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Choi HCW, Leung K, Chan KKL, Bai Y, Jit M, Wu JT. Maximizing the cost-effectiveness of cervical screening in the context of routine HPV vaccination by optimizing screening strategies with respect to vaccine uptake: a modeling analysis. BMC Med 2023; 21:48. [PMID: 36765349 PMCID: PMC9921628 DOI: 10.1186/s12916-023-02748-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/16/2022] [Accepted: 01/23/2023] [Indexed: 02/12/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Regarding primary and secondary cervical cancer prevention, the World Health Organization proposed the cervical cancer elimination strategy that requires countries to achieve 90% uptake of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines and 70% screening uptake. The optimal cervical screening strategy is likely different for unvaccinated and vaccinated cohorts upon national HPV immunization. However, health authorities typically only provide a one-size-fits-all recommendation for the general population. We aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness for determining the optimal screening strategies for vaccinated and unvaccinated cohorts. METHODS We considered the women population in Hong Kong which has a unique HPV infection and cervical cancer epidemiology compared to other regions in China and Asia. We used mathematical models which comprise a deterministic age-structured compartmental dynamic component and a stochastic individual-based cohort component to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of screening strategies for cervical screening. Following the recommendations in local guidelines in Hong Kong, we considered strategies that involved cytology, HPV testing, or co-testing as primary cervical screening. We also explored the impacts of adopting alternative de-intensified strategies for vaccinated cohorts. The 3-year cytology screening was used as the base comparator while no screening was also considered for vaccinated cohorts. Women's lifetime life years, quality-adjusted life years, and costs of screening and treatment were estimated from the societal perspective based on the year 2022 and were discounted by 3% annually. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were compared to a willingness to pay (WTP) threshold of one gross domestic product per capita (US $47,792). Probabilistic and one-way sensitivity analyses were conducted. RESULTS Among unvaccinated cohorts, the strategy that adds reflex HPV to triage mild cytology abnormality generated more life years saved than cytology-only screening and could be a cost-effective alternative. Among vaccinated cohorts, when vaccine uptake was 85% (based on the uptake in 2022), all guideline-based strategies (including the cytology-only screening) had ICERs above the WTP threshold when compared with no screening if the vaccine-induced protection duration was 20 years or longer. Under the same conditions, HPV testing with genotyping triage had ICERs (compared with no screening) below the WTP threshold if the routine screening interval was lengthened to 10 and 15 years or screening was initiated at ages 30 and 35 years. CONCLUSIONS HPV testing is a cost-effective alternative to cytology for vaccinated cohorts, and the associated optimal screening frequency depends on vaccine uptake. Health authorities should optimize screening recommendations by accounting for population vaccine uptake.
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Affiliation(s)
- Horace C W Choi
- School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Patrick Manson Building (North Wing), 7 Sassoon Road, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China. .,Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health Limited, Hong Kong Science Park, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.
| | - Kathy Leung
- School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Patrick Manson Building (North Wing), 7 Sassoon Road, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.,Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health Limited, Hong Kong Science Park, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
| | - Karen K L Chan
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
| | - Yuan Bai
- School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Patrick Manson Building (North Wing), 7 Sassoon Road, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.,Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health Limited, Hong Kong Science Park, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
| | - Mark Jit
- School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Patrick Manson Building (North Wing), 7 Sassoon Road, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.,Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.,Modelling and Economics Unit, Public Health England, London, UK
| | - Joseph T Wu
- School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Patrick Manson Building (North Wing), 7 Sassoon Road, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.,Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health Limited, Hong Kong Science Park, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
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Ng WT, But B, Choi HCW, de Bree R, Lee AWM, Lee VHF, López F, Mäkitie AA, Rodrigo JP, Saba NF, Tsang RKY, Ferlito A. Application of Artificial Intelligence for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Management - A Systematic Review. Cancer Manag Res 2022; 14:339-366. [PMID: 35115832 PMCID: PMC8801370 DOI: 10.2147/cmar.s341583] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2021] [Accepted: 12/25/2021] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is endemic to Eastern and South-Eastern Asia, and, in 2020, 77% of global cases were diagnosed in these regions. Apart from its distinct epidemiology, the natural behavior, treatment, and prognosis are different from other head and neck cancers. With the growing trend of artificial intelligence (AI), especially deep learning (DL), in head and neck cancer care, we sought to explore the unique clinical application and implementation direction of AI in the management of NPC. METHODS The search protocol was performed to collect publications using AI, machine learning (ML) and DL in NPC management from PubMed, Scopus and Embase. The articles were filtered using inclusion and exclusion criteria, and the quality of the papers was assessed. Data were extracted from the finalized articles. RESULTS A total of 78 articles were reviewed after removing duplicates and papers that did not meet the inclusion and exclusion criteria. After quality assessment, 60 papers were included in the current study. There were four main types of applications, which were auto-contouring, diagnosis, prognosis, and miscellaneous applications (especially on radiotherapy planning). The different forms of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) accounted for the majority of DL algorithms used, while the artificial neural network (ANN) was the most frequent ML model implemented. CONCLUSION There is an overall positive impact identified from AI implementation in the management of NPC. With improving AI algorithms, we envisage AI will be available as a routine application in a clinical setting soon.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wai Tong Ng
- Clinical Oncology Center, The University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen, People’s Republic of China
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Barton But
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Horace C W Choi
- Department of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Remco de Bree
- Department of Head and Neck Surgical Oncology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands
| | - Anne W M Lee
- Clinical Oncology Center, The University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen, People’s Republic of China
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Victor H F Lee
- Clinical Oncology Center, The University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen, People’s Republic of China
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Fernando López
- Department of Otolaryngology, Hospital Universitario Central de Asturias (HUCA), Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria del Principado de Asturias (ISPA), Instituto Universitario de Oncología del Principado de Asturias (IUOPA), University of Oviedo, Oviedo, 33011, Spain
- Spanish Biomedical Research Network Centre in Oncology, CIBERONC, Madrid, 28029, Spain
| | - Antti A Mäkitie
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, HUS Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
- Research Program in Systems Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
- Division of Ear, Nose and Throat Diseases, Department of Clinical Sciences, Intervention and Technology, Karolinska Institutet and Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Juan P Rodrigo
- Department of Otolaryngology, Hospital Universitario Central de Asturias (HUCA), Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria del Principado de Asturias (ISPA), Instituto Universitario de Oncología del Principado de Asturias (IUOPA), University of Oviedo, Oviedo, 33011, Spain
- Spanish Biomedical Research Network Centre in Oncology, CIBERONC, Madrid, 28029, Spain
| | - Nabil F Saba
