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CT-based radiomics models predict spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage expansion and are comparable with CT angiography spot sign. Front Neurol 2024; 15:1332509. [PMID: 38476195 PMCID: PMC10929015 DOI: 10.3389/fneur.2024.1332509] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/03/2023] [Accepted: 01/30/2024] [Indexed: 03/14/2024] Open
Abstract
Background and purpose This study aimed to investigate the efficacy of radiomics, based on non-contrast computed tomography (NCCT) and computed tomography angiography (CTA) images, in predicting early hematoma expansion (HE) in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (SICH). Additionally, the predictive performance of these models was compared with that of the established CTA spot sign. Materials and methods A retrospective analysis was conducted using CT images from 182 patients with SICH. Data from the patients were divided into a training set (145 cases) and a testing set (37 cases) using random stratified sampling. Two radiomics models were constructed by combining quantitative features extracted from NCCT images (the NCCT model) and CTA images (the CTA model) using a logistic regression (LR) classifier. Additionally, a univariate LR model based on the CTA spot sign (the spot sign model) was established. The predictive performance of the two radiomics models and the spot sign model was compared according to the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). Results For the training set, the AUCs of the NCCT, CTA, and spot sign models were 0.938, 0.904, and 0.726, respectively. Both the NCCT and CTA models demonstrated superior predictive performance compared to the spot sign model (all P < 0.001), with the performance of the two radiomics models being comparable (P = 0.068). For the testing set, the AUCs of the NCCT, CTA, and spot sign models were 0.925, 0.873, and 0.720, respectively, with only the NCCT model exhibiting significantly greater predictive value than the spot sign model (P = 0.041). Conclusion Radiomics models based on NCCT and CTA images effectively predicted HE in patients with SICH. The predictive performances of the NCCT and CTA models were similar, with the NCCT model outperforming the spot sign model. These findings suggest that this approach has the potential to reduce the need for CTA examinations, thereby reducing radiation exposure and the use of contrast agents in future practice for the purpose of predicting hematoma expansion.
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Neuroimaging of Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage. J Clin Med 2021; 10:jcm10051086. [PMID: 33807843 PMCID: PMC7962049 DOI: 10.3390/jcm10051086] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/09/2020] [Revised: 02/16/2021] [Accepted: 03/02/2021] [Indexed: 01/25/2023] Open
Abstract
Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) accounts for 10% to 20% of all strokes worldwide and is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Neuroimaging is clinically important for the rapid diagnosis of ICH and underlying etiologies, but also for identification of ICH expansion, often as-sociated with an increased risk for poor outcome. In this context, rapid assessment of early hema-toma expansion risk is both an opportunity for therapeutic intervention and a potential hazard for hematoma evacuation surgery. In this review, we provide an overview of the current literature surrounding the use of multimodal neuroimaging of ICH for etiological diagnosis, prediction of early hematoma expansion, and prognostication of neurological outcome. Specifically, we discuss standard imaging using computed tomography, the value of different vascular imaging modalities to identify underlying causes and present recent advances in magnetic resonance imaging and computed tomography perfusion.
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Associations Between Levels of High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein and Outcome After Intracerebral Hemorrhage. Front Neurol 2020; 11:535068. [PMID: 33123072 PMCID: PMC7573166 DOI: 10.3389/fneur.2020.535068] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2020] [Accepted: 08/27/2020] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) have high mortality and morbidity rates; approximately one-third of patients with ICH experience hematoma expansion (HE). The spot sign is an established and validated imaging marker for HE. High-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) is an established laboratory marker for inflammation and secondary brain injury following ICH. Objective: To determine the association between the spot sign and hs-CRP, hematoma expansion, and clinical outcomes. Methods: Between December 2014 and September 2016, we prospectively recruited 1,964 patients with acute symptomatic ICH at 13 hospitals in Beijing, China. Next, we selected 92 patients within 24 h of the onset of symptoms from this cohort for the present study. ICH was diagnosed in the emergency room by non-contrast computed tomography (NCCT) scans. Follow-up scans were carried out within 48 h to evaluate patients for HE. Multidetector computed tomography angiography (MDCTA) was also used to identify spot signs. Blood samples were collected from each patient at admission in EDTA tubes (for plasma) or vacutainer tubes (for serum). hs-CRP values were determined by a particle-enhanced immunoturbidimetric assay in the laboratory at Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University. Patients were categorized into two groups according to their hs-CRP levels (hs-CRP <3 mg/L, hs-CRP ≥3 mg/L). Results: The incidences of spot sign and HE in our study cohort were 31.5 and 29.3%, respectively. Following the removal of potential confounding variables, stepwise-forward logistic regression analysis identified that an hs-CRP level ≥3 mg/L was not a significant indicator for either spot sign (p = 0.68) or HE (p = 0.07). However, an hs-CRP level ≥3 mg/L (odds ratio: 16.64, 95% confidence interval: 2.11-131.45, p = 0.008) was identified as an independent predictor of an unfavorable outcome 1 year after acute ICH. Conclusions: Our analyses identified that an hs-CRP level ≥3 mg/L was a significant indicator for an unfavorable outcome 1 year after acute ICH.
