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Risk prediction of second hip fracture by bone and muscle density of the hip varies with time after first hip fracture: A prospective cohort study. Bone Rep 2024; 20:101732. [PMID: 38226335 PMCID: PMC10788229 DOI: 10.1016/j.bonr.2023.101732] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/18/2023] [Revised: 12/16/2023] [Accepted: 12/20/2023] [Indexed: 01/17/2024] Open
Abstract
Purpose Predictors of 'imminent' risk of second hip fracture are unknown. The aims of the study were to explore strength of hip areal bone mineral density (aBMD), and muscle area and density for predicting second hip fracture at different time intervals. Methods Data of the Chinese Second Hip Fracture Evaluation were analyzed, a longitudinal study to evaluate the risk of second hip fracture (of the contralateral hip) by using CT images obtained immediately after first hip fracture. Muscle cross-sectional area and density were measured of the gluteus maximus (G.MaxM) and gluteus medius and minimus (G.Med/MinM) and aBMD of the proximal femur at the contralateral unfractured side. Patients were followed up for a median time of 4.5 years. Separate Cox models were used to predict second hip fracture risk at different time intervals after first event adjusted for age, sex, BMI and diabetes. Results The mean age of subjects with imminent (within 1st or 2nd year) second hip fracture was 79.80 ± 5.16 and 81.56 ± 3.64 years. In the 1st year after the first hip fracture, femoral neck (FN) aBMD predicted second hip fracture (HR 5.88; 95 % CI, 1.32-26.09). In the remaining years of follow-up after 2nd year, muscle density predicted second hip fracture (G.MaxM HR 2.13; 95 % CI, 1.25-3.65,G.Med/MinM HR 2.10; 95 % CI, 1.32-3.34). Conclusions Our results show that femoral neck aBMD is an important predictor for second hip fracture within the first year and therefore suggest supports the importance concept of early and rapid-acting bone-active drugs to increase hip BMD. In addition, the importance of muscle density predicting second hip fracture after the second year suggest post hip fracture rehabilitation and exercise programs could also be important to reduce muscle fatty infiltration.
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An analysis of cost and complications for patients sustaining a second, contralateral hip fracture within 1 year. Injury 2023:S0020-1383(23)00357-1. [PMID: 37068971 DOI: 10.1016/j.injury.2023.04.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/07/2022] [Revised: 04/05/2023] [Accepted: 04/12/2023] [Indexed: 04/19/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Hip fractures are an increasingly common occurrence among the aging population. With increased life expectancy and advancements in medicine, patients sustaining a hip fracture are at an increasing risk of sustaining a contralateral hip fracture. Efforts are being made to better understand the environment of these hip fractures so that secondary prevention clinics and guidelines can be made to help prevent recurrent osteoporotic hip fractures. The estimated incidence of a contralateral hip fracture varies from 2 to 10% and is reportedly associated with a higher incidence of complications. Previous studies evaluating contralateral hip fractures compared a single cohort of patients sustaining a second hip fracture with patients who sustained only one hip fracture. We aimed to investigate the overall complications and associated costs as it relates to a patients first hip fracture and contrast this to the same patient's contralateral, second hip fractures. METHODS We performed a retrospective review of all patients in our health systems electronic database who were found to have surgically treated hip fractures between January 2004 and July 2019. Patients with surgically treated hip fractures (CPT Codes: 27235, 27236, 27245, 27244), who sustained a second contralateral hip fracture were included. Medical complications within 30 days of either procedure (such as pneumonia, UTI, altered mental status and others), length of stay, orthopedic complications (such as wound complications, infection, hardware failure, nonunion), type of implants, costs, comorbidities, and ASA Class as well as Mortality were reviewed. RESULTS A total of 4,870 hip fractures were identified during the study period where 137 (2.8%) patients sustained a second hip fracture, and 47 (0.9%) of which were sustained within the first year after their index hip fracture. There was no statistical difference in length of stay (p = 0.68), medical (p>0.99) or orthopedic complications (p>0.99) between patients first and second hip fractures. There was an increased incidence of cognitive impairment with the second hip fracture (P = 0.0002). For patients that underwent operative treatment of a second hip fracture, the total cost of care was higher for the second surgery (mean difference 757. 38 USD) however the difference wasn't statistically significant (p = 0.31). The overall 1-year mortality rate was 14.9 percent. CONCLUSIONS Our study demonstrates there is no statistical difference between the first and second surgery regarding length of stay, medical or orthopedic complications and cost.
