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Taylor-Salmon E, Hill V, Paul LM, Koch RT, Breban MI, Chaguza C, Sodeinde A, Warren JL, Bunch S, Cano N, Cone M, Eysoldt S, Garcia A, Gilles N, Hagy A, Heberlein L, Jaber R, Kassens E, Colarusso P, Davis A, Baudin S, Rico E, Mejía-Echeverri Á, Scott B, Stanek D, Zimler R, Muñoz-Jordán JL, Santiago GA, Adams LE, Paz-Bailey G, Spillane M, Katebi V, Paulino-Ramírez R, Mueses S, Peguero A, Sánchez N, Norman FF, Galán JC, Huits R, Hamer DH, Vogels CBF, Morrison A, Michael SF, Grubaugh ND. Travel surveillance uncovers dengue virus dynamics and introductions in the Caribbean. Nat Commun 2024; 15:3508. [PMID: 38664380 PMCID: PMC11045810 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-47774-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/11/2023] [Accepted: 04/11/2024] [Indexed: 04/28/2024] Open
Abstract
Dengue is the most prevalent mosquito-borne viral disease in humans, and cases are continuing to rise globally. In particular, islands in the Caribbean have experienced more frequent outbreaks, and all four dengue virus (DENV) serotypes have been reported in the region, leading to hyperendemicity and increased rates of severe disease. However, there is significant variability regarding virus surveillance and reporting between islands, making it difficult to obtain an accurate understanding of the epidemiological patterns in the Caribbean. To investigate this, we used travel surveillance and genomic epidemiology to reconstruct outbreak dynamics, DENV serotype turnover, and patterns of spread within the region from 2009-2022. We uncovered two recent DENV-3 introductions from Asia, one of which resulted in a large outbreak in Cuba, which was previously under-reported. We also show that while outbreaks can be synchronized between islands, they are often caused by different serotypes. Our study highlights the importance of surveillance of infected travelers to provide a snapshot of local introductions and transmission in areas with limited local surveillance and suggests that the recent DENV-3 introductions may pose a major public health threat in the region.
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Affiliation(s)
- Emma Taylor-Salmon
- Department of Pediatrics, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA.
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
| | - Verity Hill
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Lauren M Paul
- Department of Biological Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, FL, USA
| | - Robert T Koch
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Mallery I Breban
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Chrispin Chaguza
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Afeez Sodeinde
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Joshua L Warren
- Department of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
- Public Health Modeling Unit, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Sylvia Bunch
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA
| | - Natalia Cano
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA
| | - Marshall Cone
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA
| | - Sarah Eysoldt
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA
| | - Alezaundra Garcia
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA
| | - Nicadia Gilles
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA
| | - Andrew Hagy
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA
| | - Lea Heberlein
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA
| | - Rayah Jaber
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA
| | - Elizabeth Kassens
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL, USA
| | - Pamela Colarusso
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Jacksonville, FL, USA
| | - Amanda Davis
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Jacksonville, FL, USA
| | - Samantha Baudin
- Florida Department of Health in Miami-Dade County, Miami, FL, USA
| | - Edhelene Rico
- Florida Department of Health in Miami-Dade County, Miami, FL, USA
| | | | - Blake Scott
- Bureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, FL, USA
| | - Danielle Stanek
- Bureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, FL, USA
| | - Rebecca Zimler
- Bureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, FL, USA
| | - Jorge L Muñoz-Jordán
- Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico
| | - Gilberto A Santiago
- Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico
| | - Laura E Adams
- Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico
| | - Gabriela Paz-Bailey
- Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico
| | - Melanie Spillane
- Office of Data, Analytics, and Technology, Division of Global Migration Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
- Bureau for Global Health, United States Agency for International Development, Arlington, VA, USA
| | - Volha Katebi
- Office of Data, Analytics, and Technology, Division of Global Migration Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Robert Paulino-Ramírez
- Instituto de Medicina Tropical & Salud Global, Universidad Iberoamericana, UNIBE Research Hub, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic
| | - Sayira Mueses
- Instituto de Medicina Tropical & Salud Global, Universidad Iberoamericana, UNIBE Research Hub, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic
| | - Armando Peguero
- Instituto de Medicina Tropical & Salud Global, Universidad Iberoamericana, UNIBE Research Hub, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic
| | - Nelissa Sánchez
- Instituto de Medicina Tropical & Salud Global, Universidad Iberoamericana, UNIBE Research Hub, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic
| | - Francesca F Norman
- National Referral Unit for Tropical Diseases, Infectious Diseases Department, CIBER de Enfermedades Infecciosas, IRYCIS, Hospital Ramón y Cajal, Universidad de Alcalá, Madrid, Spain
| | - Juan-Carlos Galán
- Microbiology Department, Hospital Ramón y Cajal, Instituto Ramón y Cajal de Investigación Sanitaria (IRYCIS), CIBER de Epidemiologia y Salud Publica (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain
| | - Ralph Huits
- Department of Infectious Tropical Diseases and Microbiology, IRCCS Sacro Cuore Don Calabria Hospital, Negrar, Verona, Italy
| | - Davidson H Hamer
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston University School of Medicine, Center for Emerging Infectious Disease Policy and Research, Boston University, and National Emerging Infectious Disease Laboratory, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Chantal B F Vogels
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
- Yale Institute for Global Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Andrea Morrison
- Bureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, FL, USA.
| | - Scott F Michael
- Department of Biological Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, FL, USA.
| | - Nathan D Grubaugh
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
- Public Health Modeling Unit, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
- Yale Institute for Global Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.
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Taylor-Salmon E, Hill V, Paul LM, Koch RT, Breban MI, Chaguza C, Sodeinde A, Warren JL, Bunch S, Cano N, Cone M, Eysoldt S, Garcia A, Gilles N, Hagy A, Heberlein L, Jaber R, Kassens E, Colarusso P, Davis A, Baudin S, Rico E, Mejía-Echeverri Á, Scott B, Stanek D, Zimler R, Muñoz-Jordán JL, Santiago GA, Adams LE, Paz-Bailey G, Spillane M, Katebi V, Paulino-Ramírez R, Mueses S, Peguero A, Sánchez N, Norman FF, Galán JC, Huits R, Hamer DH, Vogels CB, Morrison A, Michael SF, Grubaugh ND. Travel surveillance uncovers dengue virus dynamics and introductions in the Caribbean. medRxiv 2023:2023.11.11.23298412. [PMID: 37986857 PMCID: PMC10659465 DOI: 10.1101/2023.11.11.23298412] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2023]
Abstract
Dengue is the most prevalent mosquito-borne viral disease in humans, and cases are continuing to rise globally. In particular, islands in the Caribbean have experienced more frequent outbreaks, and all four dengue virus (DENV) serotypes have been reported in the region, leading to hyperendemicity and increased rates of severe disease. However, there is significant variability regarding virus surveillance and reporting between islands, making it difficult to obtain an accurate understanding of the epidemiological patterns in the Caribbean. To investigate this, we used travel surveillance and genomic epidemiology to reconstruct outbreak dynamics, DENV serotype turnover, and patterns of spread within the region from 2009-2022. We uncovered two recent DENV-3 introductions from Asia, one of which resulted in a large outbreak in Cuba, which was previously under-reported. We also show that while outbreaks can be synchronized between islands, they are often caused by different serotypes. Our study highlights the importance of surveillance of infected travelers to provide a snapshot of local introductions and transmission in areas with limited local surveillance and suggests that the recent DENV-3 introductions may pose a major public health threat in the region.
