Predictors and Prognostic Impact of Early Acute Kidney Injury in Cardiogenic Shock: Results from a Monocentric, Prospective Registry

INTRODUCTION

The presence of acute kidney injury (AKI) was shown to increase the risk of mortality following acute myocardial infarction; however, data regarding the prognostic impact of early AKI in patients with concomitant cardiogenic shock (CS) is limited. The study investigates predictors and the prognostic impact of AKI in patients with CS.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with CS from 2019 to 2021 were included at one institution. Laboratory values were retrieved from day of disease onset (day 1) and days 2, 3, 4, and 8 thereafter. Predictors for AKI (defined as an increase of plasma creatinine >50% within 48 h referring to pre-admission or baseline creatinine on day 1 and/or the need for continuous veno-venous hemodiafiltration [CVVHDF]) and the prognostic impact of early AKI with regard to 30-day all-cause mortality were assessed. Statistical analyses included t test, Spearman's correlation, C-statistics, Kaplan-Meier, and Cox proportional regression analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 219 CS patients were included with an incidence of early CS-related AKI of 52%. With an area under the curve of up to 0.689 (p = 0.001), creatine discriminated 30-day mortality in CS. Increasing lactate levels (OR = 1.194; 95% CI: 1.083-1.316; p = 0.001; per increase of 1 mmol/L) was associated with the occurrence of AKI. The presence of AKI was associated with an increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality (63% vs. 36%; HR = 2.138; 95% CI: 1.441-3.171; p = 0.001), even after multivariable adjustment (HR = 1.861; 95% CI: 1.207-2.869; p = 0.005). Finally, highest risk of all-cause mortality was observed in patients with AKI requiring CVVHDF (75% vs. 44%; log rank p = 0.001; HR = 2.211; 95% CI: 1.315-3.718; p = 0.003).

CONCLUSION

Early AKI affects more than half of patients with CS and is independently associated with 30-day all-cause mortality in CS, with highest risk of death among patients with AKI requiring CVVHDF.

Statin therapy and outcome in Takotsubo syndrome patients: Results from the multicenter international GEIST registry

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Several studies have shown that endothelial dysfunction plays a role in the pathogenesis of Takotsubo syndrome (TTS). Given the potential benefit of statin therapy on endothelial dysfunction, we hypothesized that such treatment could improve outcome. Aim of our study was to evaluate clinical characteristics and outcome of TTS patients treated with statin therapy.

METHODS

Patients were enrolled in the international multicenter GEIST (GErman Italian Spanish Takotsubo) registry. Demographic data, clinical features and drug therapy at discharge were recorded. Primary study outcome was the occurrence of all-cause death at follow-up.

RESULTS

Study population included 2429 consecutive TTS patients: 1293 (53.2%) discharged on statin and 1136 (46.8%) without statin. Patients with statin were older (age 72 ± 11 vs 69 ± 13 years, p < 0.001), with higher prevalence of hypertension (74.3% vs 60.3%, p < 0.001), diabetes (21.1% vs 14.7%, p < 0.001), dyslipidemia (56.1% vs 23.3%, p < 0.001), history of coronary artery disease (13.3% vs 6.3%, p < 0.001) and lower rates of in-hospital complications (14.7% vs 19.3%, p = 0.003). Survival analysis showed similar mortality rates between groups (log rank p = 0.803). At univariable analysis, statin therapy at discharge was not associated with lower mortality (HR: 0.97, 95% CI 0.74-1.26, p = 0.803). At multivariable analysis age (HR: 1.06 95% CI 1.04-1.08, p < 0.001), male sex (HR: 1.83, 95% CI 1.20-2.80, p = 0.005), diabetes (HR: 2.55, 95% CI 1.83-3.54 p < 0.001), malignancies (HR: 2.41, 95% CI 1.68-3.44, p < 0.001) and physical trigger (HR: 2.24, 95% CI 1.62-3.10, p < 0.001) were associated with increased mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Statin therapy after a TTS event was not associated with better prognosis at follow-up.

C-reactive protein and procalcitonin during course of sepsis and septic shock

OBJECTIVE

The study investigates the diagnostic and prognostic value of C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) in patients with sepsis and septic shock.

BACKGROUND

Limited data regarding the prognostic value of CRP and PCT during the course of sepsis or septic shock is available.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with sepsis and septic shock from 2019 to 2021 were included monocentrically. Blood samples were retrieved from the day of disease onset (day 1), day 2, 3, 5, 7, and 10. Firstly, the diagnostic value of CRP and PCT for the diagnosis of a septic shock, as well as for the discrimination of positive blood cultures, was tested. Secondly, the prognostic value of the CRP and PCT was tested for 30-day all-cause mortality. Statistical analyses included univariable t-tests, Spearman's correlations, C-statistics, and Kaplan-Meier analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 349 patients were included, of which 56% had a sepsis and 44% a septic shock on day 1. The overall rate of all-cause mortality at 30 days was 52%. With an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.861 on day 7 and 0.833 on day 10, the PCT revealed a superior AUC than the CRP (AUC 0.440-0.652) with regard to the discrimination between patients with sepsis and septic shock. In contrast, the prognostic AUCs for 30-day all-cause mortality were poor. Both higher CRP (HR = 0.999; 95% CI 0.998-1.001; p = 0.203) and PCT levels (HR = 0.998; 95% CI 0.993-1.003; p = 0.500) were not associated with the risk of 30-day all-cause mortality. During the first 10 days of ICU treatment, both CRP and PCT declined irrespective of clinical improvement or impairment.

