Intracranial Aneurysm Classifier Using Phenotypic Factors: An International Pooled Analysis

Intracranial aneurysms (IAs) are usually asymptomatic with a low risk of rupture, but consequences of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) are severe. Identifying IAs at risk of rupture has important clinical and socio-economic consequences. The goal of this study was to assess the effect of patient and IA characteristics on the likelihood of IA being diagnosed incidentally versus ruptured. Patients were recruited at 21 international centers. Seven phenotypic patient characteristics and three IA characteristics were recorded. The analyzed cohort included 7992 patients. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that: (1) IA location is the strongest factor associated with IA rupture status at diagnosis; (2) Risk factor awareness (hypertension, smoking) increases the likelihood of being diagnosed with unruptured IA; (3) Patients with ruptured IAs in high-risk locations tend to be older, and their IAs are smaller; (4) Smokers with ruptured IAs tend to be younger, and their IAs are larger; (5) Female patients with ruptured IAs tend to be older, and their IAs are smaller; (6) IA size and age at rupture correlate. The assessment of associations regarding patient and IA characteristics with IA rupture allows us to refine IA disease models and provide data to develop risk instruments for clinicians to support personalized decision-making.

Risk Factors Associated With Mortality and Neurologic Disability After Intracerebral Hemorrhage in a Racially and Ethnically Diverse Cohort

Introduction

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is the most severe subtype of stroke. Its mortality rate is high, and most survivors experience significant disability.

Objective

To assess primary patient risk factors associated with mortality and neurologic disability 3 months after ICH in a large, racially and ethnically balanced cohort.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study included participants from the Ethnic/Racial Variations of Intracerebral Hemorrhage (ERICH) study, which prospectively recruited 1000 non-Hispanic White, 1000 non-Hispanic Black, and 1000 Hispanic patients with spontaneous ICH to study the epidemiological characteristics and genomics associated with ICH. Participants included those with uniform data collection and phenotype definitions, centralized neuroimaging review, and telephone follow-up at 3 months. Analyses were completed in November 2021.

Exposures

Patient demographic and clinical characteristics as well as hospital event and imaging variables were examined, with characteristics meeting P < .20 considered candidates for a multivariate model. Elements included in the ICH score were specifically analyzed.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Individual characteristics were screened for association with 3-month outcome of neurologic disability or mortality, as assessed by a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 4 or greater vs 3 or less under a logistic regression model. A total of 25 characteristics were tested in the final model, which minimized the Akaike information criterion. Analyses were repeated removing individuals who had withdrawal of care.

Results

A total of 2568 patients (mean [SD] age, 62.4 [14.7] years; 1069 [41.6%] women and 1499 [58.4%] men) had a 3-month outcome determination available, including death. The final logistic model had a significantly higher area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (C = 0.88) compared with ICH score alone (C = 0.76; P < .001). Among characteristics associated with neurologic disability and mortality were larger log ICH volume (OR, 2.74; 95% CI, 2.36-3.19; P < .001), older age (OR per 1-year increase, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.02-1.05; P < .001), pre-ICH mRS score (OR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.41-1.87; P < .001), lobar location (OR, 0.22; 95% CI, 0.16-0.30; P < .001), and presence of infection (OR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.42-2.41; P < .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

The findings of this cohort study validate ICH score elements and suggest additional baseline and interim patient characteristics were associated with variation in 3-month outcome.

Effect of Primary Prophylactic Antiseizure Medication for Seizure Prevention Following Intracerebral Hemorrhage in the ERICH Study

OBJECTIVES

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) has the highest morbidity and mortality rate of any stroke subtype and clinicians often administer prophylactic antiseizure medications (ASMs) as a means of preventing post-stroke seizures, particularly following lobar ICH. However, evidence for ASM efficacy in preventing seizures and reducing disability is lacking given limited randomized trials. Herein, we report analysis from a large prospective observational study that evaluates the effect of primary prophylactic ASM administration on seizure occurrence and disability following ICH.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Primary analysis was performed on 1630 patients with ICH enrolled in the ERICH study. A propensity score for administration of prophylactic ASM was developed and patients were matched by the closest propensity score (difference < 0.1). McNemar's test was used to compare occurrence of in-hospital seizure and disability, defined by modified Rankin Score (mRS) ≥ 3 at 3 months post ICH.

RESULTS

Of the 815 matched pairs of patients treated with primary prophylactic ASM, there was no significant difference in seizure occurrence (p = 0.4631) or disability (p = 0.4653). Subset analysis of 280 matched pairs of patients with primary lobar ICH similarly revealed no significant difference in seizure occurrence (p = 0.1011) or disability (p = 1.00) between prophylactically treated and untreated patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Although current guidelines do not recommend primary prophylactic ASM following ICH, clinical use remains widespread. Data from the ERICH study did not find an association between administering primary prophylactic ASM and preventing seizures or reducing disability following ICH, thus providing evidence to influence clinical practice and patient care.

Ethnic and Racial Variation in Intracerebral Hemorrhage Risk Factors and Risk Factor Burden

Importance

Black and Hispanic individuals have an increased risk of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) compared with their White counterparts, but no large studies of ICH have been conducted in these disproportionately affected populations.