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The Role of digital subtraction angiography in the ventricular spot sign on the computed tomography angiography. J Cerebrovasc Endovasc Neurosurg 2019; 21:24-32. [PMID: 31832384 PMCID: PMC6901812 DOI: 10.7461/jcen.2019.21.1.24] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2018] [Revised: 09/16/2018] [Accepted: 03/16/2019] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective The spot sign on computed tomography angiography is little known about the relationship between the spot sign and the results of cerebral angiography We retrospectively analyzed the spot sign, digital subtraction angiography results, and other factors. Material and Methods From December 2009 to May 2014, DSA was performed in 52 ICH patients with non-specific location or abnormalities on CTA findings. 26 of those patients, whose initial CTA showed the spot sign, were analyzed. Two groups, one with the spot sign in the ventricle (Group A) and others with the spot sign in another location (Group B) were statistically compared. Results The mean age of the study subjects was 46.9 years (range, 15 to 80 years) and the percentage of males was 53.8%. Thirteen of 26 patients had ICH without intraventricular hemorrhage, and 6 patients had co-existing IVH. In 17 cases, the DSA results were negative. Seven patients were diagnosed with pseudoaneurysms, and two cases showed developmental venous anomalies. Group A consisted of the 8 patients (30.8%) who showed the spot sign in a ventricle. The number of pseudoaneurysms was statistically significantly higher in Group A than in Group B (71.4% versus 28.6%; OR, 13.3; 95% CI, 1.7-103.8 P = 0.014). All three patients who underwent endovascular treatment were members of Group A (P = 0.022), whereas most (92.3%) of those in Group B underwent surgical evacuation. (P = 0.030). Conclusion When CTA shows the spot sign in a ventricle, it is a clue that an existing underlying vascular lesion requires endovascular treatment.
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Integration of Computed Tomographic Angiography Spot Sign and Noncontrast Computed Tomographic Hypodensities to Predict Hematoma Expansion. Stroke 2019; 49:2067-2073. [PMID: 30354976 DOI: 10.1161/strokeaha.118.022010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/29/2023]
Abstract
Background and Purpose- Noncontrast computed tomographic (CT) hypodensities represent an alternative to the CT angiography spot sign (SS) to predict intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) expansion. However, previous studies suggested that these markers predicted hematoma expansion independently from each other. We investigated whether the integration of SS and hypodensity (HD) improved the stratification of ICH expansion risk. Methods- A single-center cohort of consecutive patients with ICH was retrospectively analyzed. Patients with available CT angiography, baseline, and follow-up noncontrast CT images available were included. Trained readers reviewed all the images for SS and HD presence, and the study population was classified into 4 groups: SS and HD negative (SS-HD-), SS positive only (SS+HD-), HD positive only (SS-HD+), and SS and HD positive (SS+HD+). ICH expansion was defined as hematoma growth >33% or >6 mL. The association between SS and HD presence and ICH expansion was investigated with multivariable logistic regression. Results- A total of 745 subjects qualified for the analysis (median age, 73 years; 54.1% men). The rates of ICH expansion were 9.3% in SS-HD-, 25.8% in SS+HD-, 27.4% in SS-HD+, and 55.6% in SS+HD+ patients ( P<0.001). After adjustment for potential confounders and keeping SS-HD- subjects as reference, the risk of ICH expansion was increased in SS+HD- and SS-HD+ patients (odds ratio, 2.93, P=0.002 and odds ratio, 3.02, P<0.001, respectively). SS+HD+ subjects had the highest risk of hematoma growth (odds ratio, 9.50; P<0.001). Conclusions- Integration of SS and HD improves the stratification of hematoma growth risk and may help the selection of patients with ICH for antiexpansion treatment in clinical trials.
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Hematoma Expansion Predictors: Laboratory and Radiological Risk Factors in Patients with Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage: A Prospective Observational Study. J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis 2019; 28:2177-2186. [PMID: 31133486 DOI: 10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2019.04.038] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/22/2018] [Revised: 03/20/2019] [Accepted: 04/28/2019] [Indexed: 10/26/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is considered a devastating neurologic emergency and carried a higher morbidity and mortality rates. Early hematoma expansion (HE) is considered one of the poor prognostic factors after ICH. Consequently, determination of the possible risk factors for HE could be effective in early detection of high-risk patients and hence directing management course aiming to improving ICH outcome. METHODS One-hundred and thirty-six spontaneous ICH patients were included and prospectively evaluated for the presence of HE. Demographic, laboratory, and certain radiological factors were studied and compared between those with HE and those without, the in-hospital mortality rates were assessed as well. RESULTS HE was observed in 30% of the studied cohort, those who developed HE had more neurologic impairment (Glasgow coma scale, median 9; National Institute of Health Stroke Scale, median 34), and higher in-hospital mortality rate (53.6%) than those without HE. HE was related to the presence of higher red blood cell distribution width (RDW), reduced total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein-C (LDL-C), and Ca levels. Among the radiological factors, hematoma density (heterogeneous), and shape (irregular) are highly related to the occurrence of HE. The computed tomography angiography (CTA) spot sign among patients with ICH was associated with HE development. CONCLUSIONS Abnormal RDW; low cholesterol, LDL, and Ca level; heterogeneous density, irregular shape hemorrhage, and presence of CTA spot sign were associated with the development of HE in the setting of spontaneous ICH.