CONCLUSION

PCT was a reliable diagnostic tool for the diagnosis of septic shock compared to CRP. Both CRP and PCT were shown to have poor predictive value with regard to 30-day all-cause mortality and were not associated with the risk of all-cause mortality in patients admitted with sepsis or septic shock.

The impact of diabetes mellitus on the outcome of troponin-positive patients with non-obstructive coronary arteries

Background

Diabetes mellitus is a major cardiovascular risk factor for the development of coronary artery disease, but knowledge about the impact of diabetes mellitus on the outcome of patients with myocardial infarction with non-obstructive coronary arteries is limited. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic impact of diabetes mellitus on in- and out-of-hospital adverse events in troponin-positive patients with non-obstructive coronary arteries.

Methods and Results

A total of 373 troponin-positive patients with non-obstructive coronary arteries between 2010 and 2021 at Bergmannsheil University Hospital Bochum were enrolled, including 65 diabetics and 307 nondiabetics. The median follow-up was 6.2 years. The primary study end point was a composite of in-hospital major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Secondary endpoints covered MACE during follow-up.Mean age of the study cohort was 62.9 years and 49.3 % were male. Although the overall rate of in-hospital MACE was higher in diabetics (41.5 %) than in non-diabetics (33.9 %), this difference did not reach statistical significance (p = 0.240). The in-hospital mortality rate was low in both groups, 0 % of diabetes group versus 2.9 % of non-diabetic patients. During follow-up, diabetic patients had a significantly higher rate of MACE (51.9 % vs. 31.1 %, p = 0.004) and a significantly higher all-cause mortality rate than non-diabetic patients (42.3 % vs. 20.1 %, p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Our study reveals that the impact of diabetes mellitus on cardiovascular outcomes in troponin-positive patients with non-obstructive coronary arteries intensifies over the long term, leading to increased rates of both cardiovascular adverse events and overall mortality.

Association of body mass index with 30-day all-cause mortality in cardiogenic shock

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

This study investigates the prognostic impact of body mass index (BMI) on the risk of 30-day all-cause mortality in patients with cardiogenic shock (CS). Due to ongoing epidemiological developments, the characteristics of patients with cardiovascular disease are consistently changing. Especially increasing rates of obesity and associated comorbidities have been observed. However, data regarding the prognostic value of BMI in patients with CS remains inconclusive.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Consecutive patients with CS were included from 2019 to 2021. The prognostic value of BMI (i.e., BMI 18.5-<25; 25-30 and >30 kg/m2) was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox proportional regression analyses regarding the primary endpoint of 30-day all-cause mortality. Additional risk stratification was performed based on the presence or absence of CS related to acute myocardial infarction (AMI). 256 patients with a median BMI of 26.4 kg/m2 were included. The overall risk of 30-day all-cause mortality was 53.5%. Within the entire study cohort, BMI was not associated with the risk of 30-day all-cause mortality (log rank p ≥ 0.107). In contrast, BMI >30 kg/m2 was associated with higher risk of 30-day all-cause mortality when compared to BMI <25 kg/m2 in patients with AMI-CS (78% vs 47%; log rank p = 0.017), which was confirmed after multivariable adjustment (HR = 2.466; 95% CI 1.126-5.399; p = 0.024). However, BMI was not associated with mortality in patients with non-AMI-CS.

CONCLUSION

BMI >30 kg/m2 was associated with increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality in patients with AMI-CS, but not in non-AMI-CS.

LAA occlusion is effective and safe in very high-risk atrial fibrillation patients with prior stroke: results from the multicentre German LAARGE registry

BACKGROUND

Interventional left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) mitigates the risk of thromboembolic events in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with contraindication for long-term oral anticoagulation (OAC). Patients with prior stroke have a relevantly increased risk of recurrent stroke, so the effectiveness of LAAO could be reduced in this specific very high-risk patient group.

AIM

This sub-study of the LAARGE registry investigates the effectiveness and safety of LAAO for secondary prevention in nonvalvular AF patients with a history of stroke.

METHODS

LAARGE is a prospective, non-randomised registry on the clinical reality of LAAO. The current sub-study employs data from index procedure and 1-year follow-up. Effectiveness and safety were assessed by documentation of all-cause mortality, non-fatal thromboembolism, procedure-related complications, and bleeding events.

