Application of the updated International IgA Nephropathy Prediction Tool in children one or two years post-biopsy

The pediatric International IgA Nephropathy (IgAN) Prediction Tool comprises two models with and without ethnicity and is the first method to predict the risk of a 30% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or kidney failure in children at the time of biopsy using clinical risk factors and Oxford MEST histology scores. However, it is unknown if the Prediction Tool can be applied after a period of observation post-biopsy. Using an international multi-ethnic cohort of 947 children with IgAN, 38% of whom were followed into adulthood, the Prediction Tool was updated for use one year after biopsy. Compared to the original pediatric Prediction Tool, the updated post-biopsy Prediction Tool had a better model fit with higher R2D (51%/50% vs 20%), significant increase in 4-year C-statistics (0.83 vs 0.73/0.69, ΔC 0.09 [95% confidence interval 0.07-0.10] and ΔC 0.14 [0.12-0.15]) and better 4-year calibration with lower integrated calibration indices (0.74/0.54 vs 2.45/1.01). Results were similar after internal validation and when the models were applied two years after biopsy. Trajectories of eGFR after a baseline one year post-biopsy were non-linear and those at higher predicted risk started with a lower eGFR and experienced a more rapid decline over time. In children, eGFR had a variable rate of increase until 15-18 years old and then decreased linearly with a more rapid decline in higher risk groups that was similar to young adults of comparable risk. Thus, the original pediatric Prediction Tool should be used in children at the time of biopsy, and the updated pediatric Prediction Tool should be used to re-evaluate risk one or two years after biopsy.

Rituximab or cyclosporine a for the treatment of membranous nephropathy: Economic evaluation of the MENTOR trial

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS

The MENTOR trial (MEmbranous Nephropathy Trial Of Rituximab) showed that rituximab was noninferior to cyclosporine in inducing complete or partial remission of proteinuria and was superior in maintaining proteinuria remission. However, the cost of rituximab may prohibit first-line use for some patients and health care payers.

METHODS

A Markov model was used to determine the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of rituximab compared with cyclosporine for the treatment membranous nephropathy from the perspective of a health care payer with a life-time time horizon. The model was informed by data from the MENTOR trial where possible; additional parameters including cost and utility inputs were obtained from the literature. Sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the impact of reduced cost biosimilar rituximab.

RESULTS

Rituximab for the treatment of membranous nephropathy was cost-effective (assuming a willingness-to-pay threshold of ${\$}$50 000 per quality adjusted life year (QALY) gained; ${\$}$US 2021) compared with cyclosporine, with an ICER of ${\$}$8 373/QALY over a lifetime time horizon. The incremental cost of rituximab therapy was ${\$}$28 007 with an additional 3.34 QALYs compared with cyclosporine. Lower cost of rituximab biosimilars resulted in a more favourable ICER, and in some cases resulted in rituximab being dominant (lower cost and great benefit) compared to cyclosporine.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the greater cost of rituximab, it may be a cost-effective option for the treatment of membranous nephropathy when compared with cyclosporine. The cost-effectiveness of rituximab is further improved with the use of less expensive biosimilars.

Mayo Clinic consensus report on membranous nephropathy: proposal for a novel classification

Membranous nephropathy (MN) is a pattern of injury caused by autoantibodies binding to specific target antigens, with accumulation of immune complexes along the subepithelial region of glomerular basement membranes. The past 20 years have brought revolutionary advances in the understanding of MN, particularly via the discovery of novel target antigens and their respective autoantibodies. These discoveries have challenged the traditional classification of MN into primary and secondary forms. At least 14 target antigens have been identified, accounting for 80%-90% of cases of MN. Many of the forms of MN associated with these novel MN target antigens have distinctive clinical and pathologic phenotypes. The Mayo Clinic consensus report on MN proposes a 2-step classification of MN. The first step, when possible, is identification of the target antigen, based on a multistep algorithm and using a combination of serology, staining of the kidney biopsy tissue by immunofluorescence or immunohistochemistry, and/or mass spectrometry methodology. The second step is the search for a potential underlying disease or associated condition, which is particularly relevant when knowledge of the target antigen is available to direct it. The meeting acknowledges that the resources and equipment required to perform the proposed testing may not be generally available. However, the meeting consensus was that the time has come to adopt an antigen-based classification of MN because this approach will allow for accurate and specific MN diagnosis, with significant implications for patient management and targeted treatment.