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Abstract
Hyperglycemia was proved to cause neuron death in both animal experiments and poor outcome of hemorrhage patients, but the predictive ability of admission blood glucose level for early hematoma growth in patients with intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) is still controversial. Spot sign is a well-established imaging predictor for early hematoma growth, implying active microvascular bleeding. Here, we aim to assess associations between admission serum glucose and early hematoma expansion in ICH patients, as well as spot sign.We retrospectively reviewed all the patients with ICH from January 2017 to March 2018 in West China Hospital, Sichuan University. Admission blood glucose, clinical variables, radiological characteristics, and laboratorial parameters were obtained from medical record. According to computed tomography (CT) and computed tomography angiography (CTA) scan results, hematoma expansion and spot sign were identified by 2 experienced neuroradiologists. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were employed to adjust the associations of hematoma expansion and spot sign with other clinical parameters.Around 42 patients exhibited early hematoma expansions and 26 exhibited spot signs over 138 enrolled patients. The average level of admission blood glucose was 7.55 mmol/L. Multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed that Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score on admission, hematoma volume, spot sign, and hyperglycemia were associated with hematoma expansion, whereas admission serum glucose and hematoma size were only associated with spot sign, respectively.Admission blood glucose level is correlated with hematoma growth and incidence of spot sign. These results indicated that hyperglycemia probably plays a critical role in the pathological process of the active bleeding. Further studies should be drawn urgently to understand the potential molecular mechanism of systemic hyperglycemia in affecting prognosis of patients with ICH.
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Abstract
BACKGROUND Spot sign on computed tomography angiography (CTA) has been reported as a risk factor for hematoma expansion (HE) and poor outcome after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We performed a meta-analysis to investigate the predictive accuracy of spot sign for HE, mortality risk, and poor outcome. METHODS We searched PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library for relevant studies. Studies were incorporated if they reported data on relationship between CTA spot sign and HE, mortality or poor outcome. RESULTS Twenty-nine studies were pooled in this meta-analysis. The spot sign occurred in 23.4% patients with spontaneous ICH undergoing CTA scans. It showed a sensitivity of 62% (95% confidence interval [CI] 54-69), with a specificity of 88% (95% CI 85-91). Spot sign was related with increased risk of HE (odds ratios [OR] 8.49, 95% CI 7.28-9.90). In the analysis of association between spot sign and outcome, patients with spot sign had a significant higher risk of in-hospital death (OR 5.08, 95% CI 3.16-8.18) and 3-month death (OR 3.80, 95% CI 2.62-5.52). The spot sign was also a predictor of poor outcome at discharge (OR 6.40, 95% CI 3.41-12.03) and at 3 months (OR 4.44, 95% CI 2.33-8.46). CONCLUSIONS The overall incidence of CTA spot sign in spontaneous ICH patients is substantial. Spot sign demonstrated a good diagnostic performance in predicting HE and was closely associated with increased risk of death and poor outcome.
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Spot sign as a predictor of rebleeding after endoscopic surgery for intracerebral hemorrhage. J Neurosurg 2018; 130:1485-1490. [PMID: 29799345 DOI: 10.3171/2017.12.jns172335] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/18/2017] [Accepted: 12/11/2017] [Indexed: 12/25/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE In patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH), postoperative recurrent hemorrhage (PRH) is one of the most severe complications after endoscopic evacuation of hematoma (EEH). However, no predictors of this complication have been identified. In the present study, the authors retrospectively investigated whether PRH can be preoperatively predicted by the presence of the spot sign on CT scans. METHODS In total, 143 patients with sICH were treated by EEH between June 2009 and March 2017, and 127 patients who underwent preoperative CT angiography were included in this study. Significant correlations of PRH with the patients' baseline, clinical, and radiographic characteristics, including the spot sign, were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression models. RESULTS The incidence of and risk factors for PRH were assessed in 127 patients with available data. PRH occurred in 9 (7.1%) patients. Five (21.7%) cases of PRH were observed among 23 patients with the spot sign, whereas only 4 (3.8%) cases of PRH occurred among 104 patients without the spot sign. The spot sign was the only independent predictor of PRH (OR 5.81, 95% CI 1.26-26.88; p = 0.02). The following factors were not independently associated with PRH: age, hypertension, poor consciousness, antihemostatic factors (thrombocytopenia, coagulopathy, and use of antithrombotic drugs), the location and size of the sICH, other radiographic findings (black hole sign and blend sign), surgical duration and procedures, and early surgery. CONCLUSIONS The spot sign is likely to be a strong predictor of PRH after EEH among patients with sICH. Complete and careful control of bleeding in the operative field should be ensured when surgically treating such patients. New surgical strategies and procedures might be needed to improve these patients' outcomes.
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Combining Spot Sign and Intracerebral Hemorrhage Score to Estimate Functional Outcome: Analysis From the PREDICT Cohort. Stroke 2018; 49:1511-1514. [PMID: 29720436 DOI: 10.1161/strokeaha.118.020679] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/20/2017] [Revised: 03/19/2018] [Accepted: 03/29/2018] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE The intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) score is the most commonly used grading scale for stratifying functional outcome in patients with acute ICH. We sought to determine whether a combination of the ICH score and the computed tomographic angiography spot sign may improve outcome prediction in the cohort of a prospective multicenter hemorrhage trial. METHODS Prospectively collected data from 241 patients from the observational PREDICT study (Prediction of Hematoma Growth and Outcome in Patients With Intracerebral Hemorrhage Using the CT-Angiography Spot Sign) were analyzed. Functional outcome at 3 months was dichotomized using the modified Rankin Scale (0-3 versus 4-6). Performance of (1) the ICH score and (2) the spot sign ICH score-a scoring scale combining ICH score and spot sign number-was tested. RESULTS Multivariable analysis demonstrated that ICH score (odds ratio, 3.2; 95% confidence interval, 2.2-4.8) and spot sign number (n=1: odds ratio, 2.7; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-7.4; n>1: odds ratio, 3.8; 95% confidence interval, 1.2-17.1) were independently predictive of functional outcome at 3 months with similar odds ratios. Prediction of functional outcome was not significantly different using the spot sign ICH score compared with the ICH score alone (spot sign ICH score area under curve versus ICH score area under curve: P=0.14). CONCLUSIONS In the PREDICT cohort, a prognostic score adding the computed tomographic angiography-based spot sign to the established ICH score did not improve functional outcome prediction compared with the ICH score.
