Age- and sex-based ranges of platelet count and cause-specific mortality risk in an adult general population: prospective findings from the Moli-sani study

Platelet count varies by age, sex and ethnicity. However, previous studies have adopted standard ranges to identify subjects with thrombocytopenia or thrombocytosis. The aim of this study was to test the predictive role of age-sex-based cut-offs of platelet count proposed by an Italian collaborative study, towards the risk of cause-specific death. We conducted a prospective analysis on 21,563 adult subjects (mean age 55.6 ± 11.8) randomised from the general population of the Moli-sani study. Hazard ratios (HR) were calculated by multivariable Cox-proportional hazard models with 95% confidence intervals. Over a median follow-up of 8.2 years (interquartile range: 7.3 to 9.2 years; 175,972 person-years), we ascertained and validated 1,130 deaths, 415 of which are from cardiovascular disease, 439 from cancer and 276 from non-vascular/non-cancer causes. As opposed to the normal ranges defined by age and sex (extreme values from 122 to 405 x10⁹/L), lower platelet number (87.7% of values being higher than 100x10⁹/L) was associated with increased risk of total (HR = 1.92; 95%CI 1.38-2.67), cancer (HR = 1.77; 95%CI 1.03-3.05), and non-cardiovascular/non-cancer mortality (HR = 3.16; 95%CI 1.84-5.42) but was unrelated to cardiovascular mortality. Higher platelet count was not associated with any death risk. In conclusion, age-sex-based low platelet count, well above the traditional lower normal range of <100 x10⁹/L, is associated with increased total and specific mortality risk in a general population.

Socio-cultural determinants of physical activity across the life course: a 'Determinants of Diet and Physical Activity' (DEDIPAC) umbrella systematic literature review

OBJECTIVE

Regular physical activity (PA) reduces the risk of disease and premature death. Knowing factors associated with PA might help reducing the disease and economic burden caused by low activity. Studies suggest that socio-cultural factors may affect PA, but systematic overviews of findings across the life course are scarce. This umbrella systematic literature review (SLR) summarizes and evaluates available evidence on socio-cultural determinants of PA in children, adolescents, and adults.

METHODS

This manuscript was drafted following the recommendations of the 'Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses' (PRISMA) checklist. The MEDLINE, Web of Science, Scopus, and SPORTDiscus databases were searched for SLRs and meta-analyses (MAs) on observational studies published in English that assessed PA determinants between January 2004 and April 2016. The methodological quality was assessed and relevant information on socio-cultural determinants and any associations with PA was extracted. The available evidence was evaluated based on the importance of potential determinants and the strength of the evidence.

RESULTS

Twenty SLRs and three MAs encompassing 657 eligible primary studies investigated potential socio-cultural PA determinants, with predominantly moderate methodological quality. Twenty-nine potential PA determinants were identified that were primarily assessed in children and adolescents and investigated the micro-environmental home/household level. We found probable evidence that receiving encouragement from significant others and having a companion for PA were associated with higher PA in children and adolescents, and that parental marital status (living with partner) and experiencing parental modeling were not associated with PA in children. Evidence for the other potential determinants was limited, suggestive, or non-conclusive. In adults, quantitative and conclusive data were scarce.

CONCLUSIONS

A substantial number of SLRs and MAs investigating potential socio-cultural determinants of PA were identified. Our data suggest that receiving social support from significant others may increase PA levels in children and adolescents, whereas parental marital status is not a determinant in children. Evidence for other potential determinants was limited. This was mainly due to inconsistencies in results on potential socio-cultural determinants of PA across reviews and studies.

TRIAL REGISTRATIONS

This umbrella SLR was recorded on PROSPERO (Record ID: CRD42015010616 ).

