Multi-ancestry genome-wide association study of kidney cancer identifies 63 susceptibility regions

Here, in a multi-ancestry genome-wide association study meta-analysis of kidney cancer (29,020 cases and 835,670 controls), we identified 63 susceptibility regions (50 novel) containing 108 independent risk loci. In analyses stratified by subtype, 52 regions (78 loci) were associated with clear cell renal cell carcinoma (RCC) and 6 regions (7 loci) with papillary RCC. Notably, we report a variant common in African ancestry individuals ( rs7629500 ) in the 3' untranslated region of VHL, nearly tripling clear cell RCC risk (odds ratio 2.72, 95% confidence interval 2.23-3.30). In cis-expression quantitative trait locus analyses, 48 variants from 34 regions point toward 83 candidate genes. Enrichment of hypoxia-inducible factor-binding sites underscores the importance of hypoxia-related mechanisms in kidney cancer. Our results advance understanding of the genetic architecture of kidney cancer, provide clues for functional investigation and enable generation of a validated polygenic risk score with an estimated area under the curve of 0.65 (0.74 including risk factors) among European ancestry individuals.

Racial Disparities in Liver Disease Mortality Trends Among Black and White Populations in the United States, 1999-2020: An Analysis of CDC WONDER Database

INTRODUCTION

Liver disease is a significant public health problem in the United States, with notable racial disparities in mortality. This study examines liver disease mortality trends among Black and White populations during 1999-2020.

METHODS

We used CDC WONDER database to ascertain liver disease age-standardized mortality rates in Black and White Americans. Annual percent change was calculated. Age-standardized absolute rate difference and rate ratios were computed by subtracting and dividing the White population's rate from that of the Black population.

RESULTS

Liver diseases accounted for 171,627 Black and 1,314,903 White deaths during 1999-2020. Age-standardized mortality rates for Blacks decreased from 22.5 to 20.1 per 100,000 person-years (annual percentage change -0.4%, -0.6% to -0.2%), whereas an increase was observed for Whites, from 17.9 to 25.3 per 100,000 person-years (annual percentage change 1.4%, 1.4% to 1.7%). The rate ratio decreased from 1.26 (1.22-1.29) in 1999 to 0.79 (0.78-0.81) in 2020. This pattern was evident in all census regions, more pronounced among the younger (age 25-64 years) than older (age 65+ years) population and observed across different urbanization levels. The pattern may be attributable to increasing alcohol-related liver disease and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease-related deaths in Whites and tapering in viral hepatitis and primary liver cancer-related deaths in Blacks. Despite notable improvement, racial disparities persist in primary liver cancer and viral hepatitis among the Black population.

DISCUSSION

The rise in alcohol-related liver disease and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease-related deaths among Whites, and enduring liver cancer and viral hepatitis disparities in the Black population, underscores the urgent need for tailored public health interventions.

The Mutographs biorepository: A unique genomic resource to study cancer around the world

Large-scale biorepositories and databases are essential to generate equitable, effective, and sustainable advances in cancer prevention, early detection, cancer therapy, cancer care, and surveillance. The Mutographs project has created a large genomic dataset and biorepository of over 7,800 cancer cases from 30 countries across five continents with extensive demographic, lifestyle, environmental, and clinical information. Whole-genome sequencing is being finalized for over 4,000 cases, with the primary goal of understanding the causes of cancer at eight anatomic sites. Genomic, exposure, and clinical data will be publicly available through the International Cancer Genome Consortium Accelerating Research in Genomic Oncology platform. The Mutographs sample and metadata biorepository constitutes a legacy resource for new projects and collaborations aiming to increase our current research efforts in cancer genomic epidemiology globally.

Geospatial analysis of cyanobacterial exposure and liver cancer in the contiguous United States

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Cyanobacteria are commonly found in water bodies and their production of hepatotoxins can contribute to liver damage. However, the population health effects of cyanobacteria exposure (CE) are unknown. Our objectives were to determine the effect of chronic exposure to cyanobacteria through proximity to water bodies with high cyanobacteria counts on the incidence and mortality of liver cancers, as well as to identify location-based risk factors.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Across the contiguous United States, regions with high cyanobacteria counts in water bodies were identified using satellite remote sensing data. The data were geospatially mapped to county boundaries, and disease mortality and incidence rates were analyzed. Distinctive spatial clusters of CE and mortality related to liver diseases or cancer were identified. There was a highly significant spatial association between CE, liver disease, and liver cancer but not between CE and all cancers. Hot spots of CE and mortality were identified along the Gulf of Mexico, eastern Texas, Louisiana, and Florida, and cold spots across the Appalachians. The social vulnerability index was identified as a major location-based determinant by logistic regression, with counties in the fourth or fifth quintiles having the highest prevalence of hot spots of CE and mortality from liver cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings emphasize the importance of environmental exposure to cyanobacteria as a location-based determinant of mortality from liver cancer. Public health initiatives addressing CE may be considered to reduce mortality, particularly in areas of high social vulnerability.

Genome-wide association study identifies high-impact susceptibility loci for HCC in North America

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Despite the substantial impact of environmental factors, individuals with a family history of liver cancer have an increased risk for HCC. However, genetic factors have not been studied systematically by genome-wide approaches in large numbers of individuals from European descent populations (EDP).

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We conducted a 2-stage genome-wide association study (GWAS) on HCC not affected by HBV infections. A total of 1872 HCC cases and 2907 controls were included in the discovery stage, and 1200 HCC cases and 1832 controls in the validation. We analyzed the discovery and validation samples separately and then conducted a meta-analysis. All analyses were conducted in the presence and absence of HCV. The liability-scale heritability was 24.4% for overall HCC. Five regions with significant ORs (95% CI) were identified for nonviral HCC: 3p22.1, MOBP , rs9842969, (0.51, [0.40-0.65]); 5p15.33, TERT , rs2242652, (0.70, (0.62-0.79]); 19q13.11, TM6SF2 , rs58542926, (1.49, [1.29-1.72]); 19p13.11 MAU2 , rs58489806, (1.53, (1.33-1.75]); and 22q13.31, PNPLA3 , rs738409, (1.66, [1.51-1.83]). One region was identified for HCV-induced HCC: 6p21.31, human leukocyte antigen DQ beta 1, rs9275224, (0.79, [0.74-0.84]). A combination of homozygous variants of PNPLA3 and TERT showing a 6.5-fold higher risk for nonviral-related HCC compared to individuals lacking these genotypes. This observation suggests that gene-gene interactions may identify individuals at elevated risk for developing HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

Our GWAS highlights novel genetic susceptibility of nonviral HCC among European descent populations from North America with substantial heritability. Selected genetic influences were observed for HCV-positive HCC. Our findings indicate the importance of genetic susceptibility to HCC development.

Validation of prediction tools for GI bleeding in patients on dual anti-platelet therapy after percutaneous coronary intervention

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The management of dual anti-platelet therapy after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and GI bleeding (GIB) remains a clinical dilemma. We sought to identify predictors of GIB and recurrent bleeding and to determine whether recurrent bleeding increases the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs).

METHODS

In this single-center retrospective study, patients undergoing PCI were identified. The primary and secondary endpoints were GIB at 180 days and recurrent bleeding or MACE at 365 days. Logistic regression was used to identify predictors of GIB and recurrent bleeding. Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to determine whether recurrent bleeding can predict a MACE.

RESULTS

Five hundred thirty-six patients were included. On multivariable analysis, PCI for acute coronary syndrome was associated with a 95% increased odds of GIB (P < .001). The P2Y12 inhibitor was continued in >90% of patients, which trended toward significance for recurrent bleeding (P < .10). The HAS-BLED score (Hypertension, Abnormal renal and liver function, Stroke, Bleeding tendency or predisposition, Labile INRs, Elderly, Drugs), including a labile international normalized ratio and prior major bleeding, was strongly associated with recurrent bleeding (P ≤ .009). Recurrent bleeding was associated with a 115% increased risk of MACEs (P = .02). We derived a novel risk score, named the SIGE score ([S]TEMI at PCI, having a labile [I]NR at PCI, index [G]IB within 180 days of PCI, and previous precatheterization [E]ndoscopy within 6 months), to predict recurrent bleeding at 365 days with a high predictive accuracy (area under the curve, .773; 95% confidence interval, .702-.845).

CONCLUSIONS

The SIGE score may help to predict recurrent bleeding, which was shown to be associated with an increased risk of MACEs. Further external validation is needed.

Genetic Susceptibility to Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Risk for Pancreatic Cancer: Mendelian Randomization

BACKGROUND

There are conflicting data on whether nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with susceptibility to pancreatic cancer. Using Mendelian randomization (MR), we investigated the relationship between genetic predisposition to NAFLD and risk for pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

Data from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) within the Pancreatic Cancer Cohort Consortium (PanScan; cases n = 5,090, controls n = 8,733) and the Pancreatic Cancer Case Control Consortium (PanC4; cases n = 4,163, controls n = 3,792) were analyzed. We used data on 68 genetic variants with four different MR methods [inverse variance weighting (IVW), MR-Egger, simple median, and penalized weighted median] separately to predict genetic heritability of NAFLD. We then assessed the relationship between each of the four MR methods and pancreatic cancer risk, using logistic regression to calculate ORs and 95% confidence intervals (CI), adjusting for PC risk factors, including obesity and diabetes.

RESULTS

No association was found between genetically predicted NAFLD and pancreatic cancer risk in the PanScan or PanC4 samples [e.g., PanScan, IVW OR, 1.04; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.88-1.22; MR-Egger OR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.65-1.21; PanC4, IVW OR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.90-1.27; MR-Egger OR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.67-1.28]. None of the four MR methods indicated an association between genetically predicted NAFLD and pancreatic cancer risk in either sample.

CONCLUSIONS

Genetic predisposition to NAFLD is not associated with pancreatic cancer risk.

IMPACT

Given the close relationship between NAFLD and metabolic conditions, it is plausible that any association between NAFLD and pancreatic cancer might reflect host metabolic perturbations (e.g., obesity, diabetes, or metabolic syndrome) and does not necessarily reflect a causal relationship between NAFLD and pancreatic cancer.

