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Keshvari S, Genz B, Teakle N, Caruso M, Cestari MF, Patkar OL, Tse BWC, Sokolowski KA, Ebersbach H, Jascur J, MacDonald KPA, Miller G, Ramm GA, Pettit AR, Clouston AD, Powell EE, Hume DA, Irvine KM. Therapeutic potential of macrophage colony-stimulating factor (CSF1) in chronic liver disease. Dis Model Mech 2022; 15:274391. [PMID: 35169835 PMCID: PMC9044210 DOI: 10.1242/dmm.049387] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/07/2021] [Accepted: 02/08/2022] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Resident and recruited macrophages control the development and proliferation of the liver. We showed previously in multiple species that treatment with a macrophage colony stimulating factor (CSF1)-Fc fusion protein initiated hepatocyte proliferation and promoted repair in models of acute hepatic injury in mice. Here we investigated the impact of CSF1-Fc on resolution of advanced fibrosis and liver regeneration, utilizing a non-resolving toxin-induced model of chronic liver injury and fibrosis in C57BL/6J mice. Co-administration of CSF1-Fc with exposure to thioacetamide (TAA) exacerbated inflammation consistent with monocyte contributions to initiation of pathology. After removal of TAA, either acute or chronic CSF1-Fc treatment promoted liver growth, prevented progression and promoted resolution of fibrosis. Acute CSF1-Fc treatment was also anti-fibrotic and pro-regenerative in a model of partial hepatectomy in mice with established fibrosis. The beneficial impacts of CSF1-Fc treatment were associated with monocyte-macrophage recruitment and increased expression of remodeling enzymes and growth factors. These studies indicate that CSF1-dependent macrophages contribute to both initiation and resolution of fibrotic injury and that CSF1-Fc has therapeutic potential in human liver disease.
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Johnson AL, Ratnasekera IU, Irvine KM, Henderson A, Powell EE, Valery PC. Bacteraemia, sepsis and antibiotic resistance in Australian patients with cirrhosis: a population-based study. BMJ Open Gastroenterol 2021; 8:bmjgast-2021-000695. [PMID: 34876410 PMCID: PMC8655566 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgast-2021-000695] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/03/2021] [Accepted: 11/07/2021] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective Multiple factors predispose patients with cirrhosis to sepsis and/or bacteraemia and this has a high mortality rate. Within different geographical regions there are marked differences in the prevalence of infection with multidrug-resistant organisms (MDR). This study examined risk factors for and outcomes of sepsis/bacteraemia in public hospital admissions with cirrhosis in the state of Queensland, Australia, over the last decade, along with the bacterial pathogens responsible and their antibiotic susceptibility profiles. Design A population-based retrospective cohort study of public hospital admissions was conducted from 1 January 2008 to 31 December 2017. Hospital admissions for patients with a diagnosis of cirrhosis were categorised by the presence or absence of sepsis/bacteraemia. Clinical and sociodemographic information including cirrhosis aetiology, complications and comorbidities, and in-hospital mortality were examined using bivariate and multivariate analyses. In patients with bacteraemia, the type and prevalence of bacteria and antibiotic resistance was assessed. Results Sepsis/bacteraemia was present in 3951 of 103 165 hospital admissions with a diagnosis of cirrhosis. Factors associated with sepsis/bacteraemia included disease aetiology, particularly primary sclerosing cholangitis (adj-OR 15.09, 95% CI 12.24 to 18.60), alcohol (adj-OR 2.90, 95% CI 2.71 to 3.09), Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥3 (adj-OR 3.54, 95% CI 3.19 to 3.93) and diabetes (adj-OR 1.87, 95% CI 1.74 to 2.01). Overall case-fatality rate among admissions with sepsis/bacteraemia was 27.7% (95% CI 26.3% to 29.1%) vs 3.7% (95% CI 3.6% to 3.8%) without sepsis/bacteraemia. In-hospital death was significantly associated with sepsis/bacteraemia (adj-OR 6.50, 95% CI 5.95 to 7.11). The most common organisms identified were Escherichia coli and Staphylococcus aureus, present in 22.9% and 18.1%, respectively, of the 2265 admissions with a positive blood culture. The prevalence of MDR bacteria was low (5.6%) Conclusion Morbidity and mortality related to sepsis/bacteraemia in patients with cirrhosis remains a critical clinical problem.
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Johnson AL, Hayward KL, Patel P, Horsfall LU, Cheah AEZ, Irvine KM, Russell AW, Stuart KA, Williams S, Hartel G, Valery PC, Powell EE. Predicting Liver-Related Outcomes in People With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: The Prognostic Value of Noninvasive Fibrosis Tests. Hepatol Commun 2021; 6:728-739. [PMID: 34783191 PMCID: PMC8948588 DOI: 10.1002/hep4.1852] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2021] [Revised: 09/24/2021] [Accepted: 10/10/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
It remains unclear whether screening for advanced fibrosis in the community can identify the subgroup of people with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) at higher risk for development of liver‐related complications. We aimed to determine the prognostic value of baseline noninvasive fibrosis tests for predicting liver‐related outcomes and mortality in patients with NAFLD from type 2 diabetes (T2D) clinics or primary care. Patients (n = 243) who were screened for NAFLD with advanced fibrosis by using NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), fibrosis 4 score (FIB‐4), enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) test, and liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) were followed up for clinical outcomes by review of electronic medical records. During a median follow‐up of 50 months, decompensated liver disease or primary liver cancer occurred in 6 of 35 (17.1%) patients with baseline LSM > 13 kPa, 1 of 17 (5.9%) patients with LSM 9.5‐13 kPa, and in no patients with LSM < 9.5 kPa. No patient with low‐risk NFS developed liver decompensation or liver‐related mortality. Following repeat NFSs at the end of follow‐up, all patients with a liver‐related complication were in the high‐risk NFS category. Patients who developed liver‐related complications were also more likely to have baseline high‐risk FIB‐4 scores or ELF test ≥9.8 compared to patients who did not develop liver outcomes. Conclusion: Liver fibrosis risk stratification in non‐hepatology settings can identify the subset of patients at risk of liver‐related complications. Although the rate of development of a decompensation event or hepatocellular carcinoma was low (2.1% per year) in our patients with compensated cirrhosis (LSM > 13 kPa), these events are projected to lead to a substantial increase in NAFLD‐related disease burden over the next decade due to the high prevalence of NAFLD in people with obesity and T2D.
