Sociodemographic and health-related differences in undiagnosed hypertension in the health survey for England 2015-2019: a cross-sectional cohort study

Background

Hypertension is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, yet a substantial proportion of cases are undiagnosed. Understanding the scale of undiagnosed hypertension and identifying groups most at risk is important to inform approaches to detection.

Methods

In this cross-sectional cohort study, we used data from the 2015 to 2019 Health Survey for England, an annual, cross-sectional, nationally representative survey. The survey follows a multi-stage stratified probability sampling design, involving a random sample of primary sampling units based on postcode sectors, followed by a random sample of postal addresses within these units. Within each selected household, all adults (aged ≥16 years) and up to four children, were eligible for participation. For the current study, individuals aged 16 years and over who were not pregnant and had valid blood pressure data were included in the analysis. The primary outcome was undiagnosed hypertension, defined by a measured blood pressure of 140/90 mmHg or above but no history of diagnosis. Age-adjusted prevalence of undiagnosed hypertension was estimated across sociodemographic and health-related characteristics, including ethnicity, region, rural-urban classification, relationship status, highest educational qualification, National Statistics Socio-Economic Classification (NS-SEC), Body Mass Index (BMI), self-reported general health, and smoking status. To assess the independent association between undiagnosed hypertension and each characteristic, we fitted a logistic regression model adjusted for sociodemographic factors.

Findings

The sample included 21,476 individuals, of whom 55.8% were female and 89.3% reported a White ethnic background. An estimated 30.7% (95% confidence interval 29.0-32.4) of men with hypertension and 27.6% (26.1-29.1) of women with hypertension were undiagnosed. Younger age, lower BMI, and better self-reported general health were associated with an increased likelihood of hypertension being undiagnosed for men and women. Living in rural areas and in regions outside of London and the East of England were also associated with an increased likelihood of hypertension being undiagnosed for men, as were being married or in a civil partnership and having higher educational qualifications for women.

Interpretation

Hypertension is commonly undiagnosed, and some of the groups that are at the lowest risk of hypertension are the most likely to be undiagnosed. Given the high lifetime risk of hypertension and its strong links with morbidity and mortality, our findings suggest a need for greater awareness of the potential for undiagnosed hypertension, including among those typically considered 'low risk'. Further research is needed to assess the impact of extending hypertension screening to lower-risk groups.

Funding

None.

Risk of suicide after diagnosis of severe physical health conditions: A retrospective cohort study of 47 million people

BACKGROUND

The diagnosis of a severe physical health condition can cause psychological distress and lead to severe depression. The association between severe physical health conditions and the risk of suicide, and how the risk of suicide changes in the months following diagnosis, are not clear.

METHODS

We estimated whether a diagnosis of severe physical health conditions is associated with an increase in the risk of death by suicide using a dataset based on the 2011 Census linked to hospital records and death registration records covering 47,354,696 people alive on 1 January 2017 in England. Patients diagnosed with a low-survival cancer, chronic ischaemic heart disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or degenerative neurological condition were matched to individuals using socio-demographic characteristics from the Census. Using the Aalen-Johansen estimator, we estimated the cumulative incidence of death by suicide occurring between 1 January 2017 and 31 December 2021 (registered by 31 December 2021) in patients and matched controls, adjusted for other potential confounders using inverse probability weighting.

FINDINGS

Diagnosis of severe conditions was associated with an increased risk of dying by suicide. One year after diagnosis, the rate of suicide was 21.6 (95% confidence intervals: 14.9-28.4, number of events (N): 39) per 100,000 low-survival cancer patients compared to 9.5 (5.6-14.6, N:16) per 100,000 matched controls. For COPD patients, the one-year suicide rate was 22.4 (19.4-25.5, N:208) per 100,000 COPD patients (matched controls: 10.6, 8.3-13.0, N:85), for ischaemic heart disease 16.1 (14.1-18.2, N:225) per 100,000 patients (matched controls: 8.8, 7.1-10.4, N:128), for degenerative neurological conditions 114.5 (49.6-194.7, N:11) per 100,000 patients. The increase in risk was more pronounced in the first six months after diagnosis or first treatment.

INTERPRETATION

A diagnosis of severe physical illness is associated with higher suicide risk. The interaction of physical and mental illness emphasises the importance of collaborative physical and mental health care in these patients.

FUNDING

The Office for National Statistics. KES is the Laing Galazka chair in palliative care at King's College London, funded by an endowment from Cicely Saunders International and the Kirby Laing Foundation.

