Gestational hemodilution as a putative risk factor for postpartum depression: A large-scale nationwide longitudinal cohort study

BACKGROUND

While anemia during pregnancy has been linked to increased postpartum depression (PPD) risk, longitudinal studies on the association between gestational hemodilution, represented by decreased hematocrit (Hct) during the transition from the 1st to 2nd trimester, and PPD risk, are scarce. The current study aimed to investigate this association in a nationwide cohort over the perinatal period.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 104,715 women who gave birth between January 2008 and December 2015. The cohort was followed up for new-onset PPD during the year post birth and gestational hemodilution was assessed by the change in Hct levels (Δ: 2nd-1st trimester). The cohort was divided into three hemodilution groupings: maximal and minimal 10 % of mothers and intermediate 80 %. Multivariable regression analyses were performed to estimate the association between gestational hemodilution and PPD, adjusting for confounders.

RESULTS

Among the full cohort, 2.2 % (n = 2263) met the definition of new-onset PPD. Mothers with greater hemodilution had higher rates of PPD: 2.7 % (n = 269) in the maximal hemodilution group, 2.1 % (n = 1783) in the intermediate and 1.9 % (n = 211) in the minimal hemodilution group (p < 0.001). The maximal hemodilution group had higher rates of pre-gestational psychiatric disorders (p < 0.001) and higher adjusted risk for PPD [OR = 1.18, 95 % CI (1.04, 1.35)].

LIMITATIONS

Data on iron levels and supplementation were unavailable, thus it could not be adjusted for in the analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Women in the top 10th percentile of gestational hemodilution may be at risk for PPD, justifying monitoring of gestational Hct as a biomarker for PPD.

Improved Outcomes of Paediatric and Adult Crohn's Disease and Association With Emerging Use of Biologics-A Nationwide Study From the Epi-IIRN

BACKGROUND

The effectiveness of biologics for improving long-term outcomes in patients with Crohn's disease [CD] is still controversial. In this nationwide study, we aimed to evaluate trends of long-term outcomes in all CD patients in Israel during the biologics era.

METHODS

Trends of outcomes were analysed using data from the four Israeli health maintenance organisations, covering 98% of the population; joinpoint regression models were used to explore changes of these trends over 2005 to 2019.

RESULTS

A total of 16 936 patients were diagnosed with CD in Israel since 2005 (2932 [17%] paediatric onset, 14 004 [83%] adult onset) with 114 947 person-years of follow-up. The cumulative rate of any CD related surgery was 5%, 9%, 11%, and 14% at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years from diagnosis. The increase in use of biologics was sharp (from 8.9% to 36%; average annual percent change [AAPC], 14.3%), and the time to biologics was shorter in recent years (median time of 4.8 [1.9-8.1] years in those diagnosed in 2005-2008 compared with 0.5 [0.2-1.1] years in those diagnosed in 2015-2018; p < 0.001). A significant decrease was noted in the hazard of hospitalisations (1.3 [0.1-4.6] years compared with 0.2 [0.02-0.9] years; p < 0.001), steroid dependency (1.5 [0.2-5.4] years compared with 0.1 [0.02-0.4] years; p < 0.001), and intestinal surgeries [4.7 [1.6-8.2] years compared with 0.6 [0.2-1.4] years; p < 0.001), but not of perianal surgery (4.2 [1.1-7.7] years compared with 0.6 [0.2-1.4] years; p = 0.2). Outcomes were consistently worse in paediatric onset compared with adults.

CONCLUSIONS

The rates of hospitalisations, steroid dependency, and intestinal resections decreased in association with increased use of biologics both in children and in adults, but not the rate of perianal surgeries.

Colectomy Rates did not Decrease in Paediatric- and Adult-Onset Ulcerative Colitis During the Biologics Era: A Nationwide Study From the epi-IIRN

BACKGROUND

It is still of debate whether the advent of biologics has been associated with a change in the natural history of ulcerative colitis [UC]. In this nationwide study we evaluated trends of long-term outcomes in all patients diagnosed with UC in Israel during the biologic era.

