Prediction model for pneumonia in primary care patients with an acute respiratory tract infection: role of symptoms, signs, and biomarkers

BACKGROUND

Diagnosing pneumonia can be challenging in general practice but is essential to distinguish from other respiratory tract infections because of treatment choice and outcome prediction. We determined predictive signs, symptoms and biomarkers for the presence of pneumonia in patients with acute respiratory tract infection in primary care.

METHODS

From March 2012 until May 2016 we did a prospective observational cohort study in three radiology departments in the Leiden-The Hague area, The Netherlands. From adult patients we collected clinical characteristics and biomarkers, chest X ray results and outcome. To assess the predictive value of C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin and midregional pro-adrenomedullin for pneumonia, univariate and multivariate binary logistic regression were used to determine risk factors and to develop a prediction model.

RESULTS

Two hundred forty-nine patients were included of whom 30 (12%) displayed a consolidation on chest X ray. Absence of runny nose and whether or not a patient felt ill were independent predictors for pneumonia. CRP predicts pneumonia better than the other biomarkers but adding CRP to the clinical model did not improve classification (- 4%); however, CRP helped guidance of the decision which patients should be given antibiotics.

CONCLUSIONS

Adding CRP measurements to a clinical model in selected patients with an acute respiratory infection does not improve prediction of pneumonia, but does help in giving guidance on which patients to treat with antibiotics. Our findings put the use of biomarkers and chest X ray in diagnosing pneumonia and for treatment decisions into some perspective for general practitioners.

Burden of disease in children with respiratory tract infections in primary care: diary-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Respiratory tract infections (RTIs) are a common reason for children to consult in general practice. Antibiotics are often prescribed, in part due to miscommunication between parents and GPs. The duration of specific respiratory symptoms has been widely studied. Less is known about illness-related symptoms and the impact of these symptoms on family life, including parental production loss. Better understanding of the natural course of illness-related symptoms in RTI in children and impact on family life may improve GP-parent communication during RTI consultations.

OBJECTIVE

To describe the general impact of RTI on children and parents regarding illness-related symptoms, absenteeism from childcare, school and work, use of health care facilities, and the use of over-the-counter (OTC) medication.

METHODS

Prospectively collected diary data from two randomized clinical trials in children with RTI in primary care (n = 149). Duration of symptoms was analysed using survival analysis.

RESULTS

Disturbed sleep, decreased intake of food and/or fluid, feeling ill and/or disturbance at play or other daily activities are very common during RTI episodes, with disturbed sleep lasting longest. Fifty-two percent of the children were absent for one or more days from childcare or school, and 28% of mothers and 20% of fathers reported absence from work the first week after GP consultation. Re-consultation occurred in 48% of the children. OTC medication was given frequently, particularly paracetamol and nasal sprays.

CONCLUSION

Appreciation of, and communication about the general burden of disease on children and their parents, may improve understanding between GPs and parents consulting with their child.

[Strengths and weaknesses of guidelines: whether or not to prescribe antibiotics in general practice]

Is non-compliance to guidelines regarding antimicrobial treatment in primary care a problem? On the one hand, individual variation in clinical problems warrants deviation from guidelines in some patients. But on the other hand, restrictive use of antibiotics is certainly necessary in primary care. Undertreatment of infectious diseases is not a major risk in primary care, but overtreatment is. Currently, steps are undertaken in the Netherlands to enhance antibiotic stewardship.

Opinions of veterinarians on antimicrobial use in farm animals in Flanders and the Netherlands

Veterinarians play an important role in the reduction of antimicrobial use in farm animals. This study aims to quantify opinions of veterinarians from the Netherlands and Flanders regarding antimicrobial use and resistance issues in farm animals. An online survey was sent out to 678 and 1100 farm animal veterinarians in Flanders and the Netherlands, of which 174 and 437 were returned respectively. Suboptimal climate conditions were regarded as the most important cause for high antimicrobial use in farm animals. Flemish veterinarians also regarded insufficient biosecurity measures and farmers' mentality as important determinants, while the Dutch respondents ranked insufficient immunity of young animals and economic considerations of farmers as major causes. The majority of Dutch respondents (63.8 per cent) supported the existing national policy, which aimed to halve veterinary antimicrobial use, while the Flemish (32.9 per cent) were less supportive of such a policy. Improvements in housing and climate conditions, biosecurity measures and strict control of specific infectious diseases were seen as important and promising measures to reduce antimicrobial use. To reduce antimicrobial use in farm animals, some shared approaches might be applicable in both countries. However, cultural, political and societal differences between Flanders and the Netherlands require differentiated approaches to reduce veterinary antimicrobial use.

[Prevention of severe infections in asplenic patients]

The lifetime risk of dying from sepsis is approximately 2-3% in persons with (functional) asplenia. Both patients and their physicians are not always fully aware of these risks and the implementation of preventive measures is insufficient. Physicians should inform both patients and colleagues on the consequences of lost splenic function. Primary care physicians should screen their lists for patients with (functional) asplenia and offer these patient adequate preventive measures when needed.

[Impaired immunity: risk groups and consequences for general practice]

- Due to medication use, comorbidities and/or age, an increasing number of patients have an impaired immunity to infection.- Impaired immunity may lead to an increased risk of (opportunistic) infection, complications from infections, and difficulties in the diagnosis of infections.- Guided by clinical parameters, a general practitioner can classify an impaired immunity as 'clinically irrelevant', 'limitedly relevant' or 'potentially serious'.- Tocilizumab impairs the production of CRP, which makes it unreliable as an infection parameter.- In case of a suspected infection in patients with severe immunosuppression, it will often be necessary to consult a specialist as quickly as possible about further diagnostic procedures and the need for, type and administration route of antimicrobials.- In patients with an impaired immunity, adaptation of the antibiotic policy and prophylactic measures, such as vaccination, may be indicated.- Patients with (functional) asplenia should immediately start antibiotic treatment in case of fever, pending clinical evaluation by a physician.

