) of pre-existing long-term health conditions at baseline was used to identify clusters of multimorbidity and associations with changes in HRQoL quantified using mixed effects regression analysis.

RESULTS

Of 9566 admissions with MI (mean age of 64.1 years [SD 11.9], 7154 [75%] men), over half (5119 [53.5%] had multimorbidities. LCA identified 3 multimorbidity clusters which were severe multimorbidity (591; 6.5%) with low HRQoL at baseline (EQVAS 59.39 and EQ5D 0.62) which did not improve significantly at 6 months (EQVAS 59.92, EQ5D 0.60); moderate multimorbidity (4301; 47.6%) with medium HRQoL at baseline (EQVAS 63.08, EQ5D 0.71) and who improved at 6 months (EQVAS 71.38, EQ5D 0.76); and mild multimorbidity (4147, 45.9%) at baseline (EQVAS 64.57, EQ5D 0.75) and improved at 6 months (EQVAS 76.39, EQ5D 0.82). Patients in the severe and moderate groups were more likely to be older, women, and presented with NSTEMI. Compared with the mild group, increased multimorbidity was associated with lower EQ-VAS scores (adjusted coefficient: -5.12 [95% CI -7.04 to -3.19] and -0.98 [-1.93 to -0.04] for severe and moderate multimorbidity, respectively. The severe class was more likely than the mild class to report problems in mobility, OR 9.62 (95% confidence interval: 6.44 to 14.36), self-care 7.87 (4.78 to 12.97), activities 2.41 (1.79 to 3.26), pain 2.04 (1.50 to 2.77), and anxiety/depression 1.97 (1.42 to 2.74).

CONCLUSIONS

Among MI survivors, multimorbidity clustered into three distinct patterns and was inversely associated with HRQoL. The identified multimorbidity patterns and HRQoL domains that are mostly affected may help to identify patients at risk of poor HRQoL for which clinical interventions could be beneficial to improve the HRQoL of MI survivors.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01808027 and NCT01819103.

454 ASSOCIATION BETWEEN STATINS AND MAJOR ADVERSE CARDIAC EVENTS AMONG OLDER ADULTS WITH FRAILTY: A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW

Background

Statins reduce the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), however, their clinical benefit for primary and secondary prevention among older adults with frailty is uncertain. This review investigates whether statins prescribed for primary and secondary prevention are associated with reduced MACE among adults aged ≥65 years with frailty.

Methods

Systematic review of studies published between 01.01.1952 and 01.01.2019 in MEDLINE, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, Cochrane Library and the International Pharmaceutical Abstracts. Studies that investigated the effect of statins on MACE among adults ≥65 years with a validated frailty assessment were included. Data were extracted from the papers as per a pre-published protocol, PROSPERO: CRD42019127486. Risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias in non-randomised studies of interventions.

Finding

18794 abstracts were identified for screening. From these, six cohort studies fulfilled the inclusion criteria. There were no randomised clinical trials. Of studies involving statins for primary and secondary prevention (n = 6), one found statins were associated with reduced mortality (hazard ratio (HR) 0.58, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.37–0.93) and another found they were not (p = 0.73). One study of statins used for secondary prevention found they were associated with reduced mortality (HR 0.28, 95%CI 0.21–0.39). No studies investigated the effect of statins for primary prevention or the effect of statins on the frequency of MACE.

Discussion

This review summarizes the existing available evidence for decision making for statin prescribing for older adults with frailty. This study identified only observational evidence that, among older people with frailty, statins are associated with reduced mortality when prescribed for secondary prevention, and an absence of evidence evaluating statin therapy for primary prevention. The findings of this study highlight that randomised trial data are urgently needed to better inform the use of statins among older adults living with frailty.

The association of mode of location activity and mobility with acute coronary syndrome: a nationwide ecological study

BACKGROUND

We aimed to study the effect of social containment mandates on ACS presentation during COVID-19 pandemic using location activity and mobility data from mobile phone map services.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study using data from the Swedish Coronary Angiography and Angioplasty Registry (SCAAR) including all ACS presentations during the pandemic until 7 May 2020. Using a count regression model, we adjusted for day of the week, daily weather and incidence of COVID-19.

RESULTS

A 10% increase in activity around areas of residence was associated with 38% lower rates of ACS hospitalizations, whereas increased activity relating to retail and recreation, grocery stores and pharmacies, workplaces and mode of mobility was associated with 10-20% higher rates of ACS hospitalizations.

CONCLUSION

Government policy regarding social containment mandates has important public health implications for medical emergencies such as ACS and may explain the decline in ACS presentations observed during COVID-19 pandemic.

P2524Extent and outcomes of frailty in older people with atrial fibrillation: a nationwide study using primary care data

Background

The prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in older people is increasing, as is frailty. Frailty describes an increased vulnerability to adverse outcomes, whereby the balance of risk and benefit associated with an intervention may be more nuanced. However, there are limited data from a community setting on the prevalence of AF and frailty in older people.

It is important to understand the burden of AF and frailty, and the associated impact on mortality and stroke disease in order to inform shared decision making with patients, and also inform guidelines for this increasing group of older people.

Purpose

To estimate the prevalence of AF and the burden of frailty in patients with AF, in a large primary care dataset. To report stroke and mortality by frailty group.