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Hayward KL, Johnson AL, Mckillen BJ, Burke NT, Bansal V, Horsfall LU, Hartel G, Moser C, Powell EE, Valery PC. ICD-10-AM codes for cirrhosis and related complications: key performance considerations for population and healthcare studies. BMJ Open Gastroenterol 2021; 7:bmjgast-2020-000485. [PMID: 32943463 PMCID: PMC7500192 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgast-2020-000485] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/06/2020] [Revised: 07/29/2020] [Accepted: 08/08/2020] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective The utility of International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes relies on the accuracy of clinical reporting and administrative coding, which may be influenced by country-specific codes and coding rules. This study explores the accuracy and limitations of the Australian Modification of the 10th revision of ICD (ICD-10-AM) to detect the presence of cirrhosis and a subset of key complications for the purpose of future large-scale epidemiological research and healthcare studies. Design/method ICD-10-AM codes in a random sample of 540 admitted patient encounters at a major Australian tertiary hospital were compared with data abstracted from patients’ medical records by four blinded clinicians. Accuracy of individual codes and grouped combinations was determined by calculating sensitivity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value and Cohen’s kappa coefficient (κ). Results The PPVs for ‘grouped cirrhosis’ codes (0.96), hepatocellular carcinoma (0.97) ascites (0.97) and ‘grouped varices’ (0.95) were good (κ all >0.60). However, codes under-detected the prevalence of cirrhosis, ascites and varices (sensitivity 81.4%, 61.9% and 61.3%, respectively). Overall accuracy was lower for spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (‘grouped’ PPV 0.75; κ 0.73) and the poorest for encephalopathy (‘grouped’ PPV 0.55; κ 0.21). To optimise detection of cirrhosis-related encounters, an ICD-10-AM code algorithm was constructed and validated in an independent cohort of 116 patients with known cirrhosis. Conclusion Multiple ICD-10-AM codes should be considered when using administrative databases to study the burden of cirrhosis and its complications in Australia, to avoid underestimation of the prevalence, morbidity, mortality and related resource utilisation from this burgeoning chronic disease.
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Hayward KL, McKillen BJ, Horsfall LU, McIvor C, Liew K, Sexton J, Johnson AL, Irvine KM, Valery PC, McPhail SM, Britton LJ, Rosenberg W, Weate I, Williams S, Powell EE. Towards collaborative management of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (TCM-NAFLD): a 'real-world' pathway for fibrosis risk assessment in primary care. Intern Med J 2021; 52:1749-1758. [PMID: 34139066 DOI: 10.1111/imj.15422] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/01/2021] [Revised: 05/12/2021] [Accepted: 06/15/2021] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The optimal strategy to support primary care practitioners (PCPs) to assess fibrosis severity in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and thereby make appropriate management decisions remains unclear. AIMS We aimed to examine the feasibility of using a 2-step pathway that combined simple scores (NAFLD Fibrosis Score and Fibrosis-4 Index) with transient elastography (FibroScan®) to streamline NAFLD referrals from a 'routine' primary care population to specialist hepatology management clinics (HMC). METHODS The 2-step "Towards Collaborative Management of NAFLD" (TCM-NAFLD) fibrosis risk assessment pathway was implemented at two outer metropolitan primary healthcare practices in Brisbane. Patients aged ≥18 years with a new or established PCP-diagnosis of NAFLD were eligible for assessment. The pathway triaged patients at "high risk" of clinically significant fibrosis to HMC for specialist review, and "low risk" patients to receive ongoing management and longitudinal follow-up in primary care. RESULTS A total of 162 patient assessments between Jun-2019 and Dec-2020 were included. Mean age was 58.7 ± 11.7 years, 30.9% were male, 54.3% had type 2 diabetes or impaired fasting glucose, and mean body mass index was 34.2 ± 6.9 kg/m2 . 122 patients were considered "low risk" for clinically significant fibrosis, two patients had incomplete assessments, and 38 (23.5%) were triaged to HMC. Among 31 completed HMC assessments to date, 45.2% were considered to have clinically significant (or more advanced) fibrosis, representing 9.2% of 153 completed assessments. CONCLUSION Implementation of the 2-step TCM-NAFLD pathway streamlined hepatology referrals for NAFLD and may facilitate a more cost-effective and targeted use of specialist hepatology resources. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
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Powell EE, Wong VWS, Rinella M. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Lancet 2021; 397:2212-2224. [PMID: 33894145 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(20)32511-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1026] [Impact Index Per Article: 342.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/07/2020] [Revised: 11/04/2020] [Accepted: 11/13/2020] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has a global prevalence of 25% and is a leading cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. NAFLD encompasses a disease continuum from steatosis with or without mild inflammation (non-alcoholic fatty liver), to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), which is characterised by necroinflammation and faster fibrosis progression than non-alcoholic fatty liver. NAFLD has a bidirectional association with components of the metabolic syndrome, and type 2 diabetes increases the risk of cirrhosis and related complications. Although the leading causes of death in people with NAFLD are cardiovascular disease and extrahepatic malignancy, advanced liver fibrosis is a key prognostic marker for liver-related outcomes and overall mortality, and can be assessed with combinations of non-invasive tests. Patients with cirrhosis should be screened for hepatocellular carcinoma and oesophageal varices. There is currently no approved therapy for NAFLD, although several drugs are in advanced stages of development. Because of the complex pathophysiology and substantial heterogeneity of disease phenotypes, combination treatment is likely to be required for many patients with NAFLD. Healthy lifestyle and weight reduction remain crucial to the prevention and treatment of NAFLD.