METHODS

Data in the epi-IIRN cohort were retrieved from the four Israeli Health Maintenance Organizations covering 98% of the population, and linked to the Ministry of Health prospective registry on surgeries and hospitalizations. Joinpoint Regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were used, reporting annual average percentage change [AAPC] for each outcome.

RESULTS

A total of 13 231 patients were diagnosed with UC since 2005 (1426 [11%] paediatric-onset, 10 310 [78%] adults, 1495 [11%] elderly) with 93 675 person-years of follow-up. The probabilities of surgery after 1, 3 and 5 years from diagnosis were 1.1, 2.3 and 4.1%, respectively, and the corresponding rates of hospitalizations were 22, 33 and 41%. The overall utilization of biologics in UC increased from 0.1% in 2005 to 9.6% in 2019 [AAPC 22.1%] and they were prescribed earlier during the disease course (median of 5.6 years [interquartile range 2.8-9.1] in 2005-2008 vs 0.8 years [0.4-1.5] in 2015-2018; p < 0.001]. Annual rates of surgeries [AAPC -1.3; p = 0.6] and steroid-dependency [AAPC -1.2; p = 0.3] remained unchanged, while rates of hospitalizations slightly decreased [AAPC -1.2; p < 0.001]. Outcomes were consistently worse in paediatric-onset disease than in adults, despite higher utilization of biologics [28% vs 12%, respectively; p < 0.001].

CONCLUSION

During the biologic era rates of surgeries and steroid-dependency have remained unchanged in patients with UC, while rates of hospitalizations have slightly decreased.

Perianal Crohn's Disease Is Associated With Poor Disease Outcome: A Nationwide Study From the epiIIRN Cohort

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Limited population-based data have explored perianal involvement in Crohn's disease (CD) and compared the disease course between severe and non-severe perianal CD (PCD). We aimed to explore the disease course of these phenotypes in a population-based study of CD.

METHODS

Cases were identified from the epi-IIRN cohort and included 2 Israeli health maintenance organizations covering 78% of the population. We validated specific algorithms to identify fistulizing PCD and to differentiate severe from non-severe disease by medication utilization, International Classification of Disease, 9th Revision codes, and perianal procedures.

RESULTS

A total of 12,904 CD patients were included in an inception cohort from 2005 (2186 pediatric-onset, 17%) providing 86,119 person-years of follow-up. Fistulizing PCD was diagnosed in 1530 patients (12%) (574 with severe PCD, 4%). The prevalence of PCD was 7.9%, 9.4%, 10.3%, and 11.6% at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years from CD diagnosis, respectively. At 5 years, PCD patients were more likely to be hospitalized (36% in non-PCD vs 64% in PCD; P < .001), undergo inflammatory bowel disease-related surgeries (9% vs 38%, respectively; P < .001), and develop anorectal cancer (1.2/10,000 person-years for non-PCD vs 4.2/10,000 for PCD; P = .01). Severe PCD was associated with poorer outcomes compared with non-severe PCD, as shown for hospitalizations (61% in non-severe PCD vs 73% in severe; P = .004) and surgeries (35% vs 43%; P = .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite higher utilization of immunomodulators and biologics, PCD is associated with poor disease outcomes, especially in severe PCD.

Renal function and outcome of patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation and renal dysfunction are associated with increased cardiovascular risk. We examined the association between renal function and incident ischaemic stroke or myocardial infarction in patients with atrial fibrillation treated with direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs).

