Sex-Based Disparities in the Transition to Dolutegravir-Based Antiretroviral Therapy in West African HIV Cohorts

Transition to dolutegravir among 21 167 individuals experienced in antiretroviral therapy in West Africa showed heterogeneous timelines and patterns. Initially reported sex disparities tended to catch up over time with persisting disparities, according to contributing HIV clinics. Key factors facilitating dolutegravir switch were male sex, age <50 years, viral suppression, and regimens not based on protease inhibitors.

Effects of Age, Level of Education and HIV Status on Cognitive Performance in West African Older Adults: The West Africa IeDEA Cohort Collaboration

An in-depth understanding of the impact of aging, cognitive reserve, and HIV status on cognitive function is needed in older West African adults. Ninety-nine HIV-negative and 334 HIV-positive adults aged ≥ 50 years were enrolled in three clinics (Senegal and Côte d'Ivoire) participating in the IeDEA West Africa collaboration. All subjects underwent the Free and Cued Selective Reminding Test (FCSRT) and the Isaacs Set Test (IST). Age (both linear and quadratic), education level, and HIV status effects on Z-scores were assessed using multivariate linear regression models. Interactions between HIV status and age or educational level were tested. In the present cohort of older West African adults, the role of age and educational level on episodic memory and verbal fluency was observed without revealing an interaction between HIV status and age effect. As age had quadratic effects, older HIV-positive adults should not be considered as a unique group irrespective of their age. Low-educated HIV-positive patients had the lowest verbal fluency performance compared to others. Further studies are needed to duplicate these results. In clinical settings, screening and adapted programs focusing on improving cognition in those patients are needed.

Validation of the D:A:D chronic kidney disease risk score in people living with HIV: the IeDEA West Africa Cohort Collaboration

OBJECTIVES

A risk score for long-term prediction of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in people living with HIV (PLHIV) has been developed using data from the D:A:D cohort. We assessed the performance of the D:A:D risk score in a cohort of PLHIV in West Africa.

METHODS

Data from PLHIV starting antiretroviral treatment in four clinics in Burkina Faso, Côte d'Ivoire and Togo participating in the IeDEA West Africa collaboration were analysed. CKD was defined as two consecutive estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs) of ≤ 60 mL/min/1.73 m² . The D:A:D score (short version) was calculated using age, gender, nadir CD4 and baseline eGFR and was categorized into low, medium, and high-risk groups.

RESULTS

In 14 930 participants (70% female, median age = 38 years; median nadir CD4 count = 183 cells/µL) followed for a median duration of 5.7 years, 660 (4.4%) progressed to CKD, with an incidence [95% confidence interval (CI)] of 7.8 (7.2-8.4) per 1000 person-years (PY). CKD incidence rates were 2.4 (2.0-2.8), 8.1 (6.8-9.6) and, 30.9 (28.0-34.1) per 1000 PY in the low-, medium- and high-risk groups, respectively. In the high-risk group, 14.7% (95% CI: 13.3; 16.3) had progressed to CKD at 5 years. Discrimination was good [C-statistics = 0.81 (0.79-0.83)]. In all, 79.4% of people who progressed to CKD were classified in the medium- to high-risk group at baseline (sensitivity) and 66.5% of people classified in the low risk group at baseline did not progress to CKD (specificity).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings confirm the validity of the D:A:D score in identifying individuals at risk of developing CKD who could benefit from enhanced kidney monitoring in West African HIV clinics.

Screening for active tuberculosis before isoniazid preventive therapy among HIV-infected West African adults

SETTING

TEMPRANO was a multicentre, open-label trial in which human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infected adults with high CD4 counts were randomised into early or deferred antiretroviral therapy (ART) arms with or without 6-month isoniazid preventive therapy (IPT) in a setting where the World Health Organization (WHO) recommends IPT in HIV-infected patients. Despite the WHO recommendation, IPT coverage remains low due to fear of the presence of undiagnosed active TB before prescribing IPT, and the related risk of drug resistance.

OBJECTIVE

To report the frequency of undiagnosed TB in patients enrolled for IPT and describe the results of a 1-month buffer period to avoid prescribing IPT for active TB cases.

DESIGN

Patients were screened using a clinical algorithm and chest X-ray at Day 0 and started on isoniazid at Month 1 if no sign/symptom suggestive of TB appeared between Day 0 and Month 1.

RESULTS

Of 1030 patients randomised into IPT arms. 10% never started IPT at Month 1. Of these, 23 had active TB, including 16 with prevalent TB. Among the 927 patients who started IPT, 6 had active TB, including 1 with prevalent TB. Only 1 patient with active TB received IPT due to the 1-month buffer period between Day 0 and IPT initiation.

CONCLUSION

In this study, 1.6% of adults considered free of active TB based on clinical screening at pre-inclusion actually had active TB.