Determinants associated with veterinary antimicrobial prescribing in farm animals in the Netherlands: a qualitative study

Antimicrobial use in farm animals might contribute to the development of antimicrobial resistance in humans and animals, and there is an urgent need to reduce antimicrobial use in farm animals. Veterinarians are typically responsible for prescribing and overseeing antimicrobial use in animals. A thorough understanding of veterinarians' current prescribing practices and their reasons to prescribe antimicrobials might offer leads for interventions to reduce antimicrobial use in farm animals. This paper presents the results of a qualitative study of factors that influence prescribing behaviour of farm animal veterinarians. Semi-structured interviews with eleven farm animal veterinarians were conducted, which were taped, transcribed and iteratively analysed. This preliminary analysis was further discussed and refined in an expert meeting. A final conceptual model was derived from the analysis and sent to all the respondents for validation. Many conflicting interests are identifiable when it comes to antimicrobial prescribing by farm animal veterinarians. Belief in the professional obligation to alleviate animal suffering, financial dependency on clients, risk avoidance, shortcomings in advisory skills, financial barriers for structural veterinary herd health advisory services, lack of farmers' compliance to veterinary recommendations, public health interests, personal beliefs regarding the veterinary contribution to antimicrobial resistance and major economic powers are all influential determinants in antimicrobial prescribing behaviour of farm animal veterinarians. Interventions to change prescribing behaviour of farm animal veterinarians could address attitudes and advisory skills of veterinarians, as well as provide tools to deal with (perceived) pressure from farmers and advisors to prescribe antimicrobials. Additional (policy) measures could probably support farm animal veterinarians in acting as a more independent animal health consultant.

GRACE and the development of an education and training curriculum

Antimicrobial resistance is a serious threat and compromises the management of infectious disease. This has particular significance in relation to infections of the respiratory tract, which are the lead cause of antibiotic prescribing. Education is fundamental to the correct use of antibiotics. A novel open access curriculum has been developed in the context of a European Union funded research project Genomics to combat Resistance against Antibiotics in Community-acquired lower respiratory tract infections in Europe (GRACE http://www.grace-lrti.org). The curriculum was developed in modular format and populated with clinical and scientific topics relevant to community-acquired lower respiratory tract infections. This curriculum informed the content of a series of postgraduate courses and workshops and permitted the creation of an open access e-Learning portal. A total of 153 presentations matching the topics within the curriculum together with slide material and handouts and 104 webcasts are available through the GRACE e-Learning portal, which is fully searchable using a 'mindmap' to navigate the contents. Metrics of access provided a means for assessing usage. The GRACE project has permitted the development of a unique on-line open access curriculum that comprehensively addresses the issues relevant to community-acquired lower respiratory tract infections and has provided a resource not only for personal learning, but also to support independent teaching activities such as lectures, workshops, seminars and course work.

Guidelines for the management of adult lower respiratory tract infections--summary

This document is an update of Guidelines published in 2005 and now includes scientific publications through to May 2010. It provides evidence-based recommendations for the most common management questions occurring in routine clinical practice in the management of adult patients with LRTI. Topics include management outside hospital, management inside hospital (including community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD), acute exacerbations of bronchiectasis) and prevention. The target audience for the Guideline is thus all those whose routine practice includes the management of adult LRTI.

Diagnostic management of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Detection of early chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in patients presenting with respiratory symptoms is recommended; however, diagnosing COPD is difficult because a single gold standard is not available. The aim of this article is to review and interpret the existing evidence, theories and consensus on the individual parts of the diagnostic work-up for COPD. Relevant articles are discussed under the subheadings: history taking, physical examination, spirometry and additional lung function assessment. Wheezing, cough, phlegm and breathlessness on exertion are suggestive signs for COPD. The diagnostic value of the physical examination is limited, except for auscultated pulmonary wheezing or reduced breath sounds, increasing the probability of COPD. Spirometric airflow obstruction after bronchodilation, defined as a lowered ratio of the forced volume in one second to the forced vital capacity (FEV1/FVC ratio), is a prerequisite, but can only confirm COPD in combination with suggestive symptoms. Different thresholds are being recommended to define low FEV1/FVC, including a fixed threshold, and one varying with gender and age; however, the way physicians interpret these thresholds in their assessment is not well known. Body plethysmography allows a more complete assessment of pulmonary function, providing results on the total lung capacity and the residual volume and is indicated when conventional spirometry results are inconclusive. Chest radiography has no diagnostic value for COPD but is useful to exclude alternative diagnoses such as heart failure or lung cancer. Extensive history taking is of key importance in diagnosing COPD.

Guidelines for the management of adult lower respiratory tract infections--full version

This document is an update of Guidelines published in 2005 and now includes scientific publications through to May 2010. It provides evidence-based recommendations for the most common management questions occurring in routine clinical practice in the management of adult patients with LRTI. Topics include management outside hospital, management inside hospital (including community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD), acute exacerbations of bronchiectasis) and prevention. Background sections and graded evidence tables are also included. The target audience for the Guideline is thus all those whose routine practice includes the management of adult LRTI.

Rapid early weight gain is associated with wheeze and reduced lung function in childhood

The aim of our study was to investigate the association between rapid weight gain in the first 3 months of life and the prevalence of wheeze in the first years of life and lung function at 5 yrs of age. The infants selected were participating in an ongoing birth cohort. Information on growth and respiratory symptoms was collected during the first year of life, and on primary care consultations during total follow-up. Forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV(1)) and forced expiratory flow at 25-75% of forced vital capacity (FEF(25-75%)) were measured at 5 yrs of age. Information on growth and respiratory symptoms was obtained for 1,431 infants, out of whom 235 children had already had 5 yrs of follow-up. Every one-point z-score increase in weight gain resulted in a 37% increase in days with wheeze (incidence rate ratio 1.37, 95% CI 1.27-1.47; p<0.001) and in associated consultations by 16% (incidence rate ratio 1.16, 95% CI 1.01-1.34; p=0.04). Children with rapid weight gain reported significantly more physician-diagnosed asthma. FEV(1) and FEF(25-75%) were reduced by 34 mL (adjusted regression coefficient -0.034, 95% CI -0.056- -0.013; p=0.002) and 82 mL (adjusted regression coefficient -0.082, 95% CI -0.140- -0.024; p=0.006) per every one-point z-score increase in weight gain, respectively. These associations were independent of birthweight. Rapid early weight gain is a risk factor for clinically relevant wheezing illnesses in the first years of life and lower lung function in childhood.

