Changes in mortality after myocardial revascularization in the elderly. The national Medicare experience

OBJECTIVE

To examine secular changes in the use and outcome of percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty and cardiac bypass graft surgery in the elderly.

DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study based on a longitudinal database created from the administrative files of Medicare.

SETTING

U.S. hospitals that perform myocardial revascularization procedures covered by Medicare.

PATIENTS

225,915 consecutive patients who had angioplasty and 357,885 consecutive patients who had bypass surgery from 1987 to 1990.

MEASUREMENTS

The rates of angioplasty and bypass surgery use; unadjusted 30-day and 1-year mortality rates after revascularization; and adjusted odds ratios for mortality by year of procedure for 1987 to 1990.

RESULTS

From 1987 to 1990, the rates of angioplasty and bypass surgery done in the elderly increased by 55% and 18%, respectively. During this period, 30-day unadjusted mortality rates after angioplasty and bypass surgery decreased by 25% (95% CI, 22% to 28%) and 12% (CI, 10% to 14%), and 1-year mortality rates decreased by 10% (CI, 8% to 11%) and 8% (CI, 7% to 10%), respectively. After adjustment for changes in patient characteristics, 30-day mortality rates after these procedures decreased by 37% (CI, 32% to 41%) and 18% (CI, 14% to 21%), and 1-year mortality rates decreased by 22% (CI, 18% to 25%) and 19% (CI, 16% to 21%), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of cardiac revascularization procedures in the elderly has steadily increased. Patients who had revascularization are progressively older, have more coded comorbid conditions, and present with more acute diseases. Although elderly patients have apparently higher risk profiles, mortality rates after angioplasty and bypass surgery in the elderly have decreased, suggesting a national improvement in the outcomes of these interventions. Health policy decisions concerning revascularization procedures in the elderly must consider these trends in improved outcome.

The relation between the volume of coronary angioplasty procedures at hospitals treating Medicare beneficiaries and short-term mortality

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have found that hospitals at which more procedures, such as coronary-artery bypass grafting (CABG) and other vascular surgery, are performed have lower rates of mortality related to these procedures than hospitals where fewer such procedures are performed.

METHODS

We examined the relation between the number of percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) procedures performed at hospitals (volume) and short-term mortality in a population of 217,836 Medicare beneficiaries 65 years of age or older who underwent angioplasty in the United States from 1987 through 1990.

RESULTS

The unadjusted in-hospital mortality among patients who underwent PTCA increased from 2.5 percent among the 10 percent of patients treated in hospitals with the highest volume of such procedures to 3.9 percent among the 10 percent of patients treated in hospitals with the lowest volume. The rate of bypass surgery after PTCA also increased, from 2.8 percent among patients in the highest-volume hospitals to 5.3 percent among those in the lowest-volume hospitals. Higher rates of mortality and CABG persisted in all the groups of patients treated in hospitals that performed fewer than 100 angioplasty procedures per year in Medicare beneficiaries; this volume in Medicare beneficiaries can be extrapolated to an overall annual volume of 200 to 400 angioplasty procedures. In a logistic-regression model, the volume of PTCA procedures at a hospital was found to be a highly significant predictor of in-hospital mortality (P < 0.001). These results suggest that if the hospitals with the lowest volume had achieved the experience and technical results of the highest-volume hospitals, 381 fewer patients would have undergone CABG and there would have been 300 fewer in-hospital deaths in the population we studied.

CONCLUSIONS

Hospitals that perform more PTCA procedures have lower short-term mortality rates after the procedure. These data provide evidence in support of the regionalization of angioplasty services.

Absence of sex bias in the referral of patients for cardiac catheterization

BACKGROUND

It has been suggested that women with clinical evidence of coronary artery disease are less often referred for cardiac catheterization than are men. To determine whether there is sex-related bias in referral for cardiac catheterization, we prospectively studied a cohort of 410 symptomatic outpatients (280 men and 130 women) who were being evaluated with exercise testing for possible-coronary artery disease.