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Added value of delayed computed tomography angiography in primary intracranial hemorrhage and hematoma size for predicting spot sign. Acta Radiol 2018. [PMID: 28651443 DOI: 10.1177/0284185117718401] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/09/2023]
Abstract
Background The computed tomography angiography (CTA) spot sign represents active contrast extravasation within acute primary intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and is an independent predictor of hematoma expansion (HE) and poor clinical outcomes. The spot sign could be detected on first-pass CTA (fpCTA) or delayed CTA (dCTA). Purpose To investigate the additional benefits of dCTA spot sign in primary ICH and hematoma size for predicting spot sign. Material and Methods This is a retrospective study of 100 patients who underwent non-contrast CT (NCCT) and CTA within 24 h of onset of primary ICH. The presence of spot sign on fpCTA or dCTA, and hematoma size on NCCT were recorded. The spot sign on fpCTA or dCTA for predicting significant HE, in-hospital mortality, and poor clinical outcomes (mRS ≥ 4) are calculated. The hematoma size for prediction of CTA spot sign was also analyzed. Results Only the spot sign on dCTA could predict high risk of significant HE and poor clinical outcomes as on fpCTA ( P < 0.05). With dCTA, there is increased sensitivity and negative predictive value (NPV) for predicting significant HE, in-hospital mortality, and poor clinical outcomes. The XY value (product of the two maximum perpendicular axial dimensions) is the best predictor (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.82) for predicting spot sign on fpCTA or dCTA in the absence of intraventricular and subarachnoid hemorrhage. Conclusion This study clarifies that dCTA imaging could improve predictive performance of CTA in primary ICH. Furthermore, the XY value is the best predictor for CTA spot sign.
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The "Blush" Sign on Computed Tomography Angiography is an Independent Predictor of Hematoma Progression in Primary Hypertensive Hemorrhage. J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis 2018; 27:1878-1884. [PMID: 29571760 DOI: 10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2018.02.018] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/09/2017] [Revised: 01/25/2018] [Accepted: 02/12/2018] [Indexed: 10/17/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE Hypertension is an important etiology of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) in neurosurgical practice. Contrast extravasation on computed tomography angiography, known as the "spot sign", has been described as an independent predictor of hematoma progression and clinical deterioration. However, its role in hypertensive ICH alone has not been determined and is the primary aim of this study. MATERIALS AND METHODS A retrospective review was carried out of patients with hypertensive ICH admitted to our institution between May 2014 and December 2016. Evaluation of the neuroimaging studies of these patients revealed two distinct morphologies, "spot" and "blush" sign. These distinct signs and covariates were tested for association with hematoma expansion and mortality using multivariate logistic regression. The accuracy of the "spot" and "blush" signs as predictors of hematoma expansion and mortality was determined using receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) analysis. RESULTS A total of 54 patients were identified as hypertensive ICH during the study period. "spot" sign was observed in 11 (20.4%) of the study population. Contrast extravasation (blush-sign) was seen in 7 (14.8%) patients. The "blush" was an independent predictor of hematoma expansion (odds ratio [OR] 6.052; confidence interval [CI] 1.036-15.945 [P = .012]) and mortality (OR 3.305; CI 1.240-25.414 [P = .032]). With ROC analysis, the "blush" sign was found to have a better predictive value for significant hematoma expansion (area under the curve [AUC]: .795) than the spot sign (AUC: .432). CONCLUSION The "blush" sign has better accuracy for predicting hematoma expansion in hypertensive ICH and could be used to risk stratify these patients for early therapeutic interventions.
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Location of intracerebral haemorrhage predicts haematoma expansion. Eur Stroke J 2017; 2:257-263. [PMID: 31008319 DOI: 10.1177/2396987317715836] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/11/2017] [Accepted: 05/26/2017] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction The role of intracerebral haemorrhage location in haematoma expansion remains unclear. Our objective was to assess the effect of lobar versus non-lobar haemorrhage on haematoma expansion and clinical outcome. Patients and methods We analysed data from the prospective PREDICT study where patients with intracerebral haemorrhage presenting to hospital under 6 h of symptom onset received baseline computed tomography (CT), CT angiogram, 24 h follow-up CT, and 90-day mRS. Intracerebral haemorrhage location was categorised as lobar versus non-lobar, and primary outcomes were significant haematoma expansion (>6 ml) and poor clinical outcome (mRS > 3). Multivariable regression was used to adjust for relevant covariates. The primary analysis population was divided by spot sign status and the effect of haemorrhage location was compared to haematoma expansion in exploratory post hoc analysis. Results Among 302 patients meeting the inclusion criteria, lobar haemorrhage was associated with increased haematoma expansion >6 ml (p = 0.003), poor clinical outcome (p = 0.011) and mortality (p = 0.017). When adjusted for covariates, lobar haemorrhage independently predicted significant haematoma expansion (aOR 2.2 (95% CI: 1.1-4.3), p = 0.021) and poor clinical outcome (aOR 2.6 (95% CI: 1.2-5.6), p = 0.019). Post hoc analysis showed that patients who were spot sign negative had a higher degree of haematoma expansion with baseline lobar haemorrhage (lobar 26% versus deep 11%; p = 0.01). No significant associations were observed in spot-positive patients (lobar 52% versus deep 47%; p = 0.69). Discussion and Conclusion Haematoma expansion is more likely to occur with lobar intracerebral haemorrhage and haemorrhage location is associated with poor clinical outcome. As expansion is a promising therapeutic target, hemorrhage location may be helpful for prognostication and as a selection tool in future ICH clinical trials.