Evaluating Progression Risk in Patients With Immunoglobulin A Nephropathy

The highly variable rate of decline in kidney function in patients with immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) provides a major clinical challenge. Predicting which patients will progress to kidney failure, and how quickly, is difficult. Multiple novel therapies are likely to be approved in the short-term, but clinicians lack the tools to identify patients most likely to benefit from specific treatments at the right time. Noninvasive and validated markers for selecting at-risk patients and longitudinal monitoring are urgently needed. This review summarizes what is known about demographic, clinical, and histopathologic prognostic markers in the clinician's toolkit, including the International IgAN Prediction Tool. We also briefly review what is known on these topics in children and adolescents with IgAN. Although helpful, currently used markers leave clinicians heavily reliant on histologic features from the diagnostic kidney biopsy and standard clinical data to guide treatment choice, and very few noninvasive markers reflect treatment efficacy over time. Novel prognostic and predictive markers are under clinical investigation, with considerable progress being made in markers of complement activation. Other areas of research are the interplay between gut microbiota and galactose-deficient IgA1 expression; microRNAs; imaging; artificial intelligence; and markers of fibrosis. Given the rate of therapeutic advancement, the remaining gaps in biomarker research need to be addressed. We finish by describing our route to clinical utility of predictive and prognostic markers in IgAN. This route will provide us with the chance to improve IgAN prognosis by using robust, clinically practical markers to inform patient care.

Mayo Clinic Consensus Report on Membranous Nephropathy: Proposal for a Novel Classification

Membranous nephropathy (MN) is a pattern of injury caused by autoantibodies binding to specific target antigens, with accumulation of immune complexes along the subepithelial region of glomerular basement membranes. The past 20 years have brought revolutionary advances in the understanding of MN, particularly via the discovery of novel target antigens and their respective autoantibodies. These discoveries have challenged the traditional classification of MN into primary and secondary forms. At least 14 target antigens have been identified, accounting for 80%-90% of cases of MN. Many of the forms of MN associated with these novel MN target antigens have distinctive clinical and pathologic phenotypes. The Mayo Clinic consensus report on MN proposes a 2-step classification of MN. The first step, when possible, is identification of the target antigen, based on a multistep algorithm and using a combination of serology, staining of the kidney biopsy tissue by immunofluorescence or immunohistochemistry, and/or mass spectrometry methodology. The second step is the search for a potential underlying disease or associated condition, which is particularly relevant when knowledge of the target antigen is available to direct it. The meeting acknowledges that the resources and equipment required to perform the proposed testing may not be generally available. However, the meeting consensus was that the time has come to adopt an antigen-based classification of MN because this approach will allow for accurate and specific MN diagnosis, with significant implications for patient management and targeted treatment.

Focal Segmental Glomerulosclerosis: Assessing the Risk of Relapse

Introduction

Kidney outcomes are improved in primary focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS) by maintaining a remission in proteinuria. However, characteristics associated with relapses are uncertain. We sought to identify these by analyzing each remission.

Methods

We performed a retrospective study in patients with biopsy-proven lesions of FSGS, absent identifiable secondary cause, who had at least 1 remission from nephrotic-range proteinuria. In each patient, we identified every remission, every relapse, and their durations. Using a multilevel logistic regression to account for the clustering of multiple remissions within a patient, we tested which clinical characteristics were independently associated with relapses.

Results

In 203 individuals, 312 remissions occurred, 177 with and 135 without relapse. A minority of remissions were atypical, defined by either absent hypoalbuminemia and/or no immunosuppression (IS), in contrast to the classic nephrotic syndrome that remits with IS. Atypical remission variants were just as likely to relapse as the classical presentation. Only 24% of remission events were on maintenance therapy at relapse. Independent characteristics associated with relapses were higher maximal proteinuria while nephrotic; and in remission, higher nadir proteinuria, lower serum albumin, and higher blood pressure. Using these variables, we created a tool estimating the 1-year risk of relapse ranging from 9% to 80%, well-calibrated to the observed data.

