Expanding mammography screening for women aged 40-80 years: evidence from a modeling approach using real-world data

If a mammography screening program (MS) is to be expanded, the benefit must be demonstrated for each additional age cohort. For the age interval between 40 and 80 years, the association between tumor-related and tumor-independent mortality of 21 2-year cohorts is modeled using up-to-date, valid data to determine MS outcome. Disease trajectories with and without biennial MS are extrapolated for each age cohort using the available data and knowledge on MS. The competing mortality is randomly generated for each age cohort with and without MS for a follow-up period of 20 years. Analyses of the modeled cohorts describe incremental change for each year, quantifying the changing benefits of MS. With increasing age, the proportion of tumor-independent mortality before and with metastatic disease increases and the benefit decreases. The simulations with 21 studies on the age interval 40-80 years provide four parameters to determine the benefits and costs of MS: The number of prevented deaths, required mammography screening exams (MSE) and their costs, life-years gained, and the required MSEs. If one additional MSE is offered for age groups 48/70 years, this will result in 311/320 prevented breast cancer (BC) deaths with 1742/1494 required MSEs or 8784/4168 life-years gained with 64/140 required MSEs. A rational cutoff cannot be quantified. The mortality effect of MS between 40 and 80 years is quantified in 21 steps using two metrics, number of MSEs per tumor-related mortality prevented and per life-year gained. This provides a decision support for stepwise expansions. Given this real-world evidence no rational age cutoffs for MS becomes evident. A society has to decide which MS costs, including side effects of MS for women who remain BC-free, it is willing and able to accept in order to reduce breast cancer mortality.

Breast cancer: are long-term and intermittent endocrine therapies equally effective?

Purpose

In breast cancer (BC), the duration of endocrine adjuvant therapies (AT) has been extended continuously up to 10 years. We present an alternative explanation for the effect, which could enable shorter treatments.

Method

The relevant literature on chemoprevention and (neo-)adjuvant therapy was reviewed. Data for initiation and growth of primary and contralateral BCs and their metastases (MET) were considered. Also, population-based data from the Munich Cancer Registry for MET-free survival, time trends of MET patterns, and survival achieved by improved ATs are used to estimate all events in the long-term follow-up.

Results

Extended ATs (EAT) that continue after 1, 2, or 5 years reduce mortality only slightly. The effect is delayed, occurring more than 5 years after extension. EATs does not affect the prognosis of 1stBCs, they preventively eradicate contralateral 2ndBCs and thus their future life-threatening METs. Because chemoprevention can eradicate BCs from the smallest clusters to almost detectable BCs, ATs can be temporarily suspended without imposing harm. Results equal to EATs can be achieved by short-term ATs of the 1stBC and by repeated neo-ATs targeted at the indefinitely developing 2ndBCs. Considering this potential in de-escalation, a 70–80% reduction of overtreatment seems possible.

Conclusion

Knowledge of initiation and growth of tumors with known effects of neo-ATs suggest that intermittent endocrine ATs may achieve the same results as EATs but with improved quality of life and survival because of fewer side effects and better compliance. The challenge for developments of repeated ATs becomes: how short is short enough.

Interdisciplinary Screening, Diagnosis, Therapy and Follow-up of Breast Cancer. Guideline of the DGGG and the DKG (S3-Level, AWMF Registry Number 032/045OL, December 2017) - Part 2 with Recommendations for the Therapy of Primary, Recurrent and Advanced Breast Cancer

Purpose The aim of this official guideline coordinated and published by the German Society for Gynecology and Obstetrics (DGGG) and the German Cancer Society (DKG) was to optimize the screening, diagnosis, therapy and follow-up care of breast cancer. Method The process of updating the S3 guideline published in 2012 was based on the adaptation of identified source guidelines. They were combined with reviews of evidence compiled using PICO (Patients/Interventions/Control/Outcome) questions and with the results of a systematic search of literature databases followed by the selection and evaluation of the identified literature. The interdisciplinary working groups took the identified materials as their starting point and used them to develop suggestions for recommendations and statements, which were then modified and graded in a structured consensus process procedure. Recommendations Part 2 of this short version of the guideline presents recommendations for the therapy of primary, recurrent and metastatic breast cancer. Loco-regional therapies are de-escalated in the current guideline. In addition to reducing the safety margins for surgical procedures, the guideline also recommends reducing the radicality of axillary surgery. The choice and extent of systemic therapy depends on the respective tumor biology. New substances are becoming available, particularly to treat metastatic breast cancer.