Avoidable workload of care for patients living with HIV infection in Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire: A cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVE

People living with HIV infection (PLWHIV) in Sub-Saharan Africa cope with an increasing workload of care (doctor visits, lab tests, medication management, refills, etc.) in a context of poor health service organization. We aimed to describe the workload of care for PLWHIV in Sub-Saharan Africa and assess to what extent simple adjustments in care organization could reduce this workload of care.

METHODS

Adult PLWHIV under antiretroviral treatment for at least 1 year were recruited in three centers (two public, one private) in Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire. Using methods inspired from sociology, we precisely described all health-related activities (HRAs) performed by patients, in 1 month, in terms of time, money and opportunity costs. Then, we assessed the theoretical avoidable workload of care if patients' visits and tests had been grouped on the same days.

RESULTS

We enrolled 476 PLWHIV in the study. Patients devoted 6.7 hours (SD = 6.3), on average, in HRAs per month and spent 5% (SD = 11) of their monthly revenue, on average, on health activities. However, we found great inter-patient heterogeneity in the mixture of activities performed (managing medications; dietary recommendations; visits, tests, support groups; administrative tasks; etc.) and their time allocation, temporal dispersion and opportunity costs (personal, familial, social or professional costs). For 22% of patients, grouping activities on the same days could reduce both time and cost requirements by 20%.

CONCLUSION

PLWHIV in Côte d'Ivoire have a heavy workload of care. Grouping visits and tests on the same days may be a simple and feasible way to reduce patients' investment of time and money in their care.

Patients' perspectives on how to decrease the burden of treatment: a qualitative study of HIV care in sub-Saharan Africa

Objective

Patients living with HIV infection (PLWH) in sub-Saharan Africa face an important burden of treatment related to everything they do to take care of their health: doctor visits, tests, regular refills, travels, and so on. In this study, we involved PLWH in proposing ideas on how to decrease their burden of treatment and assessed to what extent these propositions could be implemented in care.

Methods

Adult PLWH recruited in three HIV care centres in Côte d’Ivoire participated in qualitative interviews starting with ‘What do you believe are the most important things to change in your care to improve your burden of treatment?’ Two independent investigators conducted a thematic analysis to identify and classify patients' propositions to decrease their burden of treatment. A group of experts involving patients, health professionals, hospital leaders and policymakers evaluated each patient proposition to assess its feasibility.

Results

Between February and April 2017, 326 participants shared 748 ideas to decrease their burden of treatment. These ideas were grouped into 59 unique patient propositions to improve their personal care and the organisation of their hospital or clinic and/or the health system. Experts considered that 27 (46%), 19 (32%) and 13 (22%) of patients' propositions were easy, moderate and difficult, respectively, to implement. A total of 118 (36%) participants offered at least one proposition considered easily implementable by our experts.

Conclusion

Asking PLWH in sub-Saharan Africa about how their care could be improved led to identifying meaningful propositions. According to experts, half of the ideas identified could be implemented easily at low cost for minimally disruptive HIV care.

Changes in viral hepatitis B screening practices over time in West African HIV clinics

BACKGROUND

We aimed to describe changes in hepatitis B screening practices over a 3-year period among HIV-infected patients in West Africa.

METHODS

A medical chart review was conducted in urban HIV treatment centers in Ivory Coast (3 sites), Benin, Burkina Faso, Senegal, and Togo (1 site each). Among patients who started antiretroviral treatment between 2010 and 2012, 100 per year were randomly selected from each clinic. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data was collected using a standardized questionnaire. We assessed changes in the proportion of patients screened over time and identified predictors of screening in a multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

A total of 2097 patients were included (median age: 37 years, 65.4% of women). Overall, 313 (14.9%) patients had been screened for hepatitis B, with an increase from 10.6% in 2010 to 18.9% in 2012 (P<0.001) and substantial differences across countries. In multivariable analysis, being aged over 45 years (adjusted odds ratio: 1.34 [1.01-1.77]) and having an income-generating activity (adjusted odds ratio: 1.82 [1.09-3.03]) were associated with screening for hepatitis B infection. Overall, 62 HIV-infected patients (19.8%, 95% confidence interval: 15.5-24.7) were HBsAg-positive and 82.3% of them received a tenofovir-containing drug regimen.

CONCLUSION

Hepatitis B screening among HIV-infected patients was low between 2010 and 2012. The increasing availability of HBsAg rapid tests and tenofovir in first-line antiretroviral regimen should improve the rates of hepatitis B screening.

Incidence of Severe Neutropenia in HIV-Infected People Starting Antiretroviral Therapy in West Africa

BACKGROUND

In sub-Saharan Africa, antiretroviral therapy (ART) including drugs with potential toxicity such as Zidovudine (ZDV) are routinely prescribed. This study aimed at estimating the incidence of severe neutropenia and associated factors after ART initiation in five West African countries.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted within the international epidemiologic database to evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) collaboration in West Africa. All HIV-infected adults, initiating ART between 2002 and 2014, with a baseline and at least one follow-up absolute neutrophil count (ANC) measurement were eligible. Incidence of severe neutropenia (ANC <750 cells/mm3) was estimated with 95% confidence interval (CI) according to age, gender, HIV clinic, hemoglobin, CD4 count, clinical stage, and ART duration. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify factors associated with severe neutropenia, expressed with their adjusted hazard ratios (aHR).