METHODS

Before the patients underwent exercise testing, 15 cardiologists from an academic medical center were asked to predict the probability that the patients they saw in the cardiology clinic would have angiographic evidence of any obstructive coronary disease (stenosis of 75 percent or more); the probability of severe coronary disease (three-vessel or left main coronary artery disease); the probability of left main coronary artery disease; and the probability of survival one, three, and five years after the evaluation. Similar predictions were generated by previously validated statistical models with use of data collected before exercise testing from the history, physical examination, and 12-lead electrocardiography with the patient at rest.

RESULTS

Overall, women were referred for cardiac catheterization significantly less often than men (18 percent vs. 27 percent, P = 0.03). As compared with men, women had a significantly lower pretest probability of coronary disease (as estimated by their physicians) and a lower rate of positive exercise-test results. After accounting for differences in these two factors, sex was not an independent predictor of referral for catheterization. Comparing physicians' estimates of outcome with those generated by the statistical models revealed no evidence that the physicians were underestimating the risk of coronary disease in women. Furthermore, physicians' predictions did not underestimate the probability of any obstructive coronary disease in men and women who subsequently underwent catheterization.

CONCLUSIONS

Academic cardiologists made appropriately lower pretest predictions of categories of disease in women with possible coronary artery disease than in men, and these assessments, along with women's lower rate of positive exercise tests, rather than bias based on sex, accounted for the lower rate of catheterization among women.

Programmed Outcome Research Teams (PORTs) and implications for clinical practice

The spiraling cost of health care has created a health care crisis. Concerns about the appropriate use of expensive medical technologies have been heightened by health services research studies that demonstrate widespread and dramatic geographic variability in the use of tests and procedures. The Agency for Health Care Policy and Research has funded 14 Programmed Outcome Research Teams (PORTs) targeted at specific disease entities. The PORT in ischemic heart disease is examining 2 principal decisions--which patients should undergo cardiac catheterization and, following catheterization, how patients should be treated. The PORT in ischemic heart disease combines information from the literature, 18 databases, and patient preference studies in models examining these 2 decisions. The databases have also been used to develop statistical models that estimate outcomes with different therapies. The benefit of a therapy in a population can be illustrated using an empirically derived, marginal value curve that describes the expected improvement in outcome (e.g., survival) that accrues with additional procedures performed in patients who are most likely to benefit.

Discordance of databases designed for claims payment versus clinical information systems. Implications for outcomes research

OBJECTIVE

To determine the suitability of insurance claims information for use in clinical outcomes research in ischemic heart disease.

DESIGN

Concordance study of two databases.

SETTING

Tertiary care referral center.

PATIENTS

A total of 12,937 consecutive patients hospitalized for cardiac catheterization for suspected ischemic heart disease between July 1985 and May 1990.

INTERVENTIONS

Two-by-two tables were used to compute overall and kappa measures of agreement comparing clinical versus claims data for 12 important predictors of prognosis in patients with ischemic heart disease.

MEASUREMENTS

Kappa statistics (agreement adjusted for chance agreement) were used to quantify agreement rates.

RESULTS

Agreement rates between the clinical and claims databases ranged from 0.83 for the diagnosis of diabetes to 0.09 for the diagnosis of unstable angina (kappa values). Claims data failed to identify more than one half of the patients with prognostically important conditions, including mitral insufficiency, congestive heart failure, peripheral vascular disease, old myocardial infarction, hyperlipidemia, cerebrovascular disease, tobacco use, angina, and unstable angina, when compared with the clinical information system.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that insurance claims data lack important diagnostic and prognostic information when compared with concurrently collected clinical data in the study of ischemic heart disease. Thus, insurance claims data are not as useful as clinical data for identifying clinically relevant patient groups and for adjusting for risk in outcome studies, such as analyses of hospital mortality.