Interdisciplinary Screening, Diagnosis, Therapy and Follow-up of Breast Cancer. Guideline of the DGGG and the DKG (S3-Level, AWMF Registry Number 032/045OL, December 2017) - Part 1 with Recommendations for the Screening, Diagnosis and Therapy of Breast Cancer

Purpose The aim of this official guideline coordinated and published by the German Society for Gynecology and Obstetrics (DGGG) and the German Cancer Society (DKG) was to optimize the screening, diagnosis, therapy and follow-up care of breast cancer. Methods The process of updating the S3 guideline dating from 2012 was based on the adaptation of identified source guidelines which were combined with reviews of evidence compiled using PICO (Patients/Interventions/Control/Outcome) questions and the results of a systematic search of literature databases and the selection and evaluation of the identified literature. The interdisciplinary working groups took the identified materials as their starting point to develop recommendations and statements which were modified and graded in a structured consensus procedure. Recommendations Part 1 of this short version of the guideline presents recommendations for the screening, diagnosis and follow-up care of breast cancer. The importance of mammography for screening is confirmed in this updated version of the guideline and forms the basis for all screening. In addition to the conventional methods used to diagnose breast cancer, computed tomography (CT) is recommended for staging in women with a higher risk of recurrence. The follow-up concept includes suggested intervals between physical, ultrasound and mammography examinations, additional high-tech diagnostic procedures, and the determination of tumor markers for the evaluation of metastatic disease.

Computeranterstützte Diagnosenclokumentation

Die Diagnosenverschlüsselung wird häufig nur als Problem der medizinischen Dokumentation betrachtet. Unter Gesichtspunkten der Informatik können Lösungsansätze entwickelt werden, die auch im Hinblick auf Standardisierung und Auswertung Vorteile aufweisen. Ein solches System zur computerunterstützten Diagnosendokumentation wird beschrieben.

Es wird ein modifizierter ICD/E Diagnosenschlüssel eingesetzt. Aspekte einer maschinellen Unterstützung für die Präsentation und Pflege des Diagnosenschlüssels, die automatische Codierung und die Auswertung werden dargestellt. Notwendig ist eine Integration der verschiedenen Probleme. Sie führt zu mehrfach verwertbaren Schlüsselkomponenten, mit denen sich die genannten Aufgaben abdecken lassen.

Vorauszusetzen ist, daß disziplinspezifisch ein Standard von Diagnosenformulierungen vordefiniert und kontrolliert erweitert wird. Für die Realisiermag der Anforderungen ist dann ein eindimensionaler Schlüssel von Vorteil.

Design Elements for a Computerized Patient Record

Computerized medical record systems have to present user-and problem-oriented views of a patient record to health-care professionals. Presentation and manipulation of data must be easily adaptable to current and future demands of medical specialties and specific settings. During the definition, development and evaluation of a prototype of a computerized patient record system, design elements were elaborated to support physicians and other health-care professionals. Our approach shows a high degree of flexibility and adaptability to specific needs, problem orientation and connectivity to other systems, via a hospital information network. The explicit description of the contents of a patient record allows to augment the number of items that can be recorded without modifying the data structure. New views on patient data can be added to the system without interfering with the routine use of the system. Application in several medical specialties proved the feasibility of our prototype.

Age and Outcome in Gastrointestinal Cancers: A Population-Based Evaluation of Oesophageal, Gastric and Colorectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

With demographic changes and partial representativeness of randomized studies the question arises which results are achieved in the treatment of the elderly. The objective was to analyse population-based data on gastrointestinal cancers in terms of age.

METHODS

Analyses included data of the Munich Cancer Registry, i.e. 4,014, 10,127 and 42,809 invasive oesophageal, gastric and colorectal cancer patients, respectively, which were diagnosed between 1998 and 2014. Tumour characteristics and outcome were analysed by age groups and therapy. Overall survival was analysed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and relative survival was computed as estimation for cancer-specific survival. Additionally, conditional survival of patients surviving at least 6 or 12 months was analysed by age.

RESULTS

21, 44 and 38% of oesophageal, gastric and colorectal cancer patients, respectively, were aged >75 years. Of these, 15, 46 and 73% were surgically treated with curative intent, respectively, which is significantly less than in younger patients. The total 5-year relative survival was 24, 33 and 66%, respectively. The differences in median survival by age group were diminished by selecting those surviving at least 6 or 12 months and those with curatively intended treatment.

CONCLUSION

An adequate patient selection for therapies of these gastrointestinal cancers was demonstrated at large. If the patients' general conditions allowed curatively intended treatment, it was applied and led to similar outcomes irrespective of age.