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Second hip fracture in older adults: incidence and risk factors. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF ORTHOPAEDIC SURGERY & TRAUMATOLOGY : ORTHOPEDIE TRAUMATOLOGIE 2022:10.1007/s00590-022-03309-9. [PMID: 35767042 DOI: 10.1007/s00590-022-03309-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/28/2022] [Accepted: 05/31/2022] [Indexed: 10/17/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE A second hip fracture can occur in older adults who have already suffered an initial hip fracture. The aim of this study was to determine the incidence, mortality and risk factors for second hip fractures in older adults with hip fractures. METHODS Between 2009 and 2019, 2013 patients (mean age: mean age 76.5 ± 5.4 SD) who were admitted to a tertiary care hospital for a hip fracture surgery were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into two groups: those with a second hip fracture and those without a second hip fracture within the following two years after the initial fracture. RESULTS 321 patients (15.9%, mean age: 85.3 ± 4.9 SD) sustained a second contralateral hip fracture, the first two years after the initial hip fracture whereas 136 patients (6.8%) sustained a contralateral hip fracture within 12 months. In total 274 (13.6%) died in the first two years after the initial hip fracture; among these, 139 patients (43.3%) had a contralateral second hip fracture. The mean time from the first hip fracture to second hip fracture was 13.2 ± 7.6 months. The advance age, female gender, living alone, dementia, chest and urinary tract infection, chronic heart failure, peripheral vascular disease were identified as risk factors for a second contralateral hip fracture. CONCLUSIONS Identifying risk factors for a second contralateral hip fracture can be particularly helpful in providing focused medical assistance.
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Muscle density is an independent risk factor of second hip fracture: a prospective cohort study. J Cachexia Sarcopenia Muscle 2022; 13:1927-1937. [PMID: 35429146 PMCID: PMC9178374 DOI: 10.1002/jcsm.12996] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/05/2021] [Revised: 03/17/2022] [Accepted: 03/30/2022] [Indexed: 01/07/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients with a first hip fracture are at high risk of fracturing their other hip. Despite this, preventive therapy is often not given. Because little is known about specific risk factors of a second hip fracture, we investigated the association with areal bone mineral density (aBMD), muscle size, and density. We also investigated whether muscle parameters predict the risk of a contralateral fracture independently of aBMD. METHODS Three groups were included, one without hip fracture (a subcohort of the China Action on Spine and Hip Status study), one with a first, and one with a second hip fracture. Subjects with fractures were recruited from the longitudinal Chinese Second Hip Fracture Evaluation (CSHFE). Computed tomography scans of CSHFE patients, which were obtained immediately following their first fracture, were used to measure cross-sectional area and density of the gluteus maximus (G.MaxM) and gluteus medius and minimus (G.Med/MinM) muscles. Computed tomography X-ray absorptiometry was used to measure aBMD of the contralateral femur. Median follow-up time to second fracture was 4.5 years. Cox proportional hazards models were used to compute hazard ratios (HR) of second hip fracture risk in subjects with a first hip fracture. Multivariate logistic regressions were used to compare odds ratios (OR) for the risk of a first and second hip fracture. RESULTS Three hundred and one participants (68.4 ± 6.1 years, 64% female) without and 302 participants (74.6 ± 9.9 years, 71% female) with a first hip fracture were included in the analysis. Among the latter, 45 (79.2 ± 7.1 years) sustained a second hip fracture. ORs for first hip fracture were significant for aBMD and muscle size and density. ORs for a second fracture were smaller by a factor of 3 to 4 and no longer significant for femoral neck (FN) aBMD. HRs for predicting second hip fracture confirmed the results. G.Med/MinM density (HR, 1.68; CI, 1.20-2.35) and intertrochanter aBMD (HR, 1.62; CI, 1.13-2.31) were the most significant. FN aBMD was not significant. G.Med/MinM density remained significant for predicting second hip fracture after adjustment for FN (HR, 1.66; Cl, 1.18-2.30) or total hip aBMD (HR, 1.50; 95% Cl, 1.04-2.15). CONCLUSIONS Density of the G.Med/MinM muscle is an aBMD independent predictor of the risk of second hip fracture. Intertrochanteric aBMD is a better predictor of second hip fracture than FN and total hip aBMD. These results may trigger a paradigm shift in the assessment of second hip fracture risk and prevention strategies.