RESULTS

A total of 638 patients were consecutively included from 38 hospitals in Germany and divided into two groups: 137 patients with a history of stroke (21.5%) and 501 patients without. Successful implantation was consistent between both groups (98.5% vs. 97.4%, p = NS), while peri-procedural MACCE and other complications were rare (0% vs. 0.6% and 4.4% vs. 4.0%, respectively; each p = NS). Kaplan-Meier estimate showed no significant difference in primary effectiveness outcome measure (freedom from all-cause death or non-fatal stroke) between both groups at follow-up (87.8% vs. 87.7%, p = NS). The incidence of transient ischemic attack or systemic embolism at follow-up was low (0% vs. 0.5% and 0.9% vs. 0%, respectively; each p = NS). Severe bleeding events after hospital discharge were rare (0% vs. 0.7%, p = NS).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with prior stroke demonstrated similar effectiveness and safety profile for LAAO as compared to patients without prior stroke. LAAO could serve as a feasible alternative to OAC for secondary stroke prevention in this selected group of nonvalvular AF patients.

CLINICALTRIALS

GOV IDENTIFIER

NCT02230748.

Prognostic Implications of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in Heart Failure with Mildly Reduced Ejection Fraction

BACKGROUND

Data regarding the characterization and outcomes of diabetics with heart failure with a mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFmrEF) is scarce. This study investigates the prevalence and prognostic impact of type 2 diabetes in patients with HFmrEF.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with HFmrEF (i.e., left ventricular ejection fraction 41-49% and signs and/or symptoms of HF) were retrospectively included at one institution from 2016 to 2022. Patients with type 2 diabetes (dia-betics) were compared to patients without (i.e., non-diabetics). The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality at 30 months. Statistical analyses included Kaplan-Meier, multivariable Cox regression analyses and propensity score matching.

RESULTS

A total of 2169 patients with HFmrEF were included. The overall prevalence of type 2 diabetes was 36%. Diabetics had an increased risk of 30-months all-cause mortality (35.8% vs. 28.6%; HR = 1.273; 95% CI 1.092-1.483; p = 0.002), which was confirmed after multivariable adjustment (HR = 1.234; 95% CI 1.030-1.479; p = 0.022) and propensity score matching (HR = 1.265; 95% CI 1.018-1.572; p = 0.034). Diabetics had a higher risk of HF-related rehospitalization (17.8% vs. 10.7%; HR = 1.714; 95% CI 1.355-2.169; p = 0.001). Finally, the risk of all-cause mortality was increased in diabetics treated with insulin (40.7% vs. 33.1%; log-rank p = 0.029), whereas other anti-diabetic pharmacotherapies had no prognostic impact in HFmrEF.

CONCLUSIONS

Type 2 diabetes is common and independently associated with adverse long-term prognosis in patients with HFmrEF.

Prognostic Implications of Septal Hypertrophy in Patients with Heart Failure with Mildly Reduced Ejection Fraction

Cardiac remodeling is frequently observed in patients with heart failure (HF) and serves as an indicator of disease progression and severity. Septal hypertrophy represents an aspect of remodeling that can be easily assessed via an echocardiographic measurement of the interventricular septal end diastole (IVSd), but it has not been evaluated for its prognostic value, particularly in patients with heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFmrEF). We retrospectively included 1881 consecutive patients hospitalized with HFmrEF (i.e., a left ventricular ejection fraction of 41-49% and signs and/or symptoms of HF) at one institution during a study period from 2016 to 2022. Septal hypertrophy, defined as an IVSd > 12 mm, was prevalent in 34% of the HFmrEF patients. Although septal hypertrophy was not associated with all-cause mortality at 30 months (median follow-up) (HR = 1.067; 95% CI: 0.898-1.267; p = 0.460), it was associated with an increased risk of hospitalization due to worsening HF at 30 months (HR = 1.303; 95% CI: 1.008-1.685; p = 0.044), which was confirmed even after multivariable adjustment (HR = 1.340; 95% CI: 1.002-1.792; p = 0.049) and propensity score matching (HR = 1.399; 95% CI: 1.002-1.951; p = 0.048). Although septal hypertrophy was not associated with the risk of all-cause mortality in patients with HFmrEF, it was identified as an independent predictor of long-term HF-related rehospitalization.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Value of Aminoterminal Prohormone of Brain Natriuretic Peptide in Heart Failure with Mildly Reduced Ejection Fraction Stratified by the Degree of Renal Dysfunction

Limited data concerning the diagnostic and prognostic value of blood-derived biomarkers in heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFmrEF) is available. This study investigates the diagnostic and prognostic value of aminoterminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in patients with HFmrEF, stratified by the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Consecutive patients with HFmrEF were retrospectively included at one institution from 2016 to 2022. First, the diagnostic value of NT-proBNP for acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) was tested. Thereafter, the prognostic value of NT-proBNP levels was tested for 30-months all-cause mortality in patients with ADHF. From a total of 755 patients hospitalized with HFmrEF, the rate of ADHF was 42%. Patients with ADHF revealed higher NT-proBNP levels compared to patients without (median 5394 pg/mL vs. 1655 pg/mL; p = 0.001). NT-proBNP was able to discriminate ADHF with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.777 (p = 0.001), with the highest AUC in patients with eGFR ≥ 60 mL/min (AUC = 0.800; p = 0.001), and no diagnostic value was seen in eGFR < 30 mL/min (AUC = 0.576; p = 0.210). Patients with NT-proBNP levels > 3946 pg/mL were associated with higher rates of all-cause mortality at 30 months (57.7% vs. 34.4%; HR = 2.036; 95% CI 1.423-2.912; p = 0.001), even after multivariable adjustment (HR = 1.712; 95% CI 1.166-2.512; p = 0.006). In conclusion, increasing NT-proBNP levels predicted the risk of ADHF and all-cause mortality in patients with HFmrEF and preserved renal function; however, NT-proBNP levels were not predictive in patients with HFmrEF and eGFR < 30 mL/min.