Global Burden of Digestive Diseases: A Systematic Analysis of the Global Burden of Diseases Study, 1990 to 2019

BACKGROUND & AIMS

This study assessed the worldwide burden of digestive diseases between 1990 and 2019.

METHODS

We analyzed data from the Global Burden of Diseases study, covering 18 digestive diseases across 204 countries and territories. Key disease burden indicators, including incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), were studied. Linear regression analysis was applied to the natural logarithm of age-standardized outcomes to determine the annual percent change.

RESULTS

In 2019, there were 7.32 billion incidents and 2.86 billion prevalent cases of digestive diseases, resulting in 8 million deaths and 277 million DALYs lost. Little to no decrease in global age-standardized incidence and prevalence of digestive diseases was observed between 1990 and 2019, with 95,582 and 35,106 cases per 100,000 individuals in 2019, respectively. The age-standardized death rate was 102 per 100,000 individuals. Digestive diseases accounted for a significant portion of the overall disease burden, with more than one-third of prevalent cases having a digestive etiology. Enteric infections were the primary contributor to incidence, death, and DALYs lost, whereas cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases had the highest prevalence rate. The burden of digestive diseases was inversely related to the sociodemographic index, with enteric infections being the predominant cause of death in low and low-middle quintiles and colorectal cancer in the high quintile.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite significant reductions in deaths and DALYs due to digestive diseases from 1990 to 2019, they remain prevalent. A significant disparity in the burden of digestive diseases exists among countries with different development levels.

Metabolic liver cancer: associations of rare and common germline variants in one-carbon metabolism and DNA methylation genes

Animal studies implicate one-carbon metabolism and DNA methylation genes in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in the setting of metabolic perturbations. Using human samples, we investigated the associations between common and rare variants in these closely related biochemical pathways and risk for metabolic HCC development in a multicenter international study. We performed targeted exome sequencing of 64 genes among 556 metabolic HCC cases and 643 cancer-free controls with metabolic conditions. Multivariable logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusting for multiple comparisons. Gene-burden tests were used for rare variant associations. Analyses were performed in the overall sample and among non-Hispanic whites. The results show that among non-Hispanic whites, presence of rare functional variants in ABCC2 was associated with 7-fold higher risk of metabolic HCC (OR = 6.92, 95% CI: 2.38-20.15, P = 0.0004), and this association remained significant when analyses were restricted to functional rare variants observed in ≥2 participants (cases 3.2% versus controls 0.0%, P = 1.02 × 10-5). In the overall multiethnic sample, presence of rare functional variants in ABCC2 was nominally associated with metabolic HCC (OR = 3.60, 95% CI: 1.52-8.58, P = 0.004), with similar nominal association when analyses were restricted to functional rare variants observed in ≥2 participants (cases 2.9% versus controls 0.2%, P = 0.006). A common variant in PNPLA3 (rs738409[G]) was associated with higher HCC risk in the overall sample (P = 6.36 × 10-6) and in non-Hispanic whites (P = 0.0002). Our findings indicate that rare functional variants in ABCC2 are associated with susceptibility to metabolic HCC in non-Hispanic whites. PNPLA3-rs738409 is also associated with metabolic HCC risk.

Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Liver Fibrosis in Persons with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in Ghana: A Study of Prevalence, Severity, and Contributing Factors Using Transient Elastography

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a metabolic disorder characterized by hyperglycemia, insulin resistance, and pancreatic islet cell dysfunction. T2DM is associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) because of impaired glucose metabolism in both conditions. However, it is widely assumed that people with T2DM in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) have a lower prevalence of NAFLD than in other parts of the world. With our recent access to transient elastography, we aimed to investigate the prevalence of, severity of, and contributing factors to NAFLD in persons with T2DM in Ghana. We performed a cross-sectional study recruiting 218 individuals with T2DM at the Kwadaso Seventh-Day Adventist and Mount Sinai Hospitals in the Ashanti region of Ghana using a simple randomized sampling technique. A structured questionnaire was used to obtain socio-demographic information, clinical history, exercise and other lifestyle factors, and anthropometric measurements. Transient elastography was performed using a FibroScan^® machine to obtain the Controlled Attenuation Parameter (CAP) score and liver fibrosis score. The prevalence of NAFLD among Ghanaian T2DM participants was 51.4% (112/218), of whom 11.6% had significant liver fibrosis. An evaluation of the NAFLD group (n = 112) versus the non-NAFLD group (n = 106) revealed a higher BMI (28.7 vs. 25.2 kg/m², p = 0.001), waist circumference (106.0 vs. 98.0 cm, p = 0.001), hip circumference (107.0 vs. 100.5 cm, p = 0.003), and waist-to-height ratio (0.66 vs. 0.62, p = 0.001) in T2DM patients with NAFLD compared to those without NAFLD. Being obese was an independent predictor of NAFLD in persons with T2DM than known history of hypertension and dyslipidaemia.

Metabolic Risk Factors for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Prospective Study

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a fast-growing public health problem and predisposes to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in a significant proportion of patients. Metabolic alterations might underlie the progression of NAFLD to HCC, but the magnitudes of risk and population-attributable risk fractions (PAFs) for various metabolic conditions that are associated with HCC risk in patients with NAFLD are unknown. We investigated the associations between metabolic conditions and HCC development in individuals with a prior history of NAFLD. The study included 11,245 participants in the SEER-Medicare database, comprising 1310 NAFLD-related HCC cases and 9835 NAFLD controls. We excluded individuals with competing liver diseases (e.g., alcoholic liver disease and chronic viral hepatitis). Baseline pre-existing diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, obesity, hypertension, hypothyroidism, and metabolic syndrome were assessed. Multivariable-adjusted logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). PAFs were also calculated for each metabolic condition. The results show that diabetes (OR = 2.39, 95% CI: 2.04-2.79), metabolic syndrome (OR = 1.73, 95% CI: 1.49-2.01), and obesity (OR = 1.62, 95% CI: 1.43-1.85) were associated with a higher HCC risk in individuals with NAFLD. The highest PAF for HCC was observed for pre-existing diabetes (42.1%, 95% CI: 35.7-48.5), followed by metabolic syndrome (28.8%, 95% CI: 21.7-35.9) and obesity (13.2%, 95% CI: 9.6-16.8). The major predisposing factors for HCC in individuals with NAFLD are diabetes mellitus, metabolic syndrome, and obesity, and their control would be critically important in mitigating the rising incidence of NAFLD-related HCC.

Simple risk score to predict the likelihood of a positive EUS in idiopathic acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

We sought to derive a risk score, DORM65, of known variables to predict the likelihood of a positive EUS in patients with idiopathic acute pancreatitis (IAP).

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of 180 patients with IAP was performed across 3 tertiary care centers between January 2018 and December 2021. Multivariate logistic regression modeling was performed to predict a positive EUS. Accuracy of the models was assessed by the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROCC).

RESULTS

The diagnostic yield of EUS was 58.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 51.7-66.1). The DORM65 scores of 5 predictors present before EUS with the best discrimination were a delayed EUS (defined as ≥82 days from the last episode of AP), obesity, not having had a repeated transabdominal US, male sex, and age ≥65 years at the time of EUS. For those at the lowest risk score group, the positive EUS rate was 13.0% compared with 100% in those at the highest risk group (relative risk, 7.67; P < .001). A score of 3 or more had a positive predictive value of 86.0% with a sensitivity of 34.9% and specificity of 91.9%. The model had a high predictive accuracy (AUROCC, .774; 95% CI, .707-.841). Adding 3 additional predictors (no cholecystectomy, no MRCP, and a single episode of AP) did not increase the accuracy significantly (AUROCC, .805; 95% CI, .742-.867).

CONCLUSIONS

DORM65 is easily calculated and accurately predicts a positive EUS in patients with IAP. Further validation is needed.

Tumor Microenvironment, Clinical Features, and Advances in Therapy for Bone Metastasis in Gastric Cancer

Gastric cancer (GC) is one of the most malignant neoplasms worldwide, accounting for about 770,000 deaths in 2020. The incidence of gastric cancer bone metastasis (GC-BM) is low, about 0.9–13.4%, and GC patients develop GC-BM because of a suitable bone microenvironment. Osteoblasts, osteoclasts, and tumor cells interact with each other, secreting cytokines such as PTHrP, RANK-L, IL-6, and other growth factors that disrupt the normal bone balance and promote tumor growth. The functions and numbers of immune cells in the bone microenvironment are continuously inhibited, resulting in bone balance disorder due to the cytokines released from destroyed bone and growing tumor cells. Patients with GC-BM are generally younger than 65 years old and they often present with a later stage of the disease, as well as more aggressive tumors. They usually have shorter overall survival (OS) because of the occurrence of skeletal-related events (SREs) and undetected bone destruction due to the untimely bone inspection. Current treatments of GC-BM focus mainly on gastric cancer and SRE-related treatment. This article reviews the clinical features, possible molecular pathogeneses, and the most commonly used diagnostic methods and treatments of bone metastasis in gastric cancer.

Association of metabolic health phenotypes, obesity, and hepatocellular carcinoma risk

BACKGROUND

The obesity and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk association may differ by individuals' metabolic health status.

AIM

To investigate the association between obesity categories and HCC risk among individuals with different metabolic health phenotypes.

METHODS

A case-control study among 518 HCC cases and 1,036 frequency-matched controls was conducted. Body mass index (BMI) was assessed before diagnosis. Pre-diagnosis data on dyslipidemia, hypertension, and diabetes were used to categorize participants as metabolically healthy or metabolically unhealthy. Participants were further categorized into metabolically healthy normal weight (MHNW), metabolically healthy overweight (MHOW), metabolically healthy obese (MHO), metabolically unhealthy normal weight (MUNW), metabolically unhealthy overweight (MUOW), and metabolically unhealthy obese (MHO). We used logistic regression to calculate multivariable-adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

Being overweight (OR=1.68, 95%CI=1.21-2.34) or obese (OR=1.49, 95%CI=1.11-1.89) was associated with higher HCC risk. Among metabolically healthy participants, no association was found between being overweight or obese and HCC risk. However, among the metabolically unhealthy participants, being overweight (OR=1.89, 95%CI=1.31-2.72) or obese (OR=1.50, 95%CI=1.07-2.09) was associated with higher HCC risk. Compared to the MHNW phenotype, no association was found between the MHOW and MHO phenotypes and HCC risk, but the MUNW (OR=1.94, 95%CI=1.09-3.43), MUOW (OR=3.78, 95%CI=2.15-6.65), and MUO (OR=2.93, 95%CI=1.70-5.05) phenotypes were associated with higher HCC risk.