Health-related quality of life and risk of composite coronary heart disease and cerebrovascular events in the Moli-sani study cohort

Background To assess the association between health-related quality of life (HRQL) and a composite outcome including incident coronary heart disease (CHD) and cerebrovascular events in a large general population-based cohort. Design Prospective analysis on 17,102 men and women (mean age 53 ± 11) free from cardiovascular disease at time of enrolment in the Moli-sani cohort (2005-2010). Methods HRQL was assessed by the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey. Hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated using multivariable Cox-proportional hazard models. Results At the end of follow-up (median 4.2 years), 237 new events occurred (coronary heart disease n = 197, cerebrovascular disease n = 42). In a multivariable model adjusted for socioeconomic factors, chronic disease and health-related behaviours, both mental and physical HRQL were inversely associated with the risk of the composite outcome (hazard ratio = 0.57; 0.39-0.84 and hazard ratio = 0.62; 0.40-0.94, respectively; highest vs. lowest quartile). Further adjustment for C-reactive protein marginally modified the association with physical HRQL (hazard ratio = 0.67; 0.43-1.02). Similar findings were obtained when only CHD events were analysed (hazard ratio = 0.63; 0.41-0.96 for highest versus lowest mental HRQL) although results with physical HRQL were no longer significant (hazard ratio = 0.65; 0.40-1.04 for highest versus lowest quartile). Associations with incident cerebrovascular disease showed a trend toward protection (hazard ratio = 0.50; 0.22-1.17 and hazard ratio = 0.51; 0.22-1.23 for highest versus lowest tertile of mental and physical HRQL, respectively). Conclusions HRQL is an independent predictor of composite CHD/cerebrovascular outcomes in an adult population. The magnitude of the association was not affected either by socioeconomic factors, health conditions or health-related behaviours. Improvement of quality of life may be a major factor in targeting appropriate prevention strategies for cardiovascular health.

Effect of Lipid-Lowering Treatment on Factor VII Profile in Hyperlipidemic Patients

A link has been suggested between blood lipids and hemostatic activation. Factor VII (FVII) is a coagulation factor which plays a pivotal role in fibrin generation and thrombus formation. Clinical trials have demonstrated that inhibitors of 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl-coenzyme A (HMG-CoA) reductase greatly reduce cardiovascular events in patients with and without coronary artery disease but few data, at this time, are available on the effects of lipid-lowering treatment on factor VII levels. We studied thirty-six IIA and IIB type hyperlipidemic patients who, after a preliminary period of lipid-lowering diet, added atorvastatin (20 mg/daily) or continued dietary treatment alone until they achieved LDL-C recommended levels (< 4 mmol/L). Four to six weeks of lipid lowering treatment with diet plus atorvastatin, produced a significant reduction in FVII coagulant activity (FVIIc) and antigen (FVIIAg). No significant changes were observed in activated FVII (FVIIa). The lipid-lowering treatment with diet alone induced an improved lipid pattern, but no significant changes in FVII profile. Our study suggests a significant effect of lipid-lowering treatment on FVII levels. A possibile nonlipid mechanism that modifies FVII pathway may be suggested.

Experimental Arterial Thrombosis in Genetically or Diet Induced Hyperlipidemia in Rats

To investigate the relationship among lipids, coagulation and thrombosis in the absence of atherosclerosis, spontaneous or dietary-induced hyperlipidemic (FHL) rats were studied. FHL showed higher levels of coagulation factors VII, IX, X, VIII and XII and a shortening of the occlusion time (OT) of an artificial arterial prosthesis as compared with normolipidemic (FNL) animals. Damage of abdominal aorta of FHL was followed by increased fibrin deposition in the vascular intima as compared to FNL. After 5 months of cholesterol-rich diet FNL showed increased cholesterol, triglycerides and factor II, VII, IX, X, XII levels. A significant shortening of the OT and increased fibrin deposition was also observed. Two-month diet withdrawal restored the initial condition. Warfarin treatment, at a dose decreasing vitamin K-dependent factor to levels found in FNL, prolonged the OT and reduced fibrin deposition, without modifying F XII or changing lipid profile. An increase in the activated form of F VII was observed. In contrast, no difference was found in F VII clearance. High lipid levels favour the process of thrombus formation by increasing the activation of vitamin K-dependent coagulation factors. Low-dose warfarin treatment reverts the prothrombotic effect of hyper-lipidemia.