- Department of Hematology and Medical Oncology, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Raymond K Y Tsang
- Division of Otorhinolaryngology, Department of Surgery, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, People's Republic of China
| | - Alfio Ferlito
- Coordinator of the International Head and Neck Scientific Group, Padua, Italy
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Corry J, Ng WT, Moore A, Choi HCW, Le Q, Holmes S, Munandar A, Wang S, Camacho A, Setakornnukul J, Jiarpinitnun C, Hiep PN, Laskar SG, Benjaafar N, Faheem M, Jin F, Ammar CNB, Ali R, Boualga K, Abdelwahab S, Sommat K, Tao Y, O'Sullivan B, Lee N, Zubizaretta E, Prajogi B, Hopkins K, Rosenblatt E, Lee AWM. Can Radiation Therapy Quality Assurance Improve Nasopharyngeal Cancer Outcomes in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: Reporting the First Phase of a Prospective International Atomic Energy Agency Study. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2021; 111:1227-1236. [PMID: 34418466 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijrobp.2021.08.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/12/2021] [Revised: 07/21/2021] [Accepted: 08/05/2021] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE Most new nasopharyngeal cancer cases occur in low-income and middle-income countries, and these patients experience poorer overall survival than that of new nasopharyngeal cancer cases in high-income countries. The goal of this research project is to determine whether the introduction of a radiation therapy quality assurance program can ultimately improve outcomes for nasopharyngeal cancer patients in lower-income and middle-income countries. This study reports the results of the first phase of the International Atomic Energy Agency Coordinated Research Project (325-E3-TM-47712). METHODS AND MATERIALS This prospective study has 2 phases. Phase 1 is a survey of radiation therapy resources, patient characteristics and treatment, and results of radiation therapy quality assurance performed by the expert panel. An educational workshop reviewing phase 1 results for each center was completed before accrual of patients for phase 2. The ultimate aim of the study is to compare the first and second cohort of patients to see if quality assurance can result in fewer major protocol deviations and a 15% improvement in patients' 3-year progression-free survival. RESULTS Of 14 participating centers, 13 (93%) had computed tomography simulators and linear accelerators (LINAC) with intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) capacity, median 3 LINAC (range, 1-13), and median 10 radiation oncologists (range, 5-51). The annual number of nasopharyngeal cancer cases irradiated was median 54 (range, 10-627). Five of 14 centers (36%) had no local radiation therapy quality assurance. For the current phase 1 study, 134 patients were evaluated, 82.1% had MRI staging, 99.3% had metastatic workup, 65.6% undifferentiated histology, 51% stage 3 and 49% stage 4. Radiation therapy quality assurance revealed 81 (60.4%) of 134 patients had major protocol violations in gross tumor volume and high dose planning target volume contours and/or dosimetry, 28.4% patients had borderline plans, 15 (11.2%) acceptable, and only 6 (4.2%) had inevitable compromise due to tumor extent. CONCLUSIONS This is the first International Atomic Energy Agency study to address the fundamental issue of treatment quality rather than altered treatment regimens. The high rate of unacceptable radiation therapy plans is a major concern, and we hope phase 2 will show a significant reduction and improved patient outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- June Corry
- Division of Radiation Oncology, GenesisCare Radiation Oncology, St. Vincent's Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; University Melbourne, Department of Medicine, Parkville, Australia.
| | - Wai Tong Ng
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong, China; Department of Clinical Oncology, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Alisha Moore
- Trans Tasman Radiation Oncology Group (TROG), University of Newcastle, Newcastle, Australia
| | - Horace C W Choi
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Quynh Le
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Stanford University, NRG Oncology and HNCIG, Stanford, California
| | - Sofee Holmes
- Trans Tasman Radiation Oncology Group (TROG), University of Newcastle, Newcastle, Australia
| | - Arie Munandar
- Cipto Mangunkusumo National General Hospital, Jl. Diponegoro, Indonesia
| | - Shengzi Wang
- Eye, Ear, Nose & Throat Hospital, Fudan University, Fenyang Road, Shanghai, China
| | | | | | | | - P N Hiep
- Oncology Center, Hue Central Hospital, Hue, Vietnam
| | | | | | | | - Feng Jin
- Guizhou Medical University Affiliated Hospital, Guiyang, China
| | | | - Rubina Ali
- Bahawalpur Institute of Nuclear Medicine and Oncology, Bahawalpur, Pakistan
| | - Kada Boualga
- Hôpital Frantz Fanon Centre Anti-Cancer, Blida, Algeria
| | | | - Kiattisa Sommat
- Division of Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Centre Singapore/Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore
| | - Yungan Tao
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Institut Gustave Roussy, Paris-Saclay University, Villejuif, France
| | - Brian O'Sullivan
- Department of Radiation Oncology, University of Toronto, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto, Canada
| | - Nancy Lee
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York City, New York
| | | | - Ben Prajogi
- International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna, Austria
| | | | | | - Anne W M Lee
- Department of Clinical Oncology, The University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital and the University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
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Ng WT, Soong YL, Ahn YC, AlHussain H, Choi HCW, Corry J, Grégoire V, Harrington KJ, Hu CS, Jensen K, Kwong DL, Langendijk JA, Le QT, Lee NY, Lin JC, Lu TX, Mendenhall WM, O'Sullivan B, Ozyar E, Pan JJ, Peters LJ, Poh SS, Rosenthal DI, Sanguineti G, Tao Y, Wee JT, Yom SS, Chua MLK, Lee AWM. International Recommendations on Reirradiation by Intensity Modulated Radiation Therapy for Locally Recurrent Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2021; 110:682-695. [PMID: 33571626 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijrobp.2021.01.041] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/19/2020] [Revised: 01/11/2021] [Accepted: 01/23/2021] [Indexed: 12/20/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE Reirradiation for locally recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is challenging because prior radiation dose delivered in the first course is often close to the tolerance limit of surrounding normal structures. A delicate balance between achieving local salvage and minimizing treatment toxicities is needed. However, high-level evidence is lacking because available reports are mostly retrospective studies on small series of patients. Pragmatic consensus guidelines, based on an extensive literature search and the pooling of opinions by leading specialists, will provide a useful reference to assist decision-making for these difficult decisions. METHODS AND MATERIALS A thorough review of available literature on recurrent NPC was conducted. A set of questions and preliminary draft guideline was circulated to a panel of international specialists with extensive experience in this field for voting on controversial areas and comments. A refined second proposal, based on a summary of the initial voting and different opinions expressed, was recirculated to the whole panel for review and reconsideration. The current guideline was based on majority voting after repeated iteration for final agreement. RESULTS The initial round of questions showed variations in clinical practice even among the specialists, reflecting the lack of high-quality supporting data and the difficulties in formulating clinical decisions. Through exchange of comments and iterative revisions, recommendations with high-to-moderate agreement were formulated on general treatment strategies and details of reirradiation (including patient selection, targets contouring, dose prescription, and constraints). CONCLUSION This paper provides useful reference on radical salvage treatment strategies for recurrent NPC and optimization of reirradiation through review of published evidence and consensus building. However, the final decision by the attending clinician must include full consideration of an individual patient's condition, understanding of the delicate balance between risk and benefits, and acceptance of risk of complications.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wai Tong Ng
- Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Yoke Lim Soong
- Division of Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Centre Singapore, Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore
| | - Yong Chan Ahn
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Hussain AlHussain
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Comprehensive Cancer Center, King Fahad Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Horace C W Choi
- Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - June Corry