Is spontaneous echo contrast associated with device-related thrombus or embolic events after left atrial appendage occlusion? - Insights from the multicenter German LAARGE registry

BACKGROUND

Interventional left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) provides an alternative to oral anticoagulation (OAC) for prophylaxis of thromboembolic events (TEs) in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation patients, predominantly in those with high bleeding risk and contraindications for long-term OAC. Although spontaneous echo contrast (SEC) is a well-known risk factor for atrial thrombus formation, little is known about whether this means an increased risk of device-related thrombus (DRT) or TEs following LAAO.

METHODS

This substudy of the prospective, multicenter German LAARGE registry assessed two groups according to absence (SEC -) or presence of SEC (SEC +) in preprocedural cardiac imaging. Clinical and echocardiographic parameters were registered up to 1 year after LAAO.

RESULTS

Five hundred eighty-eight patients (SEC - 85.5 vs. SEC + 14.5%) were included. More SEC + patients were implanted for OAC non-compliance (11.8 vs. 4.6%, p = 0.008) and a higher proportion received only antiplatelet therapy without OAC at hospital discharge (96.5 vs. 86.0%, p = 0.007). The SEC + patients had larger LA diameters (50 (47; 54) vs. 47 (43; 51) mm, p < 0.001), wider LAA ostia (21 (19; 23) vs. 20 (17; 22) mm at 45°, p = 0.011), and lower left ventricular ejection fraction (50 (45; 60) vs. 60 (50; 60) %, p < 0.001) on admission. Procedural success was very high in both groups (98.1%, p = 1.00). Periprocedural major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events and other major complications were rare in both groups (3.8 vs. 4.7%, p = 0.76). At follow-up, DRT was only detected in the SEC - group (3.8 vs. 0%, p = 1.00). The rates of TEs (SEC - 1.2 vs. SEC + 0%, p = 1.00) after hospital discharge and 1-year mortality (SEC - 12.0 vs. SEC + 11.8%, p = 0.96) were not significantly different between the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Presence of SEC at baseline was not associated with an increased rate of DRT or TEs at 1-year follow-up after LAAO in LAARGE.

Effect of Admission and Onset Time on the Prognosis of Patients With Cardiogenic Shock

BACKGROUND

The spectrum of patients with cardiogenic shock (CS) has changed significantly over time. CS has become especially more common in the absence of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), while this subset of patients was typically excluded from recent studies. Furthermore the prognostic impact of onset time and onset place due to CS has rarely been investigated.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Do the place of CS onset (out-of-hospital, ie, primary CS vs in-hospital, ie, secondary CS) and the onset time of out-of-hospital CS (ie, on-hours vs off-hours admission) affect the risk of all-cause mortality at 30 days?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

This prospective monocentric registry included consecutive patients with CS of any cause from 2019 until 2021. First, the prognostic impact of the place of CS onset (out-of-hospital, ie, primary CS vs during hospitalization, ie, secondary CS) was investigated. Thereafter, the prognostic impact of the onset time of out-of-hospital CS was investigated. Furthermore, the prognostic impact of causative AMI vs non-AMI was investigated. Statistical analyses included Kaplan-Meier analyses, and univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

Two hundred seventy-three patients with CS were included prospectively (64% with primary out-of-hospital CS). The place of CS onset was not associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality within the entire study cohort (secondary in-hospital CS: hazard ratio [HR], 1.532; 95% CI, 0.990-2.371; P = .06). However, increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality was seen in patients with AMI related secondary in-hospital CS (HR, 2.087; 95% CI, 1.126-3.868; P = .02). Furthermore, primary out-of-hospital CS admitted during off-hours was associated with lower risk of all-cause mortality compared to primary CS admitted during on-hours (HR, 0.497; 95% CI, 0.302-0.817; P = .01), irrespective of the presence or absence of AMI.

INTERPRETATION

Primary and secondary CS were associated with comparable, whereas primary out-of-hospital CS admitted during off-hours was associated with lower risk of all-cause mortality at 30 days.

TRIAL REGISTRY

ClinicalTrials.gov; No.: NCT05575856; URL: www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov.

Generalized anxiety is a predictor of impaired quality of life in patients with atrial fibrillation: Findings from the prospective observational ARENA study

OBJECTIVE

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with impaired health-related quality of life (HRQoL), an increased risk of morbidity, and mortality. Traditional AF-related outcomes (e.g., AF recurrence) primarily demonstrate the physiological benefits of AF management but do not focus on the benefits experienced subjectively by the patient (i.e., patient-reported outcomes), which have been suggested as optimal endpoints in AF intervention studies. The aim of this study is to identify medical and psychological factors associated with impaired HRQoL at 1-year follow-up.