Value of Digital Breast Tomosynthesis versus Additional Views for the Assessment of Screen-Detected Abnormalities - a First Analysis

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to countercheck the equivalence of single-view digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) or DBT with additional views (DBT+AV) compared to traditional standard assessment by additional views (AV) in patients with a screen-detected abnormality.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with a screen-detected abnormality were consecutively invited to obtain 1 single-view wide-angle DBT in addition to the indicated AV. The study was approved by the local ethics committee and by the Federal Office for Radiation Protection.

RESULTS

This study is based on 311 lesions in 285 patients with a follow-up of > 2 years and/or biopsy. Counting BI-RADS 0 and 3 as positive calls, the sensitivity/specificity of DBT+AV versus DBT only versus AV only were 96.4/54.3%, 96.4/56.6%, and 90.9/42.2%, respectively. The specificities and BI-RADS classifications differed significantly (p < 0.01). AV appeared unnecessary in 88.8% of the cases.

CONCLUSION

DBT appeared to be at least equivalent to AV for assessing indeterminate screen-detected lesions and could replace AV for most lesions. To obtain the extra information appears possible without increasing the overall radiation dose. Subsequent blinded reader studies are ongoing.

Improved systemic treatment for early breast cancer improves cure rates, modifies metastatic pattern and shortens post-metastatic survival: 35-year results from the Munich Cancer Registry

PURPOSE

Systemic therapies (ATHs) in early breast cancer have improved the survival of breast cancer (BC) patients in recent decades. The magnitude of the changes in overall, metastasis-free (MFS) and post-metastatic (PMS) survival and in the metastasis (MET) pattern will be described.

PATIENT AND METHODS

We analysed 60,227 patients with a diagnosis of T-N-M0 BC between 1978 and 2013 and 11,983 patients with metastases (MET) in the Munich Cancer Registry. Patients will be divided into four time periods to identify relationships between BC and METs. Survival was estimated using Kaplan-Meier curves, and Cox proportional hazards models were used to explore the impact of the BC subtype and MET status on survival with the time periods as surrogate markers for ATH evolution.

RESULTS

During the observation period, 5-year relative survival has improved from 80.3 to 93.6% with an adjusted hazard ratio of 0.54 (P < 0.0001). Successful implementation of ATH has changed the MET pattern. The percentage of liver and CNS METs has more than doubled, the rate of lung METs remains stable, and the rate of bone METs has been reduced by approximately 50%. MFS has been prolonged with a hazard ratio 0.75 (P < 0.0001), but PMS has declined (hazard ratio 1.36; P < 0.0001); however, effects of adjuvant and palliative treatments cannot be separated. These results do not contradict improvements in advanced BC and do not suggest alterations of MET tumour biology by ATH.

CONCLUSIONS

Over the past three decades, ATHs have dramatically improved patient survival after BC diagnosis-most likely, by eradicating prevalent micro-METs; as a result, the MET pattern has changed. Eradicating only a portion of the first METs results in delaying the onset of subsequent MET, which leads to an apparently paradoxical effect: an extension of the MET-free interval and a reduction in PMS.

Risk of second cancer following radiotherapy for prostate cancer: a population-based analysis

Background

To investigate the risk of second cancer and radiation induced second cancer following prostate cancer radiotherapy.

Methods

We compared men with radiotherapy only with those treated with radical prostatectomy only and those with radiotherapy after radical prostatectomy. Cumulative incidences of second cancers were calculated. Cox analyses were performed to identify determinants influencing second cancer incidence.

Results

Nineteen thousand five hundred thirty eight patients were analyzed. Age and median follow-up differed significantly with radiotherapy only patients having the highest median age (70.3 years) and radical prostatectomy only patients the longest median follow-up (10.2 years). Ten-year cumulative incidence of second cancer was 15.9%, 13.2% and 10.5% for patients with radiotherapy only, radiotherapy after radical prostatectomy and radical prostatectomy only (p <0.0001). Increasing age and belonging to the radiotherapy only group were associated with a higher risk of second cancer—no significant increase was seen in radiotherapy after radical prostatectomy patients. A significantly higher rate of smoking related malignancies, like lung, bladder and non-melanoma skin cancer, was seen in radiotherapy only patients.

Conclusions

No clear increase in radiation induced second cancer was found in patients after radiotherapy for prostate cancer. Whereas the rate of second cancer was increased in radiotherapy only patients, no such increase was seen in patients with radiotherapy after radical prostatectomy. The increase of second cancer following radiotherapy only is highly likely to reflect advanced age and lifestyle habits and comorbidities.

[Clinical and epidemiological cancer registration in Germany]

OBJECTIVE

Function and funding of detailed clinical cancer registries (CCRs) is defined by German Social Code Book V (SGB V) and shall be implemented by the end of 2017.