Impact of glucose self-monitoring on non-insulin-treated patients with type II diabetes mellitus. Randomized controlled trial comparing blood and urine testing

The goal of this study was to compare the relative efficacy and cost of self-monitoring of blood glucose (SMBG) with routine urine testing in the management of patients with type II (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus not treated with insulin. Fifty-four patients with type II diabetes mellitus, not treated with insulin, who had inadequate glucose control on diet alone or diet and oral hypoglycemic agents were studied. Patients performed SMBG or urine glucose testing as part of a standardized treatment program that also included diet and exercise counseling. During the 6-mo study, both the urine-testing and SMBG groups showed similar improvement in glycemic control; within each group, there were significant improvements in fasting plasma glucose (reduction of 1.4 +/- 3.2 mM, P less than 0.03) and glycosylated hemoglobin (reduction of 2.0 +/- 3.4%, P less than 0.01) levels. Seventeen (31%) of 54 patients actually normalized their glycosylated hemoglobin values, 9 in the urine-testing group and 8 in the SMBG group. Comparisons between the urine-testing and SMBG groups showed no significant differences in mean fasting plasma glucose (P greater than 0.86), glycosylated hemoglobin (P greater than 0.95), or weight (P greater than 0.19). In patients with type II diabetes mellitus not treated with insulin, SMBG is no more effective, but is 8-12 times more expensive, than urine testing in facilitating improved glycemic control. Our results do not support widespread use of SMBG in diabetic patients not treated with insulin.

Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, patient-initiated study of topical high- and low-dose interferon-alpha with nonoxynol-9 in the treatment of recurrent genital herpes

To explore further topical antiviral therapy for recurrent genital herpes, 188 culture-proven patients were randomized to receive treatment with topical interferon-alpha in high-dose (10(6) IU/g with 1% nonoxynol-9 in 3.5% methylcellulose) or low-dose (10(3) IU/g with 0.1% nonoxynol-9 in 3.5% methylcellulose) treatments or placebo (3.5% methylcellulose, alone), applied three times daily for 5 days. Of these, 105 experienced prodromal symptoms within the study period and applied the medication, of whom 99 could be evaluated for efficacy. Patients were followed with daily clinical assessments and cultures until reepithelialization. The median time to negative virus culture in high-dose recipients was 2.5 days compared with 3.9 days for placebo recipients (P = .023), and a significant dose response was observed (P = .016). Antiviral effects were more prominent in men than women. High-dose recipients also had reduced median duration of symptoms to 2.7 days from 3.7 days for placebo recipients (P = .03), with a significant dose-response relationship (P = .047). Effects on duration of symptoms were more prominent in women. Times to complete reepithelialization in those who applied the drug during the prodromal phase were 5.8 days for high-dose recipients compared with 6.5 days for placebo recipients (P = .053). A multivariate ranked linear model analysis of four efficacy variables (crusting, healing, virus shedding, symptom duration) also favored the high-dose gel (P = .015). High-dose topical interferon-alpha preparation is effective for patients with recurrent genital herpes. Applied early in the course of a recurrent episode, this treatment is safe and may provide a topical alternative to other types of therapy in the future.

Five-year follow-up of men with androgenetic alopecia treated with topical minoxidil

Thirty-one men with androgenetic alopecia completed 4 1/2 to 5 years of therapy with 2% and 3% topical minoxidil. Hair regrowth with topical minoxidil tended to peak at 1 year with a slow decline in regrowth over subsequent years. However, at 4 1/2 to 5 years, maintenance of nonvellus hairs beyond that seen at baseline was still evident. Topical minoxidil appears to be effective in helping to maintain nonvellus hair growth in men with androgenetic alopecia.

Comparing the areas under two or more correlated receiver operating characteristic curves: a nonparametric approach

Methods of evaluating and comparing the performance of diagnostic tests are of increasing importance as new tests are developed and marketed. When a test is based on an observed variable that lies on a continuous or graded scale, an assessment of the overall value of the test can be made through the use of a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The curve is constructed by varying the cutpoint used to determine which values of the observed variable will be considered abnormal and then plotting the resulting sensitivities against the corresponding false positive rates. When two or more empirical curves are constructed based on tests performed on the same individuals, statistical analysis on differences between curves must take into account the correlated nature of the data. This paper presents a nonparametric approach to the analysis of areas under correlated ROC curves, by using the theory on generalized U-statistics to generate an estimated covariance matrix.