Objective

To examine the prevalence, odds, and population attributable risk (PAR) percentage for established and novel risk factors for ICH, stratified by ICH location and racial/ethnic group.

Design, Setting, and Participants

The Ethnic/Racial Variations of Intracerebral Hemorrhage Study was a case-control study of ICH among 3000 Black, Hispanic, and White individuals who experienced spontaneous ICH (1000 cases in each group). Recruitment was conducted between September 2009 and July 2016 at 19 US sites comprising 42 hospitals. Control participants were identified through random digit dialing and were matched to case participants by age (±5 years), sex, race/ethnicity, and geographic area. Data analyses were conducted from January 2019 to May 2020.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Case and control participants underwent a standardized interview, physical measurement for body mass index, and genotyping for the ɛ2 and ɛ4 alleles of APOE, the gene encoding apolipoprotein E. Prevalence, multivariable adjusted odds ratio (OR), and PAR percentage were calculated for each risk factor in the entire ICH population and stratified by racial/ethnic group and by lobar or nonlobar location.

Results

There were 1000 Black patients (median [interquartile range (IQR)] age, 57 [50-65] years, 425 [42.5%] women), 1000 Hispanic patients (median [IQR] age, 58 [49-69] years; 373 [37.3%] women), and 1000 White patients (median [IQR] age, 71 [59-80] years; 437 [43.7%] women). The mean (SD) age of patients with ICH was significantly lower among Black and Hispanic patients compared with White patients (eg, lobar ICH: Black, 62.2 [15.2] years; Hispanic, 62.5 [15.7] years; White, 71.0 [13.3] years). More than half of all ICH in Black and Hispanic patients was associated with treated or untreated hypertension (PAR for treated hypertension, Black patients: 53.6%; 95% CI, 46.4%-59.8%; Hispanic patients: 46.5%; 95% CI, 40.6%-51.8%; untreated hypertension, Black patients: 45.5%; 95% CI, 39.%-51.1%; Hispanic patients: 42.7%; 95% CI, 37.6%-47.3%). Lack of health insurance also had a disproportionate association with the PAR percentage for ICH in Black and Hispanic patients (Black patients: 21.7%; 95% CI, 17.5%-25.7%; Hispanic patients: 30.2%; 95% CI, 26.1%-34.1%; White patients: 5.8%; 95% CI, 3.3%-8.2%). A high sleep apnea risk score was associated with both lobar (OR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.36-2.06) and nonlobar (OR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.37-1.91) ICH, and high cholesterol was inversely associated only with nonlobar ICH (OR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.52-0.70); both had no interactions with race and ethnicity. In contrast to the association between the ɛ2 and ɛ4 alleles of APOE and ICH in White individuals (eg, presence of APOE ɛ2 allele: OR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.34-2.52), APOE alleles were not associated with lobar ICH among Black or Hispanic individuals.

Conclusions and Relevance

This study found sleep apnea as a novel risk factor for ICH. The results suggest a strong contribution from inadequately treated hypertension and lack of health insurance to the disproportionate burden and earlier onset of ICH in Black and Hispanic populations. These findings emphasize the importance of addressing modifiable risk factors and the social determinants of health to reduce health disparities.

What is the median volume of intracerebral hemorrhage and is it changing?

OBJECTIVES

Population-level estimates of the median intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) volume would allow for the evaluation of clinical trial external validity and determination of temporal trends. We previously reported the median ICH volume in 1988. However, differences in risk factor management, neuroimaging, and demographics may have affected ICH volumes. The goal of this study is to determine the median volume of ICH within a population-based cross-sectional study, including whether it has changed over time.

METHODS

The Genetic and Environmental Risk Factors for Hemorrhagic Stroke study was a population-based study of ICH among residents of the Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky region from 2008 through 2012. This study utilizes those data and compares with ICH cases from the same region in 1988. Initial computed tomography images of the head were reviewed, and ICH volumes were calculated using consistent methodology.

RESULTS

From 2008 through 2012, we identified 1117 cases of ICH. The median volume of ICH was 14.0 mL and was lower in black (11.6) than in white (15.5) patients. Median volumes of lobar and deep ICH were 28.8 mL and 9.8 mL, respectively. Median ICH volume changed significantly from 1988 to 2008-2012, with age-and-race-adjusted volume decreasing from 18.3 mL to 13.76 mL (p = 0.025).

CONCLUSIONS

Median volume of ICH was 13.76 mL, and this should be considered in clinical trial design. Median ICH volume has apparently decreased from 1988 to 2008-2012.

Risk of intracerebral haemorrhage from hypertension is greatest at an early age

Introduction

The risk of intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) associated with hypertension (HTN) is well documented. While the prevalence of HTN increases with age, the greatest odds ratio (OR) for HTN as a risk for ischemic stroke is at an early age. We sought to evaluate if the risk for ICH from HTN was higher in the youngest patients of each race.