Methods

We used electronic health records of 537,051 patients in England aged 65 years or older on 31/12/2015, with follow-up for all-cause mortality and ischaemic or unclassified stroke to 11/04/2017. Patients with a history of AF were identified using Clinical Terms Version 3 (CTV-3) codes. Frailty was identified up to the point of study entry using the electronic frailty index (eFI, the proportion of deficits out of 36 possible deficits), and categorised into robust (0–0.12), mild (>0.12–0.24), moderate (>0.24–0.36) or severe (>0.36) frailty.

Median CHA2DS2-VASc and ATRIA scores for patients with frailty were compared with the robust group using Mann-Whitney.

The association between frailty status, all-cause mortality and stroke was calculated using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for age and sex.

Results

Of the cohort, 61,177 patients (11.4%) had AF. Of those with AF, 27,987 (45.8%) were female, and 54,734 (89.5%) had frailty. 6,443 (10.5%) were classified as robust; 20,352 (33.3%) mildly frail; 20,315 (33.2%) moderately frail; and 14,067 (23.0%) severely frail.

The median number of eFI-defined deficits among patients with AF was 9 (interquartile range [IQR] 6–12). Median stroke and bleeding scores were higher in those with frailty compared with the robust group (CHA2DS2-VASc 4 [IQR 3–5] v 2 [2–3], p≤0.001; ATRIA 4 [2–6] v 1 [0–2], p≤0.001).

During 73,338 patient-years of follow-up, there were 6,805 (11.1%) deaths and 945 (1.54%) strokes. Compared with the robust group, all-cause mortality and stroke were higher with increasing frailty. Mortality: mild frailty hazard ratio 1.53 (95% confidence interval 1.29–1.80); moderate frailty 2.50 (2.13–2.94); severe frailty 4.26 (3.63–5.01). Stroke: mild frailty 1.36 (0.99–1.85); moderate frailty 1.67 (1.23–2.28); severe 1.99 (1.45–2.73).

Kaplan-Meier survival curves by frailty

Conclusion

The prevalence of AF among those aged over 65 years in primary care in England is high, the majority of whom are frail. Increasing severity of frailty was associated with higher mortality and stroke rates.

The extent to which the judicious use of oral anticoagulation may improve clinical outcomes for patients with AF and frailty is currently unknown.

Acknowledgement/Funding

CPG: Bayer, BMS, AstraZeneca, Novartis Vifor Pharma, Menerini

The ESC ACCA EAPCI EORP acute coronary syndrome ST-elevation myocardial infarction registry

Aims 

The Acute Cardiac Care Association (ACCA)–European Association of Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (EAPCI) Registry on ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) of the EurObservational programme (EORP) of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) registry aimed to determine the current state of the use of reperfusion therapy in ESC member and ESC affiliated countries and the adherence to ESC STEMI guidelines in patients with STEMI.

Methods and results 

Between 1 January 2015 and 31 March 2018, a total of 11 462 patients admitted with an initial diagnosis of STEMI according to the 2012 ESC STEMI guidelines were enrolled. Individual patient data were collected across 196 centres and 29 countries. Among the centres, there were 136 percutaneous coronary intervention centres and 91 with cardiac surgery on-site. The majority of centres (129/196) were part of a STEMI network. The main objective of this study was to describe the demographic, clinical, and angiographic characteristics of patients with STEMI. Other objectives include to assess management patterns and in particular the current use of reperfusion therapies and to evaluate how recommendations of most recent STEMI European guidelines regarding reperfusion therapies and adjunctive pharmacological and non-pharmacological treatments are adopted in clinical practice and how their application can impact on patients’ outcomes. Patients will be followed for 1 year after admission.

Conclusion 

The ESC ACCA-EAPCI EORP ACS STEMI registry is an international registry of care and outcomes of patients hospitalized with STEMI. It will provide insights into the contemporary patient profile, management patterns, and 1-year outcome of patients with STEMI.

Self-Reported Sleep Duration and Quality and Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality: A Dose-Response Meta-Analysis

Background There is growing evidence that sleep duration and quality may be associated with cardiovascular harm and mortality. Methods and Results We conducted a systematic review, meta-analysis, and spline analysis of prospective cohort studies that evaluate the association between sleep duration and quality and cardiovascular outcomes. We searched MEDLINE and EMBASE for these studies and extracted data from identified studies. We utilized linear and nonlinear dose-response meta-analysis models and used DerSimonian-Laird random-effects meta-analysis models of risk ratios, with inverse variance weighting, and the I2 statistic to quantify heterogeneity. Seventy-four studies including 3 340 684 participants with 242 240 deaths among 2 564 029 participants who reported death events were reviewed. Findings were broadly similar across both linear and nonlinear dose-response models in 30 studies with >1 000 000 participants, and we report results from the linear model. Self-reported duration of sleep >8 hours was associated with a moderate increased risk of all-cause mortality, with risk ratio , 1.14 (1.05-1.25) for 9 hours, risk ratio, 1.30 (1.19-1.42) for 10 hours, and risk ratio, 1.47 (1.33-1.64) for 11 hours. No significant difference was identified for periods of self-reported sleep <7 hours, whereas similar patterns were observed for stroke and cardiovascular disease mortality. Subjective poor sleep quality was associated with coronary heart disease (risk ratio , 1.44; 95% confidence interval, 1.09-1.90), but no difference in mortality and other outcomes. Conclusions Divergence from the recommended 7 to 8 hours of sleep is associated with a higher risk of mortality and cardiovascular events. Longer duration of sleep may be more associated with adverse outcomes compared with shorter sleep durations.