Erythrocyte anisocytosis. Visual inspection of blood films vs automated analysis of red blood cell distribution width

An improved anemia classification may be available by combining measures of red blood cell size variability with mean corpuscular volume. Visual inspection of the peripheral blood film allows semiquantitative description of anisocytosis while quantitative measures are determined from electronic cell counter analyzers' red blood cell distribution width. We evaluated correlations between semiquantitative and quantitative measures of anisocytosis for different groups of observers. Hematologists', medical students', and medical residents' semiquantitative assessment of anisocytosis correlated with the quantitative red blood cell distribution width. The interobserver variability demonstrated that all observers correlated with each other, while the intraobserver variability of semiquantitative anisocytosis demonstrated that observers were more precise than could be predicted by chance. However, the extreme precision of the red blood cell distribution width strongly suggests that it should be the "gold standard" for measuring red blood cell size variability.

Intestinal obstruction in patients with ovarian cancer. Variables associated with surgical complications and survival

Intestinal obstruction is frequently encountered in patients with ovarian cancer. Surgical correction of intestinal obstruction may allow the prolonged survival of some patients. We identified prognostic factors associated with operative complications and postoperative survival. Multiple preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative variables were considered. In addition, a previously published prognostic index was evaluated. Statistical assessment developed a model that demonstrated that the clinical assessment of tumor status, the serum albumin level, and the nutrition score were variables significantly associated with postoperative survival. The amount of residual ovarian cancer at the completion of bowel obstruction surgery was also significantly associated with postoperative survival. This information may aid in the preoperative selection of patients who might benefit from surgical correction of intestinal obstruction.

Intermediate, indeterminate, and uninterpretable diagnostic test results

Diagnostic tests do not always yield positive or negative results; sometimes the results are intermediate, indeterminate, or uninterpretable. No consensus exists for the incorporation of such results into data assessment. Conventional Bayesian analysis leads investigators to either exclude patients with non-positive, non-negative results from their studies or categorize such results into inappropriate cells of the standard four-cell decision matrix. The authors propose a standardized method for reporting results in studies dealing with diagnostic test use and discuss how researchers should expand the four-cell matrix to six cells when non-positive, non-negative results occur. They suggest that the six-cell matrix with new operational definitions of sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratios, and test yield should be adopted routinely. In addition, they define the different types of non-positive, non-negative results and demonstrate how clinicians can use tree-structured decision analysis from the six-cell matrix. While their method does not solve all problems posed by non-positive, non-negative results, it does suggest a standard method for reporting these results and utilizing all the data in decision making.

Phase II diaziquone-based chemotherapy trials in patients with anaplastic supratentorial astrocytic neoplasms

We treated 103 patients with histologically confirmed anaplastic supratentorial astrocytic neoplasms with either diaziquone (AZQ) and carmustine (BCNU) or AZQ and procarbazine. There were 74 patients with glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) and 29 patients with anaplastic astrocytoma (AA). AZQ plus BCNU produced partial (PR) or unequivocal responses in seven of 32 (21.9%) patients with GBMs and three of ten (30%) patients with AAs. Two patients with GBMs (6.3%) and five patients with AAs (50%) showed stable disease (SD). AZQ plus procarbazine produced PRs or unequivocal responses in five of 42 (11.9%) patients with GBMs and nine of 19 (47.4%) patients with AAs. Eight patients with GBMs (19%) and one patient with an AA (5.2%) showed SD. In addition to histologic diagnosis, only the Karnofsky performance-status (KPS) rating independently influenced response and survival. Differences in response rates between the two regimens were not significant, although estimated median survival after adjusting for performance status was slightly better with AZQ plus BCNU than with AZQ plus procarbazine (P = .031). Neither age nor prior chemotherapy were significant independent risk factors. Toxicity was mild and primarily hematologic. We conclude that these AZQ-based regimens have activity in patients with recurrent anaplastic gliomas, but that they are not clearly superior to other agents in current use. The histologic diagnosis of GBM is associated with a significantly worse prognosis than AA, and we believe that this important distinction must be recognized in phase II as well as phase III trials.

