The association of calcium supplementation and incident cardiovascular events in the Multi-ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Many US adults use calcium supplements to address inadequate dietary intake and improve bone health. However, recent reports have suggested that use of calcium supplements may elevate cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. In this study, we examined associations between baseline calcium supplement use and incident myocardial infarction (MI) (n = 208 events) and CVD events (n = 641 events) over 10.3 years in men and women from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) cohort (n = 6236), with dietary calcium intake at baseline also examined as a supplementary objective.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using Cox proportional hazards models, no compelling associations between calcium intake from supplements or diet and incident CVD events were observed upon multivariate adjustment for potential confounders. An association with lower MI risk was observed comparing those with low levels of calcium supplement use (1-499 mg) to those using no calcium supplements (hazard ratio 0.69, 95% CI 0.48, 0.98, p = 0.039). Relationships were homogeneous by gender, race/ethnicity, or chronic kidney disease. Results were also similar when the analysis was limited to postmenopausal women only.

CONCLUSION

Analysis of incident MI and CVD events in the MESA cohort does not support a substantial association of calcium supplement use with negative cardiovascular outcomes.

Circulating microRNAs and sudden cardiac arrest outcomes

AIM

MicroRNAs (miRNAs) have regulatory functions in organs critical in resuscitation from sudden cardiac arrest due to ventricular fibrillation (VF-SCA); therefore, circulating miRNAs may be markers of VF-SCA outcome.

METHODS

We measured candidate miRNAs (N=45) in plasma using qRT-PCR among participants of a population-based VF-SCA study. Participants were randomly selected cases who died in the field (DF, n=15), died in hospital (DH, n=15), or survived to discharge (DC, n=15), and, age-, sex-, and race-matched controls (n=15). MiRNA levels were compared using ANOVA, t-tests, and fold-changes.

RESULTS

Mean age of groups ranged from 66.9 to 69.7. Most participants were male (53-67%) and white (67%). Comparing cases to controls, plasma levels of 17 miRNAs expressed in heart, brain, liver, and other tissues (including miR-29c, -34a, -122, -145, -200a, -210, -499-5p, and -663b) were higher and three non-specific miRNAs lower (miR-221, -330-3p, and -9-5p). Among DH or DC compared with DF cases, levels of two miRNAs (liver-specific miR-122 and non-specific miR-205) were higher and two heart-specific miRNAs (miR-208b and -499-5p) lower. Among DC vs. DF cases, levels of three miRNAs (miR-122, and non-specific miR-200a and -205) were higher and four heart-specific miRNAs (miR-133a, -133b, -208b, and -499-5p) lower. Among DC vs. DH cases, levels of two non-specific miRNAs (miR-135a and -9-3p) were lower.

CONCLUSIONS

Circulating miRNAs expressed in heart, brain, and other tissues differ between VF-SCA cases and controls and are related to resuscitation outcomes. Measurement of miRNAs may clarify mechanisms underlying resuscitation, improve prognostication, and guide development of therapies. Results require replication.

Diet and adipose tissue distributions: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Dietary quality affects cardiometabolic risk, yet its pathways of influence on regional adipose tissue depots involved in metabolic and diabetes risk are not well established. We aimed to investigate the relationship between dietary quality and regional adiposity.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We investigated 5079 individuals in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) who had food-frequency questionnaires and measurement of pericardial fat and hepatic attenuation at the baseline study visit in MESA, as well as a subgroup with imaging for visceral and subcutaneous fat (N = 1390). A dietary quality score (DietQuality) was constructed to include established food group constituents of a Mediterranean-type diet. Linear models estimated associations of dietary score as well as its constituents with regional adiposity. Baseline mean age was 61 (± 10) years, and approximately half of the participants (47%) were male. Those with a higher DietQuality score were generally older, female, with a lower body mass index, C-reactive protein, and markers of insulin resistance. After adjustment, a higher DietQuality score was associated with lower visceral fat (lowest vs. highest dietary score quartile: 523.6 vs. 460.5 cm(2)/m; P < 0.01 for trend), pericardial fat (47.5 vs. 41.3 cm(3)/m; P < 0.01 for trend), lesser hepatic steatosis (by hepatic attenuation; 58.6 vs. 60.7 Hounsfield units; P < 0.01 for trend), but not subcutaneous fat (P = 0.39). Greater fruits, vegetables, whole grains, seeds/nuts and yogurt intake were associated with decreased adiposity, while red/processed meats were associated with greater regional adiposity.

CONCLUSION

A higher quality diet pattern is associated with less regional adiposity, suggesting a potential mechanism of beneficial dietary effects on diabetes, metabolic, and cardiovascular risk.

