Evaluation of Grain-Filling-Related Traits Using Taichung 65 x DV85 Chromosome Segment Substitution Lines (TD-CSSLs) of Rice

Grain yield of rice consists of sink capacity and grain filling. There are some genes known to contribute to sink capacity, but few genes associated with grain filling are known. We conducted a genetic analysis on yield-related traits by using a chromosome segment substitution line population that have introgression from DV85, an aus variety of rice, in the background of T65, a japonica variety. Refined whole-genome genotypes of the 43 TD-CSSLs were obtained by genotyping-by-sequencing. The effects of previously detected quantitative trait loci (QTLs), qNSC1 and qNSC2, were confirmed by the amount of non-structural carbohydrate (NSC) at 5 days after heading (DAH). The CSSL for qSWTR11, the QTL for decrease in shoot weight during the maturity stage, showed the highest NSC at 5 DAH and lowest at 35 DAH. The brown rice yield of these lines were not stably significant. Most of the sink-related traits correlated between the 2 tested years, but most of the grain-filling traits did not show correlation between the 2 years. Correlation analysis revealed that the sink capacity is stable and primarily determines the yield, and grain filling is more affected by the environment. In addition, biomass production before heading and during the maturity stage contributes to higher yield in TD-CSSLs, and the amount of translocation of stem reserve does not affect much to the yield. We conclude that higher NSC at the heading stage and rapid decrease in shoot biomass during the maturity stage did not directly contribute to the yield formation in the japonica genetic background.

Genetic Variation of Blast (Pyricularia oryzae Cavara) Resistance in the Longistaminata Chromosome Segment Introgression Lines (LCSILs) and Potential for Breeding Use in Kenya

In Kenya's rice-growing areas, Basmati varieties have been produced in monoculture since the late 1980s. This has resulted in the breakdown of the resistance (R) gene-mediated response of the local Basmati varieties to blast disease caused by Pyricularia oryzae. To improve blast resistance in Kenyan Basmati varieties, continuous identification of R genes and suitable breeding materials for Basmati are necessary. Longistaminata chromosome segment introgression lines (LCSILs) with the Kernel Basmati genetic background, developed using a rice line called potential low-input adaptable-1 (pLIA-1) derived from a cross between Taichung 65 (T65) (a rice variety in the Japonica Group) and O. longistaminata, are expected to contain useful blast R genes derived from O. longistaminata or T65. In this study, we investigated the genetic variation of blast R genes in LCSILs and their parents by using a new international differential system for designating blast races based on the gene-for-gene theory and molecular characterization using single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) markers. LCSILs and their parents were classified into three groups-A, B1, and B2-based on reaction patterns to the standard differential blast isolates (SDBIs). Group A, including pLIA-1, showed the highest resistance in all groups, followed by groups B1 and B2. Kernel Basmati in group B1 was considered to possess Pik-p or Pi7(t), Pi19(t), and other unknown R genes. In addition to these R genes, LCSIL 6, 12, 27, 28, and 40, in group A, were determined to possess one of Pish, Piz-t, or both genes that confer resistance to the Kenyan blast races. These lines can be used for efficiently pyramiding blast R genes in the local Basmati varieties.

Utilization of Genotyping-by-Sequencing (GBS) for Rice Pre-Breeding and Improvement: A Review

Molecular markers play a crucial role in the improvement of rice. To benefit from these markers, genotyping is carried out to identify the differences at a specific position in the genome of individuals. The advances in sequencing technologies have led to the development of different genotyping techniques such as genotyping-by-sequencing. Unlike PCR-fragment-based genotyping, genotyping-by-sequencing has enabled the parallel sequencing and genotyping of hundreds of samples in a single run, making it more cost-effective. Currently, GBS is being used in several pre-breeding programs of rice to identify beneficial genes and QTL from different rice genetic resources. In this review, we present the current advances in the utilization of genotyping-by-sequencing for the development of rice pre-breeding materials and the improvement of existing rice cultivars. The challenges and perspectives of using this approach are also highlighted.

QTL analysis for sodium removal ability in rice leaf sheaths under salinity using an IR-44595/318 F2 population

Over-accumulation of salt in rice plants is an effect of salt stress which decreases growth and grain yield. Salt removal ability in leaf sheaths is a tolerance mechanism to decrease salt entry and accumulation in leaf blades and maintain photosynthesis under salinity. In this study, a QTL analysis of removal ability of sodium ions (Na⁺) in leaf sheaths and Na⁺ accumulation-related traits, was conducted using F₂ population between two rice varieties, IR-44595 with superior Na⁺ removal ability, and 318 with contrasting Na⁺ removal ability in leaf sheaths under salinity. Suggestive QTLs for Na⁺ removal ability in leaf sheaths were found on chromosomes 4 and 11. The suggestive QTL on chromosome 11 overlapped with other significant QTLs for Na⁺ concentration in shoots, leaf blades and leaf sheaths, and Na⁺/K⁺ ratio in leaf blades. Correlation analysis indicated that Na⁺ removal ability in leaf sheaths is important in reducing Na⁺ accumulation in leaf blades. The varietal difference of Na⁺ removal ability in leaf sheaths at the whole plant level was greater at lower NaCl concentrations and became smaller as the treatment NaCl concentration increased. Although the Na⁺ removal ability in leaf sheath was comparable between IR-44595 and 318 under high salinity at the whole plant level, the younger leaves of IR-44595 still showed a higher Na⁺ sheath-blade ratio than 318, which implied the Na⁺ removal ability functions in the younger leaves in IR-44595 to reduce Na⁺ entry in young leaf blades even under high salinity.

Association of beta blocker use with new-onset heart failure and mortality in atrial fibrillation without pre-existing heart failure: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Heart failure (HF) is one of the major complications in atrial fibrillation (AF). We previously reported that not a few AF patients without pre-existing HF (defined as prior HF hospitalization, New York Heart Association functional class≥2, or left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF)<40%) subsequently developed new-onset HF. Beta blockers are the established therapy for HF, but it remains unclear whether beta blockers prevent new-onset HF and improve outcomes in AF patients without preexisting HF.

Methods

In the Fushimi AF registry, 778 of 3,262 patients without pre-existing HF were receiving beta blockers at baseline. We investigated the incidence of new-onset HF defined as cardiac death or HF hospitalization, and all-cause death in a propensity-matched cohort (N=1,198; mean age, 71 years; 39% female; mean LVEF, 66%). Additionally, annual follow-up prescription data before the onset of events were collected in 294 of patients with beta blockers and 395 of those without beta blockers. We also investigated the association of starting or stopping beta blockers with the incidence of new-onset HF and all-cause death.

Results

During the median follow-up of 5.8 years, new-onset HF and all-cause death occurred in 77 (12.9%) and 118 (19.7%) of patients with beta blockers, and 70 (11.7%) and 131 (21.9%) of those without beta blockers, respectively. Incidence of new-onset HF was comparable between patients with and without beta blockers (Figure 1), and incidence of all-cause death was also comparable between the two groups (Figure 2). In exploratory subgroup analyses, there was no interaction in the association of beta blockers with the incidence of events, except for pulse rate for new-onset HF and left atrial size for all-cause death. Hazard ratio of beta blockers for new-onset HF tended to be lower in patients with higher pulse rates (>84 bpm) (Figure 1), and that for all-cause death was lower in those without left atrial enlargement (Figure 2). Of patients with follow-up prescription data, beta blockers were stopped in 55 (18.7%) and started in 97 (24.6%) patients, respectively. Patients with starting beta blockers had higher pulse rate (78.5±17.3 vs 74.9±13.9 bpm; p=0.03) and more symptomatic AF (58.8% vs 46.0%; p=0.03) compared to those without starting beta blockers, while there was no difference in baseline characteristics between those with and without stopping beta blockers. During the follow-up, the incidences of new-onset HF and all-cause death were also comparable between the patients with and without stopping beta blockers and those with and without starting beta blockers.

Conclusion

Beta blockers were not associated with the incidence of new-onset HF and all-cause death in AF patients without pre-existing HF. However, the exploratory subgroup analyses suggested the existence of subjects who may benefit from beta blockers.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Aventis, and Takeda Pharmaceutical.

Clinical characteristics and outcomes of atrial fibrillation patients with peripheral artery disease: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) represents the common arrhythmia and increases the risk of thromboembolism. Risk assessment for thromboembolism is important for the management of AF patients. Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is identified as a risk factor for thromboembolism in CHA2DS2-VASc score. However, there are little data on clinical characteristics and cardiovascular events of AF patients with PAD.

Purpose

In this study, we investigated the clinical characteristics and outcomes of AF patients with PAD.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry, a community-based prospective survey, was designed to enroll all of the AF patients who visited the participating medical institutions in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011 and follow up data including prescription status were available in 4,464 patients from March 2011 to August 2021. Median follow-up period was 1,848 days.