RESULTS

Between 2002 and 2014, 9,426 HIV-infected adults were enrolled. The crude incidence rate of a first severe neutropenia was 9.1 per 100 person-years (95% CI: 8.6-9.8). Factors associated with severe neutropenia were exposure to ZDV <6 months (aHR = 2.2; 95% CI: 1.8-2.6), ≥6-12 months (aHR = 2.1; 95% CI: 1.6-2.8) and ≥12 months (aHR = 1.6; 95% CI: 1.2-2.2) [Ref. no ZDV exposure], CD4 count <350 cells/mm3 (aHR = 1.3; 95% CI: 1.1-1.5) and advanced clinical stage at ART initiation (aHR = 1.2; 95% CI: 1.0-1.4).

CONCLUSION

The incidence of severe neutropenia after ART initiation in West Africa is high and associated with ZDV exposure and advanced HIV disease. In this context, efforts are needed to scale-up access to less toxic first-line ART drugs and to promote early ART initiation.

Re-testing and misclassification of HIV-2 and HIV-1&2 dually reactive patients among the HIV-2 cohort of the West African Database to evaluate AIDS collaboration

INTRODUCTION

West Africa is characterized by the circulation of HIV-1 and HIV-2. The laboratory diagnosis of these two infections as well as the choice of a first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) is challenging, considering the limited access to second-line regimens. This study aimed at confirming the classification of HIV-2 and HIV-1&2 dually reactive patients followed up in the HIV-2 cohort of the West African Database to evaluate AIDS collaboration.

METHOD

A cross-sectional survey was conducted from March to December 2012 in Burkina Faso, Côte d'Ivoire and Mali among patients classified as HIV-2 or HIV-1&2 dually reactive according to the national HIV testing algorithms. A 5-ml blood sample was collected from each patient and tested in a single reference laboratory in Côte d'Ivoire (CeDReS, Abidjan) with two immuno-enzymatic tests: ImmunoCombII® (HIV-1&2 ImmunoComb BiSpot - Alere) and an in-house ELISA test, approved by the French National AIDS and hepatitis Research Agency (ANRS).

RESULTS

A total of 547 patients were included; 57% of them were initially classified as HIV-2 and 43% as HIV-1&2 dually reactive. Half of the patients had CD4≥500 cells/mm(3) and 68.6% were on ART. Of the 312 patients initially classified as HIV-2, 267 (85.7%) were confirmed as HIV-2 with ImmunoCombII® and in-house ELISA while 16 (5.1%) and 9 (2.9%) were reclassified as HIV-1 and HIV-1&2, respectively (Kappa=0.69; p<0.001). Among the 235 patients initially classified as HIV-1&2 dually reactive, only 54 (23.0%) were confirmed as dually reactive with ImmunoCombII® and in-house ELISA, while 103 (43.8%) and 33 (14.0%) were reclassified as HIV-1 and HIV-2 mono-infected, respectively (kappa= 0.70; p<0.001). Overall, 300 samples (54.8%) were concordantly classified as HIV-2, 63 (11.5%) as HIV-1&2 dually reactive and 119 (21.8%) as HIV-1 (kappa=0.79; p<0.001). The two tests gave discordant results for 65 samples (11.9%).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with HIV-2 mono-infection are correctly discriminated by the national algorithms used in West African countries. HIV-1&2 dually reactive patients should be systematically investigated, with a standardized algorithm using more accurate tests, before initiating ART as at least 4 out of 10 of them could initiate an effective first-line ART for HIV-1 and optimize their second-line treatment options.

Risk factors for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia in HIV-infected women on antiretroviral treatment in Côte d'Ivoire, West Africa

Background

Facing the dual burden of invasive cervical cancer and HIV in sub-Saharan Africa, the identification of preventable determinants of Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia (CIN) in HIV-infected women is of paramount importance.

Methods

A cervical cancer screening based on visual inspection methods was proposed to HIV-infected women in care in Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire. Positively screened women were referred for a colposcopy to a gynaecologist who performed directed biopsies.

Results

Of the 2,998 HIV-infected women enrolled, 132 (4.4%) CIN of any grade (CIN+) were identified. Women had been followed-up for a median duration of three years [IQR: 1–5] and 76% were on antiretroviral treatment (ART). Their median most recent CD4 count was 452 [IQR: 301–621] cells/mm³. In multivariate analysis, CIN+ was associated with a most recent CD4 count >350 cells/mm³ (OR: 0.3; 95% CI: 0.2–0.6) or ≥200–350 cells/mm³ (OR 0.6; 95% CI 0.4–1.0) (Ref: <200 cells/mm³ CD4) (p<10⁻⁴).

Conclusions

The presence of CIN+ is less common among HIV-infected women with limited or no immune deficiency. Despite the potential impact of immunological recovery on the reduction of premalignant cervical lesions through the use of ART, cervical cancer prevention, including screening and vaccination remains a priority in West Africa while ART is rolled-out.