Conclusion

In FSGS, relapses are frequent but predictable using independent clinical characteristics. We also provide evidence that atypical presentations remit and relapse following the same pattern as classic FSGS presentations. Treatment strategies to prolong remission duration should be addressed in future trials.

Anti-PLA2R Antibody Levels and Clinical Risk Factors for Treatment Nonresponse in Membranous Nephropathy

BACKGROUND

The 2021 Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) guidelines recommend following anti-phospholipase A2 receptor (PLA2R) antibody levels as a marker of treatment response in membranous nephropathy; however, the optimal timing to evaluate antibody levels and how to combine them with other clinical variables are currently unknown.

METHODS

We used a cohort of 85 patients from the Membranous Nephropathy Trial Of Rituximab (MENTOR) with anti-PLA2R antibodies ≥14 RU/ml to identify risk factors for not experiencing proteinuria remission after 12 months of treatment with cyclosporine or rituximab. Three landmark times were considered: at baseline and after 3 and 6 months of treatment. Logistic regression model performance was evaluated using C-statistics and model fit (Akaike information criterion [AIC], R 2 ).

RESULTS

The model at baseline that best predicted no remission included anti-PLA2R antibodies >323 RU/ml and creatinine clearance; the best model after 3 months included the change from baseline in both antibody and albumin levels; and the best model after 6 months included antibody levels >14 RU/ml, creatinine clearance, and the change from baseline in albumin. Compared with the model at baseline, the model at 3 months had better model fit (AIC 70.9 versus 96.4, R 2 51.8% versus 30.1%) and higher C-statistic (0.93 versus 0.83, P = 0.008). The model at 6 months had no difference in performance compared with the model at 3 months (AIC 68.6, R 2 53.0%, C-statistic 0.94, P = 0.67).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with membranous nephropathy treated with cyclosporine or rituximab in the MENTOR trial, we found that the optimal method to evaluate risk factors for the probability of treatment response was to use anti-PLA2R antibody levels combined with albumin levels after 3 months of treatment, which was significantly better than using antibody levels alone or risk factor evaluation at baseline, with no added benefit of waiting until 6 months of treatment.

PODCAST

This article contains a podcast at https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/www.asn-online.org/media/podcast/CJASN/2023_10_09_CJN0000000000000237.mp3.

Genome-wide association analyses define pathogenic signaling pathways and prioritize drug targets for IgA nephropathy

IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is a progressive form of kidney disease defined by glomerular deposition of IgA. Here we performed a genome-wide association study of 10,146 kidney-biopsy-diagnosed IgAN cases and 28,751 controls across 17 international cohorts. We defined 30 genome-wide significant risk loci explaining 11% of disease risk. A total of 16 loci were new, including TNFSF4/TNFSF18, REL, CD28, PF4V1, LY86, LYN, ANXA3, TNFSF8/TNFSF15, REEP3, ZMIZ1, OVOL1/RELA, ETS1, IGH, IRF8, TNFRSF13B and FCAR. The risk loci were enriched in gene orthologs causing abnormal IgA levels when genetically manipulated in mice. We also observed a positive genetic correlation between IgAN and serum IgA levels. High polygenic score for IgAN was associated with earlier onset of kidney failure. In a comprehensive functional annotation analysis of candidate causal genes, we observed convergence of biological candidates on a common set of inflammatory signaling pathways and cytokine ligand-receptor pairs, prioritizing potential new drug targets.

Precision nephrology identified tumor necrosis factor activation variability in minimal change disease and focal segmental glomerulosclerosis

The diagnosis of nephrotic syndrome relies on clinical presentation and descriptive patterns of injury on kidney biopsies, but not specific to underlying pathobiology. Consequently, there are variable rates of progression and response to therapy within diagnoses. Here, an unbiased transcriptomic-driven approach was used to identify molecular pathways which are shared by subgroups of patients with either minimal change disease (MCD) or focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS). Kidney tissue transcriptomic profile-based clustering identified three patient subgroups with shared molecular signatures across independent, North American, European, and African cohorts. One subgroup had significantly greater disease progression (Hazard Ratio 5.2) which persisted after adjusting for diagnosis and clinical measures (Hazard Ratio 3.8). Inclusion in this subgroup was retained even when clustering was limited to those with less than 25% interstitial fibrosis. The molecular profile of this subgroup was largely consistent with tumor necrosis factor (TNF) pathway activation. Two TNF pathway urine markers were identified, tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases-1 (TIMP-1) and monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), that could be used to predict an individual's TNF pathway activation score. Kidney organoids and single-nucleus RNA-sequencing of participant kidney biopsies, validated TNF-dependent increases in pathway activation score, transcript and protein levels of TIMP-1 and MCP-1, in resident kidney cells. Thus, molecular profiling identified a subgroup of patients with either MCD or FSGS who shared kidney TNF pathway activation and poor outcomes. A clinical trial testing targeted therapies in patients selected using urinary markers of TNF pathway activation is ongoing.