CONTENT

Cancer registration according to regionally defined catchment areas, feedback of results and quality assurance are the basis which determines principles of operation and use of data. Each clinical department delivers only its own findings and therapy, while compilation by the clinical cancer registry describes the patients' way through the regional network of medical care. In this way, oncological centers are not burdened by troublesome documentation of data which originate from other clinics.

CONCLUSION

After successful implementation of CCRs, interested physicians and clinics are able to spend time for analysis and use of meaningful data with the objective of improving quality of care within the region, implementing innovative therapies and presenting their results, and generating new hypotheses to stimulate research.

Quality of life in women with localised breast cancer or malignant melanoma 2 years after initial treatment: a comparison

BACKGROUND

Two thirds of female breast cancer patients and more than 80 % of malignant melanoma patients are diagnosed with localised disease and good prognosis with a 5-year relative survival of more than 90 % in Germany.

PURPOSE

This study was conducted to present quality of life (QoL) data from a German population-based cohort of female breast cancer and melanoma patients without recurrence for approximately 2 years after initial diagnosis.

METHODS

In 2003-2004, patients with localised breast cancer and melanoma were recruited from the Munich Cancer Registry (Upper Bavaria, Germany) to answer QoL questionnaires. Differences between breast cancer and melanoma patients were investigated with regard to age and aspects of communication with their medical caregivers.

RESULTS

One thousand three hundred and four breast cancer and 348 melanoma patients were included. Breast cancer patients were about 7 years older and had significantly lower QoL and higher symptom scores than melanoma patients. Communication needs were generally similar in both groups; however, breast cancer patients experienced more empathy from their medical caregivers. In breast cancer patients, communication was an independent factor for all QoL functioning scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Even when faced with a similarly good prognosis, breast cancer patients have a worse QoL than melanoma patients 2 years after diagnosis. An explanation may be more distinctive surgery and systemic therapy, older patients with comorbidities and misunderstood risk communication in breast cancer patients that may stoke anxiety and fears. Further reasons could be unceasing public discussion about breast cancer and its instrumentalisation for political purposes.

Positive lymph nodes do not metastasize

Our understanding of the role of lymph nodes (LN) in the metastasization process (MET) is marginal. Positive LNs (pLN) are the most important prognostic factor and lymph node dissection (LND) is still standard practice in primary treatment. However, up to now, there is almost no evidence that elective LND has a survival benefit. Based on many clinical and experimental findings, we propose that tumor foci in regional LN are incapable of metastasization and can therefore not infiltrate further LN and organs. Available data demonstrate a very early infiltration of MET capable tumor cells from the primary tumor into regional LN, and thereafter an increased probability of subsequent LN infiltrations. Disparate growth rates of the first versus subsequent infiltrating tumors as well as the asymptotic growth and prognosis of large tumor foci in LN explain many clinical observations for solid tumors. The consequence of the hypothesis "pLN do not metastasize" would impact clinical treatment and research and contribute to understanding the mounting evidence against LND.

Treatment strategies for oesophageal cancer - time-trends and long term outcome data from a large tertiary referral centre

Background and objectives

Treatment options for oesophageal cancer have changed considerably over the last decades with the introduction of multimodal treatment concepts dominating the progress in the field. However, it remains unclear in how far the documented scientific progress influenced and changed the daily routine practice. Since most patients with oesophageal cancer generally suffer from reduced overall health conditions it is uncertain how high the proportion of aggressive treatments is and whether outcomes are improved substantially. In order to gain insight into this we performed a retrospective analysis of patients treated at a larger tertiary referral centre over time course of 25 years.

Patients and methods

Data of all patients diagnosed with squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and adenocarcinoma (AC) of the oesophagus, treated between 1983 and 2007 in the department of radiation oncology of the LMU, were obtained. The primary endpoint of the data collection was overall survival (calculated from the date of diagnosis until death or last follow up). Changes in basic clinical characteristics, treatment approach and the effect on survival were analysed after dividing the cohort into five subsequent time periods (I-V) with 5 years each. In a second analysis any pattern of change regarding the use of radio(chemo)therapy (R(C)T) with and without surgery was determined.

Results

In total, 503 patients with SCC (78.5%) and AC (18.9%) of the oesophagus were identified. The average age was 60 years (range 35-91 years). 56.5% of the patients were diagnose with advanced UICC stages III-IV. R(C)T was applied to 353 (70.2%) patients; R(C)T+ surgery was performed in 134 (26.6%) patients, 63.8% of all received chemotherapy (platinum-based 5.8%, 5-fluorouracil (5-FU)12.1%, 42.3% 5-FU and mitomycin C (MMC)). The median follow-up period was 4.3 years. The median overall survival was 21.4 months. Over the time, patients were older, the formal tumour stage was more advanced, the incidence of AC was higher and the intensified treatment had a higher prevalence. However there was only a trend for an improved OS over the years with no difference between RCT with or without surgery (p = 0.09). The use of radiation doses over 54 Gy and the addition of chemotherapy (p = 0.002) were associated with improved OS.

