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Reddy T, Kapoor NR, Kubota S, Doubova SV, Asai D, Mariam DH, Ayele W, Mebratie AD, Thermidor R, Sapag JC, Bedregal P, Passi-Solar Á, Gordon-Strachan G, Dulal M, Gadeka DD, Mehata S, Margozzini P, Leerapan B, Rittiphairoj T, Kaewkamjornchai P, Nega A, Awoonor-Williams JK, Kruk ME, Arsenault C. Associations between the stringency of COVID-19 containment policies and health service disruptions in 10 countries. BMC Health Serv Res 2023; 23:363. [PMID: 37046260 PMCID: PMC10096103 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-023-09363-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/14/2022] [Accepted: 04/03/2023] [Indexed: 04/14/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Disruptions in essential health services during the COVID-19 pandemic have been reported in several countries. Yet, patterns in health service disruption according to country responses remain unclear. In this paper, we investigate associations between the stringency of COVID-19 containment policies and disruptions in 31 health services in 10 low- middle- and high-income countries in 2020. METHODS Using routine health information systems and administrative data from 10 countries (Chile, Ethiopia, Ghana, Haiti, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Mexico, Nepal, South Africa, South Korea, and Thailand) we estimated health service disruptions for the period of April to December 2020 by dividing monthly service provision at national levels by the average service provision in the 15 months pre-COVID (January 2019-March 2020). We used the Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker (OxCGRT) index and multi-level linear regression analyses to assess associations between the stringency of restrictions and health service disruptions over nine months. We extended the analysis by examining associations between 11 individual containment or closure policies and health service disruptions. Models were adjusted for COVID caseload, health service category and country GDP and included robust standard errors. FINDINGS Chronic disease care was among the most affected services. Regression analyses revealed that a 10% increase in the mean stringency index was associated with a 3.3 percentage-point (95% CI -3.9, -2.7) reduction in relative service volumes. Among individual policies, curfews, and the presence of a state of emergency, had the largest coefficients and were associated with 14.1 (95% CI -19.6, 8.7) and 10.7 (95% CI -12.7, -8.7) percentage-point lower relative service volumes, respectively. In contrast, number of COVID-19 cases in 2020 was not associated with health service disruptions in any model. CONCLUSIONS Although containment policies were crucial in reducing COVID-19 mortality in many contexts, it is important to consider the indirect effects of these restrictions. Strategies to improve the resilience of health systems should be designed to ensure that populations can continue accessing essential health care despite the presence of containment policies during future infectious disease outbreaks.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tarylee Reddy
- Biostatistics Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Durban, South Africa
- School of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of KwaZulu Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Neena R Kapoor
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, USA
| | - Shogo Kubota
- World Health Organization, Vientiane, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Vientiane, Laos
| | - Svetlana V Doubova
- Epidemiology and Health Services Research Unit CMN Siglo XXI, Mexican Institute of Social Security, Mexico City, Mexico
| | - Daisuke Asai
- World Health Organization, Vientiane, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Vientiane, Laos
| | - Damen Haile Mariam
- School of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Wondimu Ayele
- School of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Anagaw Derseh Mebratie
- School of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Roody Thermidor
- Studies and Planning Unit, Ministry of Public Health and Population, Port-Au-Prince, Haiti
| | - Jaime C Sapag
- Public Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Paula Bedregal
- Public Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Álvaro Passi-Solar
- Public Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | | | - Mahesh Dulal
- Office of the Member of Federal Parliament Gagan Kumar Thapa, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | | | - Suresh Mehata
- Ministry of Health, Koshi Province, Biratnagar, Nepal
| | - Paula Margozzini
- Public Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Borwornsom Leerapan
- Faculty of Medicine Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | | | | | - Adiam Nega
- School of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | | | - Margaret E Kruk
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, USA
| | - Catherine Arsenault
- Department of Global Health, The George Washington University Milken Institute School of Public Health, Washington, USA.