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Tranexamic acid for acute intracerebral hemorrhage growth predicted by spot sign trial: Rationale and design. Int J Stroke 2017; 12:326-331. [PMID: 28381202 DOI: 10.1177/1747493017694394] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Rationale Acute intracerebral hemorrhage inflicts a high-economic and -health burden. Computed tomography angiography spot sign is a predictor of hematoma expansion, is associated with poor clinical outcome and is an important stratifying variable for patients treated with haemostatic therapy. Aims We aim to compare the effect of treatment with tranexamic acid to placebo for the prevention of hemorrhage growth in patients with high-risk acute intracerebral hemorrhage with a positive spot sign. Design The tranexamic acid for acute intracerebral hemorrhage growth predicted by spot sign (TRAIGE) is a prospective, multicenter, placebo-controlled, double-blind, investigator-led, randomized clinical trial that will include an estimated 240 participants. Patients with intracerebral hemorrhage demonstrating symptom onset within 8 h and with the spot sign as a biomarker for ongoing hemorrhage, and no contraindications for antifibrinolytic therapy, will be enrolled to receive either tranexamic acid or placebo. The primary outcome measure is the presence of hemorrhage growth defined as an increase in intracerebral hemorrhage volume >33% or >6 ml from baseline to 24 ± 2 h. The secondary outcomes include safety and clinical outcomes. Conclusion The TRAIGE trial evaluates the efficacy of haemostatic therapy with tranexamic acid in the prevention of hemorrhage growth among high-risk patients with acute intracerebral hemorrhage.
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Treatment of intracerebral haemorrhage with tranexamic acid - A review of current evidence and ongoing trials. Eur Stroke J 2016; 2:13-22. [PMID: 31008298 DOI: 10.1177/2396987316676610] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/21/2016] [Accepted: 09/29/2016] [Indexed: 12/26/2022] Open
Abstract
Purpose Haematoma expansion is a devastating complication of intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) with no established treatment. Tranexamic acid had been an effective haemostatic agent in reducing post-operative and traumatic bleeding. We review current evidence examining the efficacy of tranexamic acid in improving clinical outcome after ICH. Method We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL and clinical trial registers for studies using search strategies incorporating the terms 'intracerebral haemorrhage', 'tranexamic acid' and 'antifibrinolytic'. Authors of ongoing clinical trials were contacted for further details. Findings We screened 268 publications and retrieved 17 articles after screening. Unpublished information from three ongoing clinical trials was obtained. We found five completed studies. Of these, two randomised controlled trials (RCTs) comparing intravenous tranexamic acid to placebo (n = 54) reported no significant difference in death or dependency. Three observational studies (n = 281) suggested less haematoma growth with rapid tranexamic acid infusion. There are six ongoing RCTs (n = 3089) with different clinical exclusions, imaging selection criteria (spot sign and haematoma volume), time window for recruitment and dosing of tranexamic acid. Discussion Despite their heterogeneity, the ongoing trials will provide key evidence on the effects of tranexamic acid on ICH. There are uncertainties of whether patients with negative spot sign, large haematoma, intraventricular haemorrhage, or poor Glasgow Coma Scale should be recruited. The time window for optimal effect of haemostatic therapy in ICH is yet to be established. Conclusion Tranexamic acid is a promising haemostatic agent for ICH. We await the results of the trials before definite conclusions can be drawn.
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Leakage Sign for Primary Intracerebral Hemorrhage: A Novel Predictor of Hematoma Growth. Stroke 2016; 47:958-63. [PMID: 26931155 PMCID: PMC4819490 DOI: 10.1161/strokeaha.115.011578] [Citation(s) in RCA: 64] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/22/2015] [Accepted: 01/28/2016] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text. Background and Purpose— Recent studies of intracerebral hemorrhage treatments have highlighted the need to identify reliable predictors of hematoma expansion. Several studies have suggested that the spot sign on computed tomographic angiography (CTA) is a sensitive radiological predictor of hematoma expansion in the acute phase. However, the spot sign has low sensitivity for hematoma expansion. In this study, we evaluated the usefulness of a novel predictive method, called the leakage sign. Methods— We performed CTA for 80 consecutive patients presenting with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage. Two scans were completed: CTA phase and delayed phase (5 minutes after the CTA phase). By comparing the CTA phase images, we set a region of interest with a 10-mm diameter and calculated the Hounsfield units. We defined a positive leakage sign as a >10% increase in Hounsfield units in the region of interest. Additionally, hematoma expansion was determined on plain computed tomography at 24 hours in patients who did not undergo emergent surgery. Results— Positive spot signs and leakage signs were present in 18 (22%) patients and 35 (43%) patients, respectively. The leakage sign had higher sensitivity (93.3%) and specificity (88.9%) for hematoma expansion than the spot sign. The leakage sign, but not the spot sign, was significantly related with poor outcomes (severely disabled, vegetative state, and death) in all of the patients (P=0.03) and in patients with a hemorrhage in the putamen (P=0.0016). Conclusions— The results indicate that the leakage sign is a useful and sensitive method to predict hematoma expansion.
