Using 30-day modified rankin scale score to predict 90-day score in patients with intracranial hemorrhage: Derivation and validation of prediction model

Whether 30-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores can predict 90-day scores is unclear. This study derived and validated a model to predict ordinal 90-day mRS score in an intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) population using 30-day mRS values and routinely available baseline variables. Adults enrolled in the Antihypertensive Treatment of Acute Cerebral Hemorrhage-2 (ATACH-2) trial between May 2011 and September 2015 with acute ICH, who were alive at 30 days and had mRS scores reported at both 30 and 90 days were included in this post-hoc analysis. A proportional odds regression model for predicting ordinal 90-day mRS scores was developed and internally validated using bootstrapping. Variables in the model included: mRS score at 30 days, age (years), hematoma volume (cm3), hematoma location (deep [basal ganglia, thalamus], lobar, or infratentorial), presence of intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH), baseline Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score, and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score at randomization. We assessed model fit, calibration, discrimination, and agreement (ordinal, dichotomized functional independence), and EuroQol-5D ([EQ-5D] utility weighted) between predicted and observed 90-day mRS. A total of 898/1000 participants were included. Following bootstrap internal validation, our model (calibration slope = 0.967) had an optimism-corrected c-index of 0.884 (95% CI = 0.873-0.896) and R2 = 0.712 for 90-day mRS score. The weighted ĸ for agreement between observed and predicted ordinal 90-day mRS score was 0.811 (95% CI = 0.787-0.834). Agreement between observed and predicted functional independence (mRS score of 0-2) at 90 days was 74.3% (95% CI = 69.9-78.7%). The mean ± SD absolute difference between predicted and observed EQ-5D-weighted mRS score was negligible (0.005 ± 0.145). This tool allows practitioners and researchers to utilize clinically available information along with the mRS score 30 days after ICH to reliably predict the mRS score at 90 days.

Efficacy of ravulizumab in patients with generalized myasthenia gravis by time from diagnosis: A post hoc subgroup analysis of the CHAMPION MG study

INTRODUCTION/AIMS

The CHAMPION MG study demonstrated that ravulizumab significantly improved Myasthenia Gravis-Activities of Daily Living (MG-ADL) and Quantitative Myasthenia Gravis (QMG) total scores versus placebo in adults with acetylcholine receptor antibody-positive generalized myasthenia gravis (AChR+ gMG). This post hoc analysis aimed to assess these outcomes by time from MG diagnosis.

METHODS

Changes from baseline to week 26 in MG-ADL and QMG total scores were analyzed by time from MG diagnosis to study entry (≤2 vs. >2 years). Within each subgroup, least-squares (LS) mean changes for ravulizumab and placebo were compared using mixed models for repeated measures.

RESULTS

In ravulizumab-treated patients, differences in LS mean (standard error of the mean) changes from baseline to week 26 were not statistically significant in the ≤2-years subgroup versus the >2-years subgroup for MG-ADL (-4.3 [0.70] vs. -2.9 [0.37]; p = .0511) or QMG (-4.3 [0.94] vs. -2.5 [0.50]; p = .0822) scores. No clear trends were observed in the placebo group. LS mean changes from baseline were significantly greater for ravulizumab versus placebo in both the ≤2 and >2 years from diagnosis subgroups for MG-ADL and QMG scores (all p < .05). The difference in treatment effect between the ≤2-years and >2-years subgroups was not statistically significant. No clinically meaningful between-subgroup differences in treatment-emergent adverse events were observed in ravulizumab-treated patients.

DISCUSSION

Ravulizumab treatment improved clinical outcomes for patients with AChR+ gMG regardless of time from diagnosis. A numerical trend was observed favoring greater treatment effect with earlier versus later treatment after diagnosis. Further studies are required for confirmation.

Characterization of patients with aHUS and associated triggers or clinical conditions: A Global aHUS Registry analysis

INTRODUCTION

Atypical haemolytic uremic syndrome (aHUS) is a rare form of thrombotic microangiopathy (TMA) associated with complement dysregulation; aHUS may be associated with other 'triggers' or 'clinical conditions'. This study aimed to characterize this patient population using data from the Global aHUS Registry, the largest collection of real-world data on patients with aHUS.

METHODS

Patients enrolled in the Global aHUS Registry between April 2012 and June 2021 and with recorded aHUS-associated triggers or clinical conditions prior/up to aHUS onset were analysed. aHUS was diagnosed by the treating physician. Data were classified by age at onset of aHUS (< or ≥18 years) and additionally by the presence/absence of identified pathogenic complement genetic variant(s) and/or anti-complement factor H (CFH) antibodies. Genetically/immunologically untested patients were excluded.