CONCLUSION

The association between BMI and HCC appears to be restricted to individuals with underlying metabolic abnormalities.

Recreational and occupational physical activity in relation to prostate cancer aggressiveness: the North Carolina-Louisiana Prostate Cancer Project (PCaP)

PURPOSE

To examine associations between recreational and occupational physical activity and prostate cancer aggressiveness in a population-based, case-only, incident prostate cancer study.

METHODS

Data were analyzed from the cross-sectional North Carolina-Louisiana Prostate Cancer Project of African-American (n = 1,023) and European-American (n = 1,079) men newly diagnosed with prostate cancer (CaP). High-aggressive CaP was defined as Gleason sum ≥ 8, or prostate-specific antigen > 20 ng/ml, or Gleason sum ≥ 7 and clinical stage T3-T4. Metabolic equivalent tasks (MET) were estimated from self-reported recreational physical activity in the year prior to diagnosis assessed retrospectively via a validated questionnaire and from occupational physical activity based on job titles. Associations between physical activity variables and high-aggressive prostate cancer were estimated using logistic regression to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusting for multiple confounders.

RESULTS

There was suggestive evidence that walking for 75-150 min/week for exercise is associated with lower odds of high-aggressive prostate cancer compared to no walking (OR = 0.69, 95% CI 0.47-1.01). Physical activity at the current job was associated with 24% lower odds of high-aggressive prostate cancer (highest vs. lowest tertile OR = 0.76, 95% CI 0.56-1.04). However, total MET-h/week of recreational physical activity and accumulation of high-level physical activity at the longest-held job were not associated with high-aggressive prostate cancer. Results did not vary by race.

CONCLUSIONS

The odds of high-aggressive prostate cancer were lower among men who walk for exercise and those engaged in occupations with high activity levels.

RNA Therapeutic Options to Manage Aberrant Signaling Pathways in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Dream or Reality?

Despite the early promise of RNA therapeutics as a magic bullet to modulate aberrant signaling in cancer, this field remains a work-in-progress. Nevertheless, RNA therapeutics is now a reality for the treatment of viral diseases (COVID-19) and offers great promise for cancer. This review paper specifically investigates RNAi as a therapeutic option for HCC and discusses a range of RNAi technology including anti-sense oligonucleotides (ASOs), Aptamers, small interfering RNA (siRNA), ribozymes, riboswitches and CRISPR/Cas9 technology. The use of these RNAi based interventions is specifically outlined in three primary strategies, namely, repressing angiogenesis, the suppression of cell proliferation and the promotion of apoptosis. We also discuss some of the inherent chemical and delivery problems, as well as targeting issues and immunogenic reaction to RNAi interventions.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk Prediction in the NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study Cohort: A Machine Learning Approach

BACKGROUND

Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in persons with known risk factors remain a challenge and is an urgent unmet need, considering projected increases in HCC incidence and mortality in the US. We aimed to use machine learning techniques to identify a set of demographic, lifestyle, and health history information that can be used simultaneously for population-level HCC risk prediction.

METHODS

Data from 377,065 participants of the NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study, among whom 647 developed HCC over 16 years of follow-up, were analyzed. The sample was randomly divided into independent training (60%) and validation (40%) sets. We evaluated 123 participant characteristics and tested 15 different machine learning algorithms for robustness in predicting HCC risk. Separately, we evaluated variables selected from multivariable logistic regression for risk prediction.

RESULTS

The random under-sampling boosting (RUSBoost) algorithm performed best during model testing. Fourteen participant characteristics were selected for risk prediction based on differences between cases and controls (Bonferroni-corrected p-values <0.0004) and from the most frequently used variables in the initial two decision trees of the RUSBoost learner trees. A predictive model based on the 14 variables had an AUC of 0.72 (sensitivity=0.68, specificity=0.63) and independent validation AUC of 0.65 (sensitivity=0.68, specificity=0.63). A subset of 9 variables identified through logistic regression also had an AUC of 0.72 (sensitivity=0.67, specificity=0.63) and independent validation AUC of 0.65 (sensitivity=0.70, specificity=0.61).

CONCLUSION

Population-level HCC risk prediction can be performed with a machine learning-based algorithm and could inform strategies for improving HCC risk reduction in at-risk groups.

Influence of Cancer Susceptibility Gene Mutations and ABO Blood Group of Pancreatic Cancer Probands on Concomitant Risk to First-Degree Relatives

BACKGROUND

ABO blood group is associated with pancreatic cancer risk. Whether ABO blood group alone or when combined with inherited mutation status of index pancreatic cancer cases (probands) can enhance pancreatic cancer risk estimation in first-degree relatives (FDR) is unclear. We examined FDRs' risk for pancreatic cancer based on probands' ABO blood group and probands' cancer susceptibility gene mutation status.

METHODS

Data on 23,739 FDRs, identified through 3,268 pancreatic cancer probands, were analyzed. Probands' ABO blood groups were determined serologically or genetically, and 20 cancer susceptibility genes were used to classify probands as "mutation-positive" or "mutation-negative." SIRs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated, comparing observed pancreatic cancer cases in the FDRs with the number expected in SEER-21 (reference population).

RESULTS

Overall, FDRs had 2-fold risk of pancreatic cancer (SIR = 2.00; 95% CI = 1.79-2.22). Pancreatic cancer risk was higher in FDRs of mutation-positive (SIR = 3.80; 95% CI = 2.81-5.02) than mutation-negative (SIR = 1.79; 95% CI = 1.57-2.04) probands (P < 0.001). The magnitude of risk did not differ by ABO blood group alone (SIR_{blood-group-O} = 1.57; 95% CI = 1.20-2.03, SIR_non-O = 1.83; 95% CI = 1.53-2.17; P = 0.33). Among FDRs of probands with non-O blood group, pancreatic cancer risk was higher in FDRs of mutation-positive (SIR = 3.98; 95% CI = 2.62-5.80) than mutation-negative (SIR = 1.66; 95% CI = 1.35-2.03) probands (P < 0.001), but risk magnitudes were statistically similar when probands had blood group O (SIR_{mutation-positive} = 2.65; 95% CI = 1.09-5.47, SIR_{mutation-negative} = 1.48; 95% CI = 1.06-5.47; P = 0.16).

CONCLUSIONS

There is a range of pancreatic cancer risk to FDRs according to probands' germline mutation status and ABO blood group, ranging from 1.48 for FDRs of probands with blood group O and mutation-negative to 3.98 for FDRs of probands with non-O blood group and mutation-positive.

IMPACT

Combined ABO blood group and germline mutation status of probands can inform pancreatic cancer risk estimation in FDRs.

Cancer Mortality Rates Increasing vs Cardiovascular Disease Mortality Decreasing in the World: Future Implications

OBJECTIVE

To highlight the current global trends in mortality for cardiovascular disease and cancer.

METHODS

The World Health Organization and the World Bank DataBank databases were used to analyze mortality rates for cancer and cardiovascular disease by calculating age-standardized mortality rates (ASRs) from 2000 to 2015 for high-income, upper-middle-income, and lower-middle-income countries. Data for cancer mortality and population for 43 countries representing 5 of the 7 continents (except Australia and Antarctica) were analyzed.

RESULTS

From 2000 to 2015, there was an increase in the ASR for cancer for both men and women irrespective of a country's income status, representing an overall 7% increase in cancer ASR (Pearson r, +0.99; P<.00001). We report a higher ASR for cancer in high-income countries than in upper-middle-income and lower-middle-income countries specifically; high-income countries saw a 3% increase in cancer ASR vs +31% for upper-middle-income and +19% for lower-middle-income countries (P<.01). There has been a decrease in the ASR for cardiovascular disease for the 15 years analyzed (P<.00001). In addition, high-income countries had a higher ASR for cardiovascular disease than upper-middle-income countries during the 15-year period (P<.05).

CONCLUSION

We suspect that because of early detection and targeted interventions, cardiovascular disease mortality rates have decreased during the past decade. On the basis of our results, cancer mortality rates continue to rise, with the projection of surpassing cardiovascular disease mortality rates in the near future.

Characteristics of Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection With Genotype E Predominance in Burkina Faso

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) genotype E (HBV-E) accounts for the majority of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infections in West Africa. We aimed to determine factors associated with HBV-E-induced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in West Africa. Data on patients from Burkina Faso who were hepatitis B surface antigen positive (HBsAg+) and had CHB were analyzed. HBV viral load and hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) status were measured in 3,885 individuals with CHB without HCC (CHB HCC-) and 59 individuals with CHB with HCC (CHB HCC+). HBV genotyping was performed for 364 subjects with CHB HCC- and 41 subjects with CHB HCC+. Overall, 2.5% of the CHB HCC- group was HBeAg+ compared with 0% of the CHB HCC+ group. Of the 364 patients who were CHB HCC- with available genotyping, the frequencies of HBV genotypes E and C/E were 70.3% and 12.9%, respectively. Age (odds ratio [OR] for older age, 1.08; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06-1.10 per 1-year increase in age), male sex (OR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.11-3.69), and HBV viremia (OR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.31-1.67 per 1 log10 IU/mL) were each associated with HCC diagnosis. Patients with genotype E had a lower HBeAg prevalence (6.3% vs. 14.9%), lower HBV viral load, and higher prevalence of cirrhosis (14.5% vs. 4.8%) than patients with genotype C/E. Conclusion: HBV-E is the most common circulating strain (70.3%) in West African patients. HCC was associated with older age, male sex, and high HBV viral load. It is expected that these results will further inform guidance on clinical management of HBV infection in West Africa.