Pharmacodynamic Effects of a 6-Hour Regimen of Enoxaparin in Patients Undergoing Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (PENNY PCI Study)

Delayed onset of action of oral P2Y ₁₂ inhibitors in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients may increase the risk of acute stent thrombosis. Available parenteral anti-thrombotic strategies, to deal with this issue, are limited by added cost and increased risk of bleeding. We investigated the pharmacodynamic effects of a novel regimen of enoxaparin in STEMI patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI). Twenty patients were recruited to receive 0.75 mg/kg bolus of enoxaparin (pre-PPCI) followed by infusion of enoxaparin 0.75 mg/kg/6 h. At four time points (pre-anti-coagulation, end of PPCI, 2–3 hours into infusion and at the end of infusion), anti-Xa levels were determined using chromogenic assays, fibrin clots were assessed by turbidimetric analysis and platelet P2Y ₁₂ inhibition was determined by VerifyNow P2Y12 assay. Clinical outcomes were determined 14 hours after enoxaparin initiation. Nineteen of 20 patients completed the enoxaparin regimen; one patient, who developed no-reflow phenomenon, was switched to tirofiban after the enoxaparin bolus. All received ticagrelor 180 mg before angiography. Mean (± standard error of the mean) anti-Xa levels were sustained during enoxaparin infusion (1.17 ± 0.06 IU/mL at the end of PPCI and 1.003 ± 0.06 IU/mL at 6 hours), resulting in prolonged fibrin clot lag time and increased lysis potential. Onset of platelet P2Y ₁₂ inhibition was delayed in opiate-treated patients. No patients had thrombotic or bleeding complications. In conclusion, enoxaparin 0.75 mg/kg bolus followed by 0.75 mg/kg/6 h provides sustained anti-Xa levels in PPCI patients. This may protect from acute stent thrombosis in opiate-treated PPCI patients who frequently have delayed onset of oral P2Y ₁₂ inhibition.

Editor's Choice - Frailty and the management of patients with acute cardiovascular disease: A position paper from the Acute Cardiovascular Care Association

Frailty is increasingly seen among patients with acute cardiovascular disease. A combination of an ageing population, improved disease survival, treatable long-term conditions as well as a greater recognition of the syndrome has accelerated the prevalence of frailty in the modern world. Yet, this has not been matched by an expansion of research. National and international bodies have identified acute cardiovascular disease in the frail as a priority area for care and an entity that requires careful clinical decisions, but there remains a paucity of guidance on treatment efficacy and safety, and how to manage this complex group. This position paper from the Acute Cardiovascular Care Association presents the latest evidence about frailty and the management of frail patients with acute cardiovascular disease, and suggests avenues for future research.

Pacemaker Explosions in Crematoria: Problems and Possible Solutions

The number of artificial cardiac pacemakers is increasing, as is the number of bodies being cremated. Because of the explosive potential of pacemakers when heated, a statutory question on the cremation form asks whether the deceased has a pacemaker and if so whether it has been removed. We sent a questionnaire to all the crematoria in the UK enquiring about the frequency, consequences and prevention of pacemaker explosions. We found that about half of all crematoria in the UK experience pacemaker explosions, that pacemaker explosions may cause structural damage and injury and that most crematoria staff are unaware of the explosive potential of implantable cardiac defibrillators. Crematoria staff rely on the accurate completion of cremation forms, and doctors who sign cremation forms have a legal obligation to provide such information.

Long-term excess mortality associated with diabetes following acute myocardial infarction: a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

The long-term excess risk of death associated with diabetes following acute myocardial infarction is unknown. We determined the excess risk of death associated with diabetes among patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-STEMI (NSTEMI) after adjustment for comorbidity, risk factors and cardiovascular treatments.

METHODS

Nationwide population-based cohort (STEMI n=281 259 and NSTEMI n=422 661) using data from the UK acute myocardial infarction registry, MINAP, between 1 January 2003 and 30 June 2013. Age, sex, calendar year and country-specific mortality rates for the populace of England and Wales (n=56.9 million) were matched to cases of STEMI and NSTEMI. Flexible parametric survival models were used to calculate excess mortality rate ratios (EMRR) after multivariable adjustment. This study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02591576).

RESULTS

Over 1.94 million person-years follow-up including 120 568 (17.1%) patients with diabetes, there were 187 875 (26.7%) deaths. Overall, unadjusted (all cause) mortality was higher among patients with than without diabetes (35.8% vs 25.3%). After adjustment for age, sex and year of acute myocardial infarction, diabetes was associated with a 72% and 67% excess risk of death following STEMI (EMRR 1.72, 95% CI 1.66 to 1.79) and NSTEMI (1.67, 1.63 to 1.71). Diabetes remained significantly associated with substantial excess mortality despite cumulative adjustment for comorbidity (EMRR 1.52, 95% CI 1.46 to 1.58 vs 1.45, 1.42 to 1.49), risk factors (1.50, 1.44 to 1.57 vs 1.33, 1.30 to 1.36) and cardiovascular treatments (1.56, 1.49 to 1.63 vs 1.39, 1.36 to 1.43).