Patients and methods

The Ethnic/Racial Variations of ICH (ERICH) study is a prospective multicenter case-control study of ICH among whites, blacks, and Hispanics. Participants were divided into age groups based on race-specific quartiles. Cases in each race/age group were compared to controls using logistic regression (i.e., cases and controls unmatched). The probability of ICH among cases and controls for each race were compared against independent variables of HTN, quartile of age and interaction of quartile and age also using logistic regression.

Results

Overall, 2033 non-lobar ICH cases and 2060 controls, and 913 lobar ICH cases with 927 controls were included. ORs were highest in the youngest age quartile for non-lobar haemorrhage for blacks and Hispanics and highest in the youngest quartile for lobar haemorrhage for all races. The formal test of interaction between age and HTN was significant in all races for all locations with the exception of lobar ICH in whites (p = 0.2935).

Discussion

Hypertension is a strong independent risk factor for ICH irrespective of location among persons of younger age, consistent with the hypothesis that first exposure to HTN is a particularly sensitive time for all locations of ICH.

Racial Differences in Atrial Cardiopathy Phenotypes in Patients With Ischemic Stroke

OBJECTIVE

To test the hypothesis that thrombogenic atrial cardiopathy may be relevant to stroke-related racial disparities, we compared atrial cardiopathy phenotypes between Black vs White patients with ischemic stroke.

METHODS

We assessed markers of atrial cardiopathy in the Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky Stroke Study, a study of stroke incidence in a population of 1.3 million. We obtained ECGs and reports of echocardiograms performed during evaluation of stroke during the 2010/2015 study periods. Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) or flutter (AFL) were excluded. Investigators blinded to patients' characteristics measured P-wave terminal force in ECG lead V1 (PTFV1), a marker of left atrial fibrosis and impaired interatrial conduction, and abstracted left atrial diameter from echocardiogram reports. Linear regression was used to examine the association between race and atrial cardiopathy markers after adjustment for demographics, body mass index, and vascular comorbidities.

RESULTS

Among 3,426 ischemic stroke cases in Black or White patients without AF/AFL, 2,391 had a left atrial diameter measurement (mean, 3.65 ± 0.70 cm). Black race was associated with smaller left atrial diameter in unadjusted (β coefficient, -0.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.17 to -0.05) and adjusted (β, -0.15; 95% CI, -0.21 to -0.09) models. PTFV1 measurements were available in 3,209 patients (mean, 3,434 ± 2,525 μV*ms). Black race was associated with greater PTFV1 in unadjusted (β, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.21-1.97) and adjusted (β, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.00-1.80) models.

CONCLUSIONS

We found systematic Black-White racial differences in left atrial structure and pathophysiology in a population-based sample of patients with ischemic stroke.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class II evidence that atrial cardiopathy phenotypes differ in Black people with acute stroke compared to White people.

Can non-contrast head CT and stroke severity be used for stroke triage? A population-based study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients may benefit from endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) up to 24 h since last known normal (LKN). Advanced imaging is required for patient selection. Small or rural hospitals may not have sufficient CT technician and radiology support to rapidly acquire and interpret images. We estimated transfer rates using non-contrast head CT and stroke severity to select patients to be transferred to larger centers for evaluation.

METHODS

We identified all AIS among residents of the study region in 2010. Only cases age ≥ 18 with baseline mRS 0-2 that presented to an ED were included. Among cases that presented between 6 and 24 h from LKN, those without evidence of acute infarct on head CT and with initial NIHSS ≥6 or ≥ 10 were identified.

RESULTS

Of 1359 AIS cases, 448 (33.0%) presented between 6 and 24 h, of which 383 (85.5%) showed no evidence of acute infarct on CT. Of cases with no acute infarct on CT, 89/383 (23.2%) had NIHSS ≥6, of which 66 (74.2%) initially presented to a hospital without thrombectomy capabilities; and 51/383 (13.3%) had NIHSS ≥10, of which 40 (78.4%) presented to a non-thrombectomy hospital.

CONCLUSIONS

In our population, 40-66 AIS patients annually (0.8-1.3/week, or 3-5 patients/100,000 persons/year) may present to non-thrombectomy hospitals and need to be transferred using non-contrast CT and stroke severity as screening tools. Such an approach may sufficiently mitigate the impact of delays in treatment on outcomes, without overburdening the referring nor accepting hospitals.

Combining Imaging and Genetics to Predict Recurrence of Anticoagulation-Associated Intracerebral Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

For survivors of oral anticoagulation therapy (OAT)-associated intracerebral hemorrhage (OAT-ICH) who are at high risk for thromboembolism, the benefits of OAT resumption must be weighed against increased risk of recurrent hemorrhagic stroke. The ε2/ε4 alleles of the apolipoprotein E (APOE) gene, MRI-defined cortical superficial siderosis, and cerebral microbleeds are the most potent risk factors for recurrent ICH. We sought to determine whether combining MRI markers and APOE genotype could have clinical impact by identifying ICH survivors in whom the risks of OAT resumption are highest.

METHODS

Joint analysis of data from 2 longitudinal cohort studies of OAT-ICH survivors: (1) MGH-ICH study (Massachusetts General Hospital ICH) and (2) longitudinal component of the ERICH study (Ethnic/Racial Variations of Intracerebral Hemorrhage). We evaluated whether MRI markers and APOE genotype predict ICH recurrence. We then developed and validated a combined APOE-MRI classification scheme to predict ICH recurrence, using Classification and Regression Tree analysis.