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Taye BW, Clark PJ, Hartel G, Powell EE, Valery PC. Remoteness of residence predicts tumor stage, receipt of treatment, and mortality in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. JGH OPEN 2021; 5:754-762. [PMID: 34263069 PMCID: PMC8264246 DOI: 10.1002/jgh3.12580] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/01/2021] [Revised: 05/14/2021] [Accepted: 05/18/2021] [Indexed: 12/26/2022]
Abstract
Background and Aim Surveillance and early detection and curative treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are the mainstay of improving survival for patients, but there are several barriers to achieving this goal. We reported the impact of remoteness of residence on receipt of treatment, tumor stage, and survival in patients with HCC in Queensland. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 1651 HCC patients (147 migrants) from 1 January 2007 to 31 December 2016. We used Wilcoxon rank‐sum test to compare the median age at the time of diagnosis and Bayesian Weibull accelerated failure time regression to identify independent predictors of time to death. Results The median survival time after HCC diagnosis was 9.0 months (interquartile range 2.0–24.0). Metropolitan residence (P = 0.02), non‐English language (P < 0.001), foreign country of origin (P < 0.001), and HBV etiology (P < 0.001) were significantly associated with receiving surgical resection for HCC treatment. The strongest predictors of time to death were undifferentiated tumor at presentation (time ratio [TR] = 0.30, 95% credible interval (CrI) 0.23–0.39), age ≥70 years (TR = 0.42, 95% CrI 0.34–0.53), living in remote areas (TR = 0.67, 95% CrI 0.55–0.80), and presence of ≥1 comorbidity (TR = 0.69 95% CrI 0.54–0.90). All the other covariates adjusted, including country of birth (TR = 0.76, 95% CrI 0.49–1.06), did not predict survival time. Conclusions Patients living in rural and remote areas had late stage clinical presentation and poor survival. Remoteness of residence may limit access to HCC surveillance in at‐risk patients such as those with cirrhosis, and timely curative treatment to improve survival in these patients.
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Wigg AJ, Narayana SK, Hartel G, Medlin L, Pratt G, Powell EE, Clark P, Davies J, Campbell K, Toombs M, Larkin M, Valery PC. Hepatocellular carcinoma amongst Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples of Australia. EClinicalMedicine 2021; 36:100919. [PMID: 34142069 PMCID: PMC8187829 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.100919] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/09/2021] [Revised: 04/25/2021] [Accepted: 05/06/2021] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are important contributors to the mortality gap between Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australians. However, there is a lack of population based high quality data assessing the differences in HCC epidemiology and outcomes according to Indigenous status. The aim of this study was therefore to perform a large epidemiological study of HCC investigating differences between Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australians with HCC. METHODS Study design was a retrospective cohort study. Data linkage methodology was used to link data from cancer registries with hospital separation summaries across three Australian jurisdictions during 2000-2017. Cumulative survival (Kaplan-Meier) and the differences in survival (Multivariable Cox-regression) by Indigenous status were assessed. FINDINGS A total of 229 Indigenous and 3587 non-Indigenous HCC cases were included in the analyses. Significant epidemiological differences identified for Indigenous HCC cases included younger age at onset, higher proportion of females, higher rurality, lower socioeconomic status, and higher comorbidity burden (all p < 0.001). The distribution of cofactors was also significantly different for Indigenous Australians including higher prevalence of alcohol misuse, hepatitis B, and diabetes and more frequent presence of multiple HCC cofactors (all p < 0.001). Indigenous Australians received curative HCC therapies less frequently (6.6% vs. 14.5%, p < 0.001) and had poorer 5-year survival (10.0% vs. 17.3%, p < 0.001; unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) =1.42 96%CI 1.21-1.65) compared to non-Indigenous Australians. The strength of the association between indigenous status and survival was weaker and statistically non-significant after adjusting for rurality, comorbidity burden and lack of curative therapy (adjusted-HR=1.20 95%CI 0.97-1.47). INTERPRETATION Such data provide a call to action to help design and implement health literacy, liver management and HCC surveillance programs for Indigenous people to help close the liver cancer mortality gap.