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Predicting Intracerebral Hemorrhage Growth With the Spot Sign: The Effect of Onset-to-Scan Time. Stroke 2016; 47:695-700. [PMID: 26846857 DOI: 10.1161/strokeaha.115.012012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 74] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/29/2015] [Accepted: 01/06/2016] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE Hematoma expansion after acute intracerebral hemorrhage is common and is associated with early deterioration and poor clinical outcome. The computed tomographic angiography (CTA) spot sign is a promising predictor of expansion; however, frequency and predictive values are variable across studies, possibly because of differences in onset-to-CTA time. We performed a patient-level meta-analysis to define the relationship between onset-to-CTA time and frequency and predictive ability of the spot sign. METHODS We completed a systematic review for studies of CTA spot sign and hematoma expansion. We subsequently pooled patient-level data on the frequency and predictive values for significant hematoma expansion according to 5 predefined categorized onset-to-CTA times. We calculated spot-sign frequency both as raw and frequency-adjusted rates. RESULTS Among 2051 studies identified, 12 met our inclusion criteria. Baseline hematoma volume, spot-sign status, and time-to-CTA were available for 1176 patients, and 1039 patients had follow-up computed tomographies for hematoma expansion analysis. The overall spot sign frequency was 26%, decreasing from 39% within 2 hours of onset to 13% beyond 8 hours (P<0.001). There was a significant decrease in hematoma expansion in spot-positive patients as onset-to-CTA time increased (P=0.004), with positive predictive values decreasing from 53% to 33%. CONCLUSIONS The frequency of the CTA spot sign is inversely related to intracerebral hemorrhage onset-to-CTA time. Furthermore, the positive predictive value of the spot sign for significant hematoma expansion decreases as time-to-CTA increases. Our results offer more precise risk stratification for patients with acute intracerebral hemorrhage and will help refine clinical prediction rules for intracerebral hemorrhage expansion.
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Spot Sign in Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage in Dynamic T1-Weighted Magnetic Resonance Imaging. Stroke 2015; 47:417-23. [PMID: 26715459 DOI: 10.1161/strokeaha.115.011570] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/19/2015] [Accepted: 11/18/2015] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE In computed tomographic imaging of acute intracerebral hemorrhage spot sign on computed tomographic angiography has been established as a marker for hematoma expansion and poor clinical outcome. Although, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) can accurately visualize acute intracerebral hemorrhage, a corresponding MRI marker is lacking to date. METHODS We prospectively examined 50 consecutive patients with acute intracerebral hemorrhage within 24 hours of symptom onset. The MRI protocol consisted of a standard stroke protocol and dynamic contrast-enhanced T1-weighted imaging with a time resolution of 7.07 s/batch. Stroke scores were assessed at admission and at time of discharge. Volume measurements of hematoma size and spot sign were performed with MRIcron. RESULTS Contrast extravasation within sites of the hemorrhage (MRI spot sign) was seen in 46% of the patients. Patients with an MRI spot sign had a significantly shorter time to imaging than those without (P<0.001). The clinical outcome measured by the modified Rankin Scale was significantly worse in patients with spot sign compared with those without (P≤0.001). Hematoma expansion was observed in the spot sign group compared with the nonspot sign group, although the differences were not significant. CONCLUSIONS Spot sign can be detected using MRI on postcontrast T1-weighted and dynamic T1-weighted images. It is associated with worse clinical outcome. The time course of contrast extravasation in dynamic T1 images indicates that these spots represent ongoing bleeding.
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Perihematomal Edema Is Greater in the Presence of a Spot Sign but Does Not Predict Intracerebral Hematoma Expansion. Stroke 2015; 47:350-5. [PMID: 26696644 DOI: 10.1161/strokeaha.115.011295] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/23/2015] [Accepted: 11/10/2015] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE Perihematomal edema volume may be related to intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) volume at baseline and, consequently, with hematoma expansion. However, the relationship between perihematomal edema and hematoma expansion has not been well established. We aimed to investigate the relationship among baseline perihematomal edema, the computed tomographic angiography spot sign, hematoma expansion, and clinical outcome in patients with acute ICH. METHODS Predicting Hematoma Growth and Outcome in Intracerebral Hemorrhage Using Contrast Bolus CT (PREDICT) was a prospective observational cohort study of ICH patients presenting within 6 hours from onset. Patients underwent computed tomography and computed tomographic angiography scans at baseline and 24-hour computed tomography scan. A post hoc analysis of absolute perihematomal edema and relative perihematomal edema (absolute perihematomal edema divided by ICH) volumes was performed on baseline computed tomography scans (n=353). Primary outcome was significant hematoma expansion (>6 mL or >33%). Secondary outcomes were early neurological deterioration, 90-day mortality, and poor outcome. RESULTS Absolute perihematomal edema volume was higher in spot sign patients (24.5 [11.5-41.8] versus 12.6 [6.9-22] mL; P<0.001), but it was strongly correlated with ICH volume (ρ=0.905; P<0.001). Patients who experienced significant hematoma expansion had higher absolute perihematomal edema volume (18.4 [10-34.6] versus 11.8 [6.5-22] mL; P<0.001) but similar relative perihematomal edema volume (1.09 [0.89-1.37] versus 1.12 [0.88-1.54]; P=0.400). Absolute perihematomal edema volume and poorer outcomes were higher by tertiles of ICH volume, and perihematomal edema volume did not independently predict significant hematoma expansion. CONCLUSIONS Perihematomal edema volume is greater at baseline in the presence of a spot sign. However, it is strongly correlated with ICH volume and does not independently predict hematoma expansion.