METHODS

Using data from the prospective observational multicenter ARENA study in patients with AF, we analyzed associations between medical factors, anxiety, and HRQoL at 1-year follow-up assessed using 5-level EuroQoL-5D.

RESULTS

In 1353 AF patients (mean age 71.4 ± 10.3 years, 33.8% female), none of the medical predictors (e.g., heart disease) or history of cardioversion were associated with HRQoL at the 1-year follow-up. Higher generalized anxiety (β = -0.114, p < .001) but not cardiac anxiety (β = -0.006, p = .809) at baseline predicted decreased HRQoL, independent of confounding variables and patients' medical status. Furthermore, the worsening of patients' generalized anxiety was associated with decreased HRQoL (ß = -0.091, p < .001). In contrast, the improvement of generalized anxiety over time predicted higher HRQoL (ß = 0.097, p < .001). Finally, the worsening of patients' cardiac anxiety over time was associated with decreased HRQoL (ß = -0.081, p < .001).

CONCLUSION

Our results highlight the importance of anxiety as a predictor of future HRQoL in patients with AF. Additional studies to examine the impact of anxiety treatment on HRQoL in this population are needed.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

The investigators registered on ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02978248) on November 30, 2016 https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02978248.

Platelet Count During Course of Cardiogenic Shock

The study investigates the prognostic value of the platelet count in patients with cardiogenic shock (CS). Limited data regarding the prognostic value of platelets in patients suffering from CS is available. Consecutive patients with CS from 2019 to 2021 were included at one institution. Firstly, the prognostic value of the baseline platelet count was tested for 30-day all-cause mortality. Thereafter, the prognostic impact of platelet decline during course of intensive care unit (ICU) hospitalization was assessed. A total of 249 CS patients were included with a median platelet count of 224 × 10 6 /ml. No association of the baseline platelet count with the risk of 30-day all-cause mortality was found (log-rank p = 0.563; hazard ratio [HR] = 0.879; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.557-1.387; p = 0.579). In contrast, a decrease of platelet count by ≥ 25% from day 1 to day 3 was associated with an increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality (55% vs. 39%; log-rank p = 0.045; HR = 1.585; 95% CI 0.996-2.521; p = 0.052), which was still evident after multivariable adjustment (HR = 1.951; 95% CI 1.116-3.412; p = 0.019). Platelet decrease during the course of ICU hospitalization but not the baseline platelet count was associated with an increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality in CS patients.

Machine learning-based prediction of in-hospital death for patients with takotsubo syndrome: The InterTAK-ML model

AIMS

Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) is associated with a substantial rate of adverse events. We sought to design a machine learning (ML)-based model to predict the risk of in-hospital death and to perform a clustering of TTS patients to identify different risk profiles.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A ridge logistic regression-based ML model for predicting in-hospital death was developed on 3482 TTS patients from the International Takotsubo (InterTAK) Registry, randomly split in a train and an internal validation cohort (75% and 25% of the sample size, respectively) and evaluated in an external validation cohort (1037 patients). Thirty-one clinically relevant variables were included in the prediction model. Model performance represented the primary endpoint and was assessed according to area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity. As secondary endpoint, a K-medoids clustering algorithm was designed to stratify patients into phenotypic groups based on the 10 most relevant features emerging from the main model. The overall incidence of in-hospital death was 5.2%. The InterTAK-ML model showed an AUC of 0.89 (0.85-0.92), a sensitivity of 0.85 (0.78-0.95) and a specificity of 0.76 (0.74-0.79) in the internal validation cohort and an AUC of 0.82 (0.73-0.91), a sensitivity of 0.74 (0.61-0.87) and a specificity of 0.79 (0.77-0.81) in the external cohort for in-hospital death prediction. By exploiting the 10 variables showing the highest feature importance, TTS patients were clustered into six groups associated with different risks of in-hospital death (28.8% vs. 15.5% vs. 5.4% vs. 1.0.8% vs. 0.5%) which were consistent also in the external cohort.

CONCLUSION

A ML-based approach for the identification of TTS patients at risk of adverse short-term prognosis is feasible and effective. The InterTAK-ML model showed unprecedented discriminative capability for the prediction of in-hospital death.