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Gracen L, Powell EE. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: raising awareness of a looming public health problem. Med J Aust 2021; 215:75-76. [PMID: 34046909 DOI: 10.5694/mja2.51109] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
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Valery PC, Bernardes CM, Mckillen B, Amarasena S, Stuart KA, Hartel G, Clark PJ, Skoien R, Rahman T, Horsfall L, Hayward K, Gupta R, Lee A, Pillay L, Powell EE. The Patient's Perspective in Cirrhosis: Unmet Supportive Care Needs Differ by Disease Severity, Etiology, and Age. Hepatol Commun 2021; 5:891-905. [PMID: 34027276 PMCID: PMC8122374 DOI: 10.1002/hep4.1681] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/12/2020] [Revised: 12/09/2020] [Accepted: 12/26/2020] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Patients with cirrhosis have significant physical, psychological, and practical needs. We documented patients' perceived need for support with these issues and the differences with increasing liver disease severity, etiology, and age. Using the supportive needs assessment tool for cirrhosis (SNAC), we examined the rate of moderate-to-high unmet needs (Poisson regression; incidence rate ratio [IRR]) and the correlation between needs and sociodemographic/clinical characteristics (multivariable linear regression) in 458 Australians adults with cirrhosis. Primary liver disease etiology was alcohol in 37.6% of patients, chronic viral hepatitis C in 25.5%, and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) in 23.8%. A total of 64.6% of patients had Child-Pugh class A cirrhosis. Most patients (81.2%) had at least one moderate-to-high unmet need item; more than 25% reported a moderate-to-high need for help with "lack of energy," "sleep poorly," "feel unwell," "worry about … illness getting worse (liver cancer)," "have anxiety/stress," and "difficulty with daily tasks." Adjusting for key sociodemographic/clinical factors, patients with Child-Pugh C had a greater rate of "practical and physical needs" (vs. Child-Pugh A; IRR = 2.94, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.57-3.37), patients with NAFLD/NASH had a greater rate of needs with "lifestyle changes" (vs. alcohol; IRR = 1.81, 95% CI 1.18-2.77) and "practical and physical needs" (IRR = 1.43, 95% CI 1.23-1.65), and patients aged ≥65 years had fewer needs overall (vs. 18-64 years; IRR = 0.70, 95% CI 0.64-0.76). Higher overall SNAC scores were associated with Child-Pugh B and C (both P < 0.001), NAFLD/NASH (P = 0.028), patients with "no partner, do not live alone" (P = 0.004), unemployment (P = 0.039), ascites (P = 0.022), and dyslipidemia (P = 0.024) compared with their counterparts. Conclusion: Very high levels of needs were reported by patients with cirrhosis. This information is important to tailor patient-centered care and facilitate timely interventions or referral to support services.
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Shanker MD, Liu HY, Lee YY, Stuart KA, Powell EE, Wigg A, Pryor DI. Stereotactic radiotherapy for hepatocellular carcinoma: Expanding the multidisciplinary armamentarium. J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2021; 36:873-884. [PMID: 32632941 DOI: 10.1111/jgh.15175] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/14/2020] [Revised: 06/23/2020] [Accepted: 07/01/2020] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common malignancy worldwide and the third most common cause of cancer-related death. Long-term prognosis remains poor with treatment options frequently limited by advanced tumor stage, tumor location, or underlying liver dysfunction. Stereotactic ablative body radiotherapy (SABR) utilizes technological advances to deliver highly precise, tumoricidal doses of radiation. There is an emerging body of literature on SABR in HCC demonstrating high rates of local control in the order of 80-90% at 3 years. SABR is associated with a low risk of radiation-induced liver disease or decompensation in appropriately selected HCC patients with compensated liver function and is now being incorporated into guidelines as an additional treatment option. This review outlines the emerging role of SABR in the multidisciplinary management of HCC and summarizes the current evidence for its use as an alternative ablative option for early-stage disease, as a bridge to transplant, and as palliation for advanced-stage disease. We outline specific considerations regarding patient selection, toxicities, and response assessment. Finally, we compare current international guidelines and recommendations for the use of SABR and summarize ongoing studies.
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Hayward KL, Johnson AL, Horsfall LU, Moser C, Valery PC, Powell EE. Detecting non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and risk factors in health databases: accuracy and limitations of the ICD-10-AM. BMJ Open Gastroenterol 2021; 8:bmjgast-2020-000572. [PMID: 33568418 PMCID: PMC7878135 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgast-2020-000572] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/13/2020] [Revised: 12/22/2020] [Accepted: 01/06/2021] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) cirrhosis is often underestimated in healthcare and administrative databases that define disease burden using International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes. This retrospective audit was conducted to explore the accuracy and limitations of the ICD, Tenth Revision, Australian Modification (ICD-10-AM) to detect NAFLD, metabolic risk factors (obesity and diabetes) and other aetiologies of chronic liver disease. DESIGN/METHOD ICD-10-AM codes in 308 admitted patient encounters at two major Australian tertiary hospitals were compared with data abstracted from patients' electronic medical records. Accuracy of individual codes and grouped combinations was determined by calculating sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV) and Cohen's kappa coefficient (κ). RESULTS The presence of an ICD-10-AM code accurately predicted the presence of NAFLD/NASH (PPV 91.2%) and obesity (PPV 91.6%) in most instances. However, codes underestimated the prevalence of NAFLD/NASH and obesity by 42.9% and 45.3%, respectively. Overall concordance between clinical documentation and 'grouped alcohol' codes (κ 0.75) and hepatitis C codes (κ 0.88) was high. Hepatitis B codes detected false-positive cases in patients with previous exposure (PPV 55.6%). Accuracy of codes to detect diabetes was excellent (sensitivity 95.8%; specificity 97.6%; PPV 94.9%; NPV 98.1%) with almost perfect concordance between codes and documentation in medical records (κ 0.93). CONCLUSION Recognition of the utility and limitations of ICD-10-AM codes to study the burden of NAFLD/NASH cirrhosis is imperative to inform public health strategies and appropriate investment of resources to manage this burgeoning chronic disease.