RESULTS

Cortical superficial siderosis, cerebral microbleed, and APOE ε2/ε4 variants were independently associated with ICH recurrence after OAT-ICH (all P<0.05). Combining APOE genotype and MRI data resulted in improved prediction of ICH recurrence (Harrell C: 0.79 versus 0.55 for clinical data alone, P=0.033). In the MGH (training) data set, CSS, cerebral microbleed, and APOE ε2/ε4 stratified likelihood of ICH recurrence into high-, medium-, and low-risk categories. In the ERICH (validation) data set, yearly ICH recurrence rates for high-, medium-, and low-risk individuals were 6.6%, 2.5%, and 0.9%, respectively, with overall area under the curve of 0.91 for prediction of recurrent ICH.

CONCLUSIONS

Combining MRI and APOE genotype stratifies likelihood of ICH recurrence into high, medium, and low risk. If confirmed in prospective studies, this combined APOE-MRI classification scheme may prove useful for selecting individuals for OAT resumption after ICH.

White Matter Lesion Severity is Associated with Intraventricular Hemorrhage in Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) and white matter lesion (WML) severity are associated with higher rates of death and disability in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). A prior report identified an increased risk of IVH with greater WML burden but did not control for location of ICH. We sought to determine whether a higher degree of WML is associated with a higher risk of IVH after controlling for ICH location.

METHODS

Utilizing the patient population from 2 large ICH studies; the Genetic and Environmental Risk Factors for Hemorrhagic Stroke (GERFHS III) Study and the Ethnic/Racial Variations of Intracerebral Hemorrhage study, we graded WML using the Van Swieten Scale (0-1 for mild, 2 for moderate, and 3-4 for severe WML) and presence or absence of IVH in baseline CT scans. We used multivariable regression models to adjust for relevant covariates.

RESULTS

Among 3023 ICH patients, 1260 (41.7%) had presence of IVH. In patients with IVH, the proportion of severe WML (28.6%) was higher compared with patients without IVH (21.8%) (P < .0001). Multivariable analysis demonstrated that moderate-severe WML, deep ICH, and increasing ICH volume were independently associated with presence of IVH. We found an increased risk of IVH with moderate-severe WML (OR = 1.38; 95%Cl 1.03-1.86, P = .0328) in the subset of lobar hemorrhages.

CONCLUSIONS

Moderate to severe WML is a risk for IVH. Even in lobar ICH hemorrhages, severe WML leads to an independent increased risk for ventricular rupture.

Temporal Trends in Stroke Incidence Over Time by Sex and Age in the GCNKSS

Background and Purpose- Sex differences in stroke incidence over time were previously reported from the GCNKSS (Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky Stroke Study). We aimed to determine whether these differences continued through 2015 and whether they were driven by particular age groups. Methods- Within the GCNKSS population of 1.3 million, incident (first ever) strokes among residents ≥20 years of age were ascertained at all local hospitals during 5 periods: July 1993 to June 1994 and calendar years 1999, 2005, 2010, and 2015. Out-of-hospital cases were sampled. Sex-specific incidence rates per 100 000 were adjusted for age and race and standardized to the 2010 US Census. Trends over time by sex were compared (overall and age stratified). Sex-specific case fatality rates were also reported. Bonferroni corrections were applied for multiple comparisons. Results- Over the 5 study periods, there were 9733 incident strokes (56.3% women). For women, there were 229 (95% CI, 215-242) per 100 000 incident strokes in 1993/1994 and 174 (95% CI, 163-185) in 2015 (P<0.05), compared with 282 (95% CI, 263-301) in 1993/1994 to 211 (95% CI, 198-225) in 2015 (P<0.05) in men. Incidence rates decreased between the first and last study periods in both sexes for IS but not for intracerebral hemorrhage or subarachnoid hemorrhage. Significant decreases in stroke incidence occurred between the first and last study periods for both sexes in the 65- to 84-year age group and men only in the ≥85-year age group; stroke incidence increased for men only in the 20- to 44-year age group. Conclusions- Overall stroke incidence decreased from the early 1990s to 2015 for both sexes. Future studies should continue close surveillance of sex differences in the 20- to 44-year and ≥85-year age groups, and future stroke prevention strategies should target strokes in the young- and middle-age groups, as well as intracerebral hemorrhage.

Abstract 72: Temporal Trends in Stroke Incidence Over Time by Sex and Age in the Greater Cincinnati Northern Kentucky Stroke Study

Introduction: Data from the Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky Stroke Study (GCNKSS) through 2010 showed that over time, stroke incidence rates decreased to a greater extent in men than in women. We aimed to determine whether this difference continued through 2015 and whether the differences are driven by particular age groups.

Methods: Within the GCNKSS population of 1.3 million, all incident strokes among residents ≥20 years old were ascertained at all local hospitals during 7/93–6/94 and calendar years 1999, 2005, 2010, and 2015. Out-of-hospital cases were sampled. Sex-specific incidence rates per 100,000 were adjusted for age and race, standardized to the 2010 U.S. Census. Trends over time by sex were compared (overall and age-stratified); a Bonferroni correction was applied for multiple comparisons.