CONCLUSIONS

At index acute myocardial infarction, diabetes was common and associated with significant long-term excess mortality, over and above the effects of comorbidities, risk factors and cardiovascular treatments.

Impact of left ventricular function and transaortic gradient on outcomes from transcatheter aortic valve implantation: data from the UK TAVI Registry

AIMS

Aortic valve surgery in the presence of reduced ejection fraction (EF) or low transaortic gradient is associated with adverse outcome. Low gradient (LG) may be associated with reduced EF, known as low EF-low gradient (LEF-LG), or "paradoxically" low with normal EF (P-LG). Our aim was to investigate the impact of EF and transaortic gradient on outcome following transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI).

METHODS AND RESULTS

We retrospectively analysed the UK TAVI Registry from 2007 to 2011 (n=2,535 consecutive patients, mean age 81.3±7.5, logistic EuroSCORE 21.8±14). Thirty-day mortality was 7.8%, low EF (<50%) was present in 39%, low gradient (<64 mmHg) was present in 27%, LEF-LG in 15% and P-LG in 12% of patients, respectively. LEF-LG patients had the highest risk profile vs. the other groups (EuroSCORE 30±16 vs. 20±12, p<0.001). Neither EF nor gradient impacted on procedural outcome or 30-day mortality. Mortality at two years was significantly higher in LEF-LG patients (34.7%), whereas, in patients with low EF/high gradient (27.8%) or normal EF/low gradient (23%), mortality was not significantly different from that of normal EF/high gradient (23%) patients. LEF-LG independently predicted reduced survival, HR 1.7 (1.4-2.1).

CONCLUSIONS

Neither low EF nor low gradient affected procedural success or 30-day mortality. Long-term survival was reduced in LEF-LG patients but not in those with low EF and high gradient or P-LG with normal EF.

Association of Clinical Factors and Therapeutic Strategies With Improvements in Survival Following Non-ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction, 2003-2013

IMPORTANCE

International studies report a decline in mortality following non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). Whether this is due to lower baseline risk or increased utilization of guideline-indicated treatments is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether changes in characteristics of patients with NSTEMI are associated with improvements in outcomes.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Data on patients with NSTEMI in 247 hospitals in England and Wales were obtained from the Myocardial Ischaemia National Audit Project between January 1, 2003, and June 30, 2013 (final follow-up, December 31, 2013).

EXPOSURES

Baseline demographics, clinical risk (GRACE risk score), and pharmacological and invasive coronary treatments.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Adjusted all-cause 180-day postdischarge mortality time trends estimated using flexible parametric survival modeling.

RESULTS

Among 389 057 patients with NSTEMI (median age, 72.7 years [IQR, 61.7-81.2 years]; 63.1% men), there were 113 586 deaths (29.2%). From 2003-2004 to 2012-2013, proportions with intermediate to high GRACE risk decreased (87.2% vs 82.0%); proportions with lowest risk increased (4.2% vs 7.6%; P= .01 for trend). The prevalence of diabetes, hypertension, cerebrovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic renal failure, previous invasive coronary strategy, and current or ex-smoking status increased (all P < .001). Unadjusted all-cause mortality rates at 180 days decreased from 10.8% to 7.6% (unadjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.968 [95% CI, 0.966-0.971]; difference in absolute mortality rate per 100 patients [AMR/100], -1.81 [95% CI, -1.95 to -1.67]). These findings were not substantially changed when adjusted additively by baseline GRACE risk score (HR, 0.975 [95% CI, 0.972-0.977]; AMR/100, -0.18 [95% CI, -0.21 to -0.16]), sex and socioeconomic status (HR, 0.975 [95% CI, 0.973-0.978]; difference in AMR/100, -0.24 [95% CI, -0.27 to -0.21]), comorbidities (HR, 0.973 [95% CI, 0.970-0.976]; difference in AMR/100, -0.44 [95% CI, -0.49 to -0.39]), and pharmacological therapies (HR, 0.972 [95% CI, 0.964-0.980]; difference in AMR/100, -0.53 [95% CI, -0.70 to -0.36]). However, the direction of association was reversed after further adjustment for use of an invasive coronary strategy (HR, 1.02 [95% CI, 1.01-1.03]; difference in AMR/100, 0.59 [95% CI, 0.33-0.86]), which was associated with a relative decrease in mortality of 46.1% (95% CI, 38.9%-52.0%).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among patients hospitalized with NSTEMI in England and Wales, improvements in all-cause mortality were observed between 2003 and 2013. This was significantly associated with use of an invasive coronary strategy and not entirely related to a decline in baseline clinical risk or increased use of pharmacological therapies.

Geographic variation in the treatment of non-ST-segment myocardial infarction in the English National Health Service: a cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To investigate geographic variation in guideline-indicated treatments for non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) in the English National Health Service (NHS).

DESIGN

Cohort study using registry data from the Myocardial Ischaemia National Audit Project.

SETTING

All Clinical Commissioning Groups (CCGs) (n=211) in the English NHS.

PARTICIPANTS

357 228 patients with NSTEMI between 1 January 2003 and 30 June 2013.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Proportion of eligible NSTEMI who received all eligible guideline-indicated treatments (optimal care) according to the date of guideline publication.