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study was conducted using a large health record database. Included were 19 713 patients with first time diagnosis of non-valvular atrial fibrillation treated with DOACs between 2010 and 2018. Patients were categorized into four groups according to the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (<30, 30-59, 60-89, and ≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2). Ischaemic stroke and acute myocardial infarction rates were compared between the groups. During 55 086 person-years of follow-up, there were 2295 (11.6%) cases of ischaemic stroke and 1158 (5.9%) cases of acute myocardial infarction. There was a significant inverse association between eGFR and the risk of myocardial infarction. A multivariate analysis using the group with eGFR ≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2 as a reference demonstrated an increased risk of myocardial infarction with lower eGFR [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.2 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.9-1.4, HR = 1.4, 95% CI 1.2-1.7, and HR = 2.5, 95% CI 1.8-3.4 for patients with eGFR 60-89, 30-59, and <30 mL/min/1.73 m2, respectively, P < 0.001]. Each 10 mL decrease in eGFR was associated with an 8% increase in the risk of myocardial infarction. There was no association between eGFR and the risk of ischaemic stroke (HR = 0.9 95% CI 0.8-1.1, HR = 0.93, 95% CI 0.8-1.1, and HR = 1.1, 95% CI 0.8-1.4 for patients with eGFR 60-89, 30-59, and <30 mL/min/1.73 m2, respectively, P = 0.325).

CONCLUSIONS

Renal dysfunction is associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction but not of ischaemic stroke among patients with atrial fibrillation treated with DOACs.

Pediatric-onset Inflammatory Bowel Disease Has Only a Modest Effect on Final Growth: A Report From the epi-IIRN

OBJECTIVES

The impact of pediatric-onset inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) on growth is debated. We aimed to investigate the effect of IBD on anthropometric measures at young adulthood.

METHODS

Children diagnosed with Crohn disease (CD) or ulcerative colitis (UC) (2005-2019) were identified in a national database along with matched non-IBD controls.

RESULTS

Overall, 2229 IBD cases (68% CD) were matched to 4338 controls. Only females with CD differed in final height from controls (z scores: -0.37 ± 1.09 vs -0.25 ± 1.06, respectively; P = 0.01), corresponding to a mean difference of 0.7 ± 0.2 cm (all females) and 1.2 ± 0.3 cm in females diagnosed <14 years (P = 0.02). Final height was reduced in both sexes according to adjusted mean height difference analysis (-0.43 cm, 95% confidence interval -0.85 to -0.02; P = 0.04). This difference increased in patients with CD who underwent abdominal surgery (-0.91 cm, 95% confidence interval -1.39 to -0.42; P = 0.01). The proportion of patients with CD achieving final height z scores of -1 and zero differed significantly from controls for both males (71.1% and 34.8% vs 79.1% and 43.0%, respectively; P < 0.001) and females (67.7% and 30.4% vs 79.6%, and 43.3%, respectively; P < 0.001). Patients treated with anti-tumor necrosis factor agents during growth potential had similar height improvement to other regimens. Predominantly, patients with CD were leaner, with a greater proportion of subjects with underweight, compared with controls.

CONCLUSIONS

In pediatric-onset IBD, absolute final height was modestly affected by females with CD. Nevertheless, greater proportions of both sexes with early diagnosis of CD failed to achieve normal final height, compared with controls.

Development and validation of a machine learning-based postpartum depression prediction model: A nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND

Currently, postpartum depression (PPD) screening is mainly based on self-report symptom-based assessment, with lack of an objective, integrative tool which identifies women at increased risk, before the emergent of PPD. We developed and validated a machine learning-based PPD prediction model utilizing electronic health record (EHR) data, and identified novel PPD predictors.

METHODS

A nationwide longitudinal cohort that included 214,359 births between January 2008 and December 2015, divided into model training and validation sets, was constructed utilizing Israel largest health maintenance organization's EHR-database. PPD was defined as new diagnosis of a depressive episode or antidepressant prescription within the first year postpartum. A gradient-boosted decision tree algorithm was applied to EHR-derived sociodemographic, clinical, and obstetric features.

RESULTS

Among the birth cohort, 1.9% (n = 4104) met the case definition of new-onset PPD. In the validation set, the prediction model achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.712 (95% confidence interval, 0.690-0.733), with a sensitivity of 0.349 and a specificity of 0.905 at the 90th percentile risk threshold, identifying PPDs at a rate more than three times higher than the overall set (positive and negative predictive values were 0.074 and 0.985, respectively). The model's strongest predictors included both well-recognized (e.g., past depression) and less-recognized (differing patterns of blood tests) PPD risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning-based models incorporating EHR-derived predictors, could augment symptom-based screening practice by identifying the high-risk population at greatest need for preventive intervention, before development of PPD.