Long-term follow-up of men with male pattern baldness treated with topical minoxidil

Forty-one men with male pattern baldness completed 132 study weeks (2 years 9 months) with topical minoxidil and had follow-up 1-inch target-area vertex scalp hair counts. Initially these men were treated with either twice-daily 2% topical minoxidil for 12 months or 3% topical minoxidil for 8 to 12 months (one third of the subjects received placebo for the first 4 months). After 12 months all subjects continued to apply 3% topical minoxidil twice daily for 1 more year, after which they were randomized to once- versus twice-daily topical minoxidil for an additional 9 months. Those subjects who changed to once-daily application of topical minoxidil at 2 years had a mean change from baseline nonvellus hair count at 1 year of 291.2 (range of hairs four to 553) and at 2 years 9 months of 235 (two to 592 hairs). Those subjects who continued with twice-daily application of topical minoxidil throughout the study had a mean change from baseline nonvellus hair count at 1 year of 323 (15 to 589 hairs) and 335 (13 to 808 hairs) at 2 years 9 months with maintenance topical minoxidil. There were subjects on both maintenance schedules of topical minoxidil who lost some of the nonvellus hair they had initially gained with topical minoxidil; however, there was a greater mean loss in those patients following the once-daily versus twice-daily topical minoxidil regimen (p = 0.05). No subject lost nonvellus target hair as compared with baseline.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

A quantitative analysis of palliative care decisions in acute nonlymphocytic leukemia

With the increasing incidence of cancer in elderly patients, decisions to adopt palliative care become particularly relevant to this patient population. In order to define characteristics of decisions to adopt palliative care, including those factors influencing whether a particular patient received palliation, the frequency of this therapeutic posture, and the duration of this treatment period, we performed a retrospective analytical survey of all patients with acute nonlymphocytic leukemia (ANLL) treated at Duke University Medical Center over the past ten years. Logistic regression analysis identified several potentially significant variables influencing the decision to adopt palliative care. Using a stepwise logistic model, the only independent variable associated with adoption of palliative therapy was initial treatment off a research protocol (P = 0.0001). Initial treatment off a research protocol was itself associated with older age (P = 0.0002), nonspontaneous onset of leukemia (P = 0.005), female sex (P = 0.003), and the absence of dependent children (P = 0.01) when examined by multivariate logistic regression. The palliative treatment interval was defined as the time between the discontinuation of aggressive treatment and the patient's death. Fifty-one percent, 119 of 235 patients, received palliative care; of these, 47% were palliated from the time of diagnosis and 53% were palliated only after receiving remission induction therapy. The median duration for the palliative care period was 46 days (50 days for the initially palliated group, 24 days for the group receiving aggressive therapy.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Variables associated with postoperative deep venous thrombosis: a prospective study of 411 gynecology patients and creation of a prognostic model

Deep venous thrombosis is a major complication following gynecologic surgery. Assessing a patient's risk of developing deep venous thrombosis is important for patient selection and in choosing appropriate prophylactic methods. Four hundred eleven patients undergoing major gynecologic surgery were evaluated prospectively. All known variables associated with deep venous thrombosis were recorded. Deep venous thrombosis was diagnosed by 125I fibrinogen leg counting of all patients. Univariate analysis of all variables identified the following to be significantly related (P less than .05) to postoperative deep venous thrombosis: a prior history of deep venous thrombosis, leg edema or venous stasis changes, venous varicosities, degree of preoperative ambulation, type of surgery, nonwhite race, recurrent malignancy, prior pelvic radiation therapy, age above 45 years, excessive body weight, intraoperative blood loss, and duration of anesthesia. A stepwise logistic regression analysis of these variables was performed. The following preoperative prognostic factors remained significant: type of surgery, age, leg edema, nonwhite patients, severity of venous varicosities, prior radiation therapy, and prior history of deep venous thrombosis. Duration of anesthesia was also important when intraoperative factors were considered in the analysis. Using these factors, a prognostic model was created and tested. The model resulted in a degree of concordance of 0.82 and allows one to evaluate the risks of postoperative deep venous thrombosis for an individual patient.