Results

Of 4,464 patients, 183 patients had PAD (4.1%; PAD group). The mean age was higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (PAD group vs. no-PAD group: 76.7 vs. 73.5; p<0.01). Patients with PAD had more co-morbidities such as stroke, systemic embolism, congestive heart failure, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia coronary artery disease and chronic kidney disease than those without PAD. Thus, CHADS2 score, CHA2DS2-VASc score and HAS-BLED score were higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (2.81 vs. 2.00; p<0.01, 5.17 vs. 3.30; p<0.01, 2.42 vs. 1.71; p<0.01, respectively). The proportion of patients with oral anticoagulant was similar between the two groups and the proportion of patients with antiplatelet drug was higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (59.0% vs. 55.6%; p=0.36, 62.9% vs. 24.7%; p<0.01, respectively). The incidences of all-cause death, cardiac death and myocardial infarction were higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (11.4 vs. 4.6 per 100 person-years; log-rank p<0.01, 1.7 vs. 0.8 per 100 person-years; log-rank p<0.01, 1.2 vs. 0.2 per 100 person-years; log-rank p<0.01). However, the incidence of stroke or systemic embolism was similar between the two groups (2.9 vs. 2.2 per 100 person-years, log-rank p=0.19). Finally, the incidence of composite of cardiac death, stroke, systemic embolism or myocardial infarction was higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (6.0 vs. 3.0 per 100 person-years; log-rank p<0.01).

Conclusion

AF patients with PAD had significantly higher risk for death and cardiac events, whereas the incidence of thromboembolism was similar between AF patients with and without PAD.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development

Association of cardiothoracic ratio with heart failure hospitalization in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Chest radiography is the most common diagnostic imaging test in clinical medicine, and the cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) is a readily available and non-invasive tool with which to assess the volume status and cardiomegaly. However, it remains unknown whether CTR on chest radiography is associated with the incidence of HF hospitalization in AF patients remains unclear.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,489 patients by the end of August 2021. In the present study, 3,727 patients with available data of CTR were examined. We divided the patients into two groups according to their CTR at baseline; Higher group (CTR ≥50.0%, n=2,696) and Lower group (CTR <50.0%, n=1,031), and compared the clinical background and outcomes between the two groups.

Results

The proportion of female was grater in Higher group, and the patients in Higher group were older. The patients in Higher group had higher prevalence of HF, hypertension and chronic kidney disease. During the median follow-up of 3,033 days, in Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence rates of HF hospitalization were higher in Higher group (Higher group: 2.5% per person-year vs. Lower group: 1.1%; p<0.01). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that higher CTR (≥50.0%) was an independent determinant of the incidence of HF hospitalization. Furthermore, when we divided the patients into four groups based on the quartile of CTR; Q1 (CTR<49.0%), Q2 (49.0≤CTR<53.8%), Q3 (53.8≤CTR<59.0%), Q4 (59.0%≤CTR), the incidence of HF hospitalization was more frequent in patients with higher CTR, regardless of the presence or absence of prior hospitalization for HF (Figure).

Conclusion

In Japanese AF patients, patients with higher CTR had significantly higher incidence of HF hospitalization, regardless of the prevalence of prior hospitalization for HF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

The association of left ventricular ejection fraction with incident heart failure in patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of incident heart failure (HF). Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is an important prognostic parameter in patients with HF. However, little is known regarding the association of LVEF with incident HF in patients with AF.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between LVEF at enrollment and incidence of HF hospitalization during follow-up period in patients with AF.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of patients with AF in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,489 patients by the end of August 2021. In the present study, we investigated 3,544 patients with the data of LVEF at enrollment. We divided the patients into 4 groups stratified by LVEF (reduced LVEF [LVEF <40%], mildly reduced LVEF [LVEF: 40–49%], slightly reduced LVEF [LVEF: 50–59%], and normal LVEF [LVEF ≥60%]), and compared the backgrounds and outcomes between these 4 groups.

Results

Of 3,544 patients, the mean age was 73.6±10.7 years, 1,420 (40%) were female, 1,781 (50%) were paroxysmal AF, and 1,085 (30%) had pre-existing HF. The mean CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were 2.1±1.3 and 3.4±1.7, respectively. The mean LVEF at enrollment was 63±12% (reduced LVEF: 197 [6%], mildly reduced LVEF: 250 [7%], slightly reduced LVEF: 532 [15%] and normal LVEF: 2,565 [72%], respectively). Patients with lower LVEF demonstrated lower prevalence of female and paroxysmal AF, and had a higher CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores (all P<0.01). A total of 605 patients were hospitalized for HF during the median follow-up period of 5.5 years, corresponding to an annual incidence of 3.4% per person-year. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that LVEF at enrollment could stratify the incidence of HF hospitalization during follow-up in patients with AF (Picture 1). Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that lower LVEF strata were significantly associated with the increased risk of HF hospitalization even after adjustment by age, sex, type of AF and CHA2DS2-VASc score (Picture 1). An increased risk of HF hospitalization was observed even in patients with mildly reduced LVEF (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.56, 95% CI: 1.99–3.29) as well as in those with slightly reduced LVEF (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.45–2.22) compared with those with normal LVEF. These results were also the case in AF patients without pre-existing HF (Picture 2).

Conclusion

LVEF at enrollment could stratify the incidence of HF hospitalization in patients with AF, suggesting the importance of measuring LVEF in all patients with AF. Even mildly (LVEF: 40–49%) or slightly (LVEF: 50–59%) reduced LVEF was independently associated with the risk of incident HF in patients with AF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

A Novel Combination of Genes Causing Temperature-Sensitive Hybrid Weakness in Rice

Reproductive isolation is an obstacle for plant breeding when a distant cross is demanded. It can be divided into two main types based on different growth stages: prezygotic isolation and postzygotic isolation. The hybrid weakness, which is a type of postzygotic isolation, can become a problem in crop breeding. In order to overcome reproductive isolation, it is necessary to elucidate its mechanism. In this study, genetic analysis for low temperature-dependent hybrid weakness was conducted in a rice F2 population derived from Taichung 65 (T65, Japonica) and Lijiangxintuanheigu (LTH, Japonica). The weak and severe weak plants in F2 showed shorter culm length, late heading, reduced panicle number, decreased grain numbers per panicle, and impaired root development in the field. Our result also showed that hybrid weakness was affected by temperature. It was observed that 24°C enhanced hybrid weakness, whereas 34°C showed recovery from hybrid weakness. In terms of the morphology of embryos, no difference was observed. Therefore, hybrid weakness affects postembryonic development and is independent of embryogenesis. The genotypes of 126 F2 plants were determined through genotyping-by-sequencing and a linkage map consisting of 862 single nucleotide polymorphism markers was obtained. Two major quantitative trait loci (QTLs) were detected on chromosomes 1 [hybrid weakness j 1 (hwj1)] and 11 [hybrid weakness j 2 (hwj2)]. Further genotyping indicated that the hybrid weakness was due to an incompatible interaction between the T65 allele of hwj1 and the LTH allele of hwj2. A large F2 populations consisting of 5,722 plants were used for fine mapping of hwj1 and hwj2. The two loci, hwj1 and hwj2, were mapped in regions of 65-kb on chromosome 1 and 145-kb on chromosome 11, respectively. For hwj1, the 65-kb region contained 11 predicted genes, while in the hwj2 region, 22 predicted genes were identified, two of which are disease resistance-related genes. The identified genes along these regions serve as preliminary information on the molecular networks associated with hybrid weakness in rice.

Chronic pulmonary aspergillosis in a patient with hyper-IgE syndrome

Hyperimmunoglobulin E (IgE) syndrome (HIES) is a rare disease with an unclear prognosis. We report a case of HIES comorbid with chronic pulmonary aspergillosis (CPA). A 19-year-old male was referred to our department with a medical history of bacterial pneumonia and skin infection. Laboratory data showed an elevated eosinophil count and serum IgE level. Chest computed tomography (CT) showed a pneumatocele and bronchiectasis. On the basis of the clinical and laboratory findings and genetic mutation analysis, we diagnosed him as having HIES. Fourteen months later, he complained of blood-tinged sputum and haemoptysis. Chest CT showed pneumatocele wall thickening, fungus ball and consolidation. Serum Aspergillus precipitating antibody and serum galactomannan Aspergillus antigen were positive, and Aspergillus fumigatus was detected in the sputum. We diagnosed CPA and treated him using antifungal agents and bronchial artery embolization. CPA is a complication that requires attention in patients with HIES.

Association of low total cholesterol level with clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Hyperlipidemia is a well-established risk factor for cardiovascular disease. However, low cholesterol is also reported to be associated with poor outcome in patients with chronic disease, which is called “cholesterol paradox”, and the association of cholesterol level with the incidence of clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unclear.

Methods

In the Fushimi AF Registry, a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan, follow-up data and baseline total cholesterol levels were available in 3,054 patients. We excluded 767 patients who were taking statins, and 2,267 patients were included in the analyses. We defined low cholesterol as total cholesterol <150 mg/dl, and examined the incidence of all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism (SE), heart failure (HF) hospitalization, and major bleeding.