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Irvine KM, Okano S, Patel PJ, Horsfall LU, Williams S, Russell A, Powell EE. Serum matrix metalloproteinase 7 (MMP7) is a biomarker of fibrosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Sci Rep 2021; 11:2858. [PMID: 33536476 PMCID: PMC7858627 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-82315-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2020] [Accepted: 01/19/2021] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects 25% of the adult population globally. Since liver fibrosis is the most important predictor of liver-related complications in patients with NAFLD, identification of patients with advanced fibrosis among at-risk individuals is an important issue in clinical practice. Transient elastography is the best evaluated non-invasive method used in referral centres to assess liver fibrosis, however serum-based tests, such as the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) score, have a practical advantage as first-line tests due to their wider availability and lower cost. We previously identified matrix metalloproteinase 7 (MMP7) as a serum biomarker of histological advanced fibrosis in a mixed-etiology patient cohort. In this study we aimed to determine the association between MMP7 and fibrosis, assessed by transient elastography, in patients with NAFLD. Serum MMP7 levels were measured in a cohort of 228 patients with NAFLD. Associations between MMP7, liver stiffness measurement (LSM), ELF score and clinical parameters were determined using logistic regression modelling. Serum MMP7 was associated with clinically significant fibrosis (LSM ≥ 8.2), independent of age, gender, BMI and diabetes. The addition of MMP7 significantly improved the diagnostic performance of the ELF test, particularly in patients over the age of 60. Combinations of serum biomarkers have the potential to improve the sensitivity and specificity of detection of advanced fibrosis in at-risk patients with NAFLD. We have demonstrated that serum MMP7 is independently associated with clinically significant fibrosis and improves the diagnostic performance of currently available tests in older patients.
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Bernardes CM, Clark PJ, Brown C, Stuart K, Pratt G, Toombs M, Hartel G, Powell EE, Valery PC. Disparities in Unmet Needs in Indigenous and Non-Indigenous Australians with Cirrhosis: An Exploratory Study. Patient Prefer Adherence 2021; 15:2649-2658. [PMID: 34853510 PMCID: PMC8628121 DOI: 10.2147/ppa.s341566] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/04/2021] [Accepted: 11/09/2021] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE Understanding and responding to the supportive care needs of people with cirrhosis is essential to quality care. Indigenous Australians, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people, are overrepresented amongst patients with cirrhosis. This study documented the nature and extent of supportive care needs of Indigenous Australians with cirrhosis, in comparison with non-Indigenous Australians. PATIENTS AND METHODS The supportive care needs of adult patients diagnosed with cirrhosis attending public hospitals in Queensland were assessed through the Supportive Needs Assessment tool for Cirrhosis (SNAC). Patients indicated how much additional help they needed on four subscales: 1. psychosocial issues; 2. practical and physical needs; 3. information needs; and 4. lifestyle changes. We examined the rate of moderate-to-high unmet needs based on Indigenous status (Poisson regression; incidence rate ratio (IRR)). RESULTS Indigenous (n=20) and non-Indigenous (n=438) patients included in the study had similar sociodemographic and clinical characteristics except for a lower educational level among Indigenous patients (p<0.01). Most Indigenous patients (85.0%) reported having moderate-to-high unmet needs with at least one item in the SNAC tool. Following adjustment for key sociodemographic and clinical factors, Indigenous patients had a greater rate of moderate-to-high unmet needs overall (IRR=1.5, 95% CI 1.31-1.72; p<0.001), and specifically for psychosocial issues (IRR=1.7, 95% CI 1.39-2.15; p<0.001), and practical and physical needs subscales (IRR=1.5, 95% CI 1.22-1.83; p<0.001), compared to non-Indigenous patients. CONCLUSION Indigenous Australians with cirrhosis more frequently had moderate-to-high unmet supportive care needs than non-Indigenous patients. Specific targeting of culturally appropriate supportive care for psychosocial, practical and physical needs may optimize cirrhosis care and improve the quality of life for Indigenous Australians with cirrhosis.