RESULTS

The proportion of NSTEMI who received optimal care was low (48 257/357 228; 13.5%) and varied between CCGs (median 12.8%, IQR 0.7-18.1%). The greatest geographic variation was for aldosterone antagonists (16.7%, 0.0-40.0%) and least for use of an ECG (96.7%, 92.5-98.7%). The highest rates of care were for acute aspirin (median 92.8%, IQR 88.6-97.1%), and aspirin (90.1%, 85.1-93.3%) and statins (86.4%, 82.3-91.2%) at hospital discharge. The lowest rates were for smoking cessation advice (median 11.6%, IQR 8.7-16.6%), dietary advice (32.4%, 23.9-41.7%) and the prescription of P2Y12 inhibitors (39.7%, 32.4-46.9%). After adjustment for case mix, nearly all (99.6%) of the variation was due to between-hospital differences (median 64.7%, IQR 57.4-70.0%; between-hospital variance: 1.92, 95% CI 1.51 to 2.44; interclass correlation 0.996, 95% CI 0.976 to 0.999).

CONCLUSIONS

Across the English NHS, the optimal use of guideline-indicated treatments for NSTEMI was low. Variation in the use of specific treatments for NSTEMI was mostly explained by between-hospital differences in care. Performance-based commissioning may increase the use of NSTEMI treatments and, therefore, reduce premature cardiovascular deaths.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT02436187.

Determinants of excess mortality following unprotected left main stem percutaneous coronary intervention

OBJECTIVE

For percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) to the unprotected left main stem (UPLMS), there are limited long-term outcome data. We evaluated 5-year survival for UPLMS PCI cases taking into account background population mortality.

METHODS

A population-based registry of 10 682 cases of chronic stable angina (CSA), non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTEACS), ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction with (STEMI+CS) and without cardiogenic shock (STEMI-CS) who received UPLMS PCI from 2005 to 2014 were matched by age, sex, year of procedure and country to death data for the UK populace of 56.6 million people. Relative survival and excess mortality were estimated.

RESULTS

Over 26 105 person-years follow-up, crude 5-year relative survival was 93.8% for CSA, 73.1% for NSTEACS, 77.5% for STEMI-CS and 28.5% for STEMI+CS. The strongest predictor of excess mortality among CSA was renal failure (EMRR 6.73, 95% CI 4.06 to 11.15), and for NSTEACS and STEMI-CS was preprocedural ventilation (6.25, 5.05 to 7.75 and 6.92, 4.25 to 11.26, respectively). For STEMI+CS, the strongest predictor of excess mortality was preprocedural thrombolysis in myocardial infarction (TIMI) 0 flow (2.78, 1.87 to 4.13), whereas multivessel PCI was associated with improved survival (0.74, 0.61 to 0.90).

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term survival following UPLMS PCI for CSA was high, approached that of the background populace and was significantly predicted by co-morbidity. For NSTEACS and STEMI-CS, the requirement for preprocedural ventilation was the strongest determinant of excess mortality. By contrast, among STEMI+CS, in whom survival was poor, the strongest determinant was preprocedural TIMI flow. Future cardiovascular cohort studies of long-term mortality should consider the impact of non-cardiovascular deaths.

Comparison of Early Versus Delayed Oral β Blockers in Acute Coronary Syndromes and Effect on Outcomes

The aim of this study was to determine if earlier administration of oral β ​blocker therapy in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACSs) is associated with an increased short-term survival rate and improved left ventricular (LV) function. We studied 11,581 patients enrolled in the International Survey of Acute Coronary Syndromes in Transitional Countries registry from January 2010 to June 2014. Of these patients, 6,117 were excluded as they received intravenous β blockers or remained free of any β ​blocker treatment during hospital stay, 23 as timing of oral β ​blocker administration was unknown, and 182 patients because they died before oral β blockers could be given. The final study population comprised 5,259 patients. The primary outcome was the incidence of in-hospital mortality. The secondary outcome was the incidence of severe LV dysfunction defined as an ejection fraction <40% at hospital discharge. Oral β blockers were administered soon (≤24 hours) after hospital admission in 1,377 patients and later (>24 hours) during hospital stay in the remaining 3,882 patients. Early β ​blocker therapy was significantly associated with reduced in-hospital mortality (odds ratio 0.41, 95% CI 0.21 to 0.80) and reduced incidence of severe LV dysfunction (odds ratio 0.57, 95% CI 0.42 to 0.78). Significant mortality benefits with early β ​blocker therapy disappeared when patients with Killip class III/IV were included as dummy variables. The results were confirmed by propensity score-matched analyses. In conclusion, in patients with ACSs, earlier administration of oral β ​blocker therapy should be a priority with a greater probability of improving LV function and in-hospital survival rate. Patients presenting with acute pulmonary edema or cardiogenic shock should be excluded from this early treatment regimen.

Patient and hospital determinants of primary percutaneous coronary intervention in England, 2003-2013

OBJECTIVE

Primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI) for ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is insufficiently implemented in many countries. We investigated patient and hospital characteristics associated with PPCI utilisation.