Quantifying the benefits of remission duration in focal and segmental glomerulosclerosis

BACKGROUND

Although the clinical benefit of obtaining a remission in proteinuria in nephrotic patients with focal and segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS) is recognized, the long-term value of maintaining it and the impact of relapses on outcome are not well described.

METHODS

We examined the impact of remissions and relapses on either a 50% decline in kidney function or ESKD (combined event) using time-dependent and landmark analyses in a retrospective study of all patients from the Toronto Glomerulonephritis Registry with biopsy-proven FSGS, established nephrotic-range proteinuria and at least one remission.

RESULTS

In the 203 FSGS individuals with a remission, 89 never relapsed and 114 experienced at least one relapse. The first recurrence was often followed by a repeating pattern of remission and relapse. The 10-year survival from a combined event was 15% higher in those with no relapse versus those with any relapse. This smaller than anticipated difference was related to the favorable outcome in individuals whose relapses quickly remitted. Relapsers who ultimately ended in remission (n = 46) versus in relapse (n = 68) experienced a 91% and 32% 7-year event survival (p<0.001). Using time-varying survival analyses that considered all periods of remission and relapse in every patient and adjusting for each period's initial eGFR, the state of relapse was associated with a 2.17 (95%CI,1.32-3.58, p = 0.002) greater risk of experiencing a combined event even in this FSGS remission cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

In FSGS, unless remissions are maintained and relapses avoided, long-term renal survival remains poor. Treatment strategies addressing remission duration remain poorly defined and should be an essential question in future trials.

Association of Histologic Parameters with Outcome in C3 Glomerulopathy and Idiopathic Immunoglobulin-Associated Membranoproliferative Glomerulonephritis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

C3 glomerulopathy and idiopathic Ig-associated membranoproliferative GN are kidney diseases characterized by abnormal glomerular complement C3 deposition. These conditions are heterogeneous in outcome, but approximately 50% of patients develop kidney failure within 10 years.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

To improve identification of patients with poor prognosis, we performed a detailed analysis of percutaneous kidney biopsies in a large cohort of patients. Using a validated histologic scoring system, we analyzed 156 native diagnostic kidney biopsies from a retrospective cohort of 123 patients with C3 glomerulopathy and 33 patients with Ig-associated membranoproliferative GN. We used linear regression, survival analysis, and Cox proportional hazards models to assess the relationship between histologic and clinical parameters with outcome.

RESULTS

Frequent biopsy features were mesangial expansion and hypercellularity, glomerular basement membrane double contours, and endocapillary hypercellularity. Multivariable analysis showed negative associations between eGFR and crescents, interstitial inflammation, and interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy. Proteinuria positively associated with endocapillary hypercellularity and glomerular basement membrane double contours. Analysis of second native biopsies did not demonstrate associations between immunosuppression treatment and improvement in histology. Using a composite outcome, risk of progression to kidney failure associated with eGFR and proteinuria at the time of biopsy, cellular/fibrocellular crescents, segmental sclerosis, and interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Our detailed assessment of kidney biopsy data indicated that cellular/fibrocellular crescents and interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy scores were significant determinants of deterioration in kidney function.

The Canadian Glomerulonephritis Registry (CGNR) and Translational Research Initiative: Rationale and Clinical Research Protocol

Background

Glomerulonephritis (GN) is a leading cause of kidney failure and accounts for 20% of incident cases of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) in Canada annually. Reversal of kidney injury and prevention of progression to kidney failure is possible; however, limited knowledge of underlying disease mechanisms and lack of noninvasive biomarkers and therapeutic targets are major barriers to successful therapeutic intervention. Multicenter approaches that link longitudinal clinical and outcomes data with serial biologic specimen collection would help bridge this gap.