Results: In total over the five study periods, there were 9721 incident strokes (ischemic, ICH, and SAH); 56.4% were women. Incidence of ischemic strokes decreased from 254 (95%CI 236,272) in 1993/4 to 177 (95%CI 164,189) in 2015 among men (p<.0001 for trend over time) and from 204 (95%CI 192,217) in 1993/4 to 151 (95%CI 141,161) in 2015 among women (p<.0001). Incidence of ICH/ SAH did not change significantly over time in either sex. In age-stratified analyses, among women, incidence of all strokes decreased among older adults (65–84 years) but not in other age categories (Figure). Among men, incidence over time decreased among older adults (65–84 and ≥ 85 years) but increased in young adults (20–44 years).

Conclusions: Stroke incidence decreased between the early 1990s and 2015 for both sexes, contrary to previous data on trends through 2010 which demonstrated a significant decrease in men but not women. Temporal changes are being driven by the 65–84 year age group in both men and women, as well as the ≥ 85 age group in men. Future prevention strategies should target young and middle age adults for both sexes as well as those over 85 for women.

Abstract WMP51: Ischemic Stroke Rates in Those With Diabetes in the Black and White Population: An Update

Background: We previously reported an increased incidence of stroke in the population with diabetes. This was particularly pronounced in those under 65 years of age. With guidelines now including glycemic monitoring during hospitalization, we examined incidence attributable to diabetes in 2010 and 2015.

Methods: Ischemic strokes in the 5-county Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky region were ascertained, then physician verified, at all 15 area hospitals using ICD-9 codes 430 to 436 or ICD10 codes I60 to I68. First ever ischemic strokes in patients aged 20 years and older were included in this analysis. Population age-specific rates of diabetes were estimated using the 2009-2010 and 2015-2016 NHANES databases, then applied to local population numbers, extracted from the US Census Bureau website, to estimate the denominator for calculation of incidence rates. Incidence rates were adjusted by age race and sex, as appropriate, to the 2010 US population. Diabetes was defined as reported in the electronic medical record or glycohemoglobin A1c &gt 6.4% during hospitalization.

Results: There were a total of 4141 ischemic strokes; 55% female and 22% black. Stroke rates continue to be substantially higher in those with diagnosed diabetes, than those without diabetes overall and for those less than 65 years in both time periods, as well as those 65 years and older except for the black population in 2010. Racial disparities continue in both the less than 65 and 65 years and older age groups. Stroke rates were higher for Blacks in the less than 65 year age group for those both with and without diabetes; with risk ratios ranging from 1.3 to 2.7. Of note the stroke rate has decreased between 2010 and 2015 for those with diabetes <65 years of age. (Table)

Conclusions: The population with diabetes continues to be at increased risk of stroke, especially in those less than 65 years of age and those of black race.

Ischemic Stroke and Bleeding: Clinical Benefit of Anticoagulation in Atrial Fibrillation After Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Background and Purpose- Patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are at risk for ischemic events. While risk calculators (CHA₂DS₂-VASc and HAS-BLED) have been validated to assess risk for ischemic stroke and major bleeding in AF patients, decisions about anticoagulation must consider the net clinical benefit of anticoagulation. Furthermore, stroke and bleeding risk are highly correlated, making decisions more difficult. Methods- We examined patients in the GERFHS III study (Genetic and Environmental Risk Factors for Hemorrhagic Stroke)-a population-based retrospective study of spontaneous ICH patients without a structural or traumatic cause in the Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky region between July 2008 and December 2012. CHA₂DS₂-VASc and HAS-B(L)ED (minus L because labile international normalized ratio was unavailable) scores were calculated for ICH patients with AF. Using a Markov state transition model, we estimated net clinical benefit of anticoagulation relative to no treatment in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). We defined minimal clinically relevant benefit as 0.1 QALYs. Results- Among 1186 cases of spontaneous ICH, 95 cases had AF and met our survival criteria. Within 1 year, 8 of 95 (8%) would be expected to have a major bleeding event on anticoagulation, and 5 of 95 (5%) of patients would be expected to have an ischemic stroke off anticoagulation. Sixty-eight of 95 (71%) patients would have higher risk for major bleeding than for ischemic stroke. Anticoagulation with directly acting anticoagulants would result in no clinically significant gain or loss in 73%. Roughly 12% would gain >0.1 QALYs, and 15% would lose >0.1 QALYs. Among patients receiving aspirin, most have no significant net clinical benefit or loss. Overall, anticoagulation of the entire cohort would result in an aggregate loss of 0.92 QALYs. Conclusions- Our analysis suggests that universal anticoagulation after ICH would be associated with a net loss of QALY. Additional factors should be considered before anticoagulating patients with AF after ICH. Registration- URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00930280.