Characteristics of HIV-2 and HIV-1/HIV-2 Dually Seropositive Adults in West Africa Presenting for Care and Antiretroviral Therapy: The IeDEA-West Africa HIV-2 Cohort Study

Background

HIV-2 is endemic in West Africa. There is a lack of evidence-based guidelines on the diagnosis, management and antiretroviral therapy (ART) for HIV-2 or HIV-1/HIV-2 dual infections. Because of these issues, we designed a West African collaborative cohort for HIV-2 infection within the framework of the International epidemiological Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA).

Methods

We collected data on all HIV-2 and HIV-1/HIV-2 dually seropositive patients (both ARV-naive and starting ART) and followed-up in clinical centres in the IeDEA-WA network including a total of 13 clinics in five countries: Benin, Burkina-Faso Côte d’Ivoire, Mali, and Senegal, in the West Africa region.

Results

Data was merged for 1,754 patients (56% female), including 1,021 HIV-2 infected patients (551 on ART) and 733 dually seropositive for both HIV-1 and HIV 2 (463 on ART). At ART initiation, the median age of HIV-2 patients was 45.3 years, IQR: (38.3–51.7) and 42.4 years, IQR (37.0–47.3) for dually seropositive patients (p = 0.048). Overall, 16.7% of HIV-2 patients on ART had an advanced clinical stage (WHO IV or CDC-C). The median CD4 count at the ART initiation is 166 cells/mm³, IQR (83–247) among HIV-2 infected patients and 146 cells/mm³, IQR (55–249) among dually seropositive patients. Overall, in ART-treated patients, the CD4 count increased 126 cells/mm³ after 24 months on ART for HIV-2 patients and 169 cells/mm³ for dually seropositive patients. Of 551 HIV-2 patients on ART, 5.8% died and 10.2% were lost to follow-up during the median time on ART of 2.4 years, IQR (0.7–4.3).

Conclusions

This large multi-country study of HIV-2 and HIV-1/HIV-2 dual infection in West Africa suggests that routine clinical care is less than optimal and that management and treatment of HIV-2 could be further informed by ongoing studies and randomized clinical trials in this population.

Could early antiretroviral therapy entail more risks than benefits in sub-Saharan African HIV-infected adults? A model-based analysis

BACKGROUND

Initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) in all HIV-infected adults, regardless of CD4⁺ T-cell count, is a proposed strategy for reducing HIV transmission. We investigated the conditions under which starting ART early could entail more risks than benefits for patients with high CD4⁺ T-cell counts.

METHODS

We used a simulation model to compare ART initiation upon entry to care ('immediate ART') to initiation at CD4⁺ T-cell count ≤ 350 cells/μl ('WHO 2010 ART') in African adults with CD4⁺ T-cell counts >500 cells/μl. We varied inputs to determine the combination of parameters (population characteristics, conditions of care, treatment outcomes) that would result in higher 15-year mortality with immediate ART.

RESULTS

The 15-year mortality was 56.7% for WHO 2010 ART and 51.8% for immediate ART. In one-way sensitivity analysis, lower 15-year mortality was consistently achieved with immediate ART unless the rate of fatal ART toxicity was >1.0/100 person-years, the rate of withdrawal from care was >1.2-fold higher or the rate of ART failure due to poor adherence was >4.3-fold higher on immediate than on WHO 2010 ART. In multi-way sensitivity analysis, immediate ART led to higher mortality when moderate rates of fatal ART toxicity (0.25/100 person-years) were combined with rates of withdrawal from care >1.1-fold higher and rates of treatment failure >2.1-fold higher on immediate than on WHO 2010 ART.

CONCLUSIONS

In sub-Saharan Africa, ART initiation at entry into care would improve long-term survival of patients with high CD4⁺ T-cell counts, unless it is associated with increased withdrawal from care and decreased adherence. In early ART trials, a focus on retention and adherence will be crucial.

Cervical cancer screening by visual inspection in Côte d'Ivoire, operational and clinical aspects according to HIV status

Background

Cervical cancer screening is not yet standard of care of women attending HIV care clinics in Africa and presents operational challenges that need to be addressed.

Methods

A cervical cancer screening program based on visual inspection methods was conducted in clinics providing antiretroviral treatment (ART) in Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire. An itinerant team of midwives was in charge of proposing cervical cancer screening to all HIV-positive women enrolled in ART clinics as well as to HIV-negative women who were attending the Abidjan national blood donor clinic. Positively screened women were systematically referred to a colposcopic examination. A phone-based tracking procedure was implemented to reach positively screened women who did not attend the medical consultation. The association between HIV status and cervical cancer screening outcomes was estimated using a multivariate logistic model.