Relationship between parental lung function and their children's lung function early in life

This study investigated the relationship between parental lung function and their children's lung function measured early in life. Infants were participants in the Wheezing Illnesses Study Leidsche Rijn (WHISTLER). Lung function was measured before the age of 2 months using the single occlusion technique. Parental data on lung function (spirometry), medical history and environmental factors were obtained from the linked database of the Utrecht Health Project. Parental data on pulmonary function and covariates were available in 546 infants. Univariate linear regression analysis demonstrated a significant positive relationship between the infant's respiratory compliance and parental forced expiratory flow at 25-75% of forced vital capacity (FEF(25-75%))(,) forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV(1)) and forced vital capacity. A significant negative relationship was found between the infant's respiratory resistance and parental FEF(25-75%)and FEV(1). No significant relationship was found between the infant's respiratory time constant and parental lung function. Adjusting for body size partially reduced the significance of the observed relationship; adjusting for shared environmental factors did not change the observed results. Parental lung function levels are predictors of the respiratory mechanics of their newborn infants, which can only partially be explained by familial aggregation of body size. This suggests genetic mechanisms in familial aggregation of lung function, which are already detectable early in life.

The impact of using different symptom-based exacerbation algorithms in patients with COPD

Not all exacerbations are captured by reliance on healthcare contacts. Symptom-based exacerbation definitions have shown to provide more adequate measures of exacerbation rates, severity and duration. However, no consensus has been reached on what is the most useful method and algorithm to identify these events. This article provides an overview of the existing symptom-based definitions and tests the hypothesis that differences in exacerbation characteristics depend on the algorithms used. We systematically reviewed symptom-based methods and algorithms used in the literature, and quantified the impact of the four most referenced algorithms on exacerbation-related outcome using an existing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) cohort (n = 137). We identified 51 studies meeting our criteria using 14 widely varying symptom algorithms to define onset, severity and recovery. The most (71%) frequently referenced algorithm (modified Anthonisen) identified an incidence rate of 1.7 episodes·patient-yr⁻¹ (95% CI 1.4-2.1), while for requiring only one major or two major symptoms this was 1.9 episodes·patient-yr⁻¹ (95% CI 1.6-2.3) and 1.5 episodes·patient-yr⁻¹ (95% CI 0.6-1.0), respectively. Studies were generally lacking methods to enhance validity and accuracy of symptom recording. This review revealed large inconsistencies in definitions, methods and accuracy to define symptom-based COPD exacerbations. We demonstrated that minor changes in symptom criteria substantially affect incidence rates, clustering type and classification of exacerbations.

Determinants of community-acquired pneumonia in children and young adults in primary care

Most studies on determinants of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in primary care have focused primarily on the elderly. Using a case-control study in four Dutch healthcare centres, determinants of CAP among children and young adults were identified. Cases included 156 young adults (aged 16-40 yrs) and 107 children (aged 0-15 yrs) diagnosed with CAP during 1999-2008. For each case, three controls were selected from the same age group. Separate logistic regression analyses were used to identify determinants in young adults and children. Lower age, asthma and previous upper respiratory tract infections (URTIs) were independently associated with CAP in children. Increasing age, asthma, three or more children at home, current smoking and three or more previous URTIs were independent determinants of CAP in young adults. The present study has three remarkable findings: 1) increasing age was an independent determinant of CAP in young adults; 2) having young children increased the risk of the development of CAP in young adults; and 3) the number of previous URTIs was independently associated with CAP in both children and young adults, possibly due to higher infection susceptibility. Further studies are required in order to better understand the aetiology of CAP and permit better diagnosis and treatment of this serious condition.

Effects of a multi-faceted program to increase influenza vaccine uptake among health care workers in nursing homes: A cluster randomised controlled trial

Despite the recommendation of the Dutch association of nursing home physicians (NVVA) to be immunized against influenza, vaccine uptake among HCWs in nursing homes remains unacceptably low. Therefore we conducted a cluster randomised controlled trial among 33 Dutch nursing homes to assess the effects of a systematically developed multi-faceted intervention program on influenza vaccine uptake among HCWs. The intervention program resulted in a significantly higher, though moderate, influenza vaccine uptake among HCWs in nursing homes. To take full advantage of this measure, either the program should be adjusted and implemented over a longer time period or mandatory influenza vaccination should be considered.

Intervention with educational outreach at large scale to reduce antibiotics for respiratory tract infections: a controlled before and after study

BACKGROUND

A multiple intervention targeted to reduce antibiotic prescribing with an educational outreach programme had proven to be effective in a randomized controlled trial in 12 peer review groups, demonstrating 12% less prescriptions for respiratory tract infections.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the effectiveness of a multiple intervention in primary care at a large scale.

METHODS

A controlled before and after study in 2006 and 2007 was designed. Participants were from general practices within a geographically defined area in the middle region of The Netherlands. Participants were GPs in 141 practices in 25 peer review groups. A control group of GP practices from the same region, matched for type of practice and mean volume of antibiotic prescribing. The multiple intervention consisted of the following elements: (i) group education meeting and communication training; (ii) monitoring and feedback on prescribing behaviour; (iii) group education for GPs and pharmacists assistants and (iv) patient education material. The main outcome measures are as follows: (i) number of antibiotic prescriptions per 1000 patients per GP and (ii) number of second-choice antibiotics, obtained from claims data from the regional health insurance company. The associations between predictors and outcome measurements were assessed by means of a multiple regression analyses.