- Radiation Oncology, GenesisCare, St. Vincent's Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Vincent Grégoire
- Center for Molecular Imaging, Oncology, and Radiotherapy, Université Catholique de Louvain, Brussels, Belgium, and Department of Radiation Oncology, Centre Léon Bérard, Lyon, France
| | - Kevin J Harrington
- Royal Marsden/Institute of Cancer Research National Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research Centre, London, United Kingdom
| | - Chao Su Hu
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai, China
| | - Kenneth Jensen
- Danish Center for Particle Therapy, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark
| | - Dora L Kwong
- Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong and Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong
| | - Johannes A Langendijk
- Department of Radiotherapy, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands
| | - Quynh Thu Le
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Stanford University, NRG Oncology and HNCIG, Stanford, California
| | - Nancy Y Lee
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, New York City, New York
| | - Jin Ching Lin
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Tai Xiang Lu
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Cancer Center of Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - William M Mendenhall
- Department of Radiation Oncology, University of Florida College of Medicine, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Brian O'Sullivan
- Department of Radiation Oncology, University of Toronto, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto, Canada
| | - Enis Ozyar
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Acibadem University School of Medicine, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Jian Ji Pan
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Fujian Cancer Hospital and Fujian Medical University Cancer Hospital, Fuzhou, China
| | - Lester J Peters
- Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Sharon S Poh
- Division of Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Centre Singapore, Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore
| | - David I Rosenthal
- Department of Radiation Oncology, University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas
| | - Giuseppe Sanguineti
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Regina Elena National Cancer Institute, Rome, Italy
| | - Yungan Tao
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Institut Gustave Roussy, Paris-Saclay University, Villejuif, France
| | - Joseph T Wee
- Division of Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Centre Singapore, Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore
| | - Sue S Yom
- Department of Radiation Oncology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California
| | - Melvin L K Chua
- Division of Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Centre Singapore, Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore
| | - Anne W M Lee
- Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong Shenzhen Hospital and University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
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Lee SF, Choi HCW, Chan SK, Lam KO, Lee VHF, Wong IOL, Chiang CL. Cost-Effectiveness of Anti-Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor Therapy Versus Bevacizumab in KRAS Wild-Type (WT), Pan-RAS WT, and Pan-RAS WT Left-Sided Metastatic Colorectal Cancer. Front Oncol 2021; 11:651299. [PMID: 34012917 PMCID: PMC8127841 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.651299] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2021] [Accepted: 03/25/2021] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Objectives We aimed to compare the economic value of chemotherapy plus anti-epidermal growth factor receptor (anti-EGFR) monoclonal antibody (mAb) against chemotherapy with bevacizumab (Bev, an anti-vascular endothelial growth factor mAb) as first-line treatment in KRAS wild-type (WT), pan-RAS WT and pan-RAS WT left-sided metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients from the Hong Kong societal perspective. Materials and Methods We developed Markov models and 10-year horizon to estimate costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of chemotherapy plus anti-EGFR therapy against chemotherapy plus Bev in KRAS WT, pan-RAS WT, and pan-RAS WT left-sided mCRC. We considered two times of the local gross domestic product per capita (GDPpc) as the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold (2× GDPpc; US$97,832). Results Adding anti-EGFR mAb to chemotherapy provides additional 0.24 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.19-0.29), 0.32 (95% CI 0.27-0.37), and 0.57 (95% CI 0.49-0.63) QALY compared to adding Bev in KRAS WT, pan-RAS WT, and left-sided pan-RAS WT mCRC populations respectively. The corresponding ICER is US$106,847 (95% CI 87,806-134,523), US$88,565 (95% CI 75,678-105,871), US$76,537 (95% CI 67,794-87,917) per QALY gained, respectively. Conclusions Anti-EGFR therapy is more cost-effective than Bev as a first-line targeted therapy in left-sided pan-RAS WT and pan-RAS WT, with ICER <US$100,000/QALY, compared to KRAS WT mCRC population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shing Fung Lee
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Tuen Mun Hospital, New Territories West Cluster, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Horace C W Choi
- Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Sik Kwan Chan
- Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Ka On Lam
- Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong.,Clinical Oncology Center, The University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen, China
| | - Victor H F Lee
- Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong.,Clinical Oncology Center, The University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen, China
| | - Irene O L Wong
- School of Public Health, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Chi Leung Chiang
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Tuen Mun Hospital, New Territories West Cluster, Hong Kong, Hong Kong.,Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong.,Clinical Oncology Center, The University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen, China
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Phua LC, Choi HCW, Wu J, Jit M, Low J, Ng K, Pearce F, Hall C, Abdul Aziz MI. Cost-effectiveness analysis of the nonavalent human papillomavirus vaccine for the prevention of cervical cancer in Singapore. Vaccine 2021; 39:2255-2263. [PMID: 33744050 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.03.040] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/17/2020] [Revised: 03/05/2021] [Accepted: 03/08/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The nonavalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine has been shown to extend protection against oncogenic HPV types 31/33/45/52/58 (HPV-OV) not covered by the bivalent and quadrivalent HPV vaccines. Besides its clinical benefit, evidence on the economic value of the nonavalent vaccine is required to inform local vaccination strategies and funding decisions. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of replacing the bivalent vaccine with the nonavalent vaccine in the national school-based HPV vaccination programme in Singapore. METHODS An existing age-structured dynamic transmission model coupled with stochastic individual-based simulations was adapted to project the health and economic impact of vaccinating 13-year-old girls with two doses of the nonavalent or bivalent HPV vaccines in Singapore. Direct costs (in Singapore dollars, S$) were obtained from public healthcare institutions in Singapore, while health state utilities were sourced from the literature. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were estimated over a lifetime horizon, from a healthcare system perspective. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed to obtain the ICERs and corresponding variations across variable uncertainty. Particularly, this study tested the scenarios of lifelong and 20-year vaccine-induced protection, assumed 96.0% and 22.3% cross-protection against HPV-OV by nonavalent and bivalent vaccines respectively, and fixed vaccine prices per dose at S$188 for nonavalent and S$61.50 for bivalent vaccines. RESULTS Compared with the bivalent vaccine, the use of the nonavalent vaccine was associated with an ICER of S$61,629 per quality-adjusted life year gained in the base case. The result was robust across a range of plausible input values, and to assumptions regarding the duration of vaccine protection. CONCLUSION Given the high ICER, the nonavalent vaccine is unlikely to represent a cost-effective option compared with the bivalent vaccine for school-based HPV vaccination of 13-year old female students in Singapore. Substantial price reductions would be required to justify its inclusion in the school-based programme in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lee Cheng Phua
- Agency for Care Effectiveness, Ministry of Health, Singapore
| | - Horace C W Choi
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Joseph Wu
- Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health (D24H), Hong Kong Science Park, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region; WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong.