Results

Patients with low cholesterol (N=464 (20.4%)) were older, more often male, and had higher prevalence of low body weight (<50 kg), permanent/persistent AF, prior stroke/SE, HF, chronic kidney disease, and anemia (hemoglobin <11 g/dl). CHA2DS2-VASc score was higher in patients with low cholesterol (low cholesterol vs others; 3.6±1.6 vs 3.2±1.7: P<0.001). Prescription of oral anti-coagulants was comparable between the groups (50.0% vs 54.5%: P=0.09). During the median follow-up of 1,805 days, the incidence of all-cause death, stroke/SE, HF hospitalization, and major bleeding was significantly higher in patients with low cholesterol (all-cause death, 10.9 vs 3.8 /100 person-years; stroke/SE, 3.4 vs 1.9 /100 person-years; HF hospitalization, 4.7 vs 2.5 /100 person-years; major bleeding, 2.7 vs 1.4 /100 person-years) (Figure 1). After adjustment for the components of CHA2DS2-VASc score, low body weight, permanent/persistent AF, chronic kidney disease, anemia, and prescription of oral anti-coagulants, low cholesterol was significantly associated with the incidence of all-cause death and stroke/SE, but not with that of HF hospitalization or major bleeding (Figure 2, model 3). Total cholesterol levels were still significantly and inversely associated with the incidence of all-cause death (hazard ratio, 0.94; 95% confidence interval, 0.92–0.96 for 10 mg/dl increase) and stroke/SE (hazard ratio, 0.96; 95% confidence interval, 0.92–0.999 for 10 mg/dl increase), when analyzed as continuous variables. Subgroup analysis revealed that the risk of low cholesterol for all-cause death was more pronounced in female (interaction P, 0.049), patient without prior stroke/SE (interaction P, 0.01), those without HF (interaction P, 0.01), and those without vascular disease (interaction P, 0.001). The risk for stroke/SE was more pronounced in patients without vascular disease (interaction P, 0.01).

Conclusion

Low total cholesterol level was significantly associated with the incidence of all-cause and stroke/SE in AF patients not taking statins, suggesting the existence of cholesterol paradox in AF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi-Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Avent

The relationship between diastolic blood pressure and the risk of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation whose systolic blood pressure was treated to less than 130 mmHg

Background

Hypertension is one of the major risk factors of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Low diastolic blood pressure (DBP) has been reported to be associated with the incidence of cardiovascular events, but current guidelines recommend an intensive blood pressure target of less than 130/80 mmHg for AF patients taking oral anticoagulants without mentioning the lower limits of DBP.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in a city of Japan. Follow-up data were available in 4,472 patients, and hypertensive patients who received prescription of any antihypertensive agents and whose systolic blood pressure was treated to less than 130 mmHg were available were examined (n=1,319). We divided the patients into four groups according to their DBP at baseline; G1 (DBP<60 mmHg, n=349), G2 (60≤DBP<70, n=434), G3 (70≤DBP<80, n=386) and G4 (80≤DBP, n=150), and compared the clinical background and outcomes among groups.

Results

The proportion of female was grater in G1 group, and the patients in G1 group were older. During the median follow-up of 2,458 days, in Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence rates of cardiovascular events (composite of cardiac death, ischemic stroke, systemic embolism, non-fatal myocardial infarction and heart failure hospitalization during follow up) were the highest in G1 group and the lowest in G3 group (G1: 7.2% per person-year vs. G2: 4.9% vs. G3: 2.2% vs. G4: 4.4%; p<0.01). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that DBP was an independent determinant of cardiovascular events (G1 vs. G3; hazard ratio (HR): 1.96, 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.39–2.76, G2 vs. G3; HR: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.28–2.50, G4 vs. G3; HR: 1.56, 95% CI: 0.99–2.45) (Figure 1). When we examined the association of DBP according to 10 mmHg increment, patients with excessively low DBP (<50 mmHg) had significantly higher incidence of cardiovascular events than patients with DBP of 70–79 mmHg (HR: 2.80, 95% CI: 1.81–4.33), and DBP exhibited J curve association with higher incidence of cardiovascular events (Figure 2).

Conclusion

In Japanese AF patients whose systolic blood pressure was treated to less than 130 mmHg, patients with excessively low DBP had significantly higher incidence of cardiovascular events, and DBP exhibited J curve association with higher incidence of cardiovascular events.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Previous pacemaker therapy was not associated with the risk of clinical events in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) occasionally require pacemaker implantation. Meanwhile, patients with implanted pacemaker are occasionally found to have subclinical AF and develop clinical AF. However, little is known about the clinical outcomes of AF patients with implanted pacemaker.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate the clinical outcomes in AF patients undergoing previous pacemaker therapy.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in a city of Japan. Follow-up data including prescription status were available for 4,447 patients. After exclusion of patients with implantable cardioverter defibrillator and cardiac resynchronization therapy, we investigated 293 AF patients with pacemaker implantation at baseline. We performed propensity score-matching analysis to assess the impact of pacemaker therapy in AF patients.

Results

Of a total cohort, patients with pacemaker were more often female (51.2% vs. 39.7%; p<0.01) and older (78.0 vs. 73.3 years of age; p<0.01). Patients with pacemaker were more likely to have pre-existing heart failure (33.1% vs. 26.6%; p<0.01), valvular heart disease (22.9% vs. 16.8%; p<0.01), chronic kidney disease (48.8% vs. 34.7%; p<0.01), and history of performing direct current cardioversion (7.2% vs. 3.1%; p<0.01), compared with patients without pacemaker. Mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was higher in patients with pacemaker (3.80 vs. 3.34; p<0.01). Patients with pacemaker were more often prescribed oral anticoagulants (62.1% vs. 55.2%; p=0.02), verapamil (13.3% vs. 9.4%; p=0.03), and loop diuretics (30.7% vs. 21.8%; p<0.01). Using propensity score-matching, 291 patients with pacemaker and 291 without pacemaker were matched and baseline characteristics were comparable. The median follow-up period was 1,819 days. All-cause death occurred in 91 patients with pacemaker (6.0 /100 person-years) and 79 patients without pacemaker (5.9 /100 person-years), with a hazard ratio (HR) for patients with pacemaker of 1.01 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75 to 1.37; p=0.93). Furthermore, HR of cardiac death for patients with pacemaker was 1.00 (95% CI, 0.23 to 4.32; p=0.99), that of stroke or systemic embolism was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.44 to 1.07; p=0.10) and that of hospitalization for heart failure was 0.94 (95% CI, 0.65 to 1.37; p=0.76).

Conclusion

We identified that patients undergoing previous pacemaker therapy were not associated with the incidence of various adverse clinical events in Japanese AF patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Aventis, Takeda Pharmaceutical, and the Practical Research Project for Life-Style related Diseases including Cardiovascular Diseases and Diabetes Mellitus from Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development.

Association of the degree of thrombocytopenia with cause of death in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Thrombocytopenia is sometimes found in routine blood tests and is associated with an increased risk of mortality in general population. We have previously reported that atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with thrombocytopenia have a higher mortality than those without thrombocytopenia. However, association of the degree of thrombocytopenia with cause of death in AF patients is unknown.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate the association of baseline platelet count with cause of death including cardiac death, intracranial death, malignancy, infection, extracranial bleeding death, renal failure death, respiratory failure death and undetermined death.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry was designed to enroll all of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto. Fushimi-ku is densely populated with a total population of 283,000 and is assumed to represent a typical urban community in Japan. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data with baseline platelet counts less than 150,000/μL were available in 853 patients by the end of September 2020. We divided them into 3 groups according to baseline platelet level: Mild thrombocytopenia (100,000–149,999/μL, n=703), Moderate thrombocytopenia (50,000–99,999/μL, n=120), and Severe thrombocytopenia (<50,000/μL, n=30).

Results

In the entire cohort, the mean age was 76 years, 34% were women, the mean body weight and body mass index was 59.3 kg and 22.9 kg/m2, and the median platelet count were 121,000/μL (interquartile range 109,000 to 141,000/μL). Compared to Mild thrombocytopenia, patients with Moderate or Severe thrombocytopenia were more likely to have chronic kidney disease (42.2% vs 54.2% vs 73.3%, p=0.0003), have higher HAS-BLED score (1.90 vs 2.14 vs 2.00, p=0.047) and lower hemoglobin (12.8g/dL vs 11.7g/dL vs 11.2g/dL, p<0.0001) and were less often prescribed anti platelet drugs. Age, sex, body weight, systolic blood pressure, previous stroke, previous major bleeding, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, CHADS2 score and CHA2DS2-VASc score were comparable between three groups. During the median follow-up period, the incidence rate (per 100 person-years) of all-cause death was 6.82 vs 15.27 vs 9.64. (p<0.001) On univariate analysis, the incidence of all-cause death was higher in Moderate group than Mild group. (HR: 2.15; 95% CI 1.61–2.87, p<0.0001), but there was no significant difference between Mild and Severe groups. (HR: 1.44; 95% CI 0.78–2.64, p=0.243). The incidence of cardiac death was comparable between three groups. (Mild vs Moderate: HR 0.65; 95% CI 0.15–2.75, p=0.56, Mild vs Severe: HR 1.11; 95% CI 0.15–8.23, p=0.92) Regarding other causes of death such as intracranial bleeding, extracranial bleeding, malignancy, infection, renal failure, respiratory failure and undetermined cause, there was no significant difference.