Helicobacter Pylori Infection and the Risk of Myocardial Infarction: Role of Fibrinogen and Its Genetic Control

The contribution of Helicobacter pylori (HP) infection to the risk of myocardial infarction was evaluated. The role of fibrinogen and its genetic control as a possibile mechanism by which HP may influence myocardial infarction risk was explored in this context. A case-control study was performed in 101 patients with myocardial infarction and in 101 controls.

HP infection was associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction independently for confounding variables (OR 4.1, CI95: 1.8-9.4). HP infection was significantly associated with higher levels of fibrinogen, both in cases and in controls. Furthermore, there was an additive effect of HP infection and B2 allele of BclI fibrinogen poly-morphism in increasing fibrinogen levels. HP infection showed a stronger effect on the risk of myocardial infarction in B2 allele carriers (OR 7.6, CI95: 1.8-31.6) as compared to subjects carrying the B1B1 genotype (OR 3.3, CI95: 1.2-9.2).

We showed that a previous HP infection is a risk factor for myocardial infarction. An increase in fibrinogen levels is a possible mechanism by which HP may act. Concomitant conditions, like a genetic predisposition in increasing fibrinogen levels, seem to further increase the effect of HP on myocardial infarction risk.

4G/5G Promoter PAI-1 Gene Polymorphism Is Associated with Plasmatic PAI-1 Activity in Italians: A Model of Gene-Environment Interaction

The PAI-1 gene promoter 4G/5G polymorphism was found to be associated with plasma PAI-1 activity in Northern and Central Europe populations, but no data are available on the association between this polymorphism and PAI-1 levels in Southern Europe countries (such as Italy) where the incidence of ischemic disorders is lower. This study shows that among populations with different incidence of atherothrombotic disorders the 4G/5G PAI-1 gene promoter polymorphism has the same importance in the regulation of plasma PAI-1 activity.

Moreover, we have analysed some gene-environmental interactions: the correlation between PAI-1 and cholesterol in non dyslipidemic subjects and the correlation between PAI-1 activity and tryglicerides in dyslipidemic subjects differed according to the 4G/5G genotype class. Thus, our findings suggest that, among subjects with or without metabolic disorders such as dyslipidemia, completely different gene-environment interactions may occur.

The E27 β2-adrenergic Receptor Polymorphism Reduces the Risk of Myocardial Infarction in Dyslipidemic Young Males

In the present study we evaluated whether two polymorphisms of β2-adrenergic receptors (β2-AR) gene (R16G and Q27E) could modify the risk of myocardial infarction (MI).

Using a case-control design, we analyzed the data from 125 male patients who had experienced a first episode of MI before the age of 45 years and 108 male controls matched for age. The allele frequencies for R16G and Q27E were: G16=0.56 and E27=0.36 in patients with MI and G16=0.61 and E27=0.42 in the control group. There was a trend (not statistically significant) of decreasing MI risk according to E27 or G16 alleles. Combined effect between E27 allele and history of dyslipidemia has been observed. Whereas dyslipidemia conferred a relative risk of MI of 4.8 (P<0.001) compared with normolipidemia in the entire study population, the relative risk increased to 9.0 (P<0.001) in Q27 homozygotes with dyslipidemia, and decreased to 1.8 (P=0.36) in E27 homozygotes.

Our results show that the E27 allele of the β2-adrenergic receptor has a significant protective effect on MI in dyslipidemic young male.