Diagnostic and prognostic role of platelets in patients with sepsis and septic shock

Studies investigating the prognostic role of platelets commonly include critically ill patients, whereas data regarding the prognostic impact of platelet count in patients admitted with sepsis and septic shock is limited. Therefore, the study investigates the prognostic role of platelet count in patients with sepsis and septic shock. Consecutive patients with sepsis and septic shock from 2019 to 2021 were included monocentrically. Blood samples were retrieved from the day of disease onset (day 1), days 2, 3, 5, 7 and 10. Firstly, the diagnostic value of platelet count was tested for septic shock compared to sepsis. Secondly, the prognostic value of platelet count was tested for 30-day all-cause mortality. Statistical analyses included univariable t-test, Spearman's correlation, C-statistics, Kaplan-Meier analyses, as well as multivariable mixed analysis of variance (ANOVA), Cox proportional regression analyses and propensity score matching. A total of 358 patients with sepsis and septic shock were included with a median platelet count of 176 × 10⁶/ml. The presence of thrombocytopenia (i.e. <150 × 10⁶/ml) was associated with increased risk of 30-day mortality (HR = 1.409; 95% CI 1.057-1.878; p = .019), which was still demonstrated after propensity score matching. During the course of sepsis, a nadir was observed on sepsis day 5 with a decrease in the mean platelet count by 21.5%. Especially serum lactate, mean arterial pressure and the presence of malignancies were found to predict platelet decline during the course of sepsis/septic shock. The presence of platelet decline >25% was associated with an increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality (HR = 1.484; 95% CI 1.045-2.109; p = .028). Following platelet decline, recovery was observed from day 5 to day 10 (mean increase 7.5%). However, platelet recovery was not found to be associated with 30-day all-cause mortality (HR = 1.072; 95% CI 0.567-2.026; p = .832). In conclusion, both thrombocytopenia and platelet decline during the course of sepsis were associated with an increased risk of 30-day all-mortality in patients admitted with sepsis or septic shock.

Smoking influence in Takotsubo syndrome: insights from an international cohort

Aims

To assess the influence of tobacco on acute and long-term outcomes in Takotsubo syndrome (TTS).

Methods

Patients with TTS from the international multicenter German Italian Spanish Takotsubo registry (GEIST) were analyzed. Comparisons between groups were performed within the overall cohort, and an adjusted analysis with 1:1 propensity score matching was conducted.

Results

Out of 3,152 patients with TTS, 534 (17%) were current smokers. Smoker TTS patients were younger (63 ± 11 vs. 72 ± 11 years, p < 0.001), less frequently women (78% vs. 90%, p < 0.001), and had a lower prevalence of hypertension (59% vs. 69%, p < 0.01) and diabetes mellitus (16% vs. 20%, p = 0.04), but had a higher prevalence of pulmonary (21% vs. 15%, p < 0.01) and/or psychiatric diseases (17% vs. 12%, p < 0.01). On multivariable analysis, age less than 65 years [OR 3.85, 95% CI (2.86-5)], male gender [OR 2.52, 95% CI (1.75-3.64)], history of pulmonary disease [OR 2.56, 95% CI (1.81-3.61)], coronary artery disease [OR 2.35, 95% CI (1.60-3.46)], and non-apical ballooning form [OR 1.47, 95% CI (1.02-2.13)] were associated with smoking status. Propensity score matching (PSM) 1:1 yielded 329 patients from each group. Smokers had a similar rate of in-hospital complications but longer in-hospital stays (10 vs. 9 days, p = 0.01). During long-term follow-up, there were no differences in mortality rates between smokers and non-smokers (5.6% vs. 6.9% yearly in the overall, p = 0.02, and 6.6%, vs. 7.2% yearly in the matched cohort, p = 0.97).

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that smoking may influence the clinical presentation and course of TTS with longer in-hospital stays, but does not independently impact mortality.

Outcome of Patients With Cardiogenic Shock and Previous Right Ventricular Impairment Represented by Decreased Tricuspid Annular Plane Systolic Excursion and Tricuspid Annular Plane Systolic Excursion to Pulmonary Artery Systolic Pressure Ratio

This study investigates the prognostic impact of known decreased ratio of tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) to pulmonary artery systolic pressure (PASP) and TAPSE in patients with cardiogenic shock (CS). In patients with pulmonary artery hypertension and in critically ill patients, decreased TAPSE and TAPSE/PASP ratio are known to be negative predictors. However, studies regarding the prognostic impact in patients with CS are limited. Consecutive patients with CS from June 2019 to May 2021 treated at a single center were included. Medical history including echocardiographic parameters such as TAPSE and PASP was documented for each patient. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality at 30 days. Statistical analyses included univariable t test, Spearman's correlation, C-statistics, Kaplan-Meier analyses, and Cox proportional regression analyses. A total of 90 patients with CS and measurement of TAPSE and TAPSE/PASP ratio were included. TAPSE and TAPSE/PASP ratio measured several months before intensive care unit admission were both able to predict 30-day survival in CS patients, and were both lower in 30-day nonsurvivors. TAPSE/PASP ratio <0.4 mm/mmHg (log-rank p = 0.006) and TAPSE <18 mm (log-rank p = 0.004) were associated with increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality. After multivariable adjustment, TAPSE/PASP ratio <0.4 mm/mmHg was not able to predict 30-day all-cause mortality, whereas TAPSE <18 mm was still significantly associated with the primary endpoint (hazard ratio 2.336, confidence interval 1.067 to 5.115, p = 0.034). In consecutive patients presenting with CS, compared to TAPSE alone, previously determined TAPSE/PASP ratio did not improve risk prediction for 30-day all-cause mortality.