RESULTS

At baseline, the number of antibiotic prescriptions per 1000 patients was slightly higher in the intervention group than in the control group (184 versus 176). In 2007, the number of prescriptions had increased to 232 and 227, respectively, and not differed between intervention and control group.

CONCLUSIONS

The implementation of an already proven effective multiple intervention strategy at a larger scale showed no reduction of antibiotic prescription rates. The failure might be attributed to a less tight monitoring of intervention and audit. Inserting practical tools in the intervention might be more successful and should be studied.

Reduced risk of next exacerbation and mortality associated with antibiotic use in COPD

The long-term risk of a subsequent exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) after treatment with oral corticosteroids without (OS) or with antibiotics (OSA) was compared in a historical general practice-based cohort. Eligible patients were >/=50 yrs of age, had a registered diagnosis of COPD, were on maintenance respiratory drugs, and had experienced at least one exacerbation defined as a prescription OS or OSA. Times to second and third exacerbations were assessed using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis; the risk of a subsequent exacerbation was assessed in a Cox proportional hazards analysis; and all-cause mortality was assessed using Kaplan-Meier survival and Cox proportional hazards analyses. A total of 842 patients had one or more exacerbations. The median time from first to second exacerbation was comparable for the OS and OSA groups, but the time from second to third exacerbation differed: 189 versus 258 days, respectively. The protective effect of OSA was most pronounced during the first 3 months following treatment (hazards ratio 0.72, 95% confidence interval 0.62-0.83). Exposure to antibiotics unrelated to a course of oral corticosteroids almost halved the risk of a new exacerbation. Mortality during follow-up was considerably lower in the OSA group. Adding antibiotics to oral corticosteroids was associated with: reduced risk of subsequent exacerbation, particularly in patients with recurrent exacerbations; and reduced risk of all-cause mortality.

Rationale and design of CAPITA: a RCT of 13-valent conjugated pneumococcal vaccine efficacy among older adults

The burden of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) among the elderly is high and has increased over the last decades. Streptococcus pneumoniae is the most common cause of CAP and in 10% the infection may be fatal. Although the 23-valent polysaccharide pneumococcal vaccine (23vPS) is considered effective in the prevention of invasive pneumococcal disease in the elderly population, the evidence is mainly from nonrandomised observational studies and effects on the occurrence of pneumonia have not been demonstrated. Conjugated pneumococcal vaccines which also stimulate T-cell dependent immune responses induced antibody responses in elderly persons which are similar to those induced by a primary series of 7-valent conjugated pneumococcal vaccine (7vPnC) in infants, and the response appeared similar or superior for all vaccine serotypes to that induced by 23vPS. The primary objective of the planned trial entitled CAPITA (Community Acquired Pneumonia Immunization Trial in Adults) is to establish the efficacy of a 13-valent PnC vaccine in the prevention of a first episode of vaccine-serotype specific pneumococcal CAP in 85,000 community-dwelling adult persons aged 65 years and older. This is a parallel group, randomised, placebo-controlled trial, with a 1:1 random allocation to vaccine or placebo vaccine. The occurrence of the primary outcome of vaccine-serotype specific (VT)-CAP will be established in hospitals on the basis of three sets of criteria: (1) a clinical definition of CAP; (2) independent interpretation of chest radiograph consistent with pneumonia: and (3) determination of S. pneumonia serotype. the trial will be critical to determine the position of conjugate pneumococcal vaccines in the prevention of pneumococcal disease.

No intention to comply with influenza and pneumococcal vaccination: behavioural determinants among smokers and non-smokers

OBJECTIVE

Smoking increases the risk for influenza and pneumococcal disease, but vaccination uptake is lower among smokers than non-smokers. We therefore aimed to determine reasons for not complying with vaccination among smokers and non-smokers.

METHOD

In 2005 a self-administered questionnaire was sent to a random sample of Dutch patients (n=4,000) assessing medical, social and behavioural determinants. Independent factors associated with not complying with influenza and pneumococcal vaccination among smokers and non-smokers were assessed by multivariate logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

In all, 1,725 of 4,000 patients returned the questionnaire (response rate: 43%), 426 (25%) were smokers. Among smokers self-reported flu vaccine uptake was 42% and among non-smokers 52% among both only 0,2% received both vaccines. Most important predictors of not complying in smokers and non-smokers were patient's beliefs not to be susceptible to disease (odds ratio (OR) 4.0, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.0, 8.0 and OR 2.8, CI: 2.0, 3.9), finding it difficult to go to the GP for vaccination (OR 2.5, CI: 1.3, 4.8 and OR 1.8, CI: 1.3, 2.6) and being against vaccination (OR 2.4 CI: 1.3, 4.4 and OR 1.8, CI: 1.3, 2.6), respectively.

CONCLUSION

There are no substantial differences in determinants associated with not complying with influenza and pneumococcal vaccination between smokers and non-smokers but there is a trend towards stronger associations in smokers.

Systematic review of the effects of chronic disease management on quality-of-life in people with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

INTRODUCTION

Chronic disease management for patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) may improve quality, outcomes and access to care.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate effectiveness of chronic disease management programmes on the quality-of-life of people with COPD.

METHODS

Medline and Embase (1995-2005) were searched for relevant articles, and reference lists and abstracts were searched for controlled trials of chronic disease management programmes for patients with COPD. Quality-of-life was assessed as an outcome parameter. Two reviewers independently reviewed each paper for methodological quality and extracted the data.

RESULTS

We found 10 randomized-controlled trials comparing chronic disease management with routine care. Patient populations, health-care professionals, intensity, and content of the intervention were heterogeneous. Different instruments were used to assess quality of life. Five out of 10 studies showed statistically significant positive outcomes on one or more domains of the quality of life instruments. Three studies, partly located in primary care, showed positive results.