Conclusion

Although more complex treatment protocols were introduced into clinical routine, only a minor progress in OS rates was detectable. Main predictors of outcome in this cohort was the addition of chemotherapy. The addition of surgery to radio-chemotherapy may only be of value for very limited patient groups.

True local recurrences do not metastasize

Generally, the limits of local tumor control are in part connected with the term "field cancerization" and are known from oral, lung, prostate, or mammary cancer. With the example of breast cancer (BC), the problem of ipsilateral breast tumor recurrences (IBTR) after breast-conserving surgery will be reviewed. Three types of local recurrences are distinguished: true recurrences, new primaries, or residual tumors. Good data for BC allow the description of the time-dependent risk of these three types, relative to the diagnosis of the primary tumor, because the time of initiation and the growth duration of the IBTR can be estimated. Two hypotheses explain the data: first, local recurrences may be initiated years before the diagnosis of a primary tumor (PT) and can then appear as multifocal PT at diagnosis, and second, true local recurrences probably do not metastasize. The generalizability of these hypotheses for other tumors will be discussed.

Reliability of Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 Immunohistochemistry in Breast Core Needle Biopsies

Purpose

Core needle biopsies (CNBs) are widely used to determine human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status in breast cancer. Recent publications reported up to 20% false-positive results on CNBs if immunohistochemistry (IHC) is compared with fluorescent in situ hybridization (FISH). To clarify, if confirmation of IHC positivity by FISH is generally required, we analyzed the reliability of IHC positivity on CNBs versus surgical specimens in a multi-institutional study.

Patients and Methods

Five pathologic laboratories contributed to this study by performing IHC on 500 CNBs and the corresponding surgical specimens overall. If IHC revealed score 2+ or 3+, HER2 status was confirmed by FISH in a central laboratory. We compared evaluation according to US Food and Drug Administration–approved scoring criteria and recently published American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO)–College of American Pathologists (CAP) guidelines.

Results

CNBs scored 3+ revealed five false-positive results if scoring followed the US Food and Drug Administration criteria (five of 40; 12.5%) and two false-positives in terms of the ASCO-CAP criteria (two of 33; 6.1%). IHC was false negative in one CNB only. By contrast, IHC on surgical specimens revealed five false-negative results, but only one false-positive result (one of 35; 2.9%) if scored following US Food and Drug Administration–approved criteria. With the aid of the ASCO-CAP criteria, false-positive IHC results were obtained in only one of the five participating institutions.

Conclusion

IHC 3+ scores on CNBs proved to be reliable in four of the five participating institutions if scoring followed the ASCO-CAP criteria. Therefore, accurate determination of HER2 status in breast cancer is possible on CNB using the common strategy to screen all cases by IHC and retest only 2+ scores by FISH. Prerequisites are quality assurance and the application of the new ASCO-CAP criteria.

Long-term outcome of mitomycin C- and 5-FU-based primary radiochemotherapy for esophageal cancer

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

For definitive radiochemotherapy, 5-fluorouracil/cisplatin protocols have been considered the standard of care for esophageal carcinoma over the last 2 decades. By contrast, most patients treated at the University Hospital, LMU Munich, Germany, received 5-fluorouracil/mitomycin C. The objective of this retrospective analysis was to determine the value of 5-fluorouracil/mitomycin-C-based therapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Tumor stage, treatment received, and outcome data of patients treated for esophageal cancer between 1982 and 2007 were collected; endpoint of the analysis was overall survival.

RESULTS

298 patients with inoperable cancer of the esophagus were identified (16.8% adenocarcinoma, 77.5% squamous cell carcinoma). At diagnosis, 61.7% (184/298) had UICC stage III-IV, 54.4% (162/298) positive lymph nodes, and 26.5% (79/298) metastatic disease. 74.5% of all patients (222/298) received radiation doses between 55 and 65 Gy, 65.8% (196/298) were subjected to concomitant chemotherapy. The median follow-up period (patients alive) was 4.1 years. A significant increase of overall survival (p < 0.0001) in the radiochemotherapy versus the radiotherapy-alone group was observed. 52% (102/196) in the 5-fluorouracil/ mitomycin C group had tumor stages comparable to the RTOG 85-01 study cohort (T1-3 N0-1 M0). The median survival in this subgroup was 18.2 months, 3- and 5-year survival rates were 22.7% (21/102) and 15.0% (13/102), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Despite being nominally inferior to platinum-based radiochemotherapy, the overall survival rates are in a similar range. Thus, the mitomycin-C-based radiochemotherapy approach may considered to be as effective as the standard therapy. However, there is no randomized trial available in order to prove the equality.