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Impact of bisphosphonates and comorbidities on initial hip fracture prognosis. Bone 2022; 154:116239. [PMID: 34688941 DOI: 10.1016/j.bone.2021.116239] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/10/2021] [Revised: 09/28/2021] [Accepted: 10/18/2021] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of bisphosphonate treatment on the prognosis of patients with initial hip fracture. Patients aged fifty years and older with initial hip fracture were identified from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database between 2002 and 2011. A multi-state model was established to evaluate the transition between "first to second hip fracture", "first hip fracture to death", and "second hip fracture to death". Transition probability and cumulative hazards were used to compare the prognosis of initial hip fracture in a bisphosphonate treated cohort versus non-treated cohort. In addition, Deyo-Charlson comorbidities, both vertebral and non-vertebral fractures, and cataracts were also included for analysis. After 10-year follow-up, there is decreased cumulative transition probability for both second hip fracture and mortality after both first and second hip fracture in the bisphosphonate treated cohort. Multivariable, transition-specific time-dependent Cox model revealed that bisphosphonate treatment significantly reduced risk for second hip fracture in the first 5 years of the treatment (HR 0.88; 95% CI 0.79-0.99; P: 0.034), first hip fracture mortality (HR 0.88; 95% CI 0.83-0.93; P < 0.001), and second hip fracture mortality in the first 2 years of the treatment (HR 0.78; 95% CI 0.65-0.95; P = 0.011). Female sex, both vertebral and non-vertebral fractures, cataracts, dementia in the first 2 years, and DM with complication were all significantly associated with risk of a second hip fracture. Cerebrovascular disease and hemiplegia comorbidities had less risk of a second hip fracture. The risk of mortality after both first and second hip fracture was significantly associated with congestive heart failure, renal disease, myocardial infarction, and moderate to severe liver disease. Our study demonstrated that bisphosphonate treatment and strict management of comorbidities after the initial hip fracture significantly decrease the risk for a second hip fracture and mortality.
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Risk factors for second hip fracture in elderly patients: an age, sex, and fracture type matched case-control study. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF ORTHOPAEDIC SURGERY AND TRAUMATOLOGY 2021; 32:437-442. [PMID: 34003374 DOI: 10.1007/s00590-021-02996-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/07/2021] [Accepted: 05/04/2021] [Indexed: 01/17/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE Prevention of second hip fracture is mandatory for orthopedic surgeons. We aimed to clarify the incidence and duration of second hip fracture, to compare survival rate and walking ability of patients with a second hip fracture to that of patients with a unilateral fracture, and to identify risk factors for second hip fracture using matched case-control methods. METHODS This retrospective study conducted in a single tertiary emergency center comprised 119 patients with second hip fractures who underwent bilateral operations at our institution from 2007 to 2017 (second hip fracture group [Group A]). The control group (Group B) comprised 357 patients matched to Group A for age, sex, and fracture type. RESULTS The incidence of second hip fracture was 7.6%, and the average interval from initial fracture to second hip fracture was 22.8 months. Significantly more patients in Group A had decreased postoperative walking ability. Five-year survival rates from initial fracture were 65.0% in Group A and 50.6% in Group B (P = 0.346). Dementia and heart disease were identified as independent risk factors (dementia: HR 2.08, 95% CI 1.27-3.41, P = 0.004; heart disease: HR 1.27, 95% CI1.11-3.22, P = 0.019). Valvular disease was also revealed to be a risk factor for heart disease (P = 0.0272). CONCLUSIONS The incidence of second hip fracture was not low. Although survival rates did not differ between the patients with or without second hip fracture, walking ability of patients with second hip fracture worsened. Dementia and cardiac disease could be risk factors for second hip fracture in elderly patients, and valvular disease might be associated with second hip fracture in patients with heart disease.