Assessing the reliability of ethnicity data recorded in health-related administrative datasets in England

ObjectivesDuring the COVID-19 pandemic, higher mortality among some ethnic minority groups was identified and has become the subject of significant public and government interest, highlighting an urgent requirement to quantify the reliability of ethnicity classification across health administrative data sets, which are utilised in health analysis and pandemic planning. ApproachThe aim of our work was to assess how ethnicity data recorded in Census and health admin records varied across ethnicities and provide recommendations for how missingness can be accounted for by statisticians. Combining population level data from general practice (GP) records with hospital episode statistics (HES) for patients in England, we created a linked data set with Census 2011 data to reliably assess coverage and missingness between data sources. Most recent and modal ethnicity classifications were derived on a person-level from both HES and GP administrative data for comparison to gold-standard Census 2011 records. ResultsAgreement rates were calculated to assess the reliability of ethnicity data recorded in health administrative datasets compared to Census data. We found that the agreement rates vary by ethnic group and other demographic characteristics. Furthermore, we highlighted groups of people who exist in one health-admin source, but not Census, and vice versa, illustrating the importance of accounting for the sample bias in health analysis when relying solely on primary or secondary care data sources. Implementation of techniques to account for bias and missingness were tested to propose methodology to improve reliability of ethnicity estimates from both HES and GP data, in order to ensure estimates of health disparities are as accurate as possible. ConclusionWe have linked GP records to Census 2011 and HES data to provide population-based ethnicity estimates of coverage, missingness and bias between data sources, in order to improve our understanding of ethnicity data quality. This work aims to inform policies tackling ethnic health inequalities in England.

Bowel cancer screening is safe, detects earlier stage cancer and adenomas in 50% of cases: experience of the prevalent round of screening from two first wave centres in the North East of England

OBJECTIVE

The NHS Bowel Cancer Screening Programme (BCSP) began roll-out in 2006 aiming to reduce cancer mortality through detection at an earlier stage. We report results from the prevalent round of screening at two first wave centres and compare with the UK pilot study.

DESIGN

This is a service evaluation study. Data were collected prospectively for all individuals undergoing faecal occult blood testing (FOBt) and colonoscopy including: uptake and outcomes of FOBt, colonoscopic performance, findings, histological data and complications. Continuous data were compared using a two-tailed test of two proportions.

SETTING

The South of Tyne and Tees Bowel Cancer Screening centres.

PATIENTS

Participants of the BCSP.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

1) Colonoscopy Quality Assurance and 2) Cancer stage shift.

RESULTS

195,772 individuals were invited to participate. Uptake was 54% and FOBt positivity 1.7%. 1524 underwent colonoscopy with caecal intubation in 1485 (97%). 180 (12%) cancers were detected. Dukes stages were: 76 (42%) A; 47 (26%) B; 47 (26%) C; 8 (4%) D and 2 (1%) unknown. This demonstrates a significantly earlier stage at diagnosis compared with data from 2867 non-screening detected cancers (p<0.001). Adenomas were detected in 758 (50%). One perforation occurred (0.07%) and two intermediate bleeds requiring transfusion only (0.12%). Both caecal intubation and adenoma detection were significantly higher than in the UK pilot study (p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalent round of screening demonstrates a high adenoma and cancer detection rate and significantly earlier stage at diagnosis. Complications were few providing reassurance regarding safety. Efforts are required to improve uptake.

Delayed diagnosis of cystic fibrosis due to normal sweat electrolytes

The sweat test, if properly performed, is a reliable tool to assist in the diagnosis of cystic fibrosis. In practice, most errors arise from false positive results. This case serves as a reminder that false negatives may also occur.

Reversible inhibition of central precocious puberty with a long acting GnRH analogue

A 7 year old girl with precocious puberty was treated with buserelin, a long acting analogue of gonadotrophin releasing hormone. Spontaneous and stimulated gonadotrophin secretion became prepubertal but returned to pubertal values when buserelin was withdrawn, suggesting that normal sexual maturation should follow cessation of treatment.

Effects of ketamine anaesthesia on the metabolic response to pelvic surgery

The effects of ketamine anaesthesia on the metabolic and endocrine response to pelvic surgery were investigated, and compared with results obtained in a control group of patients anaesthetized with thiopentone and halothane. Ketamine anaesthesia before the onset of surgery was associated with a significant increase in blood glucose and plasma cortisol concentrations, and in heart rate. However, when surgery was established there were no metabolic, endocrine or haemodynamic differences between ketamine and halothane anaesthesia. We conclude that ketamine does not exacerbate the metabolic response to surgery.