CONCLUSIONS

All chronic disease management projects for people with COPD involving primary care improved quality of life. In most of the studies, aspects of chronic disease management were applied to a limited extent. Quality of randomized-controlled trials was not optimal. More research is needed on chronic disease management programmes in patients with COPD across primary and secondary care.

A prediction rule for elderly primary-care patients with lower respiratory tract infections

Prognostic scores for lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) have been mainly derived in a hospital setting. The current authors have developed and validated a prediction rule for the prognosis of acute LRTI in elderly primary-care patients. Data including demographics, medication use, healthcare use and comorbid conditions from 3,166 episodes of patients aged > or =65 yrs visiting the general practitioner (GP) with LRTI were collected. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to construct a predictive model. The main outcome measure was 30-day hospitalisation or death. The Second Dutch Survey of GPs was used for validation. The following were independent predictors of 30-day hospitalisation or death: increasing age; previous hospitalisation; heart failure; diabetes; use of oral glucocorticoids; previous use of antibiotics; a diagnosis of pneumonia; and exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. A prediction rule based on these variables showed that the outcome increased directly with increasing scores: 3, 10 and 31% for scores of <2 points, 3-6 and > or =7 points, respectively. Corresponding figures for the validation cohort were 3, 11 and 26%, respectively. This simple prediction rule can help the primary-care physician to differentiate between high- and low-risk patients. As a possible consequence, low-risk patients may be suitable for home treatment, whereas high-risk patients might be monitored more closely in a homecare or hospital setting. Future studies should assess whether information on signs and symptoms can further improve this prediction rule.

[The practice guideline 'Hearing impairment' (first revision) from the Dutch College of General Practitioners; a response from the perspective of general practice]

The new guidelines on hearing loss from the Dutch College of General Practitioners are well stated and supported by clearly described evidence. Rightfully so, new screening methods for detecting hearing loss in young infants are included in the guidelines. However, these new techniques may generate many false-positive test results, notably in children with a low risk ofhearing impairment. The general practitioner should inform parents about these adverse effects of screening. Another important role for the general practitioner is in the detection of relevant hearing loss in the elderly, especially in those who show signs of depression and cognitive impairment.

[How can the results of primary-care treatment for depression be improved?]

BACKGROUND

The results of treatment for depression are frequently disappointing. The main reasons for this are inadequate treatment and non-compliance.

AIM

This article attempts to deal with the question of how patient compliance and the results of treatment for depression can be improved.

METHOD

We performed a critical analysis of the literature. We searched Medline (1966- January 2002), psycinfo (1984-January 2002), Embase (1980-January 20002) and the Cochrane Controlled Trials Register (1966-Janaury 2002) for reports of randomised controlled trials. In our search we used the terms 'patient compliance', 'adherence', patient dropout', 'depression', 'depressive disorder', and 'affective disorder'. On the basis of the results of our search we compared two interventions that could be applied in Dutch practices. results We found 11 articles, all relating to treatment in primary care settings. Usual care proved to be inadequate. The quality of the usual care currently provided can be improved by extra interventions. So far there are no indications that complex interventions benefit the patient more than simple interventions, such as regular follow-up procedures. Therefore, for the time being, simple interventions are to be preferred.

CONCLUSION

Treatment for depression can be improved by means of relatively simple interventions.

[Treatment of patients with herpes zoster by epidural injection of steroids and local anaesthetics: less pain after 1 month, but no effect on long-term postherpetic neuralgia--a randomised trial]

OBJECTIVE

To assess the effectiveness of a single epidural injection of steroids and local anaesthetics, as a supplement to the standard treatment, for the prevention ofpostherpetic neuralgia in older patients with herpes zoster.

DESIGN

Open randomised trial.

METHOD

In the period September 2001-February 2004, 598 patients, aged > 50 years, with acute herpes zoster (rash for < 7 days) below dermatome C6, were randomly assigned to receive either standard therapy (oral antiviral agents and analgesics) alone or standard therapy plus an additional single epidural injection of 80 mg methylprednisolone and 10 mg bupivacaine. The primary endpoint was the proportion of patients with zoster-associated pain one month after inclusion. The presence and severity of zoster-associated pain at other time points were secondary endpoints.

RESULTS

At one month, pain was reported by 137 (48%) patients in the injection group versus 164 (58%) in the control group (relative risk; RR: 0.83; 95% CI: 0.71-0.97; p = 0.02). After three months, these values were 58 (21%) and 63 (24%), respectively (RR: 0.89; 95% CI: 0.65-1-21; p = 0.47), and at 6 months: 39 (15%) and 44 (17%) (RR: 0.85; 95% CI: 0.57-1-13; p = 0.43). No subgroups were detectable in which the relative risk for pain at one month after inclusion substantially differed from the overall estimate. At one month, the median severity of pain in the injection group was 2 (on a 100-points scale) versus 6 in the control group (p = 0.02). At later follow-up, there was no longer any statistically significant difference in the severity of pain between the two groups. No patient had major adverse events related to the epidural injection.

CONCLUSION

A single epidural injection of steroids and local anaesthetics in the acute phase of herpes zoster resulted in a modest decrease in zoster-associated pain in the first month. This treatment did not, however, prevent long-term postherpetic neuralgia.