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Turcotte-Tremblay AM, Leerapan B, Akweongo P, Amponsah F, Aryal A, Asai D, Awoonor-Williams JK, Ayele W, Bauhoff S, Doubova SV, Gadeka DD, Dulal M, Gage A, Gordon-Strachan G, Haile-Mariam D, Joseph JP, Kaewkamjornchai P, Kapoor NR, Gelaw SK, Kim MK, Kruk ME, Kubota S, Margozzini P, Mehata S, Mthethwa L, Nega A, Oh J, Park SK, Passi-Solar A, Perez Cuevas RE, Reddy T, Rittiphairoj T, Sapag JC, Thermidor R, Tlou B, Arsenault C. Tracking health system performance in times of crisis using routine health data: lessons learned from a multicountry consortium. Health Res Policy Syst 2023; 21:14. [PMID: 36721180 PMCID: PMC9888332 DOI: 10.1186/s12961-022-00956-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2022] [Accepted: 12/28/2022] [Indexed: 02/02/2023] Open
Abstract
COVID-19 has prompted the use of readily available administrative data to track health system performance in times of crisis and to monitor disruptions in essential healthcare services. In this commentary we describe our experience working with these data and lessons learned across countries. Since April 2020, the Quality Evidence for Health System Transformation (QuEST) network has used administrative data and routine health information systems (RHIS) to assess health system performance during COVID-19 in Chile, Ethiopia, Ghana, Haiti, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Mexico, Nepal, South Africa, Republic of Korea and Thailand. We compiled a large set of indicators related to common health conditions for the purpose of multicountry comparisons. The study compiled 73 indicators. A total of 43% of the indicators compiled pertained to reproductive, maternal, newborn and child health (RMNCH). Only 12% of the indicators were related to hypertension, diabetes or cancer care. We also found few indicators related to mental health services and outcomes within these data systems. Moreover, 72% of the indicators compiled were related to volume of services delivered, 18% to health outcomes and only 10% to the quality of processes of care. While several datasets were complete or near-complete censuses of all health facilities in the country, others excluded some facility types or population groups. In some countries, RHIS did not capture services delivered through non-visit or nonconventional care during COVID-19, such as telemedicine. We propose the following recommendations to improve the analysis of administrative and RHIS data to track health system performance in times of crisis: ensure the scope of health conditions covered is aligned with the burden of disease, increase the number of indicators related to quality of care and health outcomes; incorporate data on nonconventional care such as telehealth; continue improving data quality and expand reporting from private sector facilities; move towards collecting patient-level data through electronic health records to facilitate quality-of-care assessment and equity analyses; implement more resilient and standardized health information technologies; reduce delays and loosen restrictions for researchers to access the data; complement routine data with patient-reported data; and employ mixed methods to better understand the underlying causes of service disruptions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anne-Marie Turcotte-Tremblay
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 401 Park Drive, 3Rd Floor East, room L3-015A5, Landmark Center, Boston, MA, 02215, USA. .,Université Laval, Québec, Canada.
| | - Borwornsom Leerapan
- grid.10223.320000 0004 1937 0490Faculty of Medicine Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Patricia Akweongo
- grid.8652.90000 0004 1937 1485School of Public Health, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana
| | - Freddie Amponsah
- Policy, Planning, Monitoring and Evaluation, Ghana Health Services, Accra, Ghana
| | - Amit Aryal
- grid.6612.30000 0004 1937 0642Swiss TPH, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Daisuke Asai
- World Health Organization, Vientiane, Lao People’s Democratic Republic
| | | | - Wondimu Ayele
- grid.7123.70000 0001 1250 5688School of Public Health, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Sebastian Bauhoff
- grid.38142.3c000000041936754XDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard University, Boston, USA
| | - Svetlana V. Doubova
- grid.419157.f0000 0001 1091 9430Epidemiology and Health Services Research Unit CMN Siglo XXI, Mexican Institute of Social Security, Mexico City, Mexico
| | | | - Mahesh Dulal
- Office of the Member of Federal Parliament Gagan Kumar Thapa, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | - Anna Gage
- grid.38142.3c000000041936754XDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 401 Park Drive, 3Rd Floor East, room L3-015A5, Landmark Center, Boston, MA 02215 USA
| | - Georgiana Gordon-Strachan
- grid.461576.70000 0000 8786 7651Caribbean Institute for Health Research, University of West Indies, Kingston, Jamaica
| | - Damen Haile-Mariam
- grid.7123.70000 0001 1250 5688School of Public Health, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Jean Paul Joseph
- Hôpital Universitaire de Mirebalais, Zanmi Lasante, Arrondissement de Mirebalais, Haïti
| | - Phanuwich Kaewkamjornchai
- grid.10223.320000 0004 1937 0490Faculty of Medicine Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Neena R. Kapoor
- grid.38142.3c000000041936754XDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 401 Park Drive, 3Rd Floor East, room L3-015A5, Landmark Center, Boston, MA 02215 USA
| | | | - Min Kyung Kim