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McPhail SM, Amarasena S, Stuart KA, Hayward K, Gupta R, Brain D, Hartel G, Rahman T, Clark PJ, Bernardes CM, Skoien R, Mckillen B, Lee A, Pillay L, Lin L, Khaing MM, Horsfall L, Powell EE, Valery PC. Assessment of health-related quality of life and health utilities in Australian patients with cirrhosis. JGH OPEN 2020; 5:133-142. [PMID: 33490623 PMCID: PMC7812472 DOI: 10.1002/jgh3.12462] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/17/2020] [Accepted: 11/11/2020] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
Background and Aim Health‐related quality‐of‐life measurements are important to understand lived experiences of patients who have cirrhosis. These measures also inform economic evaluations by modelling quality‐adjusted life years (QALYs). We aimed to describe health‐related quality of life, specifically multiattribute utility (scale anchors of death = 0.00 and full health = 1.00), across various stages and etiologies of cirrhosis. Methods Face‐to‐face interviews were used to collect Short Form 36 (SF‐36) questionnaire responses from CirCare study participants with cirrhosis (June 2017 to December 2018). The severity of cirrhosis was assessed using the Child‐Pugh score classified as class A (5–6 points), B (7–9), or C (10–15) and by the absence (“compensated”) versus presence (“decompensated”) of cirrhosis‐related complications. Results Patients (n = 562, average 59.8 years [SD = 11.0], male 69.9%) had a range of primary etiologies (alcohol‐related 35.2%, chronic hepatitis C 25.4%, non‐alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) 25.1%, chronic hepatitis B 5.9%, “other” 8.4%). Significantly lower (all P < 0.001) mean multiattribute utility was observed in the health states of patients with decompensated (mean = 0.62, SD = 0.15) versus compensated cirrhosis (mean = 0.68, SD = 0.12), Child‐Pugh class C (mean = 0.59, SD = 0.15) or B (mean = 0.63, SD = 0.15) versus A (mean = 0.68, SD = 0.16), and between those of working age (18–64 years; mean = 0.64, SD = 0.16) versus those aged 65+ years (mean = 0.70, SD = 0.16). The greatest decrements in health‐related quality of life relative to Australian population norms were observed across physical SF‐36 domains. Conclusions Persons with more advanced cirrhosis report greater life impacts. Estimates from this study are suitable for informing economic evaluations, particularly cost‐utility modelling, which captures the benefits of effective prevention, surveillance, and treatments on both the quality and quantity of patients' lives.
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Hayward KL, Valery PC, Patel PJ, Horsfall LU, Wright PL, Tallis CJ, Stuart KA, David M, Irvine KM, Cottrell WN, Martin JH, Powell EE. Effectiveness of patient-oriented education and medication management intervention in people with decompensated cirrhosis. Intern Med J 2020; 50:1142-1146. [PMID: 32929822 PMCID: PMC7540524 DOI: 10.1111/imj.14986] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/10/2019] [Revised: 03/10/2020] [Accepted: 03/22/2020] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
People with chronic disease often have poor comprehension of their disease and medications, which can negatively affect health outcomes. In a randomised-controlled trial, we found that patients with decompensated cirrhosis who received a pharmacist-led, patient-oriented education and medication management intervention (n = 57) had greater knowledge of cirrhosis and key self-care tasks compared with usual care (n = 59). Intervention patients also experienced improved quality of life. Dedicated resources are needed to support implementation of evidence-based measures at local centres to improve outcomes.
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McKillen BJ, Powell EE, Horsfall LU, Clouston AD, Brown NN, Elangovan H, Patel PJ, Valery PC, Irvine KM, Bernard A, Hayward KL. Longitudinal Change in Simple Scores Identifies Fibrosis Status in People With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease. J Clin Gastroenterol 2020; 54:661-662. [PMID: 32692117 DOI: 10.1097/mcg.0000000000001372] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/10/2022]
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Ruddell RG, Lee A, Powell EE, Wilgen U, Ungerer JPJ. Unusual Iron and Copper Studies in a Patient with Liver Injury and Normocytic Anemia. Clin Chem 2020; 66:277-281. [PMID: 32040578 DOI: 10.1093/clinchem/hvz001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2019] [Accepted: 04/09/2019] [Indexed: 11/14/2022]
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Ahn SB, Powell EE, Russell A, Hartel G, Irvine KM, Moser C, Valery PC. Type 2 Diabetes: A Risk Factor for Hospital Readmissions and Mortality in Australian Patients With Cirrhosis. Hepatol Commun 2020; 4:1279-1292. [PMID: 32923832 PMCID: PMC7471423 DOI: 10.1002/hep4.1536] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2019] [Revised: 03/05/2020] [Accepted: 04/15/2020] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Although there is evidence that type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) impacts adversely on liver‐related mortality, its influence on hospital readmissions and development of complications in patients with cirrhosis, particularly in alcohol‐related cirrhosis (the most common etiological factor among Australian hospital admissions for cirrhosis) has not been well studied. This study aimed to investigate the association between T2D and liver cirrhosis in a population‐based cohort of patients admitted for cirrhosis in the state of Queensland, Australia. A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted using data from the Queensland Hospital Admitted Patient Data Collection, which contains information on all hospital episodes of care for patients with liver cirrhosis, and the Death Registry during 2008‐2017. We used demographic, clinical data, and socioeconomic characteristics. A total of 8,631 patients were analyzed. A higher proportion of patients with T2D had cryptogenic cirrhosis (42.4% vs. 27.3%, respectively; P < 0.001) or nonalcoholic fatty liver disease/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (13.8% vs. 3.4%, respectively; P < 0.001) and an admission for hepatocellular carcinoma (18.0% vs. 12.2%, respectively; P < 0.001) compared to patients without T2D. Patients with liver cirrhosis with T2D compared to those without T2D had a significantly increased median length of hospital stay (6 [range, 1‐11] vs. 5 [range, 1‐11] days, respectively; P < 0.001), double the rate of noncirrhosis‐related admissions (incidence rate ratios [IRR], 2.03; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.98‐2.07), a 1.35‐fold increased rate of cirrhosis‐related admissions (IRR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.30‐1.41), and significantly lower survival (P < 0.001). Conclusion: Among hospitalized patients with cirrhosis, the cohort with T2D is at higher risk and may benefit from attention to comorbidities and additional support to reduce readmissions.