Objective

To establish a national, patient-centered, multidimensional web-based clinical database and federated virtual biobank to conduct human-based molecular and clinical research in GN in Canada.

Design

Multicenter, prospective observational registry, starting in 2019.

Setting

Nine participating Canadian tertiary care centers.

Patients

Adult patients with a histopathologic pattern of injury consistent with IgA nephropathy, focal and segmental glomerulosclerosis, minimal change disease, membranous nephropathy, C3 glomerulopathy, and membranoproliferative GN recruited within 24 months of biopsy.

Measurements

Initial visits include detailed clinical, histopathological, and laboratory data collection, blood, urine, and tonsil swab biospecimen collection, and a self-administered quality of life questionnaire. Follow-up clinical and laboratory data collection, biospecimen collection, and questionnaires are obtained every 6 months thereafter.

Methods

Patients receive care as defined by their physician, with study visits scheduled every 6 months. Patients are followed until death, dialysis, transplantation, or withdrawal from the study. Key outcomes include a composite of ESKD or a 40% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at 2 years, rate of kidney function decline, and remission of proteinuria. Clinical and molecular phenotypical data will be analyzed by GN subtype to identify disease predictors and discover therapeutic targets.

Limitations

Given the relative rarity of individual glomerular diseases, one of the major challenges is patient recruitment. Initial registry studies may be underpowered to detect small differences in clinically meaningful outcomes such as ESKD or death due to small sample sizes and short duration of follow-up in the initial 2-year phase of the study.

Conclusions

The Canadian Glomerulonephritis Registry (CGNR) supports national collaborative efforts to study glomerular disease patients and their outcomes.

Trial registration

NCT03460054.

Immunoglobulin A nephropathy is characterized by anti-commensal humoral immune responses

IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is a leading cause of kidney failure, yet little is known about the immunopathogenesis of this disease. IgAN is characterized by deposition of IgA in the kidney glomeruli, but the source and stimulus for IgA production are not known. Clinical and experimental data suggest a role for aberrant immune responses to mucosal microbiota in IgAN, and in some countries with high disease prevalence, tonsillectomy is regarded as standard-of-care therapy. To evaluate the relationship between microbiota and mucosal immune responses, we characterized the tonsil microbiota in patients with IgAN versus nonrelated household-matched control group participants and identified increased carriage of the genus Neisseria and elevated Neisseria-targeted serum IgA in IgAN patients. We reverse-translated these findings in experimental IgAN driven by BAFF overexpression in BAFF-transgenic mice rendered susceptible to Neisseria infection by introduction of a humanized CEACAM-1 transgene (B × hC-Tg). Colonization of B × hC-Tg mice with Neisseria yielded augmented levels of systemic Neisseria-specific IgA. Using a custom ELISPOT assay, we discovered anti-Neisseria–specific IgA-secreting cells within the kidneys of these mice. These findings suggest a role for cytokine-driven aberrant mucosal immune responses to oropharyngeal pathobionts, such as Neisseria, in the immunopathogenesis of IgAN. Furthermore, in the presence of excess BAFF, pathobiont-specific IgA can be produced in situ within the kidney.

Improving Clinical Trials for Anticomplement Therapies in Complement-Mediated Glomerulopathies: Report of a Scientific Workshop Sponsored by the National Kidney Foundation

Blocking the complement system as a therapeutic strategy has been proposed for numerous glomerular diseases but presents myriad questions and challenges, not the least of which is demonstrating efficacy and safety. In light of these potential issues and because there are an increasing number of anticomplement therapy trials either planned or under way, the National Kidney Foundation facilitated an all-virtual scientific workshop entitled "Improving Clinical Trials for Anti-Complement Therapies in Complement-Mediated Glomerulopathies." Attended by patient representatives and experts in glomerular diseases, complement physiology, and clinical trial design, the aim of this workshop was to develop standards applicable for designing and conducting clinical trials for anticomplement therapies across a wide spectrum of complement-mediated glomerulopathies. Discussions focused on study design, participant risk assessment and mitigation, laboratory measurements and biomarkers to support these studies, and identification of optimal outcome measures to detect benefit, specifically for trials in complement-mediated diseases. This report summarizes the discussions from this workshop and outlines consensus recommendations.