Effects of long-term averaging of quantitative blood pressure traits on the detection of genetic associations

Blood pressure (BP) is a heritable, quantitative trait with intraindividual variability and susceptibility to measurement error. Genetic studies of BP generally use single-visit measurements and thus cannot remove variability occurring over months or years. We leveraged the idea that averaging BP measured across time would improve phenotypic accuracy and thereby increase statistical power to detect genetic associations. We studied systolic BP (SBP), diastolic BP (DBP), mean arterial pressure (MAP), and pulse pressure (PP) averaged over multiple years in 46,629 individuals of European ancestry. We identified 39 trait-variant associations across 19 independent loci (p < 5 × 10(-8)); five associations (in four loci) uniquely identified by our LTA analyses included those of SBP and MAP at 2p23 (rs1275988, near KCNK3), DBP at 2q11.2 (rs7599598, in FER1L5), and PP at 6p21 (rs10948071, near CRIP3) and 7p13 (rs2949837, near IGFBP3). Replication analyses conducted in cohorts with single-visit BP data showed positive replication of associations and a nominal association (p < 0.05). We estimated a 20% gain in statistical power with long-term average (LTA) as compared to single-visit BP association studies. Using LTA analysis, we identified genetic loci influencing BP. LTA might be one way of increasing the power of genetic associations for continuous traits in extant samples for other phenotypes that are measured serially over time.

Association of low-frequency and rare coding-sequence variants with blood lipids and coronary heart disease in 56,000 whites and blacks

Low-frequency coding DNA sequence variants in the proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 gene (PCSK9) lower plasma low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), protect against risk of coronary heart disease (CHD), and have prompted the development of a new class of therapeutics. It is uncertain whether the PCSK9 example represents a paradigm or an isolated exception. We used the "Exome Array" to genotype >200,000 low-frequency and rare coding sequence variants across the genome in 56,538 individuals (42,208 European ancestry [EA] and 14,330 African ancestry [AA]) and tested these variants for association with LDL-C, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and triglycerides. Although we did not identify new genes associated with LDL-C, we did identify four low-frequency (frequencies between 0.1% and 2%) variants (ANGPTL8 rs145464906 [c.361C>T; p.Gln121*], PAFAH1B2 rs186808413 [c.482C>T; p.Ser161Leu], COL18A1 rs114139997 [c.331G>A; p.Gly111Arg], and PCSK7 rs142953140 [c.1511G>A; p.Arg504His]) with large effects on HDL-C and/or triglycerides. None of these four variants was associated with risk for CHD, suggesting that examples of low-frequency coding variants with robust effects on both lipids and CHD will be limited.

Gain-of-function lipoprotein lipase variant rs13702 modulates lipid traits through disruption of a microRNA-410 seed site

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified hundreds of genetic variants that are associated with lipid phenotypes. However, data supporting a functional role for these variants in the context of lipid metabolism are scarce. We investigated the association of the lipoprotein lipase (LPL) variant rs13702 with plasma lipids and explored its potential for functionality. The rs13702 minor allele had been predicted to disrupt a microRNA (miR) recognition element (MRE) seed site (MRESS) for the human microRNA-410 (miR-410). Furthermore, rs13702 is in linkage disequilibrium (LD) with several SNPs identified by GWAS. We performed a meta-analysis across ten cohorts of participants that showed a statistically significant association of rs13702 with triacylglycerols (TAG) (p = 3.18 × 10(-42)) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) (p = 1.35 × 10(-32)) with each copy of the minor allele associated with 0.060 mmol/l lower TAG and 0.041 mmol/l higher HDL-C. Our data showed that an LPL 3' UTR luciferase reporter carrying the rs13702 major T allele was reduced by 40% in response to a miR-410 mimic. We also evaluated the interaction between intake of dietary fatty acids and rs13702. Meta-analysis demonstrated a significant interaction between rs13702 and dietary polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA) with respect to TAG concentrations (p = 0.00153), with the magnitude of the inverse association between dietary PUFA intake and TAG concentration showing -0.007 mmol/l greater reduction. Our results suggest that rs13702 induces the allele-specific regulation of LPL by miR-410 in humans. This work provides biological and potential clinical relevance for previously reported GWAS variants associated with plasma lipid phenotypes.

Common genetic variation near the connexin-43 gene is associated with resting heart rate in African Americans: a genome-wide association study of 13,372 participants

BACKGROUND

Genome-wide association studies have identified several genetic loci associated with variation in resting heart rate in European and Asian populations. No study has evaluated genetic variants associated with heart rate in African Americans.

OBJECTIVE

To identify novel genetic variants associated with resting heart rate in African Americans.

METHODS

Ten cohort studies participating in the Candidate-gene Association Resource and Continental Origins and Genetic Epidemiology Network consortia performed genome-wide genotyping of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and imputed 2,954,965 SNPs using HapMap YRI and CEU panels in 13,372 participants of African ancestry. Each study measured the RR interval (ms) from 10-second resting 12-lead electrocardiograms and estimated RR-SNP associations using covariate-adjusted linear regression. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to combine cohort-specific measures of association and identify genome-wide significant loci (P≤2.5×10(-8)).