Arrhythmogenic Cardiomyopathy: from Preclinical Models to Genotype-phenotype Correlation and Pathophysiology

Arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM) is a hereditary myocardial disease characterized by the replacement of the ventricular myocardium with fibrous fatty deposits. ACM is usually inherited in an autosomal dominant pattern with variable penetrance and expressivity, which is mainly related to ventricular tachyarrhythmia and sudden cardiac death (SCD). Importantly, significant progress has been made in determining the genetic background of ACM due to the development of new techniques for genetic analysis. The exact molecular pathomechanism of ACM, however, is not completely clear and the genotype-phenotype correlations have not been fully elucidated, which are useful to predict the prognosis and treatment of ACM patients. Different gene-targeted and transgenic animal models, human-induced pluripotent stem cell-derived cardiomyocyte (hiPSC-CM) models, and heterologous expression systems have been developed. Here, this review aims to summarize preclinical ACM models and platforms promoting our understanding of the pathogenesis of ACM and assess their value in elucidating the ACM genotype-phenotype relationship.

A Novel Strategy for Emergency Treatment of Coronary Perforations by Placing a Drug-Eluting Stent before Sealing off the Leakage with a Covered Stent to Improve Long-Term Outcomes in Patients with Coronary Artery Perforations

We aimed to investigate the safety, feasibility, and long-term results of drug-eluting stent implantation before covered stents for treating coronary artery perforation (CAP). Between 2015 and 2020, 12,733 patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) were retrospectively analyzed. The primary endpoint was 1-year target lesion revascularization (TLR), whereas secondary endpoints included the rate of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) and all-cause death at 1 year. A total of 159 patients with CAP were identified during the study period, of whom 47.2% (n = 75) were treated with a covered stent (CS group) because of complex and/or severe CAP and 84 (52.8%) without (non-CS group). In the majority of patients, emergency drug-eluting stent placement before covered stent implantation was feasible (n = 69, 82%). There were no significant differences among patients treated with or without a covered stent in terms of primary or secondary clinical endpoints: a similar rate of TLR (18.67% vs. 21.43%, p = 0.6646), MACCE (25.33% vs. 22.62%, p = 0.6887), and 1-year mortality (12.00% vs. 11.90%, p = 0.9853) were identified comparing cases with covered stent implantation and without. In conclusion, our study implicates that the use of covered stents for sealing coronary perforation might not impact the 1-year clinical outcome if used properly. Moreover, the emergent use of drug-eluting stents before covered stent implantation in CAP is a safe and effective method to avoid target lesion revascularization in patients treated with covered stents.

Does Atrial Fibrillation Deteriorate the Prognosis in Patients With Septic or Cardiogenic Shock?

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased risk of mortality in various clinical conditions. However, the prognostic role of preexisting and new-onset AF in critically ill patients, such as patients with septic or cardiogenic shock remains unclear. This study investigates the prognostic impact of preexisting and new-onset AF on 30-day all-cause mortality in patients with septic or cardiogenic shock. Consecutive patients with sepsis, or septic or cardiogenic shock were enrolled in 2 prospective, monocentric registries from 2019 to 2021. Statistical analyses included Kaplan-Meier, multivariable logistic, and Cox proportional regression analyses. In total, 644 patients were included (cardiogenic shock: n = 273; sepsis/septic shock: n = 361). The prevalence of AF was 41% (29% with preexisting AF, 12% with new-onset AF). Within the entire study cohort, neither preexisting AF (log-rank p = 0.542; hazard ratio [HR] 1.075, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.848 to 1.363, p = 0.551) nor new-onset AF (log-rank p = 0.782, HR = 0.957, 95% CI 0.683 to 1.340, p = 0.797) were associated with 30-day all-cause mortality compared with non-AF. In patients with AF, ventricular rates >120 beats/min compared with ≤120 beats/min were shown to increase the risk of reaching the primary end point in AF patients with cardiogenic shock (log-rank p = 0.006, HR 1.886, 95% CI 1.164 to 3.057, p = 0.010). Furthermore, logistic regression analyses suggested increased age was the only predictor of new-onset AF (odds ratio 1.042, 95% CI 1.018 to 1.066, p = 0.001). In conclusion, neither the presence of preexisting AF nor the occurrence of new-onset AF was associated with the risk of 30-day all-cause mortality in consecutive patients admitted with cardiogenic shock.

Venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in patients with infarct-related cardiogenic shock: an individual patient data meta-analysis of randomised trials

BACKGROUND

Venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) is increasingly used in patients with cardiogenic shock despite the lack of evidence from adequately powered randomised clinical trials. Three trials reported so far were underpowered to detect a survival benefit; we therefore conducted an individual patient-based meta-analysis to assess the effect of VA-ECMO on 30-day death rate.

METHODS

Randomised clinical trials comparing early routine use of VA-ECMO versus optimal medical therapy alone in patients presenting with infarct-related cardiogenic shock were identified by searching MEDLINE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Embase, and trial registries until June 12, 2023. Trials were included if at least all-cause death rate 30 days after in-hospital randomisation was reported and trial investigators agreed to collaborate (ie, providing individual patient data). Odds ratios (ORs) as primary outcome measure were pooled using logistic regression models. This study is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023431258).