| | - Mark Jit
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Jeffrey Low
- Gynaecologic Oncology, National University Cancer Institute, National University Hospital, Singapore
| | - Kwong Ng
- Agency for Care Effectiveness, Ministry of Health, Singapore
| | - Fiona Pearce
- Agency for Care Effectiveness, Ministry of Health, Singapore
| | - Cameron Hall
- Agency for Care Effectiveness, Ministry of Health, Singapore
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7
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Sung WWY, Choi HCW, Luk PHY, So TH. A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Systemic Therapy for Metastatic Hormone-Sensitive Prostate Cancer. Front Oncol 2021; 11:627083. [PMID: 33718198 PMCID: PMC7943717 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.627083] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/08/2020] [Accepted: 01/12/2021] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Currently, approved first-line treatment options of metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) include (1) androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) alone, ADT plus one of the following: (2) docetaxel, (3) abiraterone, (4) enzalutamide, and (5) apalutamide. The high cost of novel androgen receptor pathway inhibitors warrants an understanding of the combinations’ value by considering both efficacy and cost. Objective This study aimed to compare the cost-effectiveness of these five treatment options in mHSPC from the US payer perspective to guide treatment sequence. Methods A Markov model was developed to compare the lifetime cost and effectiveness of these five first-line treatment options for mHSPC using outcomes data from published literature. Health outcomes were measured in life-years and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Drug costs were obtained from the Veterans Affairs Pharmaceutical Catalog. We extrapolated survival beyond closure of the trials. Outcome Measurements and Statistical Analysis Life-years, QALYs, lifetime costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were estimated. Univariable, 2-way, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate parameter uncertainty. A willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of US$100,000 per QALY was used. Results Compared to ADT alone, docetaxel plus ADT provided a 0.28 QALY gain at an ICER of US$12,870 per QALY. Abiraterone plus ADT provided an additional 1.70 QALYs against docetaxel plus ADT, with an ICER of US$38,897 per QALY. Compared to abiraterone plus ADT, enzalutamide plus ADT provided an additional 0.87 QALYs at an ICER of US$509,813 per QALY. Apalutamide plus ADT was strongly dominated by enzalutamide plus ADT. Given the WTP threshold of US$100,000 per QALY, abiraterone plus ADT represented high-value health care. Conclusions Abiraterone plus ADT is the preferred treatment option for men with mHSPC at a WTP threshold of US$100,000 per QALY.
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Affiliation(s)
- Winnie W Y Sung
- Clinical Excellence Research Center, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, United States.,Department of Clinical Oncology, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Horace C W Choi
- Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Peter H Y Luk
- Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Tsz Him So
- Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
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8
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Lee AWM, Ngan RKC, Ng WT, Tung SY, Cheng AAC, Kwong DLW, Lu TX, Chan ATC, Sze HCK, Yiu HHY, Wong FCS, Yuen KT, Chappell R, Choi HCW. NPC-0501 trial on the value of changing chemoradiotherapy sequence, replacing 5-fluorouracil with capecitabine, and altering fractionation for patients with advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Cancer 2020; 126:3674-3688. [PMID: 32497261 DOI: 10.1002/cncr.32972] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/09/2019] [Revised: 01/09/2020] [Accepted: 02/03/2020] [Indexed: 12/08/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND A current recommendation for the treatment of patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is conventional fractionated radiotherapy (RT) with concurrent cisplatin followed by adjuvant cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil (PF). This randomized NPC-0501 trial evaluated the therapeutic effect of changing to an induction-concurrent sequence or accelerated-fractionation sequence, and/or replacing 5-fluorouracil with capecitabine (X). METHODS Patients with American Joint Committee on Cancer/International Union Against Cancer stage III to stage IVB NPC initially were randomly allocated to 1 of 6 treatment arms (6-arm full-randomization cohort). The protocol was amended in 2009 to permit centers to opt out of randomization regarding fractionation (3-arm chemotherapy cohort). RESULTS A total of 803 patients were accrued (1 of whom was nonevaluable) from 2006 to 2012. Based on the overall comparisons, neither changing the chemotherapy sequence nor accelerated fractionation improved treatment outcome. However, secondary analyses demonstrated that when adjusted for RT parameters and other significant factors, the induction-concurrent sequence, especially the induction-PX regimen, achieved significant improvements in progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival. Efficacy varied among different RT groups: although no impact was observed in the accelerated-fractionation group and the 3-arm chemotherapy cohort, a comparison of the induction-concurrent versus concurrent-adjuvant sequence in the conventional-fractionation group demonstrated a significant benefit in PFS (78% vs 62% at 5 years; P = .015) and a marginal benefit in overall survival (84% vs 72%; P = .042) after adjusting for multiple comparisons. Comparison of the induction-PX versus the adjuvant-PF regimen demonstrated better PFS (78% vs 62%; P = .027) without an increase in overall late toxicity. CONCLUSIONS For patients irradiated using conventional fractionation, changing the chemotherapy sequence from a concurrent-adjuvant to an induction-concurrent sequence, particularly using induction cisplatin and capecitabine, potentially could improve efficacy without an adverse impact on late toxicity. However, further validation is needed for confirmation of these findings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anne W M Lee
- Department of Clinical Oncology, The University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital, Guangdong, China.,Department of Clinical Oncology, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Roger K C Ngan
- Department of Clinical Oncology, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong.,Department of Clinical Oncology, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Wai-Tong Ng
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Stewart Y Tung
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Tuen Mun Hospital, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Ashley A C Cheng
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Princess Margaret Hospital, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Dora L W Kwong
- Department of Clinical Oncology, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong.,Department of Clinical Oncology, Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Tai-Xiang Lu
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China
| | - Anthony T C Chan
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Prince of Wales Hospital, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Henry C K Sze
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Harry H Y Yiu