Surgical management of intestinal obstruction in ovarian cancer. I. Clinical features, postoperative complications, and survival

The results of surgery to relieve intestinal obstruction in 49 patients who were known to have ovarian cancer were studied. All patients had received adjunctive chemotherapy and/or radiation therapy prior to bowel obstruction. Thirty patients had small bowel obstruction, 16 patients had colonic obstruction, and 3 patients had concurrent small and large bowel obstruction. Clinical status, nutritional parameters, and radiographic findings were analyzed. Progressive ovarian cancer was ultimately found to be the cause of obstruction in 86% of patients. Major postoperative complications occurred in 49% of patients and were encountered significantly more frequently in those patients with small bowel obstruction (P less than 0.04). Complications most frequently encountered included wound infection, enterocutaneous fistulae, and other septic sequelae. Median postoperative survival was 140 days, with 73% surviving at 60 days postoperatively. A total of 14.3% of patients were alive 12 months postoperatively. These results are similar to prior reports and emphasize the need for clearer preoperative selection criteria.

A comparison of methods for the estimation of plasma low- and very low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. The Lipid Research Clinics Prevalence Study

Using data from over 10 000 men, women, and children who participated in the Lipid Research Clinics prevalence studies, we have examined the formula adopted by Friedewald et al for estimating plasma or serum concentrations of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) when (for economy, or in the absence of an ultracentrifuge) only fasting total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and triglyceride (TG) concentrations are measured in milligrams per liter, ie, LDL-C = TC-(HDL-C + 0.20 X TG). Values for LDL-C obtained by use of the Friedewald formula were compared with values derived from the Lipid Research Clinics ultracentrifugal procedure for LDL-C, which was used as a reference. Participants who were pregnant, who had not fasted, or whose plasma contained chylomicrons or floating beta-lipoproteins were excluded. We concluded that a better estimator for LDL-C was provided by the equation LDL-C = TC-(HDL-C + 0.16 X TG), since it produced an error (relative to the reference method) of lesser magnitude than the previous formula. The expression 0.16 X TG (0.37 X TG when measurements are reported in millimoles per liter) also produced a more accurate estimate of very low-density lipoprotein cholesterol relative to values obtained by the standard Lipid Research Clinics procedure for this component. The proposed formula is more precise for plasmas or sera with a TG concentration within the normal range.

Dose-response study of topical minoxidil in male pattern baldness

Eighty-nine healthy men with male pattern baldness completed a 6-month double-blind, placebo-controlled study of 0.01%, 0.1%, 1%, and 2% topical minoxidil. Subjects on 2% topical minoxidil had a statistically significant increase in mean total target area hair count over baseline compared to the placebo, 0.01%, and 0.1% topical minoxidil groups (p = 0.04). Changes from baseline were more impressive with the 2% topical minoxidil group but not significantly different from the 1% topical minoxidil group in all parameters of objective response to treatment. The investigator, however, rated more subjects as having at least a moderate cosmetic response to treatment in the 2% versus 1% topical minoxidil treatment group. These results indicate that 1% topical minoxidil is the lowest effective concentration of topical minoxidil for male pattern baldness of those tested. Because of the more impressive changes in hair counts and the cosmetic preference for the 2% versus 1% topical minoxidil, 2% topical minoxidil may be the standard preferred treatment for male pattern baldness.

Sensitivity and specificity of a monitoring test

The usefulness of a diagnostic test is generally assessed by calculating the sensitivity and specificity, or the predictive value positive and predictive value negative of the test. When subjects are monitored periodically for evidence of disease, these calculations must incorporate the varying amounts of information per individual. If in addition, the test results lie on a continuous scale, these quantities vary with the cutoff value (cutpoint) used to define a positive test. They are usually calculated for a spectrum of potential cutpoints in order to produce receiver-operator characteristic curves. In this paper we use a partial likelihood solution to the discrete logistic model in order to obtain estimates of the diagnostic test indices and to provide a significance test when the diagnostic test is administered repeatedly to individuals.

