Prediction of fetal and neonatal outcomes after preterm manifestations of placental insufficiency: systematic review of prediction models

OBJECTIVES

To identify all prediction models for fetal and neonatal outcomes in pregnancies with preterm manifestations of placental insufficiency (gestational hypertension, pre-eclampsia, HELLP syndrome or fetal growth restriction with its onset before 37 weeks' gestation) and to assess the quality of the models and their performance on external validation.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was performed in PubMed, Web of Science and EMBASE. Studies describing prediction models for fetal/neonatal mortality or significant neonatal morbidity in patients with preterm placental insufficiency disorders were included. Data extraction was performed using the CHARMS checklist. Risk of bias was assessed using PROBAST. Literature selection and data extraction were performed by two researchers independently.

RESULTS

Our literature search yielded 22 491 unique publications. Fourteen were included after full-text screening of 218 articles that remained after initial exclusions. The studies derived a total of 41 prediction models, including four models in the setting of pre-eclampsia or HELLP, two models in the setting of fetal growth restriction and/or pre-eclampsia and 35 models in the setting of fetal growth restriction. None of the models was validated externally, and internal validation was performed in only two studies. The final models contained mainly ultrasound (Doppler) markers as predictors of fetal/neonatal mortality and neonatal morbidity. Discriminative properties were reported for 27/41 models (c-statistic between 0.6 and 0.9). Only two studies presented a calibration plot. The risk of bias was assessed as unclear in one model and high for all other models, mainly owing to the use of inappropriate statistical methods.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified 41 prediction models for fetal and neonatal outcomes in pregnancies with preterm manifestations of placental insufficiency. All models were considered to be of low methodological quality, apart from one that had unclear methodological quality. Higher-quality models and external validation studies are needed to inform clinical decision-making based on prediction models. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Randomised trial of no hydration vs. sodium bicarbonate hydration in patients with chronic kidney disease undergoing acute computed tomography-pulmonary angiography

BACKGROUND

Hydration to prevent contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI) induces a diagnostic delay when performing computed tomography-pulmonary angiography (CTPA) in patients suspected of having acute pulmonary embolism.

AIM

To analyze whether withholding hydration is non-inferior to sodium bicarbonate hydration before CTPA in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD).

METHODS

We performed an open-label multicenter randomized trial between 2009 and 2013. One hundred thirty-nine CKD patients were randomized, of whom 138 were included in the intention-to-treat population: 67 were randomized to withholding hydration and 71 were randomized to 1-h 250 mL 1.4% sodium bicarbonate hydration before CTPA. Primary outcome was the increase in serum creatinine 48-96 h after CTPA. Secondary outcomes were the incidence of CI-AKI (creatinine increase > 25%/> 0.5 mg dL(-1) ), recovery of renal function, and the need for dialysis within 2 months after CTPA. Withholding hydration was considered non-inferior if the mean relative creatinine increase was ≤ 15% compared with sodium bicarbonate.

RESULTS

Mean relative creatinine increase was -0.14% (interquartile range -15.1% to 12.0%) for withholding hydration and -0.32% (interquartile range -9.7% to 10.1%) for sodium bicarbonate (mean difference 0.19%, 95% confidence interval -5.88% to 6.25%, P-value non-inferiority < 0.001). CI-AKI occurred in 11 patients (8.1%): 6 (9.2%) were randomized to withholding hydration and 5 (7.1%) to sodium bicarbonate (relative risk 1.29, 95% confidence interval 0.41-4.03). Renal function recovered in 80.0% of CI-AKI patients within each group (relative risk 1.00, 95% confidence interval 0.54-1.86). None of the CI-AKI patients developed a need for dialysis.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that preventive hydration could be safely withheld in CKD patients undergoing CTPA for suspected acute pulmonary embolism. This will facilitate management of these patients and prevents delay in diagnosis as well as unnecessary start of anticoagulant treatment while receiving volume expansion.

Meta-analysis of the efficacy and safety of new oral anticoagulants in patients with cancer-associated acute venous thromboembolism

INTRODUCTION

Treatment of acute venous thromboembolism (VTE) in cancer patients is challenging, owing to a high risk of recurrent VTE and bleeding complications. The anticoagulants of choice are low molecular weight heparins (LMWHs), because of a proven higher efficacy than vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) and a similar bleeding profile. The recently introduced new oral anticoagulants (NOACs) have the potential to be alternative options for these patients, as these drugs share practical advantages with LMWH, are administered orally, and had similar efficacy to VKAs but a lower bleeding risk in phase 3 studies in the general VTE population.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was performed to identify phase 3 trials investigating NOACs for the treatment of VTE. The efficacy outcome was recurrent VTE, and the safety outcome was major and clinically relevant non-major bleeding. Pooled incidence rates and risk ratios (RRs) were calculated for cancer patients and non-cancer patients separately.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

Five studies were included, with 19 060 patients, of whom 973 (5.1%) had active cancer. The pooled incidence rates of recurrent VTE were 4.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.6-6.0) in cancer patients treated with NOACs, and 6.1% (95% CI 4.1-8.5) in patients treated with VKAs (RR 0.66, 95% CI 0.38-1.2). The pooled incidence rates of major or non-major clinically relevant bleeding were 15% (95% CI 12-18) in cancer patients treated with NOACs, and 16% (95% CI 9.9-22) in patients treated with VKAs (RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.70-1.3). These results form a solid basis for the initiation of a head-to-head comparison of NOACs with LMWH in cancer patients.