RESULTS

1947 patients were enrolled in the Global aHUS Registry by June 2021, and 349 (17.9%) met inclusion criteria. 307/349 patients (88.0%) had a single associated trigger or clinical condition and were included in the primary analysis. Malignancy was most common (58/307, 18.9%), followed by pregnancy and acute infections (both 53/307, 17.3%). Patients with an associated trigger or clinical condition were generally more likely to be adults at aHUS onset.

CONCLUSION

Our analysis suggests that aHUS-associated triggers or clinical conditions may be organized into clinically relevant categories, and their presence does not exclude the concurrent presence of pathogenic complement genetic variants and/or anti-CFH antibodies. Considering a diagnosis of aHUS with associated triggers or clinical conditions in patients presenting with TMA may allow faster and more appropriate treatment.

Burden of illness and costs in patients with myasthenia gravis currently receiving treatment in the United States

INTRODUCTION/AIMS

If myasthenia gravis (MG) symptoms are inadequately controlled, patients may experience exacerbations or life-threatening myasthenic crises. Patients with inadequately controlled MG symptoms tend to be treated with chronic intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIg) therapy and/or multiple immunosuppressant therapies (ISTs). This study aimed to examine disease burden, healthcare resource utilization, and associated costs in these patients.

METHODS

This was a retrospective observational study using a claims database. Patients with MG were classified into three cohorts based on treatment over a 1-y follow-up period: (a) treated with four or more IVIg episodes (chronic IVIg cohort); (b) received two or more non-steroidal ISTs (NSISTs) sequentially (multiple NSIST cohort); (c) received neither chronic IVIg nor multiple NSISTs (reference cohort). Incidences of crises and exacerbations and annual healthcare costs in each cohort were estimated.

RESULTS

In total, 3516 patients with MG were included in the analysis. Compared with the reference cohort (n = 2992), the MG crisis rate was approximately twice as high in both the chronic IVIg (n = 324) and multiple NSIST (n = 291) cohorts (p < 0.001); and the MG exacerbation rate was approximately four-fold higher in the chronic IVIg cohort (p < 0.001) and three-fold higher in the multiple NSIST cohort (p < 0.001). Median annual MG-related inflation-adjusted total healthcare costs were higher in the chronic IVIg ($81,900) and multiple NSIST ($30,300) cohorts than in the reference cohort ($2540).

DISCUSSION

The burden of crises/exacerbations was substantially higher and healthcare costs were considerably greater in patients with MG treated with chronic IVIg or multiple NSISTs than in patients not receiving these treatments.

Long-term effectiveness of eculizumab: Data from the International PNH Registry

OBJECTIVES

Data from the International PNH Registry (NCT01374360) were used to estimate the overall survival and first occurrence of thromboembolic events/major adverse vascular events (TEs/MAVEs) for eculizumab-treated patients with paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH) compared with a contemporaneous untreated cohort.

METHODS

Patients enrolled in the Registry from March 16, 2007, to February 14, 2022, were included. Treated patients received eculizumab for >35 days; untreated patients did not receive eculizumab at any time. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed using a Cox proportional hazards regression model comparing eculizumab treatment periods to untreated periods and were adjusted for baseline covariates (e.g., high disease activity [HDA], transfusion dependency, and eculizumab treatment status).

RESULTS

The analysis included 4118 patients. The univariable hazard ratio (HR) (95% CI) for mortality in eculizumab-treated time versus untreated time was 0.51 (0.41-0.64; p < 0.0001). Significant baseline covariates included age, sex, history of bone marrow failure, ≥4 erythrocyte transfusions within 12 months before baseline, and an estimated glomerular filtration rate ≤ 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (all p < 0.0001). In the adjusted analysis, patients with baseline HDA had the greatest reduction in mortality risk (HR [95% CI], 0.51 [0.36-0.72]). Treated patients had approximately 60% reduction in TE/MAVE risk during treated versus untreated time (HR [95% CI]: TE: 0.40 [0.26-0.62], MAVE: 0.37 [0.26-0.54]; p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Using data from the largest Registry of patients with PNH, with ≥14 years of overall follow-up, we demonstrate that treatment with eculizumab conferred a 49% relative benefit in survival and an approximately 60% reduction in TE/MAVE risk.