RESULTS

Fourteen SNPs on chromosome 6q22 exceeded the genome-wide significance threshold. The most significant association was for rs9320841 (+13 ms per minor allele; P = 4.98×10(-15)). This SNP was approximately 350 kb downstream of GJA1, a locus previously identified as harboring SNPs associated with heart rate in Europeans. Adjustment for rs9320841 also attenuated the association between the remaining 13 SNPs in this region and heart rate. In addition, SNPs in MYH6, which have been identified in European genome-wide association study, were associated with similar changes in the resting heart rate as this population of African Americans.

CONCLUSIONS

An intergenic region downstream of GJA1 (the gene encoding connexin 43, the major protein of the human myocardial gap junction) and an intragenic region within MYH6 are associated with variation in resting heart rate in African Americans as well as in populations of European and Asian origin.

Transferability and fine-mapping of glucose and insulin quantitative trait loci across populations: CARe, the Candidate Gene Association Resource

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Hyperglycaemia disproportionately affects African-Americans (AfAs). We tested the transferability of 18 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with glycaemic traits identified in European ancestry (EuA) populations in 5,984 non-diabetic AfAs.

METHODS

We meta-analysed SNP associations with fasting glucose (FG) or insulin (FI) in AfAs from five cohorts in the Candidate Gene Association Resource. We: (1) calculated allele frequency differences, variations in linkage disequilibrium (LD), fixation indices (F(st)s) and integrated haplotype scores (iHSs); (2) tested EuA SNPs in AfAs; and (3) interrogated within ± 250 kb around each EuA SNP in AfAs.

RESULTS

Allele frequency differences ranged from 0.6% to 54%. F(st) exceeded 0.15 at 6/16 loci, indicating modest population differentiation. All iHSs were <2, suggesting no recent positive selection. For 18 SNPs, all directions of effect were the same and 95% CIs of association overlapped when comparing EuA with AfA. For 17 of 18 loci, at least one SNP was nominally associated with FG in AfAs. Four loci were significantly associated with FG (GCK, p = 5.8 × 10(-8); MTNR1B, p = 8.5 × 10(-9); and FADS1, p = 2.2 × 10(-4)) or FI (GCKR, p = 5.9 × 10(-4)). At GCK and MTNR1B the EuA and AfA SNPs represented the same signal, while at FADS1, and GCKR, the EuA and best AfA SNPs were weakly correlated (r(2) <0.2), suggesting allelic heterogeneity for association with FG at these loci.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Few glycaemic SNPs showed strict evidence of transferability from EuA to AfAs. Four loci were significantly associated in both AfAs and those with EuA after accounting for varying LD across ancestral groups, with new signals emerging to aid fine-mapping.

Large-scale gene-centric meta-analysis across 39 studies identifies type 2 diabetes loci

To identify genetic factors contributing to type 2 diabetes (T2D), we performed large-scale meta-analyses by using a custom ∼50,000 SNP genotyping array (the ITMAT-Broad-CARe array) with ∼2000 candidate genes in 39 multiethnic population-based studies, case-control studies, and clinical trials totaling 17,418 cases and 70,298 controls. First, meta-analysis of 25 studies comprising 14,073 cases and 57,489 controls of European descent confirmed eight established T2D loci at genome-wide significance. In silico follow-up analysis of putative association signals found in independent genome-wide association studies (including 8,130 cases and 38,987 controls) performed by the DIAGRAM consortium identified a T2D locus at genome-wide significance (GATAD2A/CILP2/PBX4; p = 5.7 × 10(-9)) and two loci exceeding study-wide significance (SREBF1, and TH/INS; p < 2.4 × 10(-6)). Second, meta-analyses of 1,986 cases and 7,695 controls from eight African-American studies identified study-wide-significant (p = 2.4 × 10(-7)) variants in HMGA2 and replicated variants in TCF7L2 (p = 5.1 × 10(-15)). Third, conditional analysis revealed multiple known and novel independent signals within five T2D-associated genes in samples of European ancestry and within HMGA2 in African-American samples. Fourth, a multiethnic meta-analysis of all 39 studies identified T2D-associated variants in BCL2 (p = 2.1 × 10(-8)). Finally, a composite genetic score of SNPs from new and established T2D signals was significantly associated with increased risk of diabetes in African-American, Hispanic, and Asian populations. In summary, large-scale meta-analysis involving a dense gene-centric approach has uncovered additional loci and variants that contribute to T2D risk and suggests substantial overlap of T2D association signals across multiple ethnic groups.

Ethnicity, plasma phospholipid fatty acid composition and inflammatory/endothelial activation biomarkers in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

It has been recognized that certain long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids (LC-PUFAs) are involved in inflammation and its resolution. It has also been shown that ethnicity may be a factor in affecting systemic inflammation, and limited evidence suggests it may influence plasma LC-PUFA composition. Given the links among these three factors, we aim to determine ethnicity-based differences in plasma LC-PUFA composition among White, Black, Hispanic and Chinese participants, and whether such differences contribute to variations in markers of inflammation and endothelial activation in a sub-cohort of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).