LDL Cholesterol and Ischemic Stroke in Patients with Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation confers higher risk of ischemic stroke, but the contribution of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels to this risk remains unclear. We examined the association between LDL-C levels and incident stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation treated with direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs).

METHODS

This study was conducted using the electronic database of Clalit Health Services in Israel. Included were 21,229 patients with first-time diagnosis of nonvalvular atrial fibrillation treated with DOACs between 2010 and 2017. Patients were categorized into 4 groups according to the CHA₂DS₂-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years [doubled], type 2 diabetes, previous stroke or transient ischemic attack [doubled], vascular disease, age 65-74 years, and sex category) score (1-2, 3-4, 5-6, 7-9). Each group was further stratified to 4 sub-groups according to LDL-C levels (<70, 70-99, 100-130, >130 mg/dL). Ischemic stroke rates were compared among the 4 LDL-C subgroups of each CHA₂DS₂-VASc category.

RESULTS

During 56,467 person-years of follow-up, there were 2481 incidents of ischemic stroke. Higher CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was associated with significantly increased risk of ischemic stroke (17.5, 26.9, 46.3, 94.9 cases per 1000 person-years, for patients with CHA₂DS₂-VASc score of 1-2, 3-4, 5-6, and 7-9, respectively; P < .001). However, there was no association between LDL-C levels and incident ischemic stroke within each CHA₂DS₂-VASc score group, even following a multivariate adjustment. Subanalyses of patients with previous stroke and those treated with statins also failed to show any association between LDL-C levels and incident ischemic stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Unlike the general population, LDL-C levels were not associated with ischemic stroke risk among patients with atrial fibrillation treated with DOACs. The findings support the noninclusion of dyslipidemia in ischemic stroke risk stratification of patients with atrial fibrillation.

Incident gout and chronic Kidney Disease: healthcare utilization and survival

Background

Uncontrolled gout can cause significant joint and organ damage and has been associated with impairments in quality of life and high economic cost. Gout has also been associated with other comorbid diseases, such as chronic kidney disease. The current study explored if healthcare resource utilization (HRU) and survival differs between patients with incident gout in the presence or absence of chronic kidney disease (CKD).

Methods

Clalit Health Services (CHS) data were used to conduct a retrospective population-based cohort study of incident gout between 1/1/2006–31/12/2009. Incident cases of gout were identified and stratified by CKD status and by age group (< 55 and 55+ years). CKD status was defined as a pre-existing diagnosis of chronic kidney disease, chronic renal failure, kidney transplantation, or dialysis at index date. Demographic and clinical characteristics, as well as healthcare resource use, were reported.

Results

A total of 12,940 incident adult gout patients, with (n = 8286) and without (n = 4654) CKD, were followed for 55,206 person-years. Higher rates of HRU were observed for gout patients with CKD than without. Total annual hospital admissions for patients with gout and CKD were at least 3 times higher for adults < 55 (mean = 0.51 vs 0.13) and approximately 1.5 times higher for adults 55+ (mean = 0.46 vs 0.29) without CKD. Healthcare utilization rates from year 1 to year 5 remained similar for gout patients < 55 years irrespective of CKD status, however varied according to healthcare utilization by CKD status for gout patients 55+ years. The 5-year all-cause mortality was higher among those with CKD compared to those without CKD for both age groups (HR_{< 55 years} = 1.65; 95% CI 1.01–2.71; HR_{55+ years} = 1.50; 95% CI 1.37–1.65).

Conclusions

The current study suggests important differences exist in patient characteristics and outcomes among patients with gout and CKD. Healthcare utilization differed between sub-populations, age and comorbidities, over the study period and the 5-year mortality risk was higher for gout patients with CKD, regardless of age. Future work should explore factors associated with these outcomes and barriers to gout control in order to enhance patient management among this high-risk subgroup.

Development of a risk score for predicting the benefit versus harm of extending dual antiplatelet therapy beyond 6 months following percutaneous coronary intervention for stable coronary artery disease

Background

Decisions on dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) duration should balance the opposing risks of ischaemia and bleeding. Our aim was to develop a risk score to identify stable coronary artery disease (SCAD) patients undergoing PCI who would benefit or suffer from extending DAPT beyond 6 months.