Platelet Glycoprotein Receptor IIIa Polymorphism PlA1/PlA2 and Coronary Risk: a Meta-Analysis

Membrane glycoprotein IIb/IIIa plays a major role in platelet function. The gene encoding the glycoprotein IIIa shows a common polymorphism PlA1/PlA2 that was variably associated with vascular disease. To clarify the role of PlA1/PlA2 polymorphism in coronary risk, a meta-analysis of published data was conducted. Studies were identified both by MEDLINE searches, and hand searching of journals and abstract books.

A total of 34 studies for coronary artery disease (CAD), and 6 for restenosis after revascularization were identified, for a total of 9,095 cases and 12,508 controls. In CAD, the overall odds ratio for carriers of the PlA2 allele was 1.10 (95% CI: 1.03 to 1.18), and it was 1.21 (95% CI: 1.05 to 1.38) in subjects younger than 60. Overall odds ratio was 1.31 (95% CI: 1.10 to 1.56) after revascularization procedures.

The association of PlA2 status with overall cardiovascular disease in the general population is significant but weak; higher risk has been identified in less heterogeneous subgroups as in the younger cohorts and in the restenosis subset with stents.

Timing of surgical correction for the treatment of unilateral congenital ptosis: Effects on cosmetic and functional results

The authors analyzed the cosmetic and functional results of a series of patients with unilateral congenital ptosis who underwent levator resection, to compare the outcome of surgery according to the age of intervention, and to evaluate the chance of ptosis recurrence in different age groups. Analysis of the clinical charts of 44 patients who underwent a unilateral levator muscle resection under the care of one surgeon from February 2000 to March 2012 was performed. Age at the time of surgery ranged from 2.1 to 12 years. The study population was divided into different groups according to the age of surgery. Preoperative evaluation included measurements of upper eyelid margin reflex distance (MRD1), levator function, frontalis function, and complete extraocular motility examination. This study adheres to the principles outlined in the Declaration of Helsinki. The patients' follow-up ranged between 2 and 12 years. The outcome of surgery was more satisfactory (MRD1 increase: p < 0.002) and the increase of levator function was better (p < 0.0001) when surgery was performed in children aged 2 to 4 years. No ptosis recurrence was observed in children aged 2 to 4 years, as opposed to 6 (22%) children of other groups (p = 0.067). Unilateral levator resection effectively reduces the asymmetry between eyelids. The age of the operation appears to influence the outcome of surgery, as in this series cosmetic and functional results are better and the rate of ptosis recurrence is lower if the child is operated on before the age of 4 years.

Determinants of platelet conjugate formation with polymorphonuclear leukocytes or monocytes in whole blood

Following preliminary in-vitro experiments, platelet-leukocyte conjugates and their determinants were evaluated in citrated whole blood from 349 subjects (209 women, age 16–92 years) randomly recruited from the general population. Platelet activation by ADP/collagen but not leukocyte stimulation by fMLP or LTB4 resulted in formation of platelet conjugates with PMN or monocytes. In the population study, mixed cell conjugates, platelet P-selectin and leukocyte CD11b were measured by flow cytometry both at baseline and after in-vitro stimulation with ADP/collagen. The latter significantly increased platelet conjugates with either PMN or monocytes, platelet P-selectin and leukocyte CD11b expression. Platelet count significantly correlated with platelet-PMN, platelet-monocyte conjugates and P-selectin both at baseline and upon stimulation. In all conditions, both conjugate levels correlated with each other, when adjusted for gender, age and platelet count. Age correlated with platelet-PMN conjugate numbers in basal and stimulated conditions and with basal P-selectin. ADP/collagen stimulation resulted in higher P-selectin and conjugates values in women. Among risk factors, a significant correlation was found between conjugate and glucose levels. In conclusion, the presence and formation in whole blood from a large population of plateletleukocyte conjugates reflects primary platelet – but not leukocyte – activation and varies with gender, age, platelet count and blood glucose.