SUBJECTS/METHODS

Plasma phospholipid LC-PUFAs levels (%) were determined in 2848 MESA participants using gas chromatography-flame ionization detection. Enzyme immunoassays determined inflammatory markers levels for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (n=2848), interleukin-6 (n=2796), soluble tumor necrosis factor-α receptor type 1 (n=998), and endothelial activation markers soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (n=1192) and soluble E-selectin (n=998). The modifying influence of ethnicity was tested by linear regression analysis.

RESULTS

Chinese adults were found to have the highest mean levels of plasma eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA, 1.24%) and docosahexaenoic acid (DHA, 4.95%), and the lowest mean levels of γ-linolenic (0.10%), dihomo-γ-linolenic (DGLA, 2.96%) and arachidonic (10.72%) acids compared with the other ethnicities (all P ≤ 0.01). In contrast, Hispanics had the lowest mean levels of plasma EPA (0.70%) and DHA (3.49%), and the highest levels of DGLA (3.59%; all P ≤ 0.01). Significant differences in EPA and DHA among ethnicities were attenuated following adjustment for dietary non-fried fish and fish oil supplementation. Ethnicity did not modify the associations of LC-PUFAs with markers of inflammation or endothelial activation (all P (interaction)>0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The absence of a modifying effect of ethnicity indicates that the putative benefits of LC-PUFAs with respect to inflammation are pan-ethnic. Future longitudinal studies may elucidate the origin(s) of ethnicity-based differences in LC-PUFA composition and whether certain patterns, that is, high plasma levels of DGLA and low levels of EPA/DHA, contribute to inflammation-associated health outcomes.

Exposure to ambient fine particulate matter and primary cardiac arrest among persons with and without clinically recognized heart disease

The authors studied the association between incidence of primary cardiac arrest and daily measures of fine particulate matter (</=2.5 micro m) using a case-crossover study of 1,206 Washington State out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (1985-1994) among persons with (n = 774) and without (n = 432) clinically recognized heart disease. The authors compared particulate matter levels on the day of the cardiac event and the 2 days preceding the event with levels from matched reference days. The estimated relative risk for a 13.8- micro g/m(3) increase in fine particulate matter (nephelometry: 0.54 x 10(-1) km(-1 )bsp) on the day prior to cardiac arrest was 0.94 (95% confidence interval: 0.88, 1.02). Pollutant levels measured on the same day as the event and on the 2 days preceding the event demonstrated similar results. No increased risk was found among all cases with preexisting cardiac disease (odds ratio = 0.97, 95% confidence interval: 0.89, 1.07); however, an unexpected association appeared between current smokers with preexisting heart disease and increased particulate matter levels 2 days prior to the event (odds ratio = 1.29, 95% confidence interval: 1.06, 1.55). This association was not present in the 0- or 1-day lag analyses or in persons with other diseases. There was no consistent association between increased levels of fine particulate matter and risk of primary cardiac arrest.

A case-crossover analysis of particulate matter air pollution and out-of-hospital primary cardiac arrest

Numerous epidemiologic studies have reported increases in the daily incidence of cardiovascular mortality and morbidity associated with increases in daily levels of particulate matter air pollution. We studied the association between the incidence of primary cardiac arrest and two daily measures of particulate matter using a case-crossover study of 362 cases of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. All cases were attended by paramedics and had no history of clinically recognized heart disease or life-threatening comorbidities. We compared particulate matter levels at index times with particulate matter levels from referent days matched on day of week within strata defined by month and year. The estimated relative risk at a lag of 1 day for an interquartile range (IQR) change in nephelometry (0.51 x 10(-1) km(-1)) was 0.893 (95% CI = 0.779-1.024). The estimated relative risk at a lag of 1 day for an IQR change in PM10 (19.3 microg m(-3)) was 0.868 (95% CI = 0.744-1.012). Other lag periods gave similar results. We did not find evidence of confounding by carbon monoxide or sulfur dioxide. Analysis of effect modification by individual-level variables did not reveal any susceptible subgroups. These findings do no support an association between particulate matter and increased risk of primary cardiac arrest among persons without clinically recognized heart disease. The null results of this study may result from several factors, including the highly selected nature of this case series and the relatively low particulate matter levels in the Seattle metropolitan area.

A case-crossover analysis of fine particulate matter air pollution and out-of-hospital sudden cardiac arrest