Mendelian Randomization Analysis of n-6 Polyunsaturated Fatty Acid Levels and Pancreatic Cancer Risk

BACKGROUND

Whether circulating polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA) levels are associated with pancreatic cancer risk is uncertain. Mendelian randomization (MR) represents a study design using genetic instruments to better characterize the relationship between exposure and outcome.

METHODS

We utilized data from genome-wide association studies within the Pancreatic Cancer Cohort Consortium and Pancreatic Cancer Case-Control Consortium, involving approximately 9,269 cases and 12,530 controls of European descent, to evaluate associations between pancreatic cancer risk and genetically predicted plasma n-6 PUFA levels. Conventional MR analyses were performed using individual-level and summary-level data.

RESULTS

Using genetic instruments, we did not find evidence of associations between genetically predicted plasma n-6 PUFA levels and pancreatic cancer risk [estimates per one SD increase in each PUFA-specific weighted genetic score using summary statistics: linoleic acid odds ratio (OR) = 1.00, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.98-1.02; arachidonic acid OR = 1.00, 95% CI = 0.99-1.01; and dihomo-gamma-linolenic acid OR = 0.95, 95% CI = 0.87-1.02]. The OR estimates remained virtually unchanged after adjustment for covariates, using individual-level data or summary statistics, or stratification by age and sex.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that variations of genetically determined plasma n-6 PUFA levels are not associated with pancreatic cancer risk.

IMPACT

These results suggest that modifying n-6 PUFA levels through food sources or supplementation may not influence risk of pancreatic cancer.

Shorter Treatment-Naïve Leukocyte Telomere Length is Associated with Poorer Overall Survival of Patients with Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Critically shortened telomeres contribute to chromosomal instability and neoplastic transformation and are associated with early death of patients with certain cancer types. Shorter leukocyte telomere length (LTL) has been associated with higher risk for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and might be associated also with survival of patients with PDAC. We investigated the association between treatment-naïve LTL and overall survival of patients with incident PDAC.

METHODS

The study included 642 consecutively enrolled PDAC patients in the Mayo Clinic Biospecimen Resource for Pancreas Research. Blood samples were obtained at the time of diagnosis, before the start of cancer treatment, from which LTL was assayed by qRT-PCR. LTL was first modeled as a continuous variable (per-interquartile range decrease in LTL) and then as a categorized variable (short, medium, long). Multivariable-adjusted HRs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated for overall mortality using Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

Shorter treatment-naïve LTL was associated with higher mortality among patients with PDAC (HR_continuous = 1.13, 95% CI: 1.01-1.28, P = 0.03; HR_{shortest vs. longest LTL} = 1.29, 95% CI: 1.05-1.59, P _trend = 0.01). There was a difference in the association between LTL and overall mortality by tumor stage at diagnosis; resectable tumors (HR_continuous = 0.91; 95% CI: 0.73-1.12), locally advanced tumors (HR_continuous = 1.29; 95% CI: 1.07-1.56), and metastatic tumors (HR_continuous = 1.17; 95% CI: 0.96-1.42), P _interaction = 0.04.

CONCLUSION

Shorter treatment-naïve LTL is associated with poorer overall survival of patients with incident PDAC.

IMPACT

Peripheral blood LTL might be a prognostic marker for PDAC.

One-carbon metabolism-related micronutrients intake and risk for hepatocellular carcinoma: A prospective cohort study

Deficient intake of micronutrients involved in one-carbon metabolism (eg, choline, methionine, vitamin B₁₂ and folic acid) leads to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in rodents, but is under-investigated in humans. We investigated the association between one-carbon metabolism-related micronutrient intake and HCC risk in a prospective cohort of 494 860 participants with 16 years of follow-up in the NIH-AARP study. Dietary intakes and supplement use were ascertained at baseline using a food-frequency questionnaire. Total intake (diet plus supplements) of the following one-carbon metabolism-related micronutrients were calculated: folate, methionine and vitamins B₂ (riboflavin), B₃ (niacin), B₆ and B₁₂ . These micronutrients were examined both individually and simultaneously, with adjustment for covariates. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Over the 16-year follow-up period, 647 incident HCC cases were diagnosed. When examined individually, higher total vitamin B₃ intake was associated with a lower HCC risk (HR_{Q5 vs Q1} = 0.60; 95% CI = 0.42-0.85; P_trend = .008), and the association remained significant when all six micronutrients were examined simultaneously (HR_{Q5 vs Q1} = 0.32; 95% CI = 0.18-0.55; P_trend < .0001). Among participants with >3 years of follow-up, higher total vitamin B₃ intake was again associated with lower risk (HR_{Q5 vs Q1} = 0.37; 95% CI = 0.20-0.68; P_trend = .001), whereas higher total vitamin B₆ intake was associated with higher risk (HR_{Q5 vs Q1} = 2.04; 95% CI = 1.02-4.07; P_trend = .04). Restricted cubic spline analyses showed a dose-response inverse association between total vitamin B₃ intake and HCC risk, and dose-response positive association between total vitamin B₆ intake and HCC risk. The study suggests that higher vitamin B₃ intake is associated with lower HCC risk, whereas higher vitamin B₆ intake is associated with increased risk.

Leukocyte Telomere Length and Its Interaction with Germline Variation in Telomere-Related Genes in Relation to Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma Risk

BACKGROUND

Leukocyte telomere length (LTL) has been associated with risk of multiple cancers, but its association with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is unclear. We therefore investigated the association between peripheral blood LTL and PDAC risk, and examined effect modification by candidate SNPs previously reported to be associated with variation in LTL.

METHODS

A case-control study of 1,460 PDAC cases and 1,459 frequency-matched controls was performed using biospecimens and data from the Mayo Clinic Biospecimen Resource for Pancreas Research. Quantitative PCR was used to measure LTL and categorized into tertiles based on sex-specific control distribution. Eleven telomere-related SNPs also were genotyped. Logistic regression was used to calculate ORs and 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

Shorter peripheral blood LTL was associated with a higher risk of PDAC (OR_T1vsT3 = 1.26, 95% CI = 1.03-1.54, P _trend = 0.02; OR_continuous = 1.14, 95% CI = 1.02-1.28), but the association was restricted to cases with treatment-naïve blood samples (OR_T1vsT3 = 1.51, 95% CI = 1.16-1.96, P _trend = 0.002; OR_continuous = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.08-1.45) and not cases whose blood samples were collected after initiation of cancer therapy (OR_T1vsT3 = 1.10, 95% CI = 0.87-1.39, P _trend = 0.42; OR_continuous = 1.08, 95% CI = 0.94-1.23). Three SNPs (TERC-rs10936599, ACYP2-rs11125529, and TERC-rs1317082) were each associated with interindividual variation in LTL among controls, but there was no evidence of effect modification by these SNPs.

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment-naïve short LTL is associated with a higher risk of PDAC, and the association does not differ by germline variation in the candidate telomere-related SNPs examined.

IMPACT

Peripheral blood LTL might serve as a molecular marker for risk modeling to identify persons at high risk of PDAC.

Risk of Different Cancers Among First-degree Relatives of Pancreatic Cancer Patients: Influence of Probands' Susceptibility Gene Mutation Status

BACKGROUND

Increased risk of malignancies other than pancreatic cancer (PC) has been reported among first-degree relatives (FDRs) of PC patients; however, the roles of susceptibility gene mutations are unclear. We assessed risk for 15 cancers among FDRs of unselected PC probands.

METHODS

Data on 17 162 FDRs, with more than 336 000 person-years at risk, identified through 2305 sequential PC probands enrolled at Mayo Clinic (2000-2016) were analyzed. Family history data were provided by the probands. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated, comparing malignancies observed among the FDRs with that expected using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data. Genetic testing was performed among a subset of probands (n = 2094), enabling stratified analyses among FDRs based on whether the related proband tested positive or negative for inherited mutation in 22 sequenced cancer susceptibility genes. All statistical tests were two-sided.

RESULTS

Compared with SEER, PC risk was twofold higher among FDRs of PC probands (SIR = 2.04, 95% CI = 1.78 to 2.31, P < .001). Primary liver cancer risk was elevated among female FDRs (SIR = 2.10, 95% CI = 1.34 to 3.12, P < .001). PC risk was more elevated among FDRs of mutation-positive probands (SIR = 4.32, 95% CI = 3.10 to 5.86) than FDRs of mutation-negative probands (SIR = 1.77, 95% CI = 1.51 to 2.05, between-group P < .001). FDR PC risk was higher when the related proband was younger than age 60 years at diagnosis and mutation-positive (SIR = 5.24, 95% CI = 2.93 to 8.64) than when the proband was younger than age 60 years but mutation-negative (SIR = 1.76, 95% CI = 1.21 to 2.47, between-group P < .001). Breast (SIR = 1.29, 95% CI = 1.01 to 1.63) and ovarian (SIR = 2.38, 95% CI = 1.30 to 4.00) cancers were elevated among FDRs of mutation-positive probands.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study substantiates twofold risk of PC among FDRs of PC patients and suggests increased risk for primary liver cancer among female FDRs. FDRs of susceptibility mutation carriers had substantially increased risk for PC and increased risk for breast and ovarian cancers.

Pancreatic cancer risk is modulated by inflammatory potential of diet and ABO genotype: a consortia-based evaluation and replication study

Diets with high inflammatory potential are suspected to increase risk for pancreatic cancer (PC). Using pooled analyses, we examined whether this association applies to populations from different geographic regions and population subgroups with varying risks for PC, including variation in ABO blood type. Data from six case-control studies (cases, n = 2414; controls, n = 4528) in the Pancreatic Cancer Case-Control Consortium (PanC4) were analyzed, followed by replication in five nested case-control studies (cases, n = 1268; controls, n = 4215) from the Pancreatic Cancer Cohort Consortium (PanScan). Two polymorphisms in the ABO locus (rs505922 and rs8176746) were used to infer participants' blood types. Dietary questionnaire-derived nutrient/food intake was used to compute energy-adjusted dietary inflammatory index (E-DII®) scores to assess inflammatory potential of diet. Pooled odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using multivariable-adjusted logistic regression. Higher E-DII scores, reflecting greater inflammatory potential of diet, were associated with increased PC risk in PanC4 [ORQ5 versus Q1=2.20, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.85-2.61, Ptrend < 0.0001; ORcontinuous = 1.20, 95% CI = 1.17-1.24], and PanScan (ORQ5 versus Q1 = 1.23, 95% CI = 0.92-1.66, Ptrend = 0.008; ORcontinuous = 1.09, 95% CI = 1.02-1.15). As expected, genotype-derived non-O blood type was associated with increased PC risk in both the PanC4 and PanScan studies. Stratified analyses of associations between E-DII quintiles and PC by genotype-derived ABO blood type did not show interaction by blood type (Pinteraction = 0.10 in PanC4 and Pinteraction=0.13 in PanScan). The results show that consuming a pro-inflammatory diet and carrying non-O blood type are each individually, but not interactively, associated with increased PC risk.