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Alendronate medication possession ratio and the risk of second hip fracture: an 11-year population-based cohort study in Taiwan. Osteoporos Int 2020; 31:1555-1563. [PMID: 32221674 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-020-05399-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/16/2019] [Accepted: 03/20/2020] [Indexed: 01/22/2023]
Abstract
UNLABELLED Alendronate is effective in preventing second hip fracture in osteoporotic patients. However, no consensus exists on the duration that is effective in preventing a second hip fracture. Our study demonstrated that risk can be reduced when the prescription is ≥ 6 months for the year following the index hip fracture. INTRODUCTION Alendronate is effective in preventing second hip fracture in osteoporotic patients. However, no consensus exists on the accurate medication possession ratio (MPR) that is effective in preventing a second hip fracture. Our objective was to compare the risk of second hip fracture in patients treated with different MPR of alendronate. METHODS In this population-based cohort study, data from National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan were analyzed. Patients 50 years and older who had an index hip fracture and were not receiving any osteoporotic medications before their fracture during 2000-2010 were included. The cohort consisted of 88,320 patients who were new alendronate users (n = 9278) and non-users (n = 79,042). Those without alendronate were matched 4:1 as the control group. Patients were subdivided into those with no medication, MPR < 25%, MPR 25-50%, MPR 50-75%, and MPR 75-100%. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate the adjusted hazard ratios for different MPRs of alendronate. RESULTS After matching, 38,675 patients were included in this study; 20,363 (52.7%) were women, and 30,940 (80%) patients were without medication of alendronate. During follow-up on December 31, 2012, 2392 patients had a second hip fracture, for an incidence of 1449/100,000 person-years. Patients with alendronate MPR 50-75% had a lower risk of a second hip fracture compared to non-users (hazard ratio 0.66). When the MPR increased to 75-100%, the hazard ratio decreased to 0.61. CONCLUSIONS In this population-based cohort study, risk of a second hip fracture can be reduced when the alendronate MPR is ≥ 50% for the year following the index hip fracture. As the MPR increases, the risk of a second hip fracture decreases.
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The impact of second hip fracture on rehospitalization and mortality in older adults. Arch Gerontol Geriatr 2020; 90:104175. [PMID: 32659601 DOI: 10.1016/j.archger.2020.104175] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/22/2020] [Revised: 06/30/2020] [Accepted: 07/02/2020] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE Although a second hip fracture is not uncommon in the older population, the extent to which such an event may affect health-related outcomes has not been fully clarified. We aimed to evaluate the risk of new falls, functional decline, rehospitalization, institutionalization and mortality in older patients admitted for a second vs. a first hip fracture. METHODS The sample consisted of 288 older patients admitted to the Orthogeriatric Unit of Bolzano Hospital (northern Italy) and surgically treated for a hip fracture from June 2016 to June 2017. Socio-demographic data and hospitalization-related information were collected and a multidimensional assessment was made upon admission and during the hospital stay. Fifteen months after discharge, data on mobility level, functional status, institutionalization, and new falls were obtained from personal or structured phone interviews. Information on rehospitalization and mortality was obtained from local hospital registers. RESULTS One out of six patients (14.6 %) admitted was suffering a second hip fracture, of which only 16.7 % were on antiresorptive therapies. At the 15-month follow-up, individuals who had been treated for a second hip fracture were more likely than those treated for their first to have low mobility levels (OR = 4.13, 95 %CI:1.23-13.84), to be rehospitalized (OR = 2.57, 95 %CI:1.12-5.90), and to have a higher mortality (HR = 1.81, 95 %CI:1.05-3.12). CONCLUSIONS The occurrence of a second hip fracture may further affect the clinical vulnerability and mortality of older adults. These results highlight the need to implement preventive action to minimize the risk of re-fracture after the first event.
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Second hip fracture in Hong Kong - Incidence, demographics, and mortality. Osteoporos Sarcopenia 2020; 6:71-74. [PMID: 32715097 PMCID: PMC7374255 DOI: 10.1016/j.afos.2020.05.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/01/2019] [Revised: 03/16/2020] [Accepted: 05/14/2020] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Objectives The aim of this study is to investigate the incidence of second hip fractures after a previous hip fracture and subsequent mortality in Chinese men and women. Methods Data of patients aged 65 years or above with operatively treated hip fracture in the years 2000-2011 in Hong Kong were retrieved from Hospital Authority clinical database. During the follow-up period, second contralateral operatively treated hip fractures were identified. The incidence of a second fracture was determined using survival analysis. Results A total of 2399 second hip fractures were identified. The cumulative incidence of a second fracture was 1.24% at 1 year and 4.42% at 5 years with 60% of second fractures occurring within 4 years after the initial fracture. In cox regression model, a higher incidence was observed as age increased (hazard ratio [HR], 1.08; P < 0.001). The cumulative mortality at 1 and 5 years after a second fracture was 16.9% and 54.8%, respectively. The median survival after single fracture was 4.9 years, while after a second fracture it was 3.8 years (P < 0.05). Lower survival was observed after the second fracture (HR, 5.44; P < 0.05), in men (HR, 1.91; P < 0.05) and older patients (HR, 1.061; P < 0.05). Conclusions Patients with history of hip fracture are at high risk to develop a second fracture. Initiation of treatment and fragility fracture prevention program after primary hip fracture should be started in order to reduce second fracture incidence and related mortality.