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Affiliation(s)
- Emma Taylor-Salmon
- Department of Pediatrics, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
| | - Verity Hill
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
| | - Lauren M. Paul
- Department of Biological Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, Florida, United States of America
| | - Robert T. Koch
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
| | - Mallery I. Breban
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
| | - Chrispin Chaguza
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
| | - Afeez Sodeinde
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
| | - Joshua L. Warren
- Department of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
- Public Health Modeling Unit, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
| | - Sylvia Bunch
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, Florida, United States of America
| | - Natalia Cano
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, Florida, United States of America
| | - Marshall Cone
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, Florida, United States of America
| | - Sarah Eysoldt
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, Florida, United States of America
| | - Alezaundra Garcia
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, Florida, United States of America
| | - Nicadia Gilles
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, Florida, United States of America
| | - Andrew Hagy
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, Florida, United States of America
| | - Lea Heberlein
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, Florida, United States of America
| | - Rayah Jaber
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, Florida, United States of America
| | - Elizabeth Kassens
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, Florida, United States of America
| | - Pamela Colarusso
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Jacksonville, Florida, United States of America
| | - Amanda Davis
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Jacksonville, Florida, United States of America
| | - Samantha Baudin
- Florida Department of Health in Miami-Dade County, Miami, Florida, United States of America
| | - Edhelene Rico
- Florida Department of Health in Miami-Dade County, Miami, Florida, United States of America
| | - Álvaro Mejía-Echeverri
- Florida Department of Health in Miami-Dade County, Miami, Florida, United States of America
| | - Blake Scott
- Bureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, Florida, United States of America
| | - Danielle Stanek
- Bureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, Florida, United States of America
| | - Rebecca Zimler
- Bureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, Florida, United States of America
| | - Jorge L. Muñoz-Jordán
- Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico
| | - Gilberto A. Santiago
- Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico
| | - Laura E. Adams
- Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico
| | - Gabriela Paz-Bailey
- Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico
| | - Melanie Spillane
- Office of Data, Analytics, and Technology, Division of Global Migration Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
- Bureau for Global Health, United States Agency for International Development, Arlington, Virginia, United States of America
| | - Volha Katebi
- Office of Data, Analytics, and Technology, Division of Global Migration Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Robert Paulino-Ramírez
- Instituto de Medicina Tropical & Salud Global, Universidad Iberoamericana, UNIBE Research Hub, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic
| | - Sayira Mueses
- Instituto de Medicina Tropical & Salud Global, Universidad Iberoamericana, UNIBE Research Hub, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic
| | - Armando Peguero
- Instituto de Medicina Tropical & Salud Global, Universidad Iberoamericana, UNIBE Research Hub, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic
| | - Nelissa Sánchez
- Instituto de Medicina Tropical & Salud Global, Universidad Iberoamericana, UNIBE Research Hub, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic
| | - Francesca F. Norman
- National Referral Unit for Tropical Diseases, Infectious Diseases Department, CIBER de Enfermedades Infecciosas, IRYCIS, Hospital Ramón y Cajal, Universidad de Alcalá, Madrid, Spain
| | - Juan-Carlos Galán
- Microbiology Department, Hospital Ramón y Cajal, Instituto Ramón y Cajal de Investigación Sanitaria (IRYCIS), CIBER de Epidemiologia y Salud Publica (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain
| | - Ralph Huits
- Department of Infectious Tropical Diseases and Microbiology, IRCCS Sacro Cuore Don Calabria Hospital, Negrar, Verona, Italy
| | - Davidson H. Hamer
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston University School of Medicine, Center for Emerging Infectious Disease Policy and Research, Boston University, and National Emerging Infectious Disease Laboratory, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
| | - Chantal B.F. Vogels
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
- Yale Institute for Global Health, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
| | - Andrea Morrison
- Bureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, Florida, United States of America
| | - Scott F. Michael
- Department of Biological Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, Florida, United States of America
| | - Nathan D. Grubaugh
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
- Public Health Modeling Unit, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
- Yale Institute for Global Health, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
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