Results

The frequency of positive visual inspection was 9.0% (95% CI 8.0-10.0) in the 2,998 HIV-positive women and 3.9% (95% CI 2.7-5.1) in the 1,047 HIV-negative ones (p < 10^-4). In multivariate analysis, HIV infection was associated with a higher risk of positive visual inspection [OR = 2.28 (95% CI 1.61-3.23)] as well as more extensive lesions involving the endocervical canal [OR = 2.42 (95% CI 1.15-5.08)]. The use of a phone-based tracking procedure enabled a significant reduction of women not attending medical consultation after initial positive screening from 36.5% to 19.8% (p < 10^-4).

Conclusion

The higher frequency of positive visual inspection among HIV-positive women supports the need to extend cervical cancer screening program to all HIV clinics in West Africa. Women loss to follow-up after being positively screened is a major concern in cervical screening programs but yet, partly amenable to a phone tracking procedure.

AIDS and non-AIDS morbidity and mortality across the spectrum of CD4 cell counts in HIV-infected adults before starting antiretroviral therapy in Cote d'Ivoire

BACKGROUND

In Western Europe, North America, and Australia, large cohort collaborations have been able to estimate the short-term CD4 cell count-specific risk of AIDS or death in untreated human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected adults with high CD4 cell counts. In sub-Saharan Africa, these CD4 cell count-specific estimates are scarce.

METHODS

From 1996 through 2006, we followed up 2 research cohorts of HIV-infected adults in Côte d'Ivoire. This included follow-up off antiretroviral therapy (ART) across the entire spectrum of CD4 cell counts before the ART era, and only in patients with CD4 cell counts >200  cells/μL once ART became available. Data were censored at ART initiation. We modeled the CD4 cell count decrease using an adjusted linear mixed model. CD4 cell count-specific rates of events were obtained by dividing the number of first events occurring in a given CD4 cell count stratum by the time spent in that stratum.

RESULTS

Eight hundred sixty patients were followed off ART over 2789 person-years (PY). In the ≥650, 500-649, 350-499, 200-349, 100-199, 50-99, and 0-49  cells/μL CD4 cell count strata, the rates of AIDS or death were 0.9, 1.7, 3.7, 10.4, 30.9, 60.8, and 99.9 events per 100 PY, respectively. In patients with CD4 cell counts ≥200 CD4  cells/μL, the most frequent AIDS-defining disease was tuberculosis (decreasing from 4.0 to 0.6 events per 100 PY for 200-349 and ≥650 cells/μL, respectively), and the most frequent HIV non-AIDS severe diseases were visceral bacterial diseases (decreasing from 9.1 to 3.6 events per 100 PY).

CONCLUSIONS

Rates of AIDS or death, tuberculosis, and invasive bacterial diseases are substantial in patients with CD4 cell counts ≥200 cells/μL. Tuberculosis and bacterial diseases should be the most important outcomes in future trials of early ART in sub-Saharan Africa.

Pharmacovigilance for antiretroviral drugs in Africa: lessons from a study in Abidjan, Cote d'Ivoire

BACKGROUND

Although antiretroviral treatment (ART)-related adverse drug reactions (ADR) are documented in industrialised countries, there is no pre-existing surveillance system dedicated to ADR monitoring in most African countries. We assessed knowledge towards pharmacovigilance among ART prescribers and available capacity of HIV clinics to conduct ADR monitoring in Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire.

METHODS

A questionnaire was administered to ART prescribers to assess their knowledge towards the occurrence of ADRs. A retrospective ADR survey was also conducted based on a data query of treatment modification/interruptions in three HIV clinics. Clinical monitors went back to medical charts to review and validate the reasons of the treatment modification/interruptions.

RESULTS

Of the 81 ART prescribers interviewed, 25 (31%) declared not grading ADRs and 12 (14.8%) declared notifying ADRs to the national regulatory authorities. Among 5252 adult ART-treated patients who attended the participating clinics in 2008, 599 treatment modifications were identified. Reasons for treatment modification/interruptions identified in the electronic database were documented in the medical charts in 554 cases (92.5%), ADR accounting for 273 cases (45.5%). Toxicity related to ART was graded in only 58 cases (21%) in the medical charts.

DISCUSSION

This study describes challenges limiting the implementation of reliable pharmacovigilance activities in HIV clinics in Côte d'Ivoire. The lack of knowledge of ART prescribers concerning ADR grading does not support the spontaneous reporting of ADRs. Using treatment modification/interruptions for ADR monitoring appears feasible, but improvements are needed to respond to key questions related to drug toxicities in the context of ART scale-up in Africa.

Prognosis of patients with HIV-1 infection starting antiretroviral therapy in sub-Saharan Africa: a collaborative analysis of scale-up programmes

BACKGROUND

Prognostic models have been developed for patients infected with HIV-1 who start combination antiretroviral therapy (ART) in high-income countries, but not for patients in sub-Saharan Africa. We developed two prognostic models to estimate the probability of death in patients starting ART in sub-Saharan Africa.