Numerous recent epidemiologic studies report increases in the daily incidence of cardiovascular disease mortality and morbidity related to increases in daily levels of fine particulate matter (PM)* air pollution. This study sought to evaluate the possible association between the occurrence of out-of-hospital sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) and daily PM levels in the Seattle metropolitan area. The underlying hypothesis was that PM exposure may act as a cardiovascular trigger for SCA. A case-crossover study was conducted among 362 SCA cases identified by paramedics from October 1988 through June 1994. Cases were King County WA residents who were married, aged 25 to 74 years at the time of their SCA, with no prior history of clinically recognized heart disease or other life-threatening comorbid conditions. Daily averages of regional PM monitoring data for nephelometry measures of PM (reported in units of bsp, referred to as coefficient of light scattering) and PM10 (particulate matter 10 microm or smaller in aerodynamic diameter) from three monitoring sites were used as indicators of exposure. In the case-crossover analysis, PM levels during index times of cases within the five days preceding an SCA were compared with PM levels at referent days, defined as the same days of the week during the month of SCA occurrence. Lag periods for index days of 0 to 5 days were investigated. The estimated relative risk (RR) at a lag of 1 day for an interquartile range (IQR) change in nephelometry (0.51 bsp) was 0.893 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.779-1.024). Varying the lag period had only minimal change on the observed association. The estimated relative risk at a lag of 1 day for an IQR change of PM10 (19.3 microg/m3) was 0.868 (95% CI 0.744-1.012). There was no evidence of confounding by ambient daily exposures to carbon monoxide or sulfur dioxide. Analysis of effect modification by individual-level variables, including age, cigarette smoke exposure, physical activity, and other risk or protective factors for cardiovascular disease did not reveal any susceptible subgroups. The null results of this study may be due to several factors; these include: the highly selected nature of this SCA case series; the fact that cases were free of prior clinically recognized heart disease or major life-threatening comorbidity; and the possibility that PM exposures at the relatively low levels seen in the Seattle metropolitan area do not trigger cardiovascular toxic mechanisms that culminate in SCA.

Race- and sex-specific ECG models for left ventricular mass in older populations. Factors influencing overestimation of left ventricular hypertrophy prevalence by ECG criteria in African-Americans

The validity of the reported high prevalence of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) among African-American men and women has been questioned owing to conflicting echocardiographic evidence. We used echocardiographic left ventricular mass (LVM) from M-mode measurements to evaluate associations between LVM, body size, and electrocardiographic (ECG) variables in 3,627 white and African-American men and women 65 years of age and older who were participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a multicenter cohort study of risk factors for coronary heart disease and stroke. ECG amplitudes used in LVH criteria were substantially higher in African-Americans, with apparent LVH prevalence 2 to 3 times higher in African American men and women than in white men and women, although there was no significant racial difference in echocardiographic LVM. The higher apparent LVH prevalence by Sokolow-Lyon criteria in African-American men is in part owing to smaller lateral chest diameter. In women, reasons for racial differences in ECG LVH prevalence remain largely unexplained although a small part of the excess LVH in African-American women by the Sokolow-Lyon criteria appears to be owing to a larger lateral chest semidiameter in white women. ECG variables alone were too inaccurate for LVM prediction, and it was necessary to incorporate in all ECG models body weight that was properly adjusted for race and sex. This resulted in modest LVM prediction accuracy, with R-square values ranging from .22 to .36. Race- and sex-specific ECG models introduced for LVM estimation with an appropriate adjustment for body size differences are expected to facilitate evaluation of LVH status in contrasting racial population groups.

Prevention of stroke in urban China: a community-based intervention trial

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Stroke has been the second leading cause of death in large cities in China since the 1980s. Meanwhile, the prevalences of hypertension and smoking have steadily increased over the last 2 decades. Therefore, a community-based intervention trial was initiated in 7 Chinese cities in 1987. The overall goal of the study was to evaluate the effectiveness of an intervention aimed at reducing multiple risk factors for stroke. The primary study objective was to reduce the incidence of stroke by 25% over 3.5 years of intervention.

METHODS

In May 1987 in each of 7 the cities, 2 geographically separated communities with a registered population of about 10 000 each were selected as either intervention or control communities. In each community, a cohort containing about 2700 subjects (>/=35 years old) free of stroke was sampled, and a survey was administered to obtain baseline data and screen the eligible subjects for intervention. In each city, a program of treatment for hypertension, heart disease, and diabetes was instituted in the intervention cohort (n approximately 2700) and health education was provided to the full intervention community (n approximately 10 000). A follow-up survey was conducted in 1990. Comparisons of intervention and control cohorts in each city were pooled to yield a single summary.

RESULTS

A total of 18 786 subjects were recruited to the intervention cohort and 18 876 to the control cohort from 7 cities. After 3.5 years, 174 new stroke cases had occurred in the intervention cohort and 253 in the control cohort. The 3.5-year cumulative incidence of total stroke was significantly lower in the intervention cohort than the control cohort (0.93% versus 1.34%; RR=0.69; 95% CI, 0.57 to 0.84). The incidence rates of nonfatal and fatal stroke, as well as ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke, were significantly lower in the intervention cohort than the control cohort. The prevalence of hypertension increased by 4.3% in the intervention cohort and by 7.8% in the control cohort. The average systolic and diastolic blood pressures increased more in the control cohort than in the intervention cohort. Among hypertensive individuals in the intervention cohort, awareness of hypertension increased by 6.7% and the percentage of hypertensives who regularly took antihypertensive medication increased 13.2%. All of these indices became worse in the control cohort. The prevalence of heart diseases and diabetes increased significantly in the both cohorts (P<0.01). The prevalence of consumption of alcohol increased slightly, and that of smoking remained constant in both cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

A community-based intervention for stroke reduction is feasible and effective in the cities of China. The reduction, due to the intervention, in the incidence of stroke in the intervention cohort was statistically significant after 3.5 years of intervention. The sharp reduction in the incidence of stroke may be due to the interventions having blunted the expected increase in hypertension that accompanies aging as well as to better and earlier treatment of hypertension, particularly borderline hypertension. Applied health education to all the residents of the community may have prevented some normotensive individuals from developing hypertension and improved overall health awareness and knowledge.