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Frank C S Wong
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Tuen Mun Hospital, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Kam-Tong Yuen
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Princess Margaret Hospital, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Rick Chappell
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Wisconsin Medical School, Madison, Wisconsin, USA
| | - Horace C W Choi
- Department of Clinical Oncology, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
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9
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Choi HCW, Lam KO, Pang HHM, Tsang SKC, Ngan RKC, Lee AWM. Global comparison of cancer outcomes: standardization and correlation with healthcare expenditures. BMC Public Health 2019; 19:1065. [PMID: 31391013 PMCID: PMC6686500 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-019-7384-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/26/2019] [Accepted: 07/26/2019] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Cancer outcomes vary widely among different countries. However, comparisons of cost-effectiveness and cost-efficiency of different systems are complex because the incidences of different cancers vary across countries and their chances of cure also differ substantially. We aim to propose a new standardized method for global comparison and to explore its relationship with economic indicators. Methods Cancer statistics from all 184 countries and 27 cancers listed in GLOBOCAN 2012 were analyzed. The complement of age-standardized mortality/incidence ratio [1 – (ASM/ASI)] was taken as the proxy relative survival (RS). Accounting for various country-specific cancer patterns, the cancer site-standardized proxy RS (proxy SS-RS) of individual countries were calculated by weighting the proportion of specific cancer sites as compared with the global pattern of incidence. Economic indicators of different countries listed by the World Bank were correlated with corresponding proxy SS-RS. Results Substantial variation in site-specific survival and new case distribution supported the use of proxy SS-RS, which ranged from 0.124 to 0.622 (median 0.359). The median total health expenditure per capita (HEpc) increased from US$44 for countries with proxy SS-RS < 0.25, to US$4643 for countries with proxy SS-RS ≥0.55. Results from logarithmic regression model showed exponential increase in total HEpc for better outcome. The expenditure varied widely among different strata, with the widest difference observed among countries with SS-RS ≥0.55 (total HEpc US$1412–$9361). Conclusions Similar to age-standardization, cancer site-standardization adjusted for variation in pattern of cancer incidence provides the best available and feasible strategies for comparing cancer survivals across countries globally. Furthermore, cancer outcome correlated significantly with economic indicators and the amount of HEpc escalated exponentially. Our findings call for more in-depth studies applying cancer-site standardization to provide essential data for sharing of experience and urgent actions by policy makers to develop comprehensive and financially sustainable cancer plan for greater equity. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1186/s12889-019-7384-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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Affiliation(s)
- Horace C W Choi
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Ka-On Lam
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China. .,Clinical Oncology Center, The University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen, China.
| | - Herbert H M Pang
- School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Steven K C Tsang
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Roger K C Ngan
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Anne W M Lee
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.,Clinical Oncology Center, The University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen, China
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10
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Chiang CL, So TH, Lam TC, Choi HCW. Cost-effectiveness analysis of Abiraterone Acetate versus Docetaxel in the management of metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer: Hong Kong's perspective. Prostate Cancer Prostatic Dis 2019; 23:108-115. [PMID: 31273290 DOI: 10.1038/s41391-019-0161-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/27/2019] [Revised: 05/06/2019] [Accepted: 05/09/2019] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Several randomized control trials (RCTs) have showed that adding either abiraterone acetate (AA) or docetaxel (D) to androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT) improves survival of metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer patients (mCSPC). Yet, the cost-effectiveness of these treatment options has not been fully compared under Hong Kong's setting. This cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) serves as the first study in Hong Kong to compare the economic value of these two combinations ADT + AA vs. ADT + D. METHODS A deterministic Markov model is used to project cost-effectiveness of each treatment until death. Survival curves for progression/death were extracted and digitized from the five RCTs (CHAARTED, LATITUDE, two STAMPEDE (2016/2017), and GETUG-AFU15). Clinically significant adverse events (AEs) were modeled; utility values were obtained from the literature. Primary outcomes were the quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). We used the societal perspective from Hong Kong and considered three times of local gross domestic product per capita (GDPpc) as the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold (i.e., US$138,649). We estimated the break-even cost of AA in case ADT + AA is not a cost-effective strategy under this WTP threshold. While considering the standard AA dosage (1000 mg) as the main analysis, we also examined the potential impact of the low-dose AA (250 mg) strategy. RESULTS Integrating simulations with probabilistic sensitivity analysis, ADT + D returns 0.79 (median; 95% credible interval 0.56-0.97) QALY with an ICER of US$14,397/QALY ($7824-22,632) compared to ADT-alone. A head-to-head comparison indicates that ADT + AA further gains 0.79 (0.45-1.17) QALY but with an ICER of $361,439/QALY ($260,615-599,683) when compared to ADT + D. Considering three times of GDPpc as WTP threshold, ADT + D is more cost-effective in all simulations; while ADT + AA is more cost-effective than ADT + D only if the cost of AA is reduced by at least 63%. The low-dose AA (250 mg) strategy is potentially cost-effective when it generates equivalent efficacy as the standard dosage (1000 mg). CONCLUSIONS ADT + D is therefore shown to be a more cost-effective strategy than ADT + AA in metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer patients in developed economies. Addition of AA substantially improved QALY compared to D but at a significant cost.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chi Leung Chiang
- Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.,Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong - Shenzhen Hospital, Hong Kong, China
| | - Tsz Him So
- Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.,Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong - Shenzhen Hospital, Hong Kong, China
| | - Tai Chung Lam
- Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.,Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong - Shenzhen Hospital, Hong Kong, China
| | - Horace C W Choi
- Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