Methods

Retrospective analysis of a cohort of patients who completed 6 months of DAPT following PCI. Predictors of ischaemic and bleeding events for the 6–12 month period post-PCI were identified and a risk score was developed to estimate the likelihood of benefiting from extending DAPT beyond 6 months. Incidence of mortality, ischaemic and bleeding events for patients treated with DAPT for 6 vs. 6–12 months, was compared, stratified by strata of the risk score.

Results

The study included 2,699 patients. Over 6 months’ follow up, there were 78 (2.9%) ischaemic and 43 (1.6%) bleeding events. Four variables (heart failure, left ventricular ejection fraction ≤30%, left main or three vessel CAD, status post (s/p) PCI and s/p stroke) predicted ischemic events, two variables (age>75, haemoglobin <10 g/dL) predicted bleeding. In the lower stratum of the risk score, 6–12 months of treatment with DAPT resulted in increased bleeding (p = 0.045) with no decrease in ischaemic events. In the upper stratum, 6–12 months DAPT was associated with reduced ischaemic events (p = 0.029), with no increase in bleeding.

Conclusion

In a population of SCAD patients who completed 6 months of DAPT, a risk score for subsequent ischaemic and bleeding events identified patients likely to benefit from continuing or stopping DAPT.

Population-based cohort of 500 patients with Gaucher disease in Israel

OBJECTIVE

To characterise a population-based cohort of patients with Gaucher disease (GD) in Israel relative to the general population and describe sociodemographic and clinical differences by disease severity (ie, enzyme replacement therapy [ERT] use).

DESIGN

A cross-sectional study was conducted.

SETTING

Data from the Clalit Health Services electronic health record (EHR) database were used.

PARTICIPANTS

The study population included all patients in the Clalit EHR database identified as having GD as of 30 June 2014.

RESULTS

A total of 500 patients with GD were identified and assessed. The majority were ≥18 years of age (90.6%), female (54.0%), Jewish (93.6%) and 34.8% had high socioeconomic status, compared with 19.0% in the general Clalit population. Over half of patients with GD with available data (51.0%) were overweight/obese and 63.5% had a Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥1, compared with 46.6% and 30.4%, respectively, in the general Clalit population. The majority of patients with GD had a history of anaemia (69.6%) or thrombocytopaenia (62.0%), 40.4% had a history of bone events and 22.2% had a history of cancer. Overall, 41.2% had received ERT.

CONCLUSIONS

Establishing a population-based cohort of patients with GD is essential to understanding disease progression and management. In this study, we highlight the need for physicians to monitor patients with GD regardless of their ERT status.

Association between exposure to desalinated sea water and ischemic heart disease, diabetes mellitus and colorectal cancer; A population-based study in Israel

BACKGROUND

Drinking water (DW) is an important dietary source of magnesium. Recently, Israel has increased its use of desalinated seawater (DSW) as DW country-wide. Its negligible magnesium content, however, raises concern that consumption of DSW may be associated with hypomagnesemia and increase the risk of ischemic heart disease (IHD), diabetes mellitus (DM), and colorectal cancer (CRC).

OBJECTIVES

We tested whether there was a change in incidence of negative health outcomes (IHD, DM, and CRC) following the introduction of DSW supply in a population-based ecologic study in Israel.

METHODS

A historical prospective analysis was applied to members aged 25-76 during 2004-2013 of Clalit Health Services (Clalit), the largest healthcare provider in Israel, using its electronic medical record database. Multivariable analyses were adjusted for age, sex, socioeconomic status, smoking status, and body mass index.

RESULTS

An increased odds ratio was found for IHD (0.96, 95% CI 0.93-0.99 at baseline and 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.11 at the end of the follow-up period), but no time trend was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that the risk for IHD increased during the study period. The risks for DM and CRC were unchanged. Long term studies are needed for assessing the risk for CRC due to the long latency. The higher risk for IHD has practical public health implications and raise the need to add magnesium to DSW.