Evaluation of the Pharmacokinetics and Exposure-Response Relationship of Dapagliflozin in Patients without Diabetes and with Chronic Kidney Disease

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Dapagliflozin, a sodium-glucose co-transporter inhibitor, was originally developed as an oral glucose-lowering drug for the treatment of type 2 diabetes mellitus. Emerging data suggest that cardiovascular and kidney benefits extend to patients without diabetes. Limited pharmacological data are, however, available in patients without diabetes. We aimed to characterise the pharmacokinetic profile of dapagliflozin in patients with chronic kidney disease without type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Plasma samples were collected in a randomised, placebo-controlled, double-blind, cross-over trial (DIAMOND, NCT03190694, n = 53) that assessed the effects of 10 mg of dapagliflozin in patients with a glomerular filtration rate ≥ 25 mL/min/1.73 m² and proteinuria > 500 mg/day. Mixed-effects models were used to develop a pharmacokinetic model and to evaluate the association between plasma exposure and response.

RESULTS

Plasma concentrations (n = 430 observations) from 48 patients (mean age 50.8 years, mean glomerular filtration rate 57.9 mL/min/1.73 m², median proteinuria 1115 mg/24 h) were best described using a two-compartment model with first-order elimination. Apparent clearance and volume of distribution were 11.7 (95% confidence interval 10.7-12.7) L/h and 44.9 (95% confidence interval 39.0-50.9) L, respectively. Median dapagliflozin plasma exposure was 740.9 ng h/mL (2.5th-97.5th percentiles: 434.0-1615.3). Plasma exposure increased with decreasing kidney function. Every 100-ng h/mL increment in dapagliflozin plasma exposure was associated with a decrease in the urinary albumin:creatinine ratio (β = - 2.8%, p = 0.01), glomerular filtration rate (β = - 0.5 mL/min/1.73 m², p < 0.01) and systolic blood pressure (β = - 0.4 mmHg, p = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

The dapagliflozin plasma concentration-time profile in patients with non-diabetic kidney disease appears similar to the profile of patients with diabetic kidney disease described in the literature. Furthermore, the plasma exposure was associated with changes in risk markers for kidney disease.

Updating the International IgA Nephropathy Prediction Tool for use in children

Although IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is a common cause of glomerulonephritis in children, the absence of a method to predict disease progression limits personalized risk-based treatment decisions. The adult International IgAN Prediction Tool comprises two validated Cox survival models that predict a 50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or end stage kidney disease (ESKD) using clinical risk factors and Oxford MEST histology scores. Here, we updated the Prediction Tool for use in children using a multiethnic international cohort of 1,060 children with IgAN followed into adulthood. The updated pediatric Prediction Tool had better model fit than the original adult tool with lower Akaike Information Criterion, higher R²_D and similar C-statistics. However, calibration showed very poor agreement between predicted and observed risks likely due to the observed disease trajectory in children. Therefore, the Tool was updated using a secondary outcome of a 30% reduction in eGFR or ESKD, resulting in better R²_D (30.3%/22.2%) and similar C-statistics (0.74/0.68) compared to the adult tool but with good calibration. The trajectory of eGFR over time in children differed from adults being highly non-linear with an increase until 18 years old followed by a linear decline similar to that of adults. A higher predicted risk was associated with a smaller increase in eGFR followed by a more rapid decline, suggesting that children at risk of a 30% decrease in eGFR will eventually experience a larger 50% decrease in eGFR when followed into adulthood. As such, these two outcomes are analogous between pediatric and adult Prediction Tools. Thus, our pediatric Prediction Tool can accurately predict the risk of a 30% decline in eGFR or ESKD in children with IgAN.

How to optimize the design and implementation of risk prediction tools: focus group with patients with IgA nephropathy

Background

IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is a common type of chronic immune-mediated kidney disease with variable risk of progression to end-stage kidney disease. Risk stratification helps clinicians weight the potential risks and benefits of immunosuppressive therapy for individual patients, and can inform patient-centred communication. No prior research examined barriers of risk predication tools (RPT) specific to IgAN. The purpose of this study was to explore determinants (facilitators, barriers) of RPT use from the patient perspective.