Passive respiratory mechanics measured during natural sleep in healthy term neonates and infants up to 8 weeks of life

The single occlusion technique (SOT) is a simple and noninvasive technique for measurement of passive respiratory mechanics in infants. Reference values based on measurements of a large population of healthy infants performed outside specialized research laboratories are lacking. The aim of this study was to present reference values for passive respiratory mechanics based on a large population of healthy term neonates and infants measured during natural sleep in routine care. As part of the ongoing Wheezing Illnesses Study Leidsche Rijn (WHISTLER), the compliance (C(rs)) and resistance (R(rs)) of the respiratory system were measured in 450 healthy unsedated neonates and infants with a mean age of 4.6 +/- 1.3 weeks. Multivariable regression analysis, with gestational age, age at measurement, body size, sex, and ethnicity as possible predictors, was carried out to estimate prediction equations for mean C(rs) and R(rs) values. Technically acceptable lung function measurements could be performed in 328 (73%) neonates and infants. Median C(rs) was 39.5 (range 14.8-79.1) ml/kPa and median R(rs) was 7.4 (range 3.8-19.5) kPa/L/sec. The following regression equations for C(rs) and R(rs) were obtained: ln C(rs) = 1.677 + 1.3 x 10(-4) x birth weight (g) + 0.030 x birth length (cm) and ln R(rs) = 2.496-3.1 x 10(-6) x birth length(3) (cm(3)) - 0.114 x sex. We provided reference values for passive respiratory mechanics using the SOT in a large population of healthy term neonates and infants measured during natural sleep. These data provide a frame of reference for assessing the normality of SOT measurements performed in routine care.

Incidence of GP-diagnosed respiratory tract infections according to age, gender and high-risk co-morbidity: the Second Dutch National Survey of General Practice

BACKGROUND

Figures on GP-diagnosed respiratory tract infections (RTI) are outdated because of demographic changes and increase in co-morbid conditions, respiratory vaccination programmes and change in illness behaviour.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the incidence of RTI in patients presenting to the GP according to age, gender and common high-risk co-morbidity in primary care.

METHODS

In the Second Dutch National Survey of General Practice 90 computerized general practices with 358,008 patients recorded all consecutive patient contact by use of the ICPC coding system in a year. Incidences were calculated using the mid-year population in the denominator and RTI episodes as the nominator.

RESULTS

In all, 4.2% of the patient population were diagnosed with RTI with an incidence rate of 144 per 1000 person-years. Upper RTI were more common in children of 0-4 years than in other year-cohorts [392 versus 80 per 1000; relative risk 4.9, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 4.8-5.0]. An U-shape association was observed between age and lower RTI (78 and 70 per 1000 in children and persons aged 75 years or over, respectively, versus 23 per 1000 in other age-categories). Females had slightly higher incidence rates of URTI (relative risk 1.4, 95% CI 1.35-1.45) and similar rates for LRTI. Patients with chronic medical conditions as pulmonary and cardiac disease, and diabetes.

DISCUSSION

A small proportion of the patient population present themselves to the GP with a RTI. RTI are more common among children, elderly persons and patients with pulmonary and cardiac disease, and diabetes of the ICPC coding system.

Do recommended high-risk adults benefit from a first influenza vaccination?

It is unknown whether a first influenza vaccination protects high-risk adults from severe morbidity and mortality during influenza epidemics. As part of the PRISMA nested case-control study, we aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of first-time and repeat influenza vaccinations in adult persons recommended for vaccination aged between 18 and 64 years during the 1999-2000 influenza A epidemic. After adjustments, 69% of hospitalizations for acute respiratory or cardiovascular disease or death were prevented in first-time vaccinees (95% percent confidence interval [95% CI]: 8-90%). The corresponding figure in persons who were vaccinated before was 85% (95% CI: 36-96%). Adult persons with high-risk medical conditions can substantially benefit from a first and repeat influenza vaccination prior to an epidemic.

The prevalence of bother, acceptance, and need for help in men with erectile dysfunction

INTRODUCTION

Apart from knowledge on the prevalence of erectile dysfunction (ED), for clinical reasons it is important to obtain information on concern or bother and need for help. However, information is lacking on men with ED who need help but do not seek medical attention. Thus, this study aimed to assess the distribution of bother, acceptance, and need for help in men with ED, and assess characteristics of patients with ED in need for help but not receiving medical attention for ED.

METHODS

A total of 5,721 men aged 18 years and older and registered in 12 general practices in the middle of the Netherlands were sent a questionnaire by mail about sexual problems, ED, need for help, and medical attention. Out of 2,117 questionnaires that were returned, 1,481 were completed on ED, bother, and need for help.

RESULTS

The prevalence of ED (according to World Health Organization definition) in the 1,481 men was 14.2%. Of these men 67.3% were bothered, 68.7% did not accept ED, and 85.3% wanted help. Surprisingly, 41.9% of men who denied a need for help were bothered and 19.4% did not accept ED. Only 10.4% of men with ED received any medical care. Bother in men with ED was related to increasing age (decreasing above 60 years). Compared with men who already received help for ED, men who wanted help but did not receive it more often suffered from diabetes, neurological problems, and various cardiovascular problems. On the other hand, history of myocardial infarction increased the chance of getting adequate medical attention for ED.

CONCLUSIONS

The majority of men with ED are concerned or bothered and perceive a need for help. Most of them do not receive any medical attention. These men are characterized by chronic medical conditions, visiting the physician's office regularly for their medical condition.

Rationale and design of the prevention of respiratory infections and management in children (PRIMAKid) study: a randomized controlled trial on the effectiveness and costs of combined influenza and pneumococcal vaccination in pre-school children with recurrent respiratory tract infections

Health and economic burden of recurrent respiratory tract infections (RTIs) in early childhood is considerable. A systematic review of licensed influenza and pneumococcal vaccines showed substantial efficacy in children, but the health-economic impact of such vaccines among pre-school children with recurrent RTIs is unknown. We therefore, designed a double-blind randomized controlled trial to determine the effectiveness and costs of a combined influenza and pneumococcal vaccination program among a primary care based cohort of children with recurrent episodes of RTI aged between 18 and 72 months. We will enroll 690 children over three consecutive years (2003--2005) who will be randomly allocated to receive vaccinations against influenza and pneumococcal disease, influenza alone or hepatitis B in a similar schedule. Follow up by parental diaries, tympanic temperature measurements, questionnaires and interviews is planned until May 2006. Primary outcome is number of febrile RTIs. Other outcomes include duration and severity of RTI episodes, medical consumption, safety and costs.