METHODS

We analysed data for adult patients who started ART in four scale-up programmes in Côte d'Ivoire, South Africa, and Malawi from 2004 to 2007. Patients lost to follow-up in the first year were excluded. We used Weibull survival models to construct two prognostic models: one with CD4 cell count, clinical stage, bodyweight, age, and sex (CD4 count model); and one that replaced CD4 cell count with total lymphocyte count and severity of anaemia (total lymphocyte and haemoglobin model), because CD4 cell count is not routinely measured in many African ART programmes. Death from all causes in the first year of ART was the primary outcome.

FINDINGS

912 (8.2%) of 11 153 patients died in the first year of ART. 822 patients were lost to follow-up and not included in the main analysis; 10 331 patients were analysed. Mortality was strongly associated with high baseline CD4 cell count (>/=200 cells per muL vs <25; adjusted hazard ratio 0.21, 95% CI 0.17-0.27), WHO clinical stage (stages III-IV vs I-II; 3.45, 2.43-4.90), bodyweight (>/=60 kg vs <45 kg; 0.23, 0.18-0.30), and anaemia status (none vs severe: 0.27, 0.20-0.36). Other independent risk factors for mortality were low total lymphocyte count, advanced age, and male sex. Probability of death at 1 year ranged from 0.9% (95% CI 0.6-1.4) to 52.5% (43.8-61.7) with the CD4 model, and from 0.9% (0.5-1.4) to 59.6% (48.2-71.4) with the total lymphocyte and haemoglobin model. Both models accurately predict early mortality in patients starting ART in sub-Saharan Africa compared with observed data.

INTERPRETATION

Prognostic models should be used to counsel patients, plan health services, and predict outcomes for patients with HIV-1 infection in sub-Saharan Africa.

FUNDING

US National Institute of Allergy And Infectious Diseases, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, and National Cancer Institute.

Tobacco use and its determinants in HIV-infected patients on antiretroviral therapy in West African countries

BACKGROUND

Tobacco smoking is common in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infected patients from industrialised countries. In West Africa, few data concerning tobacco consumption exist.

METHODS

A cross-sectional survey of the International Epidemiological Database to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) network in West Africa was conducted. Health workers administered a questionnaire assessing tobacco and cannabis consumption among patients receiving antiretroviral treatment. Regular smokers were defined as current smokers who smoked >1 cigarette per day for >or=1 year.

RESULTS

Overall, 2920 patients were enrolled in three countries. The prevalence of ever smokers and regular smokers were respectively 46.2% (95%CI 42.8-49.5) and 15.6% (95%CI 13.2-18.0) in men and 3.7% (95%CI 2.9-4.5) and 0.6% (95%CI 0.3-0.9) in women. Regular smoking was associated with being from Côte d'Ivoire or Mali compared to Benin (OR 4.6, 95%CI 2.9-7.3 and 7.7, 95%CI 4.4-13.6), severely impaired immunological status at highly active antiretroviral treatment initiation (OR 1.5, 95%CI 1.1-2.2) and history of tuberculosis (TB; OR 1.8, 95%CI 1.1-3.0).

CONCLUSION

There are marked differences in smoking prevalence among these West African countries. This survey approach also provides proof of the association between cigarette smoking and TB in HIV-infected patients, a major public health issue in this part of the world.

Medium-term probability of success of antiretroviral treatment after early warning signs of treatment failure in West African adults

West African adults with warning signs of failure of antiretroviral treatment (ART) at 6 months were assessed for the probability and factors associated with success at 36 months. After 6 months on ART, patients were included if they had a bad immunologic response (BIR) (month 6 CD4 count < pre-ART CD4 count + 50/mm(3)), incomplete virologic suppression (IVS) (month 6 plasma HIV-1 RNA >300 copies/ml), or both (Dual). They were followed for 30 months after inclusion. CD4 counts and HIV-1 RNA were measured every 3 months. We estimated the probability of reaching immunovirologic success (CD4 count >350/mm(3) and plasma HIV-1 RNA <300 copies/ml) and looked for determinants using Cox analysis. A total of 208 adults were included. Among patients in the IVS and Dual groups, 23% and 38% had at least one genotypic resistance mutation at month 6. The 36-month cumulative probability of immunovirologic success was 0.84 in BIR, 0.81 in IVS, and 0.67 in Dual (p = 0.02). Adjusting for CD4 count, viral load, ART regimen, and morbidity, patients who had no genotypic resistance mutations at month 6 or a medication possession ratio (MPR) >90% between month 6 and month 36 had a likelihood of success 3.8 and 3.6 higher than other patients. The 36-month probability of success was 0.56 and 0.86 in patients with an MPR <90% and >90% and 0.59 and 0.84 in patients with and without resistance. After warning signs of failure at 6 months, a large proportion of patients reaches immunovirologic success before 36 months provided there is a high rate of adherence to medication and the absence of early resistance mutations.

CD4+ T-lymphocytes natural decrease in HAART-naïve HIV-infected adults in Abidjan

OBJECTIVE

To study the CD4 natural decrease and its determinants in sub-Saharan African HIV-infected adults.