Cardiovascular risk factors and global risk of fatal cardiovascular disease are positively correlated between partners of 802 married couples from different European countries

Shared environmental factors may confer to spouses a similar risk for cardiovascular disease. We aimed at investigating in pairs the concordance in risk factors for cardiovascular disease and in global risk of cardiovascular events. In the framework of the IMMIDIET Project, married couples, recruited randomly from general practice, were studied. One thousand six hundred and four apparently healthy subjects aged 25–74 years from three different European populations were enrolled. Individual cardiovascular risks were estimated using SCORE risk equations. Age was strongly correlated within couples (r=0.86, P<0.0001). In multivariate model, within-pair correlation was high for social status (r=049; percentage of explained variation=24%) and percent of calories from lipids (r=0.34; 12%). Concerning conventional metabolic risk factors, percentage of explained variation varied from 0.5% (triglycerides) to 11% (glucose). Among new risk factors, activated factor VII showed the strongest correlation (r=0.28) and C-reactive protein the lowest (r=0.13). Either total, coronary or non-coronary risk estimates at 10 years were strongly correlated within pairs: the risk of a member explained about two thirds of the cardiovascular risk of the partner. Spouse pairs share common lifestyle habits, common and new metabolic risk factors and the predicted global risk of cardiovascular events. If the individual risk of a person is influenced by the risk of his/her partner, decreasing the risk in a member of the pair should also decrease the risk in the partner. These concepts may have important public health consequences in targeting screening or disease prevention measures towards partners of people with cardiovascular risk.

Mean platelet volume is associated with lower risk of overall and non-vascular mortality in a general population

Larger mean platelet volume (MPV) has been associated with adverse health outcomes in high-risk populations or patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD). We tested the association of MPV with mortality in a prospective cohort study including 17,402 subjects randomly recruited from an adult general population within the Moli-sani study (2005–2010). Two distinct subgroups (with or without CVD at baseline) were subsequently analysed. Hazard ratios (HR) were calculated using multivariable Cox-proportional hazard models. Over a median follow up of eight years (137,547 person-years), 925 all-cause deaths occurred (330 vascular, 351 cancer and 244 other deaths). In a multivariable model, the highest MPV quintile (mean MPV=10.0 fL), as compared to the lowest one, was associated with reduced risk of overall mortality (HR=0.79; 95 % confidence interval 0.64–0.98), cancer death (HR=0.70; 0.49–1.00) and death from other non- vascular/non cancer causes (HR=0.55; 0.36–0.84) but not with vascular mortality. The inverse association with overall death appeared even stronger in the subgroup without CVD at baseline (HR=0.64; 0.50–0.81). In contrast, within 920 subjects reporting a previous CVD event, larger MPV was associated with higher risk of total mortality (HR=1.69; 1.05–2.72; p for interaction=0.048) and with a trend of risk for other cause-specific deaths. In conclusion, larger MPV is associated with lower risk of overall and non-vascular death in subjects apparently free from CVD, but appears to be a predictive marker of death in patients with CVD history. The latter is a likely effect modifier of the association between MPV and death.

Postprandial cell inflammatory response to a standardised fatty meal in subjects at different degree of cardiovascular risk

A fatty meal may represent a challenge of in vivo acute inflammatory reaction. We evaluated the acute effects of a standardised fatty meal administration on leukocytes and platelets and on their interactions on 61 subjects at different degree of cardiovascular risk, without any clinical event. Before and 2 hours after a fatty meal, blood cells were counted and markers of leukocyte (intracellular myeloperoxidase [MPO] and Mac-1) and platelet (P-selectin and microparticles) activation and mixed platelet-leukocyte conjugates measured by flow-cytometry. After the fatty meal, both white blood cell and platelet count significantly increased, more markedly in subjects with lower cardiovascular risk score. Mac-1 expression too increased (from 32.2 ± 27.2% to 45.6 ± 29.0%, p=0.0016), while MPO decreased (from 83.1 ± 16.3% to 64.5 ± 23.1%, p<0.0001). A trend for increased platelet activation and interaction with leukocytes was also observed. Women were more markedly susceptible to fatty meal challenge, as compared to men, while age did not seem to affect any cell response to fatty meal. Waist-to-hip ratio and body mass index influenced polymorphonuclear cells (PMN) degranulation and platelet count increase, respectively. Cellular responses to the fatty meal, in particular PMN degranulation, were attenuated in subjects at higher degree of cardiovascular risk, who showed a basal mild inflammatory activation status. In conclusion, a fatty meal consumption may represent a model of acute inflammatory response and appears to be modulated by different demographic and cardiovascular risk degree. This model could be applied to study the effect of food-derived antioxidants or nutritional supplements, but its relevance remains to be demonstrated.