Quality of life in localised malignant melanoma

BACKGROUND

The incidence of melanoma is still increasing in fair-skinned populations. At least 80% of patients have localised disease and expect a 5-year relative survival of >90%.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In 2003-2004, disease-free patients with localised melanoma were recruited from the Munich Cancer Registry to answer quality-of-life (QoL) questionnaires 2 years after treatment.

RESULTS

A response rate of 72% was achieved from a total of 1085 distributed questionnaires. Hundred and seventeen questionnaires had to be excluded because of updated information about secondary tumour and progression events. Thus, questionnaires from 664 patients were evaluated. QoL scores in melanoma patients were essentially similar to those of a general population. Differences were detected between women and men concerning emotional and sexual functioning. Age and number of comorbidities were the strongest factors influencing most all aspects of QoL. Fifty percent of patients referred to deficits in communication with their doctors.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients who overcome melanoma do not necessarily have a reduced QoL. Strategies used by these melanoma patients resulted in similar levels of coping as previous studies in comparable general populations. Nevertheless, doctor-patient communication was correlated with emotional and social functioning and should be emphasised in treatment and care of melanoma patients.

Survival benefit of radical prostatectomy in lymph node-positive patients with prostate cancer

BACKGROUND

Positive lymph node (LN) status is considered a systemic disease state. In prostate cancer, LN-positive diagnosis during pelvic LN dissection (PLND) potentially leads to the abandonment of radical prostatectomy (RP).

OBJECTIVE

To compare the overall survival (OS) and relative survival (RS; as an estimate for cancer-specific survival) in LN-positive patients with or without RP.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Between 1988 and 2007, a total of 35 629 men with prostate cancer were identified at the Munich Cancer Registry; of those, 1413 patients had positive LNs.

INTERVENTION

Of these 1413 LN-positive patients, prostatectomy was abandoned in 456 LN-positive patients, whereas 957 underwent RP despite the LN-positive finding.

MEASUREMENTS

Crucial analyses are based on 938 LN-positive patients (688 with RP and 250 without RP) with complete data regarding age, grade, and prostate-specific antigen (PSA). OS (Kaplan-Meier estimates) and RS are presented, and Cox regression analysis was used to show the influence of predictors such as clinical stage, age at surgery, number of positive LNs, PSA level, grade, and extent of surgery.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 5.6 yr. OS of patients at 5 yr and 10 yr was 84% and 64%, respectively, with RP and was 60% and 28%, respectively, with aborted RP. The RS of patients at 5 yr and 10 yr was 95% and 86%, respectively, with RP and was 70% and 40%, respectively, with abandoned surgery. There was an imbalance, however, in the number of positive LNs: 17.2% with RP had four or more positive nodes versus 28% in the patient group without RP. In the multivariate model, RP was a strong independent predictor of survival (hazard ratio: 2.04 [95% confidence interval, 1.59-2.63; p<0.0001]).

CONCLUSION

LN-positive patients with complete RP had improved survival compared to patients with abandoned RP. These results suggest that RP may have a survival benefit and the abandonment of RP in node-positive cases may not be justified.

Predictors of quality of life of breast cancer patients

Research has indicated that several demographic and clinical factors may affect the quality of life of breast cancer patients. Few studies, however, have sufficient sample sizes for multivariate analyses to be tested. Furthermore, several important factors, such as arm morbidity, communication and comorbid illness, have not been included in quality of life models The aim of this study was to predict the simultaneous effect of these factors on long-term quality of life. Breast cancer patients (n = 990) completed a quality of life survey, including the EORTC QLQ-C30, over five years. Clinical details were registered in the Munich Cancer Registry. Eleven predictors across eight quality of life domains were analyzed over a period of five years using a logistic regression model. Arm problems, communication, comorbidity, age, surgery. and, to a lesser extent, marital, educational and employment status were significantly associated with quality of life. Adjuvant therapy, medical insurance and pT category were not significant predictors. This study is the first to demonstrate the consistency and strength of arm dysfunction and doctor-patient communication on breast cancer patients' quality of life. These important factors in breast cancer care can be improved and should be regarded as a priority.

[Ten years of epidemiological cancer registration in Bavaria]

For a large territorial state like Bavaria only a decentralised cancer registration structure promises successful results: in the form of regional clinical cancer registries and--using the clinical registration as a base--one population-based registry. After ten years of epidemiological cancer registration in Bavaria it can now be shown that the chosen registration concept has proved itself. Currently the completeness of cancer notifications exceeded the international recommended threshold of 90%. A largely complete data stock is available for the years of diagnosis from 2004 to 2005. The task sharing between clinical and population-based cancer registries avoids double registration of data. Both types of registries are supporting physicians and hospitals with a wide palette of services. Together they enable transparency of cancer occurrence as well as transparency of health care for tumour patients.

