Cash-based assistance and the nutrition status of pregnant and lactating women in the Somalia food crisis: A comparison of two transfer modalities

Background

Large-scale emergency assistance programmes in Somalia use a variety of transfer modalities including in-kind food provision, food vouchers, and cash transfers. Evidence is needed to better understand whether and how such modalities differ in reducing the risk of acute malnutrition in vulnerable groups, such as the 800,000 pregnant and lactating women affected by the 2017/18 food crisis.

Methods

Changes in diet and acute malnutrition status were assessed among pregnant and lactating women receiving similarly sized household transfers over a four-month period (total value of ~US$450 per household) delivered either as food vouchers or as mixed transfers consisting of in-kind food, vouchers, and cash. Baseline and endline comparisons were conducted for 514 women in Wajid, Somalia. Primary study outcomes were Minimum Dietary Diversity for Women, meal frequency, and mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC), with MUAC<21.0 cm classified as acute malnutrition. Adjusted analyses consisted of difference-in-difference analysis using linear and logistic regression models with inverse probability weighting based on propensity scores to account for the non-randomized design.

Findings

No significant difference in change in dietary quality was observed between food voucher and mixed transfer recipients; a significant difference in change in mean meal frequency was observed (0.3 meals/day, CI: 0.1–0.5, p = 0.001) and the mixed transfer group had significantly greater meal frequency at endline (p<0.001). Mean MUAC increased significantly among both voucher (0.9cm, CI: 0.6–1.3, p = 0.001) and mixed transfer recipients (1.3cm, CI: 1.1–1.5, p = 0.001) over the intervention period in adjusted analysis, however, the difference in magnitude of change between the two groups was not statistically significant (0.4cm, CI: -0.1–0.08, p = 0.086).

Conclusions

Within the context of the 2017/18 Somalia food crisis, the modality of assistance provided to pregnant and lactating women (mixed transfers or food-vouchers) made no difference in preventing acute malnutrition and protecting nutritional status.

Cash and voucher assistance and children's nutrition status in Somalia

To address ongoing food insecurity and acute malnutrition in Somalia, a broad range of assistance modalities are used, including in‐kind food, food vouchers, and cash transfers. Evidence of the impact of cash and voucher assistance (CVA) on prevention of acute malnutrition is limited in humanitarian and development settings. This study examined the impact of CVA on prevention of child acute malnutrition in 2017/2018 in the context of the Somalia food crisis. Changes in diet and acute malnutrition were measured over a 4‐month period among children age 6–59 months from households receiving household transfers of approximately US$450 delivered either as food vouchers or a mix of in‐kind food, vouchers, and cash. Baseline to endline change in children's dietary diversity, meal frequency, minimum acceptable diet (MAD), mid‐upper arm circumference (MUAC), and acute malnutrition (MUAC < 12.5 cm) were compared using difference‐in‐difference analysis with inverse probability weighting. There were no statistically significant changes in dietary diversity, meal frequency, or the proportion of children with MAD for either intervention group. Adjusted change in mean MUAC showed increases of 0.5 cm (confidence interval [CI; 0.0, 0.7 cm]) in the food voucher group and 0.1 cm (CI [−0.1, 0.4]) in the mixed transfer group. In adjusted analysis, prevalence of acute malnutrition among children under 5 years increased by 0.7% (CI [−13.4, 14.4%]) among food voucher recipients and decreased by 4.8% (CI [−9.9, 8.1%]) in mixed transfer recipients. The change over time in both mean MUAC and acute malnutrition prevalence was similar for both interventions, suggesting that cash and vouchers had similar effects on child nutrition status.

A Decision Tree Using Patient Characteristics to Predict Resistance to Commonly Used Broad-Spectrum Antibiotics in Children With Gram-Negative Bloodstream Infections

BACKGROUND

As rates of multidrug-resistant gram-negative infections rise, it is critical to recognize children at high risk of bloodstream infections with organisms resistant to commonly used empiric broad-spectrum antibiotics. The objective of the current study was to develop a user-friendly clinical decision aid to predict the risk of resistance to commonly prescribed broad-spectrum empiric antibiotics for children with gram-negative bloodstream infections.

METHODS

This was a longitudinal retrospective cohort study of children with gram-negative bacteria cared for at a tertiary care pediatric hospital from June 2009 to June 2015. The primary outcome was a bloodstream infection due to bacteria resistant to broad-spectrum antibiotics (ie, cefepime, piperacillin-tazobactam, meropenem, or imipenem-cilastatin). Recursive partitioning was used to develop the decision tree.

RESULTS

Of 689 episodes of gram-negative bloodstream infections included, 31% were resistant to broad-spectrum antibiotics. The decision tree stratified patients into high- or low-risk groups based on prior carbapenem treatment, a previous culture with a broad-spectrum antibiotic resistant gram-negative organism in the preceding 6 months, intestinal transplantation, age ≥3 years, and ≥7 prior episodes of gram-negative bloodstream infections. The sensitivity for classifying high-risk patients was 46%, and the specificity was 91%.

CONCLUSION

A decision tree offers a novel approach to individualize patients' risk of gram-negative bloodstream infections resistant to broad-spectrum antibiotics, distinguishing children who may warrant even broader antibiotic therapy (eg, combination therapy, newer β-lactam agents) from those for whom standard empiric antibiotic therapy is appropriate. The constructed tree needs to be validated more widely before incorporation into clinical practice.