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Contusion Contrast Extravasation Depicted on Multidetector Computed Tomography Angiography Predicts Growth and Mortality in Traumatic Brain Contusion. J Neurotrauma 2015. [PMID: 26214242 DOI: 10.1089/neu.2015.4062] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is the main cause of death in trauma victims and causes high rates of disability and neurological sequelae. Approximately 38-65% of traumatic brain contusions (TBC) demonstrate hemorrhagic expansion on serial computed tomography (CT) scans. Thus far, however, no single variable can accurately predict the hemorrhage expansion of a TBC. Our purpose was to evaluate contrast extravasation (CE) as a predictor of expansion, mortality, and poor outcome in TBC in a Brazilian cohort. After Institutional Review Board approval, we used multidetector CT angiography (MDCTA) to study 121 consecutive patients (106 men, 87.6%) with ages varying from 10 to 85 years. Informed consent was obtained from all subjects. The clinical and imaging findings were correlated with the findings on the initial MDCTA using either the Fisher exact test or Student t test and a multivariate logistic regression model. Of the persons who presented CE in TBC, 21.8% died (in-hospital mortality), whereas in the absence of this sign, the mortality rate was 7.6% (p = 0.014). In addition, expansion of the hemorrhagic component of the TBC was detected in 61.1% of the CE-positive patients, whereas expansion was only observed in 10% of the CE-negative patients (p < 0.001). Poor outcome was observed in 24.2% of the patients in the CE-negative group, but in the presence of CE, 72.7% evolved with poor outcome (p < 0.001). The CE was a strong independent predictor of expansion, poor outcome, and increased risk of in-hospital mortality in our series of patients with TBC.
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Retrobulbar Spot Sign Predicts Thrombolytic Treatment Effects and Etiology in Central Retinal Artery Occlusion. Stroke 2015; 46:2322-4. [PMID: 26111890 DOI: 10.1161/strokeaha.115.009839] [Citation(s) in RCA: 45] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/22/2015] [Accepted: 06/01/2015] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE Transorbital sonography may help establish diagnosis of central retinal artery occlusion (CRAO). Next to Doppler sonographic proof of CRAO, an intra-arterial spot sign can be detected in some cases. We hypothesized that it reflects calcified components. It may be associated with embolization from atherosclerotic plaques and may negatively influence thrombolysis. METHODS Prospective monocenter study of 46 patients with ophthalmologically confirmed CRAO. Systemic tissue-type plasminogen activator thrombolysis was performed when appropriate. All patients received etiologic workup. RESULTS CRAO was confirmed by Doppler in all patients. Fifty-nine percent of patients with arterio-arterial embolization were spot sign-positive compared with 20% from cardiac source (P<0.05) and none with vasculitis. Eleven patients underwent thrombolysis. Clinically relevant visual improvement was only found in absence of a spot sign (P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS Transbulbar ultrasound is valuable for initial diagnosis and diagnostic workup of CRAO. In the light of inconsistent results of previous thrombolysis trials, ultrasound may identify patients more likely to benefit from thrombolytic treatment.
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Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE Patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) who present with a spot sign on computed tomography angiography are at increased risk of hematoma expansion and poor outcome. Because primary ICH is the acute manifestation of chronic cerebral small vessel disease, we investigated whether different clinical or imaging characteristics predict spot sign presence, using ICH location as a surrogate for arteriolosclerosis- and cerebral amyloid angiopathy-related ICH. METHODS Patients with primary ICH and available computed tomography angiography at presentation were included. Predictors of spot sign were assessed using uni- and multivariable regression, stratified by ICH location. RESULTS Seven hundred forty-one patients were eligible, 335 (45%) deep and 406 (55%) lobar ICH. At least one spot sign was present in 76 (23%) deep and 102 (25%) lobar ICH patients. In multivariable regression, warfarin (odds ratio [OR], 2.42; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-5.71; P=0.04), baseline ICH volume (OR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.09-1.33, per 10 mL increase; P<0.001), and time from symptom onset to computed tomography angiography (OR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.80-0.96, per hour; P=0.009) were associated with the spot sign in deep ICH. Predictors of spot sign in lobar ICH were warfarin (OR, 3.95; 95% CI, 1.87-8.51; P<0.001) and baseline ICH volume (OR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.10-1.31, per 10 mL increase; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS The most potent associations with spot sign are shared between deep and lobar ICH, suggesting that the acute bleeding process that arises in the setting of different chronic small vessel diseases shares commonalities.