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11
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Choi HCW, Jit M, Leung GM, Tsui KL, Wu JT. Simultaneously characterizing the comparative economics of routine female adolescent nonavalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination and assortativity of sexual mixing in Hong Kong Chinese: a modeling analysis. BMC Med 2018; 16:127. [PMID: 30115065 PMCID: PMC6097427 DOI: 10.1186/s12916-018-1118-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/21/2018] [Accepted: 07/04/2018] [Indexed: 01/07/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although routine vaccination of females before sexual debut against human papillomavirus (HPV) has been found to be cost-effective around the world, its cost-benefit has rarely been examined. We evaluate both the cost-effectiveness and cost-benefit of routine female adolescent nonavalent HPV vaccination in Hong Kong to guide its policy, and by extension that of mainland China, on HPV vaccination. One major obstacle is the lack of data on assortativity of sexual mixing. Such difficulty could be overcome by inferring sexual mixing parameters from HPV epidemiologic data. METHODS We use an age-structured transmission model coupled with stochastic individual-based simulations to estimate the health and economic impact of routine nonavalent HPV vaccination for girls at age 12 on cervical cancer burden and consider vaccine uptake at 25%, 50%, and 75% with at least 20 years of vaccine protection. Bayesian inference was employed to parameterize the model using local data on HPV prevalence and cervical cancer incidence. We use the human capital approach in the cost-benefit analysis (CBA) and GDP per capita as the indicative willingness-to-pay threshold in the cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA). Finally, we estimate the threshold vaccine cost (TVC), which is the maximum cost for fully vaccinating one girl at which routine female adolescent nonavalent HPV vaccination is cost-beneficial or cost-effective. RESULTS As vaccine uptake increased, TVC decreased (i.e., economically more stringent) in the CBA but increased in the CEA. When vaccine uptake was 75% and the vaccine provided only 20 years of protection, the TVC was US$444 ($373-506) and $689 ($646-734) in the CBA and CEA, respectively, increasing by approximately 2-4% if vaccine protection was assumed lifelong. TVC is likely to be far higher when non-cervical diseases are included. The inferred sexual mixing parameters suggest that sexual mixing in Hong Kong is highly assortative by both age and sexual activity level. CONCLUSIONS Routine HPV vaccination of 12-year-old females is highly likely to be cost-beneficial and cost-effective in Hong Kong. Inference of sexual mixing parameters from epidemiologic data of prevalent sexually transmitted diseases (i.e., HPV, chlamydia, etc.) is a potentially fruitful but largely untapped methodology for understanding sexual behaviors in the population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Horace C W Choi
- WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, 1/F North Wing, Patrick Manson Building, 7 Sassoon Road, Pok Fu Lam, Hong Kong.,Department of Systems Engineering and Engineering Management, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong.,Department of Clinical Oncology, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Pok Fu Lam, Hong Kong
| | - Mark Jit
- WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, 1/F North Wing, Patrick Manson Building, 7 Sassoon Road, Pok Fu Lam, Hong Kong.,Modelling and Economics Unit, Public Health England, London, UK.,Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Gabriel M Leung
- WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, 1/F North Wing, Patrick Manson Building, 7 Sassoon Road, Pok Fu Lam, Hong Kong
| | - Kwok-Leung Tsui
- Department of Systems Engineering and Engineering Management, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong
| | - Joseph T Wu
- WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, 1/F North Wing, Patrick Manson Building, 7 Sassoon Road, Pok Fu Lam, Hong Kong.
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12
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Ho CHM, Chiang CL, Lee FAS, Choi HCW, Chan JCH, Yeung CSY, Huang JJ, Chan MKH, Blanck O, Wong FCS. Comparison of platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI), and child-pugh (CP) score for predicting of survival in advanced hcc patients receiving radiotherapy (RT). Oncotarget 2018; 9:28818-28829. [PMID: 29988960 PMCID: PMC6034750 DOI: 10.18632/oncotarget.25522] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/06/2018] [Accepted: 05/12/2018] [Indexed: 01/27/2023] Open
Abstract
Purpose This work evaluated the prognostic performance of Child-Pugh (CP), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) and platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) scores in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing radiotherapy (RT). Results The study included 174 consecutive patients with 63% at CP A5 (n = 110) and 34% at CP A6 (n = 64). The median ALBI score was −2.39 (range: −3.61 to −1.41) with 34.5% at grade A1 (n = 60) and 65.5% at grade A2 (n = 114). The median PALBI score was −2.39 (range −3.39 to −1.24) with 33.3% at grade 1 (n = 58), 41.4% at grade 2 (n = 72) and 25.3% at grade 3 (n = 44). With a median follow-up of 21.7 months, the median OS of the entire cohort was 22.2 months. OS was significantly associated with the PALBI grade (p = 0.002) and for the ALBI grade (p = 0.00495), but not for the CP score (p = 0.46). The PALBI grade has a significantly higher AUC compared than the ALBI grade or CP scores in predicting OS. The PALBI grade was predictive of CP score decline ≥2 (20% grade 3 vs. 5.3% grade 1/2 p = 0.05) but the ALBI and CP scores were not. Conclusion Among CP A HCC patients receiving radiotherapy, the PALBI and ALBI grade maybe a better prognostic tool than the CP score. The role of PALBI in predicting liver toxicity warranted further exploration. Methods We retrospectively reviewed HCC patients treated with individualized hypo-fractionated radiotherapy (IHRT) using stereotactic technique from 2006 to 2015. We collected CP, ALBI and PALBI scores prior to treatment and analyzed their correlation with overall survival (OS) and liver toxicity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Connie H M Ho
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Tuen Mun Hospital, Hong Kong (SAR), China
| | - Chi-Leung Chiang
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Tuen Mun Hospital, Hong Kong (SAR), China.,Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong (SAR), China.,University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital, Hong Kong, China
| | - Francis A S Lee
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Tuen Mun Hospital, Hong Kong (SAR), China
| | - Horace C W Choi
- Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong (SAR), China
| | - Jeffery C H Chan
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Hong Kong (SAR), China
| | - Cynthia S Y Yeung
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Tuen Mun Hospital, Hong Kong (SAR), China
| | - J J Huang
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Tuen Mun Hospital, Hong Kong (SAR), China
| | - Mark K H Chan
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Universitatsklinikum Schleswig-Holstein Campus Kiel, Kiel, Germany.,Department of Radiation Physics, Imperial College NHS Healthcare, Charing Cross Hospital, UK, London
| | - Oliver Blanck
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Universitatsklinikum Schleswig-Holstein Campus Kiel, Kiel, Germany