Ankle-arm index as a predictor of cardiovascular disease and mortality in the Cardiovascular Health Study. The Cardiovascular Health Study Group

Peripheral arterial disease (PAD) in the legs, measured noninvasively by the ankle-arm index (AAI) is associated with clinically manifest cardiovascular disease (CVD) and its risk factors. To determine risk of total mortality, coronary heart disease, or stroke mortality and incident versus recurrent CVD associated with a low AAI, we examined the relationship of the AAI to subsequent CVD events in 5888 older adults with and without CVD. The AAI was measured in 5888 participants >/=65 years old at the baseline examination of the Cardiovascular Health Study. All participants had a detailed assessment of prevalent CVD and were contacted every 6 months for total mortality and CVD events (including CVD mortality, fatal and nonfatal myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, angina, stroke, and hospitalized PAD). The crude mortality rate at 6 years was highest (32.3%) in those participants with prevalent CVD and a low AAI (P<0.9), and it was lowest in those with neither of these findings (8.7%, P<0.01). Similar patterns emerged from analysis of recurrent CVD and incident CVD. The risk for incident congestive heart failure (relative risk [RR]=1.61) and for total mortality (RR=1.62) in those without CVD at baseline but with a low AAI remained significantly elevated after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors. Hospitalized PAD events occurred months to years after the AAI was measured, with an adjusted RR of 5.55 (95% CI, 3.08 to 9.98) in those at risk for incident events. A statistically significant decline in survival was seen at each 0.1 decrement in the AAI. An AAI of <0.9 is an independent risk factor for incident CVD, recurrent CVD, and mortality in this group of older adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study.

Body mass index and mortality in nonsmoking older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study

OBJECTIVES

This study assesses the relationship of body mass index to 5-year mortality in a cohort of 4317 nonsmoking men and women aged 65 to 100 years.

METHODS

Logistic regression analyses were conducted to predict mortality as a function of baseline body mass index, adjusting for demographic, clinical, and laboratory covariates.

RESULTS

There was an inverse relationship between body mass index and mortality; death rates were higher for those who weighed the least. Inclusion of covariates had trivial effects on these results. People who had lost 10% or more of their body weight since age 50 had a relatively high death rate. When that group was excluded, there was no remaining relationship between body mass index and mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The association between higher body mass index and mortality often found in middle-aged populations was not observed in this large cohort of older adults. Over-weight does not seem to be a risk factor for 5-year mortality in this age group. Rather, the risks associated with significant weight loss should be the primary concern.

Clinical factors associated with calcific aortic valve disease. Cardiovascular Health Study

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of aortic sclerosis and stenosis in the elderly and to identify clinical factors associated with degenerative aortic valve disease.

BACKGROUND

Several lines of evidence suggest that degenerative aortic valve disease is not an inevitable consequence of aging and may be associated with specific clinical factors.

METHODS

In 5,201 subjects > or = 65 years of age enrolled in the Cardiovascular Health Study, the relation between aortic sclerosis or stenosis identified on echocardiography and clinical risk factors for atherosclerosis was evaluated by using stepwise logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Aortic valve sclerosis was present in 26% and aortic valve stenosis in 2% of the entire study cohort; in subjects > or = 75 years of age, sclerosis was present in 37% and stenosis in 2.6%. Independent clinical factors associated with degenerative aortic valve disease included age (twofold increased risk for each 10-year increase in age), male gender (twofold excess risk), present smoking (35% increase in risk) and a history of hypertension (20% increase in risk). Other significant factors included height and high lipoprotein(a) and low density lipoprotein cholesterol levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical factors associated with aortic sclerosis and stenosis can be identified and are similar to risk factors for atherosclerosis.

Sudden unexplained death in epilepsy: observations from a large clinical development program

PURPOSE

The present study was conducted to determine the rate of sudden unexplained death in epilepsy (SUDEP) in a well-defined cohort of patients included in the lamotrigine (LTG) clinical development database.

METHODS

A panel of scientists experienced in the area of SUDEP was assembled and provided with case summaries on all deaths (n = 45) reported during the initial clinical development of LTG. The panel developed a set of criteria for classifying cases as SUDEP (definite or highly probable), possible SUDEP, or non-SUDEP. This classification algorithm was then applied to the LTG cases, and SUDEP rates were calculated using patient-years of exposure as the denominator.