Conclusion

Mortality was higher according to the degree of thrombocytopenia in AF patients, but the cause of death was not different among three groups.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Predictors and risk model for heart failure hospitalization in atrial fibrillation patients without pre-existing heart failure: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of hospitalization for heart failure (HF), as well as that of thromboembolism. The strategy for prediction of thromboembolism has been well-established; however, little focus has been placed on the risk stratification for and prevention of HF hospitalization in AF patients.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the predictors and risk model of HF hospitalization in non-valvular AF patients without pre-existing HF.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,472 patients by the end of October 2020. From the registry, we excluded patients without a pre-existing HF (defined as having one of the following; prior hospitalization for HF, New York Heart Association class ≥2, or left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF] <40%), and those with valvular AF (mitral stenosis or prosthetic heart valve). Among 3,188 non-valvular AF patients without pre-existing HF, we explored the risk factors for the HF hospitalization during follow-up period. The risk model for predicting HF hospitalization was determined by the cumulative numbers of risk factors which were significant on multivariate analysis.

Results

The mean age was 72.4±10.8 years, 1197 were female and 1787 were paroxysmal AF. The mean CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were 1.7±1.2 and 2.9±1.6, respectively. During the median follow-up period of 5.1 years, HF hospitalization occurred in 285 (8.9%), corresponding to an annual incidence of 1.8 events per 100 person-years. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, advanced age (≥75 years), valvular heart disease, coronary artery disease, reduced LVEF (<60%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and anemia were independently associated with the higher incidence of HF hospitalization (all P<0.001) (Picture 1). A risk model based on these 6 variables could stratify the incidence of HF hospitalization during follow-up period (log-rank; P<0.001) (Picture 2). Patients with ≥3 risk factors had an 11-fold higher incidence of HF hospitalization compared with those not having any of these risk factors (hazard ratio: 11.3, 95% confidence interval: 7.0–18.4; P<0.001).

Conclusions

Advanced age, coronary artery disease, valvular heart disease, reduced LVEF, COPD and anemia were independently associated with the risk of HF hospitalization in AF patients without pre-existing HF. There was good prediction for endpoint of HF hospitalization using these 6 variables, providing the opportunities for the implementation of strategies to reduce the incidence of HF among AF patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Derivation and validation of a novel score to detect heart failure with preserved ejection fraction in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is an important comorbidity of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, it is sometimes difficult to detect HFpEF among AF patients with preserved EF, since AF and HF share similar symptoms.

Purpose

The aim of this study was to identify factors associated with having HFpEF in AF patients with preserved EF, and derive a new score for HFpEF in AF patients.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. Follow-up data were available for 4,466 patients, and 3,083 patients had preserved EF (≥50%). Of the 3,083 patients, 444 had prior HF hospitalization at baseline and we defined these patients as HFpEF. We examined the factors associated with having HFpEF, and derived a new score for detecting HFpEF in AF patients. Thereafter, we validated this score in patients without prior HF hospitalization.

Result

The mean age of the patients with EF ≥50% was 73.6 years, and 41.3% were female. Compared with the patients without prior HF hospitalization, HFpEF patients were older, more often female, less in body weight, had more heart disease (valvular heart disease, cardiomyopathy, old myocardial infarction, and coronary artery disease), chronic kidney diseases (CKD), anemia (Hb <11 g/dL), sustained AF (persistent or permanent), left atrial enlargement (>45 mm), and dilation of cardio-thoracic ratio (CTR) (>54%) at baseline. In multivariate analysis, heart diseases, CKD, sustained AF, dilatation of CTR, left atrial enlargement, and anemia were significantly associated with HFpEF (Table 1). We derived a new score to diagnose HFpEF in AF patients (2 points for heart diseases, 1 point for CKD, sustained AF, dilatation of CTR, left atrial enlargement, and anemia; range 0 to 7 points). In a receiver-operating characteristic curve, optimal cut-off point for detecting HFpEF was 3 (Figure 1). We validated this score in patients without prior hospitalization for HF (n=2,639). Of these, 298 patients had HF symptoms of NYHA 2–4 (Symptomatic-HF), and 2,341 patients had neither prior HF hospitalization nor HF symptoms (No-HF). Notably, 207 patients (69.5%) in symptomatic-HF group and 748 patients (32.0%) in No-HF group were classified into HFpEF based on this new score. Furthermore, patients diagnosed as HFpEF by this score had higher incidence of new hospitalization for HF during the follow-up in both symptomatic-HF group and No-HF group. (Figure 2).

Conclusion

We derived a new score to diagnose HFpEF in AF patients based on the presence of prior HF hospitalization (2 points for heart diseases, 1 point for CKD, sustained AF, dilatation of CTR, left atrial enlargement, and anemia). In patients without prior HF hospitalization, sizable number of patients had high HFpEF score (≥3), and those patients showed higher incidence of new HF hospitalization.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Clinical outcomes of Japanese atrial fibrillation patients with combined valvular heart disease: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

We previously reported that valvular heart disease (VHD) was not at the significant risk of stroke/systemic embolism (SE), but was associated with an increased risk of hospitalization for heart failure (HF) in Japanese atrial fibrillation patients. However, the impact of combined VHD on clinical outcomes has been little known.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the prevalence of combined VHD and its clinical characteristics and impact on outcomes such as stroke/SE, all-cause death, cardiac death and hospitalization for HF.

Method

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in one of the wards of our city which is a typical urban district of Japan. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,466 patients by the end of November 2019. In the entire cohort, echocardiography data were available for 3,574 patients. 68 AF patients with prosthetic heart valves were excluded and we compared clinical characteristics and outcomes between 488 single VHD (103 Aortic valve disease (AVD), 315 mitral valve disease (MVD), 70 tricuspid valve disease (TVD)) and 158 combined VHD (46 AVD and MVD, 11 AVD and TVD, 66 MVD and TVD, 35 AVD and MVD and TVD).

Result

Compared with single VHD, patients with combined VHD were older (combined vs. single VHD: 78.5 vs. 76.0 years, respectively; p<0.01), more likely to have persistent/permanent type AF (73.4% vs. 63.9%, p=0.02) and prescription of warfarin (63.1% vs. 53.8%, p=0.04). Combined VHD was less likely to have diabetes mellitus (13.9% vs. 23.6%, p=0.01) and dyslipidemia (26.6% vs. 40.4%, p<0.01). Sex, body weight, hypertension, pre-existing HF were comparable between the two groups.

During the median follow-up of 1,474 days, the incidence rate of stroke/SE was not significantly different between the two groups (1.58 vs. 1.89 per 100 person-years, respectively, log rank p=0.10). The incidence rate of all-cause death (7.35 vs. 5.33, p=0.65), cardiac death (1.20 vs. 0.99, p=0.91) and hospitalization for HF (5.55 vs. 4.43, p=0.53) were also not significantly different. We previously reported AVD had significant impacts on cardiac adverse outcomes in AF patients, and we further analyzed event rates between combined VHD including AVD (AVD and MVD/TVD) and without AVD (MVD and TVD). Combined VHD with AVD group had higher incidence rate of all-cause death (10.7 vs. 5.79, p=0.03) than that without AVD group. However, the incidence rate of stroke/SE (1.98 vs. 1.56, p=0.59), cardiac death (0.98 vs. 1.14, p=0.68), hospitalization for HF (8.03 vs. 5.38, p=0.17) were not significantly different between the two groups.

Conclusion

As compared with single VHD, the risk of stroke/SE, all-cause death, cardiac death and hospitalization for HF in combined VHD was not significantly different. Among patients with combined VHD, those having AVD had higher incidence rate of all-cause death than those without AVD.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

The relationship between diastolic blood pressure and the risk of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Hypertension is one of the major risk factors of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, relationship between diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and cardiovascular events in AF patients remains unclear.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Japan. Follow-up data were available in 4,466 patients, and 4,429 patients with available data of DBP were examined. We divided the patients into three groups; G1 (DBP<70 mmHg, n=1,946), G2 (70≤DBP<80, n=1,321) and G3 (80≤DBP, n=1,162), and compared the clinical background and outcomes between groups.

Results

The proportion of female was grater in G1 group, and the patients in G1 group were older and had higher prevalence of heart failure (HF), diabetes mellitus (DM), chronic kidney disease (CKD). Prescription of beta blockers was higher in G1 group, but that of renin-angiotensin system-inhibitors and calcium channel blocker was comparable. During the median follow-up of 1,589 days, in Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence rates of cardiovascular events (composite of cardiac death, ischemic stroke and systemic embolism, major bleeding and HF hospitalization during follow up) were higher in G1 group and G3 group than G2 group (Figure 1). When we divided the patients based on the systolic blood pressure (SBP) at baseline (≥130 mmHg or <130 mmHg), the incidence of rates of cardiovascular events were comparable among groups. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis including female gender, age (≥75 years), higher SBP (≥130 mmHg), DM, pre-existing HF, CKD, low left ventricular ejection fraction (<40%) and DBP (G1, G2, G3) revealed that DBP was an independent determinant of cardiovascular events (G1 group vs. G2 group; hazard ratio (HR): 1.40, 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.19–1.64, G3 group vs. G2 group; HR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.01–1.49). When we examined the impact of DBP according to 10 mmHg increment, patients with very low DBP (<60 mmHg) (HR: 1.50,95% CI:1.24–1.80) and very high DBP (≥90 mmHg) (HR: 1.51,95% CI:1.15–1.98) had higher incidence of cardiovascular events than patients with DBP of 70–79 mmHg (Figure 2). However, when we examined the impact of SBP according to 20 mmHg increment, SBP at baseline was not associated with the incidence of cardiovascular events (Figure 3).