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Evaluation of Risk Factors for Second Hip Fractures in Elderly Patients. J Clin Med Res 2018; 10:217-220. [PMID: 29416580 PMCID: PMC5798268 DOI: 10.14740/jocmr3287w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/03/2017] [Accepted: 12/27/2017] [Indexed: 11/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Hip fracture is a worldwide public health problem that primarily affects osteoporotic individuals and the elderly. A second hip fracture can occur in elderly patients who have already suffered an initial hip fracture. The aim of this study was to investigate possible risk factors for second hip fractures in elderly patients with hip fractures. Methods Between 2010 and 2014, 230 patients who underwent uncemented bipolar hemiarthroplasty for hip fractures were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into two groups: those with a first hip fracture (group 1) and those with a second hip fracture (group 2). Results The mean time from the first hip fracture to second hip fracture was 22 months. There were no significant differences in the American Society of Anesthesiologist scores, comorbidities were observed in the two groups. The mean length of hospitalization was not significantly different between the two groups. The mean postoperative functional scores after second hip fractures were significantly lower in group 2 than in group 1. Conclusions Although there are not certain risk factors for second hip fractures in elderly patients with hip fractures, to prevent second hip fractures, elderly patients should be provided with physical and medical therapy as well as orthotic support and their functional activity should be maintained.
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Secular trends in incidence and recurrence rates of hip fracture: a nationwide population-based study. Osteoporos Int 2017; 28:811-818. [PMID: 27832325 PMCID: PMC5306161 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-016-3820-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 42] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/08/2016] [Accepted: 10/25/2016] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
UNLABELLED We assessed the incidence of hip fracture and second hip fractures in Taiwan from 2001 to 2012. Age-standardized incidence rates decreased after 2005. However, mortality rate after first hip fracture was substantial compared to second hip fracture rate in a competing risk model. INTRODUCTION The aim of the study is to assess the incidence rates (IRs) of hip fractures, including changes in trends and medical costs, and second hip fractures in the Taiwanese population. METHODS The number of hip fractures and the associated medical costs were obtained from the annual report of the Ministry of Health and Welfare, Taiwan, for individuals ≥50 years of age. The data of population at risk were retrieved from annual population reports from the Ministry of the Interior, Taiwan. The incidence of second hip fractures was evaluated from the National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan for insured individuals aged ≥50 years from 2001 to 2011 with follow-up until 2013 using a competing risk model. RESULTS The IR for the entire population increased from 332.7 to 336.5 per 100,000 person-years during 2001-2005 and decreased thereafter. This secular change was driven by a decrease in hip fractures for both men and women. The 10-year cumulative incidence rate of second hip fracture was 11.2% (95% CI 11.0-11.5%) in women and 7.9% (95% CI 7.6-8.1%) in men. Adjusted by consumer price index (CPI), the costs of hospitalization due to hip fracture increased from NTD 1.17 billion in 2001 to NTD 1.43 billion in 2012. However, the CPI-adjusted costs of each admission decreased from NTD 74944 in 2001 to NTD 65791 in 2012. CONCLUSIONS Since 2006, the IR of hip fractures has been declining in Taiwan. The 10-year cumulative IR of mortality is substantial for individuals who with first hip fracture.