Hemicraniectomy for Supratentorial Primary Intracerebral Hemorrhage: A Retrospective, Propensity Score Matched Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Spontaneous supratentorial intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) contributes disproportionately to stroke mortality, and randomized trials of surgical treatments for ICH have not shown benefit. Decompressive hemicraniectomy (DHC) improves functional outcome in patients with malignant middle cerebral artery ischemic stroke, but data in ICH patients is limited. We hypothesized that DHC would reduce in-hospital mortality and poor functional status (defined as modified Rankin scale ≥5) among survivors at 3 months, without increased complications.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective, case-control, propensity score matched study to determine whether hemicraniectomy affected outcome in patients with spontaneous supratentorial ICH. The propensity score consisted of variables associated with outcome or predictors of hemicraniectomy. Forty-three surgical patients were matched to 43 medically managed patients on ICH location, sex, and nearest neighbor matching. Three-month functional outcomes, in-hospital mortality, and in-hospital complications were measured.

RESULTS

In the medical management group, 72.1% of patients had poor outcome at 3 months compared with 37.2% who underwent hemicraniectomy (odds ratio 4.8, confidence interval 1.6-14). In-hospital mortality was 51.2% for medically managed patients and 16.3% for hemicraniectomy patients (odds ratio 8.5, confidence interval 2.0-36.8). There were no statistically significant differences in the occurrence of in-hospital complications.

CONCLUSIONS

In our retrospective study of selected patients with spontaneous supratentorial ICH, DHC resulted in lower rate of in-hospital mortality and better 3-month functional status compared with medically managed patients. A randomized trial is necessary to evaluate DHC as a treatment for certain patients with spontaneous supratentorial ICH.

Impact of Cerebral Small Vessel Disease on Functional Recovery After Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Background and Purpose- In this study, we aim to investigate the association of computed tomography-based markers of cerebral small vessel disease with functional outcome and recovery after intracerebral hemorrhage. Methods- Computed tomographic scans of patients in the ERICH study (Ethnic and Racial Variations of Intracerebral Hemorrhage) were evaluated for the extent of leukoaraiosis and cerebral atrophy using visual rating scales. Poor functional outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) of ≥3. Multivariable logistic and linear regression models were used to explore the associations of cerebral small vessel disease imaging markers with poor functional outcome at discharge and, as a measure of recovery, change in mRS from discharge to 90 days poststroke. Results- After excluding in-hospital deaths, data from 2344 patients, 583 (24.9%) with good functional outcome (mRS of 0-2) at discharge and 1761 (75.1%) with poor functional outcome (mRS of 3-5) at discharge, were included. Increasing extent of leukoaraiosis (P for trend, 0.01) and only severe (grade 4) global atrophy (odds ratio, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.22-3.39, P=0.007) were independently associated with poor functional outcome at discharge. Mean (SD) mRS change from discharge to 90-day follow-up was 0.57 (1.18). Increasing extent of leukoaraiosis (P for trend, 0.002) and severe global atrophy (β [SE], -0.23 [0.115]; P=0.045) were independently associated with less improvement in mRS from discharge to 90 days poststroke. Conclusions- In intracerebral hemorrhage survivors, the extent of cerebral small vessel disease at the time of intracerebral hemorrhage is associated with poor functional outcome at hospital discharge and impaired functional recovery from discharge to 90 days poststroke.

Identification and Validation of Hematoma Volume Cutoffs in Spontaneous, Supratentorial Deep Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Background and Purpose- Clinical trials in spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) have used volume cutoffs as inclusion criteria to select populations in which the effects of interventions are likely to be the greatest. However, optimal volume cutoffs for predicting poor outcome in deep locations (thalamus versus basal ganglia) are unknown. Methods- We conducted a 2-phase study to determine ICH volume cutoffs for poor outcome (modified Rankin Scale score of 4-6) in the thalamus and basal ganglia. Cutoffs with optimal sensitivity and specificity for poor outcome were identified in the ERICH ([Ethnic/Racial Variations of ICH] study; derivation cohort) using receiver operating characteristic curves. The cutoffs were then validated in the ATACH-2 trial (Antihypertensive Treatment of Acute Cerebral Hemorrhage-2) by comparing the c-statistic of regression models for outcome (including dichotomized volume) in the validation cohort. Results- Of the 3000 patients enrolled in ERICH, 1564 (52%) had deep ICH, of whom 1305 (84%) had complete neuroimaging and outcome data (660 thalamic and 645 basal ganglia hemorrhages). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis identified 8 mL in thalamic (area under the curve, 0.79; sensitivity, 73%; specificity, 78%) and 18 mL in basal ganglia ICH (area under the curve, 0.79; sensitivity, 70%; specificity, 83%) as optimal cutoffs for predicting poor outcome. The validation cohort included 834 (84%) patients with deep ICH and complete neuroimaging data enrolled in ATACH-2 (353 thalamic and 431 basal ganglia hemorrhages). In thalamic ICH, the c-statistic of the multivariable outcome model including dichotomized ICH volume was 0.80 (95% CI, 0.75-0.85) in the validation cohort. For basal ganglia ICH, the c-statistic was 0.81 (95% CI, 0.76-0.85) in the validation cohort. Conclusions- Optimal hematoma volume cutoffs for predicting poor outcome in deep ICH vary by the specific deep brain nucleus involved. Utilization of location-specific volume cutoffs may improve clinical trial design by targeting deep ICH patients that will obtain maximal benefit from candidate therapies.