Genome-wide discovery and validation of diagnostic DNA methylation-based biomarkers for hepatocellular cancer detection in circulating cell free DNA

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the most prevalent form of liver cancer, is growing in incidence but treatment options remain limited, particularly for late stage disease. As liver cirrhosis is the principal risk state for HCC development, markers to detect early HCC within this patient population are urgently needed. Perturbation of epigenetic marks, such as DNA methylation (5mC), is a hallmark of human cancers, including HCC. Identification of regions with consistently altered 5mC levels in circulating cell free DNA (cfDNA) during progression from cirrhosis to HCC could therefore serve as markers for development of minimally-invasive screens of early HCC diagnosis and surveillance.

Methods: To discover DNA methylation derived biomarkers of HCC in the background of liver cirrhosis, we profiled genome-wide 5mC landscapes in patient cfDNA using the Infinium HumanMethylation450k BeadChip Array. We further linked these findings to primary tissue data available from TCGA and other public sources. Using biological and statistical frameworks, we selected CpGs that robustly differentiated cirrhosis from HCC in primary tissue and cfDNA followed by validation in an additional independent cohort.

Results: We identified CpGs that segregate patients with cirrhosis, from patients with HCC within a cirrhotic liver background, through genome-wide analysis of cfDNA 5mC landscapes. Lasso regression analysis pinpointed a panel of probes in our discovery cohort that were validated in two independent datasets. A panel of five CpGs (cg04645914, cg06215569, cg23663760, cg13781744, and cg07610777) yielded area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves of 0.9525, 0.9714, and 0.9528 in cfDNA discovery and tissue validation cohorts 1 and 2, respectively. Validation of a 5-marker panel created from combining hypermethylated and hypomethylated CpGs in an independent cfDNA set by bisulfite pyrosequencing yielded an AUROC of 0.956, compared to the discovery AUROC of 0.996.

Conclusion: Our finding that 5mC markers derived from primary tissue did not perform well in cfDNA, compared to those identified directly from cfDNA, reveals potential advantages of starting with cfDNA to discover high performing markers for liquid biopsy development.

Risk of De Novo Hepatocellular Carcinoma Following Use of Direct Acting Antiviral Medications for Treatment of Chronic Hepatitis C

Direct-acting antivirals (DAA) are now the mainstay of treatment for patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV); however, there is some controversy over whether use of DAAs for HCV, as compared with IFN-based regimens, leads to an increased risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development. We investigated the association between use of DAAs and subsequent development of HCC in longitudinal data from patients with HCV from diverse backgrounds (various ages, ethnicities, and geographic regions) across the United States. The design was a retrospective study performed using medical and pharmacy claims from OptumLabs. HCV treatment exposure was categorized as DAA-only, DAA + IFN, any-DAA, or IFN-only. To account for confounding by indication, inverse probability of treatment weighting was performed. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). We identified 5,781 patients with HCV with no history of HCC at baseline. Compared with IFN-only regimen, no significant increase in HCC risk was found for use of DAA-only (HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 0.73-3.23), DAA + IFN (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.51-2.06), or any-DAA (HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.65-1.65). When stratified by sustained virological response (SVR), we noted a higher HCC risk for DAA-only among patients who achieved SVR post-treatment (HR, 7.53; 95% CI, 1.48-38.34), but the CIs were wide, which might be due to the small sample size of the subgroups. Among those who did not achieve SVR, no association was found for use of DAA-only (HR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.19-1.91). These findings do not provide compelling evidence for the conception that use of DAAs for HCV is associated with increased risk of HCC development.

Abstract LB-150: Risk of de novo hepatocellular carcinoma development following use of direct acting antiviral medications for treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus infection

Background: Direct acting antiviral medications (DAA) have become the mainstay for treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. However, some studies have suggested an increased risk of HCC development following use of DAAs for HCV compared with use of interferon-based medications (IFN), while other studies, mostly in Veterans Administration population in the United States, did not show an increase in HCC risk after the use of DAA in patients with HCV. To address these conflicting reports, we investigated the association between use of DAA for HCV and subsequent development of HCC in a large, longitudinal data with broad representation of individuals from various ages, ethnicities, and geographic regions across the United States.

Methods: A retrospective cohort study was performed using medical and pharmacy claims from the OptumLabs® Data Warehouse. The study included 9,532 incident HCV cases (2010-2016) of ages 18 years or older treated with DAA or IFN and did not have a prior diagnosis of HCC before initiation of the antiviral therapy. The participants were categorized into DAA-only or IFN-only groups. To account for confounding by indication, inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was performed to ensure balance in sociodemographic and treatment related factors between treatment groups. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for HCC risk, comparing DAA-only regimen with IFN-only regimen (reference).

Results: Median follow-up for the entire study cohort was 1.4 years, with a slightly longer follow-up for individuals in the IFN-only group (1.8 years) than for those in the DAA-only group (1.4 years). One hundred and seventy-one incident HCC cases developed during follow-up, with a higher occurrence of HCC in the DAA-only group (n=155; 11.9 cases per 1,000 person-years) than in the IFN-only group (n=16; 8.3 cases per 1,000 person-years). Compared with IFN-only treatment, use of DAA-only for HCV was not associated with an increase in HCC risk (HR=1.47, 95% CI: 0.89-2.42). Similarly, no association was found between use of DAA-only regimen and HCC risk among individuals with cirrhosis (HR=1.28, 95% CI: 0.71-2.31) or those without cirrhosis (HR =1.80, 95% CI: 0.64-5.03). When stratified by sustained virologic response (SVR), a measure of complete viral clearance, we noted a higher HCC risk associated with DAA-only regimen among individuals with SVR (HR=7.83, 95% CI: 1.54-39.88) and a lower risk for DAA-only regimen among those without SVR (HR=0.12, 95% CI: 0.02-0.95); however, the CIs are substantially wide, reflecting the small numbers in these subgroup analyses.

Conclusion: Despite some prior reports of increased risk of HCC development following use of DAA for HCV, this ethnically and geographically diverse study did not find compelling evidence indicating an increased HCC risk associated with use of DAA in patients with HCV when compared with use of IFN.

Citation Format: Samuel O. Antwi, Holly K. Van Houten, Lindsey R. Sangaralingham, Tushar Patel. Risk of de novo hepatocellular carcinoma development following use of direct acting antiviral medications for treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus infection [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2019; 2019 Mar 29-Apr 3; Atlanta, GA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(13 Suppl):Abstract nr LB-150.

A SEER-based multi-ethnic picture of advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma in the United States pre- and post-the advent of gemcitabine/cisplatin

Background

Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is a rare, lethal cancer with 5-year survival of less than 10%. Although incidence rates have been increasing in the United States, ethnic variations in survival have not been investigated. We examined multi-ethnic variation in overall survival (OS) and CCA-specific survival (CSS) using data from the population-based Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) program in the 4-year period after introduction of gemcitabine/cisplatin (GC) as treatment for CCA, compared with prior years.

Methods

The study included data from 5,616 advanced, intrahepatic CCA cases reported in SEER between 1990 and 2013. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated to examine OS and CSS by ethnicity, age, gender and in the pre- and post-GC era (1990-2000, 2001-2009 vs. 2010-2013).

Results

Compared to non-Hispanic Whites, Hispanics had poorer 3-year OS (HR 1.11, 95% CI: 1.03-1.20) and 3-year CSS (HR 1.15, 95% CI: 1.05-1.25). Similarly, non-Hispanic Blacks had 3-year OS (HR 1.21, 95% CI: 1.10-1.34) and 3-year CSS (HR 1.21, 95% CI: 1.09-1.35). Males and older patients had shorter survival compared to females and younger patients. OS and CSS were both improved for patients' post-advent of GC. Statistically significant improvement in CSS pre- and post-advent of GC was noted in non-Hispanic Whites, while Hispanics actually had worsened survival.

Conclusions

Hispanics and non-Hispanic Blacks have worse survival after diagnosis with advanced, intrahepatic CCA. Further studies are needed to determine determinants of poor survival among these groups.

Response to Loco-Regional Therapy Predicts Outcomes After Liver Transplantation for Combined Hepatocellular-Cholangiocarcinoma

INTRODUCTION AND AIM

Combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (HCC-CCA) is a rare liver malignancy distinct from either hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) or cholangiocarcinoma. Liver transplantation (LT) is not recommended for HCC-CCA because of suboptimal outcomes. Non-invasive diagnosis of HCC-CCA is extremely challenging; thus, some HCC-CCAs are presumed as HCC on imaging and listed for LT with the correct diagnosis ultimately made on explant pathology. We compared HCC-CCA with HCC to determine the utility of response to pre-transplant loco-regional therapy (LRT) in predicting outcomes for HCC-CCA after LT as a potential means of identifying appropriate HCC-CCA patients for LT.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Retrospective review of 19 patients with pathologically confirmed HCC-CCA were individually matched to 38 HCC patients (1:2) based on age, sex, and Milan criteria at listing was performed. The modified response evaluation criteria in solid tumors was used to categorize patients as responders or non-responders to pre-transplant LRT based on imaging performed before and after LRT. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were examined.