Prognostic factors for serious morbidity and mortality from community-acquired lower respiratory tract infections among the elderly in primary care

BACKGROUND

Uncertainty about the prognosis of lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) hinders optimal management in primary care.

OBJECTIVE

We determined prognostic factors for a severe complicated course of LRTI among elderly patients in primary care.

METHODS

In a retrospective clinical database study we examined 455 patients with a first LRTI episode; 226 with physician-diagnosed acute bronchitis or lung exacerbations and 229 with pneumonia. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to assess independent associations of the potential predictors with the endpoint.

RESULTS

Occurrence of the combined endpoint 30-day home-treated complications from LRTI (4.4%) or hospitalisation (4.6%), or all-cause mortality (5.3%) was 14.3%. In a logistic regression model, increasing age [odds ratio (OR) 1.04; 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.00-1.08], male sex (OR 3.12; 95% CI 1.66-5.87), heart failure (OR 5.14; 95% CI 2.33-11.34), stroke or dementia (OR 3.36; 95% CI 1.18-9.58), use of antidepressants or benzodiazepines (OR 1.89; 95% CI 1.02-3.52) and a diagnosis of pneumonia (OR 4.24; 95% CI 2.17-8.28) were independent predictors.

CONCLUSION

GPs need to be aware of readily available prognostic factors that can be used in primary care to complement physical examination and laboratory data in LRTI to guide preventive and therapeutic management decisions.

Erectile dysfunction in primary care: prevalence and patient characteristics. The ENIGMA study

The availability of adequate treatment for erectile dysfunction (ED) triggers studies into the prevalence of ED in the general population. Yet, previous studies showed different prevalence estimates partly due to differences in patient selection, in (unclear) definitions of ED and in assessment. ENIGMA has been designed to study the prevalence of ED in the general population of The Netherlands, using the WHO definition with a description of the way of assessment. In all, 5721 mail surveys were sent to all men, aged 18 y and older in 12 general practices in The Netherlands. A total of 5601 were included in the study and 2117 (38%) were completed. A total of 38% of the men reported to have ever had some kind of erectile problem. The prevalence of ED was 17% (6% mild, 4% moderate and 7% complete). Age, diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, penile disorders, irradiation in the pelvic region, relational problems, fear for failure, surmenage, medication use and regular consumption of alcohol were independently related to ED. Men with ED were less content with their (sexual) life and had less confidence in sexual performance. Presence of ED was negatively related to affected happiness in life. ED is commonly found in men and is related to age, medication, comorbidity and lifestyle factors. Men with ED perceive a lower quality of (sex)life. Doctors should be aware of the presence of ED and its consequences in patients.

Impact of various questionnaires on the prevalence of erectile dysfunction. The ENIGMA-study

The prevalence estimates of erectile dysfunction (ED) vary considerably across studies. These differences may be attributed to used definitions of ED. Quantitative data on the effect of different definitions of ED on the prevalence are lacking, because precise information on the used definition and questionnaire is often absent. Aim of this study was to quantify the effect of using different questionnaires for ED on the prevalence estimates. In all, 5721 mail surveys on sexual problems and ED were sent to all men (aged >18 y) in 12 general practices in the middle of the Netherlands of which 2117 were completed. The questionnaire contained Enigma (WHO), International Index of Erectile Function (IIEF), Cologne Erectile Inventory (KEED) and one question (Boxmeer, Krimpen). The prevalence of ED based on the various questionnaires and the effect of these questionnaires on risk factor relationships was compared. IIEF gave the highest age specific and overall ED prevalence, KEED the lowest. The difference in prevalence was 16.8%. The agreement (kappa coefficient) between the various ED definitions varied from 0.52 (IIEF & KEED) to 0.95 (Enigma & Boxmeer). The number of risk factor relations were similar for the Dutch studies, reduced for the IIEF and KEED. This study provides evidence that differences in questionnaires to assess ED have a considerable effect on the (age specific) prevalence estimates and little on the risk factor relations. The number of questions of the survey appears not to be responsible for differences in the prevalence of ED and risk factor relations, however they affect the response rate. Uniform use is strongly recommended, since a 'golden standard' for ED assessment (by questionnaire) is lacking. A short questionnaire with one or two questions is recommended for example the one from the Boxmeer-study. These data may be used to adjust (age-specific) prevalence rates comparing ED prevalence in the open population across studies.

Antibiotics for community acquired pneumonia in adult outpatients

BACKGROUND

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a common condition representing a significant disease burden for the community, particularly for the elderly. Because antibiotics are helpful in treating CAP, they are the standard treatment and CAP thus contributes significantly to antibiotic use, which is associated with the development of bacterial resistance and side-effects. Although several studies have been published concerning CAP and its treatment, the available data arises mainly from studies conducted in hospitalized patients and outpatients. There is no concise summary of the available evidence that can help clinicians in choosing the most appropriate antibiotic.

OBJECTIVES

Our goal was to summarize the evidence currently available from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) concerning the efficacy of alternative antibiotic treatments for CAP in ambulatory patients above 12 years of age.

SEARCH STRATEGY

We searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) (The Cochrane Library, Issue 2, 2003) which contains the Cochrane Acute Respiratory Infections Group's trial register; MEDLINE (January 1966 to September week 3, 2003), and EMBASE (January 1974 to March 2003). Studies were also identified by checking the bibliographies of studies and review articles retrieved as well as by perusing medical journals. To identify any additional published or unpublished studies, we contacted the following antibiotics manufacturers: Abbott, AstraZeneca, Aventis, Boehringer-Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers-Squibb, GlaxoSmithKline, Hoffmann-LaRoche, Lilly, Merck, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Novartis, Pfizer, Pharmacia, Sanofi, and Yamanouchi. No language restrictions were applied in any of the search strategies.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included all randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in which one or more antibiotics were tested for the treatment of CAP in ambulatory adolescent or adult patients. Studies testing one or more antibiotic and reporting the diagnostic criteria used in selecting patients as well as the clinical outcomes achieved were included. No language restrictions were applied.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Data were extracted and study reports assessed by two independent reviewers (LMB and TJMV). Authors of studies were contacted as needed to resolve any ambiguities in the study reports. The data were analyzed using the Cochrane Collaboration's RevMan 4.2.2 Software. Differences between reviewers were resolved by discussion and consensus.