Methods

We conducted a single focus group with English-speaking adults aged 18 or older with biopsy-proven IgAN. We asked about how they would use an IgAN RPT, and how to improve its design and implementation. We analyzed the transcript using constant comparison to inductively derive themes, and complied with qualitative research reporting criteria.

Results

The 5 participants were Caucasian men who varied in age from 35 to 55. The glomerular filtration rate ranged from 29 to 71 mL/min/1.73m², and proteinuria ranged from 0.36 to 1.41 g/d. Participants identified both benefits and harms of the risk score. They said physicians should first ask patients for permission to use it. To make it more useful, participants offered suggestions to enhance RTP design: visual display, information on how to interpret the risk score, risk categories, health implications, modifiable risk factors, multiple scenarios, and comparison with similar patients. They offered additional suggestions to enhance RPT implementation: it should not replace patient-provider discussion, it should be accompanied by self-management education so that patients can take an active role in their health. Participants appreciated information from members of the multidisciplinary team in addition to physicians. Participants also said that physicians should monitor patient emotions or concerns on an ongoing basis.

Conclusions

Patients with IgAN identified numerous ways to enhance the design and use of an RPT. Others could use this information to design and implement RPTs for patients with other conditions, but should employ user-centred design to develop RPTs that address patient preferences.

P0350THE DURATION OF PROTEINURIA REMISSION AND CLINICAL OUTCOMES IN IGA NEPHROPATHY

Background and Aims

A relative reduction in proteinuria has been proposed as a surrogate outcome for therapeutic trials in IgA nephropathy. It is currently unknown how long a reduction in proteinuria needs to be maintained in order to mitigate the long-term risk of disease progression. To address this knowledge gap we sought to quantify the association between duration of proteinuria remission and the risk of disease progression in IgA nephropathy.

Method

In this retrospective multi-ethnic international cohort of adult patients with biopsy-proven IgA nephropathy, we defined proteinuria remission based on three criteria: (i) peak proteinuria on/after biopsy ≥1g/day; (ii) an absolute reduction in proteinuria to &lt;1g/day; (iii) a ≥25% reduction in proteinuria from the peak value. The exposure of interest was the total duration of first remission, treated as a time-varying covariate using longitudinal proteinuria measurements. The primary outcome was the occurrence of end-stage kidney disease or a sustained 50% reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). The association between duration of remission and the primary outcome was visualized using restricted cubic splines, and quantified using extended Cox proportional hazards regression models.

Results

A total of 1864 patients met criteria for remission, which occurred a median of 8.3 months after biopsy (IQR 3.6-22). They had a median age of 36.8 (IQR 29.4-46.6) years and a median eGFR of 78 (IQR 55-104) mL/min/1.73m2. Median proteinuria was 1.54 (IQR 1.09-2.4) g/day at the time of biopsy and 0.55 (IQR 0.33-0.76) g/day at the time of entering remission. During a median follow-up of 3.9 years, 274 patients (14.7%) experienced the primary outcome. The relationship between duration of proteinuria remission and the primary outcome was non-linear (Figure). Each 3 months in sustained remission up to 51 months was associated with an additional 9% reduction in the risk of disease progression (hazard ratio 0.91, 95% confidence interval 0.89-0.93). In contrast, each additional 3 months in remission beyond 51 months was associated with a smaller non-significant risk reduction (hazard ratio 0.99, 95% confidence interval 0.96-1.03). These finding were robust to multivariable adjustment and were consistent across subgroups based on the MEST histology score, and whether or not the remission occurred while on renin-angiotensin-aldosterone-system blockade or after immunosuppression treatment. Results were similar when relapse was defined as either a 50% or 100% increase in proteinuria from the nadir value after remission to an absolute value of ≥1g/day.

Conclusion

We observed a strong non-linear dose-response relationship between the duration of proteinuria remission and the risk of disease progression in patients with IgA nephropathy. The ability to quantitate the renal survival benefit related to the duration of remission is an important advance for patients and their physicians. Rather than there being a minimum duration of proteinuria remission in IgA nephropathy, our results demonstrate that even short durations in remission, or small increases in remission duration, are both associated with significant reductions in the risk of disease progression. For future therapeutic trials in IgA nephropathy using proteinuria as a surrogate outcome, our findings illustrate the need to consider the duration of proteinuria reduction, in addition to the magnitude of proteinuria reduction, when evaluating the anticipated treatment effect on long-term clinical endpoints.

