Abstract NG03: Multiethnic prostate cancer GWAS meta-analysis identifies novel variants, improves genetic risk prediction across populations, and informs biological mechanisms of prostate cancer

Prostate cancer (PCa) is a highly heritable disease with large disparities in incidence rates across racial and ethnic populations. The inadequate representation of diverse populations in current genome-wide association studies (GWAS) limits the translational potential of findings to the world's populations and could result in biased risk prediction, further exacerbating health disparities. To improve our understanding of genetic risk of PCa, we conducted the largest multiethnic PCa GWAS meta-analysis to date with 107,247 cases and 127,006 controls from the Prostate Cancer Association Group to Investigate Cancer-Associated Alterations in the Genome (PRACTICAL) consortium, including 85,554 cases and 91,972 controls of European ancestry, 10,368 cases and 10,986 controls of African ancestry, 8,611 cases and 18,809 controls of Asian ancestry, and 2,714 cases and 5,239 controls of Hispanic ethnicity. We identified 269 genetic risk variants independently associated with PCa risk, 86 of which were novel. Of the 183 previously reported prostate cancer risk variants, we identified stronger markers of risk for 62 variants using fine-mapping. To understand the aggregate effect of the 269 variants, we constructed a genetic risk score (GRS) using the multiethnic weights of the risk variants. Compared to men in the average 40-60% GRS category, the estimated OR for men in the top GRS decile (90-100%) was 5.06 [95% CI 4.84-5.29] for men of European ancestry, 3.74 [95% CI 3.36-4.17] for men of African ancestry, 4.47 [95% CI 3.52-5.68] for men of Asian ancestry, and 4.15 [95% CI 3.33-5.17] for Hispanic men. Men of African ancestry were estimated to have a 2.18-times higher mean GRS [95% CI 2.14-2.22], and men of Asian ancestry 0.73-times lower [95% CI 0.71-0.76], than men of European ancestry. Age significantly modified the GRS association with PCa risk, such that in men of European ancestry, the top decile GRS category was associated with an OR of 6.71 [95 % CI 5.99-7.52] for men ages 55 years or younger and 4.39 [95% CI 4.19-4.60] for men older than 55 years. Similarly, in men of African ancestry, the top GRS decile category was associated with an OR of 4.70 [95 % CI 3.65-6.07] for men ages 55 years or younger and 3.37 [95% CI 2.99-3.80] for men older than 55 years. We found that 51% of aggressive cases of European ancestry and 45% of aggressive cases of African ancestry were within the top 20% of the GRS. The lifetime absolute risk of PCa for men in the top decile of the GRS reached 38% for both African Americans [95% CI 36-41%] and Whites [95% CI 37-39%], 31% [95% CI 27-36%] for Hispanics and 26% [95% CI 22-30%] for Asians. For comparison, we constructed a genome-wide GRS, including the 269 variants and variants associated with PCa with P<1.0 × 10−5. ORs calculated with genome-wide GRS were similar and had nearly identical discriminative ability as the 269 GRS in independent samples of 6,852 cases and 193,117 controls of European ancestry and 1,586 cases and 1,047 controls of African ancestry. This suggests that a genome-wide GRS may not have improved ability to predict PCa risk compared to the 269 GRS. To understand the biological mechanisms impacted by genetic risk of PCa, we conducted integrative analyses of the GRS and serum metabolomics in 611 African ancestry men from the Multiethnic Cohort. We found that a higher GRS was associated with lower sphingolipid levels (beta=-0.08, P=3.1 × 10−4), lower androgenic steroids (beta=-0.06, P=0.003), and higher sarcosine levels (beta=0.11, P=0.002). Further, using a latent clustering approach, we found that these metabolites in conjunction with the GRS contributed to the clustering of men with low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk of PCa. These findings support the role of germline variation contributing to racial and ethnic disparities in PCa risk, with the GRS offering an approach for personalized risk prediction across populations and informing the biological mechanisms underlying PCa risk.

Citation Format: Burcu F. Darst, Lilit Moss, Edward J. Saunders, Nicholas Mancuso, Xin Sheng, Alisha Chou, Tokhir Dadaev, Sonja I. Berndt, Stephen K. Van Den Eeden, Stephen J. Chanock, Michael B. Cook, Tracy M. Layne, Demetrius Albanes, Hidewaki Nakagawa, John S. Witte, Practical Consortium, Rosalind A. Eeles, Zsofia Kote-Jarai, David V. Conti, Christopher A. Haiman. Multiethnic prostate cancer GWAS meta-analysis identifies novel variants, improves genetic risk prediction across populations, and informs biological mechanisms of prostate cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2021; 2021 Apr 10-15 and May 17-21. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(13_Suppl):Abstract nr NG03.

A polymorphism in the promoter of FRAS1 is a candidate SNP associated with metastatic prostate cancer

BACKGROUND

Inflammation and one of its mediators, NF-kappa B (NFκB), have been implicated in prostate cancer carcinogenesis. We assessed whether germline polymorphisms associated with NFκB are associated with the risk of developing lethal disease (metastases or death from prostate cancer).

METHODS

Using a Bayesian approach leveraging NFκB biology with integration of publicly available datasets we used a previously defined genome-wide functional association network specific to NFκB and lethal prostate cancer. A dense-module-searching method identified modules enriched with significant genes from a genome-wide association study (GWAS) study in a discovery data set, Physicians' Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-up Study (PHS/HPFS). The top 48 candidate single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from the dense-module-searching method were then assessed in an independent prostate cancer cohort and the one SNP reproducibly associated with lethality was tested in a third cohort. Logistic regression models evaluated the association between each SNP and lethal prostate cancer. The candidate SNP was assessed for association with lethal prostate cancer in 6 of 28 studies in the prostate cancer association group to investigate cancer associated alterations in the genome (PRACTICAL) Consortium where there was some medical record review for death ascertainment which also had SNP data from the ONCOARRAY platform. All men self-identified as Caucasian.

RESULTS

The rs1910301 SNP which was reproducibly associated with lethal disease was nominally associated with lethal disease (odds ratio [OR] = 1.40; p = .02) in the discovery cohort and the minor allele was also associated with lethal disease in two independent cohorts (OR = 1.35; p = .04 and OR = 1.35; p = .07). Fixed effects meta-analysis of all three cohorts found an association: OR = 1.37 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.15-1.62, p = .0003). This SNP is in the promoter region of FRAS1, a gene involved in epidermal-basement membrane adhesion and is present at a higher frequency in men with African ancestry. No association was found in the subset of studies from the PRACTICAL consortium studies which had a total of 106 deaths out total of 3263 patients and a median follow-up of 4.4 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Through its connection with the NFκB pathway, a candidate SNP with a higher frequency in men of African ancestry without cancer was found to be associated with lethal prostate cancer across three well-annotated independent cohorts of Caucasian men.