RESULTS

At the time of the study, 4,700 patients (5,747 patient-years of exposure) were included in the worldwide LTG clinical trials database. In this cohort, 45 deaths were reported. Eighteen were judged by the panel to be SUDEP, 6 were defined as possible SUDEP, 20 were judged to be due to other causes (non-SUDEP), and 1 lacked sufficient data from which to make a classification. The overall SUDEP rate (definite/ highly probable SUDEP and possible SUDEP combined) was calculated to be 3.5 in 1,000 patient-years of exposure to LTG.

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of SUDEP in this cohort of patients was comparable to the rate that would be expected in young adults with severe epilepsy (the subgroup of patients believed to be at highest risk of SUDEP). The data suggest that the rate of SUDEP in the LTG clinical development program is a function of the clinical trial population and is unrelated to drug treatment.

Utility of new electrocardiographic models for left ventricular mass in older adults. The Cardiovascular Health Study Collaborative Research Group

Several multivariate statistical models have recently been introduced for estimation of left ventricular mass from standard 12-lead electrocardiographic measurements. The validity of these algorithms has not been adequately evaluated. The objective of this investigation was to compare the associations between echocardiographic and electrocardiographic left ventricular mass values with clinical and subclinical indexes of coronary heart disease. The evaluation was performed with participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study, a population-based sample of 5201 men and women aged 65 years and older. Echocardiographic M-mode measurements of left ventricular mass were performed from videotape recordings with the use of a strictly standardized protocol. Electrocardiographic algorithms of the Novacode program and new algorithms derived from the Cardiovascular Health Study population were used for left ventricular mass prediction. Echocardiographic and electrocardiographic determinations of left ventricular mass were technically successful in 3410 (65.6%) and 5013 (96.4%) participants, respectively. The Novacode model overestimated echocardiographic left ventricular mass. Compared with the Novacode model, the new Cardiovascular Health Study electrocardiographic model, which includes adjustment for body weight, eliminated left ventricular mass prediction bias and improved the correlation between echocardiographic and electrocardiographic left ventricular mass from .33 to .54 in women and from .46 to .51 in men. Echocardiographic and electrocardiographic models both demonstrated similar and about equally strong associations with overt and subclinical disease and with risk factors for left ventricular hypertrophy. These observations demonstrate the potential utility of electrocardiographic models for left ventricular mass estimation.

Ischemic episodes in 24-h ambulatory electrocardiograms of elderly persons: the Cardiovascular Health Study

We examined correlates of ischemic episodes in 24-h ambulatory electrocardiograms (ECG) in a sample of 1511 men and women 65 years old and older. Ischemic episodes had a high prevalence period during early afternoon and also during morning hours after awakening, and the overall prevalence was 13% in men and 9% in women (P < 0.001 for gender difference). The prevalence was 9.6% in participants with no history of myocardial infarction and no major or minor resting ECG abnormalities. In multivariate analysis by logistic regression, being on digitalis medication was associated with over a three-fold risk of ischemic episodes, with an odds ratio (95% confidence limits) of 3.21 (1.80 to 5.74). Left ventricular hypertrophy by ECG and atrial fibrillation had almost a three-fold excess risk of ischemic episodes, with odds ratios 2.81 (1.37 to 5.74) and 2.63 (1.17 to 5.91), respectively. Isolated ST-T abnormalities had almost a two-fold excess of ischemic episodes, with an odds ratio of 1.89 (1.01 to 3.54). Being overweight was associated with a 33% reduced likelihood of ischemic episodes after adjustment for other factors, with an odds ratio of 0.67 (0.46 to 0.98). It is concluded that the prevalence of silent ischemic episodes is high in older men and women.

Sex, age, and disease affect echocardiographic left ventricular mass and systolic function in the free-living elderly. The Cardiovascular Health Study

BACKGROUND

Left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy, as measured by M-mode echocardiography, is an independent predictor of mortality and/or morbidity from coronary heart disease (CHD). LV global and segmental systolic dysfunction also have been associated with myocardial ischemia and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Echocardiographic data, especially two-dimensional, have not been available previously from multicenter-based studies of the elderly. This report describes the distribution and relation at baseline of echocardiographic LV mass and global and segmental LV wall motion to age, sex, and clinical disease category in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a cohort of 5201 men and women (4850 white) 65 years of age and older.