METHODS

Whole country registry data (MINAP, Myocardial Ischaemia National Audit Project) comprising PPCI-capable National Health Service trusts in England (84 hospital trusts; 92 350 hospitalisations; 90 489 patients), 2003-2013. Multilevel Poisson regression modelled the relationship between incidence rate ratios (IRR) of PPCI and patient and trust-level factors.

RESULTS

Overall, standardised rates of PPCI increased from 0.01% to 86.3% (2003-2013). While, on average, there was a yearly increase in PPCI utilisation of 30% (adjusted IRR 1.30, 95% CI 1.23 to 1.36), it varied substantially between trusts. PPCI rates were lower for patients with previous myocardial infarction (0.95, 0.93 to 0.98), heart failure (0.86, 0.81 to 0.92), angina (0.96, 0.94 to 0.98), diabetes (0.97, 0.95 to 0.99), chronic renal failure (0.89, 0.85 to 0.90), cerebrovascular disease (0.96, 0.93 to 0.99), age >80 years (0.87, 0.85 to 0.90), and travel distances >30 km (0.95, 0.93 to 0.98). PPCI rates were higher for patients with previous percutaneous coronary intervention (1.09, 1.05 to 1.12) and among trusts with >5 interventional cardiologists (1.30, 1.25 to 1.34), more visiting interventional cardiologists (1-5: 1.31, 1.26 to 1.36; ≥6: 1.42, 1.35 to 1.49), and a 24 h, 7-days-a-week PPCI service (2.69, 2.58 to 2.81). Half of the unexplained variation in PPCI rates was due to between-trust differences.

CONCLUSIONS

Following an 8 year implementation phase, PPCI utilisation rates stabilised at 85%. However, older and sicker patients were less likely to receive PPCI and there remained between-trust variation in PPCI rates not attributable to differences in staffing levels. Compliance with clinical pathways for STEMI is needed to ensure more equitable quality of care.

Evaluation of the Methods and Management of Acute Coronary Events (EMMACE)-3: protocol for a longitudinal study

INTRODUCTION

Patients with cardiovascular disease are living longer and are more frequently accessing healthcare resources. The Evaluation of the Methods and Management of Acute Coronary Events (EMMACE)-3 national study is designed to improve understanding of the effect of quality of care on health-related outcomes for patients hospitalised with acute coronary syndrome (ACS).

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

EMMACE-3 is a longitudinal study of 5556 patients hospitalised with an ACS in England. The study collects repeated measures of health-related quality of life, information about medications and patient adherence profiles, a survey of hospital facilities, and morbidity and mortality data from linkages to multiple electronic health records. Together with EMMACE-3X and EMMACE-4, EMMACE-3 will assimilate detailed information for about 13 000 patients across more than 60 hospitals in England.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

EMMACE-3 was given a favourable ethical opinion by Leeds (West) Research Ethics committee (REC reference: 10/H131374). On successful application, study data will be shared with academic collaborators. The findings from EMMACE-3 will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publications, at scientific conferences, the media, and through patient and public involvement.

STUDY REGISTRATION NUMBER

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01808027. Information about the study is also available at EMMACE.org.

Mortality and missed opportunities along the pathway of care for ST-elevation myocardial infarction: a national cohort study

AIMS

To examine the association between cumulative missed opportunities for care (CMOC) and mortality in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).

METHODS

A cohort study of 112,286 STEMI patients discharged from hospital alive between January 2007 and December 2010, using data from the Myocardial Ischaemia National Audit Project (MINAP). A CMOC score was calculated for each patient and included: pre-hospital ECG, acute use of aspirin, timely reperfusion, prescription at hospital discharge of aspirin, thienopyridine inhibitor, ACE-inhibitor (or equivalent), HMG-CoA reductase inhibitor and β-blocker, and referral for cardiac rehabilitation. Mixed-effects logistic regression models evaluated the effect of CMOC on risk-adjusted 30-day and 1-year mortality (RAMR).

RESULTS

44.5% of patients were ineligible for ≥1 care component. Of patients eligible for all nine components, 50.6% missed ≥1 opportunity. Pre-hospital ECG and timely reperfusion were most frequently missed, predicting further missed care at discharge (pre-hospital ECG incident rate ratio [95% CI]: 1.64 [1.58-1.70]; timely reperfusion 9.94 [9.51-10.40]). Patients ineligible for care had higher RAMR than those eligible for care (30-days: 1.7% vs. 1.1%; 1-year: 8.6% vs. 5.2%), whilst those with no missed care had lower mortality than patients with ≥4 CMOC (30-days: 0.5% vs. 5.4%, adjusted OR (aOR) per CMOC group 1.22, 95% CI: 1.05-1.42; 1-year: 3.2% vs. 22.8%, aOR 1.23, 1.13-1.34).

CONCLUSIONS

Opportunities for care in STEMI are commonly missed and significantly associated with early and later mortality. Thus, outcomes after STEMI may be improved by greater attention to missed opportunities to eligible care.