RESULTS

OS at 3 years post-transplant was 74% for HCC-CCA and 87% for HCC. RFS at 3 years was 74% for HCC-CCA, and 87% for HCC. Among responders to LRT, the 3-year OS was 92% for HCC-CCA and 88% for HCC; among non-responders, 3-year OS was 43% for HCC-CCA and 83% for HCC. Higher 3-year OS was observed among HCC-CCA responders (77%) compared with HCC-CCA non-responders (23%).

CONCLUSIONS

OS was similarly high among.

CDKN2A Germline Rare Coding Variants and Risk of Pancreatic Cancer in Minority Populations

Background: Pathogenic germline mutations in the CDKN2A tumor suppressor gene are rare and associated with highly penetrant familial melanoma and pancreatic cancer in non-Hispanic whites (NHW). To date, the prevalence and impact of CDKN2A rare coding variants (RCV) in racial minority groups remain poorly characterized. We examined the role of CDKN2A RCVs on the risk of pancreatic cancer among minority subjects.Methods: We sequenced CDKN2A in 220 African American (AA) pancreatic cancer cases, 900 noncancer AA controls, and 183 Nigerian controls. RCV frequencies were determined for each group and compared with that of 1,537 NHW patients with pancreatic cancer. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated for both a case-case comparison of RCV frequencies in AAs versus NHWs, and case-control comparison between AA cases versus noncancer AA controls plus Nigerian controls. Smaller sets of Hispanic and Native American cases and controls also were sequenced.Results: One novel missense RCV and one novel frameshift RCV were found among AA patients: 400G>A and 258_278del. RCV carrier status was associated with increased risk of pancreatic cancer among AA cases (11/220; OR, 3.3; 95% CI, 1.5-7.1; P = 0.004) compared with AA and Nigerian controls (17/1,083). Further, AA cases had higher frequency of RCVs: 5.0% (OR, 13.4; 95% CI, 4.9-36.7; P < 0.001) compared with NHW cases (0.4%).Conclusions: CDKN2A RCVs are more common in AA than in NHW patients with pancreatic cancer and associated with moderately increased pancreatic cancer risk among AAs.Impact: RCVs in CDKN2A are frequent in AAs and are associated with risk for pancreatic cancer. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 27(11); 1364-70. ©2018 AACR.

Abstract 1192: Independent and joint use of statins and metformin on overall survival after diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma: A SEER-Medicare matched study

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a lethal malignancy that currently ranks fourth in cancer-related deaths in the US and is projected to become the third leading cause of cancer death in the US by 2030. Thus, there is a pressing need to identify modifying risk factors to improve survival after diagnosis of HCC. Statins and metformin are among the most commonly prescribed medications in the elderly in the US and there are experimental data suggesting that these medications may improve overall survival after cancer diagnosis; however, results from observational studies have been equivocal. We therefore investigated the potential benefits of pre- and post-diagnosis use of statins and metformin both independently and jointly on overall survival after diagnosis of HCC. Methods: The study was performed using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER-18) registry linked to Medicare claims data and included 8,922 elderly (≥65 years) patients diagnosed with HCC between 2009-2013. Data on metformin and statins use were extracted from the Medicare Part D Claims file and the patients were grouped as statins only users, metformin only users, both statins and metformin users, or neither (i.e., non-users, referent group). We assessed association of both pre-diagnosis (≥2 years) and post-diagnosis statins and metformin use on risk of death after diagnosis of HCC. Statins users were further categorized into high potency statins users (simvastatin, atorvastatin, and rosuvastatin) or low potency statins users (pravastatin, lovastatin, and fluvastatin) and compared with non-users. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusting for multiple risk factors, including age sex, race, cancer stage at diagnosis, cancer grade, first course therapy, neighborhood level education and income, Charlson comorbidity index, and diabetes severity index. Results: Compared with non-users, post-diagnosis statins use was independently associated with 27% lower risk of death after diagnosis of HCC (HR=0.73, 95% CI: 0.60-0.88; p-value = 0.002), adjusting for pre-diagnosis statins use and other risk factors. Further analysis showed that the association for post-diagnosis statins use is evident only among high potency statins users (HR=0.72, 95% CI: 0.60-0.88; users versus non-users) but not low potency statins users (HR=0.83, 95% CI: 0.55-1.25; users versus non-users). No association was found for pre-diagnosis statins use or for pre- or post-diagnosis metformin use. Conclusions: This study suggests that post-diagnosis statins use, particularly high potency statins use, may improve overall survival after diagnosis of HCC. Metformin use, both before and after diagnosis of HCC, is not associated with overall survival.

Citation Format: Samuel O. Antwi, Zhuo Li, Kabir Mody, Tushar C. Patel. Independent and joint use of statins and metformin on overall survival after diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma: A SEER-Medicare matched study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2018; 2018 Apr 14-18; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2018;78(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 1192.

Racial, Ethnic, and Age Disparities in Incidence and Survival of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma in the United States; 1995-2014

INTRODUCTION AND AIM

Despite reports of increased incidence of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) in the United States, the impact of age or influences of race and ethnicity are not clear. Disparities in iCCA outcomes across various population subgroups also are not readily recognized due to the rarity of this cancer. We examined ethnic, race, age, and gender variations in iCCA incidence and survival using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (1995-2014).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We assessed age-adjusted incidence rates, average annual percentage change in incidence, and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for all-cause and iCCA-specific mortality.

RESULTS

Overall, 11,127 cases of iCCA were identified, with an age-adjusted incidence rate of 0.92 per 100,000. The incidence rate increased twofold, from 0.49 per 100,000 in 1995 to 1.49 per 100,000 in 2014, with an average annual rate of increase of 5.49%. The iCCA incidence rate was higher among persons age 45 years or older than those younger than 45 years (1.71 vs. 0.07 per 100,000), among males than females (0.97 vs. 0.88 per 100,000) and among Hispanics than non-Hispanics (1.18 vs. 0.89 per 100,000). Compared to non-Hispanics, Hispanics had poorer 5-year allcause mortality (HR = 1.11, 95%CI: 1.05-1.19) and poorer iCCA-specific mortality (HR = 1.15, 95%CI: 1.07-1.24). Survival rates were poor also for individuals age 45 years or older, men, and Blacks and American Indians/Alaska Natives.

CONCLUSION

The results demonstrate ethnic, race, age and gender disparities in iCCA incidence and survival, and confirm continued increase in iCCA incidence in the United States.

Association Between Inherited Germline Mutations in Cancer Predisposition Genes and Risk of Pancreatic Cancer

IMPORTANCE

Individuals genetically predisposed to pancreatic cancer may benefit from early detection. Genes that predispose to pancreatic cancer and the risks of pancreatic cancer associated with mutations in these genes are not well defined.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether inherited germline mutations in cancer predisposition genes are associated with increased risks of pancreatic cancer.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Case-control analysis to identify pancreatic cancer predisposition genes; longitudinal analysis of patients with pancreatic cancer for prognosis. The study included 3030 adults diagnosed as having pancreatic cancer and enrolled in a Mayo Clinic registry between October 12, 2000, and March 31, 2016, with last follow-up on June 22, 2017. Reference controls were 123 136 individuals with exome sequence data in the public Genome Aggregation Database and 53 105 in the Exome Aggregation Consortium database.

EXPOSURES

Individuals were classified based on carrying a deleterious mutation in cancer predisposition genes and having a personal or family history of cancer.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Germline mutations in coding regions of 21 cancer predisposition genes were identified by sequencing of products from a custom multiplex polymerase chain reaction-based panel; associations of genes with pancreatic cancer were assessed by comparing frequency of mutations in genes of pancreatic cancer patients with those of reference controls.

RESULTS

Comparing 3030 case patients with pancreatic cancer (43.2% female; 95.6% non-Hispanic white; mean age at diagnosis, 65.3 [SD, 10.7] years) with reference controls, significant associations were observed between pancreatic cancer and mutations in CDKN2A (0.3% of cases and 0.02% of controls; odds ratio [OR], 12.33; 95% CI, 5.43-25.61); TP53 (0.2% of cases and 0.02% of controls; OR, 6.70; 95% CI, 2.52-14.95); MLH1 (0.13% of cases and 0.02% of controls; OR, 6.66; 95% CI, 1.94-17.53); BRCA2 (1.9% of cases and 0.3% of controls; OR, 6.20; 95% CI, 4.62-8.17); ATM (2.3% of cases and 0.37% of controls; OR, 5.71; 95% CI, 4.38-7.33); and BRCA1 (0.6% of cases and 0.2% of controls; OR, 2.58; 95% CI, 1.54-4.05).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this case-control study, mutations in 6 genes associated with pancreatic cancer were found in 5.5% of all pancreatic cancer patients, including 7.9% of patients with a family history of pancreatic cancer and 5.2% of patients without a family history of pancreatic cancer. Further research is needed for replication in other populations.

Inflammatory potential of diet and risk of pancreatic cancer in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer Screening Trial

Inflammation plays a central role in pancreatic cancer etiology and can be modulated by diet. We aimed to examine the association between the inflammatory potential of diet, assessed with the Dietary Inflammatory Index (DII®), and pancreatic cancer risk in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial prospective cohort. Our study included 101,449 participants aged 52-78 years at baseline who completed both baseline questionnaire and a diet history questionnaire. Energy-adjusted DII (E-DII) scores were computed based on food and supplement intake. Cox proportional hazards models and time dependent Cox models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) with participants in the lowest E-DII quintile (most anti-inflammatory scores) as referent. After a median 8.5 years of follow-up, 328 pancreatic cancer cases were identified. E-DII scores were not associated with pancreatic cancer risk in the multivariable model (HR_Q5vsQ1  = 0.94; 95% CI = 0.66-1.35; p-trend = 0.43). Time significantly modified the association (p-interaction = 0.01). During follow up <4 years, there was suggestive evidence of an inverse association between E-DII and pancreatic cancer (HR_Q5vsQ1  = 0.60; 95% CI = 0.35-1.02; p-trend = 0.20) while there was a significant positive trend in the follow up ≥4 years (HR_Q5vsQ1  = 1.31; 95% CI = 0.83-2.08; p-trend = 0.03). Similar results were observed for E-DII from food only. Our study does not support an association between inflammatory potential of diet and pancreatic cancer risk; however, heterogeneous results were obtained with different follow-up times. These divergent associations may result from the influences of undetected disease in the short-term.