- Tufts Clinical and Translational Science Institute, Boston, USA
| | - Margaret E. Kruk
- grid.38142.3c000000041936754XDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard University, Boston, USA
| | - Shogo Kubota
- World Health Organization, Vientiane, Lao People’s Democratic Republic
| | - Paula Margozzini
- grid.7870.80000 0001 2157 0406Public Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Suresh Mehata
- Ministry of Health and Population, Government of Nepal, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | - Londiwe Mthethwa
- grid.16463.360000 0001 0723 4123School of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Adiam Nega
- grid.7123.70000 0001 1250 5688School of Public Health, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Juhwan Oh
- Tufts Clinical and Translational Science Institute, Boston, USA ,grid.31501.360000 0004 0470 5905Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Soo Kyung Park
- Korea National Health Insurance Services, Health Insurance Research Institute, Wonju, Gangwon-Do South Korea
| | - Alvaro Passi-Solar
- grid.7870.80000 0001 2157 0406Public Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | | | - Tarylee Reddy
- grid.415021.30000 0000 9155 0024Biostatistics Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Durban, South Africa
| | - Thanitsara Rittiphairoj
- grid.10223.320000 0004 1937 0490Faculty of Medicine Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Jaime C. Sapag
- grid.7870.80000 0001 2157 0406Public Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Roody Thermidor
- Studies and Planning Unit, Ministry of Public Health and Population, Port-Au-Prince, Haiti
| | - Boikhutso Tlou
- grid.16463.360000 0001 0723 4123School of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Catherine Arsenault
- grid.38142.3c000000041936754XDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 401 Park Drive, 3Rd Floor East, room L3-015A5, Landmark Center, Boston, MA 02215 USA
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Kapoor NR, Aryal A, Mehata S, Dulal M, Kruk ME, Bauhoff S, Arsenault C. Effect of lifting COVID-19 restrictions on utilisation of primary care services in Nepal: a difference-in-differences analysis. BMJ Open 2022; 12:e061849. [PMID: 36446449 PMCID: PMC9709811 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-061849] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION An increasing number of studies have reported disruptions in health service utilisation due to the COVID-19 pandemic and its associated restrictions. However, little is known about the effect of lifting COVID-19 restrictions on health service utilisation. The objective of this study was to estimate the effect of lifting COVID-19 restrictions on primary care service utilisation in Nepal. METHODS Data on utilisation of 10 primary care services were extracted from the Health Management Information System across all health facilities in Nepal. We used a difference-in-differences design and linear fixed effects regressions to estimate the effect of lifting COVID-19 restrictions. The treatment group included palikas that had lifted restrictions in place from 17 August 2020 to 16 September 2020 (Bhadra 2077) and the control group included palikas that had maintained restrictions during that period. The pre-period included the 4 months of national lockdown from 24 March 2020 to 22 July 2020 (Chaitra 2076 to Ashar 2077). Models included month and palika fixed effects and controlled for COVID-19 incidence. RESULTS We found that lifting COVID-19 restrictions was associated with an average increase per palika of 57.5 contraceptive users (95% CI 14.6 to 100.5), 15.6 antenatal care visits (95% CI 5.3 to 25.9) and 1.6 child pneumonia visits (95% CI 0.2 to 2.9). This corresponded to a 9.4% increase in contraceptive users, 34.2% increase in antenatal care visits and 15.6% increase in child pneumonia visits. Utilisation of most other primary care services also increased after lifting restrictions, but coefficients were not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS Despite the ongoing pandemic, lifting restrictions can lead to an increase in some primary care services. Our results point to a causal link between restrictions and health service utilisation and call for policy makers in low- and middle-income countries to carefully consider the trade-offs of strict lockdowns during future COVID-19 waves or future pandemics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Neena R Kapoor
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Amit Aryal
- Swiss TPH, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Suresh Mehata
- Ministry of Health, Government of Nepal, Biratnagar, Province 1, Nepal
| | - Mahesh Dulal
- Office of the Member of Federal Parliament Nepal, Gagan Kumar Thapa, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | - Margaret E Kruk
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Sebastian Bauhoff
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Catherine Arsenault
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
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4
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Arsenault C, Gage A, Kim MK, Kapoor NR, Akweongo P, Amponsah F, Aryal A, Asai D, Awoonor-Williams JK, Ayele W, Bedregal P, Doubova SV, Dulal M, Gadeka DD, Gordon-Strachan G, Mariam DH, Hensman D, Joseph JP, Kaewkamjornchai P, Eshetu MK, Gelaw SK, Kubota S, Leerapan B, Margozzini P, Mebratie AD, Mehata S, Moshabela M, Mthethwa L, Nega A, Oh J, Park S, Passi-Solar Á, Pérez-Cuevas R, Phengsavanh A, Reddy T, Rittiphairoj T, Sapag JC, Thermidor R, Tlou B, Valenzuela Guiñez F, Bauhoff S, Kruk ME. COVID-19 and resilience of healthcare systems in ten countries. Nat Med 2022; 28:1314-1324. [PMID: 35288697 PMCID: PMC9205770 DOI: 10.1038/s41591-022-01750-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 125] [Impact Index Per Article: 62.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/05/2021] [Accepted: 02/17/2022] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