FINDINGS

Four trials (n=567 patients; 284 VA-ECMO, 283 control) were identified and included. Overall, there was no significant reduction of 30-day death rate with the early use of VA-ECMO (OR 0·93; 95% CI 0·66-1·29). Complication rates were higher with VA-ECMO for major bleeding (OR 2·44; 95% CI 1·55-3·84) and peripheral ischaemic vascular complications (OR 3·53; 95% CI 1·70-7·34). Prespecified subgroup analyses were consistent and did not show any benefit for VA-ECMO (pinteraction ≥0·079).

INTERPRETATION

VA-ECMO did not reduce 30-day death rate compared with medical therapy alone in patients with infarct-related cardiogenic shock, and an increase in major bleeding and vascular complications was observed. A careful review of the indication for VA-ECMO in this setting is warranted.

FUNDING

Foundation Institut für Herzinfarktforschung.

Extracorporeal Life Support in Infarct-Related Cardiogenic Shock

BACKGROUND

Extracorporeal life support (ECLS) is increasingly used in the treatment of infarct-related cardiogenic shock despite a lack of evidence regarding its effect on mortality.

METHODS

In this multicenter trial, patients with acute myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock for whom early revascularization was planned were randomly assigned to receive early ECLS plus usual medical treatment (ECLS group) or usual medical treatment alone (control group). The primary outcome was death from any cause at 30 days. Safety outcomes included bleeding, stroke, and peripheral vascular complications warranting interventional or surgical therapy.

RESULTS

A total of 420 patients underwent randomization, and 417 patients were included in final analyses. At 30 days, death from any cause had occurred in 100 of 209 patients (47.8%) in the ECLS group and in 102 of 208 patients (49.0%) in the control group (relative risk, 0.98; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.80 to 1.19; P = 0.81). The median duration of mechanical ventilation was 7 days (interquartile range, 4 to 12) in the ECLS group and 5 days (interquartile range, 3 to 9) in the control group (median difference, 1 day; 95% CI, 0 to 2). The safety outcome consisting of moderate or severe bleeding occurred in 23.4% of the patients in the ECLS group and in 9.6% of those in the control group (relative risk, 2.44; 95% CI, 1.50 to 3.95); peripheral vascular complications warranting intervention occurred in 11.0% and 3.8%, respectively (relative risk, 2.86; 95% CI, 1.31 to 6.25).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with acute myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock with planned early revascularization, the risk of death from any cause at the 30-day follow-up was not lower among the patients who received ECLS therapy than among those who received medical therapy alone. (Funded by the Else Kröner Fresenius Foundation and others; ECLS-SHOCK ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03637205.).

Incidence of atrial and ventricular arrhythmias in obese patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction treated with sacubitril/valsartan

AIM

To compare clinical outcomes among patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) according to body mass index (BMI) after initiating treatment with an angiotensin-receptor neprilysin inhibitor (ARNI).

METHODS

We gathered data from 2016 to 2020 at the University Medical Center Mannheim; 208 consecutive patients were divided into two groups according to BMI (< 30 kg/m2 ; n = 116, ≥ 30 kg/m2 ; n = 92). Clinical outcomes, including mortality rate, all-cause hospitalizations and congestion, were systematically analysed.

RESULTS

At the 12-month follow-up, the mortality rate was similar in both groups (7.9% in BMI < 30 kg/m2 vs. 5.6% in BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 ; P = .76). All-cause hospitalization before ARNI treatment was comparable in both groups (63.8% in BMI < 30 kg/m2 vs. 57.6% in BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 ; P = .69). After ARNI treatment, the hospitalization rate was also comparable in both groups at the 12-month follow-up (52.2% in BMI < 30 kg/m2 vs. 53.7% in BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 ; P = .73). Obese patients experienced more congestion compared with non-obese patients at follow-up, without statistical significance (6.8% in BMI < 30 kg/m2 vs. 15.5% in BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 ; P = .11). Median left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) improved in both groups, but significantly more in non-obese compared with obese patients at the 12-month follow-up (from 26% [3%-45%] [min.-max.] vs. 29% [10%-45%] [min.-max.] [P = .56] to 35.5% [15%-59%] [min.-max.] vs. 30% [13%-50%] [min.-max.] [P = .03], respectively). The incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF), non-sustained (ns) and sustained ventricular tachycardia (VT) and ventricular fibrillation (VF) was less in non-obese than in obese patients after initiation of sacubitril/valsartan at the 12-month follow-up (AF: 43.5% vs. 53.7%; P = .20; nsVT: 9.8% vs. 28.4%; P = .01; VT: 14.1% vs. 17.9%; P = .52; VF: 7.6% vs. 13.4%; P = .23).

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of congestion in obese patients was higher compared with non-obese patients. LVEF improved significantly more in non-obese compared with obese HFrEF patients. Furthermore, AF and the ventricular tachyarrhythmia rate were revealed more in obesity compared with those without obesity at the 12-month follow-up.