A SEER-based multiethnic picture of cholangiocarcinoma in the United States pre and post the advent of gemcitabine/cisplatin

448

Background: Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is a rare, lethal cancer with five-year survival of less than 10%. Although incidence rates have been increasing in the United States, ethnic variations in survival have not been investigated. We examined multi-ethnic variation in overall survival (OS) and CCA-specific survival (CSS) using data from the population-based Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) program in the four year periods before and after introduction of gemcitabine/cisplatin as treatment for CCA. Methods: The study included data from 9,975 CCA cases reported in SEER between 2006 and 2013. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated to examine overall and cholangiocarcinoma-specific survival by ethnicity, age, gender and in the pre- and post- gemcitabine/cisplatin era (2006-2009 vs. 2010-2013). Results: Compared to non-Hispanic Whites, Hispanics had poorer 3-year OS (HR = 1.18, 95% CI = 1.10-1.26) and 3-year CCA-specific survival (HR = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.16-1.35). Similarly, non-Hispanic Blacks had 3-year OS (HR = 1.22, 95% CI = 1.12-1.30) and 3-year CCA-specific survival (HR = 1.24, 95% CI = 1.13-1.37). Males and older patients also were found to have shorter survival compared to females and younger patients. Also noted was an increase in CCA incidence rate over time (2006-2013) of 5.93%. Among those < 50 versus ≥50 years old, a 23% higher rate of incidence in those < 50 was noted. Overall survival and CSS were both significantly improved for patients post-advent of Gemcitabine/Cisplatin. Statistically significant improvement in CSS pre- and post-advent of Gemcitabine/Cisplatin was noted in non-hispanic whites (p < 0.001) and Hispanics (p = 0.02). Conclusions: Hispanics and non-Hispanic Blacks have worse survival after diagnosis with CCA. Further studies are needed to determine the determinants of poor survival among these groups toward targeted intervention. Significant improvements in OS and CSS have been seen after the advent of Gemcitabine/Cisplatin. The incidence of CCA is rising faster in young persons, under the age of 50, compared with older patients.

Alcohol consumption, variability in alcohol dehydrogenase genes and risk of renal cell carcinoma

Alcohol consumption has been associated inversely with renal cell carcinoma (RCC) risk; however, no study has examined effect modification by germline variation in alcohol-metabolizing genes. We investigated whether the association between alcohol intake and RCC risk is modulated by germline variants in alcohol dehydrogenase genes in a large case-control study. Data from 652 RCC cases and 1,366 non-cancer controls were analyzed. Alcohol intake was assessed using a standardized risk factor questionnaire. Three previously genotyped polymorphisms in ADH6 and ADH7 with the TaqMan assay were examined. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated using logistic regression, adjusting for covariates. Compared to non-drinkers, ever consumption of alcohol was associated with lower RCC risk (OR = 0.52, 95% CI = 0.42-0.65). Analysis with cubic spline regression curve showed a "J-shaped" relationship between alcohol drinks/day and RCC risk, such that there was no added benefit against RCC for consumption of more than two drinks/day. We observed effect modification by variation in rs1154454 (ADH7) (p_interaction  = 0.007); a per unit increase in alcohol drink/day was associated with 35% lower RCC risk among non-minor allele carriers, a 27% lower risk among those who carry one copy of the minor allele, but no association was observed among those with two copies of the minor allele. These findings indicate that alcohol consumption is associated with lower RCC risk. Consuming more than two drinks a day does not confer additional protection against RCC. The association between alcohol intake and RCC risk appears to be modulated by inter-individual germline variation in alcohol-metabolizing genes.

Abstract LB-237: Response to loco-regional therapy as predictors of outcomes after transplantation for mixed hepatocellular cholangiocarcinoma

Background: Mixed hepatocellular cholangiocarcinoma (HCC-CCA) is a rare primary malignancy of the liver which is distinct from hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) or cholangiocarcinoma. HCC-CCA is presumed to have a poor prognosis and is not recommended for transplantation. The clinical and radiological presentation of HCC-CCA overlaps with HCC; thus, patients with these cancers may be mis-diagnosed as HCC and undergo liver transplantation, with the precise diagnosis ultimately determined on explant pathology. Patients undergoing transplant for presumed HCC receive loco-regional therapy (LRT), such as transarterial chemoembolization and radiofrequency ablation pre-transplant. Our goals were to (1) evaluate pre-transplant response to LRT, as predictors of recurrence and survival after transplant in HCC-CCA, and to (2) compare outcomes of transplant with adjuvant LRT in HCC-CCA and HCC.

Methods: A retrospective study of 57 patients with presumed HCC who underwent liver transplantation and had pre-transplant LRT was performed. The study included 19 HCC-CCA cases and 38 HCC cases diagnosed on explant pathology, and individually matched (1:2) on age, sex, and Milan criteria. Response to LRT was determined by MRI performed before and after LRT. The response evaluation criterion in solid tumors (RECIST) was used to categorize treatment responses as “responders” if a patient had a complete or partial response or “non-responders” if a patient had stable or progressive disease. Recurrence rates, recurrence-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS) following LRT and transplant were compared between groups using Fisher’s exact tests.

Results: The overall 1- and 3-year survival rates were 84% and 74% for HCC-CCA, and 95% and 87% for HCC, respectively. RFS at 1 and 3 years was 79% and 74% for HCC-CCA, and 92% and 87% for HCC (p-values &gt;0.05). For HCC-CCA, one-year OS and RFS in LRT responders were 92% and 83%, whereas for LRT non-responders, OS and RFS were 71% each. In contrast, for HCC, one-year OS and RFS in LRT responders were both 97%, whereas among non-responders, they were 83% and 67%, respectively. At three years, OS and RFS in responders were 92% and 75% for HCC-CCA and 88% and 90% for HCC, respectively; whereas among non-responders, OS and RFS rates were 43% and 57% for HCC-CCA and 83% and 50% for HCC, respectively (all p-value &gt;0.05).

Conclusions: Short-term, post-transplant survival was poorer for HCC-CCA than HCC. However, OS among LRT responders for both cancers was similar. Response to LRT predicts favorable RFS in both HCC-CCA and HCC. Among non-responders, recurrence rate and RFS at three years were dismal and similar for both HCC-CCA and HCC, although OS is much lower for HCC-CCA patients. Response to pre-transplant LRT can be used for identifying HCC-CCA patients at high risk of recurrence and poor survival after liver transplantation.

Citation Format: Yacob Y. Habboush, Samuel O. Antwi, Lori Chase, Tushar C. Patel. Response to loco-regional therapy as predictors of outcomes after transplantation for mixed hepatocellular cholangiocarcinoma [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2017; 2017 Apr 1-5; Washington, DC. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2017;77(13 Suppl):Abstract nr LB-237. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2017-LB-237

Abstract 4269: Risk of different cancers among first-degree relatives of pancreatic cancer patients and impact of probands’ germline mutation on sibling cancer risk

Background: There have been varying reports on risk of different cancers, other than pancreatic cancer (PC), among first-degree relatives (FDRs) of PC patients. Because the pattern and scope of aggregation of PC with other malignancies in families of PC patients are not entirely clear, we investigated risk of 15 common malignancies among FDRs of unselected PC probands.

Methods: The study included 17,181 FDRs with more than 336,000 person-years at risk. The FDRs were identified through sequentially enrolled PC probands (n=2,305) in the Mayo Clinic prospective pancreatic cancer patient registry from 2000-2016. Data on family history of cancer were provided by the probands at the time of enrollment in structured risk factor questionnaires. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated by comparing cases of each cancer type observed among the FDRs with those expected using data from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results Program (SEER). Stratified analyses were performed among siblings of the probands based on whether the related proband tested positive for a mutation in ATM, BARD1, BRCA1, BRCA2, CDKN2A, CHEK2, MUTYH, NBN, PALB2, or PMS2; or tested negative for mutation in a total of 25 sequenced cancer susceptibility genes.

Results: Compared to the SEER reference population, risk of PC was two-fold higher than expected among the FDRs (SIR=2.04, 95% CI: 1.78-2.31) and 12-fold higher than expected among FDRs with history of PC in at least two blood relatives (SIR=11.99, 95% CI: 10.48-13.64). Siblings of mutation-positive probands had higher risk of PC (SIR=13.57, 95% CI: 6.19-25.76) than siblings of mutation-negative probands (SIR=8.91, 95% CI=6.73-11.57). For other cancer types, primary liver cancer was elevated among female FDRs (SIR=2.10, 95% CI: 1.34-3.12), whereas breast (SIR=3.16, 95% CI: 1.63-5.52) and ovarian (SIR =6.61, 95% CI: 1.33-19.31) cancers were elevated only among siblings of the mutation-positive probands. There also were suggestions of lower than expected risk of other malignancies, such as bladder, colorectal and prostate cancers, among the FDRs as compared with the SEER population.

Conclusions: These findings confirm familial aggregation of PC with breast and ovarian cancers, and further suggest a potential aggregation of PC and primary liver cancer among female FDRs of PC probands. The elevated risks of breast cancer and ovarian cancer among siblings of the mutation-positive probands suggests a strong influence of genetic susceptibility shared with the related proband, possibly due to an inherited mutation in BRCA1, BRCA2, or PALB2. These findings lend support to genetic counseling and targeted screening of certain cancers in high-risk families.

Citation Format: Samuel O. Antwi, Sarah E. Fagan, Kari G. Chaffee, William R. Bamlet, McWilliams R. Robert, Ann L. Oberg, Gloria M. Petersen. Risk of different cancers among first-degree relatives of pancreatic cancer patients and impact of probands’ germline mutation on sibling cancer risk [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2017; 2017 Apr 1-5; Washington, DC. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2017;77(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 4269. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2017-4269

Coffee consumption and risk of renal cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Studies have suggested an inverse association between coffee consumption and risk of renal cell carcinoma (RCC); however, data regarding decaffeinated coffee are limited.