| | - Frank C S Wong
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Tuen Mun Hospital, Hong Kong (SAR), China
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13
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Lee AWM, Tung SY, Ng WT, Lee V, Ngan RKC, Choi HCW, Chan LLK, Siu LL, Ng AWY, Leung TW, Yiu HHY, O'Sullivan B, Chappell R. A multicenter, phase 3, randomized trial of concurrent chemoradiotherapy plus adjuvant chemotherapy versus radiotherapy alone in patients with regionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma: 10-year outcomes for efficacy and toxicity. Cancer 2017; 123:4147-4157. [PMID: 28662313 DOI: 10.1002/cncr.30850] [Citation(s) in RCA: 53] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2017] [Revised: 05/24/2017] [Accepted: 05/25/2017] [Indexed: 11/07/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Anne W. M. Lee
- Department of Clinical Oncology; University of Hong Kong and University of Hong Kong Shenzhen Hospital; Hong Kong China
| | | | - Wai Tong Ng
- Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital; Hong Kong China
| | - Victor Lee
- Department of Clinical Oncology; University of Hong Kong and University of Hong Kong Shenzhen Hospital; Hong Kong China
| | | | - Horace C. W. Choi
- Department of Clinical Oncology; University of Hong Kong and University of Hong Kong Shenzhen Hospital; Hong Kong China
| | | | - Lillian L. Siu
- Ontario Cancer Institute; Princess Margaret Cancer Centre; Toronto Ontario Canada
| | | | | | | | - Brian O'Sullivan
- Ontario Cancer Institute; Princess Margaret Cancer Centre; Toronto Ontario Canada
| | - Rick Chappell
- Department of Biostatistics; University of Wisconsin Medical School; Madison Wisconsin
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14
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Pan JJ, Ng WT, Zong JF, Lee SWM, Choi HCW, Chan LLK, Lin SJ, Guo QJ, Sze HCK, Chen YB, Xiao YP, Kan WK, O'Sullivan B, Xu W, Le QT, Glastonbury CM, Colevas AD, Weber RS, Lydiatt W, Shah JP, Lee AWM. Prognostic nomogram for refining the prognostication of the proposed 8th edition of the AJCC/UICC staging system for nasopharyngeal cancer in the era of intensity-modulated radiotherapy. Cancer 2016; 122:3307-3315. [PMID: 27434142 DOI: 10.1002/cncr.30198] [Citation(s) in RCA: 109] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/19/2016] [Revised: 06/12/2016] [Accepted: 06/20/2016] [Indexed: 12/26/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The objective of this study was to develop a nomogram for refining prognostication for patients with nondisseminated nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) staged with the proposed 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC)/Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) staging system. METHODS Consecutive patients who had been investigated with magnetic resonance imaging, staged with the proposed 8th edition of the AJCC/UICC staging system, and irradiated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy from June 2005 to December 2010 were analyzed. A cohort of 1197 patients treated at Fujian Provincial Cancer Hospital was used as the training set, and the results were validated with 412 patients from Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital. Cox regression analyses were performed to identify significant prognostic factors for developing a nomogram to predict overall survival (OS). The discriminative ability was assessed with the concordance index (c-index). A recursive partitioning algorithm was applied to the survival scores of the combined set to categorize the patients into 3 risk groups. RESULTS A multivariate analysis showed that age, gross primary tumor volume, and lactate dehydrogenase were independent prognostic factors for OS in addition to the stage group. The OS nomogram based on all these factors had a statistically higher bias-corrected c-index than prognostication based on the stage group alone (0.712 vs 0.622, P <.01). These results were consistent for both the training cohort and the validation cohort. Patients with <135 points were categorized as low-risk, patients with 135 to <160 points were categorized as intermediate-risk, and patients with ≥160 points were categorized as high-risk. Their 5-year OS rates were 92%, 84%, and 58%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS The proposed nomogram could improve prognostication in comparison with the TNM stage group. This could aid in risk stratification for individual NPC patients. Cancer 2016;122:3307-3315. © 2016 American Cancer Society.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jian Ji Pan
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Fujian Provincial Cancer Hospital, Provincial Clinical College of Fujian Medical University, Fujian, China.,Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Translational Cancer Medicine, Fujian, China
| | - Wai Tong Ng
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong, China
| | - Jing Feng Zong
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Fujian Provincial Cancer Hospital, Provincial Clinical College of Fujian Medical University, Fujian, China.,Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Translational Cancer Medicine, Fujian, China
| | - Sarah W M Lee
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong, China
| | - Horace C W Choi
- Department of Systems Engineering and Engineering Management, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Lucy L K Chan
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong, China
| | - Shao Jun Lin
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Fujian Provincial Cancer Hospital, Provincial Clinical College of Fujian Medical University, Fujian, China.,Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Translational Cancer Medicine, Fujian, China
| | - Qiao Juan Guo
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Fujian Provincial Cancer Hospital, Provincial Clinical College of Fujian Medical University, Fujian, China.,Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Translational Cancer Medicine, Fujian, China
| | - Henry C K Sze
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong, China
| | - Yun Bin Chen
- Department of Radiology, Fujian Provincial Cancer Hospital, Provincial Clinical College of Fujian Medical University, Fujian, China
| | - You Ping Xiao
- Department of Radiology, Fujian Provincial Cancer Hospital, Provincial Clinical College of Fujian Medical University, Fujian, China
| | - Wai Kuen Kan
- Department of Diagnostic Radiology, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong, China
| | - Brian O'Sullivan
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre/University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Wei Xu
- Department of Biostatistics, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Quynh Thu Le
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Stanford University, Stanford, California
| | - Christine M Glastonbury
- Department of Clinical Radiology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California
| | - A Dimitrios Colevas
- Department of Medicine (Oncology), Stanford Cancer Institute, Stanford University, Stanford, California
| | - Randal S Weber
- Department of Head and Neck Surgery, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas
| | - William Lydiatt
- Department of Otolaryngology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, Nebraska
| | - Jatin P Shah
- Department of Head and Neck Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York
| | - Anne W M Lee
- Department of Clinical Oncology, University of Hong Kong/University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital, Hong Kong, China.