Improving treatment decisions using personalized risk assessment from the International IgA Nephropathy Prediction Tool

Immunosuppression in IgA nephropathy (IgAN) should be reserved for patients at high-risk of disease progression, which KDIGO guidelines determine based solely on proteinuria 1g or more/day. To investigate if treatment decisions can be more accurately accomplished using individualized risk from the International IgAN Prediction Tool, we simulated allocation of a hypothetical immunosuppression therapy in an international cohort of adults with IgAN. Two decision rules for treatment were applied based on proteinuria of 1g or more/day or predicted risk from the Prediction Tool above a threshold probability. An appropriate decision was defined as immunosuppression allocated to patients experiencing the primary outcome (50% decline in eGFR or ESKD) and withheld otherwise. The net benefit and net reduction in treatment are the proportion of patients appropriately allocated to receive or withhold immunosuppression, adjusted for the harm from inappropriate decisions, calculated for all threshold probabilities from 0-100%. Of 3299 patients followed for 5.1 years, 522 (15.8%) experienced the primary outcome. Treatment allocation based solely on proteinuria of 1g or more/day had a negative net benefit (was harmful) because immunosuppression was increasingly allocated to patients without progressive disease. Compared to using proteinuria, treatment allocation using the Prediction Tool had a larger net benefit up to 23.4% (95% confidence interval 21.5-25.2%) and a larger net reduction in treatment up to 35.1% (32.3-37.8%). Thus, allocation of immunosuppression to high-risk patients with IgAN can be substantially improved using the Prediction Tool compared to using proteinuria.

The genetic architecture of membranous nephropathy and its potential to improve non-invasive diagnosis

Membranous Nephropathy (MN) is a rare autoimmune cause of kidney failure. Here we report a genome-wide association study (GWAS) for primary MN in 3,782 cases and 9,038 controls of East Asian and European ancestries. We discover two previously unreported loci, NFKB1 (rs230540, OR = 1.25, P = 3.4 × 10-12) and IRF4 (rs9405192, OR = 1.29, P = 1.4 × 10-14), fine-map the PLA2R1 locus (rs17831251, OR = 2.25, P = 4.7 × 10-103) and report ancestry-specific effects of three classical HLA alleles: DRB1*1501 in East Asians (OR = 3.81, P = 2.0 × 10-49), DQA1*0501 in Europeans (OR = 2.88, P = 5.7 × 10-93), and DRB1*0301 in both ethnicities (OR = 3.50, P = 9.2 × 10-23 and OR = 3.39, P = 5.2 × 10-82, respectively). GWAS loci explain 32% of disease risk in East Asians and 25% in Europeans, and correctly re-classify 20-37% of the cases in validation cohorts that are antibody-negative by the serum anti-PLA2R ELISA diagnostic test. Our findings highlight an unusual genetic architecture of MN, with four loci and their interactions accounting for nearly one-third of the disease risk.

Management and treatment of glomerular diseases (part 2): conclusions from a Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) Controversies Conference

In November 2017, the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) initiative brought a diverse panel of experts in glomerular diseases together to discuss the 2012 KDIGO glomerulonephritis guideline in the context of new developments and insights that had occurred over the years since its publication. During this KDIGO Controversies Conference on Glomerular Diseases, the group examined data on disease pathogenesis, biomarkers, and treatments to identify areas of consensus and areas of controversy. This report summarizes the discussions on primary podocytopathies, lupus nephritis, anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated nephritis, complement-mediated kidney diseases, and monoclonal gammopathies of renal significance.

Management and treatment of glomerular diseases (part 1): conclusions from a Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) Controversies Conference

The Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) initiative organized a Controversies Conference on glomerular diseases in November 2017. The conference focused on the 2012 KDIGO guideline with the aim of identifying new insights into nomenclature, pathogenesis, diagnostic work-up, and, in particular, therapy of glomerular diseases since the guideline's publication. It was the consensus of the group that most guideline recommendations, in particular those dealing with therapy, will need to be revisited by the guideline-updating Work Group. This report covers general management of glomerular disease, IgA nephropathy, and membranous nephropathy.