Conclusion

In Japanese patients with AF, DBP exhibited J curve association with higher incidence of cardiovascular events.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Adverse outcomes after worsening renal function in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) commonly coexist with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOAC) are recommended for stroke prevention in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF), and worsening renal function (WRF) as well as CKD is an important issue in using NOAC. However, little is known about the clinical outcomes of patients after WRF.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate outcomes after WRF in AF patients.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in our city. Follow-up data including prescription status were available for 4,441 patients. Of them, 1,890 patients who have baseline and at least 1 follow-up creatinine clearance (CrCl) measurements, estimated by the Cockcroft-Gault formula, were analyzed in the present study. WRF was defined as a decrease of ≥20% from baseline CrCl measurement at any time point during follow-up. We evaluated demographics and outcomes after WRF in AF patients.

Results

During the median follow-up period of 2,194 days, mean CrCl decrease of 2.2 ml/min/year was observed and WRF occurred in 981 patients (51.9%). Patients with WRF were significantly more often female (with vs. without WRF; 40.3% vs. 35.4%; p=0.03), older (73.4 vs. 71.1 years of age; p<0.01), more often paroxysmal type (49.9% vs. 47.1%; p<0.01), and more likely to have prior stroke (17.9% vs. 12.7%; p<0.01), heart failure (30.8% vs. 24.8%; p<0.01), diabetes (31.7% vs. 27.1%; p=0.03), and coronary artery disease (19.9% vs. 12.1%; p<0.01) than those without WRF. Co-existing of CKD and mean CrCl at baseline were comparable (37.4% vs. 36.9%; p=0.82, 65.3 vs. 63.5 ml/min; p=0.66, respectively). Mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was significantly higher in WRF patients (3.55 vs. 3.03; p<0.01). On landmark analysis, all-cause mortality occurred in 135 patients (8.6 /100 person-years) after WRF and 82 patients (1.7 /100 person-years) without WRF, with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 6.33 (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.33–9.50; p<0.01), adjusted by sex, age, body weight, serum creatinine, type of AF, oral anticoagulant prescription and comorbidities. Stroke or systemic embolism occurred in 45 patients after WRF (3.0 /100 person-years) and 78 (1.7 /100 person-years) patients without WRF (adjusted HR 1.60 [95% CI, 1.04–2.49; p=0.03]) (Figure).

Conclusions

AF patients after WRF had higher incidence of various adverse events.

Incidence of Adverse Outcomes

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Other. Main funding source(s): The Practical Research Project for Life-Style related Diseases including Cardiovascular Diseases and Diabetes Mellitus from Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development. Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi-Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Aventis, and Takeda Pharmaceutical.

Clinical impact of regression from sustained to paroxysmal atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) commonly progresses from paroxysmal type to sustained type in the natural course of the disease, and we previously demonstrated that the progression of AF was associated with increased risk of clinical adverse events. There are some patients, though less frequently, who regress from sustained to paroxysmal AF, but the clinical impact of the regression of AF remains unknown.

Purpose

We sought to investigate whether regression from sustained to paroxysmal AF is associated with better clinical outcomes.

Methods

Using the dataset of the Fushimi AF Registry, patients who were diagnosed as sustained (persistent or permanent) AF at baseline were studied. Conversion of sustained AF to paroxysmal AF during follow-up was defined as regression of AF. Major adverse cardiac events (MACE) were defined as the composite of cardiac death, stroke, and hospitalization for heart failure (HF). Event rates were compared between the patients with and without regression of AF. In patients with sustained AF at baseline, predictors of MACE were identified using Cox proportional hazards model.

Results

Among 2,253 patients who were diagnosed as sustained AF at baseline, regression of AF was observed in 9.0% (202/2,253, 2.0 per 100 patient-years) during a median follow-up of 4.0 years. Of these, 24.3% (49/202, 4.6 per 100 patient-years) of the patients finally recurred to sustained AF during follow-up. The proportion of asymptomatic patients was lower in patients with regression of AF than those without (with vs without regression; 49.0% vs 69.5%, p<0.01). The percentage of beta-blocker use at baseline was similar between the two groups (37.2% vs 33.8%, p=0.34). The prevalence of patients who underwent catheter ablation or electrical cardioversion during follow-up was higher in patients with regression of AF (catheter ablation: 15.8% vs 5.5%; p<0.01, cardioversion: 4.0% vs 1.4%; p<0.01, respectively). The rate of MACE was significantly lower in patients with regression of AF as compared with patients who maintained sustained AF (3.7 vs 6.2 per 100 patient-years, log-rank p<0.01). Figure shows the Kaplan-Meier curves for MACE, cardiac death, hospitalization for heart failure, and stroke. In patients with sustained AF at baseline, multivariable Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated that regression of AF was an independent predictor of lower MACE (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 0.50, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.28 to 0.88, p=0.02), stroke (HR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.30 to 0.88, p=0.02), and hospitalization for HF (HR: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.29 to 0.85, p=0.01).

Conclusion

Regression from sustained to paroxysmal AF was associated with a lower incidence of adverse cardiac events.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Plasma natriuretic peptide level is an independent determinant of major clinical outcomes in atrial fibrillation patients without heart failure: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of death, stroke/systemic embolism and heart failure (HF). Plasma natriuretic peptide (NP) level is an important prognostic marker in HF patients. However, little is known regarding the prognostic significance of plasma NP level in AF patients without HF.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between plasma NP level and clinical outcomes such as all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism and HF hospitalization during follow-up period in AF patients without HF.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in our city. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,466 patients by the end of November 2019. From the registry, we excluded 1,220 patients without a pre-existing HF (defined as having one of the following; prior hospitalization for HF, New York Heart Association class ≥2, or left ventricular ejection fraction <40%). Among 3,246 AF patients without HF, we investigated 1,189 patients with the data of plasma BNP (n=401) or N-terminal pro-BNP (n=788) level at the enrollment. We divided the patients according to the quartile of each plasma BNP or NT-pro BNP level and compared the backgrounds and outcomes between these 4 groups stratified by plasma NP level.

Results

Of 1,189 patients, the mean age was 72.1±10.2 years, 454 (38%) were female and 684 (58%) were paroxysmal AF. The mean CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc score were 1.6±1.1 and 2.9±1.5, respectively. Oral anticoagulants were prescribed in 671 (56%) at baseline. The median (interquartile range) BNP and N-terminal pro-BNP level were 84 (38, 176) and 500 (155, 984) pg/ml, respectively. Patients with high plasma NP level were older, and demonstrated lower prevalence of paroxysmal AF, higher CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores and higher prevalence of chronic kidney disease and oral anticoagulants prescription (all P<0.01). A total of 165 all-cause death, 114 stroke/systemic embolism and 103 HF hospitalization occurred during the median follow-up period of 5.0 years. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that higher plasma NP level was significantly associated with the incidences of all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism and HF hospitalization in AF patients without HF (Figure 1A). Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that plasma NP level could stratify the risk of clinical outcomes even after adjustment by type of AF, CHA2DS2-VASc score, chronic kidney disease and oral anticoagulant prescription (Figure 1B).

Conclusion

Plasma NP level is a significant prognostic marker for all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism and HF hospitalization in AF patients without HF, suggesting the importance of measuring plasma NP level in AF patients even without HF.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Rocuronium priming for tracheal intubation in COVID-19 patients

Priming doses of non-depolarising neuromuscular blocking drugs given before administration of anaesthetic agents have been used to hasten the onset of neuromuscular blockade. In the settings of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), this could be used to reduce the apnoeic, and potentially aerosol-generating, window. To our knowledge, we report the first cases of tracheal intubation with rocuronium for COVID-19 using the priming principle. Both patients needed their tracheas intubated for severe hypoxia using a rapid sequence induction technique with a priming dose of rocuronium. Despite adequate pre-oxygenation a sudden, unexpected fall in arterial oxygen saturations was observed in both patients after administration of a priming dose of 2 mg of rocuronium. Clinicians should consider this possible risk associated with priming doses of neuromuscular blocking drugs in the management of patients with respiratory failure due to COVID-19.

AB1103 AUTOMATIC FINGER JOINT BONE EROSION SCORE PREDICTION CONSIDERING 2-TIME-POINT X-RAYS OF PATIENTS WITH RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS BY DEEP LEARNING

Background:

Medical image analysis using deep learning (DL) has been attracting attention. In previous research, we proposed a DL method for detection of joint region and evaluation for bone destruction at a single point in time in hand X-rays of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) [1-2]. However, in the score of van der Heijde-modified total Sharp scores (mTSS) in X-rays, it is difficult to apply the method as it is. In mTSS, score difference between 2-time points is important, and there is a problem that the score at each time varies depending on the doctor who evaluates.