Venous Thromboembolism in Patients With Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage: A Multicenter Study

BACKGROUND

Patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) are predisposed to venous thromboembolic (VTE) complications, such as deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate, in a multicenter, retrospective cohort study, the rate of VTE complications in ICH patients during acute hospitalization, identify potential risk factors, and assess their association with functional outcome.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed prospectively collected data from 19 centers and 41 sites that participated in the Ethnic/Racial Variations of Intracerebral Hemorrhage study, from August 2010 to February 2016. We compared ICH patients with VTE complications to those without VTE complications. Statistical analyses were performed to determine predictors of VTE complications and poor outcome (modified Rankin Scale ≥ 4) at discharge and 3-mo follow-up.

RESULTS

Of the 2902 ICH patients who were eligible for analysis, 87 (3.0%) had VTE complications: 57 (2.0%) had only deep vein thrombosis, 19 (0.7%) had only pulmonary embolism, and 11 (0.4%) had both. In the multivariable logistic regression analysis, a prior history of VTE (odds ratio [OR] = 6.8; P < .0001), intubation (OR = 4.0; P < .0001), and presence of IVH (OR = 1.8; P = .0157) were independent predictors of VTE complications. After controlling for ICH volume and location, IVH, age, and presenting Glasgow Coma Scale, the occurrence of VTE complications was an independent predictor of poor outcome at discharge (OR = 2.9; P = .002) and 3-mo follow-up (OR = 2.1; P = .02).

CONCLUSION

Although VTE complications are uncommon after ICH, they are associated with significantly worse outcomes. Further studies will be needed to determine the optimal treatment regimen for the prevention and treatment of VTE complications in ICH patients.

Association of Apolipoprotein E With Intracerebral Hemorrhage Risk by Race/Ethnicity: A Meta-analysis

Importance

Genetic studies of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) have focused mainly on white participants, but genetic risk may vary or could be concealed by differing nongenetic coexposures in nonwhite populations. Transethnic analysis of risk may clarify the role of genetics in ICH risk across populations.

Objective

To evaluate associations between established differences in ICH risk by race/ethnicity and the variability in the risks of apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 alleles, the most potent genetic risk factor for ICH.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This case-control study of primary ICH meta-analyzed the association of APOE allele status on ICH risk, applying a 2-stage clustering approach based on race/ethnicity and stratified by a contributing study. A propensity score analysis was used to model the association of APOE with the burden of hypertension across race/ethnic groups. Primary ICH cases and controls were collected from 3 hospital- and population-based studies in the United States and 8 in European sites in the International Stroke Genetic Consortium. Participants were enrolled from January 1, 1999, to December 31, 2017. Participants with secondary causes of ICH were excluded from enrollment. Controls were regionally matched within each participating study.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Clinical variables were systematically obtained from structured interviews within each site. APOE genotype was centrally determined for all studies.

Results

In total, 13 124 participants (7153 [54.5%] male with a median [interquartile range] age of 66 [56-76] years) were included. In white participants, APOE ε2 (odds ratio [OR], 1.49; 95% CI, 1.24-1.80; P < .001) and APOE ε4 (OR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.23-1.85; P < .001) were associated with lobar ICH risk; however, within self-identified Hispanic and black participants, no associations were found. After propensity score matching for hypertension burden, APOE ε4 was associated with lobar ICH risk among Hispanic (OR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.03-1.28; P = .01) but not in black (OR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.98-1.07; P = .25) participants. APOE ε2 and ε4 did not show an association with nonlobar ICH risk in any race/ethnicity.

Conclusions and Relevance

APOE ε4 and ε2 alleles appear to affect lobar ICH risk variably by race/ethnicity, associations that are confirmed in white individuals but can be shown in Hispanic individuals only when the excess burden of hypertension is propensity score-matched; further studies are needed to explore the interactions between APOE alleles and environmental exposures that vary by race/ethnicity in representative populations at risk for ICH.

Stroke Center Certification Is Associated With Improved Guideline Concordance

Measurement of quality of stroke care has become increasingly important, but data come mostly from programs in hospitals that choose to participate in certification programs, which may not be representative of the care provided in nonparticipating hospitals. The authors sought to determine differences in quality of care metric concordance for acute ischemic stroke among hospitals designated as a primary stroke center, comprehensive stroke center, and non-stroke center in a population-based epidemiologic study. Significant differences were found in both patient demographics and in concordance with guideline-based quality metrics. These differences may help inform quality improvement efforts across hospitals involved in certification as well as those that are not.

Abstract 17: Apolipoprotein E and Intracerebral Hemorrhage: A Trans-Ethnic Meta-Analysis

Introduction: Risk of lobar and non-lobar intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) varies among blacks, whites and Hispanics. We sought to determine whether these differences could be due to variability in the effects of Apolipoprotein E (APOE) epsilon (ε) alleles, the most potent genetic risk factor for ICH.