MAIN RESULTS

Three randomized controlled trials involving a total of 622 patients aged 12 years and older diagnosed with community acquired pneumonia were included. The quality of the studies and of the reporting was variable. A variety of clinical, radiological and bacteriological diagnostic criteria and outcomes were reported. Overall there was no significant difference in the efficacy of the various antibiotics under study.

REVIEWERS' CONCLUSIONS

Currently available evidence from RCTs is insufficient to make evidence-based recommendations for the choice of antibiotic to be used for the treatment of community acquired pneumonia in ambulatory patients. Pooling of study data was limited by the very low number of studies. Individual study results do not reveal significant differences in efficacy between various antibiotics and antibiotic groups. Multi-drug comparisons using similar administration schedules are needed to provide the evidence necessary for practice recommendations.

Conventional influenza vaccination is not associated with complications in working-age patients with asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

By using a nested case-control design, the authors studied the effectiveness of the influenza vaccine in reducing severe and fatal complications in 4,241 and 5,966 primary care, working-age patients aged 18-64 years who had asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease during the 1998-1999 and 1999-2000 influenza epidemics in the Netherlands. Patients developing fatal or nonfatal exacerbations of lung disease, pneumonia, congestive heart failure, or myocardial infarction during either epidemic were considered cases. For each case, four age- and sex-matched controls were randomly sampled, and patient records were reviewed. Conditional logistic regression and propensity scores were used to assess vaccine effectiveness after adjustment for confounding factors. In seasons one and two, respectively, 87% (47/54) and 85% (171/202) of the cases and 74% (155/210) and 75% (575/766) of the controls had been vaccinated. After adjustments, vaccination was not associated with reductions in complications (season one: odds ratio = 0.95, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.26, 3.48; season two: odds ratio = 1.07, 95% CI: 0.59, 1.96; pooled odds ratio = 1.07, 95% CI: 0.63, 1.80). Because influenza vaccination appeared not to be associated with a clinically relevant reduction in severe morbidity, other measures need to be explored.

Design of the Dutch prevention of influenza, surveillance and management (PRISMA) study

Rationale and design of a study on the cost-effectiveness of the Dutch influenza vaccination campaign are described. During two influenza epidemics, about 75,000 primary care patients recommended for influenza vaccination are included. Cases have fatal or non-fatal influenza, pneumonia, otitis media, acute respiratory disease (ARD), heart failure, myocardial infarction, depression or diabetes dysregulation. Per case four controls are sampled, frequency matched on age and high-risk co-morbidity (<18 years, 18-64, >/=65 healthy, >/=65 with co-morbidity). Baseline and outcome data are retrieved from patient records. During the 1999-2000 influenza A epidemic 5891 (7.9%) high-risk children, 24,848 (33.2%) high-risk adults aged 18-64 years, 18,484 (24.7%) elderly with co-morbidity and 25,527 (34.1%) healthy elderly had been included. The mortality rate was 5.2 per 1000 and 2035 non-fatal outcome events were recorded (incidence rate 27.2/1000).

Confounding by indication in non-experimental evaluation of vaccine effectiveness: the example of prevention of influenza complications

Randomised allocation of vaccine or placebo is the preferred method to assess the effects of the vaccine on clinical outcomes relevant to the individual patient. In the absence of phase 3 trials using clinical end points, notably post-influenza complications, alternative non-experimental designs to evaluate vaccine effects or safety are often used. The application of these designs may, however, lead to invalid estimates of vaccine effectiveness or safety. As patients with poor prognosis are more likely to be immunised, selection for vaccination is confounded by patient factors that are also related to clinical end points. This paper describes several design and analytical methods aimed at limiting or preventing this confounding by indication in non-experimental studies. In short, comparison of study groups with similar prognosis, restriction of the study population, and statistical adjustment for dissimilarities in prognosis are important tools and should be considered. Only if the investigator is able to show that confounding by indication is sufficiently controlled for, results of a non-experimental study may be of use to direct an evidence based vaccine policy.

Clinical effectiveness of conventional influenza vaccination in asthmatic children

Influenza immunization rates among young asthmatics remain unsatisfactory due to persistent concern about the impact of influenza and the benefits of the vaccine. We assessed the effectiveness of the conventional inactivated trivalent sub-unit influenza vaccine in reducing acute respiratory disease in asthmatic children. We conducted a two-season retrospective cohort study covering the 1995-6 and 1996-7 influenza outbreaks in 22 computerized primary care practices in The Netherlands. In total, 349 patients aged between 0 and 12 years meeting clinical asthma-criteria were included; 14 children were lost to follow-up in the second season. The occurrence of physician-diagnosed acute respiratory disease episodes including influenza-like illness, pneumonia. bronchitis, bronchiolitis, asthma exacerbation and acute otitis media in vaccinated and unvaccinated children were compared after adjustments for age, prior health care and medication use. The occurrence of acute respiratory disease in unvaccinated children was 28% and 24% in the 1995-6 and 1996-7 season, respectively, and was highest in children under 6 years of age (43%). The overall pooled clinical vaccine effectiveness was 27% (95% confidence interval -7 to 51%, P = 0.11) after adjustments. A statistically higher vaccine protectiveness of 55% (95% CI 20-75%, P = 0.01) was observed among asthmatics under 6 years of age compared with -5% in older children (95% CI -81 to 39%). The occurrence of acute respiratory disease among asthmatic children during influenza epidemics is very high, notably in the youngest. Influenza vaccination may reduce morbidity in asthmatic infants and pre-school children. However, larger, preferably experimental, studies are needed to establish the benefits of vaccination, notably in older asthmatic children.