Objectives:

We aimed at developing an mTSS scoring method considering 2-time-point difference with a DL method.

Methods:

A total of 104 X-ray image sets of both hands at two time points with an interval of ≥1 year were randomly obtained from patients with RA who had visited our clinic in 2015. Well-trained doctors determined the erosion scores of MP and PIP/IP joints of each hand in X-rays according to mTSS. These evaluations of hand joints were performed using our developed annotation software tool. In the learning phase, joint images were randomly divided into five sets for 5-fold cross-validation. We utilized a convolutional neural network model, such as SSD [3], for detecting joint regions and classifying the scores (Fig 1).

Figure1.

The models for classification were designed in consideration of the difference in erosion scores of each patient between the 2-time points of X-rays. The loss function of the DL model was defined bellow;

Here, the coefficient γ is designed to reduce the error for another set of scores with equal differences. The first term of the loss function works to optimize the score at each time point, and the second term works to optimize the score difference at both time points. Thus, our method can be trained without being affected by characteristic training data.

Results:

The number of joints with differences in erosion score between the former and latter time points was 1 (-2 points), 9 (-1), 2015 (0), 32 (+1), 17 (+2), and 6 (+3). There were no joints with score changes of -5, -4, -3, +4, and +5 points.

As a performance of predicting the difference in erosion score between the 2-time points of each patient’s X-ray, our models presented a mean error of 0.412 per each joint in one set for 5-cross validation as compared with physicians’ evaluation (Fig 2).

Figure 2.

Conclusion:

Our DL-based models to predict hand joint erosion scores in X-rays were developed with relatively small samples. This suggests that the predictive performance may increase by collecting more training dataset. Next, we will apply our method to the prediction of joint space narrowing score.

References:

[1]Izumi K, Hashimoto M, Suzuki K, et al. Detecting Hand Joint Ankylosis in Radiographic Images Using Deep Learning: A Step in Developing Automatic Radiographic Scoring System for Bone Destruction.Arthritis Rheumatol2018;70 (suppl 10).

[2]Izumi K, Suzuki K, Hashimoto M, et al. SAT0543 AUTOMATIC DETECTION OF HAND JOINT REGION, ANKYLOSIS AND SUBLUXATION IN RADIOGRAPHIC IMAGES USING DEEP LEARNING: DEVELOPMENT OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE-BASED RADIOGRAPHIC EVALUATION SYSTEM FOR BONE DESTRUCTION.Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases2019;78 (suppl 2), pp. 1364-1364.

[3]Liu W, Anguelov D, Szgedy C, et al. SSD: single shot multibox detector.European Conference on Computer Vision (ECCV) 2016.

Acknowledgments:

Izumi and Suzuki are contributed equally.

Disclosure of Interests:

Keisuke Izumi Grant/research support from: Asahi Kasei Pharma, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Speakers bureau: Asahi Kasei Pharma Corp, Astellas Pharma Inc., Bristol Myers Squibb, Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Eli Lilly Japan K.K., Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Co., Kanata Suzuki Employee of: Fujitsu Laboratories Ltd., Masahiro Hashimoto: None declared, Toshio Endoh Employee of: Fujitsu Laboratories Ltd., Kentaro Doi Employee of: Fujitsu Ltd., Yuki Iwai Employee of: Fujitsu Ltd., Yuko Kaneko Speakers bureau: AbbVie, Eisai Pharmaceutical, Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Bristol Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma Inc., Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Co., Pfizer Japan Inc., Janssen Pharmaceutical K.K., Eli Lilly Japan K.K., Santen Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Kyowa Hakko Kirin Co. Ltd. and UCB Japan Co. Ltd., Masahiro Jinzaki: None declared, Shigeru Ko Grant/research support from: Fujitsu Ltd., Tsutomu Takeuchi Grant/research support from: Astellas Pharma Inc, Chugai Pharmaceutical Co, Ltd., Daiichi Sankyo Co., Ltd., Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., AbbVie GK, Asahikasei Pharma Corp., Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Co., Pfizer Japan Inc., Eisai Co., Ltd., AYUMI Pharmaceutical Corporation, Nipponkayaku Co. Ltd., Novartis Pharma K.K., Teijin, Consultant of: Astra Zeneca K.K., Eli Lilly Japan K.K., Novartis Pharma K.K., Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Co., Abbivie GK, Nipponkayaku Co.Ltd, Janssen Pharmaceutical K.K., Astellas Pharma Inc., Taiho Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., Chugai Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., Taisho Toyama Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., GlaxoSmithKline K.K., UCB Japan Co. Ltd., Speakers bureau: Astellas Pharma Inc., Bristol Myers Squibb, Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Co., Pfizer Japan Inc., Santen Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Teijin Pharma Ltd., AbbVie GK, Asahi Kasei Pharma Corp., Taisho Toyama Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., SymBio Pharmaceuticals Ltd., Janssen Pharmaceutical K.K., Celltrion Inc., Nipponkayaku Co. Ltd., and UCB Japan

Prospects for observing and localizing gravitational-wave transients with Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo and KAGRA

We present our current best estimate of the plausible observing scenarios for the Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo and KAGRA gravitational-wave detectors over the next several years, with the intention of providing information to facilitate planning for multi-messenger astronomy with gravitational waves. We estimate the sensitivity of the network to transient gravitational-wave signals for the third (O3), fourth (O4) and fifth observing (O5) runs, including the planned upgrades of the Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo detectors. We study the capability of the network to determine the sky location of the source for gravitational-wave signals from the inspiral of binary systems of compact objects, that is binary neutron star, neutron star-black hole, and binary black hole systems. The ability to localize the sources is given as a sky-area probability, luminosity distance, and comoving volume. The median sky localization area (90% credible region) is expected to be a few hundreds of square degrees for all types of binary systems during O3 with the Advanced LIGO and Virgo (HLV) network. The median sky localization area will improve to a few tens of square degrees during O4 with the Advanced LIGO, Virgo, and KAGRA (HLVK) network. During O3, the median localization volume (90% credible region) is expected to be on the order of 10 5 , 10 6 , 10 7 Mpc 3 for binary neutron star, neutron star-black hole, and binary black hole systems, respectively. The localization volume in O4 is expected to be about a factor two smaller than in O3. We predict a detection count of 1 - 1 + 12 ( 10 - 10 + 52 ) for binary neutron star mergers, of 0 - 0 + 19 ( 1 - 1 + 91 ) for neutron star-black hole mergers, and 17 - 11 + 22 ( 79 - 44 + 89 ) for binary black hole mergers in a one-calendar-year observing run of the HLV network during O3 (HLVK network during O4). We evaluate sensitivity and localization expectations for unmodeled signal searches, including the search for intermediate mass black hole binary mergers.

Domain Unknown Function DUF1668-Containing Genes in Multiple Lineages Are Responsible for F1 Pollen Sterility in Rice

Postzygotic reproductive isolation maintains species integrity and uniformity and contributes to speciation by restricting the free gene flow between divergent species. In this study we identify causal genes of two Mendelian factors S22A and S22B on rice chromosome 2 inducing F₁ pollen sterility in hybrids between Oryza sativa japonica-type cultivar Taichung 65 (T65) and a wild relative of rice species Oryza glumaepatula. The causal gene of S22B in T65 encodes a protein containing DUF1668 and gametophytically expressed in the anthers, designated S22B_j. The O. glumaepatula allele S22B-g, allelic to S22B_j, possesses three non-synonymous substitutions and a 2-bp deletion, leading to a frameshifted translation at the S22B C-terminal region. Transcription level of S22B-j and/or S22B_g did not solely determine the fertility of pollen grains by genotypes at S22B. Western blotting of S22B found that one major band with approximately 46 kDa appeared only at the mature stage and was reduced on semi-sterile heterozygotes at S22B, implying that the 46 kDa band may associated in hybrid sterility. In addition, causal genes of S22A in T65 were found to be S22A_j1 and S22A_j3 encoding DUF1668-containing protein. The allele of a wild rice species Oryza meridionalis Ng at S22B, designated S22B_m, is a loss-of-function allele probably due to large deletion of the gene lacking DUF1668 domain and evolved from the different lineage of O. glumaepatula. Phylogenetic analysis of DUF1668 suggested that many gene duplications occurred before the divergence of current crops in Poaceae, and loss-of-function mutations of DUF1668-containing genes represent the candidate causal genetic events contributing to hybrid incompatibilities. The duplicated DUF1668-domain gene may provide genetic potential to induce hybrid incompatibility by consequent mutations after divergence.