Risk factors for thromboembolic events in patients with paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH): a nested case-control study in the International PNH Registry

The objective of this analysis was to identify risk factors for thromboembolic events (TE) in patients with paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH) who were not treated with C5 inhibitors. Patients with PNH and a history of ≥ 1 TE at enrollment in the International PNH Registry (NCT01374360; registration date, January 2011) were each matched with up to 5 patients without TE. Multivariable analysis was performed with the following variables: percentage glycosylphosphatidylinositol (GPI)-negative cells, high disease activity (HDA), non-TE major adverse vascular event history, and recent anticoagulation. Of 2541 eligible patients, 57 with TE and 189 matched controls were analyzed. Multivariable analysis (odds ratio [95% CI]) identified the following factors as being associated with increased thrombotic risk: patients with no history of TE (with recent anticoagulation, 9.30 [1.20-72.27]), patients with history of TE (with recent anticoagulation, 8.91 [0.86-92.62]; without recent anticoagulation, 5.33 [0.26-109.57]), patients with ≥ 30% GPI-negative granulocytes (≥ 30% to < 50%, 4.94 [0.54-45.32]; ≥ 50%, 1.97 [0.45-8.55]), or patients with lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) ratio ≥ 1.5 × upper limit of normal (ULN) plus ≥ 2 HDA criteria (2-3 criteria, 3.18 [0.44-23.20]; ≥ 4 criteria, 3.60 [0.38-33.95]). History of TE, ≥ 30% GPI-negative granulocytes, and LDH ratio ≥ 1.5 × ULN with ≥ 2 HDA criteria are TE risk factors for patients with PNH. These findings will aid physicians by providing important clinical and laboratory risk factors that can be used to identify and manage patients with PNH who are at risk of developing TE.

Relationship of paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH) granulocyte clone size to disease burden and risk of major vascular events in untreated patients: results from the International PNH Registry

Paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH) is caused by acquired gene mutations resulting in deficiency of glycosylphosphatidylinositol (GPI)-anchored complement regulatory proteins on the surface of blood cells, leading to terminal complement-mediated intravascular hemolysis and increased risk of major adverse vascular events (MAVEs). Using data from the International PNH Registry, this study investigated the relationship between the proportion of GPI-deficient granulocytes at PNH onset and (1) the risk for MAVEs (including thrombotic events [TEs]) and (2) the following parameters at last follow-up: high disease activity (HDA); lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) ratio; fatigue; abdominal pain; and rates of overall MAVEs and TEs. A total of 2813 patients untreated at enrollment were included and stratified by clone size at PNH disease onset (baseline). At last follow-up, higher proportion of GPI-deficient granulocytes (≤ 5% vs. > 30% clone size) at baseline was associated with significantly increased HDA incidence (14% vs. 77%), mean LDH ratio (1.3 vs. 4.7 × upper limit of normal), and rates of MAVEs 1.5 vs. 2.9 per 100 person-years) and TEs (0.9 vs. 2.0 per 100 person-years). Fatigue was evident in 71 to 76% of patients regardless of clone size. Abdominal pain was more frequently reported with clone size > 30%. A larger clone size at baseline appears to indicate a greater disease burden and risk of TEs and MAVEs and may inform decision making among physicians managing PNH patients at risk of experiencing TEs or other MAVEs. ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT01374360.

Lysosomal acid lipase deficiency manifestations in children and adults: Baseline data from an international registry

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Lysosomal acid lipase deficiency (LAL-D) is a rare, autosomal recessive disease involving lysosomal accumulation of cholesteryl esters and triglycerides. The International Lysosomal Acid Lipase Deficiency Registry (NCT01633489), established in 2013 to understand LAL-D natural history and long-term outcomes, is accessible to centres caring for patients diagnosed by deficient LAL activity and/or biallelic pathogenic LIPA variants. We describe the registry population enrolled through 2 May 2022.

METHODS

In this prospective observational study, we analysed demographic and baseline clinical characteristics of children (ages ≥6 months to <18 years) and adults diagnosed with LAL-D.

RESULTS

Of 228 patients with confirmed disease, 61% were children; 202/220 (92%) with data on race were white. Median age was 5.5 years at sign/symptom onset and 10.5 years at diagnosis; median time from sign/symptom onset to diagnostic testing was 3.3 years. The most common manifestations raising suspicion of disease were elevated alanine (70%) and aspartate aminotransferase levels (67%) and hepatomegaly (63%). Among 157 with reported LIPA mutations, 70 were homozygous and 45 were compound heterozygous for the common exon 8 splice junction pathogenic variant (E8SJM-1). Seventy percent (159/228) of patients had dyslipidaemia. Among 118 with liver biopsies, 63% had microvesicular steatosis exclusively, 23% had mixed micro- and macrovesicular steatosis and 47% had lobular inflammation. Of 78 patients with fibrosis-stage data, 37% had bridging fibrosis and 14% had cirrhosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Although LAL-D signs/symptoms occur early, diagnosis is often delayed. Abnormal transaminase levels associated with hepatomegaly and dyslipidaemia should raise suspicion and prompt earlier diagnosis of LAL-D.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT01633489.