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Brain D, O'Beirne J, Hickman IJ, Powell EE, Valery PC, Kularatna S, Tulleners R, Farrington A, Horsfall L, Barnett A. Protocol for a randomised trial testing a community fibrosis assessment service for patients with suspected non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: LOCal assessment and triage evaluation of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (LOCATE-NAFLD). BMC Health Serv Res 2020; 20:335. [PMID: 32316984 PMCID: PMC7171744 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-020-05233-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/07/2020] [Accepted: 04/15/2020] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common type of chronic liver disease in Australia and its recent increase mirrors the obesity and type 2 diabetes epidemics. Currently, many patients who present to primary care with abnormal liver function tests or steatosis on liver ultrasound are referred for assessment in secondary care. Due to the large number of patients with NAFLD, this results in long waits for clinical and fibrosis assessment, placing unnecessary burden on the public hospital system. Methods We will conduct a 1:1 parallel randomised trial to compare two alternative models of care for NAFLD. Participants will be randomised to usual care or the LOCal Assessment and Triage Evaluation (LOCATE) model of care and followed for 1 year. We will recruit patients from the non-neighbouring Sunshine Coast and Metro South Hospital and Health Services (HHSs) in Queensland, Australia. Our primary outcome of interest is time to diagnosis of high-risk NAFLD, based on the number of participants in each arm of the study who receive a diagnosis of clinically significant fibrosis. Two hundred and 34 participants will give us a 95% power to detect a 50% reduction in the primary outcome of time to diagnosis of high-risk disease. We will also conduct an economic evaluation, evaluating the cost-effectiveness of the new model of care. We will also evaluate the implementation of the new model of care. Discussion It is anticipated that the results of this study will provide valuable new information regarding the management of NAFLD in the Australian setting. A relatively simple change to care could result in earlier identification of patients with significant liver disease and lower overall costs for the health system. Results will be directly disseminated to key staff for further distribution to consumers, policy- and decision-makers in the form of evidence briefs, plain language summaries and policy recommendations. Trial registration The trial was registered on 30 January, 2020 and can be found via ANZCTR - number ACTRN12620000158965.
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Valery PC, Bernardes CM, Stuart KA, Hartel GF, McPhail SM, Skoien R, Rahman T, Clark PJ, Horsfall LU, Hayward KL, Gupta R, Powell EE. Development and Evaluation of the Supportive Needs Assessment Tool for Cirrhosis (SNAC). Patient Prefer Adherence 2020; 14:599-611. [PMID: 32256051 PMCID: PMC7094148 DOI: 10.2147/ppa.s236818] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2019] [Accepted: 02/18/2020] [Indexed: 12/25/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND We report the development and psychometric testing of a Supportive Needs Assessment tool for Cirrhosis (SNAC). METHODS The 50-item SNAC was administered to patients (n=465) diagnosed with cirrhosis recruited from five metropolitan hospitals in Queensland, Australia. Items were assessed for ceiling and floor effects, and exploratory factor analysis was used to assess the factor structure. Identified factors were assessed for internal consistency and convergent validity to validated psychosocial tools. RESULTS Exploratory factor analysis identified 4 factors (39 items), which together accounted for 49.2% of the total variance. The 39-item SNAC met the requirements of a needs assessment tool and identified a range of needs important to patients with cirrhosis that were grouped in four subscales: "Psychosocial issues", "Practical and physical needs", "Information needs", and "Lifestyle changes". Cronbach's alpha values for the four subscales ranged from 0.64 to 0.92. Convergent validity was supported by a strong correlation between the total SNAC score and that of the Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire (CLDQ; Spearman rho -0.68; p<0.001), and moderate correlations with the Distress Thermometer (Spearman rho 0.53; p<0.001) and seven subscales of a generic health-related quality of life instrument (Short Form 36; Spearman rho ranged from -0.48 to -0.57; p<0.001). The SNAC discriminated patient groups with respect to sex (p=0.013), age group (p<0.001), and hospital admission status (admitted vs not; p<0.001). CONCLUSION These data provide initial evidence for the validity and reliability of the SNAC, an instrument designed to measure type and amount of perceived unmet practical and psychological needs of people diagnosed with cirrhosis.
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Valery PC, McPhail S, Stuart KA, Hartel G, Clark PJ, O'Beirne J, Skoien R, Rahman T, Moser C, Powell EE. Changing prevalence of aetiological factors and comorbidities among Australians hospitalised for cirrhosis. Intern Med J 2020; 51:691-698. [PMID: 32096890 DOI: 10.1111/imj.14809] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/04/2019] [Revised: 02/10/2020] [Accepted: 02/17/2020] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The rate of hospital admissions for cirrhosis increased 1.3-fold during 2008-2016 in Queensland. Alcohol misuse was a contributing factor for cirrhosis in 55% of admissions and 40% of patients had at least one comorbidity. AIMS To examine the temporal change in aetiology of liver disease and presence of comorbidity in patients admitted with cirrhosis. METHODS Population-based retrospective cohort study of all people treated in hospital for cirrhosis (10 254 patients) in Queensland during 2008-2016. Data were sourced from Queensland Hospital Admitted Patient Data Collection. RESULTS The commonest aetiology was alcohol (49.5%), followed by cryptogenic (unspecified cirrhosis; 28.5%), hepatitis C virus (19.3%), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)/non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) (4.8%) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) (4.3%). The prevalence of alcohol-related (P = 0.41) and hepatitis C virus (P = 0.08) remained stable between 2008-2010 and 2014-2016, that of NAFLD/NASH, cryptogenic and HBV-cirrhosis increased by 67% (P < 0.00001), 27% (P < 0.00001) and 20% (P = 0.00019), respectively; 41.1% of patients had at least one comorbidity. The prevalence of type 2 diabetes nearly doubled (from 13.7% to 25.4%; P < 0.00001) between 2008-2010 and 2014-2016. CONCLUSIONS Alcohol misuse was the most important aetiology. The importance of NAFLD/NASH, cryptogenic and HBV-cirrhosis and the burden of comorbidity increased during 2008-2016. Ongoing alcohol misuse and the increasing prevalence of NAFLD/NASH, cryptogenic cirrhosis and comorbid type 2 diabetes among admissions for cirrhosis has implications for public health interventions to reduce the burden of unhealthy lifestyle and metabolic disorders.
