Development of a risk prediction model for bloodstream infection in patients with fever of unknown origin

BACKGROUND

Bloodstream infection (BSI) is a significant cause of mortality among patients with fever of unknown origin (FUO). Inappropriate empiric antimicrobial therapy increases difficulty in BSI diagnosis and treatment. Knowing the risk of BSI at early stage may help improve clinical outcomes and reduce antibiotic overuse.

METHODS

We constructed a multivariate prediction model based on clinical features and serum inflammatory markers using a cohort of FUO patients over a 5-year period by Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) and logistic regression.

RESULTS

Among 712 FUO patients, BSI was confirmed in 55 patients. Five independent predictors available within 24 h after admission for BSI were identified: presence of diabetes mellitus, chills, C-reactive protein level of 50-100 mg/L, procalcitonin > 0.3 ng/mL, neutrophil percentage > 75%. A predictive score incorporating these 5 variables has adequate concordance with an area under the curve of 0.85. The model showed low positive predictive value (22.6%), but excellent negative predictive value (97.4%) for predicting the risk of BSI. The risk of BSI reduced to 2.0% in FUO patients if score < 1.5.

CONCLUSIONS

A simple tool based on 5 variables is useful for timely ruling out the individuals at low risk of BSI in FUO population.

Emergence of carbapenem resistance in Bacteroides fragilis in China

The antimicrobial resistance crisis makes it critically important for laboratories to closely monitor trends and mechanisms of emerging antimicrobial resistance in clinical isolates. Bacteroides fragilis is an anaerobic pathogen that causes several serious infections and is increasingly resistant to antimicrobial agents. However, data from China regarding antimicrobial resistance in B. fragilis are limited. In this work, the mechanism underlying carbapenem resistance in 44 B. fragilis isolates collected from a Chinese hospital was investigated. Antimicrobial susceptibility testing for 13 antimicrobial agents was performed by the agar dilution method, and the contribution of efflux pumps to carbapenem resistance was analysed. Genetic relatedness of the isolates was determined by PFGE. Outer membrane porins were analysed in isolates with reduced carbapenem susceptibility. Potential carbapenemase-encoding genes were identified, and the location and environment of the cfiA gene was analysed. Among the 44 isolates, 18.2%, 29.5%, 22.7%, 100%, 100%, 29.5%, 15.9%, 81.8%, 88.6% and 47.7% were resistant to imipenem, meropenem, ertapenem, penicillin, ampicillin, amoxicillin/clavulanic acid, piperacillin/tazobactam, clindamycin, tetracycline and moxifloxacin, respectively. None of the isolates were resistant to metronidazole, cefoxitin or chloramphenicol. A chromosomally located gene (cfiA) encoding a metallo-β-lactamase was identified in 16 isolates (36.4%). A conserved insertion sequence of IS1187 or IS613 was upstream of cfiA in eight isolates with high-level carbapenem resistance. The insertion sequences were associated with increased carbapenem resistance in B. fragilis by upregulating the expression of cfiA as shown by RT-qPCR. This is the first study to describe a mechanism of carbapenem resistance in B. fragilis in mainland China.

Mice with Inflammatory Bowel Disease are Susceptible to Clostridium difficile Infection With Severe Disease Outcomes

Background

Over the past several decades, there has been a significant increase in the incidence of Clostridium difficile infection (CDI) in patients suffering from inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). However, a wild-type animal model is not available to study these comorbid diseases.

Methods

We evaluated the susceptibility to CDI of mice with dextran sulfate sodium salt (DSS)-induced colitis (IBD mice) with or without antibiotic exposure; we examined the histopathology and cytokine response in the concomitant diseases after the model was created.

Results

No CDI occurs in healthy control mice, wherease the incidence of CDI in IBD mice is 40%; however, in IBD mice that received antibiotics, the incidence of CDI is 100% and the disease is accompanied by high levels of toxins in the mouse feces and sera. Compared to IBD and CDI alone, those IBD mice infected with C. difficile have more severe symptoms, toxemia, histopathological damage, and higher mortality. Moreover, several proinflammatory cytokines and chemokines are significantly elevated in the colon tissues from IBD mice infected with C. difficile.

Conclusions

We, for the first time, demonstrate in an animal model that mice with dextran sulfate sodium induced-inflammatory bowel disease are significantly more susceptible to C. difficile infection, and that the bacterial infection led to more severe disease and death. These findings are consistent with clinical observations, thus, the animal model will permit us to study the pathogenesis of these concurrent diseases and to develop therapeutic strategies against the comorbidity of IBD and CDI.

Community-acquired pneumonia in Shanghai, China: microbial etiology and implications for empirical therapy in a prospective study of 389 patients

The aim of this multicenter study was to identify the causative pathogens of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in Shanghai, China, and to determine their susceptibility to antimicrobial agents. Pathogens obtained from 389 patients with documented CAP during 2001-2003 were identified by multiple diagnostic tools that included bacterial culture, polymerase chain reaction (PCR), and specific immunological assays. Susceptibility of the bacterial isolates was tested by the broth microdilution method. A specific pathogen was identified in 39.8% (155/389) of the patients: Haemophilus influenzae (n=80), Klebsiella spp. (n=15), Streptococcus pneumoniae (n=12), Staphylococcus aureus (n=6), Moraxella catarrhalis (n=1), other gram-negative organisms (n=9), and atypical pathogens that comprised Mycoplasma pneumoniae (n=42), Chlamydia pneumoniae (n=17), and Legionella pneumophila (n=2). Most H. influenzae isolates were susceptible to ampicillin (88.3%), and all were susceptible to macrolides. Of the S. pneumoniae isolates, 75% (9/12) were susceptible to penicillin, while 25% (3/12) were intermediately susceptible. H. influenzae and atypical pathogens are among the most important pathogens of CAP. Ampicillin, cephalosporins, and the newer fluoroquinolones can be used as empirical therapy for CAP in the Shanghai area. The efficacy of monotherapy with newer macrolides for CAP caused by S. pneumoniae requires further evaluation.