Oral steroid decreases the progression of joint destruction of large joints in the lower extremities in rheumatoid arthritis

To identify the risk factors for destruction of large joints in the lower extremities in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) during a 4-year follow-up period in a prospective study.We enrolled consecutive patients who participated in both 2012 and 2016. Clinical data, disease activity, and types of medication were collected in 2012. Standard anteroposterior radiographs of weight-bearing joints (hips, knees, and ankles) were taken in 2012 and 2016. Radiographic progression was defined as progression in the Larsen grade or the need for joint arthroplasty or arthrodesis. The association between baseline characteristics and the incidence of radiographic progression was statistically assessed.A total of 213 patient were enrolled, and, after exclusion, 186 patients were analyzed. Sixty 9 patients (37.1%) showed radiographic progression in 1 of the large joints in the lower extremities. Multivariate regression analysis showed that radiographic progression was associated with older age, higher disease activity, and the presence of radiographic destruction at the baseline. The lower dosage of oral prednisolone was a significant risk factor compared with higher dosage when used.Patients with the risk factors should be followed closely to limit the progression of large joint destruction in the lower extremities.

P3771Validation of risk scoring system predicting for progression of atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risks of thromboembolism and death. Progression from paroxysmal to sustained types (persistent or permanent) of AF is sometimes seen in clinical practice. We recently reported that progression of AF was associated with increased risk of clinical adverse events in Japanese AF patients. However, risk stratification schemes of predicting the progression of AF has not been fully established.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry, a community-based prospective survey, was designed to enroll all of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, which is a typical urban district of Japan with a population of 283,000. Follow-up data were available for 4,454 patients. We investigated the risk factors of AF progression and validated the performance of various risk scoring systems predicting for progression of AF, such as APPLE, BASE-AF2, HATCH, and MB-LATER score, using data from 995 paroxysmal AF patients (mean age; 72.6±11.4 years, female; 42.2%, mean CHA2DS2-VASc score; 3.26±1.67) whose echocardiogram data were obtained at baseline.

Results

Of 995 AF patients, during the median follow-up of 1,477 days, progression from paroxysmal to sustained AF occurred in 160 patients (16.1%; 4.0 per 100 person-years). On a multivariate model, we indicated that history of AF ≥2 years (odds ratio [OR] 1.83; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28–2.61), left atrial diameter ≥40 mm (OR 1.45; 95% CI 1.02–2.08), daily drinker (OR 1.56; 95% CI 1.24–2.81), and cardiomyopathy (OR 2.58; 95% CI 1.17–5.69) were significantly associated with higher incidence of AF progression. Our model had better predictive potential for AF progression (area under curve [AUC] 0.612; 95% CI 0.566–0.658) than the APPLE (AUC 0.553; 95% CI 0.508–0.598; p=0.06), BASE-AF2 (AUC 0.571; 95% CI 0.526–0.617; p=0.04), CHADS2 (AUC 0.508; 95% CI 0.462–0.554; p<0.01), CHA2DS2-VASc (AUC 0.501; 95% CI 0.453–0.548; p<0.01), HATCH (AUC 0.502; 95% CI 0.456–0.548; p<0.01), and MB-LATER (AUC 0.528; 95% CI 0.483–0.572; p<0.01) score.

Conclusion

We identified 4 risk factors which may be useful to predict for progression of AF in Japanese patients. External validation of our model in other cohorts is needed.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Boehringer, Bayer, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers, Astellas, AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Novartis, MSD, Sanofi and Takeda. Japan Agency for Medical Research

P3780Clinical characteristics and outcomes in Japanese atrial fibrillation patients with valvular heart disease: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Previous studies have suggested that valvular atrial fibrillation (VAF), defined as atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with prosthetic valve or rheumatic mitral stenosis, increased the risks of thromboembolism. However, clinical characteristics and outcomes of VAF and non-valvular AF (NVAF) patients with other valvular heart disease (VHD) has not been fully described.

Method

The Fushimi AF Registry was designed to enroll all of the AF patients. In the entire cohort (4,454 patients), follow-up data including echocardiography data were available for 3,566 patients. We compared clinical characteristics and outcomes between 131 VAF patients (3.7%), 583 NVAF with VHD (NVAF-VHD: 16.3%) and 2,852 without VHD (Non-VHD: 80.0%).

Result

Compared with Non-VHD, patients in VAF and NVAF-VHD were older (VAF vs. NVAF-VHD vs. Non-VHD: 74.3 vs. 76.9 vs. 72.9 years, respectively; p≤0.0001), more often female (56.5% vs. 51.1% vs. 36.9%, p≤0.0001), less in body weight (54.3 vs. 54.7 vs. 60.6 kg, p≤0.0001), more persistent/permanent type (64.1% vs. 65.4% vs. 45.8%, p≤0.0001), more likely to have heart failure (61.8% vs. 53.2% vs. 23.3%, p≤0.0001), had higher CHADS2 score (2.18 vs. 2.49 vs. 1.96, p≤0.0001) and CHA2DS2-VASc score (3.71 vs. 4.02 vs. 3.26, p≤0.0001), and received oral anticoagulant prescription more frequently (78.6% vs. 63.0% vs. 55.6%, p0.0001). NVAF-VHD was more likely to have previous stroke/systemic embolism (SE) than VHD or Non-VHD (14.5% vs. 23.5% vs. 19.6%, p=0.03). VAF or NVAF-VHD had larger left atrium than Non-VHD (50.5 vs. 47.2 vs. 42.4 mm, p<0.0001). Heart rate, diabetes mellitus and previous bleeding were comparable between the groups.

During the median follow-up of 1,471 days, the incidence rate of stroke/SE was not significantly different between three groups, however, NVAF-VHD showed modestly higher rate than Non-VHD (1.67 vs. 1.96 vs. 1.28 per 100 person-years, respectively, log rank p=0.054) (Figure). The incidence rates of all-cause death (4.62 vs. 5.74 vs. 3.21, p≤0.0001), cardiac death (1.07 vs. 1.01 vs. 0.44, p=0.0003), and those of hospitalization for heart failure (3.29 vs. 4.41 vs. 1.80, p≤0.0001) were higher in NVAF-VHD and VAF, than Non-VHD. After adjustment by relevant factors including the components of CHA2DS2-VASc score and oral anticoagulant use, NVAF-VHD, but not VAF, was an independent predictor for hospitalization for heart failure. Neither VAF nor NVAF-VHD was predictors for all-cause death, cardiac death or stroke/SE.

Figure 1. Incidence of stroke/SE

Conclusion

As compared with Non-VHD, the risk of stroke/SE in VAF and NVAF-VHD was not particularly high; although NVAF-VHD had modestly higher rate than Non-VHD. VAF and NVAF-VHD were associated with higher incidence rates of all-cause death, cardiac death and hospitalization for heart failure. NVAF-VHD was an independent predictor for hospitalization for heart failure in multivariate analysis.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare and Daiichi Sankyo

P5663Impact of proteinuria on cardiovascular outcomes in Japanese diabetic patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Previous studies have suggested that proteinuria is independently associated with clinical outcomes in diabetic patients, irrespective of the presence of renal dysfunction. However, data regarding the impact of proteinuria on clinical outcomes in diabetic patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are limited.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in our city in Japan. Follow-up data were available in 4,454 patients, and 634 diabetic patients with available data of proteinuria and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were examined. We compared the clinical background and outcomes between patients with proteinuria (n=251) and those without (n=383). Then, we divided the patients into 4 subgroups according to the presence of proteinuria and renal dysfunction, and compared the clinical outcomes between groups; group 1 (without proteinuria, eGFR ≥60 ml/min/1.73 m2; n=203), group 2 (with proteinuria, eGFR ≥60; n=96), group 3 (without proteinuria, eGFR <60; n=180), group 4 (with proteinuria, eGFR <60; n=155).

Results

Age was comparable between patients with or without proteinuria. Patients with proteinuria had higher prevalences of previous heart failure (HF), stroke/systemic embolism, hypertension and renal dysfunction. The prevalences of previous myocardial infarction, and major bleeding were similar between two groups. During the median follow-up of 1,505 days, the incidence rates of HF hospitalization (4.1/100 person-years vs. 2.5/100 person-years; p<0.01) and cardiovascular death (1.8/100 person-years vs. 0.4/100 person-years; p<0.01) were higher in patients with proteinuria. When we divided patients into 4 subgroups, the incidences of HF hospitalization (group 1: 1.8/100 person-years vs. group 2: 3.4/100 person-years vs. group 3: 3.8/100 person-years vs. group 4: 4.9/100 person-years; p<0.01) and cardiovascular death (group 1: 0.3/100 person-years vs. group 2: 1.8/100 person-years vs. group 3: 0.5/100 person-years vs. group 4: 2.2/100 person-years; p<0.01) tended to be higher in not only group 3 and group 4 but also group 2 than group 1 (Figure). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis including female gender, age (≥75 years), hypertension, pre-existing HF, renal dysfunction (eGFR <60),low left ventricular ejection fraction (<40%) and proteinuria revealed that proteinuria was an independent determinant of both of HF hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.57, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05–2.34) and cardiovascular death (HR: 3.76, 95% CI: 1.59–8.88).

Figure 1

Conclusion

In Japanese diabetic patients with AF, proteinuria was associated with higher incidences of HF hospitalization and cardiovascular death, irrespective of the presence of renal dysfunction.