METHODS

We conducted a case-control study of 669 incident RCC cases and 1,001 frequency-matched controls. Participants completed identical risk factor questionnaires that solicited information about usual coffee consumption habits. The study participants were categorized as non-coffee, caffeinated coffee, decaffeinated coffee, or both caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee drinkers. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using logistic regression, adjusting for multiple risk factors for RCC.

RESULTS

Compared with no coffee consumption, we found an inverse association between caffeinated coffee consumption and RCC risk (OR 0.74; 95% CI 0.57-0.99), whereas we observed a trend toward increased risk of RCC for consumption of decaffeinated coffee (OR 1.47; 95% CI 0.98-2.19). Decaffeinated coffee consumption was associated also with increased risk of the clear cell RCC (ccRCC) subtype, particularly the aggressive form of ccRCC (OR 1.80; 95% CI 1.01-3.22).

CONCLUSIONS

Consumption of caffeinated coffee is associated with reduced risk of RCC, while decaffeinated coffee consumption is associated with an increase in risk of aggressive ccRCC. Further inquiry is warranted in large prospective studies and should include assessment of dose-response associations.

Genetically Predicted Telomere Length is not Associated with Pancreatic Cancer Risk

Background: Epidemiologic associations of leukocyte telomere length (LTL) and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) have been inconsistent owing, in part, to variation in telomere length (TL) assessment across studies. To overcome this limitation and address concerns of potential reverse causation, we used carriage of telomere-related alleles to genetically predict TL and examined its association with PDAC.Methods: A case-control study of 1,500 PDAC cases and 1,500 controls, frequency-matched on age and sex was performed. Eight of nine polymorphisms previously associated with variation in LTL were analyzed. Genetic risk scores (GRS) consisting of the TL-related polymorphisms were computed as the number of long TL alleles carried by an individual scaled to published kilobase pairs of TL associated with each allele. Participants were further categorized on the basis of the number of short TL alleles they carry across all eight SNPs. Associations were examined in additive and dominant models using logistic regression to calculate ORs and 95% confidence intervals (CI).Results: In age- and sex-adjusted models, one short TL allele (rs10936599, T) was associated with reduced risk, whereas another short TL allele (rs2736100, A) was associated with increased risk, with per-allele ORs of 0.89 (95% CI, 0.79-0.99) and 1.13 (95% CI, 1.01-1.24), respectively. No association was observed with GRS or short TL allele counts, and no associations were observed in the dominant models.Conclusions: Findings suggest that genetically predicted short TL is not associated with PDAC risk.Impact: Common genetic determinants of short TL do not appear to influence PDAC risk. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 26(6); 971-4. ©2017 AACR.

Carotenoid intake and adipose tissue carotenoid levels in relation to prostate cancer aggressiveness among African-American and European-American men in the North Carolina-Louisiana prostate cancer project (PCaP)

BACKGROUND

Associations between carotenoid intake and prostate cancer (CaP) incidence have varied across studies. This may result from combining indolent with aggressive disease in most studies. This study examined whether carotenoid intake and adipose tissue carotenoid levels were inversely associated with CaP aggressiveness.

METHODS

Data on African-American (AA, n = 1,023) and European-American (EA, n = 1,079) men with incident CaP from North Carolina and Louisiana were analyzed. Dietary carotenoid intake was assessed using a detailed-food frequency questionnaire (FFQ), and abdominal adipose tissue samples were analyzed for carotenoid concentrations using high-performance liquid chromatography. Multivariable logistic regression was used in race-stratified analyses to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) comparing high aggressive CaP with low/intermediate aggressive CaP.

RESULTS

Carotenoid intake differed significantly between AAs and EAs, which included higher intake of lycopene among EAs and higher β-cryptoxanthin intake among AAs. Comparing the highest and lowest tertiles, dietary lycopene was associated inversely with high aggressive CaP among EAs (OR = 0.55, 95%CI: 0.34-0.89, Ptrend  = 0.02), while an inverse association was observed between dietary β-cryptoxanthin intake and high aggressive CaP among AAs (OR = 0.56, 95%CI: 0.36-0.87, Ptrend  = 0.01). Adipose tissue α-carotene and lycopene (cis + trans) concentrations were higher among EAs than AAs, and marginally significant inverse linear trends were observed for adipose α-carotene (Ptrend  = 0.07) and lycopene (Ptrend  = 0.11), and CaP aggressiveness among EAs only.

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that diets high in lycopene and β-cryptoxanthin may protect against aggressive CaP among EAs and AAs, respectively. Differences in dietary behaviors may explain the observed racial differences in associations. Prostate 76:1053-1066, 2016. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Pancreatic cancer: associations of inflammatory potential of diet, cigarette smoking and long-standing diabetes

Epidemiologic studies show strong associations between pancreatic cancer (PC) and inflammatory stimuli or conditions such as cigarette smoking and diabetes, suggesting that inflammation may play a key role in PC. Studies of dietary patterns and cancer outcomes also suggest that diet might influence an individual's risk of PC by modulating inflammation. We therefore examined independent and joint associations between inflammatory potential of diet, cigarette smoking and long-standing (≥5 years) type II diabetes in relation to risk of PC. Analyses included data from 817 cases and 1756 controls. Inflammatory potential of diet was measured using the dietary inflammatory index (DII), calculated from dietary intake assessed via a 144-item food frequency questionnaire, and adjusted for energy intake. Information on smoking and diabetes were obtained via risk factor questionnaires. Associations were examined using multivariable-adjusted logistic regression. Higher DII scores, reflecting a more proinflammatory diet, were associated with increased risk of PC [odds ratio (OR)Quintile 5 versus 1 = 2.54, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.87-3.46, P trend < 0.0001]. Excess risk of PC also was observed among former (OR = 1.29, 95% CI = 1.07-1.54) and current (OR = 3.40, 95% CI = 2.28-5.07) smokers compared with never smokers, and among participants with long-standing diabetes (OR = 3.09, 95% CI = 2.02-4.72) compared with nondiabetics. Joint associations were observed for the combined effects of having greater than median DII score, and being a current smoker (OR = 4.79, 95% CI = 3.00-7.65) or having long-standing diabetes (OR = 6.03, 95% CI = 3.41-10.85). These findings suggest that a proinflammatory diet may act as cofactor with cigarette smoking and diabetes to increase risk of PC beyond the risk of any of these factors alone.

Pancreatic Cancer: Associations of Inflammatory Potential of Diet, Cigarette Smoking, and Long-Standing Diabetes

Background: Pancreatic cancer (PanC) is a rapidly lethal malignancy with poorly understood etiology. Epidemiologic studies show strong associations between PanC and inflammatory conditions or stimuli such as cigarette smoking and diabetes, suggesting that inflammation may play a key role in PanC. Studies of dietary patterns and cancer outcomes also suggest that diet might influence an individual's risk of PanC through modulation of inflammation. We, therefore, examined independent and joint associations between inflammatory potential of diet, cigarette smoking and long-standing type II diabetes (greater than 5 years) in relation to risk of PanC. Methods: Data were from a clinic-based, case-control study of rapidly ascertained patients with incident adenocarcinoma of the exocrine pancreas (n = 819) evaluated at Mayo Clinic and non-cancer control patients (n = 1,769) recruited from Mayo Clinic primary care facilities. Controls were frequency-matched to cases on age, race, and sex. Inflammatory potential of diet was measured using the dietary inflammatory index (DII), calculated from dietary intake assessed via a 144-item food frequency questionnaire and adjusted for energy intake. Logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusting for age, sex, race, body mass index, diabetes, smoking, and education. Results: Higher DII scores, reflecting a more pro-inflammatory diet, were associated with increased odds of PanC (OR Quintile5vs1 = 2.80, 95% CI, 2.06–3.79, Ptrend &lt; 0.0001). Increased odds of PanC also were observed among current (OR = 2.55, 95% CI, 1.75–3.72) and former (OR = 1.26, 95% CI, 1.05–1.51) smokers as compared to non- smokers, and among participants with long-standing type II diabetes (OR = 2.96, 95% CI, 1.95–4.51) compared to non-diabetics. Joint associations were observed for the combined effect of having greater than the control median DII score and a) being a current smoker (OR = 4.20, 95% CI, 2.67–6.61),or b) having long-standing type II diabetes (OR = 6.13, 95% CI, 3.47–10.80) as compared to having less than or equal to the control median DII score and being a non-smoker or non-diabetic, respectively. Conclusion: These findings suggest that a pro-inflammatory diet may act synergistically with cigarette smoking and diabetes to increase the risk of PanC beyond the risk of any of these factors alone.

Exposure to environmental chemicals and heavy metals, and risk of pancreatic cancer

PURPOSE

Exposure to various chemicals and heavy metals has been associated with risk of different cancers; however, data on whether such exposures may increase the risk of pancreatic cancer (PC) are very limited and inconclusive. We examined PC risk with self-reported exposures to chemicals and heavy metals.

METHODS

The design was a clinic-based, case-control study of data collected from 2000 to 2014 at Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minnesota, USA. Cases were rapidly ascertained patients diagnosed with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (n = 2,092). Controls were cancer-free patients in primary care clinics (n = 2,353), frequency-matched to cases on age, race, sex, and state/region of residence. Cases and controls completed identical risk factor questionnaires, which included yes/no questions about regular exposure to pesticides, asbestos, benzene, chlorinated hydrocarbons, chromium, and nickel. Unconditional logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) comparing those who affirmed exposure to each of the chemicals/heavy metals to those who reported no regular exposure, adjusting for potential confounders.

RESULTS

Self-reported regular exposure to pesticides was associated with increased odds of PC (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.02-1.44). Regular exposure to asbestos (OR 1.54, 95% CI 1.23-1.92), benzene (OR 1.70, 95% CI 1.23-2.35), and chlorinated hydrocarbons (OR 1.63, 95% CI 1.32-2.02) also was associated with higher odds of PC. Chromium and nickel exposures were not significantly associated with PC.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings add to the limited data suggesting that exposure to pesticides, asbestos, benzene, and chlorinated hydrocarbons may increase PC risk. They further support the importance of implementing strategies that reduce exposure to these substances.