Elevated levels of D-dimers increase the risk of ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke

Elevated D-dimer levels are reportedly associated with coronary artery disease. It was the study objective to investigate the association of baseline D-dimer levels with strokes that occurred in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition-Italy cohort. Using a nested case-cohort design, a centre-–stratified sample of 832 subjects (66 % women, age 35–71) was selected as subcohort and compared with 289 strokes in a mean follow-up of nine years. D-dimers were measured by an automated latex-enhanced immunoassay (HemosIL-IL). The multivariable hazard ratios were estimated by a Cox regression model using Prentice method. Individuals with elevated D-dimer levels had significantly higher risk of incident stroke. It was evident from the second quartile (D-dimers > 100 ng/ml) and persisted almost unchanged for higher D-dimers (hazard ratio [HR] 2.10, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.28–3.47; 2.42, 95 %CI: 1.44–4.09 and 2.10, 95 %CI: 1.27–3.48 for the second, third or fourth quartile compared with the lowest quartile, respectively). The association was independent of several confounders, including triglycerides and C-reactive protein. No differences were observed in men and women (P for interaction= 0.46), in hypertensive or non-hypertensive subjects (P for interaction= 0.88) or in subjects with low (< 1 mg/l) or elevated (≥ 1 mg/l) C-reactive protein (P for interaction=0.35). After stratification for stroke type, the hazard ratio for every standard deviation increase was statistically significant both for ischaemic (1.21; 95 %CI: 1.01 to 1.45) and haemorrhagic (1.24; 95 %CI: 1.00 to 1.65) strokes. In conclusion, our data provide clear evidence that elevated levels of D-dimers are potential risk factors not only for ischaemic but also for haemorrhagic strokes.

Sex Differences and Similarities in Atrial Fibrillation Epidemiology, Risk Factors, and Mortality in Community Cohorts: Results From the BiomarCaRE Consortium (Biomarker for Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Europe)

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common cardiac disease in aging populations with high comorbidity and mortality. Sex differences in AF epidemiology are insufficiently understood.

METHODS

In N=79 793 individuals without AF diagnosis at baseline (median age, 49.6 years; age range, 24.1-97.6 years; 51.7% women) from 4 community-based European studies (FINRISK, DanMONICA, Moli-sani Northern Sweden) of the BiomarCaRE consortium (Biomarker for Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Europe), we examined AF incidence, its association with mortality, common risk factors, biomarkers, and prevalent cardiovascular disease, and their attributable risk by sex. Median follow-up time was 12.6 (to a maximum of 28.2) years.

RESULTS

Fewer AF cases were observed in women (N=1796; 4.4%), than in men (N=2465; 6.4%). Cardiovascular risk factor distribution and lipid profile at baseline were less beneficial in men than in women, and cardiovascular disease was more prevalent in men. Cumulative incidence increased markedly after the age of 50 years in men and after 60 years in women. The lifetime risk was similar (>30%) for both sexes. Subjects with incident AF had a 3.5-fold risk of death in comparison with those without AF. Multivariable-adjusted models showed sex differences for the association of body mass index and AF (hazard ratio per standard deviation increase, 1.18; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.12-1.23 in women versus 1.31; 95% CI 1.25-1.38 in men; interaction P value of 0.001). Total cholesterol was inversely associated with incident AF with a greater risk reduction in women (hazard ratio per SD, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.81-0.90 versus 0.92; 95% CI, 0.88-0.97 in men; interaction P value of 0.023). No sex differences were seen for C-reactive protein and N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide. The population-attributable risk of all risk factors combined was 41.9% in women and 46.0% in men. About 20% of the risk was observed for body mass index.