Role of NPR1 and KYP in long-lasting induced resistance by β-aminobutyric acid

Priming of defense increases the responsiveness of the plant immune system and can provide broad-spectrum protection against disease. Recent evidence suggests that priming of defense can be inherited epigenetically to following generations. However, the mechanisms of long-lasting defense priming within one generation remains poorly understood. Here, we have investigated the mechanistic basis of long-lasting induced resistance after treatment with β -aminobutyric acid (BABA), an agent that mimics biologically induced resistance phenomena. BABA-induced resistance (BABA-IR) is based on priming of salicylic acid (SA)-dependent and SA-independent defenses. BABA-IR could be detected up to 28 days after treatment of wild-type Arabidopsis. This long-lasting component of the induced resistance response requires the regulatory protein NPR1 and is associated with priming of SA-inducible genes. In contrast, NPR1-independent resistance by BABA was transient and had disappeared by 14 days after treatment. Chromatin immunoprecipitation (ChIP) assays revealed no increased acetylation of histone H3K9 at promoters regions of priming-responsive genes, indicating that this post-translational histone modification is not critical for long-term transcriptional priming. Interestingly, the kyp-6 mutant, which is affected in methyltransferase activity of H3K9, was blocked in long-lasting BABA-IR, indicating a critical requirement of this post-translational histone modification in long-lasting BABA-IR. Considering that KYP suppresses gene transcription through methylation of H3K9 and CpHpG DNA methylation, we propose that KYP enables long-term defense gene priming by silencing suppressor genes of SA/NPR1-dependent genes.

Effectiveness and safety of novel oral anticoagulants as compared with vitamin K antagonists in the treatment of acute symptomatic venous thromboembolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

New direct oral anticoagulants (NOACs) constitute a novel treatment option for acute venous thromboembolism (VTE), with practical advantages. Individual studies have demonstrated comparable efficacy to that of vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) and have suggested a more favorable safety profile . We performed a meta-analysis to determine the efficacy and safety of NOACs as compared with those of VKAs in patients with acute VTE.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews and the Clinical Trials Registry up to October 2013. Eligible studies included phase 3 trials comparing NOACs with VKAs in patients with acute VTE. Relative risks (RRs), absolute risk differences and numbers needed to treat (NNTs) to prevent one event were calculated for recurrent VTE, fatal pulmonary embolism (PE), overall mortality, major bleeding, and other bleeding complications, with random-effects models.

RESULTS

Five studies were included, investigating four NOACs (rivaroxaban, dabigatran, apixaban, and edoxaban) in 24 455 patients with acute VTE. RRs for recurrent VTE, fatal PE and overall mortality for NOACs vs. VKAs were 0.88 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.74-1.05), 1.02 (95% CI 0.39-5.96), and 0.97 (95% CI 0.83-1.14), respectively. The RR for major bleeding was 0.60 (95% CI 0.41-0.88). The NNT with NOACs instead of VKA to prevent one major bleed was 149. The RR and NNT for fatal bleeding were 0.36 (95% CI 0.15-0.87) and 1111. A fixed-effect network analysis did not demonstrate significant differences between individual NOACs and rivaroxaban.

CONCLUSIONS

NOACs have comparable efficacy to that of VKAs, and are associated with a significantly lower risk of bleeding complications, although the NNT to prevent one major bleed was relatively high.

Impact of chronic kidney disease on the risk of clinical outcomes in patients with cancer-associated venous thromboembolism during anticoagulant treatment

BACKGROUND

Information on recurrent venous thromboembolic events (VTEs) and major bleeding risks during anticoagulant treatment in patients with cancer-associated VTEs and chronic kidney disease (CKD) is scarce, although it is of relevance in establishing better tailored management strategies in these patients.

OBJECTIVES

We compared risks of recurrent VTEs and major bleeds in cancer-associated VTE patients with and without CKD.

METHODS

A total of 1684 patients diagnosed with a cancer-associated VTE between 2001 and 2011 were followed for 180 days after VTE diagnosis. Patients were treated mainly with low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) or vitamin-K antagonists (VKA). Primary outcomes were recurrent VTE and major bleeding. Secondary outcome was fatal bleeding.

RESULTS

Recurrent VTEs occurred in 15.9/100 patient years (py) in patients without CKD (eGFR > 60 mL min(-1) ), 19.5/100 py in those with CKD stage 3A (eGFR 45-60 mL min(-1) ), 14.9/100 py in those with CKD 3B (eGFR 30-45 mL min(-1) ), and 6.8/100 py in patients with CKD 4-5 (eGFR < 30 mL min(-1) ). Major bleeding occurred in 11.4/100 py in patients without CKD, 18.5/100 py in those with CKD stage 3A, 16.0/100 py in those with CKD 3B, and 40.8/100 py in patients with CKD 4-5. Fatal bleeding occurred in 1.1/100 py, 3.4/100 py, 6.3/100 py and 15.7/100 py, respectively. These increased bleeding risks in CKD patients were mainly observed in those on LMWH treatment, not VKA.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of major bleeding was increased in CKD patients with VTE and cancer, and was most prominent in those treated with LMWH and an eGFR < 30 mL min(-1) . These results indicate that LMWH should be used with caution in this specific population.

Multipurpose anthropometric facial anglemeter

We have developed a multipurpose anglemeter for measuring the face that enables us to determine accurately the size of six profile angles by both direct and indirect anthropometry in markedly reduced time.