Multiple myeloma and family history of cancer. A case-control study

A hospital-based case-control study was done to examine the hypothesis that persons with a family history of multiple myeloma (MM) or other cancers are at increased risk of multiple myeloma. Study members were 439 cases of multiple myeloma and 1317 matched controls seen at the Duke University Medical Center. Only 3 cases and 4 controls reported multiple myeloma in their families. The relative risk (RR) was 2.3, but the 95% confidence interval (CI) was 0.5-10.1, allowing no firm conclusion about the risk associated with familial MM. A family history of cancer of any type resulted in a relative risk of MM of 1.4 (CI: 1.1-1.8). This association was strongest (RR = 2.5, CI: 1.1-5.3) among young study members (age less than or equal to 49). A family history of hematologic malignancy (ICD 200-208) resulted in a RR of 2.4 (95% CI: 1.4-4.0). The data also suggested that a family history of lung cancer, breast cancer, and genitourinary cancer may be associated with increased risk of myeloma in older persons.

Complications of low-dose heparin prophylaxis in gynecologic oncology surgery

The clinical and laboratory effects of low-dose heparin prophylaxis was prospectively studied in a controlled trial of 182 patients undergoing major surgery for gynecologic malignancy. Low-dose heparin was given in 5000 U subcutaneously two hours preoperatively and every 12 hours for seven days postoperatively. Low-dose heparin-treated patients had a significantly increased daily retroperitoneal hemovac drainage. Although not statistically significant, low-dose heparin was associated with increased estimated intraoperative blood loss, transfusion requirements, and wound hematomas. Fifteen percent of patients receiving low-dose heparin were found to have an activated partial thromboplastin time greater than 1.5 times the control value. In these patients, all clinical bleeding parameters were significantly increased. Low-dose heparin-treated patients also had significantly prolonged activated partial thromboplastin time and lower final platelet counts as compared with the control patients. When using low-dose heparin for thromboembolism prophylaxis, patients should be closely observed for clinical hemorrhagic complications. Activated partial thromboplastin times and platelet counts should be monitored throughout therapy.

Climate, socioeconomic status and Hodgkin's disease mortality in the United States

This study examines the relative effects of climate and socioeconomic status (SES) on standard mortality ratios (SMR) from both young adult and older adult Hodgkin's disease (HD) in the United States. Climate variables explain a greater percentage of the variation in the SMR for HD than do SES variables. After adjusting for SES, indicators of climate exhibit a strong correlation with the young adult SMR, but not with the older adult SMR. These findings suggest that environmental factors play an important role in the etiology of young adult HD and support the hypothesis that young adult HD is a different disease from the older adult form.

Secular trends in ischemic heart disease mortality: regional variation

We compared secular trends in ischemic heart disease (IHD) mortality in four southeastern states (North Carolina, Georgia, South Carolina, and Virginia) with those in three selected other states (California, New York, and Utah). Mortality data were obtained from U.S. vital statistics and population information from the U.S. Census Bureau. Age-adjusted IHD mortality increased until 1968 in the southeastern states and then declined and declines were greatest in the nonwhite female population. In contrast, IHD mortality in all groups in California and in the female population in New York and Utah began to decline in the early 1950s, with accelerated declines since 1968. In all states the decline in rates in nonwhite populations have been greatest in the younger age groups. This has not been true in the white populations. Declining IHD mortality correlated moderately well with the decline in death from all cardiovascular disease and from all causes, but not with the declining cerebrovascular disease mortality. Respiratory cancer mortality increased in similar proportions in California and South Carolina, two states with dissimilar IHD trends. These findings suggest that improved control of hypertension and changing patterns of cigarette smoking may not be responsible for the recent decline in IHD mortality.