Risk stratification for ST segment elevation myocardial infarction in the era of primary percutaneous coronary intervention

Acute coronary syndromes presenting with ST elevation are usually treated with emergency reperfusion/revascularisation therapy. In contrast current evidence and national guidelines recommend risk stratification for non ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) with the decision on revascularisation dependent on perceived clinical risk. Risk stratification for STEMI has no recommendation. Statistical risk scoring techniques in NSTEMI have been demonstrated to improve outcomes however their uptake has been poor perhaps due to questions over their discrimination and concern for application to individuals who may not have been adequately represented in clinical trials. STEMI is perceived to carry sufficient risk to warrant emergency coronary intervention [by primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI)] even if this results in a delay to reperfusion with immediate thrombolysis. Immediate thrombolysis may be as effective in patients presenting early, or at low risk, but physicians are poor at assessing clinical and procedural risks and currently are not required to consider this. Inadequate data on risk stratification in STEMI inhibits the option of immediate fibrinolysis, which may be cost-effective. Currently the mode of reperfusion for STEMI defaults to emergency angiography and percutaneous coronary intervention ignoring alternative strategies. This review article examines the current risk scores and evidence base for risk stratification for STEMI patients. The requirements for an ideal STEMI risk score are discussed.

Acute coronary syndrome management in older adults: guidelines, temporal changes and challenges

Advancing age is a risk factor for the development of coronary artery disease and is an important indicator of outcome after acute coronary syndrome. As the number of older adults increases, the burden of cardiovascular disease is set to grow particularly as older adults remain disadvantaged in the delivery of acute cardiac care. This article reviews the temporal changes in the provision of guideline recommended therapies for the management of acute coronary syndrome, discusses reasons for age-dependent inequalities in care and the challenges facing clinicians.

Prospective development and validation of a model to predict heart failure hospitalisation

Objective

Acute heart failure syndrome (AHFS) is a major cause of hospitalisation and imparts a substantial burden on patients and healthcare systems. Tools to define risk of AHFS hospitalisation are lacking.

Methods

A prospective cohort study (n=628) of patients with stable chronic heart failure (CHF) secondary to left ventricular systolic dysfunction was used to derive an AHFS prediction model which was then assessed in a prospectively recruited validation cohort (n=462).

Results

Within the derivation cohort, 44 (7%) patients were hospitalised as a result of AHFS during 1 year of follow-up. Predictors of AHFS hospitalisation included furosemide equivalent dose, the presence of type 2 diabetes mellitus, AHFS hospitalisation within the previous year and pulmonary congestion on chest radiograph, all assessed at baseline. A multivariable model containing these four variables exhibited good calibration (Hosmer–Lemeshow p=0.38) and discrimination (C-statistic 0.77; 95% CI 0.71 to 0.84). Using a 2.5% risk cut-off for predicted AHFS, the model defined 38.5% of patients as low risk, with negative predictive value of 99.1%; this low risk cohort exhibited <1% excess all-cause mortality per annum when compared with contemporaneous actuarial data. Within the validation cohort, an identically applied model derived comparable performance parameters (C-statistic 0.81 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.87), Hosmer–Lemeshow p=0.15, negative predictive value 100%).

Conclusions

A prospectively derived and validated model using simply obtained clinical data can identify patients with CHF at low risk of hospitalisation due to AHFS in the year following assessment. This may guide the design of future strategies allocating resources to the management of CHF.

Dietary fibre intake and risk of cardiovascular disease: systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate dietary fibre intake and any potential dose-response association with coronary heart disease and cardiovascular disease.

DESIGN

Systematic review of available literature and dose-response meta-analysis of cohort studies using random effects models.

DATA SOURCES

The Cochrane Library, Medline, Medline in-process, Embase, CAB Abstracts, ISI Web of Science, BIOSIS, and hand searching.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR STUDIES

Prospective studies reporting associations between fibre intake and coronary heart disease or cardiovascular disease, with a minimum follow-up of three years and published in English between 1 January 1990 and 6 August 2013.

RESULTS

22 cohort study publications met inclusion criteria and reported total dietary fibre intake, fibre subtypes, or fibre from food sources and primary events of cardiovascular disease or coronary heart disease. Total dietary fibre intake was inversely associated with risk of cardiovascular disease (risk ratio 0.91 per 7 g/day (95% confidence intervals 0.88 to 0.94)) and coronary heart disease (0.91 (0.87 to 0.94)). There was evidence of some heterogeneity between pooled studies for cardiovascular disease (I(2)=45% (0% to 74%)) and coronary heart disease (I(2)=33% (0% to 66%)). Insoluble fibre and fibre from cereal and vegetable sources were inversely associated with risk of coronary heart disease and cardiovascular disease. Fruit fibre intake was inversely associated with risk of cardiovascular disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Greater dietary fibre intake is associated with a lower risk of both cardiovascular disease and coronary heart disease. Findings are aligned with general recommendations to increase fibre intake. The differing strengths of association by fibre type or source highlight the need for a better understanding of the mode of action of fibre components.