METHODS AND RESULTS

M-mode LV mass adjusted for body weight increased modestly with age (P < .0001), increasing less than one gram per year increase in age for both men and women. After adjustment for weight, LV mass was significantly greater in men than in women and in participants with clinical CHD compared with participants with neither clinical heart disease nor hypertension (both P < .001). Across all CHS age subgroups, the difference in weight-adjusted LV mass by sex was greater in magnitude than the difference related to clinical CHD. M-mode measurements of LV mass could not be made in 34% of CHS participants, and this was highly related to age (29% in the 65 to 69 year versus 50% in the 85+ year age group, P < .001) and other risk factors. In participants with clinical CHD and with neither clinical heart disease nor hypertension, LV ejection fraction and segmental wall motion abnormalities were more prevalent in men than women (all P < .001). Of interest, 0.5% of men and 0.4% of women with neither clinical heart disease nor hypertension had LV segmental wall motion abnormalities, suggesting silent disease, compared with 26% of men and 10% of women in the clinical CHD group (P < .0001). Multivariate analyses revealed male sex and presence of clinical CHD (both P < .001) to be independent predictors of LV akinesis or dyskinesis.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant baseline relations were detected between differences in sex, prevalent disease status, and echocardiographic measurements of LV mass and systolic function in the CHS cohort. Age was weakly associated with LV mass measurements and LV ejection fraction abnormalities. These relations should be considered in evaluating the preclinical and clinical effects of CHD risk factors in the elderly.

Cardiac arrhythmias on 24-h ambulatory electrocardiography in older women and men: the Cardiovascular Health Study

OBJECTIVES

This study describes the prevalence and correlates of cardiac arrhythmias in older persons.

BACKGROUND

Cardiac arrhythmias are frequent in selected samples of elderly persons, but their prevalence and association with cardiovascular disease and its risk factors have not been examined in a large population-based sample.

METHODS

In 1,372 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a population-based study of cardiovascular disease risk factors, 24-h ambulatory electrocardiography was performed.

RESULTS

Serious arrhythmias, such as sustained ventricular tachycardia and complete atrioventricular block, were uncommon, but brief episodes of ventricular tachycardia (> or = 3 consecutive ventricular depolarizations) were detected in 4.3% of women and 10.3% of men. Ventricular arrhythmias as a group (excluding ectopic beats < 15/h) were more common in men than in women but were not significantly associated with age. The same patterns were true for bradycardia/conduction blocks. Supraventricular arrhythmias as a group (excluding ectopic beats < 15/h), in contrast, did not differ by gender but were strongly associated with increased age. Multivariate analyses showed associations with arrhythmias to differ by gender, with only one association (increased age and supraventricular arrhythmias) present in both women and men. Ventricular arrhythmias, particularly in men, were associated with a higher prevalence of cardiovascular disease and its risk factors and with subclinical disease, as measured by increased left ventricular mass and impaired left ventricular function.

CONCLUSIONS

Arrhythmias are common in the elderly, and their association with cardiovascular disease differs by gender. Although risk related to arrhythmias can only be determined by prospective study, such studies should have adequate power to examine potential gender differences in associations.

Echocardiographic design of a multicenter investigation of free-living elderly subjects: the Cardiovascular Health Study

The Framingham study has shown by M-mode echocardiography that left ventricular hypertrophy is a powerful, independent predictor for the development of coronary heart disease and that increased left atrial dimension has been associated with an increased risk of stroke. No previous population-based study has evaluated the risk factor correlates and predictive value for coronary heart disease and stroke of two-dimensional and Doppler, as well as M-mode, echocardiography. The Cardiovascular Health Study is a multi-year prospective epidemiologic study of 5201 men and women older than 65 recruited from four geographic sites in the United States. The main objectives of incorporating echocardiography were to determine whether echocardiographic indices, or changes in these indices, are (1) correlated with traditional risk factors for coronary heart disease and stroke; and (2) independent predictors of morbidity and mortality for coronary heart disease and stroke. Echocardiographic measurements of interest include those related to global and segmental left ventricular systolic and diastolic structure and function and left atrial size. For each subject, a baseline echocardiogram was recorded in super-VHS tape using a standard protocol and equipment. All studies were sent to a reading center where images were digitized and measurements were made using customized computer algorithms. Calculated data and images were stored on optical disks to facilitate retrieval and future comparisons in longitudinal studies. A second echocardiogram is scheduled in year 7, with a goal of determining whether changes in cardiac anatomy or function over a 5-year period are important predictors of morbidity or mortality from coronary heart disease and stroke. Quality control measures included standardized training of echocardiography technicians and readers, technician observation by a trained echocardiographer, periodic blind duplicate readings with reader review sessions, phantom studies, and quality control adults.

An approach to several problems in using large databases for population-based case-control studies of the therapeutic efficacy and safety of anti-hypertensive medicines

In this paper we discuss approaches to two distinct problems in using large computerized databases to conduct population-based case-control studies. The first topic, concerning case ascertainment, is a methodologic problem, and the second, concerning confounding by indication, is an analytic problem. The first involves attempting to ascertain all incident cases of coronary disease among enrollees of Group Health Cooperative of Puget Sound (GHC), a large health-maintenance organization. Methodologic studies reported here have helped us improve the efficiency of using the large computerized databases for case ascertainment at GHC. The second problem involves the issue of confounding by drug indication. Drugs such as beta-blockers have multiple indications, including the treatment of both high blood pressure and angina. These two indications may make it difficult in an observational study to determine whether beta-blockers may prevent coronary disease in patients with high blood pressure. We discuss here our current thinking about the best analytic approach to this problem.