A semiparametric Bayesian proportional hazards model for interval censored data with frailty effects

BACKGROUND

Multivariate analysis of interval censored event data based on classical likelihood methods is notoriously cumbersome. Likelihood inference for models which additionally include random effects are not available at all. Developed algorithms bear problems for practical users like: matrix inversion, slow convergence, no assessment of statistical uncertainty.

METHODS

MCMC procedures combined with imputation are used to implement hierarchical models for interval censored data within a Bayesian framework.

RESULTS

Two examples from clinical practice demonstrate the handling of clustered interval censored event times as well as multilayer random effects for inter-institutional quality assessment. The software developed is called survBayes and is freely available at CRAN.

CONCLUSION

The proposed software supports the solution of complex analyses in many fields of clinical epidemiology as well as health services research.

[Elective lymph node dissections--still a standard in cancer surgery?]

PURPOSE

Since more than a century elective radical dissection of regional lymph nodes is a standard procedure in tumour surgery. We discuss whether or not this standard is still up to date.

METHODS

The discussion was based on evaluations from well known clinical trials and cohort studies as well as from the results of the Munich Cancer Registry (MCR).

RESULTS

Distant metastases develop extravasally from disseminated tumour cells that originate from the primary tumour. Therefore, three categories of metastases can be described: First, regional lymph node metastases treated by surgical and/or adjuvant therapy or by watchful waiting. Although the number of positive lymph nodes is one of the most important prognostic factor in all cancer sites, treatment of lymph nodes does not affect long-term survival. The number of positive lymph nodes is therefore simply a marker, but not a cause, of distant metastases. This seems to be generally valid. Also, the major part of local recurrences can be seen as "local metastases". The frequency of local relapse can be influenced by surgery, adjuvant treatment or radiotherapy only with a small impact on survival. Distant metastases normally determine the course of disease. Whether metastases can be a source of new clinically relevant metastases that influence the prognosis has to be questioned by the presented analyses of tumour growth times.

CONCLUSIONS

The gene-based control of metastases implies a principal process of metastatic spread for solid tumours. The hypothesis "metastases do not metastasise" has a high plausibility. Reduction of lymph node dissection and its performance only in those cases where it is necessary for treatment decisions seems to be (bio)-logically consequent.

[Evidence-based medicine in oncology: do the results of trials reflect clinical reality?]

Evidence-based medicine (ebm) is the answer to the postulate to grade the basis of scientific knowledge in medical care and to protect it against proceedings of unjustifiable arbitrariness. The ranking of controlled clinical trials, the evaluation of publications, meta-analyses, and references to "levels of evidence" in medical guidelines are well established. This is not inconsistent with the fact that many diagnostic and therapeutic measures are not evidence-based and that, even in reputable scientific journals, marketing intentions come into conflict with evidence-based facts. The demand for implementing ebm is furthermore an unsustainable ethical pretension as long as ebm itself is not evidence-based. In many cases better results from ebm are not supported by outcome studies. Health services research which, amongst others, evaluates implementation of study results under everyday conditions should be seen as an essential part of ebm. In oncology, cancer registries contribute to this type of transparency. Cancer registries show to what extent ebm is established as an encouraging future programme for the daily cancer health-care delivery and whether ebm exists as a barely realisable parallel world of promising controlled clinical trials.

Ten-year data on 138 patients with endometrial carcinoma and postoperative vaginal brachytherapy alone: No need for external-beam radiotherapy in low and intermediate risk patients

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate long-term outcome, risk factors, and causes of death in stage I-IIIA endometrial carcinoma (EC) patients treated only with adjuvant vaginal brachytherapy (VB) and to clarify for which subgroups of patients it is safe to omit external-beam radiotherapy (EBRT).