P3758Clinical characteristics and outcomes of atrial fibrillation patients with thrombocytopenia: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Thrombocytopenia is sometimes found in routine blood tests and is reported as a risk factor of major bleeding events and incidence of all-cause death after percutaneous coronary intervention. However, the influence of thrombocytopenia on clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unknown.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate relationship between baseline platelet count and clinical outcomes such as all-cause death, hospitalization for heart failure, and the major bleeding event in AF patients.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry was designed to enroll all of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto. Fushimi-ku is densely populated with a total population of 283,000 and is assumed to represent a typical urban community in Japan. Follow-up data with baseline platelet counts were available in 4,179 patients from March 2011 to November 2018. We divided the entire cohort into 3 groups according to baseline platelet level: No thrombocytopenia (≥150,000/μL, n=3,323), Mild thrombocytopenia (100,000–149,999/μL, n=707), and Moderate/severe thrombocytopenia (≤99,999/μL, n=149).

Results

In the entire cohort, the mean age was 73 years, 40% were women, and the mean body weight and body mass index was 59 kg and 23.1 kg/m2, and the median platelet count were 192,000/μL (interquartile range 156,000 to 232,000/μL), respectively.

Compared to No thrombocytopenia, patients with thrombocytopenia were older (No vs. Mild vs. Moderate/severe; 73.3 years vs. 76.5 years vs. 75.8 years, p<0.0001), more likely to have heart failure (27.0% vs. 32.8% vs. 41.6%, p<0.0001), more likely to have chronic renal disease (35.7% vs. 42.6% vs. 57.7%, p<0.0001), and had higher CHADS2 score (2.05 vs. 2.17 vs. 2.34, p=0.0039) and CHA2DS2-VASc score (3.40 vs. 3.52 vs. 3.71, p=0.0416). Patients with thrombocytopenia had lower hemoglobin (13.0 vs. 12.8 vs. 11.6, p<0.0001) than No thrombocytopenia. However, prevalence of previous major bleeding events was comparable between three groups (4.66% vs. 4.67% vs. 5.37%, p=0.92)

On Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence of all-cause death was higher in Mild group (hazard ratio [HR] 1.51; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28–1.77) and Moderate/severe group (HR 2.97; 95% CI 2.28–3.80) than No group (Figure 1). The incidence of hospitalization for heart failure was higher in Mild group (HR 1.62; 95% CI 1.31–1.99) and Moderate/severe group (HR 2.64; 95% CI 1.76–3.81) than No group (Figure 2). The incidence of major bleeding event was higher in Mild group (HR 1.46; 95% CI 1.11–1.91) and Moderate/severe group (HR 2.45; 95% CI 1.41–3.91) than No group (Figure 3).

Conclusion

Thrombocytopenia in AF patients was associated with higher incidence of all-cause death, hospitalization for heart failure, and major bleeding event in the Fushimi AF Registry.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare,and Daiichi-Sankyo

Distinct biomarkers for different bones in osteoporosis with rheumatoid arthritis

Background

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is known to cause secondary osteoporosis and fragility fractures. This study aimed to identify biomarkers predictive of bone mineral density (BMD) change at three anatomical sites in patients with RA.

Methods

We conducted a prospective longitudinal study in patients with RA. In 2012, we recruited 379 patients from an RA cohort, 329 of whom underwent evaluation of blood and urine biomarkers together with measurement of BMD in the lumbar spine, proximal femur, and distal forearm. The BMD in these three regions was reassessed in 2014. We performed multivariate linear regression analysis to identify those factors associated with BMD change.

Results

The averages of age, body mass index, and disease activity score in 28 joints (DAS28) at baseline were 63.2 (minimum to maximum, 32–85), 21.3 (12.3–30.0), and 3.2 (0.1–5.9), respectively. Univariate analysis showed that the annual BMD change was significantly associated with the use of steroid, bisphosphonate (BP) or vitamin D (VitD), and serum homocysteine in the lumber spine; DAS28, the use of BP or VitD, CRP, and anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody (ACPA) in the proximal femur; and the dosage of MTX, the use of BP or VitD, and serum tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase 5b (TRACP-5b) in the distal forearm, respectively.

Conclusions

Predictive biomarkers for BMD change in RA patients differ at each anatomical site. Practitioners should treat each anatomical site with different markers and prescribe osteoporosis drugs to prevent fractures for RA patients.

QTL analysis for carbon assimilate translocation-related traits during maturity in rice (Oryza sativa L.)

Problems with carbon assimilate translocation from source organs to sink (grains) during ripening cause yield losses in rice (Oryza sativa L.), especially in high-sink-capacity varieties. We conducted a genetic analysis of traits related to such translocation by using recombinant inbred lines. Shoot weight (SW) of T65, a japonica parent, was retained from heading to late maturity, whereas that of DV85, an aus parent, was greater than that of T65 at 5 days after heading (DAH) and then decreased until 20 DAH. This difference was observed clearly under standard-fertilizer but not low-fertilizer conditions. Non-structural carbohydrate (NSC) contents in the parents showed a tendency similar to that for SW. QTL analysis revealed pleiotropic QTLs on chromosomes 5 and 10, probably by associations with heading date QTLs. A QTL associated with harvest index and NSC at 5 DAH was detected on chromosome 1. By considering the temporal changes of the traits, we found a QTL for decrease in SW on chromosome 11; the DV85 allele of this QTL facilitated assimilate translocation and suppressed biomass growth. A suggestive QTL for NSC decrease was located on chromosome 2. These QTLs could represent potential targets for controlling carbon assimilate translocation in breeding programs.

Regional population differences of the brown planthopper (Nilaparvata lugens Stål) in Cambodia using genotyping-by-sequencing

The brown planthopper Nilaparvata lugens Stål (BPH) can be found year-round in tropical region and causes severe damage to rice. Although there has been documented BPH damage to rice crops in the past decade in Cambodia, the extent of this epidemic is poorly understood. Here, we examined the time variation of BPH population in the abundance of morphotypes in 13 main rice-producing provinces (86 sites) by aspirator method and in the Takeo Province (five sites) by yellow sticky trap method. At least three generations were observed during the 3-month collection period in the rainy growing season. Regarding the occurrence of BPH morphotypes, in July the macropterous adults were restricted to south Cambodia and in August all morphotypes, adults (macropterous and brachypterous) and nymphs, appeared in all sampling sites. To explain the difference of regional distribution, the genetic differentiation was analyzed in south and northwest Cambodia (three sites) by using single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) analysis via genotyping-by-sequencing (GBS) using next-generation sequencing. The 2455 SNPs obtained by GBS clarified the three sub-populations and they corresponded to the expected dissemination patterns. These results provide a clue to understand the differentiation and epidemic of BPH in Cambodia.

An Improved Computer-aided Diagnosis Scheme Using the Nearest Neighbor Criterion for Determining Histological Classification of Clustered Microcalcifications

Objectives : Our purpose was to evaluate the potential usefulness of the nearest neighbor case which was assumed to be the similar case in a CAD scheme for determining the histological classification of clustered microcalcifications.

Methods : Our database consisted of current and previous magnification mammograms obtained from 93 patients before and after three-month follow-up examination. It included 11 invasive carcinomas, 19 noninvasive carcinomas of the comedo type, 25 noninvasive carcinomas of the noncomedo type, 23 mas- topathies, and 15 fibroadenomas. Six objective features on clustered microcalcifications were first extracted from each of the current and the previous images. The nearest neighbor case was then identified by the Euclidean distance in the previous and current feature-space. The histological classification of an unknown new case in question was assumed to be thesame as that of the nearest neighbor case which has the shortest Euclidean distance in our database.

Results : The classification accuracies were 90.9% for invasive carcinoma, 89.5% for noninvasive carcinoma of the comedo type, 96.0% for noninvasive carcinoma of the noncomedo type, 82.6% for mastopathy, and 93.3% for fibroadenoma. These results were substantially higher than those with our previous CAD scheme.

Conclusion : The nearest neighbor criterion was useful in a CAD scheme for determining the histological classification.

Prospects for observing and localizing gravitational-wave transients with Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo and KAGRA

We present possible observing scenarios for the Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo and KAGRA gravitational-wave detectors over the next decade, with the intention of providing information to the astronomy community to facilitate planning for multi-messenger astronomy with gravitational waves. We estimate the sensitivity of the network to transient gravitational-wave signals, and study the capability of the network to determine the sky location of the source. We report our findings for gravitational-wave transients, with particular focus on gravitational-wave signals from the inspiral of binary neutron star systems, which are the most promising targets for multi-messenger astronomy. The ability to localize the sources of the detected signals depends on the geographical distribution of the detectors and their relative sensitivity, and [Formula: see text] credible regions can be as large as thousands of square degrees when only two sensitive detectors are operational. Determining the sky position of a significant fraction of detected signals to areas of 5-[Formula: see text] requires at least three detectors of sensitivity within a factor of [Formula: see text] of each other and with a broad frequency bandwidth. When all detectors, including KAGRA and the third LIGO detector in India, reach design sensitivity, a significant fraction of gravitational-wave signals will be localized to a few square degrees by gravitational-wave observations alone.