Declines in health service use during the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic could have important effects on population health. In this study, we used an interrupted time series design to assess the immediate effect of the pandemic on 31 health services in two low-income (Ethiopia and Haiti), six middle-income (Ghana, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Mexico, Nepal, South Africa and Thailand) and high-income (Chile and South Korea) countries. Despite efforts to maintain health services, disruptions of varying magnitude and duration were found in every country, with no clear patterns by country income group or pandemic intensity. Disruptions in health services often preceded COVID-19 waves. Cancer screenings, TB screening and detection and HIV testing were most affected (26-96% declines). Total outpatient visits declined by 9-40% at national levels and remained lower than predicted by the end of 2020. Maternal health services were disrupted in approximately half of the countries, with declines ranging from 5% to 33%. Child vaccinations were disrupted for shorter periods, but we estimate that catch-up campaigns might not have reached all children missed. By contrast, provision of antiretrovirals for HIV was not affected. By the end of 2020, substantial disruptions remained in half of the countries. Preliminary data for 2021 indicate that disruptions likely persisted. Although a portion of the declines observed might result from decreased needs during lockdowns (from fewer infectious illnesses or injuries), a larger share likely reflects a shortfall of health system resilience. Countries must plan to compensate for missed healthcare during the current pandemic and invest in strategies for better health system resilience for future emergencies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Catherine Arsenault
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston MA, USA.
| | - Anna Gage
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston MA, USA
| | - Min Kyung Kim
- Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Neena R Kapoor
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston MA, USA
| | | | - Freddie Amponsah
- Policy, Planning, Monitoring and Evaluation, Ghana Health Services, Accra, Ghana
| | - Amit Aryal
- Office of the Member of Federal Parliament Gagan Kumar Thapa, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | - Daisuke Asai
- World Health Organization, Vientiane, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Vientiane, Laos
| | | | - Wondimu Ayele
- School of Public Health, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Paula Bedregal
- Public Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Svetlana V Doubova
- Epidemiology and Health Services Research Unit CMN Siglo XXI, Mexican Institute of Social Security, Mexico City, Mexico
| | - Mahesh Dulal
- Office of the Member of Federal Parliament Gagan Kumar Thapa, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | | | | | | | - Dilipkumar Hensman
- World Health Organization, Vientiane, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Vientiane, Laos
| | - Jean Paul Joseph
- Hôpital Universitaire de Mirebalais, Zanmi Lasante, Arrondissement de Mirebalais, Mirebalais, Haïti
| | | | | | | | - Shogo Kubota
- World Health Organization, Vientiane, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Vientiane, Laos
| | - Borwornsom Leerapan
- Faculty of Medicine Ramathibodi Hospital, Madidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Paula Margozzini
- Public Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | | | - Suresh Mehata
- Ministry of Health and Population, Government of Nepal, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | - Mosa Moshabela
- School of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Londiwe Mthethwa
- School of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Adiam Nega
- School of Public Health, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Juhwan Oh
- Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Sookyung Park
- Korea National Health Insurance Services, Health Insurance Research Institute, Gangwon-do, South Korea
| | - Álvaro Passi-Solar
- Public Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Ricardo Pérez-Cuevas
- Division of Social Protection and Health, Inter-American Development Bank, Kingston, Jamaica
| | - Alongkhone Phengsavanh
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Health Sciences, Vientiane, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Vientiane, Laos
| | - Tarylee Reddy
- Biostatistics Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Durban, South Africa
| | | | - Jaime C Sapag
- Public Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Roody Thermidor
- Studies and Planning Unit, Ministry of Public Health and Population, Port-au-Prince, Haiti
| | - Boikhutso Tlou
- School of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | | | - Sebastian Bauhoff
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston MA, USA
| | - Margaret E Kruk
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston MA, USA
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