METHOD

We performed a 7-year prospective cohort study, with biannual CD4 measurement. Follow-up was censored at the first severe morbidity event or at HAART initiation. Changes in CD4 values were studied by jointly modelling (a) the correlation between repeated measures through a linear mixed model and (b) the time to drop-out through a survival model.

RESULTS

690 patients were followed up during 1,382 person-years. Contrasting with the baseline CD4 count and percentage, which were associated with numerous variables, the slopes of both CD4 count and CD4 percentage in the absence of severe morbidity episode were only associated with the follow-up time and with the baseline body mass index (BMI). The mean annual natural decrease in CD4 count (CD4%) was estimated at -81/mm3 (-2.2%), -69/mm3 (-1.7%), and -55/mm3 (-1.2%) for patients with baseline BMI at 16 kg/m2, 20.4 kg/m2, and 25 kg/m2, respectively (p < .001). A steeper decline in the CD4 count was independently associated with a shorter event-free follow-up time.

CONCLUSION

These estimates of the CD4 natural decrease in sub-Saharan African patients, while they did not experience any episode of severe morbidity and before they initiate HAART, are in the bracket of those previously reported in industrialized countries. In sub-Saharan African settings with CD4 count being measured less frequently than in industrialized countries, the CD4 should be monitored more closely among adults with low BMI.

Child-Pugh-Turcott versus Meld score for predicting survival in a retrospective cohort of black African cirrhotic patients

AIM: To compare the performance of the Child-Pugh-Turcott (CPT) score to that of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score in predicting survival of a retrospective cohort of 172 Black African patients with cirrhosis on a short and mid-term basis.

METHODS: Univariate and multivariate (Cox model) analyses were used to identify factors related to mortality. Relationship between the two scores was appreciated by calculating the correlation coefficient. The Kaplan Meier method and the log rank test were used to elaborate and compare survival respectively. The Areas Under the Curves were used to compare the performance between scores at 3, 6 and 12 mo.

RESULTS: The study population comprised 172 patients, of which 68.9% were male. The mean age of the patient was 47.5 ± 13 years. Hepatitis B virus infection was the cause of cirrhosis in 70% of the cases. The overall mortality was 31.4% over 11 years of follow up. Independent factors significantly associated with mortality were: CPT score (HR = 3.3, 95% CI [1.7-6.2]) (P < 0.001) (stage C vs stage A-B); Serum creatine (HR = 2.5, 95% CI [1.4-4.3]) (P = 0.001) (Serum creatine > 1.5 mg/dL versus serum creatine < 1.5 mg/dL); MELD score (HR = 2.9, 95% CI [1.63-5.21]) (P < 0.001) (MELD > 21 vs MELD < 21). The area under the curves (AUC) that predict survival was 0.72 and 0.75 at 3 mo (P = 0.68), 0.64 and 0.62 at 6 mo (P = 0.67), 0.69 and 0.64 at 12 mo (P = 0.38) respectively for the CPT score and the MELD score.

CONCLUSION: The CPT score displays the same prognostic significance as does the MELD score in black African patients with cirrhosis. Moreover, its handling appears less cumbersome in clinical practice as compared to the latter.

Impact of opportunistic diseases on chronic mortality in HIV-infected adults in Côte d'Ivoire

OBJECTIVE

To estimate incidence rates of opportunistic diseases (ODs) and mortality for patients with and without a history of OD among HIV-infected patients in Côte d'Ivoire.

METHODS

Using incidence density analysis, we estimated rates of ODs and chronic mortality by CD4 count in patients in a cotrimoxazole prophylaxis trial in Abidjan before the highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) era. Chronic mortality was defined as death without a history of OD or death more than 30 days after an OD diagnosis. We used Poisson's regression to examine the effect of OD history on chronic mortality after adjusting for age, gender, and current CD4 count.

RESULTS

Two hundred and seventy patients (40% male, mean age 33 years, median baseline CD4 count 261 cells/microl) were followed up for a median of 9.5 months. Bacterial infections and tuberculosis were the most common severe ODs. Of 47 patients who died, 9 (19%) died within 30 days of an OD, 26 (55%) died more than 30 days after an OD, and 12 (26%) died with no OD history. The chronic mortality rate was 31.0/100 person-years for those with an OD history, and 11.1/100 person-years for those with no OD history (rate ratio (RR) 2.81, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.43 - 5.54). Multivariate analysis revealed that OD history remained an independent predictor of mortality (RR 2.15, 95% CI: 1.07 - 4.33) after adjusting for CD4 count, age and gender.

CONCLUSIONS

Before the HAART era, a history of OD was associated with increased chronic HIV mortality in Côte d'Ivoire, even after adjusting for CD4 count. These results provide further evidence supporting OD prophylaxis in HIV-infected patients.

[Causes of fever in adults infected by HIV-1. Ambulatory follow-up in the ANRS 059 trial in Abidjan, Ivory Coast]

OBJECTIVE

Describe the causes of fever in HIV-1 infected adults in Abidjan, Ivory Coast.

METHODS

Exhaustive analysis of all the morbid episodes with raise in temperature to above 37.5 degrees C in patients followed-up prospectively, within the framework of the ANRS 059 study from April 1996 to March 1998.