Impact of aspirin and statins on long-term survival in patients hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction complicated by heart failure: an analysis of 1706 patients

AIMS

Aspirin and statins are established therapies for acute myocardial infarction (MI), but their benefits in patients with chronic heart failure (HF) remain elusive. We investigated the impact of aspirin and statins on long-term survival in patients hospitalized with acute MI complicated by HF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Of 4251 patients in the Evaluation of Methods and Management of Acute Coronary Events (EMMACE)-1 and -2 observational studies, 1706 patients had HF. A propensity score-matching method estimated the average treatment effects (ATEs) of aspirin and statins on survival over 90 months. ATEs were calculated as relative risk differences in all-cause mortality comparing patients receiving aspirin and statins with controls, respectively. Moreover, combined aspirin and statins vs. none (ATE I), aspirin or statins vs. none (ATE II), and aspirin and statins vs. aspirin or statins (ATE III) were assessed. The median survival times of the ATE I, ATE II and ATE III were 25, 50, and 85 months, respectively. Regarding aspirin, the ATE was significantly improved at 6, 12, and 90 months [ATE 6 months: 10%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 3-18%], where the ATE of statins favoured survival at 1-24 months (ATE 1 month: 5%, 95% CI 0.3-10%). Mortality was lower at 1, 6, and 24 months in those who received aspirin and statins (ATE I). When the combination was compared with either treatment alone, an effect persisted between 6 and 90 months (ATE III).

CONCLUSION

In patients with acute MI complicated by HF, prescription of aspirin and statins either alone or together was associated with better long-term survival.

Diabetes mellitus is associated with adverse prognosis in chronic heart failure of ischaemic and non-ischaemic aetiology

BACKGROUND

It is unclear whether diabetes mellitus (DM) is an adverse prognostic factor in chronic heart failure (CHF) of ischaemic and non-ischaemic aetiology managed with contemporary evidence-based care.

METHODS

In total, 1091 outpatients with CHF with reduced ejection fraction were prospectively observed for a mean of 960 days. Total and cardiovascular mortality was quantified after accounting for potential confounders.

RESULTS

In total, 25.7% of patients had DM; this group was more likely to have CHF of ischaemic aetiology and was more symptomatic. Patients with DM received comparable medical- and device-based therapies, except for greater doses of loop diuretic. DM was associated with approximately doubled crude and adjusted risk of total and cardiovascular mortality. The association of diabetes with these outcomes in patients with ischaemic and non-ischaemic cardiomyopathies was of similar magnitude.

CONCLUSIONS

In spite of advances in the management of CHF, DM remains a major adverse prognostic feature, irrespective of ischaemic/non-ischaemic aetiology.

Statistical profiling of hospital performance using acute coronary syndrome mortality

BACKGROUND

In order to improve the quality of care delivered to patients and to enable patient choice, public reports comparing hospital performances are routinely published. Robust systems of hospital 'report cards' on performance monitoring and evaluation are therefore crucial in medical decision-making processes. In particular, such systems should effectively account for and minimise systematic differences with regard to definitions and data quality, care and treatment quality, and 'case mix'.

METHODS

Four methods for assessing hospital performance on mortality outcome measures were considered. The methods included combinations of Bayesian fixed- and random-effects models, and risk-adjusted mortality rate, and rank-based profiling techniques. The methods were empirically compared using 30-day mortality in patients admitted with acute coronary syndrome. Agreement was firstly assessed using median estimates between risk-adjusted mortality rates for a hospital and between ranks associated with a hospital's risk-adjusted mortality rates. Secondly, assessment of agreement was based on a classification of hospitals into low, normal or high performing using risk-adjusted mortality rates and ranks.

RESULTS

There was poor agreement between the point estimates of risk-adjusted mortality rates, but better agreement between ranks. However, for categorised performance, the observed agreement between the methods' classification of the hospital performance ranged from 90 to 98%. In only two of the six possible pair-wise comparisons was agreement reasonable, as reflected by a Kappa statistic; it was 0.71 between the methods of identifying outliers with the fixed-effect model and 0.77 with the hierarchical model. In the remaining four pair-wise comparisons, the agreement was, at best, moderate.

CONCLUSIONS

Even though the inconsistencies among the studied methods raise questions about which hospitals performed better or worse than others, it seems that the choice of the definition of outlying performance is less critical than that of the statistical approach. Therefore there is a need to find robust systems of 'regulation' or 'performance monitoring' that are meaningful to health service practitioners and providers.

Evaluation of the NICE mini-GRACE risk scores for acute myocardial infarction using the Myocardial Ischaemia National Audit Project (MINAP) 2003-2009: National Institute for Cardiovascular Outcomes Research (NICOR)

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the performance of the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) mini-Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) (MG) and adjusted mini-GRACE (AMG) risk scores.

DESIGN

Retrospective observational study.

SETTING

215 acute hospitals in England and Wales.

PATIENTS

137 084 patients discharged from hospital with a diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) between 2003 and 2009, as recorded in the Myocardial Ischaemia National Audit Project (MINAP).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Model performance indices of calibration accuracy, discriminative and explanatory performance, including net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement.

RESULTS

Of 495 263 index patients hospitalised with AMI, there were 53 196 ST elevation myocardial infarction and 83 888 non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) (27.7%) cases with complete data for all AMG variables. For AMI, AMG calibration was better than MG calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test: p=0.33 vs p<0.05). MG and AMG predictive accuracy and discriminative ability were good (Brier score: 0.10 vs 0.09; C statistic: 0.82 and 0.84, respectively). The NRI of AMG over MG was 8.1% (p<0.05). Model performance was reduced in patients with NSTEMI, chronic heart failure, chronic renal failure and in patients aged ≥85 years.

CONCLUSIONS

The AMG and MG risk scores, utilised by NICE, demonstrated good performance across a range of indices using MINAP data, but performed less well in higher risk subgroups. Although indices were better for AMG, its application may be constrained by missing predictors.