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Incidence of second hip fractures and associated mortality in Taiwan: A nationwide population-based study of 95,484 patients during 2006-2010. ACTA ORTHOPAEDICA ET TRAUMATOLOGICA TURCICA 2016; 50:437-42. [PMID: 27473531 PMCID: PMC6197401 DOI: 10.1016/j.aott.2016.06.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2015] [Revised: 11/15/2015] [Accepted: 01/09/2016] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The aim of the study is was to determine the incidence and mortality of second hip fracture using a nationwide database. PATIENTS AND METHODS A nationwide epidemiological study was conducted using the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database from 2001 to 2011. Patients older than 50 years with hip fractures from 2006 to 2011 were included in the study. A total of 95,484 hip fractures were identified, with subsequent second hip fracture occurred in 4102 of them. RESULTS The incidence rate ratio of second hip fracture showed a 7.13 fold of risk of further hip fracture in 3 months, 5.21 fold in one year, and remained more than 2 fold in the end of 6th year when compared with the general population. The 6-year cumulative incidence of a second hip fracture was higher in female (8.0%) than in male (6.2%). A significantly higher 1-year mortality rate was seen after a second hip fracture (18.8%) compared to the first hip fracture (14.1%) (p < 0.05). Men had higher 1- and 5-year mortality rates after second hip fractures (12.1% and 41.2%, respectively) than women (17.4% and 47.3%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS Patients with hip fractures would have a 2-7 fold of risk of a second fracture within 6 years. Women were more prone to a second hip fracture than men but men had a higher mortality rate.
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Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and the risk of a second hip fracture: a propensity-score matching study. BMC Musculoskelet Disord 2016; 17:201. [PMID: 27141945 PMCID: PMC4855841 DOI: 10.1186/s12891-016-1047-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/09/2015] [Accepted: 04/22/2016] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) are frequently prescribed for elderly patients, particularly after a hip fracture. However, we are not clear about the effect of NSAIDs on the risk of a second hip fracture because of confounding factors. Methods This was a Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database-based study using propensity-score matching (PSM) to control for confounding. Enrollees were selected from patients with a hip fracture during 1996–2004 and followed longitudinally until December 2009. After PSM for comorbidities and bisphosphonate therapy, 94 patients with a second hip fracture were assigned to the Cases group and 461 without it to the Controls group. The target drugs are NSAIDs; paracetamol and dexamethasone are used for comparison. Results The correlation between the mean daily-dose (MDD) ratios of NSAIDs and the probability values of the current statistical tests were highly negative (Pearson’s r = −0.920, P = 0.003), which indicated that the higher the MDD ratios, the greater the risks of a second hip fracture. A Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed a time-dependent trend of increasing risk of a second hip fracture in patients taking NSAIDs (P < 0.001). Moreover, patients ≥60 years old had a higher risk of a second hip fracture than did those <60 and taking the NSAIDs diclofenac (P = 0.016) and celecoxib (P = 0.003) and the corticosteroid dexamethasone (P = 0.018), but not those taking analgesic paracetamol (P = 0.074). Conclusions We conclude that taking NSAIDs after a fragility hip fracture dose- and time-dependently significantly increases the risk of a second hip fracture, especially in elderly patients. To lower the risk of a second hip fracture, any underlying causes for excessively using NSAIDs should be treated and thus fewer NSAIDs prescribed after a first hip fracture.
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Incidence, Morbidity and Mortality in Patients Older than 50 Years with Second Hip Fracture in a Jeju Cohort Study. Hip Pelvis 2014; 26:250-5. [PMID: 27536589 PMCID: PMC4971401 DOI: 10.5371/hp.2014.26.4.250] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/08/2014] [Revised: 11/17/2014] [Accepted: 12/10/2014] [Indexed: 12/27/2022] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE Although the incidence of a second hip fracture is relatively well described, mortality and morbidity after a second hip fracture are seldom evaluated. The purpose of this study was to determine the incidence, morbidity, and mid-term mortality of a second hip fracture and evaluate the cause of death after a second hip fracture. MATERIALS AND METHODS Information on patients older than 50 years, who sustained a subsequent hip fracture, were obtained from the records of eight Jeju Island hospitals between 2002 and 2011 to calculate the incidence, morbidity, and mortality of hip fractures in this age group. All patients were followed a minimum of 2 years. A systemic search for death certificates at the National Statistical Office was conducted for patients who were lost to follow-up. RESULTS Of 2,055 hip fractures (419 men and 1,636 women), 98 were second hip fractures (13 men and 85 women) during the study period. The mean ages of the patients at the time of the first and second fractures were 78.8 and 80.8 years, respectively. The incidence of a subsequent hip fracture among the first hip fracture was 4.8%. Mean mortality rates at 6 months, 1 year, 2 years, and 5 years were 10.5%, 15.2%, 23.5%, and 42.0% respectively. Cumulative mortality after the second hip fracture at the 5 years follow-up was 41.8%. CONCLUSION Our results demonstrate that a secondary fracture prevention program is necessary to prevent second hip fractures in elderly patients.