RESULTS

One hundred and four patients presented 269 episodes of fever. At the start of these episodes, the mean CD4 count was of 311/mm3, fever had lasted a mean of 3.4 days and mean body temperature was 38.7 degrees C. The 269 episodes lead to 288 diagnoses: 152 specific etiologic diagnoses and 136 non-specific syndrome diagnoses. Community bacterial infections represented 55% of the specific diagnoses, followed by malaria (16%) and tuberculosis (12%). The mean CD4 count during the bacterial episodes was 208/mm3, in malaria 384/mm3 and in tuberculosis 245/mm3. Non-typhi salmonella, pneumococci and Escherischia coli represented 37%, 32%, and 15% respectively of the bacteria isolated. The mean duration between the first and last day of fever was 8.4 days. This time lapse was superior or equal to 30 days in 22 episodes (8%), 50% of which were mycobacterioses (36% tuberculosis and 14% atypic mycobacterioses). Nineteen episodes (7%) lead to death within a mean delay of 58 days. The first cause of death was atypic mycobacteriosis (26%). Death was significantly associated with a CD4 count < 200/mm3 and to prolongation of fever for more than 30 days.

CONCLUSION

Other than the frequently described role of tuberculosis in HIV morbidity in sub-Saharian Africa, the role of bacterial diseases, responsible for early death, potentially severe, but curable should be underlined. The diffusion of antibiotic treatment algorithms adapted to the principle clinical syndromes encountered, might improve the treatment of adults infected by HIV consulting in sub-Saharian Africa.

Effect of early chemoprophylaxis with co-trimoxazole on nutritional status evolution in HIV-1-infected adults in Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire

BACKGROUND

In sub-Saharan Africa, malnutrition is a major complication of HIV disease. Measuring accurately the nutritional benefits of a therapeutic intervention could be an easy-to-monitor secondary outcome.

METHODS

Anthropometric data were analysed from patients participating in a placebo-controlled trial of co-trimoxazole prophylaxis in adults recruited at early stages of HIV-1 infection in Côte d'Ivoire (COTRIMO-CI ANRS 059 trial). Body mass index (BMI), arm muscle circumference (AMC) and percentage of fat mass (FM) were measured at baseline and quarterly during the follow up. Percentage of variation from the baseline value was compared between treatment groups and within the groups using Student t-test.

RESULTS

An improvement of all anthropometric indicators was observed in the first 3 months of follow up in both treatment groups, significant in the co-trimoxazole group (P < or = 0.0006) but not in the placebo group (P > or = 0.06). In the co-trimoxazole group, this improvement was maintained for up to 24 months for BMI (P = 0.007), 21 months for AMC (P = 0.02) and only up to 12 months for FM (P = 0.04). The placebo group had a stable anthropometric status up to the end of the trial. Differences between treatment groups were significant for up to 15 months for BMI and AMC and 12 months for FM.

CONCLUSION

As co-trimoxazole prophylaxis is now recommended in Africa as part of a minimum package of care for HIV-infected symptomatic subjects, the short-term improvement of these anthropometric indicators in adults who start co-trimoxazole prophylaxis should be considered as an effective clinical outcome.

[Effect of hygiene measures, water sanitation and oral rehydration therapy on diarrhea in children less than five years old in the south of Ivory Coast]

The purpose is to assess the impact of compliance with measures of hygiene and water supply and oral rehydration on the diarrhoea with under 5 years of age in four villages of southern Côte d'Ivoire. The method used is to compare morbidity and mortality of children, firstly between two groups of villages without such measures, secondly in two villages before and after implementing them. Initially, an exhaustive survey has determined the incidence rate of diarrhoea, the proportion of deaths resulting from such diarrhoea as well as the mortality rate 1988. Two similar survey were made in 1990 and 1992. The results show a 50% reduction of the incidence rate of diarrhoea and a 85% reduction of the proportion of deaths related to diarrhoea in the villages with intervention. The mortality rate to diarrhoea was likewise reduced by 85%. These results show the importance of the improvement and accessibility to drinkable water and hygiene in the prevention of diarrhoea in areas children.

[Impact of improved sanitary conditions and domestic hygiene on the incidence of ascaridiasis and ancylostomiasis in children two to four years old in the rural zones of Ivory Coast]

The purpose of this study is to assess the impact of improvement measures for hygiene and water supply, installation of latrines and health education on the incidence of ascaridiasis and ankylostomiasis with 2 to 4 years old children in some villages of southern Côte d'Ivoire. The method used is the comparison of children carrying parasites before and after intervention. Initially in 1988, the stools of all children aged from 2 to 4 were collected and examined in order to look for the presence of parasites in the stools. Two identical inquiries were made in 1990 and 1992. The results show a reduction of the rate of incidence for ascaridiasis by 75% and ankylostomiasis by 82%. They demonstrate the importance of an appropriate evacuation of excreta, of an education of mothers and of domestic hygiene in the process of prevention of children parasitosis.