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Pan JJ, Ng WT, Zong JF, Chan LLK, O'Sullivan B, Lin SJ, Sze HCK, Chen YB, Choi HCW, Guo QJ, Kan WK, Xiao YP, Wei X, Le QT, Glastonbury CM, Colevas AD, Weber RS, Shah JP, Lee AWM. Proposal for the 8th edition of the AJCC/UICC staging system for nasopharyngeal cancer in the era of intensity-modulated radiotherapy. Cancer 2015; 122:546-58. [PMID: 26588425 DOI: 10.1002/cncr.29795] [Citation(s) in RCA: 222] [Impact Index Per Article: 24.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/23/2015] [Revised: 10/11/2015] [Accepted: 10/26/2015] [Indexed: 01/31/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND An accurate staging system is crucial for cancer management. Evaluations for continual suitability and improvement are needed as staging and treatment methods evolve. METHODS This was a retrospective study of 1609 patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma investigated by magnetic resonance imaging, staged with the 7th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC)/International Union Against Cancer (UICC) staging system, and irradiated by intensity-modulated radiotherapy at 2 centers in Hong Kong and mainland China. RESULTS Among the patients without other T3/T4 involvement, there were no significant differences in overall survival (OS) between medial pterygoid muscle (MP) ± lateral pterygoid muscle (LP), prevertebral muscle, and parapharyngeal space involvement. Patients with extensive soft tissue involvement beyond the aforementioned structures had poor OS similar to that of patients with intracranial extension and/or cranial nerve palsy. Only 2% of the patients had lymph nodes > 6 cm above the supraclavicular fossa (SCF), and their outcomes resembled the outcomes of those with low extension. Replacing SCF with the lower neck (extension below the caudal border of the cricoid cartilage) did not affect the hazard distinction between different N categories. With the proposed T and N categories, there were no significant differences in outcome between T4N0-2 and T1-4N3 disease. CONCLUSIONS After a review by AJCC/UICC preparatory committees, the changes recommended for the 8th edition include changing MP/LP involvement from T4 to T2, adding prevertebral muscle involvement as T2, replacing SCF with the lower neck and merging this with a maximum nodal diameter > 6 cm as N3, and merging T4 and N3 as stage IVA criteria. These changes will lead not only to a better distinction of hazards between adjacent stages/categories but also to optimal balance in clinical practicability and global applicability.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jian Ji Pan
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Fujian Provincial Cancer Hospital, Provincial Clinical College of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.,Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Translational Cancer Medicine, Fuzhou, China
| | - Wai Tong Ng
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong, China
| | - Jing Feng Zong
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Fujian Provincial Cancer Hospital, Provincial Clinical College of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.,Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Translational Cancer Medicine, Fuzhou, China
| | - Lucy L K Chan
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong, China
| | - Brian O'Sullivan
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
| | - Shao Jun Lin
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Fujian Provincial Cancer Hospital, Provincial Clinical College of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.,Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Translational Cancer Medicine, Fuzhou, China
| | - Henry C K Sze
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong, China
| | - Yun Bin Chen
- Department of Radiology, Fujian Provincial Cancer Hospital, Provincial Clinical College of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Horace C W Choi
- Department of Systems Engineering and Engineering Management, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Qiao Juan Guo
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Fujian Provincial Cancer Hospital, Provincial Clinical College of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.,Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Translational Cancer Medicine, Fuzhou, China
| | - Wai Kuen Kan
- Department of Diagnostic Radiology, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong, China
| | - You Ping Xiao
- Department of Radiology, Fujian Provincial Cancer Hospital, Provincial Clinical College of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Xu Wei
- Department of Biostatistics, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
| | - Quynh Thu Le
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Stanford University, Stanford, California
| | | | - A Dimitrios Colevas
- Department of Medicine (Oncology), Stanford Cancer Institute, Stanford University, Stanford, California
| | - Randal S Weber
- Department of Head and Neck Surgery, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas
| | - Jatin P Shah
- Department of Head and Neck Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York
| | - Anne W M Lee
- Clinical Oncology Center, University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen, China
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Choi HCW, Leung GM, Woo PPS, Jit M, Wu JT. Acceptability and uptake of female adolescent HPV vaccination in Hong Kong: a survey of mothers and adolescents. Vaccine 2013; 32:78-84. [PMID: 24188759 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2013.10.068] [Citation(s) in RCA: 43] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/05/2013] [Revised: 10/14/2013] [Accepted: 10/22/2013] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Organized population-based HPV vaccination programs can be effective in reducing the burden of cervical cancer, especially in the absence of a comprehensive cervical screening program (e.g. Hong Kong). Assessment of vaccine acceptability is important when evaluating the feasibility and cost-effectiveness of such vaccination programs. METHODS To provide a more representative and updated assessment on the acceptability of female adolescent HPV vaccination in Hong Kong, we conducted surveys in 2008 among 1022 mothers with daughters aged ≤ 18 years through random digit-dialing telephone interviewing and 2167 schoolgirls aged 11-18 years using two-stage stratified cluster sampling. We conducted the maternal survey again in 2012 with an independent group of 1005 mothers. RESULTS In 2008, 2.4% (95% confidence interval [CI]=1.8-3.2%) of the recruited schoolgirls reported having received HPV vaccination. In 2012, the mothers reported that 9.1% (7.0-11.6%) of their daughters who were in the same age range (11-18 years) as the schoolgirls had been vaccinated (p<0.01). Regarding acceptability, 27.5% (24.8-30.4%) and 37.6% (34.5-40.8%) of the mothers were willing to have their daughters vaccinated at market price in 2008 and 2012 (p<0.01), respectively. 27.1% (25.2-29.1%) of the schoolgirls were willing to receive HPV vaccination at market price in 2008. The willingness to pay for full-course vaccination among mothers had a median of US$128/HK$1000 (50% central range=US$64-192/HK$500-1500), i.e. substantially lower than the current market price. CONCLUSIONS The gap between acceptability and actual uptake of HPV vaccination among adolescent girls suggested that coverage is likely to be low without an organized HPV vaccination program, although the difference might be partially attributed to the possibility that at the time of the interview female adolescents who were willing to be vaccinated had not yet taken action. Policymakers should devise tailored, targeted and efficient vaccination strategies to achieve universal coverage for an effectively organized HPV vaccination program.
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Affiliation(s)
- Horace C W Choi
- Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Gabriel M Leung
- Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | | | - Mark Jit
- Modelling and Economics Unit, Public Health England, United Kingdom; Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom
| | - Joseph T Wu
- Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong.
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