Methods: Primary ICH cases and controls were collected from US and European sites contributing to the International Stroke Genetic Consortium (ISGC). We meta-analyzed the effects of APOE allele status on ICH risk applying a two-stage clustering approach based on race/ethnicity and the contributing study. Models were adjusted for age, sex, history of hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, warfarin, statin and antiplatelet use, smoking and alcohol use. A propensity score analysis was used to model the influence of APOE against the burden of hypertension across races/ethnicities.

Results: 13,124 subjects (54.5% male, median age 66 years) were included. In whites, APOE ε2 (odds ratio (OR)=1.85, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.27-2.69, p<0.001) and APOE ε4 (OR=1.94, 95% CI=1.58-2.38, p<0.001) were independently associated with lobar ICH risk, however within self-identified Hispanics and blacks, no associations were found (Figure). After propensity score-matching for hypertension burden, APOE ε4 was associated with lobar ICH risk among whites (OR=1.12, 95% CI=1.08-1.17) and Hispanics (OR=1.07, 95% CI=1.01-1.15, p=0.01), but not blacks (OR=1.02 95% CI=0.98-1.07, p=0.251). APOE ε2 and ε4 did not show an effect on non-lobar ICH risk in any race/ethnicity.

Conclusion: APOE ε4 and ε2 alleles affect lobar ICH risk variably by race and ethnicity. Associations are confirmed in whites but can be shown in Hispanics only when the excess burden of hypertension is propensity score-matched. Further studies are needed to explore interactions between APOE alleles and environmental exposures that vary by race and ethnicity in representative populations at risk for ICH.

Abstract WP265: Racial Differences in Left Atrial Size Among Patients With Ischemic Stroke

Introduction: Blacks in the U.S. face twice the risk of ischemic stroke as whites, and this disparity is not fully explained by established stroke risk factors. Although atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for stroke, blacks are less often diagnosed with AF than whites. It is unclear whether this paradox exists because AF is less thoroughly ascertained in blacks compared to whites or because blacks have less predisposing substrate and thus a truly lower risk of AF.

Hypothesis: Based on our prior work, we hypothesized that black patients with ischemic stroke less often have left atrial enlargement, a major predisposing factor for AF.

Methods: We compared left atrial size in black versus white patients in the Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky Stroke Study, a study of racial disparities in stroke incidence in a nationally representative population of 1.3 million. We obtained reports of echocardiograms performed for stroke evaluation among patients in the 2010 and 2015 study periods. Patients with known AF or atrial flutter were excluded. Investigators blinded to patients’ characteristics abstracted left atrial diameter from echocardiogram reports. Linear regression was used to examine the association between race and left atrial diameter after adjustment for demographics, body mass index, and comorbidities.

Results: Among 2,980 cases of ischemic stroke without AF, the median age was 66 years, 52% were female, and 30% were black. The overall mean left atrial diameter was 3.65 (±0.69) cm. Despite a higher burden of vascular risk factors and comorbidities, blacks had significantly smaller left atrial diameters (mean difference, -0.10 cm; 95% CI, -0.04 to -0.17 cm). This difference persisted after adjustment for demographics, comorbidities, and body mass index (adjusted mean difference, -0.15 cm; 95% CI, -0.09 to -0.21 cm).

Conclusions: In a population-based sample, we found that black patients with ischemic stroke had smaller left atrial size than white patients. Our results suggest that the paradox of greater stroke risk but lower AF risk in blacks compared with whites at least partly stems from a lesser degree of AF substrate in blacks.

Abstract WP73: Brain Health Predicts Outcome in Patients With Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Introduction: Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) results in high mortality and high rate of disability among survivors. The effects of preexisting small vessel disease (SVD) on functional outcomes after ICH is uncertain and understanding manifestations of brain health such as white matter lesions (WML) and atrophy are a top priority for developing prognostic indicators. Our objective was to determine whether WML and brain atrophy is associated with functional outcomes in ICH patients.

Hypothesis: We hypothesized that higher burden of WML and atrophy will have a poor outcome independent of age, ICH volume, ICH location, IVH, and presenting Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score.

Methods: The Genetic and Environmental Risk Factors for Hemorrhagic Stroke (GERFHS) III study is a prospective study of hemorrhagic stroke in the Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky region. We utilized the interviewed cohort from the study and systematically graded WML using the Van Swieten Scale (0-4) and measured brain atrophy (2 linear measurements) in baseline head CT scans. The outcome measures included modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 3 months. Primary outcome was disability or death (mRS 3-6).

Results: A total of 441 CT scans were graded; 48 patients were excluded due to missing mRS. Among the included 393 ICH patients (mean±SD age 71.5± 13.8; 48% females), old age, high ICH volume, low GCS score, severe WML (Van Swieten score 3-4), and atrophy were significantly associated with poor outcomes (mRS 3-6) in univariate analysis. In multivariate analysis, severe WML (p=0.039), atrophy (p= 0.0131), old age (p<0.0001), GCS (p<0.001), ICH location (p<0.0001 for deep, p=0.0033 for infratentorial) and ICH volume (p<0.0001) were associated with poor outcomes.

Conclusion: Poor brain health manifesting as cerebral SVD markers of WML and atrophy are simple and independent baseline predictors of poor outcome in acute ICH. Further study for inclusion into outcome measures such as ICH Score should be considered.