METHODS

Out of 224 EC patients receiving postoperative radiotherapy between 1990 and 2002, 138 had VB alone in curative intent (FIGO [2002]: 85%I, 12%II, 3%IIIA; 18 low risk [IA G1-2, IB G1], 103 intermediate risk [IB G2-3, IC G1-2, IIA-B G1-2], 17 high risk [IC G3, IIIA]). After surgery+/-lymphadenectomy, HDR-brachytherapy prescription (in 95.7% of patients) was 3x10 Gy to the surface or 3x5 Gy at 5 mm tissue depths.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 107 months (range 3-185). Three intermediate and 7 high risk-patients relapsed. The 10-year vaginal control was 99.2%, locoregional control was 95.2% (low/intermediate/high risk: 100%/98.9%/68.8%), and disease-free survival (DFS) was 91.7% (100%/96.8%/55.2%). Risk factors for poor DFS were lymphovascular space invasion, > or = 50% myometrial invasion (univariate, p<0.05), pathological FIGO-stage, and grade 3 (uni-/multivariate, p<0.05). Leading causes of deaths (n=41) were cardiovascular disease (29%) and other malignancies (24%) ahead of EC (19.5%). The 10-year overall survival was 68.5% and the disease-specific survival was 92.4%. Thirty-five secondary tumors in 31 patients led to a higher actuarial death rate (10-year 9.9%, 15-year 17.7%) than EC (7.6%).

CONCLUSIONS

Restricting adjuvant therapy to VB alone seems to be safe in low and intermediate risk EC and can be recommended. As death rarely relates to early-stage EC, value of adjuvant therapy is probably better reflected by DFS rather than by overall survival.

Systemic cancer progression and tumor dormancy: mathematical models meet single cell genomics

Metastatic progression is thought to result from genetically advanced "fully-malignant" tumor cells. Within the concept the prevailing view holds that such cells disseminate mostly from large tumors and are capable of growing into metastases once they arrive at a distant site. Support for this scenario comes from numerous mouse models in which transplanted tumor cells grow into metastases within days or weeks. However, the assumption of such fully-malignant disseminating cells in human cancer is misleading and is neither supported by mathematical modeling of survival data from cancer patients nor by ex-vivo genomic data from disseminated cancer cells. For example, in breast cancer the growth of metastases is highly homogeneous and takes on average six years, the number of disseminated tumor cells before diagnosis of metastasis is similar for different tumor stages, and the genomic aberrations of disseminated cancer cells do rarely correspond to those in the primary tumor. Since these facts question conventional concepts of metastatic progression we provide a model of cancer progression in which time considerations and direct ex-vivo data form a starting point. In the proposed model tumor dormancy is a characteristic of almost all migrated tumor cells and metastatic growth is a rare, stochastic, evolutionary process of selection and mutation of cells that often disseminate shortly after transformation at the primary site.

[Experiences of the Bavarian mammography screening program]

The Bavarian Mammography Screening Program started in April 2003. A detailed analysis of the consistency of diagnosis in the evaluation of vacuum-assisted stereotactic or core needle breast biopsies is presented. A total of 32 pathologists participated in a blinded evaluation of the biopsies. Each case was evaluated independently by two participating pathologists. A total of 1,357 cases were reviewed. The histopathological reports of the biopsies made by the two consulting pathologists were compared. The concordance rate of the first and second consulting pathologist was 93% for the B-classification. In general, the level of diagnostic agreement was very high for well defined, benign and malignant lesions. Some of the discrepancies resulted from the incorrect application of the B-classification. Discrepancies in the reports were also due to divergent interpretation of benign and "borderline" lesions. The protocol for the blinded evaluation of breast biopsies in two rounds assured a high level of quality. In conclusion, prerequisites for the success of a mammography screening program are interdisciplinary consensus conferences and audit rounds involving pathologists.

The German Cervical Cancer Screening Model: development and validation of a decision-analytic model for cervical cancer screening in Germany

BACKGROUND

We sought to develop and validate a decision-analytic model for the natural history of cervical cancer for the German health care context and to apply it to cervical cancer screening.

METHODS

We developed a Markov model for the natural history of cervical cancer and cervical cancer screening in the German health care context. The model reflects current German practice standards for screening, diagnostic follow-up and treatment regarding cervical cancer and its precursors. Data for disease progression and cervical cancer survival were obtained from the literature and German cancer registries. Accuracy of Papanicolaou (Pap) testing was based on meta-analyses. We performed internal and external model validation using observed epidemiological data for unscreened women from different German cancer registries. The model predicts life expectancy, incidence of detected cervical cancer cases, lifetime cervical cancer risks and mortality.

RESULTS

The model predicted a lifetime cervical cancer risk of 3.0% and a lifetime cervical cancer mortality of 1.0%, with a peak cancer incidence of 84/100,000 at age 51 years. These results were similar to observed data from German cancer registries, German literature data and results from other international models. Based on our model, annual Pap screening could prevent 98.7% of diagnosed cancer cases and 99.6% of deaths due to cervical cancer in women completely adherent to screening and compliant to treatment. Extending the screening interval from 1 year to 2, 3 or 5 years resulted in reduced screening effectiveness.

CONCLUSIONS

This model provides a tool for evaluating the long-term effectiveness of different cervical cancer screening tests and strategies.