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Elangovan H, Rajagopaul S, Williams SM, McKillen B, Britton L, McPhail SM, Horsfall LU, Valery PC, Hayward KL, Powell EE. Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Interface Between Primary Care and Hepatology Clinics. Hepatol Commun 2020; 4:518-526. [PMID: 32258947 PMCID: PMC7109341 DOI: 10.1002/hep4.1486] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/28/2019] [Accepted: 01/15/2020] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Primary care physicians (PCPs) have the primary role in the diagnosis and management of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and in selecting patients for referral to a hepatologist for further evaluation. This study aimed to characterize PCP referrals for patients diagnosed with NAFLD at a major referral hospital, and to determine the severity of liver disease and patient pathway following evaluation in secondary care. New patients seen in the hepatology outpatient clinic (HOC) with a secondary care diagnosis of NAFLD were identified from the HOC scheduling database. PCP referrals for these patients were retrieved from the electronic medical records and reviewed by study clinicians, along with the hepatologists' clinic notes and letters. Over a 14-month period, 234 new PCP referrals received a diagnosis of NAFLD, accounting for 20.4% of the total number of new cases (n = 1,147) seen in the HOC. The 234 referrals were received from 170 individual PCPs at 135 practices. Most patients with NAFLD (88.5%) were referred for investigation of abnormal liver enzymes or other clinical concerns, including abnormal iron studies, hepatomegaly, and abdominal pain. Only 27 (11.5%) referrals included an assessment of liver disease severity. Following evaluation in the liver clinic, 175 patients (74.8%) were found to have a low risk of advanced fibrosis, and most (n = 159; 90.9%) were discharged back to their PCP for ongoing follow-up in primary care. Conclusion: In addition to better access to noninvasive fibrosis tests, educational strategies to enhance awareness and recognition of NAFLD as a cause for many of the initial concerns prompting patient referral might improve risk stratification and increase the appropriateness of PCP referrals.
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Valery PC, Clark PJ, Pratt G, Bernardes CM, Hartel G, Toombs M, Irvine KM, Powell EE. Hospitalisation for cirrhosis in Australia: disparities in presentation and outcomes for Indigenous Australians. Int J Equity Health 2020; 19:27. [PMID: 32066438 PMCID: PMC7027067 DOI: 10.1186/s12939-020-1144-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2019] [Accepted: 02/12/2020] [Indexed: 12/21/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Indigenous Australians experience greater health disadvantage and have a higher prevalence of many chronic health conditions. Liver diseases leading to cirrhosis are among the most common contributor to the mortality gap between Indigenous and other Australian adults. However, no comparative data exist assessing differences in presentation and patient outcomes between Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australians hospitalised with cirrhosis. Methods Using data from the Hospital Admitted Patient Data Collection and the Death Registry, this retrospective, population-based, cohort study including all people hospitalised for cirrhosis in the state of Queensland during 2008–2017 examined rate of readmission (Poisson regression), cumulative survival (Kaplan–Meier), and assessed the differences in survival (Multivariable Cox regression) by Indigenous status. Predictor variables included demographic, health service characteristics and clinical data. Results We studied 779 Indigenous and 10,642 non-Indigenous patients with cirrhosis. A higher proportion of Indigenous patients were younger than 50 years (346 [44%] vs. 2063 [19%] non-Indigenous patients), lived in most disadvantaged areas (395 [51%) vs. 2728 [26%]), had alcohol-related cirrhosis (547 [70%] vs. 5041 [47%]), had ascites (314 [40%] vs. 3555 [33%), and presented to hospital via the Emergency Department (510 [68%] vs. 4790 [47%]). Indigenous patients had 3.04 times the rate of non-cirrhosis readmissions (95%CI 2.98–3.10), 1.35 times the rate of cirrhosis-related readmissions (95%CI 1.29–1.41), and lower overall survival (17% vs. 27%; unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 1.16 95%CI 1.06–1.27), compared to non-Indigenous patients. Most of the survival deficit was explained by Emergency Department presentation (adj-HR = 1.03 95%CI 0.93–1.13), and alcohol-related aetiology (adj-HR = 1.08 95%CI 0.99–1.19). The remaining survival deficit was influenced by the other clinico-demographic and health service factors (final adj-HR = 1.08 95%CI 0.96–1.20). Conclusions There was evidence of differential presentation, higher rates of readmissions, and poorer survival for Indigenous Australians with cirrhosis, compared to other Australians. The increased prevalence of Emergency Department presentation among Indigenous patients suggests missed opportunities for early intervention to prevent progressive cirrhosis complications and hospital readmissions.
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Hayward KL, Valery PC, Cottrell WN, Irvine KM, Martin JH, Powell EE. Reply. Hepatol Commun 2019; 3:1283-1284. [PMID: 31497749 PMCID: PMC6719738 DOI: 10.1002/hep4.1398] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
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