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Risk analysis for second hip fracture in patients after hip fracture surgery: a nationwide population-based study. J Am Med Dir Assoc 2014; 15:725-31. [PMID: 25017390 DOI: 10.1016/j.jamda.2014.05.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 35] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/04/2014] [Revised: 05/16/2014] [Accepted: 05/19/2014] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The current treatment program for fragility hip fractures (HFx) emphasizes a combination of early surgery, rehabilitation, and tertiary prevention strategy for osteoporosis; however, the effect is unclear and little information is available on the risk factors predicting the occurrence of a second hip fracture (SHFx). The aim of this study was to explore the incidence, risk factors, and subsequent mortality of SHFx in patients after their first hip fracture surgery (HFxS). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS We performed a nationwide population-based longitudinal observational study using the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) of Taiwan with a logistic regression model analysis. Of 87,415 patients undergoing HFxS during the period 2004 to 2007, we identified 8027 patients who had sustained an SHFx for analyses. MEASUREMENTS Data collected included patient characteristics (demographics, comorbidities, and concurrent medication use), incidence and hazard ratios of SHFx after HFxS, and subsequent age-specific mortality. RESULTS The overall incidence of SHFx was 9.18% and the age-specific mortality was increased 1.6- to 2.2-fold in patients with SHFx compared with those without after HFxS in this 7-year longitudinal study. The identified risk factors included age (AOR = 1.84, 95% CI: 1.24-2.89), female gender (AOR = 1.12, 95% CI: 1.03-2.30), obesity (AOR = 2.89, 95% CI: 1.81-3.01), diabetes (AOR = 3.85, 95% CI: 2.54-4.05), arterial hypertension (AOR = 2.45, 95% CI: 1.83-2.62), hyperlipidemia (AOR = 2.77, 95% CI: 1.27-3.19), stroke/TIA (AOR = 2.85, 95% CI: 2.20-3.23), blindness/low vision (AOR = 3.09, 95% CI: 2.54-3.73), and prolonged use of analgesics and anti-inflammatory medications (all AOR ≥ 3.05, all P values ≤.012). Bisphosphonate therapy after HFxS had a significant negative risk association with the development of an SHFx (20.8% vs 32.3%, P = .023; AOR = 2.24, 95% CI: 1.38-2.90). CONCLUSION We concluded that the occurrence of an SHFx and subsequent mortality in patients after HFxS is rather high. An understanding of the risk factors predicting the occurrence of an SHFx provides a valuable basis to improve health care for geriatric populations.
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Meta-analysis of risk factors for the second hip fracture (SHF) in elderly patients. Arch Gerontol Geriatr 2014; 59:1-6. [PMID: 24657007 DOI: 10.1016/j.archger.2014.02.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2013] [Revised: 02/24/2014] [Accepted: 02/27/2014] [Indexed: 01/11/2023]
Abstract
This study aims to quantitatively summarize the risk factors for the incidence of SHF. A meta-analysis was performed with the data obtained from 22 relevant papers published in Pubmed, Embase and Cochrane central database (all through January 2014) following strict selection. The pooled odds ratios (ORs) or standardized mean difference (SMD) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for potential risk factors associated with SHF. Our meta-analysis indicated the significant risk factors for SHF were female (OR, 1.46; 95%CI, 1.29-1.66), living in institutions (OR, 2.23; 95%CI, 1.29-3.83), osteoporosis (Singh index (SI) 1-3) (OR, 10.02; 95%CI, 5.41-18.57), low vision (OR, 2.09; 95%CI, 1.06-4.12), dementia (OR, 1.89; 95%CI, 1.47-2.43), Parkinson (OR, 2.90; 95%CI, 1.41-5.95), cardiac diseases (OR, 1.32; 95%CI, 1.02-1.70) and respiratory disease (OR, 1.97; 95%CI, 1.16-3.32). Related strategies must be implemented on those involved with above-mentioned medical conditions to effectively prevent a SHF.
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