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Prospective validation of the computed tomographic angiography spot sign score for intracerebral hemorrhage. Stroke 2013; 44:3097-102. [PMID: 24021687 DOI: 10.1161/strokeaha.113.002752] [Citation(s) in RCA: 52] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/15/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) results in high mortality and morbidity for patients. Previous retrospective studies correlated the spot sign score (SSSc) with ICH expansion, mortality, and clinical outcome among ICH survivors. We performed a prospective study to validate the SSSc for the prediction of ICH expansion, mortality, and clinical outcome among survivors. METHODS We prospectively included consecutive patients with primary ICH presenting to a single institution for a 1.5-year period. All patients underwent baseline noncontrast computed tomography (CT) and multidetector CT angiography performed within 24 hours of admission and a follow-up noncontrast CT within 48 hours after the initial CT. The ICH volume was calculated on the noncontrast CT images using semiautomated software. The SSSc was calculated on the multidetector CT angiographic source images. We assessed in-hospital mortality and modified Rankin Scale at discharge and at 3 months among survivors. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to determine independent predictors of hematoma expansion, in-hospital mortality, and poor clinical outcome. RESULTS A total of 131 patients met the inclusion criteria. Of the 131 patients, a spot sign was detected in 31 patients (24%). In a multivariate analysis, the SSSc predicted significant hematoma expansion (odds ratio, 3.1; 95% confidence interval, 1.77-5.39; P≤0.0001), in-hospital mortality (odds ratio, 4.1; 95% confidence interval, 2.11-7.94; P≤0.0001), and poor clinical outcome (odds ratio, 3; 95% confidence interval, 1.4-4.42; P=0.004). In addition, the SSSc was an accurate grading scale for ICH expansion, modified Rankin Scale at discharge, and in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS The SSSc demonstrated a strong stepwise correlation with hematoma expansion and clinical outcome in patients with primary ICH.
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The spot sign and tranexamic acid on preventing ICH growth--AUStralasia Trial (STOP-AUST): protocol of a phase II randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind, multicenter trial. Int J Stroke 2013; 9:519-24. [PMID: 23981692 DOI: 10.1111/ijs.12132] [Citation(s) in RCA: 56] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/07/2013] [Accepted: 04/16/2013] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
RATIONALE No evidence-based acute therapies exist for intracerebral hemorrhage. Intracerebral hemorrhage growth is an important determinant of patient outcome. Tranexamic acid is known to reduce hemorrhage in other conditions. AIM The study aims to test the hypothesis that intracerebral hemorrhage patients selected with computed tomography angiography contrast extravasation 'spot sign' will have lower rates of hematoma growth when treated with intravenous tranexamic acid within 4.5-hours of stroke onset compared with placebo. DESIGN The Spot sign and Tranexamic acid On Preventing ICH growth--AUStralasia Trial is a multicenter, prospective, 1:1 randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, investigator-initiated, academic Phase II trial. Intracerebral hemorrhage patients fulfilling clinical criteria (e.g. Glasgow Coma Scale >7, intracerebral hemorrhage volume <70 ml, no identified secondary cause of intracerebral hemorrhage, no thrombotic events within the previous 12 months, no planned surgery) and demonstrating contrast extravasation on computed tomography angiography will receive either intravenous tranexamic acid 1 g 10-min bolus followed by 1 g eight-hour infusion or placebo. A second computed tomography will be performed at 24 ± 3 hours to evaluate intracerebral hemorrhage growth and patients followed up for three-months. STUDY OUTCOMES The primary outcome measure is presence of intracerebral hemorrhage growth by 24 ± 3 hours, defined as either >33% or >6 ml increase from baseline, and will be adjusted for baseline intracerebral hemorrhage volume. Secondary outcome measures include growth as a continuous measure, thromboembolic events, and the three-month modified Rankin Scale score. DISCUSSION This is the first trial to evaluate the efficacy of tranexamic acid in intracerebral hemorrhage patients selected based on an imaging biomarker of high likelihood of hematoma growth. The trial is registered as NCT01702636.
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Impact of blood pressure changes and course on hematoma growth in acute intracerebral hemorrhage. Eur J Neurol 2013; 20:1277-83. [PMID: 23647568 DOI: 10.1111/ene.12180] [Citation(s) in RCA: 113] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/01/2013] [Accepted: 03/25/2013] [Indexed: 01/30/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE An association between high blood pressure (BP) in acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and hematoma growth (HG) has not been clearly demonstrated. Therefore, the impact of BP changes and course on HG and clinical outcome in patients with acute ICH was determined. METHODS In total, 117 consecutive patients with acute (<6 h) supratentorial ICH underwent baseline and 24-h CT scans, CT angiography for the detection of the spot sign and non-invasive BP monitoring at 15-min intervals over the first 24 h. Maximum and minimum BP, maximum BP increase and drop from baseline, and BP variability values from systolic BP (SBP), diastolic BP and mean arterial pressure (MAP) were calculated. SBP and MAP loads were defined as the proportion of readings >180 and >130 mmHg, respectively. HG (>33% or >6 ml), early neurological deterioration (END) and 3-month mortality were recorded. RESULTS Baseline BP variables were unrelated to either HG or clinical outcome. Conversely, SBP 180-load independently predicted HG (odds ratio 1.05, 95% CI 1.010-1.097, P = 0.016), whilst both SBP 180-load (odds ratio 1.04, 95% CI 1.001-1.076, P = 0.042) and SBP variability (odds ratio 1.2, 95% CI 1.047-1.380, P = 0.009) independently predicted END. Although none of the BP monitoring variables was associated with HG in the spot-sign-positive group, higher maximum BP increases from baseline and higher SBP and MAP loads were significantly related to HG in the spot-sign-negative group. CONCLUSIONS In patients with acute supratentorial ICH, SBP 180-load independently predicts HG, whilst both SBP 180-load and SBP variability predict END.
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