Comparison of monoclonal antibody disposition predictions using different physiologically based pharmacokinetic modelling platforms

Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models can be used to leverage physiological and in vitro data to predict monoclonal antibody (mAb) concentrations in serum and tissues. However, it is currently not known how consistent predictions of mAb disposition are across PBPK modelling platforms. In this work PBPK simulations of IgG, adalimumab and infliximab were compared between three platforms (Simcyp, PK-Sim, and GastroPlus). Accuracy of predicted serum and tissue concentrations was assessed using observed data collected from the literature. Physiological and mAb related input parameters were also compared and sensitivity analyses were carried out to evaluate model behavior when input values were altered. Differences in serum kinetics of IgG between platforms were minimal for a dose of 1 mg/kg, but became more noticeable at higher dosages (> 100 mg/kg) and when reference (healthy) physiological input values were altered. Predicted serum concentrations of both adalimumab and infliximab were comparable across platforms, but were noticeably higher than observed values. Tissue concentrations differed remarkably between the platforms, both for total- and interstitial fluid (ISF) concentrations. The accuracy of total tissue concentrations was within a three-fold of observed values for all tissues, except for brain tissue concentrations, which were overpredicted. Predictions of tissue ISF concentrations were less accurate and were best captured by GastroPlus. Overall, these simulations show that the different PBPK platforms generally predict similar mAb serum concentrations, but variable tissue concentrations. Caution is therefore warranted when PBPK models are used to simulate effect site tissue concentrations of mAbs without data to verify the predictions.

Predicting Volume of Distribution in Neonates: Performance of Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modelling

The volume of distribution at steady state (Vss) in neonates is still often estimated through isometric scaling from adult values, disregarding developmental changes beyond body weight. This study aimed to compare the accuracy of two physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) Vss prediction methods in neonates (Poulin & Theil with Berezhkovskiy correction (P&T+) and Rodgers & Rowland (R&R)) with isometrical scaling. PBPK models were developed for 24 drugs using in-vitro and in-silico data. Simulations were done in Simcyp (V22) using predefined populations. Clinical data from 86 studies in neonates (including preterms) were used for comparison, and accuracy was assessed using (absolute) average fold errors ((A)AFEs). Isometric scaling resulted in underestimated Vss values in neonates (AFE: 0.61), and both PBPK methods reduced the magnitude of underprediction (AFE: 0.82-0.83). The P&T+ method demonstrated superior overall accuracy compared to isometric scaling (AAFE of 1.68 and 1.77, respectively), while the R&R method exhibited lower overall accuracy (AAFE: 2.03). Drug characteristics (LogP and ionization type) and inclusion of preterm neonates did not significantly impact the magnitude of error associated with isometric scaling or PBPK modeling. These results highlight both the limitations and the applicability of PBPK methods for the prediction of Vss in the absence of clinical data.

Predictive Performance of Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modelling of Beta-Lactam Antibiotic Concentrations in Adipose, Bone, and Muscle Tissues

Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models consist of compartments representing different tissues. As most models are only verified based on plasma concentrations, it is unclear how reliable associated tissue profiles are. This study aimed to assess the accuracy of PBPK-predicted beta-lactam antibiotic concentrations in different tissues and assess the impact of using effect site concentrations for evaluation of target attainment. Adipose, bone, and muscle concentrations of five beta-lactams (piperacillin, cefazolin, cefuroxime, ceftazidime, and meropenem) in healthy adults were collected from literature and compared with PBPK predictions. Model performance was evaluated with average fold errors (AFEs) and absolute AFEs (AAFEs) between predicted and observed concentrations. In total, 26 studies were included, 14 of which reported total tissue concentrations and 12 unbound interstitial fluid (uISF) concentrations. Concurrent plasma concentrations, used as baseline verification of the models, were fairly accurate (AFE: 1.14, AAFE: 1.50). Predicted total tissue concentrations were less accurate (AFE: 0.68, AAFE: 1.89). A slight trend for underprediction was observed but none of the studies had AFE or AAFE values outside threefold. Similarly, predictions of microdialysis-derived uISF concentrations were less accurate than plasma concentration predictions (AFE: 1.52, AAFE: 2.32). uISF concentrations tended to be overpredicted and two studies had AFEs and AAFEs outside threefold. Pharmacodynamic simulations in our case showed only a limited impact of using uISF concentrations instead of unbound plasma concentrations on target attainment rates. The results of this study illustrate the limitations of current PBPK models to predict tissue concentrations and the associated need for more accurate models. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Clinical inaccessibility of local effect site concentrations precipitates a need for predictive methods for the estimation of tissue concentrations. This is the first study in which the accuracy of PBPK-predicted tissue concentrations of beta-lactam antibiotics in humans were assessed. Predicted tissue concentrations were found to be less accurate than concurrent predicted plasma concentrations. When using PBPK models to predict tissue concentrations, this potential relative loss of accuracy should be acknowledged when clinical tissue concentrations are unavailable to verify predictions.

High throughput determination of the biofilm prevention concentration for Pseudomonas aeruginosa biofilms using a synthetic cystic fibrosis sputum medium

The presence of Pseudomonas aeruginosa biofilms in cystic fibrosis (CF) patients suffering from chronic lung infections contributes to the failure of antimicrobial therapy. Conventionally, the minimal inhibitory concentration (MIC) is determined to assess the antimicrobial susceptibility of a pathogen, however this parameter fails to predict success in treating biofilm-associated infections. In the present study we developed a high throughput method to determine the antimicrobial concentration required to prevent P. aeruginosa biofilm formation, using a synthetic cystic fibrosis sputum medium (SCFM2). Biofilms were grown in SCFM2 for 24 h in the presence of antibiotics (tobramycin, ciprofloxacin or colistin), whereafter biofilms were disrupted and a resazurin staining was used to quantify the number of surviving metabolically active cells. In parallel, the content of all wells was plated to determine the number of colony forming units (CFU). Biofilm preventing concentrations (BPCs) were compared to MICs and minimal bactericidal concentrations (MBCs) determined according to EUCAST guidelines. Correlations between the resazurin-derived fluorescence and CFU counts were assessed with Kendall's Tau Rank tests. A significant correlation between fluorescence and CFU counts was observed for 9 out of 10 strains investigated, suggesting the fluorometric assay is a reliable alternative to plating for most P. aeruginosa isolates to determine biofilm susceptibility in relevant conditions. For all isolates a clear difference between MICs and BPCs of all three antibiotics was observed, with the BPCs being consistently higher than the MICs. Additionally, the extent of this difference appeared to be antibiotic-dependent. Our findings suggest that this high throughput assay could be a valuable addition to evaluate the antimicrobial susceptibility in P. aeruginosa biofilms in the context of CF.