CONCLUSIONS

Lifetime risk of AF was high, and AF was strongly associated with increased mortality both in women and men. Body mass index explained the largest proportion of AF risk. Observed sex differences in the association of body mass index and total cholesterol with AF need to be evaluated for underlying pathophysiology and relevance to sex-specific prevention strategies.

Moderate Alcohol Consumption Is Associated With Lower Risk for Heart Failure But Not Atrial Fibrillation

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to assess the hypothesis that alcohol consumption is associated with onset of atrial fibrillation (AF) and/or heart failure (HF).

BACKGROUND

The connection between ethanol intake and AF or HF remains controversial.

METHODS

The study population was 22,824 AF- or HF-free subjects (48% men, age ≥35 years) randomly recruited from the general population included in the Moli-sani study, for whom complete data on HF, AF, and alcohol consumption were available. The cohort was followed up to December 31, 2015, for a median of 8.2 years (183,912 person-years). Incident cases were identified through linkage to the Molise regional archive of hospital discharges. Hazard ratios were calculated using Cox proportional hazard models and cubic spline regression.

RESULTS

A total of 943 incident cases of HF and 554 of AF were identified. In comparison with never drinkers, both former and occasional drinkers showed comparable risk for developing HF. Drinking alcohol in the range of 1 to 4 drinks/day was associated with a lower risk for HF, with a 22% maximum risk reduction at 20 g/day, independent of common confounders. In contrast, no association of alcohol consumption with onset of AF was observed. Very similar results were obtained after restriction of the analyses to regular or only wine drinkers or according to sex, age, social status, or adherence to the Mediterranean diet.

CONCLUSIONS

Consumption of alcohol in moderation was associated with a lower incidence of HF but not with development of AF.

Determinants of social inequalities in stroke incidence across Europe: a collaborative analysis of 126 635 individuals from 48 cohort studies

BACKGROUND

Knowledge on the origins of the social gradient in stroke incidence in different populations is limited. This study aims to estimate the burden of educational class inequalities in stroke incidence and to assess the contribution of risk factors in determining these inequalities across Europe.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The MORGAM (MOnica Risk, Genetics, Archiving and Monograph) Study comprises 48 cohorts recruited mostly in the 1980s and 1990s in four European regions using standardised procedures for baseline risk factor assessment and fatal and non-fatal stroke ascertainment and adjudication during follow-up. Among the 126 635 middle-aged participants, initially free of cardiovascular diseases, generating 3788 first stroke events during a median follow-up of 10 years, we estimated differences in stroke rates and HRs for the least versus the most educated individuals.

RESULTS

Compared with their most educated counterparts, the overall age-adjusted excess hazard for stroke was 1.54 (95% CI 1.25 to 1.91) and 1.41 (95% CI 1.16 to 1.71) in least educated men and women, respectively, with little heterogeneity across populations. Educational class inequalities accounted for 86-413 and 78-156 additional stroke events per 100 000 person-years in the least compared with most educated men and women, respectively. The additional events were equivalent to 47%-130% and 40%-89% of the average incidence rates. Inequalities in risk factors accounted for 45%-70% of the social gap in incidence in the Nordic countries, the UK and Lithuania-Kaunas (men), but for no more than 17% in Central and South Europe. The major contributors were cigarette smoking, alcohol intake and body mass index.

CONCLUSIONS

Social inequalities in stroke incidence contribute substantially to the disease rates in Europe. Healthier lifestyles in the most disadvantaged individuals should have a prominent impact in reducing both inequalities and the stroke burden.